Dave Cokin:
110 South Alabama -14
113 BYU +6.5
BEN BURNS
FRIDAY FEAST! Cincinnati
StatFox Super Situations
CFL | HAMILTON at TORONTO
Play Under - Road teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 after 1 or more consecutive losses against the spread, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% in the second half of the season
35-9 since 1997. ( 79.5% | 25.1 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | -1.1 units )
CFL | MONTREAL at OTTAWA
Play Against - Road teams vs. the money line (MONTREAL) off an upset win over a division rival as an underdog against opponent off a loss against a division rival
31-7 since 1997. ( 81.6% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )
CFL | HAMILTON at TORONTO
Play On - Underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (HAMILTON) in a game involving two average teams (within +/- 40 YPG of their opponents), after outgaining opp by 120 or more total yards in their previous game
27-5 since 1997. ( 84.4% | 21.5 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )
StatFox Super Situations
NHL | CAROLINA at EDMONTON
Play On - Home Favorites against the money line (EDMONTON) terrible defensive team - allowing 3+ goals/game on the season, after allowing 2 goals or less in 2 straight games
57-16 over the last 5 seasons. ( 78.1% | 35.1 units )
Game of the Day: Oregon vs. California
Oregon Ducks at California Golden Bears (+17.5, 79)
Oregon quarterback Marcus Mariota threw a career-high six touchdown passes at California two years ago and the Heisman Trophy candidate will return to California's Memorial Stadium for the first time since that performance when the No. 7 Ducks face the Golden Bears in a Pac-12 game Friday night. Mariota will also attempt to remain error free in the interception department as he has thrown 238 consecutive passes without being picked off, a streak that dates back to last season. The streak is the second longest in conference history behind the 353 Mariota made without an interception during his first two years.
California also has a gifted signal caller in Jared Goff, who owns the second-best quarterback rating in the Pac-12 behind Mariota and has thrown 24 touchdown passes against four interceptions while eclipsing the 300-yard barrier in five straight games. Bryce Treggs and Kenny Lawler continue to be solid options for Goff at the wide receiver position, but Stephen Anderson appears to be gaining favor as well, catching at least four passes in each of the last four games. Mariota will likely continue looking in the direction of wide receiver Devon Allen, the NCAA defending champion in the 110 hurdles who has six touchdown receptions.
TV: 10 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1. LINE: Oregon -17.5
LINE HISTORY: The line opened at Cal +17 before money came in forcing a slight jump to +17.5. The total has seen a slight change as well, opening at 79.5 before dropping to 79.
INJURY REPORT: Oregon - WR Keanon Lowe (Ques-Hamstring) Cal - WR Trevor Davis (Out-Head)
WEATHER FORECAST: Clear skies and mild temperatures are expected for the game. At kickoff the temperature will be 71°F but will quickly drop to 60°F by the fourth quarter.
WHAT BOOKS SAY: "Cal had 56 yards on 31 rushes last week and 64 yards on 33 carries the week before. Conversely, Oregon leads the Pac-12 with 217.3 rushing yards per game. The game opened Ore -17 and currently stands -17.5. Looks to be a very boring game and the public has not gotten involved as of yet. Oregon will have a walk over in this game and can prob name their own score." - Scott Kaminsky
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Ducks have rounded back into the playoff contenders they were expected to be with the return of two injured starting offensive linemen, making QB Marcus Mariota much more dangerous. Although they’ve been outgained in each of their last five games, the Bears numbers are up across the board this year as opposed to last. The question is whether Oregon puts together the complete game they are capable of, or if they get caught napping in a nasty Stanford look ahead revenger up next." - Marc Lawrence
ABOUT OREGON (6-1, 3-1 Pac-12): The Ducks and Golden Bears have played the same two teams in their last two games. Oregon beat a solid UCLA squad by 12 and followed up with a 35-point victory last weekend against Washington, while Cal lost to the Huskies by 24 and was edged by two points last weekend against the Bruins. Oregon running back Royce Freeman continues to dominate, rushing for at least 100 yards in the last two games, owning 11 touchdowns and sitting within 76 rushing yards of breaking the freshman program for a season.
ABOUT CALIFORNIA (4-3, 2-3): The Golden Bears will definitely need to improve on defense if they expect to keep up with the Ducks. California enters the game giving up an average of 38.4 points, which ranks 117th out of the 125 FBS teams. One of the bright spots was safety Griffin Piatt, the team’s leading tackler who also has a team-high three interceptions, but he suffered a season-ending knee injury against Washington.
*Ducks are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.
*Under is 7-3-1 in Golden Bears last 11 games following a S.U. loss.
*Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings.
*Home team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
CONSENSUS: 55.3 percent are taking the Ducks -17.5 with 53.5 percent of the community taking the over.
StatFox Super Situations
CFB | FLA ATLANTIC at MARSHALL
Play On - Favorites of 21.5 to 31 points (MARSHALL) dominant team - outscoring opponents by 17 or more points/game, after scoring 37 points or more in 3 straight games
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.2 units )
CFB | AKRON at BALL ST
Play Against - A home team vs. the money line (BALL ST) average rushing team (140-190 RY/G) against a good rushing defense (100-140 RY/G) after 7+ games
64-43 over the last 5 seasons. ( 59.8% | 0.0 units )
CFB | N ILLINOIS at E MICHIGAN
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is 28.5 to 31.5 off 1 or more consecutive unders, poor offensive team - scoring 17 or less points/game
46-18 over the last 10 seasons. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
3-5 this year. ( 37.5% | -2.5 units )
FERRINGO
FRIDAY COLLEGE FOOTBALL SELECTIONS
2-Unit Play. Take #114 Boise State (-6.5) over BYU (9 p.m., Friday, Oct. 24)
Note: This play is from the KING System.
The Cougars fell off a cliff when their starting quarterback went down. They have shown me nothing to make me think that they will go to the Smurf Turf and win this game outright so I have no problems laying the points. BYU has lost three straight and all three L's game against teams that I think are weaker than Boise State. The Broncos have been outstanding, with the exception of that fluke loss at Air Force, and they should make it six wins in seven tries this weekend. Boise State has a rare revenge angle in this game after a 17-point loss in Provo last year. I think they will take full advantage and will return the favor in this Friday night affair.
1-Unit Play. Take #116 California (+18) over Oregon (10 p.m., Friday, Oct. 24)
Docs Sports
6 Unit Play. #114/#114 Take Boise State Broncos -6.5 over BYU Cougars (Friday 9 pm ESPN)
Revenge Game of the Year
Boise State did not look that impressive last week against Fresno State, but they still won the game! That is more than BYU can say as they lost to Nevada as a double-digit favorite at home. The fact remains that BYU is continuing to get too much respect from the oddsmakers. This is a completely different team without Taysom Hill, and his backup is just not up to par after numerous turnovers. BYU does not have the same rushing attack and thus has to rely more on the passing game. This is the best team BYU will have faced in 2014, and they are also playing a team with revenge from last season. The Broncos have won two straight games after their Air Force debacle, including beating Nevada on the road, and QB Grant Hedrick is playing much better of late with just one interception in his last two games. Boise State got run over last year in Provo, and you can bet that does not sit well with the 2014 team. BYU is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall. Boise State is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 home games against teams with a winning road record. We will keep fading the Cougars with these short numbers.
Today's CFL Picks
Saskatchewan at Calgary
The Stampeders host Saskatchewan on Friday night and come into the contest with a 5-0-1 ATS record in their last 6 games in Week 18 of the season. Calgary is the pick (-10 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Stampeders favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-10 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (10/23)Game 291-292: Montreal at Ottawa (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 113.718; Ottawa 109.892
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 4; 38
Vegas Line: Montreal by 6 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ottawa (+6 1/2); UnderGame 293-294: Saskatchewan at Calgary (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 106.793; Calgary 121.006
Dunkel Line: Calgary by 14; 42
Vegas Line: Calgary by 10 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-10 1/2); Under
Jack Jones
15* Royals
World Series Betting Preview: Royals at Giants
Kansas City Royals at San Francisco Giants (-127, 7)
Tim Hudson pitches in a World Series game for the first time in his 16-year-career when the San Francisco Giants host the Kansas City Royals in Game 3 on Friday. The 39-year-old Hudson will attempt to pitch the Giants into the series lead after the teams split two games in Kansas City. “Obviously, when you go 16 years without having been able to experience something like this, you wonder if it’s going to happen,” Hudson told reporters. “I’m no different than anybody.”
The Royals avoided a series hole by producing a 7-2 victory in Game 2 to halt San Francisco’s streak of seven consecutive World Series wins. Kansas City designated hitter Billy Butler is 3-for-6 with two RBIs over the first two games to break out of the postseason doldrums that have him looking for his first homer. Giants catcher Buster Posey also hasn’t homered and is 2-for-9 in the World Series while red-hot third baseman Pablo Sandoval (4-for-9 in the World Series) also hasn’t gone deep despite batting .346 in the postseason.
LINE HISTORY: The line has not shifted too much since opening climbing just two points from San Francisco -125 to -127. The total opened at 7 and has yet to move.
WEATHER REPORT: A cloudy night is in store for Game 3, but there is little chance of precipitation. There temperature is expected to be a comfortable 64°F with a high humidity.
WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "The Giants got what they wanted in Kansas City, earning a split before heading back home to San Francisco. It's important to note that the Royals have been one of the best road teams in baseball all year, going 51-34. That's a better record than the Giants have posted at home (49-37). The pitching matchup is virtually a wash in Game 3 with Guthrie squaring off against Hudson. I'm anticipating a tight contest, with a late clutch hit proving to be the difference. The total could offer some value at '7' as a low-scoring affair should be in order after back-to-back blowouts. Consider playing the under." - Sean Murphy
PITCHING MATCHUP: Royals RH Jeremy Guthrie (0-0, 1.80 ERA) vs. Giants RH Tim Hudson (0-0, 3.29)
Guthrie is making his second start of the postseason, having received a no-decision against Baltimore on Oct. 14 when he gave up one run and three hits in five innings. He spent part of 2012 in the National League with the Colorado Rockies and has made two career starts at AT&T Park, going 0-1 with a 3.18 ERA in 11 1/3 innings. “He’s a tremendous clubhouse presence and he’s a guy with a lot of experience,” Royals manager Ned Yost said in a press conference.
Hudson will be pitching for the first time since taking a no-decision against St. Louis on Oct. 14 when he allowed four runs and seven hits in 6 1/3 innings. He lost his final four regular-season starts and Giants manager Bruce Bochy said at a press conference that Hudson’s issues were tied to a nagging hip injury. “It’s hard enough to play this game when you’re healthy but when you’re pitching and your hip’s bothering you a little – he’s a warrior,” Bochy said. “He was never complaining, he was never making excuses but it was a fact.”
TRENDS:
*Royals are 5-1 in Guthries last 6 road starts.
*Giants are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
*Over is 11-4-2 in Royals last 17 games following an off day.
*Over is 6-0 in Giants last 6 overall.
CONSENSUS: 55 percent of users are backing the Giants -127 with 62 percent backing the over.
StatFox Super Situations
MLB | KANSAS CITY at SAN FRANCISCO
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (KANSAS CITY) very bad AL offensive team (<=4.2 runs/game) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), on a good fielding streak, 15 straight games with one or less errors
108-45 since 1997. ( 70.6% | 46.1 units )
20-12 this year. ( 62.5% | 3.4 units )
StatFox Situational Power Trends
MLB | KANSAS CITY at SAN FRANCISCO
SAN FRANCISCO is 39-20 (+21.5 Units) against the money line after having won 3 of their last 4 games this season.
The average score was: SAN FRANCISCO (4.6) , OPPONENT (3.2)
Mighty Quinn
Mighty missed with Virginia Tech (+2-1/2) on Thursday and likes the Royals on Friday.
The deficit is 1067 sirignanos.
Hondo
Hondo’s salute to MC
This isn’t about Hondo and his shared perch atop the Bettor’s Guide Best Bet Standings or his steady and solid work in the compulsories.
No, this is about the torrid pace being set by Mark Cannizzaro, who recently requested Mr. Aitch give him “a shout-out” because of his consistent excellence.
Well, by gosh, he deserves it. So let’s give some Hondo Nation props to Mark and whoever is making his picks for him this season. Cheers to both of you!
Jets over Bills: Ahhh, Buffalo! A journeyman QB plus a thoroughly depleted backfield add up to a legitimate chance for the Jets to break their schneid at six. Actually, if you looked at the Jets schedule before the season, this probably is right where you figured they’d be after beating the Raiders in Week 1 and then facing six elite QBs. Then again, with losses looming in Weeks 9 and 10 (Chiefs and Steelers), they might not want to do anything to jeopardize a shot at Jameis Winston, who clearly was born to be a Jet.
John Idzik on his acquisition of Percy Harvin: “It’s really [a matter of] immersing him into what it is to act like a Jet, be a Jet and play like a Jet.” No offense, John, but judging by the talented troublemaker’s spotty résumé, it would seem he already has figured that out.
Lions over Falcons: This is Part 2 of Roger Goodell’s London Obsession Games. Speaking of Goodell, Ray Rice’s appeal of his indefinite suspension will be heard Nov. 5 and 6, and the commissioner, who levied the ban, will testify. It’s good of him to come out from under his desk for something other than a domestic violence photo op.
Vikings over Buccaneers: Jennifer Lopez reportedly is close to a signing a deal that will pay her $350K per show three times a week for 24 weeks at Planet Hollywood in Las Vegas. If she keeps making that kind of cash, she won’t have to sing at birthday parties for tyrannical Eastern European dictators.
Bears over Patriots: Belichick sent Darrelle Revis home Tuesday because he was late for a meeting. Now Revis knows what everyone else knows: The Hoodie is a real stickler for the rules — except for when it comes to illegally videotaping opponents.
Chiefs over Rams: There was another fence jumper at the White House on Wednesday, but he never made it to the President’s residence because two of the Secret Service’s best agents were on duty and stopped him. Congratulations, Fido and Rover!
Panthers over Seahawks: Props to Renee Zellweger for being named this year’s recipient of the “Kenny Rogers Who The Hell Are You Award.” The good thing about making yourself totally unrecognizable is that if you have any nude selfies and they get hacked, no one will know it’s you.
Dolphins over Jaguars: David Letterman fired his cue card guy, Tony Mendez, for assaulting writer Bill Scheft. Sources say Dirty Dave became upset when one of them almost landed on the Late Show Intern Love Couch, which could have caused serious injury to Dave and one of the interns.
Titans over Texans: With the death of Oscar de la Renta, word is designers and fabric makers are lining up in Chappaqua, hoping to land Hillary Clinton’s lucrative double-wide woolen pantsuit business.
Bill Clinton once said of a de la Renta creation: “I still remember when Hillary walked out in that gown [at his inauguration ball in 1997]. I thought, ‘Oh my God, that’s beautiful.’ ” But what about Hillary, Bill?
Bengals over Ravens: Bill’s always had a great appreciation for Oscar’s work. That’s why he wasn’t upset when he stained the Portly Pepperpot’s crusty blue love dress — it wasn’t a de la Renta.
Cardinals over Eagles: Here’s the latest from Daily News columnist Anthony “A-Wad” Weiner: “Realistically, my political career is probably over.” Over? C’mon, A-Wad, where’s that notorious “I’ll show-’em/-it attitude” of yours?
Colts over Steelers: Accused rapist Sanford “The Cashew” Rubenstein, lawyer and former pal of Al Sharpton, reportedly was turned away at a Manhattan sex club called Checkmate last weekend. The proprietor, having read about Rubenstein’s shortcomings, told San The Little Man: “It’s a game of inches, not a game of inch.”
Raiders over Browns: Emailer Donny Mac points out not everything is going wrong for Rubenstein. He was just asked to star in a remake of a Sylvester Stallone/Kurt Russell classic movie, this one to be called: “Tango and Cashew.”
Packers over Saints: Here’s the Mismatch of the Day: Aaron Rodgers vs. a Rob Ryan-coached defense.
Cowboys over Redskins: How good is the Cowboys’ running game? Some say it’s even better than the one being used by Democratic candidates as they run as fast and far as possible from Obama and his failed policies?
Obama went to vote early at a Chicago polling station, and while standing next to a woman, was told by her fiancé: “Mr. President, don’t touch my girlfriend.” The President calmly responded he wasn’t planning on doing so, which placated the guy until Obama then told him: “If you like your girlfriend, you can keep your girlfriend.”
BEST BETS: Jets, Colts, Packers.
Thursday night: Broncos.
NCAA Football Game Picks
Oregon at California
The Ducks head to Cal tonight for a Pac-12 matchup against the Golden Bears and come into the contest with an 0-4 ATS record in their last 4 Friday games. California is the pick (+18 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Ducks favored by only 14 1/2. Dunkel Pick: California (+18 1/2). Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24
Time Posted: 6:00 a.m. EST (10/22)Game 109-110: Troy at South Alabama (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 61.366; South Alabama 85.248
Dunkel Line: South Alabama by 24; 58
Vegas Line: South Alabama by 13 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (-13 1/2); OverGame 111-112: South Florida at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 72.132; Cincinnati 86.710
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 14 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 10 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-10 1/2); UnderGame 113-114: BYU at Boise State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 85.094; Boise State 87.989
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 3; 45
Vegas Line: Boise State by 7; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (+7); UnderGame 115-116: Oregon at California (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 105.473; California 90.825
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 14 1/2; 70
Vegas Line: Oregon by 18 1/2; 77
Dunkel Pick: California (+18 1/2); Under
Today's MLB Picks
Kansas City at San Francisco
The Series shifts to San Francisco for tonight's Game 3 as the Giants come into the contest with a 10-3 record in Tim Hudson's last 13 starts as a home favorite. San Francisco is the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. ESTGame 905-906: Kansas City at San Francisco (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 11.442; San Francisco (Hudson) 12.886
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under
Today's NHL Picks
Tampa Bay at Winnipeg
The Lightning (4-2-1) head to Winnipeg tonight to face a Jets team that is 1-7 in its last 8 games versus a team with a winning record. Tampa Bay is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Lightning favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125). Here are all of today's NHL picks.
FRIDAY, OCTOBER 24
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. ESTGame 1-2: Dallas at New Jersey (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.452; New Jersey 11.894
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: New Jersey (-130); 5
Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (-130); OverGame 3-4: Tampa Bay at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 12.221; Winnipeg 10.733
Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-125); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-125); UnderGame 5-6: Vancouver at Colorado (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.429; Colorado 11.810
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-130); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-130); UnderGame 7-8: Carolina at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Carolina 11.119; Edmonton 10.209
Dunkel Line & Total: Carolina by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Edmonton (-165); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (+145); OverGame 9-10: Columbus at Anaheim (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.522; Anaheim 12.639
Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Baseball Crusher
Kansas City Royals + SF Giants OVER 7
(System Record: 110-3, lost last game)
Overall Record: 110-82
Rest of the Plays
San Francisco Giants -124 over KC Royals
Football Crusher
California +18 over Oregon
(System Record: 18-4, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 18-21-1
Rest of the Plays
Brigham Young +7 over Boise
South Florida+10.5 over Cincy
South Alabama + Troy OVER 54.5
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