2014 Off Topic Thread

[MMA_scientist]

I wish I had balls.

[Luke]

I wish I had balls.

I tried to talk you into betting Seattle also. Was the easiest bet of the year. Poopoo made 5k just off that game

[Luke]

Ever since Luke and I started texting about fights and even football games, we have gotten rich as FUCK.


...except on Josh Barnett. Fuck you Josh Barnett. Go die.

Haha, that's actually the truth.

[Mr. IWS]

I tried to talk you into betting Seattle also. Was the easiest bet of the year. Poopoo made 5k just off that game

that feel after the safety..........

[Luke]

that feel after the safety..........

Couldn't have been a worse start. Me and poopoo didn't think it was over till that pick 6. After that, we were just rooting for his 35-to-1 prop to hit.

[Mr. IWS]

Couldn't have been a worse start. Me and poopoo didn't think it was over till that pick 6. After that, we were just rooting for his 35-to-1 prop to hit.

After the 1st quarter, it was pretty evident to me that Denver didnt belong of the field with Seattle, I was fucked. As soon as the AFC/NFC title games ended, I was going to take Seattle, but I thought about it too much and bet Denver.

[edman5555]

Haha, that's actually the truth.

Start posting your thoughts on here?

[Luke]

Start posting your thoughts on here?

I do whenever I have them.

[Luke]

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[Svino]

Its kinda amazing that spx left for so long.

I've noticed in general that when people bounce out of internet communities, they tend to go suddenly and go for good.

[edman5555]

I've noticed in general that when people bounce out of internet communities, they tend to go suddenly and go for good.

Why do you think that is?

[MMA_scientist]

I tried to talk you into betting Seattle also. Was the easiest bet of the year. Poopoo made 5k just off that game

I don't think betting the super bowl is a long term winning strategy. I know you guys won, so congrats, but if you told me you were going to bet the super bowl again tomorrow I would still sit it out. It is the most scouted game of the year, I really don't think I know more than everyone else about football. I think the NFL is probably the toughest sport to win consistently.

Basically, you guys got lucky. It still counts, and I am not hating, but it is just a slot machine IMO.

That said, I will take a flyer on a game if you have a feeling, so let me know.

[MMA_scientist]

I've noticed in general that when people bounce out of internet communities, they tend to go suddenly and go for good.

I can't quit you IWS. I've tried.

[Mr. IWS]

I can't quit you IWS. I've tried.

lol

[Luke]

I can't quit you IWS. I've tried.

Someones been watching Brokeback Mountain

[Luke]

I don't think betting the super bowl is a long term winning strategy. I know you guys won, so congrats, but if you told me you were going to bet the super bowl again tomorrow I would still sit it out. It is the most scouted game of the year, I really don't think I know more than everyone else about football. I think the NFL is probably the toughest sport to win consistently.

Basically, you guys got lucky. It still counts, and I am not hating, but it is just a slot machine IMO.

That said, I will take a flyer on a game if you have a feeling, so let me know.

It doesn't matter how scouted a game is . The only thing that matters is sorting through the BS and breaking down the game--which we did. We weren't lucky; the game couldn't have been a bigger blowout.

[poopoo333]

The thing that really turned me onto the Seahawks after leaning them already was seeing the public side all on Denver on the biggest game of the year. I like to fade the public on big games...it usually works out.

[MMA_scientist]

It doesn't matter how scouted a game is . The only thing that matters is sorting through the BS and breaking down the game--which we did. We weren't lucky; the game couldn't have been a bigger blowout.

I disagree that level of scouting doesn't matter. The more scouted the game is, and the more action on the game, the more efficient the betting market is going to be. The lines are sharper. Maybe you figured it out, but you can't tell me you foresaw a blowout like that by the underdog.

[MMA_scientist]

The thing that really turned me onto the Seahawks after leaning them already was seeing the public side all on Denver on the biggest game of the year. I like to fade the public on big games...it usually works out.

This, I can understand. You have a methodology, you saw signs indicating an opportunity based on line movement. To me, that's different than believing that you have a beat on how the game will roll out.

[Luke]

I disagree that level of scouting doesn't matter. The more scouted the game is, and the more action on the game, the more efficient the betting market is going to be. The lines are sharper. Maybe you figured it out, but you can't tell me you foresaw a blowout like that by the underdog.

Its a statistical fact that the line only comes into account in 20% of all NFL games. The rest of the time, just picking the winner of the game wins you your bet. By those standards, it didn't matter how sharp the line( point spread) was on this game. If you can pick who is going to win the game, you'll win 80% of your wagers.

Did I predict a Seattle blowout, no, but I also didn't think the points would matter and that's why I took the ML rather than the points. In all honesty, I expected Seattle to win by 7-10 points.

I also pay zero attention to who the public is on FWIW.