Page 1 of 5 1234 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 20 of 88

Thread: 7-25-14

  1. #1
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379

    7-25-14


  2. #2
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Game of the Day: Blue Bombers at Lions

    Winnipeg Blue Bombers at B.C. Lions (-8.5, 52.5)

    The Winnipeg Blue Bombers and host BC Lions are heading in opposite directions as they prepare to meet Friday. Winnipeg lost its first game of the season in Week 4 while the Lions are riding a two-game winning streak after stumbling to start the season. Friday’s contest will be a battle between Winnipeg’s league-best offense (118 points for) and BC’s stifling defense (69 points allowed).

    Lions quarterback Kevin Glenn recorded 301 passing yards last week in his best outing since joining BC. Drew Willy and the Blue Bombers were ground to a halt by the Edmonton Eskimos in a 26-3 loss after recording at least 30 points in each of their first three games and will need to bounce back against a similarly difficult defensive unit with the Lions, who allow a league-low 168 passing yards per contest. BC re-established its home dominance after dropping its season opener and can tie Winnipeg in the West Division with a victory.

    TV: 10 p.m. ET, TSN

    LINE HISTORY: The Lions opened favored by a converted touchdown. It has since moved at B.C. -8.5. The total opened at 53.5 and has been bet down to 52.5.

    INJURY REPORT: Lions: QB Kevin Glenn - probable (back), QB Travis Lulay - questionable (shoulder)

    ABOUT THE BLUE BOMBERS (3-1, 3-1 ATS): Running back Nic Grigsby has 268 rushing yards and three touchdowns in his first CFL season. Defensive end Jason Vega will likely miss Friday’s game due to what the team calls various ailments, joining defensive back Johnny Sears Jr., who has a hamstring issue. Receivers Aaron Kelly and Cory Watson were injured in Week 4, which had a noticeable effect on Willy’s effectiveness.

    ABOUT THE LIONS (2-2, 2-2 ATS): Glenn benefited from the return of receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux, who led the team with 145 yards in his season debut. Running back Andrew Harris has 585 total combined yards after adding 150 last week. Linebacker Solomon Elimimian leads the league with 24 tackles, while teammate Adam Bighill is second with 21.

    TRENDS:

    * Under is 9-1 in the last 10 meetings in B.C.
    * Under is 14-4 in the last 18 meetings.
    * Blue Bombers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last eight meetings in B.C.
    * Lions are 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games following a straight up win.

    COVERS CONSENSUS: The consensus is split between the Blue Bombers and Lions at -8.5.

  3. #3
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Real MVPs: Most valuable players to the MLB odds
    By JASON LOGAN

    When St. Louis Cardinals catcher Yadier Molina went down with a wrist injury before the MLB All-Star break, plenty of baseball bettors focused on how the absence of one of the best catchers in the majors would have on the Cardinals.

    Unlike most position players, Molina’s impact is felt on both sides of the ball. As of July 9, he was hitting .287 BA with 30 RBIs and catching a pitching staff ranked sixth in the National League. Since losing its backstop for an estimated eight to 12 weeks, St. Louis has gone 4-4 (+21 units) with a 6-2 Over/Under mark.

    Molina’s worth to the moneyline is estimated to be around five to eight cents. And while that makes him a valuable factor to the Cardinals’ daily odds, he’s behind these position players in terms of their impact and worth to the MLB oddsmakers.

    We talked to oddsmakers and baseball bettors, getting their moneyline MVPs for the 2014 MLB season:

    Mike Trout, OF Los Angeles Angels (5-15 cents on moneyline)

    Trout was the unanimous No. 1 pick when it came to the most valuable player to the MLB odds but his value fluctuated depending on the source. Books kept Trout’s value to between 5-10 cents, sighting a deep Anaheim lineup as to why, while bettors believe he’s worth more to the Angels. Trout does boast the highest WAR (Wins Above Replacement) of any major league position player at 5.8.

    “The best all-around player in the game today. His value goes without saying, even on a team as talented as the Angels,” Covers Expert Sean Murphy says of Trout.

    Miguel Cabrera, IF Detroit Tigers (4-10 cents on moneyline)

    The two time American League MVP has slid back a bit in terms of worth to the moneyline but is still an elite talent that can force major market moves if he’s ever scratched. Cabrera’s numbers were a little low in the first half of the schedule – and by low we mean leading the majors in RBIs and hitting .313. His name alone is worth five cents to the oddsmakers and even more to the betting public.

    “Despite admitting to not being fully fit, he's still putting up great offensive numbers,” Ladbrokes senior MLB analyst tells Covers. “Even if his numbers were to drop off slightly, public perception would still have him in the 10 cent range.”

    Troy Tulowitzki, SS Colorado Rockies (5-10 cents on moneyline)

    Bettors are seeing firsthand how much Tulowitzki is worth to the Rockies moneyline odds now that he’s hit the 15-day disabled list with a hip strain. The National League MVP frontrunner was valued between 5-6 cents by one Bookmaker, due to the fact that his offensive numbers get a boost from playing half his games inside hitter’s haven Coors Field.

    “Tulowitzki is first in the NL in batting average (.340) and third in home runs (21),” Mike Perry of Sportsbook.ag tells Covers. “He would be worth more if he didn’t play home game in the thin air of Colorado. The MVP race will be between him and (Andrew) McCutchen.”

    Andrew McCutchen, CF Pittsburgh Pirates (5-15 cents on moneyline)

    Speaking of McCutchen, some baseball experts believe he’s up there with Trout in terms of value to the moneyline, strictly because he does so much for the Pirates on both sides of the ball. The reigning NL MVP is hitting .319 (third in NL) with 62 RBIs (fourth in NL) and has 16 stolen bases on the year – not to mention his work in the outfield, which boosts his WAR to 4.8 – second highest in the National League.

    “Cutch means an awful lot to the Buccos,” says Murphy. “Without him, they're not a contender in the NL Central, plain and simple.”

    Buster Posey, C San Francisco Giants (5-10 cents on moneyline)

    Like Molina, Posey has value on both sides of the ball, hitting .286 with 53 RBIs in an often lifeless lineup, while managing one of the deepest rotations in the majors behind the plate. San Francisco’s lack of depth is where he edges his masked counterpart, giving him a higher price impact on the odds even if his WAR is a pedestrian 2.2 (Molina 2.1).

    “Ultimately, value comes down to a combination of public perception and the replaceability of the skillset they offer,” a spokesman for Pinnacle Sports tells Covers. “Posey can be replaced as far as his defensive ability goes, but his strength as a hitter, game caller and leader aren't easily replicated by a backup catcher.”

    Jose Abreu, 1B Chicago White Sox (4-10 cents on moneyline)

    White Sox bettors are getting a taste of life without Abreu this week, with the slugger dealing with a sore back. The AL Rookie of the Year shoo-in leads the bigs in home runs (29), is hitting .292 BA and has driven in 74 RBIs in his first season. To give you an idea of how much impact he has on the betting public, Chicago opened as a -105 favorite versus Kansas City Tuesday and dropped to +137 when news hit that Abreu was out of the lineup.

    “Whilst the White Sox might not be contending to win the AL Central, they have improved massively this season and much of this is down to Abreu,” says Ladbrokes MLB analyst. “Not always perfect on first base but his offensive numbers have him worth close to 10 cents at least.”

    Honorable mentions

    Robinson Cano, 2B Seattle Mariners (5-10 cents on moneyline)
    Nelson Cruz, RF Baltimore Orioles (5-8 cents on moneyline)
    Ryan Braun, RF Milwaukee Brewers (5-10 cents on moneyline)

  4. #4
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Red Sox have poor record vs. lefties on the road
    Stephen Campbell

    The Boston Red Sox have had a tough time on the road versus left-handed pitchers recently, posting a paltry 1-9 record in their last 10 games as of Thursday. That's bad news for Sox backers as they'll take on southpaw David Price and the Tampa Bay Rays at Tropicana Field Friday.

    BetOnline.com presently lists the Rays as -140 home faves with a total of 6.5.

  5. #5
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Buehrle, Jays struggling vs. Yankees
    Stephen Campbell

    Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Mark Buehrle has been getting knocked around by the New York Yankees recently. In the veteran's last six starts versus the Bronx Bombers, Toronto is just 1-5. Buehrle and the Jays will try and turn things around against the Yankees in New York Friday.

    The Yanks are currently -133 faves with a total of eight, per BetOnline.

  6. #6
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Trends show Padres love playing against Atlanta
    Stephen Campbell

    It's been a tough season for the San Diego Padres, but their backers can find some solace for Friday's matchup with the Atlanta Braves at Turner Field. Through Thursday, the Pads own a 6-1 record in their last seven meetings with the Braves.

    Per BetOnline, Atlanta is currently -156 faves on the moneyline with a total of seven.

  7. #7
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    This betting trend needs your attention
    Stephen Campbell

    If you've been putting your money on the Kansas City Royals as favorites with Yordano Ventura on the mound this season, you're definitely wishing you hadn't. The Royals are just 1-7 in Ventura's last eight starts when listed as faves.

    Ventura gets the nod Friday for KC when they host the Cleveland Indians. Royals bettors beware, though: Kansas City is presently listed as -130 faves on the moneyline with a total of eight, per BetOnline.

  8. #8
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    When these clubs meet, high totals tend to follow
    Stephen Campbell

    The scorekeeper has been busy in recent meetings between the Washington Nationals and Cincinnati Reds. In the last 11 matchups between the two clubs, the O/U is 8-2-1 through Thursday. They'll renew acquaintances at Great American Ball Park Friday.

    BetOnline currently has the Nats as -111 faves on the moneyline with a total of 7.5.

  9. #9
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    White Sox cashing in for Under bettors
    Stephen Campbell

    If you've been backing the Under in Chicago White Sox games lately, you've been collecting some nice profits. Through Thursday, seven of the ChiSox's last eight games have gone Under the total. The Minnesota Twins will host the Sox at Target Field Friday.

    According to BetOnline, the Twinkies are currently -114 faves with an O/U of nine.

  10. #10
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Vegas 'Dog Days' built for diehard baseball bettors
    By MARC MELTZER

    I love the “Dog Days of Summer” as a diehard baseball bettor. Every other major sport is finished and the spotlight is on the diamond.

    For the next couple weeks, every baseball game that’s available to be shown in Nevada (MLB has some crazy blackout restrictions) will be on a screen. Sure, there will be some Canadian Football League games or WNBA on the TVs but that will just be to fill space. Baseball will be king... until preseason football kicks off.

    Baseball is the third-most bet sport in Las Vegas behind football and basketball, so the books are almost empty when those sports aren’t being played. The World Cup garnered much more interest this year so there’s less baseball-only time.

    Some people find this to be a sad and depressing time to be in the sportsbook, but not me. I consider the book my home away from home during this time of year. Here are some reasons I love baseball during the “Dog Days of Summer”.

    Climate

    Everyone knows that Las Vegas is super hot during the summer. Air conditioning is a valuable commodity when it’s 110 in the shade. Sportsbooks offer a nice respite from the heat and the slow pace of a baseball game keeps the adrenaline down which helps cool you off.

    Whether I’m on the strip bouncing around from casino to casino or just hanging out in a locals spot, I love to sit back, relax, take in some cool air while watching baseball. Chances are that if I’m watching a game (or games), I probably have a few bucks at risk.

    People

    Baseball is one of the more social sports around. You won’t typically miss much, if anything, if you get caught up in conversation. The game moves at a slow pace so you can chat away with the staff or other fans watching the games. While other sports allow you to create camaraderie by cheering with other people, the pace of baseball allows you to get to know people - for better and worse.

    Betting

    Since it’s not very crowded you can wait until seconds before the first pitch to get your bets in. There are rarely lines to place a bet during the “Dog Days of Summer”. You can never wait until the last second to get your football bets in. The extra time may give you a few more minutes to do some research that you may not have had the chance to do if you had to stand in line for 30 minutes to place a bet.

    Midweek day games

    In Las Vegas, you might wake up and a baseball game is about to start. If you did some research on the early games the night before you can grab a cup of coffee and watch the game. Afternoon games are even better.

    Games that start at 1 p.m. are great for anyone that wants something to do during a lunch break. If you’re near the Vegas Strip, you can grab a nice big sandwich at the Carnegie Deli at The Mirage and take in a game for an hour. If you’re like me and can work anywhere, you can literally spend your workday watching and betting baseball. Ahhhh…

    Other activities

    Baseball bets don’t typically live or die on one play like a football game, so you can step away from your bet and do something else. Even the biggest baseball fan can’t sit in the same chair all day.

    I like to step away from the book for a few minutes and play a little video poker. I usually keep track of the game on my phone but I don’t always need to see or hear every play. I have friends that take the same 20-40 minutes and just hang out at the pool working on their tan.

    Space

    I love the intensity of watching college and NFL football in the book but I also like having my own personal space. The Dog Days allow me to pretty much take up as much space in the sportsbook as I want.

    There’s plenty of elbow room. If I have to work, I can have a workspace bigger than my setup at home at some of the larger Cantor sportsbooks since they have outlets to keep all of my tech charged.

    Vibe

    I was born and raised in New York City. I’m always stressed and I live off that stress. It fuels me and the doctor tells me that isn’t good.

    The Dog Days allow me a mellow sports betting experience that I won’t normally get. It can be stressful when there are multiple games from multiple sports that I care about. I like to mellow out every now and again, and this is the best time to do so.

    I’m grateful that I’m able to work wherever I want. This article started in my local sportsbook, where I was one of about 20 people just hanging out and watching the games. I’d guess that most people didn’t have more than $20 riding on any of the games.

    I kept to myself as I had my face in my phone writing this article. After my result (push on a total of eight runs) I headed to the nearly empty bar for a little video poker and a beer.

    Vegas is awesome. And the “Dog Days of Summer” make it even better.

  11. #11
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
    FRIDAY, JULY 25TH 2014
    INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
    _______________________________________


    #901 ST LOUIS @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 4:05 PM
    •Cardinals RH Joe Kelly (2-1, 2.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.303) - Kelly threw a career-high seven innings last time out, allowing one run and four to beat the Los Angeles Dodgers in his second start since returning from the disabled list. The 26-year-old has made only five starts because of a long DL stint with a hamstring injury. Kelly is 3-2 with a 2.19 ERA in eight games (five starts) versus the Cubs.

    --KEY STAT: KELLY is 15-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was KELLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

    --KELLY is 15-5 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was KELLY 5.7, OPPONENT 3.3.

    •Cubs LH Travis Wood (7-9, 5.12 ERA, WHIP: 1.526) - Wood has not approached his All-Star form from a year ago, especially over the past month. The 27-year-old is 0-4 with a 6.82 ERA in his last six starts, and he continues to issue too many walks - 52 in 116 innings. Wood has beaten the Cardinals twice this season and is 5-5 with a 4.99 ERA in 13 career starts against them.

    --KEY STAT: WOOD is 1-12 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was WOOD 3.0, OPPONENT 5.4.

    --WOOD is 4-16 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was WOOD 3.3, OPPONENT 4.6.

    --WOOD is 5-19 (-16.0 Units) against the money line in home games in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was WOOD 3.3, OPPONENT 4.7.

    #903 ARIZONA @ #904 PHILADELPHIA - 7:05 PM
    •Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (6-6, 4.16 ERA, WHIP: 1.231) - Miley won his third straight start after allowing three runs on seven hits in as many innings en route to a 9-3 triumph over the Chicago Cubs on Saturday. The 27-year-old has relished life on the road, posting a 4-1 mark with a 2.85 ERA while limiting the opposition to a .215 batting average. Miley is 1-0 in two appearances versus Philadelphia, but settled for a no-decision despite making a quality start in the last meeting.

    --KEY STAT: MILEY is 11-1 (+11.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a batting average of .245 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was MILEY 5.3, OPPONENT 2.3.

    --MILEY is 14-2 against the run line (+13.4 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was MILEY 4.3, OPPONENT 2.6.

    --MILEY is 14-2 against the run line (+13.4 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was MILEY 4.8, OPPONENT 2.3.

    •Phillies RH Kyle Kendrick (4-10, 4.87 ERA, WHIP: 1.353) - While Miley's heating up, Kendrick has dropped two straight outings while permitting 18 runs in 16 2/3 innings in his last three starts. The 29-year-old has struggled mightily versus the Diamondbacks, posting an 0-2 career mark with a 5.45 ERA while allowing the club to bat .323 against him. Citizens Bank Park hasn't provided a safe haven for Kendrick, who owns a 2-5 mark at home.

    --KEY STAT: KENDRICK is 12-3 OVER (+8.9 Units) in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was KENDRICK 4.5, OPPONENT 5.5.

    --KENDRICK is 26-11 OVER (+14.3 Units) against National League West opponents since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was KENDRICK 5.4, OPPONENT 5.1.

    #905 WASHINGTON @ #906 CINCINNATI - 7:10 PM
    •Nationals RH Tanner Roark (9-6, 2.91 ERA, WHIP: 1.127) - Roark yielded one run and six hits while striking out five in seven innings of an 8-3 victory over Milwaukee on Saturday - his second straight start allowing one run in seven frames. "He's been great. He's fun to play behind, he goes right at the hitters," Washington's Ryan Zimmerman told reporters about the 27-year-old Illinois native, who is 5-1 with a 3.28 ERA in 10 night starts this season. It's been a lot of fun to watch." Roark lost his only appearance against Cincinnati 2-1 on May 21.

    --KEY STAT: ROARK is 12-4 against the run line (+11.3 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was ROARK 4.9, OPPONENT 3.0.

    •Reds RH Alfredo Simon (12-4, 2.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.052) - Simon, who is bidding to become the majors' first 13-game winner, had his streak of eight consecutive quality starts halted when he yielded four runs (two earned) and five hits in five innings of a 7-1 loss at Yankee Stadium on Saturday. The 33-year-old Dominican Republic native, a converted reliever, was 6-0 with a 2.47 ERA in his previous eight outings while becoming one of the biggest surprises in baseball. Simon has a 2.14 ERA in 11 games (one start) over 21 innings against the Nationals.

    --KEY STAT: SIMON is 14-0 (+15.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
    The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 1.8.

    --SIMON is 15-1 (+15.4 Units) against the money line versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
    The average score was SIMON 4.5, OPPONENT 2.2.

    --SIMON is 14-0 (+15.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
    The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 1.9.

    --SIMON is 16-2 (+15.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
    The average score was SIMON 4.3, OPPONENT 2.4.

    --SIMON is 12-2 UNDER (+9.7 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
    The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 1.8.

    --SIMON is 13-3 UNDER (+9.6 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
    The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 2.1.
    _________________________________________

    Jackpot In July Huge Discounted Offer
    We're just a few days away from the start of the 2014 National Football League & NCAA College Football Season and things are coming together very nicely here at StatSystemsSports.net. Along with the NBA Playoffs and MLB, an abundance of hours were spent in May and June diligently working on the upcoming football run. A number of exciting parameters were added to our state of the art database and we’ve uncovered some exciting and highly profitable Situational Analysis. We'll use them all this year and win with them I guarantee you that.

    If you haven't registered for our Full-Season Package for the 2014 (NFL & NCAACF) Football Season, you can do so right now at 570-828-4091, "Where The Winning Just Never Stops!" The current rate for football is $2199.00 a 50% saving for signing up today. For those of you that invest on basketball and baseball, you may want to consider our 2014-15 All Season Profit Pass. For an additional $1400, you'll get everything we release in all three sports from July 5th, 2014 to June 30th, 2015 for only $3599. That fee breaks down to less than $300.00 dollars per month and is a number I know you call can handle.

    We've got four months left in the Major League Baseball season and we're looking at our 2014 MLB Game of the Year. Normally priced at $350, you can get everything we release on the diamond in July thru the 2014 World Series as an added bonus. While also having access to all our Top-Rated Selections daily by E-mail. July isn't wasting any time so get on board today once again @ 570-828-4091.

    "You'll be real Glad you did” -Stan!
    _____________________________

    #907 SAN DIEGO @ #908 ATLANTA - 7:35 PM
    •Padres RH Jesse Hahn (5-2, 2.21 ERA, WHIP: 1.057) - Hahn has made a huge impression on San Diego through the first seven starts of his major-league career, winning five of his past six outings while allowing more than two earned runs just twice. He beat Los Angeles on July 11 with six innings of one-run, three-hit pitching. Hahn walked a season-high four in that outing, but has struck out seven or more hitters four times while not giving up more than six hits in a start.

    •Braves LH Alex Wood (7-7, 3.24 ERA, WHIP: 1.156) - Wood opened the second half with a strong effort Sunday against Philadelphia, giving up one run on three hits with eight strikeouts to improve to 2-1 since returning to the starting rotation. The 23-year-old sports a 2.95 ERA in 12 starts, going 4-6 while holding opponents to a .230 batting average. Wood pitched a scoreless inning of relief against San Diego last season in his only lifetime appearance against the Padres.

    #909 NY METS @ #910 MILWAUKEE - 8:10 PM
    •Mets RH Zack Wheeler (5-8, 3.78 ERA, WHIP: 1.365) - Wheeler has allowed just one run in each of his last four outings while going 2-0 with two no-decisions. He struck out seven and gave up eight hits in six innings while taking a no-decision against San Diego on Sunday. Wheeler beat Milwaukee last season when he gave up three runs (one earned) and seven hits in five innings.

    •Brewers RH Yovani Gallardo (5-5, 3.79 ERA, WHIP: 1.264) - Gallardo is 0-1 in five starts since last winning on June 19. He wasn’t involved in the decision in his last assignment as he gave up four runs and eight hits in six innings against Washington. Gallardo is 4-3 with a 3.64 ERA in nine career starts against the Mets.

    --KEY STAT: GALLARDO is 51-18 (+29.6 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GALLARDO 5.5, OPPONENT 3.2.

    --GALLARDO is 20-8 against the run line (+13.4 Units) versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GALLARDO 5.4, OPPONENT 3.6.

    #911 PITTSBURGH @ #912 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
    •Pirates RH Charlie Morton (5-9, 3.28 ERA, WHIP: 1.172) - Morton is winless in his last three starts despite allowing two or fewer runs in two of those turns. The 30-year-old held Colorado to two runs on five hits in seven innings on Saturday but did not factor in the decision in a game Pittsburgh went on to win 3-2. Morton is 2-0 with a 3.16 ERA in five career starts against the Rockies.

    •Rockies LH Brett Anderson (0-3, 4.00 ERA, WHIP: 1.444) - Anderson is making his third straight start after a three-month stint on the disabled list and is coming off an encouraging outing. The Texas native held the Pirates to one run on four hits and struck out eight in seven innings while going up against Morton on Saturday. Anderson has made only two home starts this season and has not fared well, allowing 11 runs - eighth earned - while walking six in 11 total innings.

    --KEY STAT: ANDERSON is 6-20 (-13.6 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was ANDERSON 3.0, OPPONENT 5.2.

    #913 LA DODGERS @ #914 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:15 PM
    •Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (11-6, 2.90 ERA, WHIP: 1.198) - Greinke suffered his second straight loss after allowing four runs and a season-high five walks in 5 2/3 innings en route to a 4-2 setback against the Cardinals on Saturday. The 30-year-old looks to rebound versus the Giants, against whom he has posted a 2-0 mark in four career outings. Greinke was stellar in his last meeting with the NL West rival, permitting two runs and striking out eight over seven innings to lift the Dodgers to a 6-2 win on May 10.

    --KEY STAT: GREINKE is 21-7 (+13.7 Units) against the money line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GREINKE 4.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

    --GREINKE is 16-37 (-22.8 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GREINKE 3.2, OPPONENT 4.4.

    --GREINKE is 17-4 (+10.6 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GREINKE 4.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

    --GREINKE is 39-16 (+17.7 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GREINKE 4.6, OPPONENT 3.1.

    --GREINKE is 18-5 (+12.3 Units) against the money line after a loss over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GREINKE 4.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

    --GREINKE is 14-4 UNDER (+9.7 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GREINKE 3.5, OPPONENT 2.1.

    --GREINKE is 17-5 UNDER (+11.5 Units) in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was GREINKE 3.6, OPPONENT 2.3.

    •Giants RH Tim Lincecum (9-6, 3.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.234) - Lincecum secured the first save of his eight-year career by recording the final two outs against the Phillies on Tuesday. In his more traditional role as a starter, the 30-year-old saw his four-game winning streak come to a halt versus Miami despite pitching seven strong innings on Sunday. Lincecum, who owns a solid 9-6 career mark against Los Angeles, is 6-2 at home this season while limiting the opposition to a .195 batting average.

    --KEY STAT: LINCECUM is 13-3 (+10.1 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
    The average score was LINCECUM 5.6, OPPONENT 2.4.

    --LINCECUM is 7-1 against the run line (+9.4 Units) in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
    The average score was LINCECUM 4.9, OPPONENT 2.0.

    --LINCECUM is 8-2 against the run line (+8.7 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
    The average score was LINCECUM 4.2, OPPONENT 2.2.

    --LINCECUM is 16-5 UNDER (+10.6 Units) in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
    The average score was LINCECUM 3.0, OPPONENT 2.8.

  12. #12
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    CFL

    Winnipeg (3-1) @ BCLions (2-2 )-- Lions won last five series games, winning last two here by 17-7 points; 14 of last 18 series games stayed under total. BC righted ship after 0-2 start with wins by 13-36 points last two weeks, running ball for 186/153 yards while opponents hit on less than 50% of passes both games. bombers lost first game last week; ; they won 34-33 at Montreal in only road game- they scored 38.3 ppg in their wins, 3 in only loss, when Eskimos ran ball for 192 yards last week.

  13. #13
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    CFL Betting Notes - Week 5
    By David Schwab


    The 2014 CFL season is just four weeks old and we are already seeing a major disparity between a West Division that has four teams with a .500 record or better and an East Division that so far has combined to win just three games straight up.

    Last Thursday, Edmonton won the battle of two unbeaten teams in the West with a 26-3 victory over Winnipeg as a 1 ½-point road underdog. The total stayed well UNDER the 54-point closing line. Ottawa kicked off Friday’s double-header with its first ever CFL victory as the RedBlacks with a tight 18-17 win against Toronto as a one-point home underdog. That total stayed UNDER the 52-point line. Calgary remained perfect in the West with a 10-7 win over Hamilton at home on Friday night as a 9 ½-point favorite and the total stayed UNDER the 51-point closing line.

    In the only game on Saturday’s slate in Week 4, British Columbia pasted Montreal 41-5 as a 7 ½-point home favorite to even its mark after a 0-2 SU start. It was a clean sweep for the UNDER play with the total line in that game set at 48 ½ points.

    Friday, July 25

    Winnipeg (3-1 SU, 3-1 ATS) at British Columbia (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS)

    Point-spread: BC-7
    Total: 53½

    Game Overview

    Winnipeg will look to quickly bounce back from last week’s dismal three-point effort after averaging 38.3 points in its first three games. The Blue Bombers are still the highest scoring team in the CFL behind quarterback Drew Willy, who has thrown for 1,051 yards and five touchdowns while completing 62.4 percent of his attempts.

    BC has had to turn to Kevin Glenn at quarterback in the absence of Travis Lulay and he came up with his best offensive effort of the year this past Saturday against Montreal with 301 yards passing and two touchdowns. He had quite a bit of help from wide receiver Emmanuel Arceneaux, who caught eight balls for 145 yards after missing much of the season so far due to injury.

    Betting Trends

    The Lions current SU winning streak in this series stands at five games and they are 3-2 ATS during that run. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last 10 meetings and it has stayed UNDER in nine of the last 10 meetings at BC Place.

    Saturday, July 26

    Ottawa (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS) at Hamilton (0-3 SU, 2-1 ATS)

    Point-spread: Hamilton -4½
    Total: 48½

    Game Overview

    The RedBlacks earned their first victory of the season behind Henry Burris throwing the ball and Chevon Walker running it on the ground. Neither player’s numbers were spectacular, but it was just enough to get the job done. You also have to give credit to the defense for its ability to shutdown Toronto when it needed to the most.

    Hamilton had to turn to both Jeremiah Masoli and Dan LeFevour last week for injured quarterback Zach Collaros and the result was a grand total of seven points on a one-point play and two field goals. Collaros remains questionable for this Saturday while recovering from a blow to the head. The Tiger-Cats are ranked dead-last in scoring with an average of 13.7 points a game.

    Betting Trends

    The Tiger-Cats are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games following a SU loss, but they are just 1-4 ATS in their last five home games and 1-4 ATS in their last five games against a team with a SU losing record. The total has stayed UNDER in their last four games at home.

    Toronto (1-3 SU, 1-3 ATS) at Saskatchewan (1-2 SU, 1-2 ATS)

    Point-spread: Saskatchewan -6
    Total: 49½

    Game Overview

    Despite the fact that quarterback Ricky Ray leads the CFL in passing with 1,280 yards while completing 70.9 percent of his throws, this has not always translated to points and more importantly wins. It also does not help when you have a defense that has given-up the most points (112) in the league.

    The defending champs are fresh off a bye week that followed a disappointing 26-13 loss to BC in Week 3 as five-point home favorites. Saskatchewan has already lost to the Argonauts this season in a 48-15 beatdown in Week 2 as a two-point favorite on the road. Darian Durant has 622 passing yards in three games and he has completed just 55.3 percent of his 85 attempts.

    Betting Trends

    The Argonauts have won three of the last four meetings both SU and ATS and the total has gone OVER in all four games. The road team in this matchup is 6-3 SU in the last nine meetings and Toronto is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight trips to Saskatchewan.

  14. #14
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Friday's Tip Sheet
    By Kevin Rogers


    Blue Jays at Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

    Probable Pitchers:
    TOR: Buehrle (10-6, 2.86 ERA)
    NYY: Kuroda (6-6, 3.88 ERA)

    Previous series recap: Following a meltdown prior to the All-Star break, the Blue Jays capped off a solid homestand at 5-2 against the Rangers and Red Sox. After losing the opener to Boston, Toronto grabbed the final three games of its series, including Thursday’s 8-0 blowout of its division rival. The Yankees are also on fire of late, winning six of seven games at home, as New York captured the final three against struggling Texas.

    What to watch for: New York’s pitching has carried the club of late, resulting in a 9-1 run to the ‘under’ the past 10 contests. Since 2009, Buehrle is winless in his last seven starts in the Bronx, but the Jays did beat the Yankees in the southpaw’s last outing against New York in late June, 7-6. The Yankees have captured six of nine matchups with the Jays this season, including a three-game home sweep last month.

    Red Sox at Rays – 7:10 PM EST

    Probable Pitchers:
    BOS: Lester (10-7, 2.50 ERA)
    TB: Price (10-7, 3.06 ERA)

    Previous series recap: The Rays are the hottest team in baseball by winning each of their last seven games, including a two-game road sweep of the Cardinals. Tampa Bay’s pitching has carried the team in this hot stretch, allowing just 10 runs during this winning streak. The Sox entered their series in Toronto with a 7-1 record in their past eight contests, but dropped three of four to the Blue Jays, while racking up just one hit in Thursday’s 8-0 setback.

    What to watch for: The home team has won each of the last six meetings as these two clubs have exchanged sweeps since late May. Both these starting pitchers are on fire, as the Red Sox are 7-0 in Lester’s past seven starts, while the Rays own a 5-0 record in Price’s last five outings. Tampa Bay has taken care of business against AL East opponents of late, winning seven of the past 10 within its division.

    Tigers at Angels – 10:05 PM EST

    Probable Pitchers:
    DET: Smyly (6-8, 3.80 ERA)
    LAA: Skaggs (5-5, 4.65 ERA)

    Series recap: After losing eight consecutive meetings with the Angels, the Tigers have won each of the last three matchups, including Thursday’s 6-4 triumph. Detroit erased a 3-1 deficit by scoring five unanswered to take control of the game, as the Tigers have won four of their past five contests since dropping the first three games out of the All-Star break.

    What to watch for: The Angels have won each of Skaggs’ last two starts in spite of the southpaw allowing 11 earned runs against the Mariners and Rangers. The Tigers are 6-2 to the ‘over’ in Smyly’s last eight road outings, while Detroit has put together a solid 9-2 record in the previous 11 games against left-handed starting pitchers.

    Orioles at Mariners – 10:10 PM EST

    Probable Pitchers:
    BAL: Gausman (4-3, 4.04 ERA)
    SEA: Hernandez (11-2, 2.02 ERA)

    Series recap: The Orioles cruised past the Mariners on Thursday, 4-0 to easily cash as +130 road underdogs. After losing two of three at Oakland, the O’s have won three of their past four on this West Coast swing, with all three victories coming in the ‘dog role. The defeat by the Mariners snapped a six-game winning streak in home series openers.

    What to watch for: Seattle has won each of the last five starts made by Hernandez, while the M’s are 6-1 in his past seven outings at Safeco Field. The Orioles are 6-0 in their previous six Game 2’s of a road series dating back to the start of June, while Baltimore owns a 5-2 record in Gausman’s past seven starts, in spite of a 10-2 defeat in his last outing at Oakland.

    Dodgers at Giants – 10:15 PM EST

    Probable Pitchers:
    LAD: Greinke (11-6, 2.90 ERA)
    SF: Lincecum (9-6, 3.65 ERA)

    Previous series recap: The Giants failed to pull off the sweep of the Phillies after losing on Thursday, 2-1 as short underdogs. However, San Francisco finished off its road trip at 5-2, including three victories at Philadelphia. The Dodgers stumbled in Pittsburgh by losing the final two games by a combined score of 18-8. Los Angeles concluded its highway swing at St. Louis and Pittsburgh with a 2-4 mark.

    What to watch for: San Francisco has taken care of its rival this season by posting a 7-3 record against Los Angeles, as these two teams are meeting for the first time since early May. Greinke is responsible for two of the three wins by the Dodgers in the season series, but Los Angeles is 1-6 in his last seven road starts. The Giants are on fire at home when Lincecum takes the mound, compiling a 6-1 record in his past seven outings at AT&T Park.

  15. #15
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Today's MLB Picks

    Toronto at NY Yankees

    The Yankees open their series against Toronto tonight and come into the contest with a 20-2 record in the last 22 games between the two teams. New York is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
    FRIDAY, JULY 25
    Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
    Game 901-902: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Kelly) 12.439; Chicago Cubs (Wood) 14.546
    Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs 2; 9
    Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); No Run Line
    Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+115); N/A
    Game 903-904: Arizona at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 14.768; Philadelphia (Kendrick) 16.043
    Dunkel Line: Philadelphia 1 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8
    Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+105); Over
    Game 905-906: Washington at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 15.303; Cincinnati (Simon) 16.674
    Dunkel Line: Cincinnati 1 1/2; 6
    Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Under
    Game 907-908: San Diego at Atlanta (7:35 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Hahn) 13.539; Atlanta (Wood) 16.685
    Dunkel Line: Atlanta 3; 6
    Vegas Line: Atlanta (-165); 7
    Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-165); Under
    Game 909-910: NY Mets at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 17.353; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.235
    Dunkel Line: NY Mets 2; 7
    Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+135); Under
    Game 911-912: Pittsburgh at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Morton) 14.402; Colorado (Anderson) 15.332
    Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 12
    Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-140); 10 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+120); Over
    Game 913-914: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 17.416; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.979
    Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers 1 1/2; 5
    Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-125); Under
    Game 915-916: Toronto at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Buehrle) 14.278; NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.923
    Dunkel Line: NY Yankees 1 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 8
    Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Over
    Game 917-918: Boston at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.242; Tampa Bay (Price) 17.422
    Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 7
    Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-150); 6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-150); Over
    Game 919-920: Oakland at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Hamel) 16.122; Texas (Williams) 13.535
    Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-165); Under
    Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.644; Minnesota (Correia) 16.235
    Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 10
    Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9
    Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-125); Over
    Game 923-924: Cleveland at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 15.136; Kansas City (Ventura) 16.857
    Dunkel Line: Kansas City 1 1/2; 7
    Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8
    Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Under
    Game 925-926: Detroit at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 17.233; LA Angels (Skaggs) 15.618
    Dunkel Line: Detroit 1 1/2; 9
    Vegas Line: LA Angels (-140); 8
    Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+120); Over
    Game 927-928: Baltimore at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 16.864; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.957
    Dunkel Line: Baltimore 1; 6
    Vegas Line: Seattle (-180); 6 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+160); Under
    Game 929-930: Miami at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST)
    Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Hand) 15.325; Houston (Keuchel) 14.414
    Dunkel Line: Miami 1; 8
    Vegas Line: Houston (-135); 8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick: Miami (+115); Under

  16. #16
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
    FRIDAY, JULY 25th 2014
    INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
    _______________________________________



    ***** Friday, 7/25/14 MLB Information *****
    (ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
    __________________________________________________ ___

    MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #17
    •Mariners Trade For Twins' Morales: The Seattle Mariners acquired first baseman/designated hitter Kendrys Morales from the Minnesota Twins on Thursday in exchange for right-handed relief pitcher Stephen Pryor. Morales, 31, is scheduled to report to the Mariners on Friday, at which time a 25-man roster move will be made. Morales rejoins Seattle after a brief stint with the Twins. Morales, who signed as a free agent with Minnesota on June 8, appeared in 39 games and batted .234 with 11 doubles, one home run and 18 RBIs. He had a 12-game hitting streak snapped on Wednesday when he went 0-for-4 in the Twins' 3-1 win over the Cleveland Indians.

    In 156 games with the Mariners last season, Morales led the team in batting average (.277), hits (167), doubles (34), RBIs (80), multi-hit games (46) and extra-base hits (57). The 23 home runs established a club record for a switch-hitter. The Cuban native is a career .277 hitter with 141 doubles, 103 home runs and 363 RBIs in 659 games with the Angels (2006-2012), Mariners (2013) and Twins (2014). Pryor, 25, made one appearance for the Mariners this season after opening the season on the disabled list due to surgery to repair right latissimus dorsi muscle. He appeared in 34 games with the Mariners from 2012-14, recording a 2.81 ERA. He was originally selected by the Mariners in the fifth round of the 2010 draft out of Tennessee Tech University.

    •Phillies Considering Releasing Ryan Howard: A few years ago Ryan Howard was one of the most feared hitters in baseball, and now he’s on the verge of being out of the game altogether. On Wednesday a report surfaced claiming that the Philadelphia Phillies are considering paying the rest of Howard’s contract and releasing him after the season. Howard is owed $25 million this season and a total of $60 million over the next two seasons, but he has been so bad over the past few years that he’s basically wasting a roster spot. Howard is a three-time All-Star, won the National League Rookie of the Year in 2005 and was the 2006 National League MVP. But since 2011 he has dealt with serious injury problems and has been awful when healthy.

    In the past three seasons, Howard has played in just 248 of a possible 486 games. He has posted a .236 batting average, .306 on-base percentage and a woeful .724 OPS. In 914 at-bats he has struck out an incredible 312 times, and his WAR has been a ridiculously bad -0.8. The 34-year-old is clearly not the player he once was, and it has gotten so bad that he has even been benched on an awful team. After a loss on Wednesday, the Phillies are 43-58 and given the age of their roster, they are not going to compete any time soon. They are in the process of trying to unload some of their bigger contracts, but there are absolutely no takers for Howard, and with good reason.

    While Cliff Lee and Jonathan Papelbon could actually be moved before next week’s trade deadline, Howard isn’t going anywhere. The Phillies are going to have to pay him anyway and they clearly have no use for him on the roster anymore. Releasing him and eating his massive contract will hurt, but it’s probably the right move for the future of the franchise. No one should be shocked if this is Howard’s final season in Philadelphia.

    •Callaspo Could Be Activated From DL By Sunday: Second baseman Alberto Callaspo is getting closer to coming off the disabled list, with A’s manager Bob Melvin suggesting he might be activated as early as Sunday. Recovering from a strained right hamstring, Callaspo took batting practice and fielded grounders before Wednesday’s game against the Houston Astros, as did first baseman Kyle Blanks, who is covering from a torn calf muscle. “He’ll probably do a couple more days of this and maybe we’ll send him out somewhere” on a rehab assignment, Melvin said of Callaspo. “There’s a chance he’ll be ready by Sunday.”

    Callaspo is hitting .234 with three home runs and 31 RBI. Not eye-popping numbers, but Melvin would like to have Callaspo at his disposal as a regular option at second base, or as a switch-hitting option off the bench. When he does return, the A’s have a decision to make as far as who to send out to clear a roster spot. Eric Sogard’s defensive ability alone makes him an asset, but can the A’s afford to keep him, Callaspo and Nick Punto on the roster at the same time? It’s possible that with Callaspo available as a right-handed hitting first base option, Nate Freiman could be the odd man out. That decision will eventually play itself out. Eventually, the A’s hope to get Blanks back too. Melvin said he’s a little bit behind Callaspo in his recovery, but when Blanks is able to run full speed with no discomfort, he figures to go out on a minor league rehab assignment.

    Thursday's MLB Roundup
    If the Rays are inclined, they can make the biggest deal before next Thursday's non-waiver trading deadline by sending left-hander David Price to another contender. The St. Louis Cardinals are reportedly pushing to be at the front of the line if indeed the team parts with Price. Price is eligible for arbitration for the final time at the end of this season --- the 2012 American League Cy Young Award winner could easily wind up with a $20 million salary for 2015 through the process -- and free agency at the end of next season. The Rays would get maximum value if they traded Prince this week, when a team would have him for the rest of this season and all of next.

    The Rays are 4 1/2 games out in the AL wildcard race and 7 1/2 games back in the AL East standings after winning 25 of their last 36 games. What president of baseball operations Andrew Friedman is weighing is whether to keep Price and go for what would be the franchise's first World Series title or trade him and get enough in return to set themselves up for a number of future runs at a championship. While Friedman figures it out, here are five players who should be changing uniforms before the non-waiver deadline next Thursday:

    •Bartolo Colon, RHP, Mets --- Colon is signed through next season and is still a very effective starting pitcher despite 41 years old and quite rotund However, the rebuilding Mets could use the young talent he could fetch in a trade. Colon is 9-8 with a 4.03 ERA and a fine 100/19 strikeout-walk ratio in 134 innings. He surely impressed scouts Wednesday when he retired the first 20 batters he faced in his start at Seattle.

    •Jorge De La Rosa, LHP, Rockies --- Eligible for free agency at the end of the season, De La Rosa would make a nice rental starter for a contender. The 33-year-old is 11-6 with a 4.19 ERA in 21 starts, including an impressive 6-2 with a 3.49 ERA in 10 home starts in the thin air of Denver. He also opened scouts' eyes Wednesday by holding the National League-East leading Washington Nationals to two runs in 7 1/3 innings while out striking out 11.

    •Jonathan Papelbon, RHP, Phillies --- Interest has been surprisingly light in a closer who has converted 23 of 26 save opportunities with a 1.96 ERA in 41 games. Furthermore, he has 309 saves in his 10-year career. However, Papelbon's personality rubs many people raw. He has been so vocal about wanting out of Philadelphia that the Phillies will absorb almost all of the remaining $31 million left on his contract to get rid of him.

    •Alexei Ramirez, SS, White Sox --- Despite appearing in his first All-Star Game last week and hitting .280 with eight home runs and 17 stolen bases in 101 games, Ramirez is a goner in Chicago. He is 32, becomes a free agent at the end of the season and the White Sox have a ready-made replacement at Triple-A Charlotte in Carlos Sanchez.

    •Kurt Suzuki, C, Twins --- Suzuki has been a great bargain for Minnesota after being signed to a one-year, $2.75-million contact as a free agent in the offseason as he has hit .312 in 84 games. He is outstanding handler of pitchers and a clubhouse favorite. However, Suzuki is also 30 and the foundering Twins need to find out if rookie Josmil Pinto is the long-term answer at catcher.

    Around The League
    -- Dodgers manager Don Mattingly has been trying to fit four starting outfielders into three spots for more than a year and the situation is ready to come to a head --- and become a potential distraction in the midst of a tight NL West race with the San Francisco Giants. Mattingly believes his best alignment is Andre Ethier in left field, Yasiel Puig in center fielder and Matt Kemp in right field. Nothing wrong with that on the surface. Beneath the surface, though, it is going to cause plenty of problems.

    Kemp still believes he can be a Gold Glove center fielder and says if he has to play on a corner then he wants it to be left field. The gifted Puig would easily make the transition from right field to center field but he is a bone-breaking collision waiting to happen every time he chases a fly ball because of his propensity to not call off the other outfielders. Then there is the case of Carl Crawford winding up as a $20.25-million fourth outfielder. He won't be happy about that.

    -- The Colorado Rockies are on their way to not only a fifth consecutive losing season but oblivion as they are 41-60, last in the NL West with this yeas NL batting leader (Troy Tulowitzki) and last year's NL batting champion (Michael Cuddyer) on the disabled list. That's only part of the Rockies' problems. Their unusual --- to be kind --- front office structure just doesn't work. General manager Dan O'Dowd is a figurehead while assistant GM Bill Geivett runs the major league operation.

    Geivett is also the only executive in the big leagues with an office in his team's clubhouse, adjoining manager Walt Weiss' office at Coos Field. That is far too close for comfort for Weiss, who is chafing at the arrangement. Owner Dick Monfort has always been loyal to a fault to his employees and it's long past time for him to put sentimentality on the shelf and blow the operation up.

    -- The Hall of Fame inductions ceremonies are this weekend in Cooperstown and a star-studded cast will receive baseball's ultimate honor -- Tom Glavine, Greg Maddux, Frank Thomas, Bobby Cox, Tony La Russa and Joe Torre. That is truly a six pack of greatness.
    ______________________________________

    Jackpot In July Huge Discounted Offer

    We're just a few days away from the start of the 2014 National Football League & NCAA College Football Season and things are coming together very nicely here at StatSystemsSports.net. Along with the NBA Playoffs and MLB, an abundance of hours were spent in May and June diligently working on the upcoming football run. A number of exciting parameters were added to our state of the art database and we’ve uncovered some exciting and highly profitable Situational Analysis. We'll use them all this year and win with them I guarantee you that.

    If you haven't registered for our Full-Season Package for the 2014 (NFL & NCAACF) Football Season, you can do so right now at 570-828-4091, "Where The Winning Just Never Stops!" The current rate for football is $2199.00 a 50% saving for signing up today. For those of you that invest on basketball and baseball, you may want to consider our 2014-15 All Season Profit Pass. For an additional $1400, you'll get everything we release in all three sports from July 5th, 2014 to June 30th, 2015 for only $3599. That fee breaks down to less than $300.00 dollars per month and is a number I know you call can handle.

    We've got four months left in the Major League Baseball season and we're looking at our 2014 MLB Game of the Year. Normally priced at $350, you can get everything we release on the diamond in July thru the 2014 World Series as an added bonus. While also having access to all our Top-Rated Selections daily by E-mail. July isn't wasting any time so get on board today once again @ 570-828-4091.

    "You'll be real Glad you did” -Stan!
    _____________________________

    Betting Notes - Friday

    National League
    •Cardinals-Cubs - 4:05 PM
    --Kelly is 2-1, 3.55 in five starts this season.
    --Wood is 0-3, 9.72 in his last three starts.

    --St Louis lost its last three games.
    --Cubs lost seven of their last eight games.

    --Eight of last ten games at Wrigley Field went over total.

    •Diamondbacks-Phillies - 7:05 PM
    --Miley is 3-0, 1.74 in his last three starts.
    --Kendrick is 1-2, 9.92 in his last three starts.

    --Arizona lost seven of its last ten road games.
    --Phillies lost seven of their last nine games.

    --Last four Kendrick starts went over the total.

    •Nationals-Reds - 7:10 PM
    --Roark is 6-2, 2.45 in his last eight starts.
    --Simon is 2-1, 2.43 in his last five starts.

    --Washington won six of its last eight games.
    --Reds are off 0-6 road trip; they're 7-2 in last nine home games.

    --Last six Washington road games went over the total.

    •Padres-Braves - 7:35 PM
    --Hahn is 5-1, 1.70 in his last six starts.
    --Wood is 2-1, 2.87 in his last five starts.

    --San Diego won four of its last five games.
    --Braves won nine of their last thirteen home games.

    --13 of last 17 San Diego road games stayed under.

    •Mets-Brewers - 8:10 PM
    --Wheeler is 1-0, 1.42 in his last four starts.
    --Brewers lost last five Gallardo starts (0-1, 7.33 in last four).

    --Mets lost 10 of their last 14 road games.
    --Milwaukee won its last five home games.

    --Four of Mets' last five road games stayed under.

    •Pirates-Rockies - 8:40 PM
    --Morton is 1-0, 2.77 in his last four starts.
    --Anderson is 0-3, 5.33 in five starts this season.

    --Pittsburgh won five of its last six games.
    --Rockies lost seven of their last eight games.

    --Five of last six Pittsburgh road games went over.

    •Dodgers-Giants - 10:15 PM
    --Greinke is 2-3, 4.05 in his last five starts.
    --Lincecum is 4-1, 0.96 in his last five starts; he had a save Tuesday.

    --Dodgers lost six of their last eight road games.
    --Giants won six of their last eight games.

    --Six of last eight Dodger games stayed under total.

    American League
    •Blue Jays-Yankees - 7:05 PM
    --Buehrle is 0-5, 4.24 in his last eight starts.
    --Kuroda is 0-0, 1.98 in his last couple starts.

    --Blue Jays won five of last six games, but are 3-13 in last 16 road games.
    --New York won seven of its last nine games.

    --Under is 11-2-2 in last fifteen Yankees home games.

    •Red Sox-Rays - 7:10 PM
    --Boston won last seven Lester starts (4-0, 1.70).
    --Price is 5-0, 1.13 in his last five starts.

    --Boston won eight of its last twelve games.
    --Tampa Bay won its last seven games.

    --Six of last eight Boston road games went over total.

    •Athletics-Rangers - 8:05 PM
    --Hammel is 0-2, 10.29 in two starts for Oakland.
    --Williams was 1-4, 6.04 in 26 relief stints for Houston this year; he is 43-51 in his MLB career, making 117 career starts (9-10, 4.57 in 25 starts LY).

    --Oakland won five of its last seven games.
    --Rangers lost 28 of their last 34 games.

    --Six of last eight A's games went over the total.

    •White Sox-Twins - 8:10 PM
    --Danks is 2-1, 5.30 in his last six starts.
    --Correia is 1-4, 4.03 in his last five starts.

    --White Sox lost three of their last five games.
    --Minnesota lost five of its last seven games.

    --12 of last 16 White Sox games stayed under.

    •Indians-Royals - 8:10 PM
    --Tomlin is 0-2, 6.88 in his last three starts.
    --Ventura is 1-3, 4.71 in his last five starts.

    --Cleveland lost four of its last five games.
    --Kansas City won its last three games.

    --Five of last six Indian games stayed under total.

    •Tigers-Angels - 10:05 PM
    --Smyly is 3-4, 4.02 in his last seven starts.
    --Skaggs is 1-4, 5.93 in his last seven starts.

    --Detroit won four of its last five games.
    --Angels lost three of their last four games.

    --Seven of last ten Angel games stayed under total.

    •Orioles-Mariners - 10:10 PM
    --Gausman is 1-2, 5.59 in his last four starts.
    --Hernandez is 3-0, 1.60 in his last six starts.

    --Orioles won 11 of their last 16 road games.
    --Seattle lost six of its last eight games.

    --12 of last 14 Seattle home games stayed under.

    Interleague
    •Marlins-Astros - 8:10 PM
    --Hand is 1-2, 5.34 in six starts this season.
    --Keuchel is 1-3, 6.67 in his last five starts.

    --Miami won four of its last five games.
    --Astros lost five of last six home games.

    --Over is 13-7 in last 20 Houston games.

    •Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
    -- Kelly 3-2; Wood 10-10
    -- Miley 11-10; Kendrick 8-11
    -- Roark 10-9; Simon 15-4
    -- Hahn 5-2; Wood 5-7
    -- Wheeler 8-12; Gallardo 9-11
    -- Morton 10-10; Anderson 6-4
    -- Greinke 11-9; Lincecum 13-7

    -- Buehrle 14-6; Kuroda 9-11
    -- Lester 13-7; Price 13-8
    -- Hammel 10-7/0-2; Williams 0-0
    -- Danks 9-11; Correia 6-14
    -- Tomlin 5-8; Ventura 8-10
    -- Smyly 6-10; Skaggs 9-6
    -- Gausman 5-3; Hernandez 15-6

    -- Hand 2-4; Keuchel 10-8

    •Incredible Stat of the Day
    Boston’s Jon Lester is a spot-less 7-0 with a 0.85 earned-run average during his last seven teams starts, and also 5-0 with a 0.75 ERA his last five team starts during July. Lester (10-7, 2.50) has had to endure ongoing trade rumors with the defending World Series champs at the bottom of the American League East following three straight losses in Toronto.

    The left-hander allowed an earned run in three of his last four after surrendering four hits over eight innings in Sunday's 6-0 home win over Kansas City. Now Lester will make his first start since principal owner John Henry announced Wednesday that the club would table contract talks with him until the offseason. Lester has won his last three starts versus Tampa Bay, including Game #1 of last year's playoff series. In his only meeting this season, he allowed four hits with 12 strikeouts in seven innings of a 4-0 home win June 1.

    Diamond Trends - Friday
    •TEXAS is 13-2 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was TEXAS 5.3, OPPONENT 3.0.

    •SAN DIEGO is 22-6 UNDER (+15.4 Units) versus a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.
    The average score was SAN DIEGO 3.2, OPPONENT 2.8.

    •MIAMI is 16-3 (+15.6 Units) against the run line versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was MIAMI 4.3, OPPONENT 3.2.

    •ALFREDO SIMON is 14-0 (+15.2 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.
    The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 1.8.

    •HIROKI KURODA is 21-3 UNDER (+17.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was KURODA 2.8, OPPONENT 3.4.

    •WADE MILEY is 14-2 (+13.4 Units) against the run line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
    The average score was MILEY 4.7, OPPONENT 2.2.

    Situation Analysis of The Day
    •Play On - Home teams (KANSAS CITY) - team with a poor on base percentage (<=.320) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP<=1.300) - American League, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings.
    (38-12 since 1997.) (76.0%, +37.5 units. Rating = 5*)

    The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +130.1
    The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.2)

    The situation's record this season is: (2-1, +1 units).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (7-3, +4.7 units).
    Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-5, +20 units).

    •Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CINCINNATI) - bad offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.00) (National League), after a loss by 4 runs or more.
    (52-15 since 1997.) (77.6%, +41.5 units. Rating = 5*)

    The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (46-21)
    The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.6, money line price: +109
    The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +1.2)
    The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 41 (61.2% of all games.)

    The situation's record this season is: (4-1, +4 units).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (26-5, +22.8 units).
    Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-7, +28.7 units).

    •Play Under - Home teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (HOUSTON) - below average American League hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA <=3.75), with a cold starting pitcher- WHIP >= 2.000 over his last 5 starts.
    (35-10 since 1997.) (77.8%, +24.4 units. Rating = 3*)

    The average total posted in these games was: 9.1, Money Line=-106
    The average score in these games was: Team 3.4, Opponent 4.1 (Total runs scored = 7.6)
    The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 30 (63.8% of all games.)

    The situation's record this season is: (1-1, +0 units).
    Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4, +4.7 units).
    Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (19-6, +12.4 units).

  17. #17
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Gamblers Data

    Free Plays Friday

    Washington / Cincy Under 7.5

    Mets + 128

  18. #18
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Hondo

    By now it’s clear Hondo arrived at the Sawx party too late, which he proved again with Thursday’s loss in Toronto that pushed the debt to an even-steven 1,500 hamiltons.

    Friday night: Mr. Aitch will do the Hiroki-pokey with Kuroda and the Yanks, who no doubt will hand the Jays their 17th straight Stadium seback. Ten units.

  19. #19
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Mighty Quinn

    Mighty hit with the Yankees on Thursday and likes the Yankees on Friday.

    The deficit is 304 sirignanos.

  20. #20
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    344,523
    Rep Power
    379
    Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

    Free play Braves -165 w/ Wood

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •