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King Creole | NFL Total
double-dime bet109 KAN / 110 OAK UNDER 43.0 Bodog
Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders
2** Play on: UNDER the TOTAL
The OU line in this AFC WEST division clash opened at 43 points. At last look, it was down to 42.5. The KEY NUMBER for us in this game is 41.5. Make sure your line is at least 41.5 or more points before placing your wager. We say this because 41 is a very common number for numerous final scores in the NFL. Many popular scoring combinations can result in a final score that falls right on 41 points. Score like 35-6… 34-7… 31-10… 28-13… 27-14… 24-17… and 21-20.
Why is our optimum number 41.5 instead of 42.5? Well, 42 are not that special of a number. There have been NO games this season that have finished on tip of this number. For a game to finish EXACTLY on 42 points that would require a combination of 6 touchdowns and ZERO field goals. Such a combination (all TD’s / 0 FG’s) is unlikely. Particularly with two offenses that tend to shut down one they get into the red zone. On the flip side, there have already been 15 games this season that have finished with exactly 41 points… 40 points… or 39 points.
Pick Made: Nov 19 2014 12:30PM PST
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BEN BURNS
MAIN EVENT - raiders
PERSONAL FAVORITE - west virginia
BEST BET - north carolina
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Spartan
Triple Dime: Kansas State +2
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Football Crusher
Buffalo + Kent State OVER 44.5 - postponed
Oakland Raiders +7 over KC Chiefs
(System Record: 31-5, lost last game)
Overall Record: 31-31-2
Rest of the Plays
Oakland Raiders + KC UNDER 42.5
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Hockey Crusher
Edmonton Oilers +125 over Vancouver Canucks - pending
Tampa Bay Lightning -135 over Toronto Maple Leafs
(System Record: 23-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 23-14-1
Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Wild -122 over Philadelphia Flyers
Washington Capitals +104 over Colorado Avs
Chicago Blackhawks -147 over Calgary Flames
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Basketball Crusher
Boston College +5.5 over New Mexico
(System Record: 11-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 11-11
Rest of the Plays
Texas Southern +18.5 over Tennessee
Indiana +2 over Southern Methodist
California +5 over Syracuse
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Soccer Crusher
Fluminense + Chapecoense UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 663-23, lost last 4 games and a push)
Overall Record: 663-552-102
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NHL
Hot teams
-- Minnesota won last three games, scoring 12 goals.
-- Canadiens won six of their last seven games. St Louis won three of its last four.
-- Nashville won five of its last six games.
-- Arizona won four of its last five road games.
-- Flames won seven of their last nine games. Chicago won three of last four.
-- Colorado won last two games, but is just 3-5 at home.
-- Canucks won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Kings won three of their last four home games.
-- Sharks are 5-1 in game following their last six losses.
Cold teams
-- Philly lost last three games, outscored 12-6.
-- Toronto lost last three games, allowing 15 goals in last two. Tampa Bay lost three of its last four.
-- Senators lost four of their last five games.
-- Detroit is 2-6 this season in game following a win. Jets lost three of last four games.
-- Dallas Stars lost last three games, outscored 14-7.
-- Washington lost two of last three games, scoring three goals.
-- Ducks lost six of their last seven games.
-- Carolina lost three of its last four games.
-- Panthers lost five of their last seven games.
Series records
-- Flyers won three of last four games with Minnesota.
-- Lightning lost four of last five visits to Toronto.
-- Blues won their last five games with Montreal.
-- Predators won three of last four visits to Ottawa.
-- Jets won four of last five games with Detroit.
-- Dallas Stars won six of last nine games with Arizona.
-- Avalanche won last four games with Washington.
-- Flames won three of last four games with Chicago.
-- Ducks won six of last seven games with Vancouver.
-- Home side won four of last five Carolina-LA games; Hurricanes lost 4-3/3-1 in last two at Staples.
-- Sharks lost five of last six games with Florida.
Totals
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Minnesota games.
-- Over is 10-1-1 in last dozen Tampa Bay games.
-- Under is 9-3-3 in last fifteen Montreal games.
-- Last four Ottawa games went over the total.
-- Eight of last ten Winnipeg games stayed under.
-- Over is 10-4 in last fourteen Arizona games.
-- Five of last six Colorado games went over total.
-- Eight of last nine Calgary games went over total.
-- Over is 3-0-1 in last four Anaheim games.
-- Four of last five Carolina games stayed under.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Florida games.
Back-to-back
-- Flyers lost two of three if they played the night before.
-- Vancouver lost three of four if it played night before.
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Cappers Access
(NFL) Chiefs -7.5
(CFB) W. Virginia -2.5
(CFB) Duke -6
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GOLD MEDAL CLUB
NFL
110-Oakland +7.5
CBB:
732-Charlotte +3
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EZWINNERS
EZ's Plays For Thursday
A 2-0 sweep in college basketball on Wednesday! I'm not touching the NFL shitfest between Kansas City and Oakland tonight. Two plays on my card for Thursday. One college basketball afternoon game and one college football game. Best of luck!
-EZ
MCAAF
4* (111) Kansas State Wildcats +2.5
The high powered West Virginia offense has not been so potent lately. The Mountaineers have not reached 300 yards of total offense in their last three games and they have lost two of those games straight up. The K-State defense has had a week to recover from the beating that they took against TCU and I expect them to bounce back. The Wildcats have handled West Virginia easily in the last two meetings between these two teams and the K-State defense made things very tough on quarterback Clint Trickett and this Mountaineer offense in last season's 35-12 win. Kansas State head coach Bill Snyder has an outstanding record against the spread as an underdog and his teams are 13-0 against the spread off of a loss by 21 points or more to a conference rival. Take the points.
NCAAB
1* (729) Drexel Dragons +9
I like this spot to fade what I think will be a dangerous Miami team come tournament time after their big win at #8 Florida. The Canes are a bit over valued in this spot against a talented Drexel team that is sitting at 0-2. Bruiser Flint's Dragons were just 16-14 last season, but had major injuries. Junior guard Damion Lee is back after missing most of last year with a knee injury after averaging over 17 points two seasons ago. Drexel should hang around in this afternoon, tournament neutral site game. Miami should struggle to match their intensity that they played with against the Gators. Take the points.
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wayne root
millionaires RAIDERS
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StatFox Super Situations
NHL | ARIZONA at DALLAS
Play On - Any team against the money line (ARIZONA) extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) in the first half of the season
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% | 25.9 units )
NHL | FLORIDA at SAN JOSE
Play On - Any team against the money line (SAN JOSE) extremely tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a bad team (25-40%) in the first half of the season
39-14 since 1997. ( 73.6% | 25.9 units )
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NBA Inside the Paint - Thursday
By Chris David
Thursday’s pro basketball slate offers up another double-header on TNT, which features not one but two non-conference affairs. Before we break down the matchups, I wanted to bring up the developing total trend that I mentioned in last week’s “Total Talk” installment.
TNT has had eight games featured on national television this regular season and all eight have gone ‘under’ the total, which includes both results last Thursday.
Tuesday, Oct. 28
Dallas 100 San Antonio 101 (Under 203)
Houston 108 L.A. Lakers 90 (Under 207)
Thursday, Oct. 30
New York 95 Cleveland 90 (Under 204)
Oklahoma City 90 L.A. Clippers 93 (Under 205.5)
Thursday, Nov. 6
San Antonio 81 Houston 98 (Under 179)
Dallas 87 Portland 108 (Under 209.5)
Thursday, Nov. 13
Chicago 100 Toronto 93 (Under 196.5)
Brooklyn 99 Golden State 107 (Under 210.5)
There hasn’t been a great lean for choosing sides as we’ve seen home teams produce a 5-3 record.
Point-spreads have mattered in the televised matchup, with favorites going 6-2 straight up and 4-4 against the spread.
There has only been one game pitting the East vs. West and the Warriors took care of business in last week’s win over the Nets.
Neither game for Thursday had overnight numbers posted due to key injuries, which we’ll touch on below.
L.A. Clippers (6-4 SU, 2-8 ATS) at Miami (6-5 SU, 6-5 ATS)
This particular non-conference matchup is tough to handicap because of injuries and the recent history between the pair isn’t a factor since LeBron James isn’t with the Heat anymore. With that being said, I would use current form and situations.
After running past Orlando 114-90 on Wednesday as five-point road favorites, the Clippers will be facing a back-to-back spot. Los Angeles has only played on zero days rest once this season and it beat the Lakers 118-111 on Oct. 31 but failed to cover as 12-point road favorites.
Covering numbers has been a major issue for the Clippers this season, who are 2-8 ATS. Prior to last night's victory, their first cover came last Saturday in a 120-107 victory at home against Phoenix. Unfortunately, Doc Rivers’ team was humbled two nights later to the Bulls (105-89).
This will be the second game of a seven-game road trip for the Clippers and the latest quotes from their head coach could have you scratching your head.
“I’ll tell you in seven games,” Rivers said. “Really, I do like going on the road. I think it is an opportunity to find yourself. You can also lose yourself on the road. So we’ll see.”
Including last night’s meeting, Los Angeles has gone 2-1 SU and 1-2 ATS on the road and one of those wins came at the Staples Center versus the Lakers.
Miami snapped a three-game losing skid on Monday with a 95-83 victory at Brooklyn as an eight-point underdog. The Heat didn’t have Dwyane Wade (hamstring) and Luol Deng (wrist) in the lineup on Monday and both players are currently listed as ‘questionable’ for Thursday.
Wade has already missed three games this season and the team has gone 1-2 in those contests. With the All-Star active, the Heat are 5-3.
Total bettors looking for a lean in this game could go ‘under’ in this spot. Miami has shot the ball well from the field (46.5%) and 3-point land (38.8%) too but the pace has been super slow. The Heat are averaging 75.1 shots per game, which is the lowest in the league. Los Angeles is at 79.2 attempts, which is ranked 26th.
Miami has gone 3-3 both SU and ATS at home this season and will enter tonight’s game looking to snap a two-game skid at American Airlines Arena. The Heat have gone 2-1 both SU and ATS versus the West his season.
As mentioned above, past history shouldn’t be used strongly but make a note that the Heat have won the last three encounters against the Clippers.
Chicago (8-3 SU, 5-6 ATS) at Sacramento (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS)
The Bulls began their annual circus trip on Monday with a dominating 105-89 victory over the Clipppers as seven-point underdogs. Chicago trailed 50-48 at halftime but outscored L.A. 57-39 in the final two quarters. What was even more impressive about the Bulls’ win on Monday is that Derrick Rose (hamstring) and Pau Gasol (calf) sat out. Rose is expected to play Thursday while Gasol is listed as ‘questionable’ for this game.
Sacramento opened some eyes this season by starting off with a 5-1 record. Unfortunately, this year’s Kings have looked like the same-old Kings lately as they’ve dropped four of their last five and some of the losses were ugly. In setbacks to the Mavericks and Grizzlies last week, Sacramento blew 20-point leads on the road in both contests.
This past Tuesday, Sacramento opened up a 54-45 halftime lead against New Orleans at home. Unfortunately they ran out of gas again and lost 106-100 to the Pelicans as three-point home favorites.
DeMarcus Cousins (22.5 PPG, 11.6 RPG) and Rudy Gay (21.8 PPG) have been playing at a high level for the Kings this season and you could argue that they form the best frontcourt in the league, ranked second in points (69.4 PPG) and first in boards(37.9 RPG). Gay has been deemed 'questionable' for Thursday due to an Achilles injury.
The main issue for the Kings is depth in their backcourt. Darren Collison was a nice pickup at point guard but second-year player Ben McLemore is still raw and the loss of Isiah Thomas to the Suns has been their gain. The Kings backcourt is averaging 33.2 PPG, which is ranked 29th in the NBA.
Chicago continues to impress me each season and it’s easy to see why head coach Tom Thobodeau is considered one of the best in the game. The Bulls have six players averaging double figures and All-Star center Joakim Noah (8.2 PPG) isn’t one of them. Derrick Rose has only played in five games, never more than 32 minutes, and the Bulls are 4-1 in those games. Without Rose, the team is 4-2.
If you want to find a good NBA team, then look for one that wins on the road. Chicago is 6-0 as a visitor this season and it captured closed calls against inferior teams in Minnesota (106-105) and Philadelphia (118-115), which is a sign of a good team to me.
Kings should have confidence for this matchup since they destroyed the Bulls in their last two meetings at home by 42 and 29 points.
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NBA
Hot Teams
-- Bulls won seven of their last nine games (2-2 AF).
Cold Teams
-- Miami lost three of last four games. Clippers are 0-4 in game following their last four wins.
-- Sacramento lost four of its last five games (2-1 HU).
Series Records
-- Clippers lost last five visits to Miami by 24-11-18-22-5 points.
-- Chicago won nine of last 12 against the Kings, but lost last two visits to Sacramento by 32-29 points.
Totals
-- Five of last seven Clipper games went over total.
-- Five of last seven Sacramento games went over total.
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Dwyane Wade, Miami - Doub Thurs
Wade has missed the last three games with a hamstring injury and is not expected to return Thursday against the Clippers.
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StatFox Super Situations
NBA | LA CLIPPERS at MIAMI
Play Against - Road teams (LA CLIPPERS) off a double digit loss as a favorite of 6 points or more, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team
27-7 since 1997. ( 79.4% | 19.3 units )
NBA | CHICAGO at SACRAMENTO
Play On - Road teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CHICAGO) good 3PT shooting team (>=36.5%) against a poor 3PT shooting team (<=33%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defensive team (<=14.5 TO's)
63-29 since 1997. ( 68.5% | 31.1 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.9 units )
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StatFox Super Situations
CBB | PENN ST at CHARLOTTE
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (PENN ST) first 5 games of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight ATS losses, team that had a losing record last season
34-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )
CBB | NIAGARA at ST PETERS
Play On - A home team vs. the money line (ST PETERS) after scoring 50 points or less, with four starters returning from last season
359-215 since 1997. ( 62.5% | 90.2 units )
CBB | DREXEL at MIAMI
Play Against - Favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (MIAMI) off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
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PAUL LEINER
100* NFL – Raiders +7.5
100* CFB – Duke -6
50* CBB – Dayton +2
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