10-2-16

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SB Professor Original NFL Picks 10/2

San Diego -4

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Norm Hitzges
NFL

DOUBLE PLAYS:

Arizona -8 LA Rams
Houston -5 Tennessee



SINGLE PLAYS

Carolina -3 Atlanta
Pittsburgh -5 Kansas City
Baltimore -3 1/2 Oakland
Dallas -2 San Francisco
Cleveland--Washington OVER 46 1/2


September 23-26, 201

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Matt The Moose

10 Units Cleveland +9
9 Units San Francisco +110 Moneyline
8 Units Tampa Bay +3

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Stephen nover
3*
Carolina -3

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King Creole

3*
Carolina / Atlanta over 50

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Philly Godfather


$300 move on Oakland +3.5
$100 move on Indianapolis -2.5
01-Oct-2016: NFL: Game 258 NY Jets +3 -125 $100

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Mike Jacobs
Date: 9/30/2016 12:00:00 AM Sport: NFL
Pick: Carolina -3 over Atlanta Units: 500
Notes: 1 PM EST Sunday Kickoff

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Double dragon sports nfl week #4
5-UNIT XTRA-STRONGS
JETS +3 (-125) vs seahawks (1pm)
PANTHERS -3 (-120) at falcons (1pm)
BRONCOS -3 at bucs (4:05pm)
COWBOYS/49'ERS UNDER 45 (4:25pm)
STEELERS -4 (-115) vs chiefs (SNF)
VIKINGS -4 (-120) vs giants (MNF)

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Maddux

20 Unit - TB+3

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Cousin Sal

Oakland 500
Carolina 700

Best Bet

Jets 1000

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Allen Eastman

5-Unit Play. Take #261 Detroit (-3) over Chicago (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)
The Bears look like one of the worst teams in football right now. They were blown out by Dallas and Philadelphia the last two weeks. This team hasn't stayed within 10 points of any team in any of its three games. The Bears are still going with backup quarterback Brian Hoyer. They are banged up on defense. I don't think the Bears will be able to slow down the Lions. Detroit has beaten Chicago six straight times and have dominated this series. They are favored on the road for a reason in this one. Chicago has lost 12 straight home games over the last three years and that is the worst streak in the league right now. Chicago is 6-21 ATS in its last 27 home games and 6-15 ATS in their last 21 games against division teams. The Bears are 17-36 ATS in their last 53 games against NFC teams. The Lions already won at Indianapolis this year. That was against a much better team. I think they will get the job done here and send Chicago to another ugly loss.

6-Unit Play. Take #269 Dallas (-2) over San Francisco (4 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)
This play is from my NFL 411 System.
The Cowboys dominated the Bears on Sunday Night Football. Now they will get to face another team that is near the bottom of the NFL. San Francisco won its home opener in an upset over the Rams. But the 49ers have been blown out each of the last two weeks in physical games against the Panthers and Seahawks. I think that this 49ers team is too banged up right now to take on the Cowboys. Dallas has the best offensive line in football and is able to control the game and the clock. They have been able to keep the pressure off Dak Prescott and that will continue against a 49ers defense that has allowed 83 points over the last two weeks. The Cowboys have scored 58 points the last two weeks. I think they could be even better on offense this week. Dallas has gone 10-2 ATS in its last 12 games on grass and the 49ers are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games against a team with a winning record. This game looks like a mismatch. I had this spread at 5.5 so I think there is a lot of value with the favorite in this one. I also think that Prescott will outplay struggling Blaine Gabbert and I think the Cowboys will bowl over the 49ers in a big way here. Lay the points.

3-Unit Play. Take 'Under' 40.5 Seattle at New York Jets (1 p.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)
Russell Wilson is questionable to play in this game. He was injured in Week 1 against the Dolphins and Seattle only scored 12 points. He was injured again last week and the Seahawks won't be able to score without him. Even with him the Seahawks have a tall task. The Jets defense is underrated. The Jets have allowed three defensive touchdowns the last two games. The defense only allowed 10 points last week and just 24 points to the Bills. I think the New York front seven will control this game by controlling Seattle's offensive line. This one should be similar to the Seattle-Los Angeles loss where the Seahawks couldn't move the ball and were held to just three points. The Seattle defense will be able to slow down the Jets offense. And after six interceptions last week I think Ryan Fitzpatrick and the Jets are going to be more conservative this week. I think they will run the ball a lot more and I don't know if either team will get 20 points. Play this one 'under'.

3-Unit Play. Take #251 Indianapolis (-2.5) over Jacksonville (9:30 a.m., Sunday, Oct. 2)
Remember that this is an early game. This game is being played in London so make sure you get your bet in Saturday night at the latest. I think that the Colts are going to roll in this one. Indianapolis had a great comeback win last week against San Diego. Jacksonville had another deflating last-second loss at home to the Ravens. So the Colts have that momentum to bring overseas. The Jaguars haven't come close to living up to the expectations that people had for them this year. They are 0-3 and this looks like another lost season. And if they lose in London I would not be surprised if Gus Bradley was fired. The Colts have revenge for a 51-16 blowout loss that they took last December in Jacksonville. The Colts had beaten the Jags six straight times by an average of 20 points per game before that. The favorite is 6-1 ATS in this series and the Colts are 5-2 ATS in the last seven meetings. Indianapolis is 20-7 ATS in its last 27 divisional games. The Jaguars will take another loss here and this is an easy call with the Colts and Andrew Luck.
Allen Eastman

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STRIKE POINT SPORTS
NFL plays:

6-Unit Play. Take #265 Oakland (+3.5) over Baltimore (1 p.m., Sunday, October 2)
The Baltimore Ravens are a surprising 3-0 so far this season and have been much better than expected on both sides of the ball but they really have not played anyone yet (1-8 is the combined record of the three team they have beaten). The Oakland Raiders will serve as the Ravens first test and it doesn't appear Baltimore is quite ready for this Raider team. The Ravens do enough on defense to stoop Cleveland but with David Carr, Latavious Murray, and Amare Cooper coming to town they will have to do much more than that. Oakland played poorly two weeks ago after getting off to a rousing 1-0 start with a win over the Saints. They layed an egg against Atlanta and lost 35-28 in large part to a lack of focus. This Raider team could make some noise and one of the biggest tings they needed to learn this season was how to win and it seems like they are doing just that with a 2-1 record and two hard fought W's. This should be a tough battle to the final whistle but Oakland has too much for a mostly average Baltimore team so take them to win outright (but also accept the points) 28-17.

3-Unit Play. Take #276 Pittsburgh (-4.5) over Kansas City (8:30 p.m., Sunday, October 2)
The Steelers looked terrible in a loss to the Eagles last week getting thumped 34-3 and it wasn't even that close. They can just put that one behind them as Christmas comes early for Big Ben and Steeler fans with the return of Leveon Bell to the lineup for this battle with the Chiefs. Bell missed the first three games this year on suspension so he will be fresh and ready to take on a below average Kansas City defense that feels fat and happy after last weeks performance. The Chiefs picked off Ryan Fitzpatrick six times in a 24-3 route of the Jets but they have mostly been blah this season and the team speed of the Steelers should give them fits. Pittsburgh needs a nice bounce back win and this is the perfect spot for them to get it as KC is mostly been inconsistent under Andy Reid. Look for Ben to get Bell moving early and use him often in a 24-10 Steelers win.

3-Unit Play. Take #258 N.Y. Jets (+2.5) over Seattle (1 p.m., Saturday, October 2)
The Jets fans hope that Ryan Fitzpatrick has a short memory after tossing six interceptions last week against Kansas City. Fitzy s a veteran and this Jet offense is very good so they should have a redemption this week against a Seattle defense that is not what it used to be. New York has weapons all over the place on offense and the window of dominance for Richard Sherman and company is slowly closing so the Jets should be in good spots to score all day. The Seahawks also have to worry about the knee of Russell Wilson and if he isn't 100% it may be tough sledding for the Seattle offense. The last place a less than healthy QB wants to play is in Jew Jersey in October so look for the Jets to make things uncomfortable enough for Wilson to steal a win. Jets 17-10.

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DOC SPORTS

5 Unit Play. #258 Take New York Jets +2.5 over Seattle Seahawks (Sunday 1 pm FOX) Top NFL Play of the Weekend.The Jets laid an egg last week in Kansas City with 8 turnovers in that game, but I expect a big bounce-back effort back home in Sunday. Seattle finally moved the ball on offense against San Francisco, but they will find it much more difficult to move the football against this Jets defense. That being said, Russell Wilson is injured, and without his legs he is just not the same quarterback, especially with this suspect offensive line. New York is 3-1 ATS when they are an underdog under Coach Todd Bowles (winning two straight-up). Seattle is 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games following a win in their previous game. The Jets are 5-0 ATS (1 push) in their last 6 games when facing a team with a winning record.

4 Unit Play. #270 Take San Francisco 49ers +2.5 over Dallas Cowboys (Sunday 4:25 pm FOX) Dallas is coming off back-to-back victories, but they do not warrant being a favorite on the road against anybody in the league. Chip Kelly always seems to bounce back well after losses, going 9-2 off a road loss in his previous game. San Francisco was terrible last season, but they were pretty tough at home in allowing just an average of 17 points per game in 8 games (allowed 0 points in their only home game this season). San Francisco is 9-3 (1 push) in their last 13 games as a home underdog. We will gladly grab the field goal with a pair of similar teams.

4 Unit Play. #277 Take New York Giants +5 over Minnesota Vikings (Monday 8:30 pm ESPN) The Vikings are sky high at the moment and will return home for Game No. 2 at US Bank Stadium with a perfect 3-0 record. The Giants are coming off a home loss to the Redskins, and this game means more to them looking to bounce back and improve to 3-1 on the season. This will be far and away the best receiving corps the Vikings have faced this season, and if New York does not turn over the football they can win this game straight-up. Every game that the Giants have played this season has gone down to the wire (6 points total difference in 3 games), and we will gladly take the points in this game. Sooner or later injuries are going to catch up to the Vikings.

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MIKE DAVIS

7-Unit Play. Take #274 Arizona -7.5 over LA Rams (Sunday, October 2nd at 4:25 p.m.)
We will find out a lot about Arizona this Sunday as they host the Rams. The Cardinals were trashed in Buffalo by an 0-2 Bills team. Carson Palmer was atrocious and they defense wasn't much better. Having said that, it's a new week and this is a different opponent. After all, this is the NFL.
The Rams travelled across the country and got a big win in Tampa Bay last Sunday. That gives them back-to-back wins as they beat Seattle the previous week. However, I am not sold on this football team. I don't like their qb situation and their oline is a mess. Gurley finally got into the endzone but it wasn't easy -- even against what looked to be an uninterested Bucs D. This game sets up as a perfect opportunity for Arizona to bounce back in a big way and for the Rams to show who they really are. They don't have any weapons (not named Gurley) on offense and their defense simply can't hold them in games all game long.
I really like this spot for Arizona. If they don't come out and blow this Rams team away in this game, I will be shocked and it will be a clear indication that they aren't very good. However, I still believe they are a really good football team and I look for them to show it this Sunday.
Take Arizona

4-Unit Play. Take #258 New York Jets +2.5 over Seattle (Sunday, October 2nd at 1:00 p.m.)
The Jets are getting points at home vs. a Seattle team that will be playing a game that starts at 10:00 am in their time zone. How quickly we forget the Jets team that dismantled Buffalo's defense in primetime two Thursday nights ago. Yes, they looked horrible offensively at Kansas City. However, the defense still played really well. They are dynamic on the DLine and they will make life rough for Wilson and crew. New York has too many weapons offensively for them to have another off week on that side of the ball. I really look for Fitz to bounce back and get the ball in the hands of his playmakers. I really do like the Jets in this spot. Seattle's offense struggled mightily on the road against the Rams and I don't see them doing much better against a better defense this week. I will be shocked if this line doesn't move a point or so by the time the game starts. This is a great spot for the home team.
Take New York.

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Indian Cowboy

5-Unit Play. #264. Take Houston Texans -5 over Tennessee Titans (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Texans are without Watt and we like them to rally as a squad here. This team has a fantastic coaching staff that gets the most with the least it seems and we like Houston to show some heart here at home. This is a team that was embarrassed on national television last week and scored 0 points. Similar to how Minnesota has done well without Peterson and remained focused and determined, we like the same here for Houston who will rally and likely do well this week. This team is still 2-1 and Houston has a lot of depth in the defensive side of the ball as well. Remember, this is the same Head Coach that did a monumental job at Penn State when they were on probation. The Titans are 3-23-1 ATS when facing the AFC South and the Texans are 5-1 ATS when facing the AFC South of late as well. The Texans are also 6-2 ATS at home and they come together as a squad and get it done this week.


3-Unit Play. #254. Take Washington Redskins -7.5 over Cleveland Browns (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Redskins let's face it were given a gift last week. The gift of Eli. Manning choked late in yet another game and Washington picks up a much needed - possibly season saving win. We like Washington to use that as a catalyst and get it done here over Cleveland who comes in feeling good after a great effort against Miami who was winless going into that game. But, we like Washington to get back on track here and get their first comfortable and possible rout of a win here. The Browns are banged up still at the quarterback position and the Redskins can be a stout defense at home as they continue to make changes and are well aware here that a strong week puts them at a 2-2 mark and still very much into the thick of things in a fluid division. This Redskins team beat a very good Giant team with a new ballcoach and this team is definitely improving each week. We like Washington by double-digits this weekend.


3-Unit Play. #274. Take Arizona Cardinals -8.5 over St. Louis Rams (Sunday @ 4:25pm est) (Currently -7.5 at Sportsbook)
Arizona continues to rebound well and this week should be no different. This is the same organization whose GM stated that it is unacceptable to lose to a Tom-Bradyless Patriot team and he was clearly livid after the loss in the first week of the season. What does this team do? They host the Bucs and rout them. Then this team goes on the road and gets routed by Buffalo who just fired their offensive coordinator in what was a must win for them. What will this team likely do? Likely rout the Rams at home. Note, the Rams come in playing well having won their last two games but this is a Arizona Coaching Staff that has had Jeff Fisher's number for quite a while now and with a mind like Arians not much Fisher will do will surprise him. Arizona comes out focused and gets it done this weekend.


3-Unit Play. #266. Take Baltimore Ravens -3.5 over Oakland Raiders (Sunday @ 1pm est)
Baltimore was surprised last time when Oakland rolled in and beat them and that will not happen this time around. Look for Baltimore who comes off a horrendous year under Harbaugh last year (a rarity) be focused and gets it done this year as they will not be overlooking this team. Oakland has played very well this season but they will not faced a defensive front with an offense that is capable as the Ravens thus far and we like Baltimore in what is a decent public fade to boot to get it done and have a strong weekend.


3-Unit Play. #276. Take Pittsburgh Steelers -5 over Kansas City (Sunday @ 8:30pm est)
Finally the Steelers. The Steelers were routed in ugly fashion in their last game in what was a battle for Pennsylvania if you will and it was not much of a battle. It was ugly and this team was embarrassed. This team was not even in the game after the half way point it seemed as they were out coached and out classed. Now, this team looks to bounce-back after a poor offensive and defensive performance and face a Chiefs team who is still a bit fickle on the year. Sure, the Chiefs beat the Jets in their last game but New York has not looked that great and you have a Pittsburgh team that will be highly motivated this week to get it done and we like them to get back on track this week and pick up the win.

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Fezzik NFL 10/2
3* Steelers -5
Browns/Skins o45.5

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Marc Lawrence NFL

Jags
Cle
Bal
Tam

close call play : Saints, Chiefs

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INT Picks

NFL

#252

1 Star

9:30 AM ET

Indiana @ Jacksonville

Take Jacksonville +2.5

#256

2 Stars

1:00 PM ET

Buffalo @ New England

Take New England -7

#253

1 Star

1:00 PM ET

Cleveland @ Washington

Take Cleveland +7.5

#262

1 Star

1:00 PM ET

Detroit @ Chicago

Take Chicago +3

#267

1 Star

4:05 PM ET

Denver @ Tampa Bay

Play Over 42.5

#270

2 Stars

4:25 PM ET

Dallas @ San Francisco

Take San Francisco +2

#275

2 Stars

8:30 PM ET

KC @ Pittsburgh

Take KC +4

MLB

#922

1 Star

3:05 PM ET

Tampa Bay @ Texas

Take Texas ML (-148)

#925

2 Stars

3:10 PM ET

Minnesota @ Chicago WS

Play Over 8 (-110)

Free Pick

NFL

#259

1 Star

1:00 PM ET

Carolina @ Atlanta

Take Carolina -3

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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA*|*MINNESOTA*at*PHOENIX
Play On - Home favorites (PHOENIX) after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
163-94*since 1997.**(*63.4%*|*59.6 units*)
5-7*this year.**(*41.7%*|*-2.7 units*)

WNBA*|*LOS ANGELES*at*CHICAGO
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (CHICAGO) revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 75 or more points, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team
24-8*over the last 5 seasons.**(*75.0%*|*0.0 units*)
2-0*this year.**(*100.0%*|*0.0 units*)

WNBA*|*MINNESOTA*at*PHOENIX
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is greater than 65.5 after having lost 2 of their last 3 games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
145-82*since 1997.**(*63.9%*|*54.8 units*)
11-5*this year.**(*68.8%*|*5.5 units*)