marc lawrence late phone plays
OREGON
marc lawrence late phone plays
OREGON
any RAS plays
StatFox Super Situations
NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
Play Under - Any team where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points versus division opponents, off a upset win as an underdog
75-37 over the last 10 seasons. ( 67.0% | 34.3 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )
NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (MINNESOTA) off a upset win as an underdog, in weeks 5 through 9
156-64 since 1997. ( 70.9% | 0.0 units )
NFL | MINNESOTA at GREEN BAY
Play Against - Underdogs of 2 to 6 points vs. the first half line (MINNESOTA) off an upset win as a home underdog
221-134 since 1997. ( 62.3% | 73.6 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )
Thursday Night Football: Vikings at Packers
Minnesota Vikings at Green Bay Packers (-9, 47.5)
Aaron Rodgers implored anxious fans of the Green Bay Packers to "relax" and then went out and made sure they were able to do just that with a brilliant performance in a lopsided rout at bitter rival Chicago on Sunday. With a much brighter outlook surrounding the team, Rodgers and Green Bay will host another NFC North opponent when the Minnesota Vikings pay a visit on Thursday night. The Packers are 6-1-1 in the last eight meetings, including a 26-26 tie at home last November.
Minnesota is hoping it won't have to start its third quarterback in as many weeks after rookie Teddy Bridgewater injured an ankle during last week's 41-28 victory over visiting Atlanta. Bridgewater, the No. 32 pick in this year's draft, threw for 317 yards and ran for a touchdown Sunday in his first career start, but exited the game in the fourth quarter due to an ankle injury. Vikings coach Mike Zimmer said he is "hopeful" Bridgewater will play after an MRI exam came back clean, but the quarterback did sit out Monday's practice.
TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network. LINE: Packers -9. O/U: 47
LINE HISTORY: After opening as Green Bay -10, the line has since dropped to -9 on Wednesday. The total has seen a big drop after opening at 50, it now rests at 47.5.
INJURY REPORT: Vikings - LB Chad Greenway (Out-Ribs), QB Teddy Bridgewater (Ques-Thurs) Packers - WR Jarrett Boykin (Out-Knee).
WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for a 78 percent chance of thunderstorms in Green Bay. Wind will blow across the field at 6 mph.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Coming off the upset of Atlanta, Minnesota heads to Green Bay on short rest as big dog on Thursday. The Vikes are 1-5 ATS after scoring 30 or more points. Green Bay halted its two-game skid and has a short turnaround for its 3rd straight divisional game Thursday. The Pack are 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven home games." Matt Fargo,
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Thursday night's game opened Green Bay 9.5 and to our surprise smart money came on the dog and currently we have -9 -105. Teddy Bridgewater sprained his ankle in the last game and even though the team says his ankle is doing much better he has yet to practice on Monday or Tuesday. If he cannot play Christian Ponder will get the start so you can expect the line to go to 10.5." Scott Kaminsky.
ABOUT THE VIKINGS (2-2 SU, 2-2 ATS, 1-3 O/U): Bridgewater was not the only rookie to make a big impression in Sunday's win. Running back Jerick McKinnon, a converted quarterback out of Georgia Southern, ran for 135 yards on 18 carries as Minnesota rolled up 241 of its 558 yards on the ground after failing to score a TD in its previous seven quarters. Jarius Wright added eight catches for 132 yards to help spark an offense that has already lost stud running back Adrian Peterson following allegations of child abuse as well as starting quarterback Matt Cassel and tight end Kyle Rudolph to injury. Bridgewater on Tuesday declined to give a percentage on his chances of playing and his unavailability would open the door for former first-round pick Christian Ponder.
ABOUT THE PACKERS (2-2 SU, 1-2-1 ATS, 3-1 O/U): Following pair of meager offensive outputs in losses sandwiched around a come-from-behind victory over the New York Jets, Rodgers was spectacular in the 38-17 romp in Chicago, throwing for 302 yards and fourth touchdowns while compiling a 151.2 passer rating. Jordy Nelson caught two more scoring passes and leads the league with 33 catches and 459 yards while fellow wideout Randall Cobb also went over 100 yards receiving and added two touchdowns to give him five on the season. There are concerns about second-year back Eddie Lacy, who has yet to surpassed 48 yards in a game following his 1,178-yard campaign as a rookie. The defense also is struggling, allowing 235 yards rushing and 496 total to the Bears.
TRENDS:
*Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
*Packers are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games.
*Over is 20-8-1 in the last 29 meetings.
*Vikings are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Green Bay.
CONSENSUS: 54.71 percent are taking the Packers -9 with 69.8 percent taking the over.
NFL
Vikings (2-2) @ Packers (2-2)— Minnesota won 41-28 in Bridgewater’s first career start; he sprained ankle late in game, is expected to play here, but it is his first road start. Vikings scored 34-41 points in their two wins, 7-9 in losses- they ran ball for 186-241 yards in their two wins, 54-59 in losses. Pack is 23-15 in last 38 games as a home favorite, 3-5 in last eight. Vikings are 8-4 in last 12 games as a road underdog. Green Bay is 7-1-1 in last nine series games, 4-0-1 in last five here, winning by 4-38-9-14 points; their OL struggles show up in running game- they’re averaging 73 ypg on ground, not good. NFL-wide, divisional home favorites are 5-7 vs spread. Three of four Viking games stayed under total; three of four Packer games went over.
StatFox Super Situations
MLB | KANSAS CITY at LA ANGELS
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (LA ANGELS) below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
285-114 since 1997. ( 71.4% | 91.0 units )
56-32 this year. ( 63.6% | 1.0 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | DETROIT at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 49-38 (+22.9 Units) against the money line as an underdog of +100 or higher this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.1)
Gamblers Data
Free Play Thursday
Florida Atlantic -3.5 first half
Arizona +13.5 first half
Arthur Ralph Sports
Free play Thurs Tigers w/ Scherzer -110
Mighty Quinn
Mighty hit with the Giants on Wednesday and likes the Tigers on Thursday.
The deficit is 573 sirignanos.
Hondo
Hondo flying with Birds
Volquez was nowhere near up to the task so the Pirates were unable to patch together a victory Wednesday night, causing Hondo’s deficit to expand to 1,525 ellises.
Thursday night: Mr. Aitch will take a 10-unit shot with the Birds over the Tigers in their division series. Also, 10 on Tillman to help the Orioles nip Scherzer in Game 1.
Today's MLB Picks
Detroit at Baltimore
The Tigers open up their ALDS series in Baltimore today and come into the contest with a 4-0 record in Max Scherzer's last 4 starts as a road favorite. Detroit is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
THURSDAY, OCTOBER 2
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. ESTGame 901-902: Detroit at Baltimore (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 17.322; Baltimore (Tillman) 15.706
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-115); OverGame 903-904: Kansas City at LA Angels (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Vargas) 14.212; LA Angels (Weaver) 16.778
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-170); Under
Paul Leiner
100* Arizona/Oregon Over 78.5
100* Houston -3
50* Tigers -110
BeatYourBookie
THURSDAY
10* Play Minnesota +8.5 over Green Bay (Top NFL Play)
Green Bay is 1-4 ATS after scoring 35 points or more in their last game
Green Bay is 3-6 ATS after gaining 300 or more passing yards in their last game
10* Play FAU -6.5 over FIU (Top NCAA Play)
Florida Atlantic is 12-3 ATS in road games the last three seasons
Florida Atlantic is 15-3 ATS when playing with six or less days of rest
10* Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston (Top NCAA Play)
Central Florida is 15-2 SU vs. conference opponents the last three seasons
Central Florida is 11-1 SU after failing to cover the spread in two of the last three games
10* Play Arizona +24 over Oregon (Top NCAA Play)
Arizona is 13-4 SU when the total posted is greater than 63 points
Arizona is 11-2 SU coming off an OVER the total in their last game
BeatYourBookie
THURSDAY
MLB BASEBALL
10* Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit (MLB TOP PLAY)
Baltimore is 37-18 when playing on a Thursday
Baltimore is 49-38 when playing as an underdog of +100 or higher
Baltimore is 78-52 when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs
10* Play Kansas City +170 over LA Angels (MLB TOP PLAY)
Kansas City is 47-34 in road games this season
Kansas City is 64-48 in night games this season
Kansas City is 21-8 after having won six or seven of the last eight games
XpertPicks
THURSDAY BASEBALL
- Play Kansas City +170 over Los Angeles Angels---Top Play (Risk 10% of your Bankroll)
9:10 PM EST
Kansas City has won 47 of the last 81 road games and they have won 64 of the last 112 night games. Kansas City has won 9 consecutive games after scoring nine runs or more in their last game and they have won 21 of the last 29 games after having won six or seven of the last eight games.
- Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit---Top Play (Risk 5% of your Bankroll)
XpertPicks
THURSDAY
TOP NCAA FOOTBALL PLAY
- Play Florida Atlantic -6.5 over Florida International----RISK 35% OF YOUR BANKROLL
7:00 PM EST
Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in 12 of the last 15 road games and they have covered the spread in 15 of the last 18 games when playing with six or less days of rest. Florida Atlantic has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games when playing in the month of October and they have covered the spread in 6 consecutive games after allowing 37 or more points in their last game.
- Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston----RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
- Play Arizona +24 over Oregon---RISK 10% OF YOUR BANKROLL
FantasySportsGametime
THURSDAY FOOTBALL
5000* Play Florida Atlantic -6.5 over Florida International (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Florida International has lost 6 of the last 7 games against the spread when playing as a home underdog of 7 points or less and they have lost 22 of the last 29 games against the spread coming off two or more UNDER the totals. Florida International has lost 16 of the last 21 games after gaining 125 or less rushing yards in three straight games and they have lost 23 of the last 34 games against the spread when playing in the month of October.
5000* Play Central Florida +3.5 over Houston (TOP NCAA PLAY)
Central Florida has won 7 consecutive games when playing in the month of October and they have won 9 of the last 11 games after they forced one or less turnovers in their last game. Central Florida has won 10 of the last 12 games after scoring 37 points or more in their last game and they have won 4 consecutive games when playing on a Thursday.
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50* Play Arizona +24 over Oregon (BONUS NCAA PLAY)
50* Play Minnesota +8.5 over Green Bay (BONUS NFL PLAY)
FantasySportsGametime
MLB Baseball
1000* Play Baltimore +105 over Detroit (TOP MLB PLAY)
Baltimore has won 38 of the last 63 games after scoring one run or less in their last game and they have won 91 of the last 152 games after having lost two of the last three games. Baltimore has won 72 of the last 122 games after batting .240 or worse over the last ten games and they have won 90 of the last 143 home games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs.
================================================== ===
50* Play Kansas City +170 over Los Angeles Angels (BONUS MLB PLAY)
Thursday 100% MLB Playoff System Game of the Week, Triple system NFL and a Double system College Football play lead the Card. Prime time plays cashing over 72% long term after winners on the Over in the Dallas game and the Chiefs on Monday. Free College system play below.
On Thursday the free NCAAF Play is on Florida Atlantic. Game 303 at 7:00 eastern. Florida International comes home off a big road dog win as a 14 point dog. That win sets them up in a system that plays against home teams that are now an underdog and are playing an opponent off a win with a win percentage of .600 or less. Florida Atlantic has played a tougher schedule and has some gaudy trends on their side. FAU has covered 8 of 10 on Turf, the last 4 on the road if the total is 42 to 49, 8 of the last 9 in weeks 5-9 and 15 of the last 18 on 6 or less days rest. Florida International has lost straight up and ats the last 2 times as a home dog in this range. We will back the better team in Florida Atlantic/ On Thursday night there are 3 Big Top plays up, including the MLB 100% Playoff Game of the Week, the Triple system NFL Play and a Huge Double Perfect College Football system winner. Football combined is 73 games over. 500 the last 6+ seasons after cashing big on the Over in the Dallas game and KC on Monday. Jump on now and put the power of this industry leading data on your side. For the free play. Take Florida Atlantic. GC
Kevin's Pick(s):
That's a tough loss as we got a complete game shutout from Bumgarner, but Volquez didn't pitch too well leading to a 8-0 Giants victory.
- No system play from me today
Kyle's Pick(s)
2 UNIT = Kansas City Royals @ L.A. Angels - ANGELS -1.5 (+126)
Listed Pitchers: Vargas vs. Weaver
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 2.52 units)
I haven't lost that badly in quite a long time as I did on Tuesday. Entertaining game nevertheless. The Royals earned the right to play the Angels tonight, winning in dramatic fashion over the Athletics. I wish I could tell you I like betting on post-season baseball more than the regular season, but it doesn't take a statistician to tell you tell you chances of winning go down with such small cards.
Not to say we can't win money, I have made money the past two playoffs. Tonight the Royals try and have short memories, as the celebration is over and they look towards a series with the Angels. I think Kansas City is going to make a good series out of it, but in game 1 I don't see it. It will be hard for them not to have a hangover effect after winning their first post-season win in decades. The Angels will have the benefit of going with their ace, Jered Weaver, while Kansas will have to go with Jason Vargas. Vargas is one of the more inconsistent pitchers in the majors. He started off horribly, had a good stretch, and now is pitching some of his worst ball of the season. His last three starts have yielded an ERA of 9.60 with a 1.66 WHIP. His last four starts have produced 4, 5, 5, and 4 runs against. Additionally, Vargas has given up 22 runs in his last five starts. The Angels are hitting .270 against left-handed pitching. I can't say that Weaver has been lights out, 3.60 ERA his last three starts, but before allowing 4 in his last start, Weaver went 8 in a row without allowing more than 3 runs. The Royals haven't played Weaver since 2012, in two starts he allowed just 2 runs. Vargas gave up 6 runs in his last start against the Angels this season. The Angels are not just supposed to win a series this year, they're a favorite to win it all. They should show some muscle immediately tonight. At a pretty nice price I'll take them at -1.5.
Kevin's Pick(s):
As we enter Week 6 of the college football season I hope to start narrowing down our systems to only those performing well this year as well as historically. There is a lot of great games on the schedule this week, and the action kicks off on Thursday with four college games and three plays going...
2 UNIT = Central Florida @ Houston - [306] HOUSTON -3 (-115)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.74 units)
2 UNIT = Arizona @ Oregon - [308] OREGON -23.5 (-109)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.84 units)
2 UNIT = Arizona @ Oregon - [307] OVER 79 POINTS (-107)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.87 units)
Cheers,
Kevin
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