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StatSystemsSports
Inside The Huddle – Monday
#489 NY GIANTS @ #490 DETROIT
TV: 7:10 PM EST, ESPN
Line: Lions -6.5, Total: 47
The New York Giants debut their new-look offense with hopes of avoiding a repeat of their horrific start to the 2013 campaign when they visit the Detroit Lions on Monday night in the season opener for both teams. New York put itself out of playoff contention early last year, losing its first six games thanks largely to its shoddy offensive play. The Giants led the National Football League with 44 giveaways, including a league-high 27 interceptions by Eli Manning, and ranked 28th in scoring with 294 points.
Offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride promptly retired after the season and New York brought in Ben McAdoo from Green Bay to install his version of the West Coast offense - a system with which Manning struggled during the preseason. Detroit is seeking just its third winning season in the last 15 after losing six of its last seven games in 2013 - including each of its final four. Coach Jim Schwartz took the fall for the meltdown and was replaced by Jim Caldwell, whose offensive-minded approach could do wonders for a team boasting the likes of Calvin Johnson, Matthew Stafford and Reggie Bush.
•ABOUT THE GIANTS (2013: 7-9, 3rd NFC East): New York will be without its 2014 first-round pick as wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. will watch from the sideline with a hamstring injury that limited him throughout the preseason. Guard Geoff Schwartz will miss the first half of the season as he was placed on injured reserve/designated to return with a dislocated big toe on his right foot. To replace him, New York signed veteran offensive lineman Adam Snyder, who was released by San Francisco on Saturday.
•ABOUT THE LIONS (2013: 7-9, 3rd NFC North): Stafford will have a second option after Johnson this season as Detroit added Golden Tate, who made a career-high 64 receptions for Super Bowl champion Seattle last season. That's good news for Johnson, who missed two games in 2013 due to a nagging knee injury and saw action in only one preseason contest in order to maintain his good health. "My body feels great," the superstar said. "This is as good as I've felt in a while." Stafford hopes the duo will help him eclipse the 4,500-yard plateau for a fourth straight season.
•PREGAME NOTES: New York has won each of the last three games in the all-time series, including a 23-20 overtime triumph on the road last season.... Manning was sacked a career-high 39 times in 2013.... The Lions have qualified for the postseason just once in the last 14 seasons.... Free agency has allowed the Giants to upgrade the secondary. Cornerbacks Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie and Walter Thurmond along with improving holdover Prince Amukamara and veteran safety Antrel Rolle could make it difficult to throw on New York, which did bid goodbye to 2013 sack leader Justin Tuck and tackle Linval Joseph.
Detroit, despite their overall struggles, have been pretty good at making money right out of the gate of late, going 8-3 against the spread over their last eleven season openers. The Giants have been pretty good on the big stage recently, going 8-4 ATS in their last twelve appearances on Monday Night Football, but have lost five straight ATS when they open the season on the road. Game #1 underdogs on MNF are 30-13 versus the number, including 15-4 ATS in non-division clashes, since 1980. New York is 7-0 ATS in games against the NFC North, while the Lions own an 0-7 ATS record at home versus non-divisional NFC opponents. The series visitor is a perfect 8-0 ATS.
•KEY STATS
--NY GIANTS are 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) in road games against NFC North division opponents since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 20.8, OPPONENT 18.5.
--NY GIANTS are 29-13 OVER (+14.7 Units) in the first two weeks of the season since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 23.0, OPPONENT 24.6.
--NY GIANTS are 29-12 UNDER (+15.8 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 since 1992.
The average score was NY GIANTS 20.8, OPPONENT 23.3.
--NY GIANTS are 12-4 UNDER (+7.6 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 8.5, OPPONENT 12.3.
--NY GIANTS are 11-3 UNDER (+7.7 Units) the 1rst half total as an underdog versus the 1rst half line over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 8.5, OPPONENT 11.2.
--NY GIANTS are 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) the 1rst half total against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 8.8, OPPONENT 11.3.
--NY GIANTS are 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY GIANTS 8.9, OPPONENT 10.8.
--DETROIT is 23-44 ATS (-25.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
The average score was DETROIT 23.7, OPPONENT 20.1.
--DETROIT is 10-2 UNDER (+7.8 Units) when playing on Monday night since 1992.
The average score was DETROIT 16.8, OPPONENT 20.3.
--DETROIT is 23-44 against the 1rst half line (-25.4 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points versus the first half line since 1992.
The average score was DETROIT 11.8, OPPONENT 10.7.
--DETROIT is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) the 1rst half total when playing on Monday night since 1992.
The average score was DETROIT 7.6, OPPONENT 10.8.
•COACHING TRENDS
--TOM COUGHLIN is 22-9 UNDER (+12.1 Units) in a road game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 points as the coach of NY GIANTS.
The average score was NY GIANTS 21.9, OPPONENT 23.3.
--TOM COUGHLIN is 43-24 UNDER (+16.5 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 3.5 points or less versus the 1rst half line in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was COUGHLIN 9.5, OPPONENT 11.6.
--TOM COUGHLIN is 25-10 UNDER (+13.9 Units) the 1rst half total as a road underdog of 2 to 3.5 points versus the 1rst half line in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was COUGHLIN 8.9, OPPONENT 12.0.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--DETROIT is 4-4 against the spread versus NY GIANTS since 1992.
--NY GIANTS is 5-3 straight up against DETROIT since 1992.
--5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--NY GIANTS is 5-3 versus the first half line when playing against DETROIT since 1992.
--5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--NYG are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
--NYG are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 versus NFC.
--Over is 4-1 in NYG last 5 games in Week #1.
--DET is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
--DET is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in Week #1.
--Under is 7-0 in DET last 7 Monday games.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
--In past games, the underdog covered the spread 44 times, while the favorite covered the spread 39 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 70 times, while the underdog won straight up 20 times. 39 games went under the total, while 11 games went over the total. *EDGE against the total =UNDER.
--In past games, the underdog covered first half line 70 times, while the favorite covered first half line 69 times. *No EDGE. 61 games went under first half total, while 26 games went over first half total. *EDGE against first half total =UNDER.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Under - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (DETROIT) - in the first week of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses, marginal losing team from last season who won 40-49% of their games.
(33-9 since 1983.) (78.6%, +23.1 units. Rating = 3*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 20.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 9.1, Opponent 8.3 (Total first half points scored = 17.5)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-0).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1).
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#491 SAN DIEGO @ #492 ARIZONA
TV: 10:20 PM EST, ESPN
Line: Cardinals -3, Total: 46.5
The San Diego Chargers look to get off to a better start in 2014 as they visit University of Phoenix Stadium to take on the Arizona Cardinals in Week #1 of Monday Night's Football twin-bill. San Diego needed to finish 2013 with a four-game winning streak in order to qualify for the playoffs, where it defeated Cincinnati in a wild-card game before falling to AFC West rival Denver in the divisional round. The Chargers rode the strong play of Philip Rivers, who completed a league-leading and career-high 69.5 percent of his passes en route to Comeback Player of the Year honors.
The Cardinals reached double digits in victories for just the second time in their 26 years in Arizona but failed to reach the postseason due to the strength of the NFC West. The club went 2-4 against division rivals in 2013, including a 23-20 loss to San Francisco in the season finale. Arizona thrived at home last season, going 6-2 while allowing an impressive 17.8 points per contest, but could be without starting running back Andre Ellington, who hurt his foot Thursday and did not practice Friday.
•ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2013: 9-7, 3rd AFC West): San Diego hopes to improve upon its rank of 23rd in total defense with the return of linebacker Dwight Freeney and the addition of cornerback Brandon Flowers. Freeney had his 2013 campaign abruptly ended when he tore his quadriceps in Week #4 while Flowers joins the club from division rival Kansas City, where he recorded a career-worst one interception but registered a personal-best six sacks. The Chargers were fifth in the league with an average of 393.3 total yards and could put up even better numbers with another strong effort from Rivers and a backfield that features three solid options in Ryan Mathews, Danny Woodhead and newcomer Donald Brown.
•ABOUT THE CARDINALS (2013: 10-6, 3rd NFC West): Carson Palmer had a strong initial season in the desert, throwing for a career-high 4,274 yards while completing 63.3 percent of his passes - his best mark since 2007 while with Cincinnati (64.9). Arizona's defense was a strong point in 2013, ranking sixth in both yards allowed (317.4) and sacks (47), but it took a major hit afterward. Karlos Dansby exited via free agency and fellow linebacker Daryl Washington was suspended for the entire 2014 campaign after violating the league's substance policy a second time while defensive end Darnell Dockett suffered a season-ending knee injury during training camp.
•PREGAME NOTES: Arizona hasn't faced San Diego since a 41-10 road loss in 2010, its third consecutive defeat in the series. The Cardinals are 3-9 all-time against the Chargers.... Arizona CB Patrick Peterson signed a five-year, $70 million contract extension during the offseason.... Ellington averaged a league-best 5.53 yards per carry during his rookie season in 2013.... Mathews played in every game for the first time in his four-year career, rushing for 1,255 yards and six touchdowns. Woodhead caught 76 passes for 605 yards, finishing second in both categories at his position.
Arizona is 6-15-1 all-time on Monday nights and, like its quarterback, owns a three-game losing streak dating to 2008. The Cardinals’ MNF winning percentage (.295) is the second worst in the NFL since the 1970 merger, according to our NFL database here at StatSystems Sports. To make matters worse, the Cardinals are 1-8 on MNF since moving to Arizona in 1988 and are 1-6 at home during that span. The Chargers come into Arizona treating MNF as an old hat. They are 8-5 since 2006 under Philip Rivers, who is a career 64.8-percent passer on Mondays. He’s thrown 24 touchdowns to 10 interceptions.
•KEY STATS
--SAN DIEGO is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) as a road underdog of 7 points or less since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 21.0, OPPONENT 22.6.
--SAN DIEGO is 28-14 ATS (+12.6 Units) in a road game where the total is greater than or equal to 45.5 since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 25.7, OPPONENT 25.5.
--SAN DIEGO is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in dome games since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 22.4, OPPONENT 22.3.
--SAN DIEGO is 40-23 ATS (+14.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 21.7, OPPONENT 22.0.
--SAN DIEGO is 54-33 OVER (+17.7 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 23.1, OPPONENT 23.2.
--SAN DIEGO is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) the 1rst half total versus the 1rst half line in road games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 9.5, OPPONENT 10.5.
--SAN DIEGO is 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) the 1rst half total in a road game where the first half total is 22.5 or higher over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 8.5, OPPONENT 11.3.
--ARIZONA is 26-50 against the 1rst half line (-29.0 Units) in September games since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 7.5, OPPONENT 12.7.
--ARIZONA is 30-55 against the 1rst half line (-30.5 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 8.4, OPPONENT 12.9.
--ARIZONA is 30-52 against the 1rst half line (-27.2 Units) in the first month of the season since 1992.
The average score was ARIZONA 7.7, OPPONENT 12.7.
•COACHING TRENDS
--MIKE MCCOY is 13-5 UNDER (+7.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus the first half line in all games as the coach of SAN DIEGO.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 11.1, OPPONENT 11.0.
--BRUCE ARIANS is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was ARIANS 26.7, OPPONENT 16.7.
--BRUCE ARIANS is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in dome games in all games he has coached since 1992.
The average score was ARIANS 24.9, OPPONENT 20.3.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN DIEGO is 4-3 against the spread versus ARIZONA since 1992.
--SAN DIEGO is 5-2 straight up against ARIZONA since 1992.
--4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1992.
--ARIZONA is 4-3 versus the first half line when playing against SAN DIEGO since 1992.
--5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1992.
--Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--SD is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Monday games.
--SD is 4-0-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
--Over is 4-1 in SD last 5 games in September.
--ARI is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Monday games.
--ARI is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games in Week #1.
--Under is 8-2 in ARI last 10 games in September.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Yards/Play and turnovers) Here are the results against the spread, against the total, and straight up:
--In past games, the favorite covered the spread 41 times, while the underdog covered the spread 35 times. *No EDGE. In past games, the favorite won the game straight up 46 times, while the underdog won straight up 31 times. 39 games went over the total, while 29 games went under the total. *No EDGE.
--In past games, the favorite covered first half line 73 times, while the underdog covered first half line 65 times. *No EDGE. 62 games went over first half total, while 56 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Under - Any team where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 (SAN DIEGO) - terrible defensive team from last season - allowed 5.7 or more yards/play, incredible offense from last season - averaged 6.0 or more yards/play, in the first week of the season.
(54-25 over the last 5 seasons.) (68.4%, +26.5 units. Rating = 2*)
The average first half total posted in these games was: 22.9
The average first half score in these games was: Team 11.2, Opponent 10.4 (Total first half points scored = 21.6)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (39-14).
Over the last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (79-40).
Since 1983 the situation's record is: (137-85).
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Game of the Day: Monday Night Football doubleheader
New York Giants at Detroit Lions. (-6.5, 47)
The New York Giants debut their new-look offense with hopes of avoiding a repeat of their horrific start to the 2013 campaign when they visit the Detroit Lions on Monday night in the season opener for both teams. New York put itself out of playoff contention early last year, losing its first six games thanks largely to its shoddy offensive play. The Giants led the NFL with 44 giveaways, including a league-high 27 interceptions by Eli Manning, and ranked 28th in scoring with 294 points.
Offensive coordinator Kevin Gilbride promptly retired after the season and New York brought in Ben McAdoo from Green Bay to install his version of the West Coast offense – a system with which Manning struggled during the preseason. Detroit is seeking just its third winning season in the last 15 after losing six of its last seven games in 2013 – including each of its final four. Coach Jim Schwartz took the fall for the meltdown and was replaced by Jim Caldwell, whose offensive-minded approach could do wonders for a team boasting the likes of Calvin Johnson, Matthew Stafford and Reggie Bush.
TV: 7:10 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE HISTORY: The Westgate LV Superbook opened the Lions as 4-point faves, but they now have Lions -6.5. The total opened at 46 and is now 47.
INJURY REPORT: Giants – CB Prince Amukamara (Probably, groin), LB Jon Beason (Probably, foot), WR Odell Beckham (Questionable, hamstring). Lions – S James Ihedigbo (Probable, knee).
POWER RANKINGS: Giants (+3) – Lions (+3.25) + home field (-3.0) – Lions (-3.25)
WEATHER REPORT: N/A
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “After missing the playoffs the last two years, the schedule is on the side of New York as a win here could lead to a 5-0 start. The Giants are 0-7 ATS in their last seven Monday night games as underdogs of four or more points. Jim Caldwell takes over for a Detroit teams that has lost 17 of its last 24 games but it is loaded on both sides of the ball. The Lions have covered five of their last six as Monday night favorites.” Matt Fargo.
ABOUT THE GIANTS (2013: 7-9, 7-9 ATS, 7-9 O/U, 3rd NFC East): New York will be without its 2014 first-round pick as wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. will watch from the sideline with a hamstring injury that limited him throughout the preseason. Guard Geoff Schwartz will miss the first half of the season as he was placed on injured reserve/designated to return with a dislocated big toe on his right foot. To replace him, New York signed veteran offensive lineman Adam Snyder, who was released by San Francisco on Saturday.
ABOUT THE LIONS (2013: 7-9, 6-10 ATS, 8-8 O/U, 3rd NFC North): Stafford will have a second option after Johnson this season as Detroit added Golden Tate, who made a career-high 64 receptions for Super Bowl champion Seattle last season. That’s good news for Johnson, who missed two games in 2013 due to a nagging knee injury and saw action in only one preseason contest in order to maintain his good health. “My body feels great,” the superstar said. “This is as good as I’ve felt in a while.” Stafford hopes the duo will help him eclipse the 4,500-yard plateau for a fourth straight season.
TRENDS:
* Road team is 6-0 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 7-0 in Lions last seven Monday games.
* Giants are 5-2 ATS in their last seven Monday games.
* Over is 6-1 in Lions last 7 games in Week 1.
CONSENSUS: 60 percent of wagers are supporting the Lions.
San Diego Chargers at Arizona Cardinals (-3, 46.5)
The San Diego Chargers look to get off to a better start this year as they visit the Arizona Cardinals on Monday night in the season opener for both clubs. San Diego needed to finish 2013 with a four-game winning streak in order to qualify for the playoffs, where it defeated Cincinnati in a wild-card game before falling to AFC West rival Denver in the divisional round. The Chargers rode the strong play of Philip Rivers, who completed a league-leading and career-high 69.5 percent of his passes en route to Comeback Player of the Year honors.
The Cardinals reached double digits in victories for just the second time in their 26 years in Arizona but failed to reach the postseason due to the strength of the NFC West. The club went 2-4 against division rivals in 2013, including a 23-20 loss to San Francisco in the season finale. Arizona thrived at home last season, going 6-2 while allowing an impressive 17.8 points per contest, but could be without starting running back Andre Ellington, who hurt his foot Thursday and did not practice Friday.
TV: 10:20 p.m. ET, ESPN.
LINE HISTORY: The Westgate LV Superbook opened the Cards as 3-point faves in July and it’s remained at that number. The total opened at 44.5 and is up to 46.5.
INJURY REPORT: Chargers – LB Manti Te’o (Probably, foot), TE Antonio Gates (Questionable, hamstring). Cardinals – S Tyrann Mathieu (Questionable, knee), RB Andre Ellington (Doubtful, foot).
POWER RANKINGS: Chargers (-2) + Cardinals (+1) + home field (-3.0) = Pick
WEATHER FORECAST: N/A
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “According to reports, the Chargers offense is clicking under new OC Frank Reich so they could be a dangerous sleeper if the defense improves. San Diego was 5-1-1 ATS last season as a road underdog. It will be tough for the Cardinals to post double-digit wins once again playing in a brutal division and a tough out of conference schedule on top of it. Arizona has covered its last four season openers. “Matt Fargo.
ABOUT THE CHARGERS (2013: 9-7, 9-6-1 ATS, 7-9 O/U, 3rd AFC West): San Diego hopes to improve upon its rank of 23rd in total defense with the return of linebacker Dwight Freeney and addition of cornerback Brandon Flowers. Freeney had his 2013 campaign abruptly ended when he tore his quadriceps in Week 4 while Flowers joins the club from division rival Kansas City, where he recorded a career-worst one interception but registered a personal-best six sacks. The Chargers were fifth in the league with an average of 393.3 total yards and could put up even better numbers with another strong effort from Rivers and a backfield that features three solid options in Ryan Mathews, Danny Woodhead and newcomer Donald Brown.
ABOUT THE CARDINALS (2013: 10-6, 11-5 ATS, 8-8 O/U, 3rd NFC West): Carson Palmer had a strong initial season in the desert, throwing for a career-high 4,274 yards while completing 63.3 percent of his passes – his best mark since 2007 while with Cincinnati (64.9). Arizona’s defense was a strong point in 2013, ranking sixth in both yards allowed (317.4) and sacks (47), but it took a major hit afterward. Karlos Dansby exited via free agency and fellow linebacker Daryl Washington was suspended for the entire 2014 campaign after violating the league’s substance policy a second time while defensive end Darnell Dockett suffered a season-ending knee injury during training camp.
TRENDS:
* Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last six meetings.
* Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last five Monday games.
* Chargers are 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
* Under is 8-2 in Cardinals last 10 games in September.
CONSENSUS: 53 percent of wagers are behind the Chargers.
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Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals -143 over Atlanta Braves
(System Record: 89-2, lost last game)
Overall Record: 89-68
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Football Crusher
Arizona Cardinals -150 over San Diego Chargers
(System Record: 2-1, won last game)
Overall Record: 2-5
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Soccer Crusher
Saudi Arabia + Australia UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Friendlies
(System Record: 631-22, lost last game and a push)
Overall Record: 631-522-93
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Maddux Sports
10* Giants/Lions Over 46
10* Chargers/Arizona Over 45
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Insiderpropicks
SD Chargers
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Indian Cowboy
3-unit Arizona -3
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Robert Ferringo
1*-det-6.5
2*-ariz-3
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Raphael esparza
Vegas Sports Informer
3* Chargers +3
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Strike Point Sports
7* Chargers +3
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Underdogs solid ATS between Giants-Lions
Stephen Campbell
The underdog is 5-1 against the spread in the last six meetings between the New York Giants and the Detroit Lions.
That's a trend that will gives some hope for Giants backers as they currently sit at +6.5 road dogs for the matchup. The total is presently 47.
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Road team cleaning up ATS between Cardinals-Chargers
Stephen Campbell
When the San Diego Chargers and Arizona Cardinals have met recently, it's the road team that's been cashing in for spread bettors.
The visiting team is 5-1 against the spread in the last six clashes between the two. San Diego will be on the road Monday when they pay a visit to the Cardinals in the desert.
Arizona is currently three-point faves with a total of 46.5.
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Trends show Chargers love high totals in September
Stephen Campbell
The San Diego Chargers have a history of putting a lot of points on the board early in the year, evidenced by the Over going 4-1 in their last five September games.
The Arizona Cardinals host the Chargers in their season opening game Monday night.
The Cardinals are currently -3 faves with a total of 46.5.
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Under sizzling with Giants on the road
Stephen Campbell
The New York Giants have been a boon for Under bettors away from MetLife Stadium.
In the Giants' last eighteen road games, the Under is 14-4. New York will travel to the Motor City to take on the Detroit Lions Monday.
Detroit is currently -6.5 faves with an O/U of 47 for the season opening game.
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Monday's Doubleheader
N.Y. Giants (0-0) at Detroit (0-0)
Line and Total: Detroit -6, Total: 47
Opening Line and Total: Detroit -4, Total 45.5
Two disappointing 2013 NFC teams look to start off the 2014 season with a confidence-building victory.
Last season, the Giants and Lions both had high expectations for themselves, but they both ended the year 7-9 SU. New York lost the first six games of the season in 2013 and that hole was too deep to dig out of. The Lions, on the other hand, were plagued by inconsistency all season and were never able to find their groove. When these teams met last year, the Giants prevailed 23-20 in Detroit. The game was decided on a field goal in overtime. Since 1992, the Giants are 4-0 SU and 4-0 ATS when playing on the road against the Lions. Since becoming the coach of the Giants, Tom Coughlin is 10-2 ATS in road games versus an NFC North opponent. For those interested in betting the total, 10 of the past 12 Monday night games that Detroit has played in have gone Under.
The Giants struggled last season, and a lot of that had to do with the poor play of their quarterback, Eli Manning. The two-time Super Bowl MVP threw for just 18 touchdowns with a career-worst 27 interceptions. New York brought in new offensive coordinator, Ben McAdoo, who will bring a similar look to what the Packers have done over the past few years. McAdoo has spent time as Aaron Rodgers’ quarterbacks coach, and the Giants are hoping that he can turn Manning back into a solid signal caller. If he is not taking care of the ball in this game, the Giants will struggle. Another player New York will rely on offensively is new RB Rashad Jennings.
The Giants signed the former Raiders rusher after a season in which he carried the football 163 times for 733 yards (4.5 YPC) and six touchdowns. Jennings is the type of no-nonsense runner that Tom Coughlin was begging for the past couple of years. His Week 1 matchup against a tough Lions front line will not be easy. The Giants defense will need to improve from last year. They allowed 223.3 passing yards per game (10th in NFL) and 108.9 rushing yards per game (14th in NFL). While those numbers don’t seem terrible, the Giants defense kept them out of many games last season. The addition of CB Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie should be a major boost to their secondary.
The Lions are loaded with talent on both sides of the ball and it’s only a matter of time before they make themselves a threat in the NFC. The Lions brought in a new head coach in Jim Caldwell and new offensive coordinator in Joe Lombardi, who spent last season with the Saints and hopes to bring over a very similar attack. Last season, QB Matt Stafford threw for 4,650 yards with 29 touchdowns and 19 interceptions. If he can master the same offense that Drew Brees did, Stafford could be in for a big year. WR Calvin Johnson is fresh off a season in which he caught 84 passes for 1,492 yards and 12 touchdowns. He is also as healthy as he’s been in recent memory.
The signing of WR Golden Tate, who had 64 receptions for 898 yards and five touchdowns last year for Seattle, will allow Johnson to work with more room on the field. Against the Giants, it would be wise for this team to balance its offense with a heavy dose of RBs Reggie Bush and Joique Bell. At times they get too predictable when forcing the ball to Calvin Johnson. They will need to open up the field to beat the Giants. Detroit has one of the best rushing defenses in the NFL. The club allowed just 99.8 yards per game on the ground (6th in NFL) last season. The Lions must, however, improve their secondary. Last season, they were allowing 246.9 yards per game through the air (23rd in NFL).
San Diego (0-0) at Arizona (0-0)
Line and Total: Arizona -3, Total: 45
Opening Line and Total: Arizona -3.5, Total 44.5
Two of the more surprising 2013 teams face off Monday night in Arizona when the Cardinals host the Chargers.
Last season, both the Chargers and Cardinals flew under the radar but terrorized opposing coaches. San Diego went 9-7 SU and stole a Wild Card playoff spot in the AFC. Arizona missed the playoffs despite going 10-6 SU while even winning a road game in Seattle. These two teams rarely get the opportunity to face one another in the regular season, but when they have, it has been all San Diego. Since 1992, the Chargers are 5-2 SU and 4-3 ATS when playing against the Cardinals. When the teams have met in Arizona, San Diego has gone 2-1 SU and 3-0 ATS.
Since 1992, the Chargers are 23-10 ATS in dome games. Bruce Arians, however, has gone 7-0 ATS as the Cardinals coach in home games where the Total is between 42.5 and 49 points. Four of the past seven games in this series have gone Over the total. The big injury news in this contest is Arizona star RB Andre Ellington, who is questionable with a foot injury. Teammate S Tyrann Mathieu (knee) is also questionable, while the Chargers have no key players that are questionable or doubtful for this game.
The Chargers were not expected to make the playoffs in the AFC last season, but they ended up winning 27-10 against the Bengals in the Wild Card round before losing to the Broncos 24-17 in the divisional round. Philip Rivers completely turned his career around last season, throwing for 4,478 yards with 32 touchdowns and 11 interceptions. Rivers was accurate and made plays whenever his team needed him. One of the biggest recipients of Rivers' play was rookie WR Keenan Allen who caught 71 passes for 1,046 yards and eight touchdowns last season. The Chargers are hoping he can jump into the league’s elite in his sophomore campaign. If the passing game doesn’t get going for the Chargers, they’ll have a lot of trouble winning this game.
Arizona’s strength is stopping the run, so Rivers will need to make the most of his pass attempts. When he does hand the ball off, it will be to the three-person committee of RBs Ryan Mathews, Donald Brown and Danny Woodhead. San Diego had a solid rush defense last year, allowing just 107.8 yards per game on the ground (12th in NFL). However, the club will need to improve in defending the pass. The Chargers allowed 258.7 yards per game through the air (29th in NFL) last year. If they show up sluggish in Week 1, Carson Palmer could make them pay with deep balls quite often.
Arizona had a great season last year, but now it must set its sights on making small improvements to secure a spot in the postseason. Carson Palmer is back to orchestrate the offense after a year in which he threw for 4,274 yards with 24 touchdowns and 22 interceptions. The Cardinals will want him to make better decisions this season as he throws to a talented group of wide receivers. Also expected to lead this team is RB Andre Ellington. The former Clemson running back rushed for 652 yards and three touchdowns on just 118 carries last season. He also caught 39 balls for 371 yards and a touchdown. Ellington has breakaway speed at the running back position, but it's not clear yet if he will be sidelined by his foot injury.
The Cardinals also bolstered the best rushing defense in the league last year, allowing just 84.4 yards per game (1st in NFL). The loss of DL Darnell Dockett (knee, IR) could set them back a little in that area, but they should still be one of the better units in the league. Their secondary has some room to improve, as they allowed 233.0 yards per game through the air (14th in NFL). CB Patrick Peterson will look to establish himself as the top shutdown corner in football this season.
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NFL Betting Recap - Week 1
Overall Notes
NFL Week 1 Results
Wager Favorites-Underdogs
Straight Up 6-7
Against the Spread 4-9
Wager Home-Away
Straight Up 7-6
Against the Spread 4-9
Wager Totals (O/U)
Over-Under 5-8
Biggest Favorite to Cash
Philadelphia (-10) defeated Jacksonville, 34-17
Biggest Underdog to Cash
Buffalo (+7, +250 ML) defeated Chicago, 23-20 (OT)
Blowing in the Wind
-- Three public favorites were on their way to cashing easily, but the Steelers, Saints, and Patriots failed to cover. Pittsburgh managed a last-second field goal to edge Cleveland as six-point home favorites, 30-27, as the Steelers squandered a 27-3 lead before the Browns rallied to tie the game at 27-27.
-- New Orleans and New England weren't as lucky in the road 'chalk' role. The Saints blew a 13-0 advantage in a 37-34 setback to the Falcons in overtime, as Atlanta tied the game with a last-second field at the end of regulation. Atlanta cashed as three-point home favorites, while avenging a pair of losses to New Orleans last season.
-- The Patriots threw away a 17-7 edge at Miami, as the Dolphins outscored New England, 26-3 in the final 32 minutes of a 33-20 loss at Sun Life Stadium. New England closed as 3 ½-point road favorites, as Bill Belichick's team lost its season opener for the first time since 2003.
Back (and front) door left open
-- The Raiders were totally outclassed by the Jets in Week 1, getting outgained 402-158. However, Oakland managed to cash as six-point road underdogs in a 19-14 defeat at New York thanks to a Derek Carr touchdown pass in the final two minutes.
-- So you think you were sharp by taking the Jaguars and 10 points. Things looked good for Jacksonville backers with a 17-0 halftime advantage, but Philadelphia scored the final 34 points of the game, capped off by a fumble return for a touchdown with 1:23 left to cover the double-digit line. Fair to say (after the fact) that taking the Eagles -7 ½ in the second half was probably the easiest second half bet of the week.
Bark like a dog
-- Nine underdogs cashed on Sunday afternoon, including four road teams that won outright. Cincinnati and Minnesota weren't that shocking, but how many people had Buffalo winning at Chicago? The Bills built a 17-7 halftime lead at Soldier Field as seven-point underdogs, but Chicago rallied to tie the game and force overtime. Following a Chicago punt on its first possession of overtime, Buffalo drove for the game-winning field goal to shock the Bears, 23-20.
-- The Titans opened as six-point underdogs at Kansas City, but that line moved all the way down to three at kickoff. Tennessee rolled at Arrowhead Stadium, 26-10, knocking off the defending AFC West champions by limiting Kansas City to 245 yards of offense. For the second straight season, the Titans won their season opener on the road in the underdog role, as Tennessee stunned Pittsburgh last season in Week 1.
Chase is on
-- For the bettors that lost with favorites in the 1:00 kickoffs, have no fear because the 49ers took care of the business in the dreaded "chase" game with a 28-17 victory at Dallas as 3 ½-point road favorites. The same can't be said for those who wanted to fade Carolina after news broke that Cam Newton was inactive. The Panthers played very well without their starting quarterback as Derek Anderson led Carolina to a 20-14 triumph at Tampa Bay as four-point 'dogs, while the two touchdowns by the Bucs came in the fourth quarter.
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NFL
Week 1
Giants @ Lions--Giants started 0-1 last three years; they’re lost three of last four road openers, with 12 of last 14 going over total. Detroit lost six of last seven games LY, one of which was 23-20 (-9) Week 16 debacle to Giants; Big Blue’s two TD’s were on 49-yard drive and defensive score. Lions outrushed them 148-41, still lost; that doesn’t happen a lot. Big Blue won last three series games by total of 17 points; they won last five visits to Motor City. Lions have new coaches, Giants have new offense that struggled to gel in preseason. Lions won last three home openers, scoring 36.3 ppg; they’re 7-1-1 vs spread in last nine HO’s, with last four going over total. Last three years, Giants are 11-6 as road underdogs.
Chargers @ Cardinals-- San Diego is 9-3 in last dozen series games, winning last three by 8-7-31 points; they won three of four visits here, but haven’t been in desert since ’02, before dome opened. Chargers are 8-3-1 as road underdogs last two years; they covered three of four vs. NFC LY, after being 0-8 previous two seasons. Bolts won four of last five Week 1 road openers; five of their last seven road openers went over total. Cardinals were 5-1-1 as favorites in Arians’ first year, after covering only five of previous 20 games when favored. Arizona won six of last seven home openers (5-2 vs. spread); they‘re 6-1-1 vs. spread in Week 1 last eight years. Why did these teams meet in preseason LAST WEEK?
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Weaver a solid Under bet at Progressive Field
Andrew Avery
The Under has gone 8-0-1 in Jered Weaver's previous nine road starts against the Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field.
The Angels' righty has already made one start versus the Indians in Cleveland this season. Back on June 16, he lasted six innings and gave up four runs as the home team prevailed 4-3, staying below the closing total of 9.
Weaver will be on the mound Monday afternoon, pitching against Danny Salazar.
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