Page 3 of 7 FirstFirst ... 23456 ... LastLast
Results 41 to 60 of 126

Thread: McGregor / Mayweather Info ...

  1. #41
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    John "Iceman" Scully (boxing trainer):


    "I can't see Mayweather losing even a half of a round unless he just plays with McGregor for a little while. On the inside or on the outside, I see Floyd just being miles ahead of this guy.

    Anything less than a definitive stoppage would be [shocking] to me."

  2. #42
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Marcus Figueroa (boxing/MMA sharp):


    "Conor's fans would like you to believe that he has insane one-punch KO power. While he did catch Jose Aldo (who rushed him and got clipped by one punch), that has been the exception. Also, in [their] first fight, Nate Diaz made Conor dance before Conor decided he was a wrestler. If you are betting and want to throw some money on Conor, I can't argue. With that said,

    I expect Floyd to catch Conor with a body shot and knock him out inside of eight rounds."

  3. #43
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Michael Mohan (boxing sharp):


    "Possibly the greatest boxer of all time will face a man making his professional boxing debut this Saturday. For me, it's a no-brainer -- Mayweather will win by KO in Rounds 8 or 9.

    Best value is Mayweather money line and Mayweather by KO."

  4. #44
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Johnny Wilds ... ESPN INSIDER


    The panel above didn't waver, and all eight are picking Mayweather. I'm going to make it a perfect 9-for-9 as I just can't see McGregor beating even an aged, slower or worse version of the Mayweather we have seen for so many years. Boxers with far better pedigree have all failed, and I can't think of a reason to pick McGregor here, especially with the odds so low now. I see Mayweather breaking McGregor down with a vicious body attack and getting the stoppage in the middle-to-later rounds.

    Pick: Mayweather -450 or better and by KO -125 or better.

  5. #45
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Reed Kuhn ... ESPN INSIDER


    Most boxing insiders don't give McGregor a chance, and perhaps that bias creates a potential blindspot. The betting market has showered small bets in favor of McGregor, while the heavier action has been for Mayweather. Clearly the squares and sharps have completely diverged, but we should point out that this was this same pattern that preceded the recent massive betting upsets of the British exit from the EU and the U.S. presidential election.

    Ultimately there's no arguing that McGregor is new to competing as a pure boxer, and the fact that the market is giving him better odds to win than several prior Mayweather title fight opponents is extreme. At current odds, most smaller gamblers will be getting a relative bargain on Mayweather to win, while the heaviest hitters will likely see prices rise closer to fight night. It's even possible the influx of Irish fans in Vegas later in the week could cause one last dip in price for Mayweather. Patience has been rewarded already for those playing Mayweather, but that time is dwindling. For the value hunters among Mayweather's supporters, counting on McGregor's durability but lack of expertise suggests Mayweather by decision at around +200 is a bargain.

    That said, any fighter has a puncher's chance. And arguably McGregor's puncher's chance is elevated by several key factors: his aggression and demonstrated power, Mayweather's age and the smaller-than-usual gloves. With those realities, McGregor's best -- and possibly only -- path to victory is via TKO. Doing what no other puncher has been able to do is a tall order, and still unlikely. It just means that anyone seriously putting money on McGregor for the upset should play only the TKO prop, boosting their return by roughly 20 percent from +400 to +500.

    If McGregor is going to shock the world, it will be sudden. Specifically aiming for a mid-round (5-8) finish, giving him time to find a punch to be heard around the world will offer +2000 at some books.

  6. #46
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0

  7. #47
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Floyd Mayweather just guaranteed a stoppage of Conor McGregor on Saturday.

  8. #48
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Sharp props from BetOnline ...



    Floyd win RD 1-3 +775 (now +550)

    Floyd wins RD 4-6 +550 (now +400)

  9. #49
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    BetOnline ...


    Also sharp coin on Under 9.5 (-165). Now 9.5 Under -185

  10. #50
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    WBC prez Mauricio Sulaiman announces that the Money Belt will be on the line.



    3360 diamonds, 600 sapphires, 300 emeralds, alligator leather.

  11. #51
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0

  12. #52
    215 Hustler Mr. IWS's Avatar
    Join Date
    Sep 2006
    Location
    Philly
    Posts
    99,756
    Rep Power
    137
    Quote Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
    We need Connor to win and spray paint NWO over that belt.
    Like us on Facebook Follow us on Twitter




  13. #53
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    LOL

  14. #54
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Food for thought ...


    Gervonta Davis is 1/60 vs Francisco Fonseca (a 19-0-1 BOXER) on the undercard

    49-0 Mayweather 1/4 vs McGregor +290 - a 0-0 MMA'er.

  15. #55
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0

  16. #56
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    At William Hill US shops in Vegas and around Nevada, director of trading Nick Bogdanovich can hardly keep up with the action on props, particularly bettors taking Yes on: Will Mayweather get knocked down?

    “That’s getting a lot of action, and it’s the prop with the most liability too,” Bogdanovich said earlier today, noting No opened -700 and Yes +500. “Now we’re at -400/+320. In fact, I’m gonna go lower right now, just because they’re just gonna keep taking it. So I’m going to -360/+300.”



    The William Hill prop seeing the most action – but not creating quite as much liability – is: Will the fight go the distance, 12 full rounds? No opened -300 and Yes +350, and the prices have moved to -250/+210 respectively.

    “It’s drawing real good action,” Bogdanovich said, adding his 100-plus shops have seen $25,000 in wagers on that prop alone. “Everything to do with this fight, we’re doing huge action.”

  17. #57
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    MGM Resorts books could echo that statement. Randy Madayag, sportsbook supervisor at The Mirage on the Vegas Strip, said the prop bet cash is flooding in, and much of it one-sided.


    “I just know we’re heavy on everything McGregor right now, especially the round props – McGregor anywhere in the first five rounds,” Madayag said. “On Round 1, we’ve got $300,000 in liability to McGregor. It opened at 40/1, and now it’s 15/1. People think if he’s gonna win, it’s gonna be early and quick – a puncher’s chance.”


    The prop drawing the most money at MGM books is McGregor to win by knockout, with $100,000 in action so far, taking those odds from the opener of 6/1 down to 3.5/1. MGM also has a three-option round prop for each fighter: to win in rounds 1-4, 5-8 or 9-12.


    “We’re heavy on McGregor on all three options,” Madayag said. “We’re just getting pounded on pretty much anything McGregor.”


    But there is at least one prop at MGM where Mayweather has created liability: Floyd winning by knockout has drawn $70,000 in action, hiking the price to -170 after being as low as -120.

  18. #58
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Dave Mason of BetOnline.ag said his shop, much like MGM books and surely many others, has some serious first-round liability on The Notorious One.


    “Anything with McGregor’s name next to it, we’re in the red,” Mason said earlier this week’

    “For instance, McGregor to win in Round 1 pays, good lord, that’s down to 20/1. That was like 33/1 just the other day. We’re so darn exposed on that. If that one simple prop hit, McGregor wins in Round 1, we lose more on that one prop than we would any MLB game this whole season. So that tells you how much people are betting this stuff.”

  19. #59
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Scott Cooley (odds consultant for Bookmaker.eu) said the Bookmaker prop with the biggest handle is also the one creating the most liability.


    “We offered the round total as a prop, along with higher/lower round totals, and the sharp bettors slammed the Unders,” Cooley said. “The fight total started at 9.5 rounds, but after adjusting the vig over and over, we were forced to drop the number to 8.5, and we're still taking Under money. We also had props of 11.5, 10.5 and even 7.5, and basically every bet came on the Under.”


    And of course, with McGregor going outside his UFC/mixed martial arts comfort zone, one prop that had to be on the menu was whether the fiery Irishman would be disqualified. At Bookmaker.eu, No opened a -600 favorite and Yes was +400; now it’s No at -1069 and Yes at +568.

  20. #60
    IWS Member
    Join Date
    Aug 2017
    Location
    NEW YORK
    Posts
    4,965
    Rep Power
    0
    Planet Hollywood Vegas took a "near-six-figure" bet on Mayweather at -500 today.


    "Seems like there's a buy on Floyd at -500 right now."

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •