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Thread: 10-1-16

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    10-1-16


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    Therainman

    10* western michigan
    5* Kansas st, Michigan
    3* Miami FL, Troy
    1* eastern Michigan, Boise st

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    Spartan

    3 Georgia (U-Dog Game of Year)

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    Colin Cowherd NCAAF LOCK OF THE YEAR


    Michigan -10.5 over Wisky

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    Dave Cokin:

    212 New Mexico -8

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    Megalocks Oklahoma -3 GL

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    Maddux


    10* Central Michigan +3
    10* Florida -10
    10* NC State -9.5
    10* Mississippi -14
    10* USC -7.5
    10* Southern Miss -21.5
    10* UNLV -8

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    DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS NCAA WEEK #5 - Saturday
    9-UNIT HYDRA
    CLEMSON +3 (-125) vs louisville (Sat. 8pm)

    5-UNIT XTRA-STRONGS
    MIAMI -7 (-115) at gtech (Sat. 12pm)
    UCF/ECU OVER 61 (Sat. 12pm)
    COLORADO -18.5 vs oregon st. (Sat. 2:30pm)
    KANSAS ST. +3.5 (-115) at wv (Sat. 3:30pm)
    MICHIGAN -10 (-115) vs wisky (Sat. 3:30pm)
    TENNESSEE -3 (-115) at georgia (Sat. 3:30pm)
    OLE MISS -14 (-120) vs memphis (Sat. 7pm)
    WASH ST. +3 (-125) vs oregon (Sat. 9:30pm)

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    Dave Miller

    10 Units Kansas State/West Virginia over 54 at 3:30:00 PM
    9 Units Florida Atlantic -6 7:00:00 PM
    8 Units Oregon -1.5 at 9:30:00 PM

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    Fezzik | CFB Total - Saturday, Oct 1 2016 3:30PM
    153 Akron / 154 Kent St. UNDER 54.5 Pinnacle triple-dime bet

    Fezzik | CFB Total - Saturday, Oct 1 2016 7:30PM
    113 Marshall / 114 Pittsburgh UNDER 68.5 Pinnacle double-dime bet

    Fezzik | CFB Total - Saturday, Oct 1 2016 7:00PM
    143 W. Michigan / 144 Cent. Michigan OVER 55.5 Pinnacle double-dime bet

    Fezzik | CFB Total - Saturday, Oct 1 2016 3:30PM
    167 La.-Monroe / 168 Auburn OVER 55.5 Pinnacle double-dime bet

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    billy hill from banker sports

    12 1/2 unit big one on west virginia -3 1/2 over kansas state (3:30pm)

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    Vernon Croy


    8-Unit Play. Take #282 Hamilton +3 over Calgary (Saturday, October 1 at 4:00 PM ET)

    Take Hamilton ATS as my 8-Unit CFL Game of the Year for Saturday afternoon.


    This pick falls into one of my elite CFL systems and I have Hamilton winning this game outright at home by 6 to 14 points. Hamilton lost by just 6 points at Calgary in Week 10 despite fumbling the ball 4 times in that game. Hamilton is now at home against a Stamps team they had 439 passing yards against, but penalties cost them that game with 103 more penalty yards than Calgary. Hamilton is averaging 29.8 ppg at home this season where they have won 3 straight games, and they look to rebound off a bad 2-point loss to Saskatchewan in a game they should have won. Hamilton hands the Stamps their second loss of the season so play them with confidence Saturday afternoon

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    Sports Cheetah

    NCAAF 10/1

    5% Clemson

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    Indian Cowboy

    3-Unit Play. #170. Take Air Force -7 over Navy (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)
    Navy has so many injuries on the offensive side of the ball and we believe it finally catches up with them here as they hook up against Air Force. This is a Navy team that beat Air Force 33-11 last year and these two teams usually don't let the other have their way too much with so much revenge in mind. Plus, this is a great public fade and it would do Air Force a lot of good to rout a team here as it will make a solid statement and we like Air Force to stay undefeated with a big win here. Note, Air Force just beat Utah State 27-20 who is a competent team and this team has a lot of talent and we like them to get it done here.


    7-Unit Play. American Athletic Conference GOTY. #131. Take South Florida -5.5 over Cincinnati (Saturday @ 7pm est)
    Willie Taggart is a fantastic ball coach. This team started to show improvements last year when they were really coming together as a squad and that has translated into great progress this year as they are 3-1 out of the gates. This team is much improved and plays with a lot of heart and spunk. Sure, this team was just a 4 point underdog that poorly performed against Florida State and we like them here consequently to bounce-back because of that. This is a team that beat Cincinnati last year by a score of 65-27 as Taggart is well aware of what Cincinnati runs and has his team well prepared consequently. With this team coming off a bad loss, with the fact that this team and this coaching staff frankly is making a statement this year - and will use this game to do so, we like South Florida in a blowout Saturday Night. This is the same team that routed Syracuse on the road and who has scored at least 35 points in each game and Cincinnati's injuries finally catch up with them here as they get beat relatively handily here.


    3-Unit Play. #167. Take Louisiana-Monroe +33 over Auburn (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)

    Louisiana Monroe showed a lot of grit and heart by nearly beating Georgia Southern 21-23 as a massive underdog of 27 points. In fact, this team is 3-0 ATS to start the year as they covered against Oklahoma earlier this year as well. This is a fade on Auburn coming off their big win (that they might or might not have deserved) against LSU and we like Auburn to be going through the motions and looking past this game a bit. Auburn has Mississippi State next week and for Louisiana Monroe this game means a lot more than it does for Auburn. Monroe hangs tough once again.


    3-Unit Play. #191. Texas A&M University -17.5 over South Carolina (Saturday @ 4pm est)
    There is nothing that Kevin Sumlin would love more than to rout South Carolina on the road and beat a fanbase that he is not too fond of. Note, that A&M has done very well to open the year after taking an incredible amount of criticism for transfers and yet it is A&M that sits pretty and is rolling right now. South Carolina has not faced a potent offense such as A&M all year and if this team had issues with Kentucky last week, look for them to have serious issues this week facing a very talented A&M team who would love to rout South Carolina and to keep moving up in the BCS Rankings. A&M in a romp.

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    MIKE DAVIS

    6-Unit Play. Take #125 Kansas St +3.5 over West Virgnina (Saturday, October 1st at 3:30 p.m.)
    I really like the road team in this one. Kansas State had a rough opening loss to Stanford but they showed me something in that ball game. They didn't quit and they actually outgained Stanford in total yards. They have played two no-name teams since then and I'm sure they have had this game circled since the Stanford loss. These two teams have played each other four times over the past four years and K State has won every game with last year's game being a really close one, 24-23. WVU lost a ton defensively but the new guys have played fairly well. However, this team doesn't look to be an improved team and I don't like the direction they are headed. Something just seems amiss.
    KState does more with less than any other team in college football. They simply find a way to win. Period. I look for them to do that once again this Saturday. They have a solid team and the better coach. They are also out to prove something after not playing a meaningful game since September 2nd. I love the Wildcats in this spot. I look for them to get it done on the road in a hostile environment; it's what they do. WVU had a great win at BYU last week and this is a tough opponent to return to.
    Take Kansas State

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    DOC SPORTS

    4 Unit Play. #108 Take BYU Cougars -3.5 over Toledo Rockets (Friday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) When BYU decided to go the independent route in football they have struggled to land home games against Power 5 teams. They have had to play very difficult schedules, and this is a must-win game in order for them to qualify for a bowl game this season. Toledo is 1-6 straight-up in their last 7 games when they travel west of the central time zone. BYU is just a different team in Provo, and they have covered the spread in their last 6 home games. BYU is 53-9 straight-up in their last 62 home games, and their last 8 home wins have come by 30+ points.

    4 Unit Play. #148 Take Bowling Green Falcons -2.5 over Eastern Michigan Eagles (Saturday 12 pm ESPN 3) The Falcons are in a major rebuilding mode and have yet to record a victory on the season against an FBS school. But they still have enough to beat Eastern Michigan, one of the worst teams in FBS for their entire existence. Eastern Michigan has won two straight games against bad teams, but they have had no success against Bowling Green, going 1-11 losing by an average of 19 points per game. The Falcons have major problems, but this is a get-well game for them and I expect them to win it by double digits. EMU is 3-29 straight-up in their last 32 conference games.

    7 Unit Play. #190 Take NC State Wolfpack -10.5 over Wake Forest Demon Deacons (Saturday 3:30 pm ACC Network) ACC Game of the Year. When the Wolfpack win it tends to come by double digits, and that sets up a nice situation on Saturday afternoon in Raleigh. The last three home games against Wake Forest for NC State have been bloodbaths, with the home team winning by 35,31, & 29 points. NC State is 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite. Wake Forest is off of a deceiving victory against Indiana in which they were outgained by 259 yards but were the beneficiary of five turnovers. That good fortune ends this afternoon. NC State is 19-4 ATS in their last 23 games following a bye in their previous week.

    4 Unit Play. #214 Take Boise State Broncos -21 over Utah State Aggies (Saturday 10:15 pm ESPN 2) The Mountain West is a battle between two teams for the top spot, and Utah State is not one of those teams. Boise State has traditionally dominated this league and this matchup, going 12-1 against Utah State. That being said, the Broncos were embarrassed last year in Logan, losing 52-26 despite being a 9-point favorite. That loss was solely on the play of the Broncos in giving away the game with 8 turnovers. Utah State has been on a downward trend after reaching the Pinnacle in 2012, going 11-2. They lost to Akron last year in a bowl game (The Zips first-ever bowl win) and they are just 2-2 this season. Coach Matt Wells has messed up the offense with a rotation of numerous quarterbacks over the last couple of years and now looks to Kent Myers, a former wide receiver. He showed some promise earlier in his career, but like most of their quarterbacks he has gotten worse the more he plays and gets coached. The Broncos are back to normal, and they are on a mission to run the table and still have an outside shot at a spot in the college football playoff if San Diego State continues to win games as well. Their game last week against Oregon State was not as close as the final score would indicate, and you can be sure they will not take this game lightly whatsoever. Utah State is 2-8 ATS (1 push) in their last 11 games. The last time these two teams met in Boise is was a 50-19 victory for the Broncos, and that was against a more talented Aggies team that what they will see on Saturday.

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    STRIKE POINT SPORTS
    College Plays:

    7-Unit Play. Take #164 Clemson (+2) over Louisville (8 p.m., Saturday, October 1)
    This is a perfect spot for Clemson to play a complete game. The Tigers has as high of expectations a team can have heading into the season fresh off the National Championship game loss. They have Deshaun Watson who is as talented as any player they have ever had and were supposed to run through the ACC with little pushback. They have done their part to this point with a 4-0 record but have not looked dominant in the process. Watson has been inconsistent and the defense has lacked focus but good team find a way to win and they have done just that each time they have played so this powerful Louisville team may have its roll stopped this week. The Cardinals are also 4-0 and have a win over Florida State that looked like a misprint. Lamar Jackson and his running mates throttled the Seminoles two weeks ago 63-20 and have looked much the same in all four wins but this Clemson team is primed to play a great game and this week is the week. Clemson has a powerful, veteran defense and they will have to be at their best in this one which they will. Take the Tigers to get the win 40-33.

    3-Unit Play. Take #191 Texas A&M (-17.5) over South Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, October 1)
    The Aggies appear to be a force to be reckoned with in the SEC as they sit at 4-0 and should move to 5-0 with little trouble this week. The only problem for A&M is the month of October. They have started out they last two seasons undefeated through September only to see their season fall apart when the calander turned to Fall. They have gone 9-0 in the last two opening months and 2-5 in the month to follow and which such little room for error they cannot afford to do that again if they want to get into the playoff. Oklahoma transfer Trevor Knight has found a home with the Aggies and with Treyveon Williams looking like a stud runner they will be tough to stop moving forward. Texas A&M has one of the best front sevens in the country and they should have a field day with freshman QB Brandon Mcllwain so thi sone could get out of hand. Take the Aggies to move to 5-0 with a 45-10 beatdown.

    3-Unit Play. Take #184 California (-2) over Utah (6 p.m., Saturday, October 1)
    This game has the makings of a Pac-12 shootout. The Utes have struggled defensively and gave up 27 points to a USC team last week that previously looked lost and the Bears score before the ball is even in their hands at times. The player to watch in this one is Cal Bear quarterback Davis Webb. Webb is doing his best Joe Bradley impersonation and leads College Football in passing yards, completions, attempts, and touchdowns and is showing no sign of taking his foot off the gas. The question is whether or not Utah can stay with the high powered ?Bear Raid? offense and while they will certainly hang tight it is hard to imagine them scoring enough points to win. Neither team is stopping anyone right now and the Bears are looking to put on a show for their home crowd so Take Cal to get the win 50-43.

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    ALLEN EASTMAN

    3-Unit Play. Take #109 Stanford (+3.5) over Washington (9 p.m., Friday, Sept. 30)
    This is a huge game between two teams in the Top 10. Washington has gotten a lot of hype. But Stanford has been playing in big games like this for years. David Shaw is used to winning these games and I think that the Cardinal will leave Seattle with a win. Stanford won their last trip up here in 2014 and they are 7-1 in the last eight meetigns in this series. Stanford has covered five straight games going back to last year. Washington looks to be a little overrated. They are 0-2 ATS in their last two games and were fortunate to escape Arizona with an overtime win last week. Washington's run defense did not look good last week and I think the Huskies will have a hard time slowing down Stanford's big offensive line and star player Christian McCaffrey. Stanford is 38-16 ATS in its last 54 Pac-12 games and an amazing 52-24 ATS in its last 76 games overall. The Cardinal is the play.

    4-Unit Play. Take #162 Michigan (-10) over Wisconsin (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    Here is another matchup of two Top 10 teams. But I think that Michigan is a legit national title contender. I don't think that way about Wisconsin. The Badgers are coming off a great win over Michigan State last week. But now they have to travel back to that state to take on the real team in Michigan. The Spartans were in a letdown spot last week after their big win over Notre Dame. Wisconsin caught them. The Badgers' win over LSU early in the year doesn't look that good now that LSU has fallen on hard times. And this is the same Badgers team that barely held on to beat Georgia State 23-17 two weeks ago as a 35-point favorite. Michigan has done nothing but dominate teams. They have won their four games by an average of 52-14 so far this year and they hammered Penn State last week. These two teams haven't met since 2010. But the home team has been the play in this series, winning seven of the last nine meetings and six of the last seven. The home team is 5-1 ATS. Coach Harbaugh just keeps cashing tickets and I will ride this red hot Wolverine team for another win at the window!

    8-Unit Play. Take #166 Florida State (-10.5) over North Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    This is my ACC Game of the Year.
    I love the Seminoles here. This team has struggled a bit early in the season. But Florida State still has a lot more talent than North Carolina. The Seminoles were ambushed up in Louisville two weeks ago. But they rebounded with a dominating 55-35 win over South Florida last week in a game that was never really close. I think that the Seminoles are going to do the same thing to the Tar Heels this week. This is Florida State's first real home game against a top opponent. Their first game in Tallahassee was against Charleston Southern. They played Ole Miss in Orlando. I think that this Florida State team will get a big boost from the home crowd and the last time that UNC played here was in 2010. North Carolina has really struggled defensively. They are No. 87 in points allowed and No. 90 in total defense. This team is not going to be able to slow down a very potent FSU offense led by Dalvin Cook. Cook hasn't had a real breakout game yet this year. I think that he will on Saturday and I wouldn't be surprised to see him get three touchdowns. FSU is averaging 43 points per game and they have a Top 20 running game. They will go right at the Heels and North Carolina doesn't have the size or depth to hold them back. Florida State's defense is ranked just No. 86 in the country. But this team is much better than that. They have had to face two top offenses in Ole Miss and Louisville. And there is more talent on that side of the ball than UNC has to offer. Florida State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games and 5-1 ATS in its last six home games. Jimbo Fisher knows that his team has to be perfect the rest of the year if they want to get back into playoff contention. And he knows this team could use some blowouts to get back into the Top 10. I think that Florida State wins this one going away and I have them winning by at least 21 points on Saturday. Take Florida State.

    4-Unit Play. Take #183 Utah (+2) over California (6 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    Utah took care of business at home against USC last week. Cal lost 51-41 to Arizona State. I think the Utes will be able to push California around on both sides of the ball. Cal has given up an average of 43 points per game on defense. They are one of the worst units in the country. The Golden Bears have a Top 5 offense. But Utah excels at holding teams below their season win totals and averages. Utah beat a better Cal team last year and the Utes are 4-1 in the last five meetings. The underdog is 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings and I think that Utah is going to stay undefeated on the season. Utah has won six straight games going back to last year and they are 8-2 in their last 10. Cal already has two losses on the season and I think that they were very fortunate in their win over a better Texas team. That won't be the case here. The wrong team is favored. Play Utah.

    3-Unit Play. Take #194 UCLA (-13.5) over Arizona (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    This Arizona team is beat up and bruised. They have been without starting quarterback Anu Solomon the last three games and could again be without key playmakers Nick Wilson and Shawn Poindexter. Arizona is coming off a disappointing home loss to Washington last week. The Wildcats fell in OT as a 16-point underdog in a game that they thought they had won. Arizona has been outgained by three of the four opponents that they have faced this year, including Grambling. They are just 1-3 ATS and Rich Rodriguez is struggling to get this program back on track. UCLA is off a disappointing loss to Stanford last week. But they have a big advantage being at home for a second week in a row. This is a team that won at BYU, a team that beat Arizona in the first game of the season, and the Bruins have been better against a tougher schedule this year. Josh Rosen is one of the best young quarterbacks in the Pac-12 and he gives the home team a major advantage in this one. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the favorite has dominated this series, going 8-1 ATS. UCLA has won and covered four straight against the Wildcats. The Bruins are 0-6 ATS in their last six games. But that streak is going to be snapped with a win here.

    4-Unit Play. Take #202 TCU (+3.5) over Oklahoma (5 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    I think that Oklahoma is still overrated. This is a team that was blown out outright to start the year as 10-point favorites against Houston. I think they are going to get upset and be blown out in this trip to Texas too. TCU has revenge for a tough one-point loss last year. They almost won in Norman as 18-point underdogs last year. They scored a touchdown with less than one minute to play. Instead of kicking the extra point to tie they went for two and lost. But TCU won the last time OU came to Dallas and the Horned Frogs are 3-1 ATS in this series since joining the Big 12. All four of those games were decided by a touchdown or less and the last three years this game has been determined by four points or less. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in this series the last eight meetings. I think Oklahoma is still disappointed about their blowout loss to Ohio State at home two weeks ago. This team is 1-2 and their dreams of a national title are gone. This team just isn't as good as the public expected and they are now 1-5 ATS in their last six games going back to last year. TCU is the play here and I expect them to win this one outright.

    4-Unit Play. Take #216 Washington State (+2) over Oregon (9:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    This is not the same Oregon program that the public is used to betting on. I do not think that this team deserves to be favored and I think that Washington State could even blow the Ducks out. Oregon is coming off a home loss to Colorado. That is something that would've been unthinkable under Chip Kelly. The Ducks are now 2-2 on the season and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games going back to last season. Oregon was unimpressive this year in wins over UC-Davis and Virginia. Washington State got off to a slow start to this season. But they had a bye week last week so they have had extra time to prepare for the Ducks offense. Washington State went to Autzen and won last year and I think they will upset the Ducks again here. The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against Oregon and Mike Leach has been a great underdog coach throughout his career. Washington State is 5-1 ATS at home against Oregon and I think that Leach will have his team ready to play. The public is on the wrong side in this one. Take the underdog.

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    10-1-16


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    ALLEN EASTMAN

    3-Unit Play. Take #109 Stanford (+3.5) over Washington (9 p.m., Friday, Sept. 30)
    This is a huge game between two teams in the Top 10. Washington has gotten a lot of hype. But Stanford has been playing in big games like this for years. David Shaw is used to winning these games and I think that the Cardinal will leave Seattle with a win. Stanford won their last trip up here in 2014 and they are 7-1 in the last eight meetigns in this series. Stanford has covered five straight games going back to last year. Washington looks to be a little overrated. They are 0-2 ATS in their last two games and were fortunate to escape Arizona with an overtime win last week. Washington's run defense did not look good last week and I think the Huskies will have a hard time slowing down Stanford's big offensive line and star player Christian McCaffrey. Stanford is 38-16 ATS in its last 54 Pac-12 games and an amazing 52-24 ATS in its last 76 games overall. The Cardinal is the play.

    4-Unit Play. Take #162 Michigan (-10) over Wisconsin (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    Here is another matchup of two Top 10 teams. But I think that Michigan is a legit national title contender. I don't think that way about Wisconsin. The Badgers are coming off a great win over Michigan State last week. But now they have to travel back to that state to take on the real team in Michigan. The Spartans were in a letdown spot last week after their big win over Notre Dame. Wisconsin caught them. The Badgers' win over LSU early in the year doesn't look that good now that LSU has fallen on hard times. And this is the same Badgers team that barely held on to beat Georgia State 23-17 two weeks ago as a 35-point favorite. Michigan has done nothing but dominate teams. They have won their four games by an average of 52-14 so far this year and they hammered Penn State last week. These two teams haven't met since 2010. But the home team has been the play in this series, winning seven of the last nine meetings and six of the last seven. The home team is 5-1 ATS. Coach Harbaugh just keeps cashing tickets and I will ride this red hot Wolverine team for another win at the window!

    8-Unit Play. Take #166 Florida State (-10.5) over North Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    This is my ACC Game of the Year.
    I love the Seminoles here. This team has struggled a bit early in the season. But Florida State still has a lot more talent than North Carolina. The Seminoles were ambushed up in Louisville two weeks ago. But they rebounded with a dominating 55-35 win over South Florida last week in a game that was never really close. I think that the Seminoles are going to do the same thing to the Tar Heels this week. This is Florida State's first real home game against a top opponent. Their first game in Tallahassee was against Charleston Southern. They played Ole Miss in Orlando. I think that this Florida State team will get a big boost from the home crowd and the last time that UNC played here was in 2010. North Carolina has really struggled defensively. They are No. 87 in points allowed and No. 90 in total defense. This team is not going to be able to slow down a very potent FSU offense led by Dalvin Cook. Cook hasn't had a real breakout game yet this year. I think that he will on Saturday and I wouldn't be surprised to see him get three touchdowns. FSU is averaging 43 points per game and they have a Top 20 running game. They will go right at the Heels and North Carolina doesn't have the size or depth to hold them back. Florida State's defense is ranked just No. 86 in the country. But this team is much better than that. They have had to face two top offenses in Ole Miss and Louisville. And there is more talent on that side of the ball than UNC has to offer. Florida State is 7-2 ATS in its last nine games and 5-1 ATS in its last six home games. Jimbo Fisher knows that his team has to be perfect the rest of the year if they want to get back into playoff contention. And he knows this team could use some blowouts to get back into the Top 10. I think that Florida State wins this one going away and I have them winning by at least 21 points on Saturday. Take Florida State.

    4-Unit Play. Take #183 Utah (+2) over California (6 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    Utah took care of business at home against USC last week. Cal lost 51-41 to Arizona State. I think the Utes will be able to push California around on both sides of the ball. Cal has given up an average of 43 points per game on defense. They are one of the worst units in the country. The Golden Bears have a Top 5 offense. But Utah excels at holding teams below their season win totals and averages. Utah beat a better Cal team last year and the Utes are 4-1 in the last five meetings. The underdog is 4-2 ATS in the last six meetings and I think that Utah is going to stay undefeated on the season. Utah has won six straight games going back to last year and they are 8-2 in their last 10. Cal already has two losses on the season and I think that they were very fortunate in their win over a better Texas team. That won't be the case here. The wrong team is favored. Play Utah.

    3-Unit Play. Take #194 UCLA (-13.5) over Arizona (10:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    This Arizona team is beat up and bruised. They have been without starting quarterback Anu Solomon the last three games and could again be without key playmakers Nick Wilson and Shawn Poindexter. Arizona is coming off a disappointing home loss to Washington last week. The Wildcats fell in OT as a 16-point underdog in a game that they thought they had won. Arizona has been outgained by three of the four opponents that they have faced this year, including Grambling. They are just 1-3 ATS and Rich Rodriguez is struggling to get this program back on track. UCLA is off a disappointing loss to Stanford last week. But they have a big advantage being at home for a second week in a row. This is a team that won at BYU, a team that beat Arizona in the first game of the season, and the Bruins have been better against a tougher schedule this year. Josh Rosen is one of the best young quarterbacks in the Pac-12 and he gives the home team a major advantage in this one. The home team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings and the favorite has dominated this series, going 8-1 ATS. UCLA has won and covered four straight against the Wildcats. The Bruins are 0-6 ATS in their last six games. But that streak is going to be snapped with a win here.

    4-Unit Play. Take #202 TCU (+3.5) over Oklahoma (5 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    I think that Oklahoma is still overrated. This is a team that was blown out outright to start the year as 10-point favorites against Houston. I think they are going to get upset and be blown out in this trip to Texas too. TCU has revenge for a tough one-point loss last year. They almost won in Norman as 18-point underdogs last year. They scored a touchdown with less than one minute to play. Instead of kicking the extra point to tie they went for two and lost. But TCU won the last time OU came to Dallas and the Horned Frogs are 3-1 ATS in this series since joining the Big 12. All four of those games were decided by a touchdown or less and the last three years this game has been determined by four points or less. The underdog is 6-2 ATS in this series the last eight meetings. I think Oklahoma is still disappointed about their blowout loss to Ohio State at home two weeks ago. This team is 1-2 and their dreams of a national title are gone. This team just isn't as good as the public expected and they are now 1-5 ATS in their last six games going back to last year. TCU is the play here and I expect them to win this one outright.

    4-Unit Play. Take #216 Washington State (+2) over Oregon (9:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 1)
    This is not the same Oregon program that the public is used to betting on. I do not think that this team deserves to be favored and I think that Washington State could even blow the Ducks out. Oregon is coming off a home loss to Colorado. That is something that would've been unthinkable under Chip Kelly. The Ducks are now 2-2 on the season and they are 0-6 ATS in their last six games going back to last season. Oregon was unimpressive this year in wins over UC-Davis and Virginia. Washington State got off to a slow start to this season. But they had a bye week last week so they have had extra time to prepare for the Ducks offense. Washington State went to Autzen and won last year and I think they will upset the Ducks again here. The Cougars are 6-0 ATS in their last six games against Oregon and Mike Leach has been a great underdog coach throughout his career. Washington State is 5-1 ATS at home against Oregon and I think that Leach will have his team ready to play. The public is on the wrong side in this one. Take the underdog.

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