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Thread: Home Fav Totals

  1. #1
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Home Fav Totals

    Welcome. Long time lurker, first post. Gonna try to win some cash. I have a theory to test.

    I'm going with home favorites over 2-1/2 (sometimes over 3). It will be a chase, starting with NO MORE than 1% of your bankroll. That can sustain 4 or 5 losses in a row, if necessary. Play at your own risk. Please don't be rude. We're here to help each other pound the books.

    I know many of you don't like chasing bets. That's understandable. I've had great success at it. My only big losses came from starting with too much bankroll or getting greedy/emotional. It's a long season, and I plan to be up 75 to 100 units by the end.

    An A bet is one unit. If that looses, ab bet will be one unit plus the A loss. A C bet will either one unit plus A & B losses, or just A & B losses, depending on the odds and situation. A D bet is only A, B, and C losses, unless some amazing situation presents itself. Remember, the idea is to walk away with the sportsbooks' money.

    Having said that, tonight is bet 5 of the preseason. Here is what has happened so far:

    9-24 Boston (A) O2.5 -105 1u +1u
    9-26 Detroit (A) O2.5 -125 1u +2u
    9-27 Carolina (A) O2.5 -145 1u -1.45u
    9-27 Dallas (B)* O3 +100 2.45u -2.45u
    9-28 Boston (C) O2.5. -130 6.5u pending

    Overall -.9u.

    * This was a desperate ploy. Too many beers and great sadness over the Cowboys' loss.

    BOL to all. Let's cash in!

  2. #2
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Just checked and the Bruins are down 2-0 in the second.

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    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    FYI, also have tonight:

    Texas Rangers (C) -134 4.64u
    Toronto Blue Jays (A) -131 2.62u
    LA Angels (B) -151 3.1u
    Green Bay Packers (C) 4.71u

  4. #4
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    I knew I should have gone with Montreal.

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    Good stuff bud
    IWS NBA tracker champ 2013 66-57 %54
    *
    IWS Col FB tracker champ 2014 50-33 %60
    IWS Col FB tracker champ 2016 55-45 %55
    *
    IWS NFL contest champ 2015 33-19 %63
    *
    IWS Col BB tracker champ 2016 44-28 %61
    *
    IWS NHL tracker champ 2017 13-11 +2.12u

  6. #6
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    9-28 Boston (C) O2.5. -130 6.5u

    Overall -7.4u 2-3 40%

    Tomorrow, a D bet!
    Last edited by KnightWriter; 09-28-2015 at 09:53 PM.

  7. #7
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Trying my best. The goal is making money. Rough start tonight, but I'm hopeful. Jays cashed and the Packers are, too. Might still be a profitable night if the Rangers can turn it around and the Angels rip it. AL West is nice to watch right now.

  8. #8
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by DaKid View Post
    Good stuff bud
    Like your NCAA football percentage. I'll chase 60% and above. I know nothing about hockey. I live in Houston, but I have my best profits on basketball. Can't wait!!!

  9. #9
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Guess I'll have to go with the Rangers tomorrow on a dreaded D bet. UGH!!!

  10. #10
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Who knew Verlander would step up when the Rangers need to keep their lead on Houston.

  11. #11
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    The rest of the night.

    Texas Rangers (C) -134 4.64u

    Toronto Blue Jays (A) -131 2.62u
    LA Angels (B) -151 3.1u
    Green Bay Packers (C) -5.5 4.71u

  12. #12
    215 Hustler Mr. IWS's Avatar
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    Good stuff man, and welcome aboard!

    I do a baseball chase my self that has been really good to me over the last few season.

  13. #13
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    I did the same and made a fortune, but got greedy and went too late in the season. First week of September, bankrolls back to May levels. Chasing takes INSANE patience.

  14. #14
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightWriter View Post
    9-28 Boston (C) O2.5. -130 6.5u

    Overall -7.4u 2-3 40%

    Tomorrow, a D bet!
    That -7.4u should be -8.4u.

  15. #15
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Okay, here goes. If this misses, it will REALLY hurt.

    9-29 (D) 14.56u

    BOL to all.

  16. #16
    215 Hustler Mr. IWS's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightWriter View Post
    I did the same and made a fortune, but got greedy and went too late in the season. First week of September, bankrolls back to May levels. Chasing takes INSANE patience.
    I try to set a goal of 20 units and once I hit it I stop. I almost cost myself 10k on one game a few years ago chasing. I was getting sick watching the game lol.

  17. #17
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Other plays today:

    Seattle Mariners (A) +141 1u (Fading Hondo)
    Texas Rangers (D) -200 16u
    San Diego Padres (A) -171 1.71u
    NY Mets (A) -185 1.85u (this was supposed to be the -1.5 RL @ -125)
    Chicago Cubs -152 1.52u

    (Oh, the juice, the juice!!!)

  18. #18
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightWriter View Post
    Other plays today:

    Seattle Mariners (A) +141 1u (Fading Hondo)
    Texas Rangers (D) -200 16u
    San Diego Padres (A) -171 1.71u
    NY Mets (A) -185 1.85u (this was supposed to be the -1.5 RL @ -125)
    Chicago Cubs -152 1.52u

    (Oh, the juice, the juice!!!)
    Adding:
    SF Giants (A) +118 1.18u
    Toronto (A) -158 1.58u

  19. #19
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightWriter View Post
    Okay, here goes. If this misses, it will REALLY hurt.

    9-29 (D) 14.56u

    BOL to all.
    My apologies. That should have said Winnipeg, which I was about to give up on, down 3-1 in the third, but came back to win 4-3 in OT! Now up +3u.

  20. #20
    Senior Member KnightWriter's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by KnightWriter View Post
    Other plays today:

    Seattle Mariners (A) +141 1u (Fading Hondo)
    Texas Rangers (D) -200 16u
    San Diego Padres (A) -171 1.71u
    NY Mets (A) -185 1.85u (this was supposed to be the -1.5 RL @ -125)
    Chicago Cubs -152 1.52u

    (Oh, the juice, the juice!!!)
    Adding:
    SF Giants (A) +118 1.18u
    Toronto (A) -158 1.58u PPD

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