5-30-16

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Indian Cowboy
3-Unit Play. #727. Take Oklahoma City +7.5 over Golden State (Monday @ 9pm est)


We roll with OKC here as the relatively modest underdog here against Golden State. Note, that the last time a team who was up 3-1 who ended up being taken to Game 7 and then losing Game 7 happened in the 1980's by the Seattle Supersonics. The last 3 times that a team that was up 3-1 and then ended up being taken to Game 7 have actually won their game 7 after losing Game 5 and Game 6. So, though Golden State is playing at home and they return to where they have had great sucecss, make no mistake about it, this is designed for a script for OKC here to overcome adversity. Remember, OKC beat Golden State already this year on the road to take a 1-0 lead. This team also beat the Spurs twice on the road which speaks volumes as well. So, this game comes down to OKC stepping up once again when their backs are against the wall and this team is undoubtedly not scared or fears the moment. We like OKC here to step up and possibly win outright as we like what Billy Donovan has done with this team. He is a master preparer of a ballclub. The Thunder are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games coming off an ATS loss and the Warriors are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a win as well.

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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at GOLDEN STATE
Play Against - Home favorites (GOLDEN STATE) after allowing 100 points or more 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 100 points or more 4 straight games
55-27 since 1997. ( 67.1% | 25.3 units )
5-6 this year. ( 45.5% | -1.6 units )

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at GOLDEN STATE
Play Against - Favorites vs. the money line (GOLDEN STATE) in a game involving 2 very good teams - outscoring opponents by 7+ PPG, after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games
37-33 since 1997. ( 52.9% | 28.9 units )
5-10 this year. ( 33.3% | 0.4 units )

NBA | OKLAHOMA CITY at GOLDEN STATE
Play Under - Any team vs. the 1rst half line in a playoff series which is tied, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season
217-137 since 1997. ( 61.3% | 66.3 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% | 0.5 units )

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | PITTSBURGH at MIAMI
Play Against - Any team (PITTSBURGH) with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season (NL) against opponent starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
58-30 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.9% | 29.3 units )
6-7 this year. ( 46.2% | -2.1 units )


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | TEXAS at CLEVELAND
TEXAS is 40-29 (+24.9 Units) against the money line in Road games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: TEXAS (3.9) , OPPONENT (3.8)

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Hondo

Hondo: Nighty Knight!

The Yankees, for much of Sunday’s game, looked downright odorous against Odorizzi, but eventually they did just enough to give Hondo a victory that increased his earnings to 581 heeps.

Monday: Mr. Aitch will allow Quintana out of the doghouse and back into the stable for one start and one start only (unless circumstances dictate otherwise) — 20 units on the White Sox to snap their skid in the big Citi against the tight-lipped Dark Diva.

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Ben Burns

Blue Chip
10* GS/OKC Over 218

Main Event
10* OKC +7

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Paul Leiner

100* Pirates -130

100* Royals -110

100* Tigers -130

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ASI

Patrick
mlb (45-38 -1.81) toronto -141 nyy (7pm)

Jeff
mlb (43-45 -4.74)
ny mets +110 chicago whitesox (1pm)
cincinnati/colorado over 11 -115 (4pm)
washington/philadelphia under 7.5 -110 (7pm)
nba (74-72 -6.60) oklahoma city/golden state over 218 (9pm)
nhl (69-48 +16.40) san jose +135 pittsburgh (8pm)

David
mlb (42-38 +6.14)san diego/seattle under 8 -115 (4pm)

[golden contender]

On Memorial day in the evening the Game 7 NBA Play is on Golden St at 9:00 eastern on TNT. As seen below in the Historical graph. Game 7 home teams that lost game 1, won game 2, lost games 3 and 4 then won game 5 and 6 are 5-2 in any round, and have won the only 2 times in Conference finals history. All game 7 home teams are 100-24 and have won 18 of the last 21. The Warriors, as far as the 7 point spread go are 5-1 to the spread here vs OKC, and 8-3 as a home favorite from 6.5 to -9. The Warriors are 4-1 ats at home with rest off a spread win by 10 or more as a road dog of 4 or less. OKC is 0-3 ats as a road dog from +5 or more off a home favored spread loss of late. Finally. Road dogs of 5 or more with a total of 200 or higher that failed to cover as a home favorite of 4 or less, despite scoring 100 or more are 0-8 straight up and ats vs an opponent that scored 100 or more and covered by 7 or more as a road dog like Golden St. These road dogs lose by an average 20 points. OKC Blew a huge chance in game 6 as road teams like the Warriors down eight points after three quarters had a game record of only 17-82. The Warriors have perhaps the best home court in the league and will likely win this one. On Memorial day the lead plays are the NBA Total of the Month with a Never lost game 7 NBA Totals system and a Double system Dominator in MLB Action. jump on now and start the week big. For the Free NBA Play Go with The Warriors. See the historical grid below. GC


HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWLLWW @ HHVVHV:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied LWLLWW with site order HHVVHV (Golden State) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2016 NHL and NBA Quarterfinals rounds:
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 13-4 (.765)
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, Semifinals round: 2-0 (1.000)
Game 7 record, NBA only, all rounds: 5-2 (.714)
Game 7 record, NBA only, Semifinals round: 2-0 (1.000)-GST

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bobby wise from banker sports has harvey with the mets and quintana of the white sox over 7

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power play wins

POWER PLAY OF THE DAY FOR MONDAY 5/30/16

MLB: ST. LOUIS CARDINALS -130 (MARTINEZ)

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Wise Guy Insider

WISE GUY PLAY OF THE DAY

MLB: Detroit Tigers -110

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Dave Essler

3* over 9 Pitt /mia

1* atl rl 1.5 -125

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Red Dog Sports

3* Reds over 10.5

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Tony Campone

MONDAY PICKS(CAMPONE)
CADILLAC: 20* NBA Warriors -7
CADILLAC: 20* MLB Red Sox -110
20* NBA Warriors over 218
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* MLB Giants -170
WISEGUY ACTION: 10* MLB Reds +135
SHARP EDGE: 10* MLB Tigers over 8

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Insider Sports Report

4* Detroit (Verlander) -130 over L.A. Angels (Chacin)
Range: -115 to -155

3* San Francisco (Samardzija)/Atlanta (Foltynewicz) UNDER 7.5
Range: 8 to 7

3* Oklahoma City +7 over Golden St. (NBA)
Range: +9 to +5

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Jason sharp
3 unit Washington
4 unit Detroit

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Alan Harris all 4 units
pittsburgh
whitesox
cubs
redsox
detroit

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Bob Balfe


NBA
9:00 EST
Rotation #727-728
Warriors -7 over Thunder
The Warriors were down and out and now have tied things up. There is no way I go against them tonight. This is the best team in the NBA and they are starting to heat up again. The Thunder just don’t have super stars that can close out games and I expect another slip up late. 7 points might seem like a lot, but Golden State can go up by double digits in just a few minutes. Take the Warriors.

MLB
1:10 EST
Rotation #975-976
Mets +105 over White Sox
Harvey/Quintana
What better way for Matt Harvey to break out of his slump? The White Sox are in town and they will give away this game even if they are up big. This is a team in which I think we are going to see a coaching change real soon. The bullpen for the Sox has been brutal as this team can’t finish games. Take the Mets.

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Johnny Goodtimes - (-6.8* Sat. nothing Sun.)

Single: ( NBA Season +6.5*)Oklahoma City +7 1 Unit



Double: (MLB Season +6.27*)
Baltimore +103 2 Units