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Thread: 10-8-16

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    10-8-16


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    StatFox Super Situations

    CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
    Play On - Underdogs or pick (BRITISH COLUMBIA) in a game involving two average defensive teams (23-28 PPG) after 9 or more games
    119-64*since 1997.**(*65.0%*|*48.6 units*)
    1-4*this year.**(*20.0%*|*-3.4 units*)

    CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
    Play On - Any team vs the money line (WINNIPEG) versus division opponents, off an upset loss to a division rival as a home favorite
    54-39*since 1997.**(*58.1%*|*0.0 units*)

    CFL*|*BRITISH COLUMBIA*at*WINNIPEG
    Play Against - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (BRITISH COLUMBIA) after covering the spread in 4 or 5 out of their last 6 games, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games, in the second half of the season
    29-6*since 1997.**(*82.9%*|*22.4 units*)
    1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)

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    Arthur Ralph Sports

    SATURDAY

    Super Pk Houston -17

    Gold Key Saturday:

    Duke - 5 1/2,

    Eastern MICH +17,

    OHIO-11,

    Texas A&M-7,

    California -13,

    Utah -9,

    Kansas ST-8,

    San Diego St -15

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    Gold sheet LTS SATURDAY

    SATURDAY, OCTOBER 8
    COLLEGE FB
    TOP CHOICE 1 1/2 units CINCINNATI -3 over UConn -home 8:30 AM PDT time change (Game #331)
    NOTRE DAME +2 1/2 over NC State -home 9:00 AM PDT time change (Game #349)
    TEXAS +11 1/2 over Oklahoma 9:00 AM PDT time change at Cotton Bowl, Dallas (Game #360)
    TENNESSEE +7 over Texas A&M -home 12:30 PM PDT (Game #377)
    SOUTHERN CAL -5 -home over Colorado 1:00 PM PDT time change (Game #388)

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    StatFox Super Situations

    CFB*|*TCU*at*KANSAS
    Play Against - Home underdogs (KANSAS) after having lost 3 out of their last 4 games, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a winning record
    41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)
    1-1*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.1 units*)

    CFB*|*UCLA*at*ARIZONA ST
    Play On - A road team vs. the money line (UCLA) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday
    265-164*over the last 5 seasons.**(*61.8%*|*0.0 units*)
    5-3*this year.**(*62.5%*|*0.0 units*)

    CFB*|*E CAROLINA*at*S FLORIDA
    Play On - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (S FLORIDA) after allowing 475 or more total yards/game in their last 3 games, with an experienced QB vs. opponent with inexperienced QB
    41-15*over the last 5 seasons.**(*73.2%*|*24.5 units*)

    CFB*|*HOUSTON*at*NAVY
    Play On - A road team vs. the money line (HOUSTON) off a win by 10 points or more over a conference rival, when playing on a Saturday
    265-164*over the last 5 seasons.**(*61.8%*|*0.0 units*)
    5-3*this year.**(*62.5%*|*0.0 units*)

    CFB*|*MIAMI OHIO*at*AKRON
    Play Over - All teams where the total is between 49.5 and 56 off a home loss, winless on the season
    46-18*over the last 10 seasons.**(*71.9%*|*26.2 units*)
    2-2*this year.**(*50.0%*|*-0.2 units*)

    CFB*|*TOLEDO*at*E MICHIGAN
    Play On - Road favorites vs. the money line (TOLEDO) excellent passing team - averaging 8.5 or more passing yards/attempt, after allowing 8 or more passing yards/attempt last game
    43-7*over the last 5 seasons.**(*86.0%*|*0.0 units*)
    4-2*this year.**(*66.7%*|*0.0 units*)

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    Marc Lawrence perfect system club

    CFB 10/8/2016
    THE PERFECT 10
    PLAY ON any college football road dog or favorite of 3 or less points off a SU
    home loss as a favorite of 10 or more points if they scored more than 10 points in the loss and the won 10 or more games last season if they are facing a foe off a win of 14 or less points that won 8 or fewer games last season.

    ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 11-0

    Play On: Florida State

    Rationale: After being embarrassed at home, quality teams show an ability to
    bounce right back up when on the road in a price range they can handle.
    Especially if they were the better team last season. Note: these team have
    won 9 of the 11 games straight up.

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    Lee Sterling (Paramount Sports)


    12:00 Noon EST - Mississippi State +3
    12:00 Noon EST - Notre Dame +2.5
    12:00 Noon EST - Texas +11
    3:30 PM EST - North Carolina -1.5
    3:30 PM EST - Michigan State -6
    3:30 PM EST - Tennessee +7
    8:00 PM EST - OVER 48 Florida International - UTEP

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    ASI

    SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/5)
    Ohio -11.5 Bowling Green (2pm) ** 2 UNIT MID AMERICAN BLOWOUT SELECTION **
    Maryland -1 Penn State (12pm)
    Washington -8 Oregon (630pm)
    California -13.5 Oregon State (10pm)


    SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/7) Larry
    Texas +11.5 -105 Oklahoma (12PM) ** 2 UNIT UNDERDOG GAME OF THE MONTH SELECTION **
    Kansas State -8 Texas Tech (7PM)
    Western Michigan -20 thern Illinois (630PM)
    Duke -5.5 Army (330PM)

    SATURDAY 10/8 (released 10/7) jeff
    Marshall / North Texas over 63.5 (7pm) ** 2 UNIT CONFERNCE USA TOTAL OF MONTH SELECTION **
    Idaho -5 UL Monroe (7pm)

    Saturday October 8th- (released 10/07) simin
    ENGLAND - NATIONAL LEAGUE
    (UNDER 2.5 +100) Lincoln City @ Bromley (10AM)
    ENGLAND - LEAGUE 1
    (UNDER 2.5 -110) Southend United @ Rochdale AFC (10AM)
    ENGLAND - LEAGUE 2
    (UNDER 2.5 -140) Wycombe Wanderers @ Yeovil Town (10AM)
    USA - MLS
    (UNDER 2.5 -133) Colorado Rapids @ Houston Dynamo (8PM)
    Sunday October 9th- No Selections today

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    Erin Rynning

    10* Arizona under 59'
    10* Tenn over 55
    10* BYU +6

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    Dave Cokin:

    327 Maryland +1
    347 Virginia Tech +3
    335 Army +4
    340 Kansas St -8
    387 Colorado +5
    407 Wash St +7.5

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    Marc lawrence 4 pack
    tennessee
    oregon
    florida st
    usc

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    NORTHCOAST SPORTS


    ECONO CLUB PICKS

    1. Western Michigan -19.5
    2. Notre Dame +3
    3. Michigan -26
    4. Buffalo +2
    5. Arizona St +10
    6. San Diego St -14.5
    7. Kansas St -7.5
    8. Washington -9
    9. USC -4
    10. UTEP -4.5
    11. Texas +11.5
    12. Wake Forest -2



    Early Bird - Michigan
    Big 10 - Iowa
    Pac 12 - Stanford
    ACC - Florida St
    SEC - Kentucky
    AAC - Cincinnati
    CUSA - Marshall
    Big 12 - Kansas St
    MT West - San Diego St
    MAC - Ohio U
    Sun Belt - Georgia St
    TV Play of the Day - Released Sat
    900 POD - Released Sat
    Inside Info - Released Sat
    Totals Play of Day - Released Sat


    BIG DOGS

    Iowa St +17 Oklahoma St +625
    Eastern Michigan +17.5 Toledo +610
    Boston College +17 Clemson +660
    Texas +11.5 Oklahoma +400
    Arizona St +10 UCLA +325
    Tennessee +7 Texas A&M +225

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    Jason Sharpe


    NCAAF Game of the Year
    8 Unit Play Take #398 Idaho +5 over Louisiana Monroe (7:00pm est)


    4 Unit Play Take #400 UTEP -4.5 over Florida International (8:00pm est)
    4 Unit Play Take #327 Maryland -1 over Penn State (12:00pm est)
    3 Unit Play Take #342 Minnesota +1 over Iowa (12:00pm est)
    3 Unit Play Take #378 Texas A&M -6.5 over Tennessee (3:30pm est)
    3 Unit Play Take #336 Duke -5 over Army (3:30pm est)

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    Indian Cowboy



    3-Unit Play. #332. Take Under 47.5 Connecticut vs. Cincinnati (Saturday @ 11:30am est)

    Cincinnati is still very banged up on offense and that showed in their results of late. After all, we did take South Florida last week as our 7-Unit Play against them and it won with relative ease. Per this selection, this team is a heavy public favorite as they face Connecticut on the road. But, it is Connecticut who has a great shot at winning outright. This game will likely go in Connecticut's pace. Note, that Connecticut just comes off a loss to Houston where they gave up 42 points and had just given up 31 points to Syracuse prior to that. This is a team that has given up 73 points in their last 3 games after having given up just 59 points in their first two games. Look for Connecticut to finally bounce-back here at home with a solid defensive performance and look for Cincinnati to play much better on defense after giving up 45 points to South Florida.



    3-Unit Play. #356. Take Under 51 Navy/Houston Under (Saturday @ 3pm est)

    Houston has a fantastic offense and there is no doubting that. But, they run into a Navy team who understands they don't have the talent that Houston does, but they do have a system that take time off the clock. They will likely run the ball to no end here and keep the Houston offense off the field. Each first down this team gets will be a victory because it's less time the Houston offense is on the field and consequently their own defense can catch their breath. Navy comes off a loss to Air Force and will be focused for this game as they were likely looking ahead to it anyway which is why they lost by two touchdowns in their last game. Houston has given up just 33 points in their last 4 games and consequently we like a drag out contest here that goes under the posted total.



    6-Unit Play. #378. Take Texas A&M -6.5 over Tennessee (Saturday @ 3:30pm est)

    This is a game that Texas A&M could embarrass Tennessee. Sure, Tennessee comes off a hail may performance against Georgia and it was exciting and maybe there is an Angel that is watching over this team into destiny. Or, maybe Tennessee just got lucky and they are about to face a Texas A&M team that is playing with a chip on its shoulder given the transfers this off-season and are simply routing squads. This is the 7th ranked team in the country who played horribly at South Carolina and won in a non-convincing fashion after being favored by 17.5 points. This is a Tennessee team that has been up and down all year and they will have to be at the top of their game here away from home and if they had issues against a fickle Georgia team, they are going to have some serious issues here as they face Texas A&M who is solid on both sides of the ball. Remember, A&M beat Auburn on the road by a wider margin than Clemson did this year by 13 points, they beat Arkansas by 3 touchdowns at home and come off a poor performance against South Carolina. We like Texas A&M who was likely looking ahead to this game in their last game to really take it to Tennessee from start to finish and win by double-digits.



    3-Unit Play. #401. Take Alabama -14 over Arkansas (Saturday @ 7pm est)

    Though the public likes Arkansas here we like Alabama. Note the Crimson Tide did not play their best football against Kentucky and you can tell that in Nick Saban's press conference. He was not overly impressed with his team and he understands that this team needs to bring their best game into a top 20 Arkansas team that loves playing physical football. But, Alabama's offense is quite competent and if Arkansas had its issues with Texas A&M's offense, they will have their issues with an Alabama offense that has a bona fide starter and who enjoys spreading the ball out under Kiffin. You have to give Saban credit for willing to change his mantra and open up the offense to keep up with the times (something that Bear Bryant didn't even do until much later). We like Alabama as the decent public fade here.

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    Exodus to Black

    Early releases

    CFB
    Houston-17
    Stanford-7-120
    Michigan-27.5

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    Spartan goy
    miami florida -3

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    Maddux college FB picks for week 6
    Saturday October 8


    10* Air Force/Wyoming under 57
    10* Miami FL -2.5
    10* Georgia Tech +8
    10* Oregon +8
    10* Kentucky -1.5
    10* NC State +1
    10* Tennessee/Texas A&M over 54.5

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    billy hill from banker sports has his 12 1/2 play on western michigan over northern illinois

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    fast eddie from banker sports has his 4 1/2 unit play on cincinnati over connecticut

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    DOUBLE DRAGON SPORTS NCAA WEEK #6 - Saturday
    6-UNIT TOPS
    TENNESSEE +7 (-120) at a&m (3:30pm)
    KANSAS ST. -7 (-120) vs taco tech (7pm)
    FSU +3 at miami, fl. (8pm)

    5-UNIT XTRA-STRONGS
    NOTRE DAME +3 (-120) at nc st. (12pm)
    LSU -2.5 (-120) at florida (12pm)
    HOUSTON -17 (-115) at navy (3pm)
    ARKY +14.5 (-115) vs bama (7pm)
    WASHINGTON -9 (-105) at oregon (7:30pm)
    WASH ST. +7 (-105) at stanford (10:30pm)

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