McGregor / Mayweather Info ...

[New York Knight]

MGM Race Sports took a $1 million bet on Mayweather today

[New York Knight]

Biggest bet yet on Mayweather comes in.


William Hill says a bettor just put down $1.2 million on Floyd ... would pay $240K if he wins

[New York Knight]

Updated after $1.2 million wager ...

[New York Knight]

MGM Resorts ....


average Floyd bet is $4,100


average Conor bet is $125

[New York Knight]

With approximately 48 hours til they touch gloves, betting is really starting to pick-up.

Here's how the bets have paced:

[New York Knight]

(2) $250K wagers on Mayweather at MGM Resorts on Friday morning

[New York Knight]

LV SuperBook ... UPDATED



McGregor +425

Mayweather -600

9.5 Over +160

9.5 Under -190

[New York Knight]

McGregor 153lbs


Mayweather 149.5lbs

[New York Knight]

The co-main event for Saturday’s Floyd Mayweather Jr. vs. Conor McGregor PPV undercard was supposed to feature Mayweather protege Gervonta Davis (18-0, 17 KOs) defending his IBF junior lightweight title against the little-known Francisco Fonseca (19-0-1, 13 KOs). For the time being, Davis vs. Fonseca will still happen, but only Fonseca can win the championship belt.

Neither Davis nor Fonseca weighed in with the rest of the undercard fighters, and now we know why. Fonseca came in at the limit of 130 pounds, but Davis was 132 pounds, and he will not re-weigh. The 22-year-old has been stripped of his title, so if he beats Fonseca, the belt will remain unclaimed, but if Fonseca pulls off the upset, then he becomes the champion.

This is a major issue for Davis, who needed three attempts to make weight for his first title defense against Liam Walsh back in May. He’s been stripped outright this time around


Davis was -7000 yesterday ... now -5000

[New York Knight]

Updated Mayweather odds around the offshore market


-450 at Bovada
-505 at BetOnline
-600 at Bookmaker
-620 at 5Dimes

[New York Knight]

With weigh-in complete here's updated odds from LV SuperBook


Floyd -550

Conor +400

O/U 9.5Over +160

Under -190

[New York Knight]

LV splits Mayweather/McGregor


S Point -575/+500

Westgate -650/+450

W Hill -600/+450

Boyd -600/+400

CG -600/+400

MGM -600/+400

Wynn -700/+500

[New York Knight]

LV splits Mayweather/McGregor ... UPDATED


South Point -575/+500

Westgate -700/+500

Boyd -550/+350

CG Technology -550/+425

MGM -600/+400

Stratosphere -550/+350

Stations -560/+385

[New York Knight]

The odds of McGregor winning by a first-round knockout have been bet down from 45-1 to 15-1 at MGM sportsbooks.

[New York Knight]

The crew at CBS Sports gives their picks for Saturday



Below are picks from Bill Reiter (National columnist), Brian Campbell (Combat Sports writer), Matthew Coca (producer), Adam Silverstein (editor) and Brandon Wise (editor).



Reiter: Mayweather via TKO5
The temptation to take McGregor is strong, one of the reasons the bets in Vegas are 12 to 1 on him. But there's still more money on Mayweather because the SmartMoney knows what the heart won't admit with McGregor: the Irishman has no chance. Zilch. Mayweather is perhaps the greatest defensive boxer of all time, McGregor is a supreme athlete in another sport , and that's that's all you need to know. Mayweather dominates.


Campbell: Mayweather via TKO5

Talking yourself into believing McGregor's bold claims can be an intoxicating exercise, further fueled by Mayweather's age and time away from the ring. But I've seen this movie too many times and I know how it ends. McGregor will be brash and he will be bold, but the more aggressive he decides to be, the quicker Mayweather breaks him down with clean counter shots and forces the stoppage.


Coca: Mayweather via TKO8

For as long as McGregor has been in the fight world, he just hasn't trained enough and has no real boxing experience. Mayweather is just too skilled -- he's going to chip away at McGregor and should pick up his first TKO in almost a decade.


Silverstein: Mayweather via TKO4

So this is a boxing match, right? Should I pick the championship-winning ring scientist who is 49-0 and at least has an argument when "greatest of all time" is discussed, or the champion mixed martial artist who has never boxed as an amateur or professional and has only been training for months -- not years -- for this fight? I don't care if Mayweather comes to the ring looking like James "The Grim Reaper" Roper. McGregor is not "Irish" Terry Conklin in the ring, let alone Marcos Maidana. If this was any other major fighter -- such as Gennady Golovkin or Canelo Alvarez -- I'd predict McGregor gets slayed in the first two rounds (maybe even the first two minutes), but Mayweather's age and fragile hands concern me about the possibility of a knockout. I do expect McGregor to be conditioned well enough to last the entire fight, and it could very well go the distance with Mayweather either earning a unanimous 120-108 decision or giving up a couple rounds. But I keep going back to the simple fact that it's all-time great boxer vs. an MMA striker, and no matter what else enters my mind, I can't shake thinking Mayweather finds a way to take down McGregor sooner than later.


Wise: McGregor via TKO5

Call it drinking the Kool-Aid. Call it buying the Great White Hype. Call it whatever you want. For the last four years, I've been expecting to see McGregor get humbled. The only person to do it did it on 12-days' notice when McGregor had no time to prepare. The second fight went according to McGregor's plan against the bigger and longer Nate Diaz, earning a majority decision. It may feel like a no-win game picking the elevated amateur, but this just feels different than past Mayweather "super fights." Victor Ortiz came in with dirty tactics against him and was humbled quickly. Look for McGregor to press the tempo and force Mayweather to throw early before he gets a feel for McGregor's gameplan. It's his best shot -- and likely his only shot to win. I think he finishes the job so he can legitimately say "doubt me now."

[New York Knight]

Bloody Elbow staff’s picks and predictions for Floyd Mayweather vs. Conor McGregor superfight.




Anton Tabuena: There’s nothing I would love more than to see Conor McGregor pull this one off and completely shake up the entire sports world. With two years out, and his age, maybe Floyd is a tad slower to react and it costs him early against a bigger guy with good timing and a different approach. I would love to see McGregor overwhelm him with pressure, then eventually catch him with his trademark pull counter to left straight that ends it, but it’s just not a logical thing to predict. I think Floyd will take his time, and Conor will eventually struggle with a lot of things Floyd brings that he isn’t used to seeing, from boxing inside, to his head movement and defense, to his stinging jabs and body shots he won’t even get to react to. I also think McGregor will be very surprised with Mayweather’s power, and I’m not sure how he will handle all those clean shots and body shots he isn’t used to dealing with in MMA. I think once he figures out Conor’s timing, and once he starts seeing that Conor is feeling those clean counters, Floyd will push forward and fight more aggressively, similar to how he fought Canelo.

For all the advantages that people keep listing — youth, size, KO power, athleticism — Canelo had all that plus legitimate boxing skills, and Mayweather still made him look slow and unskilled. I think after a pretty crazy start to this fight (McGregor’s best chance to land something), this will eventually look a lot like that Canelo fight, but with a brutal finish. I hope I’m wrong and Conor drops and finishes him during the early madness, but instead this will most likely be Mayweather’s first finish in years.

Floyd Mayweather by TKO.



Mookie Alexander: In effect, the analysis used to support McGregor’s chances beyond “puncher’s chance” is merely a modified version of “six months sprawl training.” Conor can box and I think he’d be built up as a contender type of fighter had he committed specifically to boxing and not MMA. But beyond that, what are we really breaking down here? Does Jermall Charlo, an actual elite boxer at 154 who would knock McGregor out within 3 rounds, not have the same puncher’s chance against Mayweather that we’re otherwise giving McGregor? The entire premise of picking McGregor is, “Hey, he hits hard in MMA and Floyd is old. Maybe this shit works in both sports at a high level.”

Here’s the thing with McGregor: He is an elite MMA striker, with an emphasis on the word striker. McGregor wins with his fists, but a good chunk of his performances feature him setting the tone early and creating the space he prefers through his kicks. Go watch most of McGregor’s fights and he’s throwing spinning back kicks, front kicks, etc. quite often, and that’s what helps set up his knockouts. Chad Mendes gassed out because McGregor relentlessly attacked the body with kicks, and less frequently punches. A key adjustment he made in the Diaz rematch was his increased use of leg kicks. Conor is going into a boxing match, so obviously that’s a major asset taken away.


Other things to point out: McGregor doesn’t have a great jab. It’s improving, but it’s not something he really emphasizes. He’s not known for having much of a killer right hook. I think his uppercuts are quality, and they’re the next best boxing tools for McGregor. We don’t see him working his hands very much as an in-fighter, so that’s an unknown, or perhaps he’s just better working at range.


There are levels to this game. The only MMA-related thing McGregor might be able to utilize is working effectively in the clinch. That’s it. Everything else is just boxing. Straight boxing. That’s it. And Mayweather is better than McGregor. Every top-10 fighter from 147-168 is demonstrably better than McGregor. That’s a fact.

IF Conor knocks Floyd out, it’d be the greatest upset in combat sports history. I reckon it’d be a temple shot or something of that nature. McGregor might win a couple of rounds if/when Floyd starts slowly. The crowd will be amped! But when Mayweather gets in a rhythm, there’s not much you can do to disrupt it. How is Conor going to outcounter the consummate counterpuncher? How will he deal with Mayweather jabbing his body repeatedly, something McGregor just flat out hasn’t dealt with in 95% of his MMA fights? How’s he going to preserve his energy? This isn’t just for Mayweather, this is against even fringe contenders. There’s a skill gap, and I don’t feel like McGregor’s fans or anyone giving him greater than a puncher’s chance understands that.


Floyd Mayweather by TKO, round 8.



Tim Burke: All the analysis in the world comes down to a pretty simple way of looking at the fight. Conor COULD catch him early. Floyd starts slow, Conor starts fast. This happens a lot. But WILL he catch him early? Hell no. This is Floyd Mayweather we’re talking about. I think Conor wins the first, maybe even the second on output alone. He’s going to go in there, try to take Floyd’s head off, and get frustrated. Then he’ll eat lead rights he doesn’t even see coming and counters to the straight left for 10 straight rounds while fans groan about Floyd being “boring”. Too bad, folks. You should have known what you were getting into.

Floyd Mayweather via unanimous decision (118-110, 119-111, 118-110).



Nick Baldwin: Whatever.

Floyd Mayweather via unanimous decision.



Ram Gilboa: McGregor can’t pick up a 12-round decision here. That much is obvious. But what about a KO? If Money Mayweather, uncharacteristically, decides to take big risks, and entertain the crowd to the point of parody, or if his ego gets the control, and keeps him in the center of the ring, feet planted – and if then the two years of rust will take effect, and he’ll grow old in the ring in an instant, and reacts too slow or just plain wrong, just when the heavier, younger McGregor unleashes the greatest left hand of his life?

Now we’re almost in the realm of science fiction.

The late science fiction great author Terry Pratchett defined Mcgregor’s chances as such: “Scientists have calculated that the chances of something so patently absurd actually existing are millions to one. But magicians have calculated that million-to-one chances crop up nine times out of ten.” Traditionally, Pratchett wrote, someone around the camp would have to say beforehand: “It’s a million-to-one chance, but it might just work!" And it has to be an exactly round one-in-a-million chance – nothing approximately. On account of that last matter, while the list of people that accomplished million-to-one feats is impressive, the list of people who failed, at comparable adventures, contains a lot more fatalities.

KO/TKO, cuts, injury and DQ considered – McGregor won’t pick up a decision, well, maybe in a billion-to-one event – I give him about a 120-to-one chance of catching and flattening Mayweather. I came up with these exact odds like this: I thought about the UFC champ Conor McGregor beating 49-0 Boxing great Floyd Mayweather in a Boxing match, and I said in my head “No way”, “No way”, “No way”, like this 120 times, until I heard an “Hmm...” - and then another a hundred and twenty “No way”. I acknowledge I might be too dismissive of McGregor’s puncher’s chance. It might be closer to Vegas’, or at-least closer to the initial Vegas’ odds before most of the craziness. But either way, McGregor’s chances here are better than a million-to-one, unfortunately for him.

Floyd Mayweather by TKO, round 8.



Paul Gift: A NAC-sanctioned beating that ends in the 7th or 8th round. If I have to pick one, I’ll go…

Floyd Mayweather by 7th round TKO.



Phil Mackenzie: The advantage of this... thing... was supposedly that the buildup would be the high point, but honestly, even the promotion has been sad, plastic and forgettable. The two men have little chemistry together, as I suspect McGregor admires Floyd too much to really go after him. In all, it's been tiresome and dispiriting from the moment it was announced, and there are only so many ways you can say "Conor might have a chance because he's going to be so bad at boxing that Floyd might not be ready for how bad he actually is." At this point optimistic pundits have tried them all.

Floyd Mayweather by unanimous decision.



Tim Bissell: Picking the boxer to win a boxing match. Among all the other advantages working in Mayweather’s favour, I think stamina and conditioning will be key factors. McGregor has not proved that he can do what he’s good at over a long haul. I think there’s a good chance he’ll get tired just before the midway point and from that point on Mayweather will stroll his way to victory in the safest and least entertaining way possible.

Floyd Mayweather Jr via unanimous decision



Eddie Mercado: Conor will be making his professional boxing debut against the best boxer of his generation. Yikes! Logic has Floyd taking this inside of the distance, because let’s be honest, Conor has a puncher’s chance, which is also the same chance that you or I have against Floyd (P4P).

Floyd Mayweather by KO before round 6.



Lewis McKeever: The fact that this fight has been booked is, in itself, a testament to the unerring self belief of Conor McGregor. But, self belief alone will not be enough to pull off the mega upset against Floyd. Objective reality does exist, and Mayweather is objectively lightyears ahead of ‘The Notorious’ in the boxing ring. I see Floyd stopping McGregor in the first four rounds. I believe he will start teeing off on McGregor after the second round, and a stoppage will soon follow. Then again, the only thing I’m certain of is that there are no certainties in life - especially in the sporting world. Leicester City did win the Premier League in 2015-2016. That did actually happen. If that can happen, anything can.

Floyd Mayweather via stoppage



Zane Simon: One of these men is likely the greatest boxer of his era, the other has never boxed before as a professional, ever. That should be the start and end to the conversation, really.

Floyd Mayweather by TKO (exhaustion) round 7.



Michael Hutchinson: You read this entire entire article, all the way through Victor’s rant and Ram’s sci-fi comparison. If there’s any doubt still in your mind, I’ll lay it out for you. McGregor won’t win. If you think that prediction is disappointing, then I’ve prepared you for the disappointment you’ll feel Saturday night.

Mayweather by TKO Round 6-9




Staff picking Mayweather: Eddie, Nick, Ram, Paul, Phil, Victor, Bissell, Stephie, Lewis, Zane, Hutch, Tim

Staff picking McGregor: Iain (By uppercut KO)

[New York Knight]

LV SuperBook ... UPDATED


McGregor +500

Mayweather -700


Average ticket sizeMcGregor $200

Mayweather $8832

[New York Knight]

Current price at prominent offshore book Pinnacle :


Mayweather -510

McGregor +406

[New York Knight]

Current odds per Bookmaker ...


Mayweather -555

McGregor +405

[New York Knight]

Bovada ...

Floyd -375

Conor +285




5Dimes ...

Floyd -620

Conor +460