12-3-14

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Massachusetts (PK) on Tuesday and likes Richmond on Wednesday.

The deficit is 863 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Free play WED Over 204 Celtics/Pistons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Chicago won six of its last seven games. Blues won four of last five.
-- Anaheim won three of its last four home games.

Cold teams
-- Minnesota lost three of its last five games. Canadiens lost three of last four.
-- Jets lost six of their last nine games. Edmonton lost its last ten games, scoring scoring eight goals in last six.
-- Flyers lost nine of their last ten games.

Series records
-- Canadiens won their last four games with Minnesota.
-- Blues lost four of last five games with Chicago.
-- Oilers won three of last five games with Winnipeg.
-- Ducks won six of last seven games with Philadelphia.

Totals
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Minnesota games.
-- Last four Chicago games stayed under.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Edmonton road games.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Anaheim games.

Back-to-back
-- Flyers are 1-4 if they played the night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Lakers covered five of last six games as a road dog, won last two games SU- they covered three of last four overall. Wizards won 11 of their last 15 games (5-2 HF).
-- Spurs won last eight games, covered one of last four (3-3 AF).
-- Hawks won five of their last six games (2-3 AU).
-- Mavericks won 10 of their last 12 games (3-2 AF). Milwaukee is 7-3 vs spread in its last ten games (1-2 HU).
-- Memphis won its last five games (4-1 vs spread). Rockets won four of their last five games (3-4 HF).
-- Raptors won seven of last nine games (4-1 AF).
-- Clippers won seven of last eight games (2-6 HF).

Cold Teams
-- Charlotte lost last nine games (2-6-1 vs spread). Bulls are 4-5 in their last nine games (4-3 AF).
-- Pistons lost last nine games (1-6-1 vs spread in last eight). Boston lost its last five games (1-4 vs spread).
-- Nets lost seven of their last ten games (4-5 U), lost last three at home.
-- Miami is 4-6 in its last ten games (0-4-1 vs spread last five at home).
-- 0-17 Sixers covered four of last five games (2-5 AU). Minnesota lost 10 of its last 12 games (2-0 HF).
-- Utah lost its last six games (2-4 vs spread).
-- Magic lost five of last six games (9-3 AU).

Series Records
-- Bulls won ten of last twelve games with Charlotte.
-- Lakers lost four of last five games with Washington.
-- Pistons won six of last eight games with Boston.
-- Spurs won ten of last twelve games with Brooklyn.
-- Hawks won their last three games with Miami.
-- Bucks lost last three games with Dallas by 7-8-13 points.
-- Rockets lost last three games with Memphis by 1-18-26 points.
-- 76ers lost last five games with Minnesota, three by 7 or less points.
-- Raptors won last three games with Utah by 24-15-18 points.
-- Clippers won three of last four games with Orlando.

Totals
-- Three of last four Chicago games went over total.
-- Four of last five Washington games went over.
-- 10 of last 13 Boston games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Brooklyn games stayed under total.
-- Six of last nine Atlanta games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Dallas games went over the total.
-- Seven of last eight Memphis games stayed under.
-- Eight of last ten Minnesota games went over total.
-- Six of last seven Utah games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Clipper games. Five of last six Orlando games stayed under total.

Back-to-Backs
-- Bulls are 1-4 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Lakers are 2-2 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Pistons are 0-4 if they played night before (2-2 vs spread). Celtics are 1-0 if they played night before.
-- Nets are 1-1 if they played night before.
-- Hawks are 1-2-1 vs spread if they played night before.
-- Dallas is 1-2 vs spread if it played night before. Bucks are 3-4.
-- Raptors are 2-1 if they played night before.
-- Orlando is 2-2 if it played night before.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | ORLANDO at LA CLIPPERS
Play Against - Favorites of 10 or more points (LA CLIPPERS) after a home game where both teams score 100 or more points, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days
70-33 since 1997. ( 68.0% | 33.7 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 1.0 units )

NBA | ATLANTA at MIAMI
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (MIAMI) off a blowout loss by 20 points or more to a division rival, first half of the season
27-11 over the last 5 seasons. ( 71.1% | 20.8 units )
3-1 this year. ( 75.0% | 1.8 units )

NBA | ORLANDO at LA CLIPPERS
Play On - Any team vs. the 1rst half line (LA CLIPPERS) after beating the spread by more than 6 points in three consecutive games, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a bad team (25% to 40%)
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 24.5 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Game of the Day: Duke at Wisconsin

Duke Blue Devils at Wisconsin Badgers (OFF)

Fourth-ranked Wisconsin hosts No. 2 Duke in a battle of unbeatens as part of the ACC/Big Ten Challenge on Wednesday. Both teams come into the marquee matchup riding seven-game winning streaks - with the Badgers emerging victorious in the Battle 4 Atlantis and the Blue Devils taking top honors at the Coaches vs. Cancer Classic. "I expect it will be crazy," Wisconsin forward Frank Kaminsky told reporters. "I've been a part of some crazy atmospheres, but this has a chance to be the best."

Duke has won its first seven games by double-digits for the first time since the start of the 2002-03 campaign and hopes to avenge a 73-69 loss to the Badgers on Dec. 2, 2009. Freshman phenom Jahlil Okafor has been as good as advertised, leading the Blue Devils with 17.7 points per game and will face his stiffest test of the season when he squares off against Kaminsky. "I feel confident," Okafor told reporters. "We're all looking forward to going down to Wisconsin and battling and competing with them."

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, ESPN

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Wisconsin and Duke are both 7-0 to start the season, and they’ve played a comparable schedule. Duke will be playing their first true road game of the season, and the matchup is not a good one for the Blue Devils. Wisconsin plays at a slow pace while grinding teams in the half court, and historically, Duke has been unsuccessful against that style of basketball." Steve Merrill

ABOUT DUKE (7-0): Okafor was named the ACC Freshman of the Week for the third straight time after averaging 22.5 points, 7.5 rebounds and 1.5 blocks in the victories over Furman and Army. Tyus Jones recorded 16 points and 10 assists for his first career double-double as the Blue Devils downed the Black Knights 93-73 on Sunday to hand coach Mike Krzyzewski his 990th career win. Quinn Cook is second on the team with 15.6 points per game and has knocked down at least three 3-pointers in six of his first seven outings.

ABOUT WISCONSIN (7-0): Kaminsky - who tops the team in points (16.6), rebounds (8.7) and blocks (2.3) - was named the MVP of the Battle 4 Atlantis after scoring 17 points against Oklahoma in the championship game. Sam Dekker was named to the all-tournament team after tallying 17 points in the semifinal win over Georgetown before chipping in with 11 against the Sooners. The Badgers have won seven of their last nine games against ACC opponents and are 5-2 versus Top 5 teams under Bo Ryan.

TRENDS:

* Badgers are 10-1 ATS in their last 12
* Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last seven
* Under is 5-2 in Badgers' last seven
* Over is 5-2 in Blue Devils' last seven

[Can'tPickAWinner]

StatFox Super Situations

CBB | VALPARAISO at E KENTUCKY
Play Against - An underdog (E KENTUCKY) off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, good team from last season who won 60% to 80% of their games
65-30 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.0 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.2 units )

CBB | WICHITA ST at UTAH
Play Against - Road teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (WICHITA ST) after 3 straight wins by 10 points or more against opponent after leading their last 3 games by 5+ points at the half
41-15 since 1997. ( 73.2% | 25.2 units )

CBB | VIRGINIA at MARYLAND
Play Against - Any team (VIRGINIA) after going under the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games, in a non-conference game between two teams from major division 1-A conferences
81-40 since 1997. ( 66.9% | 37.0 units )
2-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 2.0 units )

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAA Basketball Picks

Duke at Wisconsin

The ACC/Big Ten Challenge continues tonight as the Blue Devils travel to Wisconsin following a 93-73 win over Army and come into the contest with a 22-11 ATS record in their last 33 games after scoring 80 points or more in the previous game. Duke is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even. Dunkel Pick: Duke (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 3 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 721-722: Temple at St. Joseph's (6:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Temple 56.409; St. Joseph's 55.068 Dunkel Line: Temple by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Joseph's by 1 Dunkel Pick: Temple (+1)

Game 723-724: Charlotte at Davidson (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 59.242; Davidson 61.110 Dunkel Line: Davidson by 2 Vegas Line: Davidson by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4 1/2)

Game 725-726: Buffalo at St. Bonaventure (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 57.307; St. Bonaventure 62.322 Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 5 Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-2 1/2)

Game 727-728: William & Mary at Richmond (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 53.227; Richmond 65.255 Dunkel Line: Richmond by 12 Vegas Line: Richmond by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Richmond (-9 1/2)

Game 729-730: East Carolina at Florida Atlantic (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 50.235; Florida Atlantic 54.795 Dunkel Line: Florida Atlantic by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Florida Atlantic by 3 Dunkel Pick: Florida Atlantic (-3)

Game 731-732: Dayton at Miami (OH) (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dayton 64.347; Miami 55.713 (OH) Dunkel Line: Dayton by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Dayton by 11 Dunkel Pick: Miami (OH) (+11)

Game 733-734: Old Dominion at George Mason (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Old Dominion 58.257; George Mason 55.415 Dunkel Line: Old Dominion by 3 Vegas Line: Old Dominion by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+4 1/2)

Game 735-736: Toledo at Cleveland State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 58.210; Cleveland State 59.145 Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 1 Vegas Line: Cleveland State by 3 Dunkel Pick: Toledo (+3)

Game 737-738: Butler at Indiana State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Butler 64.443; Indiana State 60.265 Dunkel Line: Butler by 4 Vegas Line: Butler by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana State (+7 1/2)

Game 739-740: Northeastern at Harvard (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Northeastern 58.222; Harvard 62.408 Dunkel Line: Harvard by 4 Vegas Line: Harvard by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northeastern (+7 1/2)

Game 741-742: Bowling Green at Western Kentucky (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 53.573; Western Kentucky 57.906 Dunkel Line: Western Kentucky by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Western Kentucky by 2 Dunkel Pick: Western Kentucky (-2)

Game 743-744: Michigan State at Notre Dame (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 70.994; Notre Dame 71.170 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (+2 1/2)

Game 745-746: Virginia Tech at Penn State (7:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 51.595; Penn State 63.955 Dunkel Line: Penn State by 12 1/2 Vegas Line: Penn State by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Penn State (-9 1/2)

Game 747-748: Iowa at North Carolina (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 68.787; North Carolina 75.790 Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 7 Vegas Line: North Carolina by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+9 1/2)

Game 749-750: Tulane at Loyola-Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 51.266; Loyola-Chicago 57.505 Dunkel Line: Loyola-Chicago by 6 Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+7 1/2)

Game 751-752: North Texas at Oklahoma State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 49.397; Oklahoma State 65.704 Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 16 1/2 Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 19 1/2 Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+19 1/2)

Game 753-754: Creighton at Tulsa (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 63.982; Tulsa 67.505 Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: Tulsa by 1 Dunkel Pick: Tulsa (-1)

Game 755-756: UNLV at Arizona State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 59.487; Arizona State 67.301 Dunkel Line: Arizona State by 8 Vegas Line: Arizona State by 5 Dunkel Pick: Arizona State (-5)

Game 757-758: Villanova at LaSalle (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Villanova 70.174; LaSalle 62.661 Dunkel Line: Villanova by 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Villanova by 10 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LaSalle (+10 1/2)

Game 759-760: UTEP at Colorado State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UTEP 57.192; Colorado State 65.681 Dunkel Line: Colorado State by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Colorado State by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (-5 1/2)

Game 761-762: Auburn at Texas Tech (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 56.842; Texas Tech 66.891 Dunkel Line: Texas Tech by 10 Vegas Line: Texas Tech by 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (-7 1/2)

Game 763-764: Virginia at Maryland (9:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 74.670; Maryland 67.518 Dunkel Line: Virginia by 7 Vegas Line: Virginia by 4 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Virginia (-4 1/2)

Game 765-766: Georgia Tech at Northwestern (9:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 58.366; Northwestern 64.322 Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 5 Vegas Line: Northwestern by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (-3 1/2)

Game 767-768: Duke at Wisconsin (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Duke 75.191; Wisconsin 74.966 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Duke (+3 1/2)

Game 769-770: San Jose State at UC-Davis (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose State 44.045; UC-Davis 50.896 Dunkel Line: UC-Davis by 7 Vegas Line: UC-Davis by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Jose State (+9 1/2)

Game 771-772: San Francisco at Colorado (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco 52.916; Colorado 66.816 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 14 Vegas Line: Colorado by 12 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-12)

Game 773-774: Loyola Marymount at USC (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Loyola Marymount 51.996; USC 54.833 Dunkel Line: USC by 3 Vegas Line: USC by 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Loyola Marymount (+5 1/2)

Game 775-776: Nevada at Long Beach State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 52.132; Long Beach State 61.540 Dunkel Line: Long Beach State by 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Long Beach State by 12 Dunkel Pick: Nevada (+12)

Game 777-778: UC-Irvine at Fresno State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 59.804; Fresno State 50.709 Dunkel Line: UC-Irvine by 9 Vegas Line: UC-Irvine by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (-6 1/2)

Game 779-780: Wichita State at Utah (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 70.264; Utah 75.754 Dunkel Line: Utah by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Utah by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Utah (-2 1/2)

Game 781-782: CS-Fullerton at UCLA (12:00 a.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: CS-Fullerton 52.764; UCLA 65.845 Dunkel Line: UCLA by 13 Vegas Line: UCLA by 16 Dunkel Pick: CS-Fullerton (+16)

Game 783-784: North Dakota State at Southern Mississippi (8:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: North Dakota State 55.558; Southern Mississippi 58.466 Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 3 Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-1 1/2)

Game 785-786: Valparaiso at Eastern Kentucky (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Valparaiso 60.083; Eastern Kentucky 59.954 Dunkel Line: Even Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 2 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Kentucky (+2)

Game 787-788: Western Carolina at East Tennessee State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Carolina 49.841; East Tennessee State 55.716 Dunkel Line: East Tennessee State by 6 Vegas Line: East Tennessee State by 8 Dunkel Pick: Western Carolina (+8)

Game 789-790: Canisius at St. Peter's (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Canisius 51.454; St. Peter's 55.175 Dunkel Line: St. Peter's by 3 1/2 Vegas Line: St. Peter's by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: St. Peter's (-2 1/2)

Game 791-792: Southern Illinois at SIU-Edwardsville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Southern Illinois 50.178; SIU-Edwardsville 51.243 Dunkel Line: SIU-Edwardsville by 1 Vegas Line: Southern Illinois by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: SIU-Edwardsville (+1 1/2)

Game 793-794: Ball State at Eastern Illinois (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Ball State 46.745; Eastern Illinois 49.953 Dunkel Line: Eastern Illinois by 3 Vegas Line: Eastern Illinois by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Eastern Illinois (-1 1/2)

Game 795-796: TX-San Antonio at Northern Arizona (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 44.834; Northern Arizona 50.704 Dunkel Line: Northern Arizona by 6 Vegas Line: Northern Arizona by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+8 1/2)

Game 797-798: Idaho at Washington State (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 47.261; Washington State 53.515 Dunkel Line: Washington State by 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington State by 9 Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+9)

Game 799-800: Montana at California (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montana 48.129; California 70.623 Dunkel Line: California by 22 1/2 Vegas Line: California by 14 Dunkel Pick: California (-14)

Game 801-802: Portland State at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Portland State 51.166; Portland 59.704 Dunkel Line: Portland by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Portland by 11 Dunkel Pick: Portland State (+11)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NHL Picks

St. Louis at Chicago

The Blues head to Chicago tonight following a 3-2 win over Minnesota and come into the contest with an 8-3 record in their last 11 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. St. Louis is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Blues favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+125). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 3 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 1-2: Montreal at Minnesota (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 10.415; Minnesota 11.822 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-140); Over

Game 3-4: St. Louis at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.334; Chicago 11.211 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+125); Under

Game 5-6: Edmonton at Winnipeg (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.784; Winnipeg 10.662 Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Winnipeg (-185); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+165); Over

Game 7-8: Philadelphia at Anaheim (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.029; Anaheim 11.672 Dunkel Line & Total: Anaheim by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Anaheim (-210); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Anaheim (-210); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Today's NBA Picks

Atlanta at Miami

The Hawks head to Miami tonight and come into the contest with a 3-11 ATS record in their last 14 Wednesday games. Miami is the pick (-4) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by 6 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

WEDNESDAY, DECEMBER 3 Time Posted: 10:30 a.m. EST

Game 701-702: Chicago at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 117.207; Charlotte 117.357 Dunkel Line & Total: Even; 186 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 2 1/2; 191 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+2 1/2); Under

Game 703-704: LA Lakers at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 113.258; Washington 123.893 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 10 1/2; 211 Vegas Line & Total: Washington by 8; 207 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-8); Over

Game 705-706: Detroit at Boston (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 111.162; Boston 113.696 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2 1/2; 200 Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 5; 204 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+5); Under

Game 707-708: San Antonio at Brooklyn (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 124.661; Brooklyn 118.453 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 6; 187 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 9; 193 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+9); Under

Game 709-710: Atlanta at Miami (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 116.515; Miami 122.844 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6 1/2; 204 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 4; 199 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-4); Over

Game 711-712: Dallas at Milwaukee (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 123.621; Milwaukee 116.606 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 7; 209 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 4; 204 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-4); Over

Game 713-714: Memphis at Houston (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 127.787; Houston 120.238 Dunkel Line & Total: Memphis by 7 1/2; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Memphis by 5; 189 Dunkel Pick: Memphis (-5); Over

Game 715-716: Philadelphia at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 105.092; Minnesota 114.676 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 9 1/2; 218 Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 6 1/2; 213 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-6 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: Toronto at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 123.308; Utah 116.538 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 7; 209 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4 1/2; 203 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-4 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Orlando at LA Clippers (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 112.807; LA Clippers 130.012 Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 17; 208 Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 14 1/2; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (-14 1/2); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Billy Sharp - michigan godfather
> Additional plays will be sent out later this evening around 4-5 PDT *!! 4-1 yesterday for +6.80 units lets cash in again today you with me !! Remember my unit system make sure to use correct units with each play !! Thanks Billy
>
> 3 units
> (Soccer England Premier)
> Chelsea /Tottenham Over 2.5 goals *(-135)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

PAUL LEINER

100* NBA - Over 192.5 - Spurs/Nets
100* CBB - Georgia Tech +3.5
50* CBB - Temple +1

[golden contender]

Hump Day NBA Game of the week with a 33-1 Power angle and a Triple perfect road warrior system that dates to 1995. In College Hoops its a Big TV Power play with a solid RPI Edge and an 18-1 Dog with bite angle. Free NCAAB Play below.




The free College Hoops is on Arizona St. Game 756 at 8:00 eastern. The Sun Devils have played a tougher schedule so far and are 7-0 the past few seasons vs a team that averages less than 65 points per game. They have won all 4 of their home games by an average 19 points per game. Tonight they take on a UNLV Team that has 5 new starters and is playing their first true road game. In their one game vs PAC 12 Competition this season they lost to Stanford by nearly 30 points. The line is this game is based on reputation for the Rebels not reality. Simulation models show Arizona state to get the win and cover here. On Wednesday their are 4 powerful plays up. Two in the NBA, one is the 33-1 NBA Game of the Week, the other a Triple Perfect Road warrior system that dates to 1995. In College Hoops the lead play is a Big TV Winner with a Powerful RPI Edge, there is also a dog with bite with a 18-1 Power indicator. Jump on now and get the the "Giving" end of Hump day with the Most Powerful data available. For the free play take Arizona St. GC

[Can'tPickAWinner]

David Banks

Chicago Bulls -3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

10* Blue Chip Total
Clippers/Magic Over 201

Main Event
Davidson -5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Ben Burns

NHL

Blackhawks

[Can'tPickAWinner]

College Football Analysis by Dr. Bob



Note: The lines quoted are the consensus line at the time each game was released to my subscribers on my Best Bets release page. The lines have moved so make sure to pay attention to the line constraints at the end of each analysis for the current rating of each game.
*BOISE STATE (-21) 46 Fresno State 19

Sat Dec-06-2014 at 07:00 PM Pacific Rotation: 130 Over/Under 68.5

Boise State only won by 10 points, 37-27, when they hosted Fresno State earlier this season but Fresno applied to a 51-18-3 ATS situation for that game, which kept me from playing the Broncos. This time there is nothing to keep me from playing Boise State, as Fresno actually applies to a 39-108-1 ATS road dog situation that is 0-2 ATS when applying to a team playing as the visitor in their conference championship game. I’m not playing this game based on that situation but rather based on my math model, which gives Boise a profitable 54.4% chance of covering at -21 points based on the historical performance of my model.

Boise State’s offense had a down game in their first meeting with Fresno, as the Broncos should have gained more than 498 yards at 6.2 yards per play given that they have an offense that is 1.0 yards per play better than average (6.7 yppl against teams that would allow 5.7 yppl to an average team) and Fresno’s defense would allow 6.4 yppl on the road to an average FBS attack (0.6 yppl worse than an average team). Fresno’s average defensive rating is actually worse than that, as the Broncos have allowed 6.3 yppl to teams that would combine to average just 5.3 yppl against an average defensive team. However, that average is skewed by a horrendous game against sub-par Wyoming offense in which the Bulldogs gave up 694 yards at 9.9 yppl. My model adjusts for outliers, which is why I have Fresno’s defense rated at 0.6 yppl worse than average instead of 1.0 yppl worse than average. The math projects 593 yards at 7.5 yppl for Boise State in the rematch, as quarterback Grant Hedrick should average more than the 9.0 yards per completion that he averaged in the first game (his lowest average of the season) given that Hedrick averages 12.4 ypc for the season and Fresno has allowed 14.1 ypc this year. Hedrick completed 70% of his passes in that first game against the Bulldogs, so it’s not like his receivers weren’t getting open. If Fresno would have allowed their normal 14 yards per completion in that game then Boise would have had 594 total yards, which is the same as what’s projected for this game by the math model. Even with their better than normal result against Boise State in their first meeting the Bulldogs still allowed an average of 49.3 points to the 3 good offensive teams that they faced this season (USC, Nebraska, and Boise) and Boise State has rung up 50 points or more in 5 of their last 7 games and should approach that number in this game.

It will be a challenge for Fresno’s offense to keep up, as the Bulldogs sub-par attack (5.6 yppl against teams that would allow 6.0 yppl to an average team) is up against a better than average Boise State defense that rates at 0.4 yppl better than average after adjusting for outliers. Boise’s average defensive rating is just 0.1 yppl better than average but they allowed New Mexico’s option attack to gain 627 yards at 9.7 yppl, which skewed that average upwards. Fresno doesn’t run any option, so Boise’s problems defending the option won’t surface in this game and the Bulldogs are projected to gain a modest 343 yards at 4.7 yppl in this game. Fresno gained 313 yards at 5.3 yppl in the earlier meeting but that yppl average was skewed by a 76 yard run and the Broncos averaged just 4.1 yppl in their other 58 offensive plays that game while one of their other touchdowns was after Boise turned the ball over at their own 5 yard line. Fresno actually only had two scoring drives of more than 2 plays in that game, both resulting in field goals, and I don’t see them having any consistent success offensively this time around either (6 of their 13 drives in the first meeting were 3 and out).

The first meeting between these teams was very misleading and it should ensure that Boise State is focused more than they would be had that first game been the blowout that this game is likely to be. There is value on the side of Boise and the situation is favorable this time around and I’ll make a small play on the Broncos. I’ll take Boise State in a 1-Star Best Bet at -21 points or less.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Davis
6* Utah -2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Indian Cowboy
3* Under 136.5 Duke vs. Wisconsin (Tuesday @ 9:30pm est)