11-23-13

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JOE GAVAZZI
College FB
Ohio St. (-34) Noon ET ABC from Joe Gavazzi Winning Sports Advice
Top 5 BCS teams must always lay inflated number in November. In this case, however, due to the
hot start this season by Indiana, this number is little more than a TD higher than where it would
have been to open the season. Last week, Indiana suited up against Wisconsin without RB
Coleman, their best runner, who is again expected to miss this game. Indiana was outrushed 554-
102 in their annual 51-3 drubbing at the hands of the Badgers. Meanwhile, Ohio St. was costing
themselves style points in allowing 35 points to the Illini. Yet, the Buckeyes still had a resounding
victory of 60-35 outrushing the Illini 441-132. That poor defensive performance has made life miserable
for many Ohio St. defenders in this week’s Columbus practices. Expect a resounding
Ohio St. victory as the Buckeyes win their 23rd consecutive game under HC Meyer. In so doing,
consider the streaks that will be extended. Ohio St. is currently on an 11-3 ATS run, has a long
term record of 47-22 ATS vs. the Big 10 (10-4 ATS under Meyer), and is on a run of 12-4 ATS
laying 23 or more points. No defensive apathy from the Buckeyes this week, knowing they allowed
the Hoosiers 49 points last year.

Florida St. (-57) 3:30 ET ESPNU
Potential legal issues for Sem QB Winston did not appear to negatively impact his performance in
last week’s 59-3 wipeout of Syracuse. Style points continue to be a priority for this team with a
realization that a National Championship season has real potential. The Seminoles are now 10-0
ATS as home favorite of 14 or more points with a cover margin of 16 PPG. Key factor of coverage
is that the second team of Florida St. is still notably better than Idaho.

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Brian Leonard

East Carolina

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Stephen Nover

129 East Carolina / 130 N.C. State OVER double-dime bet

169 Texas A&M 5.5(-110) double-dime bet

159 W. Kentucky -5.0(-110) double-dime bet

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College football line watch: Don't miss Ducks below key number
By STEVE MERRIL

Each week during the college football season, Covers Expert Steve Merril looks at the NCAAF odds and tells you which spread to bet now, which one to bet later, and which total to watch as the week plays out.

Spread to bet now

Oregon Ducks (-20.5) at Arizona Wildcats

The spread on this game opened too low at -17.5 and sharp bettors quickly pumped this line up a full three points to the current number. The public will pile on as well and we fully expect this line to be well over three touchdowns soon. Obviously 21 is a key number in football so if you like Oregon, bet this game ASAP.

Oregon is never shy to run up the score on their opponents and they know they need to do it in this game. Arizona is ripe for the picking after its home loss to Washington State last week.

All nine of Oregon’s wins this season have come by 21 points or more. So again, laying less than 21 points is imperative in this game. Lay the 20.5 now with Oregon before the line hits the key number.

Spread to wait on

USC Trojans at Colorado Buffaloes (+22.5)

The line opened with USC as a 21.5-point road favorite but it was quickly bet up to the current price. With more money to come in on the Trojans, Buffs backers can get Colorado +24 right before kickoff.

This is a terrible situational and scheduling spot for USC. The Trojans are off their upset win over Stanford, snapping a four-game losing streak to the Cardinal. After this game, USC will return home to face rival UCLA. The Trojans will have little focus on Colorado considering they’ve crushed the Buffaloes by a combined score of 92-23 in the last two meetings.

Colorado got a confidence-building blowout win last week, so they’ll come into this game on a positive note. Colorado couldn’t have asked for a better setup and, with the expectation of more money to come in on USC, we suggest waiting and grabbing +24 on the Buffaloes the minute it becomes available.

Total to watch

Baylor Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys (78)

Can the oddsmakers make the total high enough for Baylor this season? Last week, the total was 84 versus Texas Tech and it easily eclipsed that number with 97 points scored.

Baylor’s game this week at Oklahoma State will be a difficult one to set for the oddsmakers. The Bears need style points to jump in the BCS standings, currently sitting No. 4 in the rankings. They’ve scored 63 points or more in six of their nine games and 59 points or more in seven games. They’ve scored 35 points or more in every game this season.

Everybody knows about the Baylor offense, but their defense has gone unnoticed. The Bears have held six of their nine opponents to 14 points or less. Oklahoma State has the reputation of a high-powered offense under Mike Gundy but the Cowboys’ strength this season has been their defense. They’ve held five opponents to 13 points or less.

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Beyond the BCS: Big profits from NCAAF small conferences
By DOC'S SPORTS

Some of the best betting value in college football is hiding beyond the BCS, in the small conferences. Each week, Covers Experts’ Doc’s Sports will look at the little programs that could help you make big cash this college season.

Team to watch: East Carolina Pirates (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS)

This week: -6.5 at North Carolina State

East Carolina has to be feeling good about itself at 8-2, which includes a current four-game winning streak in which it is beating opponents by an average of 36.25 points. It has to be feeling even better about getting to play North Carolina State Saturday.

The Wolfpack are 3-7 and one loss to Maryland away from their first winless ACC season since 1959. Don’t be fooled by N.C. State’s decent-looking pass defense (209.7 yards per game), which is going up against the strength of East Carolina (341.2 yards per game). The team is often getting blown out by halftime, at which point opponents resort to keeping the ball on the ground.

Quarterback Brandon Mitchell missed his sixth game of the season in last week’s loss to Boston College and the Wolfpack used three different signal-callers in his absence. Defensive tackle A.J. Ferguson is also questionable for NCSU with an undisclosed injury.

Team to beware: San Diego State Aztecs (6-4 SU, 5-5 ATS)

This week: +7 vs. Boise State

San Diego State has won three in a row but it has won those games by an average of 5.3 points, despite playing two of the three worst teams in the Mountain West Conference in Hawaii and New Mexico. Starting safety Gabe Lemon is likely still out with a neck stinger. Defensive tackle Sam Meredith returned last week from missing two games with a torn right labrum, but he is far from 100 percent.

Boise State is faring just fine without quarterback Joe Southwick, who suffered a broken ankle on Oct. 19. In his first two games, replacement Grant Hedrick threw one touchdown and two interceptions. In his last two, however, he tossed eight scores compared to only one pick in wins over Colorado State and Wyoming.

Total team: Wyoming Cowboys (4-6 SU, 5-5 O/U)

This week: 62 vs. Hawaii

After allowing 23 points or fewer in three of its first four games, Wyoming has given up at least 31 points in each of its last six, including at least 48 points in four straight contests. The Cowboys moved from a 4-3 defensive scheme to a 3-4 and they rarely bring more than the minimum number of pass rushers while basically refusing to play press coverage on wide receivers at the line of scrimmage.

They are facing Hawaii running back Joey Iosefa, who has 72 carries for 341 yards and two touchdowns in his past two outings. The good news is that Hawaii’s run defense (201.4 ypg) is almost as bad as Wyoming’s (236.3). Wyoming is averaging 196 rushing yards per game. This has shootout written all over it.

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Exposing the Top 25: Where the polls went wrong
By JESSE SCHULE

Each week throughout the college football season, Covers Expert Jesse Schule will dissect the new Top 25 rankings, looking for betting value. He'll showcase the most overrated team, along with the most underrated ranked team, and an unranked squad that he feels should be in the Top 25.

Most underrated Top 25 team: Stanford Cardinal (8-2 SU, 5-5 ATS)

The Stanford Cardinal have dropped in the rankings after a loss on the road to USC this week. They've now lost twice on the road to unranked opponents, but the Cardinal are still the only team in the past two years that have beaten the Oregon Ducks.

They finish up the season with home games against Pac-12 rivals Cal this week, and Notre Dame the following Saturday. Stanford's defense is again one of the top 20 in the nation, allowing fewer than 20 points per game and they've put up those numbers playing five of their 10 games against Top 25 teams.

Most overrated Top 25 team: Auburn Tigers (10-1 SU, 9-2 ATS)

The Tigers have had a fantastic season and there’s no doubt that they deserve to be ranked in the Top 25, but I'm not convinced they can compete with the nation's best. We'll find out in two weeks time when they host Alabama in their final game of the season.

It was a last-second, desperation pass for a 73-yard touchdown that saw them come from behind and beat Georgia Saturday. That miracle results in a move into the Top 5, instead of falling out of the Top 10.

Unranked team that should be ranked: UL Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns (8-2 SU, 4-6 ATS)

The Ragin' Cajuns lost their first two games of the season on the road at Kansas State and Arkansas, but they've since gone on to win eight straight. They will be a significant favorite in each of their final two games, at home against ULM in two weeks time and at South Alabama in the first week of December.

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Football lines that make you go hmmm...
By JASON LOGAN

Pop quiz hot shot.

What game has the higher total: Baylor at Oklahoma State or Indiana at Ohio State?

Without even thinking, most football bettor’s minds would instinctively say the Over/Under for a Big 12 shootout would trump a Big Ten total any Saturday of the year. But here we are.

The Hoosiers and Buckeyes have stirred up an 81-point number for their clash in Columbus Saturday, eclipsing the 78-point O/U for BU-OSU in Stillwater and making for one very uncharacteristic Big Ten total.

A lofty number seems deserved. Indiana has been a score first, play defense later – or never – kind of team all season, averaging more than 39 points for and nearly 39 against. The Hoosiers faced a 79.5-point total versus Illinois and blew that bad boy away, downing the Illini 52-35 in Week 11.

The Buckeyes come in needing to impress the BCS pollsters and with a weak non-conference slate and soft Big Ten table, Ohio State’s only hope of sneaking into the national title game is to kick the living hell out of its remaining opponents – Indiana and rival Michigan.

The Buckeyes and Hoosiers have a combined Over/Under count of 15-5 O/U on the season (Baylor and Oklahoma State are only a combined 10-8-1 O/U), so before you go making assumptions about grind-it-out, slow-it-down, boring Big Ten football you may want to give this Saturday’s total a doubletake.

NCAAF

Duke Blue Devils at Wake Forest Demon Deacons (+5)

If you’re a Duke football player, you’ve got to hate it when basketball season starts in Durham.

No longer are your parties packed with hot co-eds and gushing fanboys. And don’t even think about using your pigskin status to land a free lunch at the local greasy spoon. Those seats are reserved for Blue Devils ballers like Jabari Parker.

Hoops rules at Duke and oddsmakers seem to be in the same vein this weekend, setting the football Dukies as 5-point favorites on the road at Wake Forest.

The Blue Devils have been one of the best under-the-radar teams in college football, building an 8-2 SU and ATS record. Duke has taken down ACC gatekeepers like Miami and Virginia Tech, earned the No. 25 billing in the AP poll and should be getting more respect than everyone’s favorite “WTF” line – five points when it takes on woeful Wake Saturday.

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NCAA Football Game Picks

SATURDAY, NOVEMBER 23 Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (11/21)

Game 117-118: Nebraska at Penn State (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 90.642; Penn State 94.703 Dunkel Line: Penn State by 4; 46 Vegas Line: Penn State by 1 1/2; 50 Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-1 1/2); Under

Game 119-120: Illinois at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 81.825; Purdue 72.031 Dunkel Line: Illinois by 10; 52 Vegas Line: Illinois by 6 1/2; 56 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Illinois (-6 1/2); Under

Game 121-122: Pittsburgh at Syracuse (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 84.689; Syracuse 91.788 Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 7; 54 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 49 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+1); Over

Game 123-124: Connecticut at Temple (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 64.415; Temple 81.137 Dunkel Line: Temple by 16 1/2; 46 Vegas Line: Temple by 8; 50 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Temple (-8); Under

Game 125-126: Indiana at Ohio State (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 91.747; Ohio State 115.081 Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 23 1/2; 86 Vegas Line: Ohio State by 35; 81 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+35); Over

Game 127-128: Michigan State at Northwestern (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 106.465; Northwestern 90.005 Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 16 1/2; 37 Vegas Line: Michigan State by 7; 41 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-7); Under

Game 129-130: East Carolina at NC State (12:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 87.542; NC State 85.653 Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 2; 59 Vegas Line: East Carolina by 6 1/2; 55 Dunkel Pick: NC State (+6 1/2); Over

Game 131-132: Idaho at Florida State (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 54.791; Florida State 131.076 Dunkel Line: Florida State by 76 1/2; 77 Vegas Line: Florida State by 57; 69 Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-57); Over

Game 133-134: Marshall at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Marshall 83.088; Florida International 61.484 Dunkel Line: Marshall by 21 1/2; 52 Vegas Line: Marshall by 33; 55 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida International (+33); Under

Game 135-136: Kentucky at Georgia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 78.273; Georgia 104.091 Dunkel Line: Georgia by 26; 57 Vegas Line: Georgia by 23 1/2; 63 Dunkel Pick: Georgia (-23 1/2); Under

Game 137-138: Kansas at Iowa State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 81.614; Iowa State 76.643 Dunkel Line: Kansas by 5; 50 Vegas Line: Iowa State by 5 1/2; 45 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+5 1/2); Over

Game 139-140: Duke at Wake Forest (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duke 94.762; Wake Forest 82.944 Dunkel Line: Duke by 12; 45 Vegas Line: Duke by 4 1/2; 49 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Duke (-4 1/2); Under

Game 141-142: Boston College at Maryland (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 85.349; Maryland 81.374 Dunkel Line: Boston College by 4; 60 Vegas Line: Maryland by 1; 54 Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+1); Over

Game 143-144: Wisconsin at Minnesota (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 114.357; Minnesota 96.116 Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 18; 46 Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 16 1/2; 50 Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (-16 1/2); Under

Game 145-146: Virginia at Miami (FL) (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 80.655; Miami (FL) 87.791 Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 7; 63 Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 20 1/2; 58 Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+20 1/2); Over

Game 147-148: Cincinnati at Houston (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 84.715; Houston 97.650 Dunkel Line: Houston by 13; 52 Vegas Line: Houston by 4; 58 Dunkel Pick: Houston (-4); Under

Game 149-150: Memphis at Louisville (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 78.824; Louisville 99.586 Dunkel Line: Louisville by 21; 48 Vegas Line: Louisville by 24 1/2; 43 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+24 1/2); Over

Game 151-152: Vanderbilt at Tennessee (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 96.312; Tennessee 87.951 Dunkel Line: Vanderbilt by 8 1/2; 59 Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 53 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+3); Over

Game 153-154: Massachusetts at Central Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 57.443; Central Michigan 74.550 Dunkel Line: Central Michigan by 17; 42 Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 10; 47 Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (-10); Under

Game 155-156: Bowling Green at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 93.860; Eastern Michigan 56.556 Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 37 1/2; 52 Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 24; 56 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-24); Under

Game 157-158: Hawaii at Wyoming (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 70.534; Wyoming 67.215 Dunkel Line: Hawaii by 3 1/2; 66 Vegas Line: Wyoming by 6; 61 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+6); Over

Game 159-160: Western Kentucky at Texas State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Kentucky 75.442; Texas State 69.410 Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 6; 57 Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 4; 50 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-4); Over

Game 161-162: Michigan at Iowa (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 95.195; Iowa 94.696 Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1; 50 Vegas Line: Iowa by 6; 46 Dunkel Pick: Michigan (+6); Over

Game 163-164: Arizona State at UCLA (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona State 107.187; UCLA 108.122 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 1; 66 Vegas Line: Arizona State by 2 1/2; 61 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UCLA (+2 1/2); Over

Game 165-166: Colorado State at Utah State (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 85.372; Utah State 100.088 Dunkel Line: Utah State by 14 1/2; 53 Vegas Line: Utah State by 8 1/2; 58 Dunkel Pick: Utah State (-8 1/2); Under

Game 167-168: USC at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: USC 109.543; Colorado 72.949 Dunkel Line: USC by 36 1/2; 50 Vegas Line: USC by 22; 54 Dunkel Pick: USC (-22); Under

Game 169-170: Texas A&M at LSU (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 106.904; LSU 104.737 Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 2; 76 Vegas Line: LSU by 4 1/2; 71 Dunkel Pick: Texas A&M (+4 1/2); Over

Game 171-172: Mississippi State vs. Arkansas (12:21 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 93.517; Arkansas 79.997 Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 13 1/2; 47 Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 1 1/2; 50 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-1 1/2); Under

Game 173-174: Oregon at Arizona (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 116.254; Arizona 98.769 Dunkel Line: Oregon by 17 1/2; 72 Vegas Line: Oregon by 21; 67 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+21); Over

Game 175-176: UTEP at Tulane (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 61.850; Tulane 76.185 Dunkel Line: Tulane by 14 1/2; 55 Vegas Line: Tulane by 17 1/2; 49 Dunkel Pick: UTEP (+17 1/2); Over

Game 177-178: California at Stanford (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: California 71.598; Stanford 116.403 Dunkel Line: Stanford by 45; 50 Vegas Line: Stanford by 31 1/2; 56 Dunkel Pick: Stanford (-31 1/2); Under

Game 179-180: TX-San Antonio at North Texas (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 73.694; North Texas 90.857 Dunkel Line: North Texas by 17; 52 Vegas Line: North Texas by 7; 49 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Texas (-7); Under

Game 181-182: BYU at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: BYU 101.765; Notre Dame 103.267 Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 1 1/2; 58 Vegas Line: BYU by 1; 54 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (+1); Over

Game 183-184: Baylor at Oklahoma State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 119.654; Oklahoma State 113.096 Dunkel Line: Baylor by 6 1/2; 83 Vegas Line: Baylor by 10; 78 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (+10); Over

Game 185-186: Middle Tennessee State at Southern Mississippi (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 78.843; Southern Mississippi 51.744 Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 27; 49 Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 23; 55 Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-23); Under

Game 187-188: Georgia State at Arkansas State (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 56.695; Arkansas State 88.546 Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 32; 52 Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 23 1/2; 57 Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (-23 1/2); Under

Game 189-190: Washington at Oregon State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 98.866; Oregon State 98.110 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 68 Vegas Line: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 191-192: UL-Monroe at South Alabama (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 78.172; South Alabama 74.003 Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 4; 60 Vegas Line: South Alabama by 3 1/2; 56 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (+3 1/2); Over

Game 193-194: SMU at South Florida (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: SMU 81.762; South Florida 73.284 Dunkel Line: SMU by 8 1/2; 52 Vegas Line: SMU by 4; 56 Dunkel Pick: SMU (-4); Under

Game 195-196: New Mexico at Fresno State (4:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 70.264; Fresno State 97.549 Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 27 1/2; 63 Vegas Line: Fresno State by 32; 66 Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (+32); Under

Game 197-198: New Mexico State at Florida Atlantic (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 53.043; Florida Atlantic 84.514 Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 31 1/2; 61 Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 22; 55 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-22); Over

Game 199-200: Tulsa at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 69.268; Louisiana Tech 67.987 Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1 1/2; 50 Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2; 54 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+3 1/2); Under

Game 201-202: Oklahoma at Kansas State (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 97.514; Kansas State 105.918 Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 8 1/2; 58 Vegas Line: Kansas State by 4 1/2; 54 Dunkel Pick: Kansas State (-4 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: Missouri at Mississippi (7:45 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Missouri 108.460; Mississippi 101.307 Dunkel Line: Missouri by 7; 53 Vegas Line: Missouri by 2 1/2; 57 Dunkel Pick: Missouri (-2 1/2); Under

Game 205-206: Utah at Washington State (3:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Utah 96.063; Washington State 88.492 Dunkel Line: Utah by 7 1/2; 59 Vegas Line: Washington State by 1 1/2; 53 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (+1 1/2); Over

Game 207-208: Boise State at San Diego State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 91.228; San Diego State 87.128 Dunkel Line: Boise State by 4; 62 Vegas Line: Boise State by 7; 57 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (+7); Over

OTHER MAJOR GAMES: Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (11/21)

Game 241-242: Chattanooga at Alabama (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chattanooga 65.989; Alabama 119.785 Dunkel Line: Alabama by 54 Vegas Line: Alabama by 49 Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-49)

Game 243-244: The Citadel at Clemson (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: The Citadel 65.736; Clemson 111.317 Dunkel Line: Clemson by 45 1/2 Vegas Line: Clemson by 39 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Clemson (-39 1/2)

Game 245-246: Coastal Carolina at South Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Coastal Carolina 68.286; South Carolina 105.354 Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 37 Vegas Line: South Carolina by 34 1/2 Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (-34 1/2)

Game 247-248: Georgia Southern at Florida (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Southern 60.913; Florida 93.126 Dunkel Line: Florida by 32 Vegas Line: Florida by 27 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Florida (-27 1/2)

Game 249-250: Alabama A&M at Georgia Tech (1:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Alabama A&M 41.842; Georgia Tech 98.067 Dunkel Line: Georgia Tech by 56 Vegas Line: Georgia Tech by 51 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (-51 1/2)

Game 251-252: Old Dominion at North Carolina (12:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 74.675; North Carolina 88.690 Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 14 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 17 Dunkel Pick: Old Dominion (+17)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Factsman Saturday ncaaf
Miami Fl vs. Uva over 58

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Dr. Bob

3 Hawaii
3 Utah St.

2 Ole Miss

SD State
Iowa

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Wunderdog Sports Free Pick


Game: California at Stanford (Saturday 11/23 4:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Stanford -31.5 (-105) at 5dimes

This is a huge rivalry game, and everyone has seen the dramatic finish from years ago of the band on the field and the result in probably one of the most seen finishes in CFB history. California, however, brings little if anything to the table for this rivalry game, while Stanford is one of the top teams in the country. The Cardinal was once again the first to knock off Oregon, and slipped last week by three to an up-and-coming USC team. They will be in an ornery mood here, and the nature of this game is such that there will absolutely be no letdown. That bodes poorly for a Cal team that has already suffered punishing losses by 28, 39, 32, and 34 points this season. And now they catch an elite Stanford team in a bad mood with no mercy against its arch rival. Lay the points and play on Stanford.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Scott Spreitzer's 2013 COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR! *Early Sat. Kick!* (13-4 Lifetime)!
I'm laying the points with Iowa on Saturday. The Michigan Wolverines certainly aren't a "dead" team. After all, they are Michigan. But after last week's OT win over Northwestern, they're a struggling team in a horrible situation. The Wolverines' offense is having trouble kicking things into gear. Not only is the offensive line a mess, allowing 19 sacks over the last three three games, but OC Al Borges' play-calling has left a lot to be desired (see the Nebraska game, especially). In fact, only 8 of Michigan's last 38 drives have gained more than 44 yards. It's hard to imagine the Michigan offense finding its rhythm against an Iowa defense that ranks 9th in total yards allowed per game, 25th against the run, and 12th against both the pass and in points allowed per game. Last weekend, the Wolverines two regulation scoring drives (2 FGs) against Northwestern consisted of just 44 yards and 29 yards. Defensively, Michigan has been pushed around by opposing ground games the last four weeks. Michigan State's Jeremy Langford, Nebraska's Ameer Abdullah, Northwestern's Kain Coulter, and Indiana's Coleman & Roberson combined for 431 yards on 94 carries against the Wolverines an average of 4.6 yards per carry. Iowa's ground game has seen multiple stars over the last several weeks, including Jordan Canzeri, Damon Bullock, and Mark Weisman, all running well at one point or another. Iowa is bowl eligible and have played well for most of the last four games. The Hawkeyes even gave 3rd ranked Ohio State all they could handle in Columbus. Bullock & Weisman combined for 108 yards on 20 carries and QB Jake Rudock finished with 245 yards passing, 3 TDs, and just 1 INT. The Hawkeyes led Ohio State at halftime and the teams were tied at 24 through three quarters. We should note that while Michigan's offensive line is giving up sack-after-sack, Iowa's offensive line didn't allow a single sack against Ohio State. This is a team that's still flying under the public radar. As far as the "techs" are concerned, the Wolverines are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 November games. They're 5-12-1 ATS in their last 18 road games against teams with a winning home record and they're 1-11 ATS off a SU road win as an underdog. Meanwhile, under Kirk Ferentz, the last 14 times Iowa has been home chalk of more than a FG and up to 7 points, they have out-scored the opposition by an average of 32-17. They're 14-4 ATS the last 18 times at home off a win by 21 or more points...average final score: 32-12. And finally, CFB teams are 27-5 ATS as a favorite of 3 1/2 to 10 points, provided they're coming off a double-digit road win and their opponent is also off a road win. And then there's a little "oh by the way." Michigan has the big one up next, the rivalry matchup with Ohio State. The matchups in this one, the angles, and scheduling situation all favor Iowa...and so do I. I'm laying the points with Iowa, my CFB Game of the Year. Thanks & GL! - Scott Spreitzer.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Edwards 20 UCLA + pts

[Can'tPickAWinner]

From This Week's PLATINUM SHEET
STATFOX FORECASTER

TEXAS A&M (169) AT LSU (170)
Latest Line: LSU -4.5; Total: 70.5

A year ago, LSU got the best of Johnny Football. The Tigers went into College Station and beat A&M 24-19, forcing five turnovers, including three Manziel INTs, and holding the Aggies to 410 yards of offense. Manziel was also just 29-for-56 for 276 yards. A&M is actually unbeaten on the road in the Manziel era, going 9-0 SU (5-4 ATS) in road and neutral field games. LSU has failed to cover in its last three games. The Tigers allowed 65 points total in their last two SEC games, losses to Ole Miss and Alabama.
FORECASTER: LSU 45, Texas A&M 38

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eck Man/Ben lee/The Chalk man

8-2 last week

68-49

Central Fla

Ohio St
Minny
Mich st
Lsu
Arizona
Cal
Arizna St
Missouri
Ok st

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Hondo

22-14

Ucf-winner

Mich st
Pitt

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Phil Steele (Steele Trap)
1-1 last week
11-12-1

Wisky - 16 1/2

Lsu - 4 1/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Afternoon action

The Citadel Bulldogs at Clemson Tigers (-40.5, 69.5)

Tajh Boyd’s services might not be required long but the Clemson quarterback plans to play when the No. 6 Tigers host The Citadel on Saturday. Boyd left the Nov. 14 victory over Georgia Tech with a collarbone injury and the senior who is three touchdown passes shy of 100 has pronounced himself fit to play in the final home game of his standout career. The FCS Bulldogs have won three straight games and last beat Clemson in 1931.

The Bulldogs run the ball a lot in their triple-option attack and average 282.1 on the ground with quarterback Ben Dupree (939 yards, 18 touchdowns) and running back Darien Robinson (921 and seven) closing in on 1,000-yard seasons. The passing game is virtually non-existent at an average of 91.4 yards and nobody on the roster has even 200 receiving yards.

LINE: Clemson comes in as a 40.5-point favorite, with the total at 69.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with a 47 percent chance of rain.
TRENDS:

* Bulldogs are 2-3 on the road.
* Over is 7-3 in Tigers' last 10 games.
* Clemson is 5-5 ATS.

Michigan State Spartans at Northwestern Wildcats (+7, 41.5)

Michigan State's Aaron Burbridge is healthy but it appears he’ll have to earn his way back into the rotation of what has become a deep group of wide receivers. Burbridge was on the preseason Biletnikoff Award watch list but got off to a slow start and then a hamstring injury Oct. 19 put him on the shelf the last three games. Wide receivers Bennie Fowler and Tony Lippett have stepped up their production and contributed to the winning streak.

A closer look at the six-game losing streak shows that the Wildcats have dropped two contests in overtime and two others by three points. They still have a shot at becoming bowl eligible for a seventh straight season, but need to start with a mistake-free game against the Spartans. Northwestern has been pretty good at taking advantage of opponents’ mistakes, leading the Big Ten in forcing turnovers (22).

LINE: The Spartans opened -7.5, but the line has been bet down a half-point. The total has held at 41.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-20s with wind blowing diagonally out of the NW at 19 mph.
TRENDS:

* Spartans are 6-1 ATS in their last seven conference games.
* Wildcats are 1-7 ATS in their last eight games.
* Road team is 11-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

Oklahoma Sooners at Kansas State Wildcats (-5, 54)

Oklahoma quarterback Trevor Knight was solid in relief of Bell (undisclosed injury) last week while sophomore Kendal Thompson saw his first action late in the 48-10 win against Iowa State. Knight, who started the first two games of the season, had 123 rushing yards in the win. The Sooners are second in the Big 12 with 236.4 rushing yards and are ranked No. 13 nationally in total defense, allowing 326.5 yards.

The Wildcats are averaging 39.5 points and are plus-6 in turnovers during their win streak. Quarterbacks Jake Waters (111-of-183 for 1,690 yards, 10 touchdowns and six interceptions) and Daniel Sams (team-high 784 rushing yards and 11 TDs) have both appeared in all 10 games. Kansas State will likely be without senior safety Ty Zimmerman (ankle), who missed the last two games last season with a similar injury.
LINE: The Wildcats are 5-point faves after opening as low as -3. The total has dropped a half-point to 54.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-20s with sunny skies and wind blowing across the length of the field at 12 mph.
TRENDS:

* Sooners are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win.
* Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their last six games.
* Over is 5-1 in Oklahoma's last six November games.

Memphis Tigers at Louisville Cardinals (-23.5, 43)

Among a handful of standout defenders for coach Justin Fuente is cornerback Bobby McCain, who had three interceptions against South Florida to tie a school record and set the AAC mark. Junior defensive lineman Martin Ifedi added a pair of sacks and needs just two more to tie the team's all-time career mark of 21. The Tigers' six losses have come by an average of 8.5 points.

Mentioned in Heisman Award conversations earlier in the year, quarterback Teddy Bridgewater's season has plateaued a bit. He has just one touchdown and one interception in his last two games, during which the junior has averaged 245.5 passing yards, and had his string of 21 straight games with a touchdown pass snapped in the win over Houston.

LINE: Louisville opened as a 24.5-point favorite, but the line has dropped by one. The total is currently 43.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with wind blowing diagonally out of the NW at 13 mph.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 9-1-2 ATS in their last 12 November games.
* Cardinals are 0-5 ATS in their last five games following a SU win.
* Under is 7-2 in Memphis' last nine games.

Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at South Carolina Gamecocks (-34.5, 70)

The Chanticleers average 45.5 points and 512.5 yards and have committed just nine turnovers (six interceptions, three fumbles). Lorenzo Taliaferro is one of the top backs at the FCS level and has rushed for 1,466 yards and 23 touchdowns, while quarterback Alex Ross has thrown for 2,282 yards and 17 touchdowns. Defensively, Coastal Carolina allows 25.5 points and 417.1 yards and is led by linebacker Quinn Backus (108 tackles, three interceptions).

Shon Carson was terrific with a career-best 102 rushing yards against Florida last Saturday and is averaging 4.6 yards on 47 carries. Quarterback Connor Shaw has 19 TD passes against just one interception. Defensive end Kelcy Quarles has posted a team-best seven sacks while the more heralded Jadeveon Clowney has just two sacks and 8.5 tackles for losses after receiving preseason hype as the rare defensive Heisman Trophy candidate.

LINE: South Carolina is a 34.5-point fave with the total set at 70.
WEATHER: Rain is in the forecast with temperatures in the high-60s.
TRENDS:

* Chanticleers are 4-1 on the road.
* Gamecocks are 4-6 ATS.
* Over is 4-2 in South Carolina's last six games.

Chattanooga Mocs at Alabama Crimson Tide (-49, 52.5)

Quarterback Jacob Huesman is a multipurpose threat, passing for 16 touchdowns against five interceptions and adding 894 rushing yards and nine scores. Keon Williams (687 yards) hopes to return from a three-game absence due to an ankle injury to further spruce up a ground game that averages 223.3 yards. The Moccasins have two standout defenders in linebacker Wes Dothard (81 tackles) and defensive end Davis Tull (nine sacks).

Quarterback AJ McCarron threw two of his five interceptions in the contest against Mississippi State but has mostly performed well with 2,228 yards and 21 touchdown passes. T.J. Yeldon rushed for a career-high 160 yards to raise his season output to 1,022 but also coughed up a fumble against the Bulldogs while Kenyan Drake (584 yards, 7.6 average) continues to be a strong complement. The Crimson Tide lead the nation in scoring defense (10.2).

LINE: The Crimson Tide are 49-point faves, with a total of 52.5 listed at some books.
WEATHER: There is a 39 percent chance of showers and wind blowing across the length of the field at 11 mph.
TRENDS:

* Mocs are 3-2 on the road.
* Crimson Tide are 6-4 ATS.
* Under is 1-3-1 in Alabama's last five games.

Idaho Vandals at Florida State Seminoles (-57, 68)

Receiver Dezmon Epps has been the bright spot of another dreary season for the Vandals. The junior has 66 receptions for 811 yards and is coming off a big performance against Old Dominion in which he accumulated a career-high 175 yards on nine receptions. Idaho is often outmatched defensively – allowing 45.7 points and 531.5 yards per game – but the unit has received solid play from defensive tackle QuayShawne Buckley, who has 12 tackles for loss.

The Seminoles are led by Winston but the defense has also been excellent, ranking third nationally in scoring defense (11.1) and fourth in total defense (271.4). Outside linebacker Telvin Smith has a team-leading 68 tackles and has recorded 7.5 stops for losses and cornerback Lamarcus Joyner has 51 tackles, five sacks, three forced fumbles and an interception.

LINE: The Seminoles are a whopping 57-point favorite after opening at -56. The total has dropped from 69.5 to 68.
WEATHER: There's a 22 percent chance of rain with wind blowing across the length of the field at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Vandals are 5-17 ATS in their last 22 non-conference games.
* Seminoles are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games on grass.
* Over is 8-0 in Florida State's last eight games following an ATS win.

Indiana Hoosiers at Ohio State Buckeyes (-34.5, 81)

The Hoosiers need to win their final two games against Ohio State and Purdue to become bowl eligible. Indiana, which has scored a school single-season record 52 touchdowns, had scored 28-or-more points in 10 straight games before the streak came to a halt last week at chilly and rainy Wisconsin. Sophomore QB Nate Sudfeld has thrown for 2,281 yards and a Big Ten-best 19 touchdowns.

The Buckeyes lead the Big Ten and rank fourth nationally in rushing with an average of 315.1 yards and are coming off a season-best 441 yards on the ground in a 60-35 victory at Illinois last week. Senior RB Carlos Hyde has rushed for 821 yards and 11 touchdowns over the last five games and needs 53 more yards to hit the 1,000-yard mark for the season.

LINE: After opening as low as -31, the Buckeyes have been bet up to a 34.5-point fave. The total is set at 81.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-30s with wind blowing across the width of the field at 13 mph.
TRENDS:

* Hoosiers are 1-5 ATS in their last six November games.
* Buckeyes are 10-2-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a SU win.
* Favorite is 6-2 ATS in the last eight meetings.

Oregon Ducks at Arizona Wildcats (+20.5, 67.5)

Oregon's top six rushers on the season are all averaging at least 6.5 yards per carry and are led by Byron Marshall, who has 152 rushes for 991 yards and 14 scores. Quarterback Marcus Mariota could find his way to the Heisman Trophy ceremony next month, as his ratio of 25 touchdowns to zero interceptions is pretty eye-catching, not to mention his 477 rushing yards and nine scores.

The Wildcats have had a streaky year, winning their first three games followed by a two-game losing streak, a three-game winning streak and now another two-game skid. In addition to standout back Ka'Deem Carey, Arizona also can run the ball with quarterback B.J. Denker, whose 709 rushing yards are a Wildcats single-season record. On the defensive side of the ball, linebacker Scooby Wright leads the team with 70 tackles.

LINE: Oregon opened as a 17.5-point fave, but the line has since been bet up to 20.5. The total is up a half-point to 67.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with a 70 percent chance of showers or thunderstorms.
TRENDS:

* Ducks are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
* Wildcats are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 November games.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.

Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers (+16.5, 50)

To say that the Badgers ground game is clicking right now would be a woeful understatement. Three individual rushers topped 100 yards and the team amassed 554 yards on the ground - the second-highest total in team history - in the rout of the Hoosiers. The tandem of Melvin Gordon (1,306 yards) and James White (1,156) gives Wisconsin the status as the only FBS team with multiple players over the 1,000-yard mark.

The Gophers also have utilized the ground game for recent success, climbing to 20th in FBS play in rushing yards per game at 218.5 (Wisconsin is sixth at 307.9). David Cobb's emergence has been the catalyst, as the unheralded running back has recorded four straight 100-yard rushing efforts and has 405 total yards in his last two contests.

LINE: Wisconsin is a 16.5-point fave after opening at -14.5. The total is steady at 50.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-teens with sunny skies and wind blowing diagonally out of the NW at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Badgers are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 games.
* Gophers are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 November games.
* Under is 4-0-1 in Minnesota's last five games following a bye week.

Texas A&M Aggies at LSU Tigers (-4.5, 71)

The Aggies' offense has been unstoppable, topping 40 points in 13 consecutive games and going over 500 total yards in nine straight. The catalyst, of course, is reigning Heisman Trophy winner Johnny Manziel, who leads the nation in completion percentage (73), ranks second in total offense (3,924) and ranks third in passer efficiency (186.86).

The Tigers are far more balanced than the Aggies, if not nearly as explosive. Quarterback Zach Mettenberger (2,733 passing yards, 20 TDs) is nursing a sore ankle but is expected to play and needs 93 passing yards to pass Matt Mauck for third on LSU's single-season list. The defense had its share of struggles early in the season but has rounded into form - especially against the pass - and allows just 14.6 points per game at home.

LINE: LSU is installed as a 4.5-point fave, down from -4. The total is set at 71.
WEATHER: Persistent rain is expected with wind blowing across the length of the field at 12 mph.
TRENDS:

* Aggies are 0-6 ATS in their last six games following a bye week.
* Tigers are 2-5-1 ATS in their last eight conference games.
* Over is 8-2 in LSU's last 10 games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Saturday's NCAAF Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Evening action

New Mexico Lobos at Fresno State Bulldogs (-31.5, 66)

The Lobos' triple-option offense will be hard-pressed to make up for the loss of Gautsche and Carrier, who have rushed for 777 yards and 1,122 yards, respectively, to key the second-ranked attack in the nation in rushing average at 323.8 yards per game. The Lobos will likely have to rely more on Mitchem's stronger arm - a concern for Fresno State defensive coordinator Nick Toth.

The Bulldogs are off to their best start since 1989 as one of only six FBS teams still unbeaten this season. Fresno State can clinch the West Division of the MVC by beating the Lobos for the fourth year in a row. Expect Carr to again look for sophomore Davante Adams, who has been his favorite receiver this season with 91 catches for 967 yards and 15 touchdowns to lead the nation in scoring receptions.

LINE: Fresno State is a 31.5-point fave after opening -31. The total has risen one point to 66.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s with partly cloudy skies.
TRENDS:

* Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following an ATS loss.
* Bulldogs are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.
* Over is 6-1 in Fresno State's last seven games following a bye week.

California Golden Bears at Stanford Cardinal (-31.5, 56)

A crippling loss to USC last week has left No. 12 Stanford reeling as they look to secure a berth in one of the major BCS bowls. That could mean a long Saturday afternoon for the California Golden Bears as they look to end their nine-game losing skid against a Cardinal team that will be out for points in the 116th edition of The Big Game. The Golden Bears have approached 200 rushing yards in consecutive games.

The Cardinal attack centers around senior running back Tyler Gaffney, who was sensational in defeat against USC with 158 rushing yards and a pair of scores. That marked his fifth consecutive 100-yard effort and he has scored on the ground in six straight games. More importantly, his 1,201 yards on the season leave him 194 shy of the single-season school record set in 2009 by Toby Gerhart, now a member of the Minnesota Vikings.

LINE: Stanford is favored by 31.5 after opening at -30.5. The total has held at 56.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-60s under clear skies.
TRENDS:

* Golden Bears are 3-13 ATS in their last 16 games following an ATS loss.
* Cardinal are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight games vs. teams with losing records.
* Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last four meetings.

Arizona State Sun Devils at UCLA Bruins (+2.5, 61.5)

With two touchdowns in the win over Oregon State, Marion Grice became the 15th player in the conference since 1978 to score at least 20 touchdowns in a season and is two shy of tying the school record of 22. Robert Nelson was named Pac-12 Defensive Player of the Week after collecting two of the Sun Devils’ four interceptions against the Beavers, giving him six for the season.

Linebacker Myles Jack remained a two-way standout in the win, following up his 120-yard debut at running back in a Nov. 9 win against Washington with four rushing touchdowns against Washington to set a Bruins freshman record. In addition to becoming the 13th UCLA player to score at least four rushing TDs in a game, Jack added five tackles against the Huskies.

LINE: Arizona State is installed as a 2.5-point fave, with the total down a half-point to 61.5.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with wind blowing diagonally out of the NE at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Sun Devils are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 November games.
* Bruins are 6-1 ATS in their last seven games following a SU win.
* Over is 7-1 in UCLA's last November games.

Missouri Tigers at Mississippi Rebels (+2.5, 58)

Franklin, who was completing 67.7 percent of his passes before the injury, missed four starts with a sprained throwing shoulder. L'Damian Washington and Green-Beckham each have nine touchdown catches after Green-Beckham set a school record with four TDs against Kentucky. Michael Sam has a conference-best 10 sacks and the Tigers, who have forced a turnover in 40 straight games, lead the league with 17 interceptions.

The Rebels' starting corners - 5-9 Senquez Golson and 5-8 Mike Hilton - will have their hands full trying to slow Missouri's big receivers. Running back Jeff Scott (488 yards, two touchdowns) returned last week after missing three games because of a bone spur. Bo Wallace (2,664 passing yards and 232 rushing yards) ranks third in the SEC in total offense (289.6 yards per game) and has 17 passing touchdowns and four on the ground.

LINE: Missouri opened as a 3-point fave, but the line has been bet down a half-point. The total is set at 58.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-40s with wind blowing diagonally out of the N at 7 mph.
TRENDS:

* Tigers are 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
* Rebels are 4-12 ATS in their last 16 November games.
* Over is 8-2 in Mississippi's last 10 home games.

Baylor Bears at Oklahoma State Cowboys (+9.5, 78)

Despite the absences of their top two running backs on the depth chart (Lache Seastrunk and Glasco Martin) as well as their second-leading receiver (Tevin Reese), the Bears still amassed 63 points and 675 total yards in last Saturday’s 63-34 win over Texas Tech. Baylor, which is averaging 300.3 yards rushing and 384.4 yards passing, could become the first FBS team ever to average over 300 yards in both categories.

One week after collecting the Big 12 Special Teams Player of the Week award for his 100-yard kickoff return touchdown versus Kansas, Cowboys cornerback Justin Gilbert took home the league’s defensive award after intercepting two passes and returning one for another score against Texas. Gilbert is the conference’s all-time leader in kickoff return touchdowns with six and needs one more to tie the NCAA career record.

LINE: Baylor is a 9.5-point fave, down from a 10.5-point open. The total is holding at 78.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-30s with wind blowing across the width of the field at 6 mph.
TRENDS:

* Bears are 8-0 ATS in their last eight November games.
* Cowboys are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 home games.
* Home team is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

USC Trojans at Colorado Buffaloes (+22.5, 54)

The Trojans intercepted two passes in the fourth quarter - including one by Dion Bailey at the USC 6-yard line with the game tied at 17 - while holding Stanford to a season low for points. Sophomore Cody Kessler (64.7 completion rate, 13 touchdowns, six interceptions) has done a solid job managing the offense while throwing only two picks in his last six games.

Freshman quarterback Sefo Liufau had a career day last week with 364 yards and three touchdowns against one of the worst defenses in the country, and was quick to credit Paul Richardson and Nelson Spruce. “Those two are just so good that it definitely makes things easier for me,'' Liafau said of the receiving tandem, which combined for 19 receptions and recorded 140 yards apiece.

LINE: USC is installed as a 22.5-point fave, with the total set at 54.
WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-20s with partly cloudy skies.
TRENDS:

* Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last five conference games.
* Buffaloes are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 home games.
* Over is 4-0 in Colorado's last four games vs. teams with winning records.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Where the action is: Saturday's NCAAF line moves

Week 13 of the college football slate can be one of the toughest tasks for NCAAF bettors. Teams are chasing bowl berths, prepping for their season finales, or looking forward to forgetting about football for a while. That hasn’t slowed down the action at the sportsbooks, which have juggled the lines all week.

We talk with Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag about the biggest moves on the NCAAF Week 13 board:

Oregon Ducks at Arizona Wildcats – Open: -18.5, Move: -21.5

If you listened to Steve Merril in this week’s NCAAF Line Watch article, then hopefully you quickly got down on the Ducks below the key number of three touchdowns. It didn’t take long for the money to pour in on Oregon, forcing this line to jump three points in a matter of hours. Some markets are still dealing the Ducks below -21.

“Less than two hours after we had game open, sharp bets came on Oregon,” Perry tells Covers. “The Ducks are now on the inside track to being the top seed from the Pac-12. Wildcats are going the other way, failing to cover in three straight games, including home loss to Washington State. So far, 89 percent of the cash is on the Ducks.”

Colorado State Rams at Utah State Aggies – Open: -7, Move: -10

This MWC matchup has been bumped from one key number to the next with 65 percent of action sitting on the home side Saturday. The wagering has balanced out a bit since moving to USU -10.

“Tuesday, we got a sharp play on the Aggies -7, so moved to -7.5,” says Perry. “Two out of every three dollars was still backing Utah State -9, so moved to -10 on Wednesday.”

UMass Minutemen at Central Michigan Chippewas – Open: -9.5, Move: -12.5

Sharp money isn’t behind this massive move. Instead, public money is piling up on the home favorite with 91 percent of the money on CMU. Perry believes the one-sided action has to do with health of UMass QB A.J. Doyle.

“No sharp action on this game, just a real big decision,” says Perry. “On Wednesday we moved from -9 to -10 and on Thursday moved to -12.5. Doyle is a bit dinged up. He's currently listed as probable with a shoulder injury.”

Wisconsin Badgers at Minnesota Golden Gophers – Open: +14.5, Move: +17

This Big Ten battle has had its spread move nearly three points with heavy action on the road favorite Saturday. Wisconsin has drawn 71 percent of the public action heading into the weekend. Minnesota will be without top receiver Derrick Engel.

“Monday afternoon, we got a sharp bet on Wisconsin, buying half a point to -14. Later that day, we moved Wisky to -16,” says Perry. “Heavy majority of public money on Wisconsin, so on Wednesday we moved to -17. The Badgers are an absolute covering machine this season, posting a 9-0-1 ATS record.”

Arizona State Sun Devils at UCLA Bruins – Open: +3, Move: +1.5

Wiseguys moved this slim Pac-12 spread off a field goal with money on the home underdog. Some books are still dealing UCLA around +2.5.

“Tuesday morning, we got a wiseguy play on Bruins +3, so moved to 1.5,”says Perry. “Sixty-six percent of the cash is backing UCLA.”