10-7-16

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Fezzik

365 Massachusetts / 366 Old Dominion UNDER 52.5 Greek (triple-dime bet)

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StatFox Super Situations

CFB*|*CLEMSON*at*BOSTON COLLEGE
Play Under - Road teams where the first half total is between 21.5 and 24.5 dominant team - outgaining their opponents by 125 or more yards/game, after gaining 7.25 or more yards/play in their previous game
41-15*since 1997.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)

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MLB

AL Divisional Series

Blue Jays @ Rangers
Happ is 3-0, 2.93 in his last five starts; Toronto is 17-3 in his last 20 starts, 9-1 in his last ten on road. He beat Texas 12-2 on May 5, allowing one run in seven IP. Happ started one playoff game, for Phillies in 2009 (3 runs allowed in three IP); he relieved in seven other playoff tilts, allowing five runs in 9.1 IP overall in postseason.

Darvish is 2-0, 0.69 in his last two starts; Rangers won eight of his last ten starts. Texas is 6-4 in his home starts. He allowed three runs (two earned) in 6.2 IP in his only playoff start, a 2012 loss to Baltimore.

Blue Jays are 5-3 against Texas this year- Toronto won its last four games, is 10-5 in its last 15. Rangers are 7-6 in last 13 games. Road team won five of last six Toronto-Texas playoff games.

Jays are in playoffs for second year in row, only times they’ve made it since 1993. Texas is in for fifth time in last seven years- they’ve never won a World Series. Gibbons is 7-6 as a postseason manager. Banister is 2-4 as a postseason manager, with all six games against Toronto.


Red Sox @ Indians
Price is 1-1, 5.55 in his last four starts; over is 10-2-1 in his last 13 starts. Boston won five of his last six road starts. Price is 2-7, 5.12 in 14 postseason games (8 starts); he beat Cleveland 6-2 in his first start this year, allowing two runs in six IP (103 PT).

Kluber is 3-0, 3.33 in his last four starts; four of his last six home starts stayed under. He is 1-1, 4.38 against Boston this year; this is his postseason debut.

Red Sox are in playoffs for just second time in last seven years; they’re 4-3 vs Cleveland this year; they lost six of last seven games overall, which followed their 11-game win streak. Indians are in playoffs for just third time since 2001; they’re 9-4 in last 13 games overall.

Obvious subplot here is that Francona is manager who ended Boston’s championship drought when he won 2004 World Series, then won again with Sox in ‘07. Francona has a 29-18 career record in playoff games. Farrell is 11-6 as a postseason manager, with a World Series title in 2013.


Dodgers @ Nationals
Kershaw is 1-1, 1.44 in his last four starts; under is 8-1-1 in his last ten. Dodgers are 8-3 in his road starts, 1-3 in his last four. He beat Washington 4-1 June 20 (allowed one run in seven IP). Kershaw is 2-6, 4.59 in 13 postseason games (10 starts).

Scherzer is 8-0, 2.97 in his last nine starts; three of his last four went over total. He is 4-3, 3.73 in 12 postseason games (10 starts), and did not pitch against Los Angeles this season. Nationals are 9-5 in his home starts.

Dodgers are in playoffs for 4th year in a row- their last World Series title was in 1988. LA is 5-1 vs Washington this season; they lost six of last seven road games, but most of those losses came after they clinched the division. Nationals won six of last nine games; they jogged to NL East title— they’re in playoffs for third time in last five years.

Roberts is a rookie manager. Baker is 19-26 as postseason manager; he won NL pennant is 2002 with the Giants.


Giants @ Cubs
Cueto is 4-0, 1.91 in his last four starts; over is 8-3 in his last 11 starts. Giants are 13-3 in his road starts. Cueto allowed one run in 7.1 IP in his only start against Chicago this year. He is 2-3, 5.35 in seven postseason starts.

Lester is 5-1, 1.48 in his last six starts, 6-6, 2.84 in 14 career postseason starts, but 0-2, 5.49 in his last three- his last postseason win was in ’13 for Boston. Cubs won his last 10 home starts. Under is 9-1 in his last ten starts overall.

Giants were 3-4 against the Cubs this year; they’ve won last five games overall, after a dreadful second half of season. Chicago won nine of its last 12 games; they’re 15-13 against the other four NL playoff teams.

Bochy won three World Series in last six years; he is 43-30 as a postseason manager. Madden got Rays to ’08 World Series; he is 17-22 as a postseason manager.

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StatFox Super Situations

MLB*|*LA DODGERS*at*WASHINGTON
Play Against - All teams with a money line of -100 to -150 (LA DODGERS) after a game where they had 4 or less hits, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts
33-16*over the last 5 seasons.**(*67.3%*|*22.6 units*)
3-3*this year.**(*50.0%*|*0.4 units*)


StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB*|*TORONTO*at*TEXAS
TEXAS is 27-9 (+17.3 Units) against the money line with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games*this season.
The average score was: TEXAS (5.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)

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INTPICKS

COLLEGE FOOTBALL

#312

1 Star

7:30 PM ET

Clemson @ Boston College

Take Boston College +17

#313

2 Stars

8:00 PM ET

SMU @ Tulsa

Play Over 65

#315

3 Stars

9:00 PM ET

Boise State @ New Mexico

Play Over 61

(3 Stars up to 63.5)

MLB

#954

2 Stars

9:15 PM ET

San Francisco @ Chicago Cubs

Take Chicago Cubs ML (-175)

Free Pick

MLB

#958

1 Star

1:05 PM ET

Toronto @ Texas

Play Under 9 (-110)

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Hondo

Hondo’s National ride

Hondo dropped to oh-for-the-postseason Thursday night when his Sawx investment went up in smoke in Cleveland, which reduced the earnings to, 3,653 leflores.

Friday night: Mr. Aitch will go with Scherzer to outduel Kershaw (and his 2-6 postseason record) — 20 units on the Nats. Also, 20 on the Cubs to begin their inexorable march to ending the drought with a win in the NLDS.

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Winning Angle

FRIDAY----NCAA FOOTBALL

Play Boston College +17 over Clemson (Contest Play)
7:30 PM EST

Boston College has covered the spread in 71 of the last 131 games when playing as an underdog and they have covered the spread in 76 of the last 142 home games. Boston College has covered the spread in 91 of the last 174 games vs. conference opponents and they have covered the spread in 38 of the last 56 games coming off two games where they forced one or less turnovers.


Play Tulane +13.5 over Central Florida (Contest Play)
8:00 PM EST

Tulane has covered the spread in 14 of the last 21 games coming off three games with a turnover margin of +1 or better and they have covered the spread in 6 of the last 9 games when playing in weeks five through nine. Tulane has covered the spread in two straight games vs. Central Florida and they are only allowing an average of 15 points on defense in road games this season.


Play SMU +17 over Tulsa (Contest Play)
8:00 PM EST

Tulsa has lost 40 of the last 70 games against the spread when playing as a home favorite and they have lost 29 of the last 49 games against the spread after scoring 31 points or more in two straight games. Tulsa has lost 37 of the last 51 games coming off two games where 60 or more total points were scored and they have lost 17 of the last 26 games against the spread after gaining 525 or more total yards in two straight games.


Play New Mexico +17 over Boise State (Contest Play)
9:00 PM EST

New Mexico has covered the spread in 5 of the last 6 games when playing as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points and they have covered the spread in 8 of the last 11 games when the total posted is between 56.5 and 63 points. New Mexico has covered the spread in 10 of the last 15 games coming off a conference game and they are averaging 38 points a game on offense this season.

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The Winners Circle

FRIDAY

NCAA FOOTBALL

1000* Play New Mexico +17.5 over Boise State

New Mexico has covered the spread in 51 of the last 86 games after having lost two of the last three games and they have covered the spread in 74 of the last 132 games coming off a home game.

Extra NCAA Football Plays

100* Play SMU +17 over Tulsa
100* Play Boston College +17 over Clemson

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MLB BASEBALL

100* Play Washington +140 over Los Angeles Dodgers
100* Play San Francisco +170 over Chicago Cubs

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Big Al GOY
Chicago Cubs

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Power play of the day for friday 10/7/16
ncaaf: Smu +16

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Paul Leiner

100* Rangers -125

100* New Mexico +17.5

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Vegas Top Shelf

Rangers -120

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Ross Benjamin

5* Giants / Cubs Under 7

[golden contender]

Friday card has a Double perfect MLB Divisional series Totals play and the Triple system ESPN College side. MLB Comp play below.

The MLB Comp play is on the LA. Dodgers at 5:30 eastern. The Dodgers start things off with Clatyon Kershaw tonight and he has a 1.63 Era this year and has allowed just 1 run over his last 3 starts vs Washington spanning 24 innings. Scherzer has been solid vs LA but not quite as good as Kershaw. The Dodgers are 17-8 as a road favorite in this range and the Nationals are nursing injured players who have been out awhile back into the lineup. LA has won 5 of the 6 meetings this year and looks poised to take game one. On Friday a powerful card is up and led by the Triple system ESPN College football play and a Double perfect MLB Totals play. Jump on now and start the weekend big. For the MLB Divisional series free pick. Play on the Dodgers. GC

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Best Sports Capper

POD: Old Dominion -9.5 (NCAAF)

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NORTHCOAST
STAR RATED PLAYS:
NO STAR RATED PLAYS TONIGHT
Top Opinions:
Friday Night College Marquee:
Marquee GOM: New Mexico +18 over Boise St 9:00 pm et CBS Sportsnet
Reg Opinions:
Old Dominion -8 over UMass 8:00 pm et
No Opinion in the Clem/BC & SMU/Tulsa games tonight

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Western Viper (doc's sports)

4u) Texas Rangers -130

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Maddux

BC + 17
Boise over 61

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Indian Cowboy

5-Unit Play. #313. Take Under 65.5 Tulsa vs. SMU (Friday @ 8pm est)