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Friday 8-25-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, August 25, 2017
(957) SAN DIEGO PADRES VS (958) MIAMI MARLINS.
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
Reason: Your free play for Friday, August 25, 2017 comes in baseball as Texas and the LA Angels clash in Anaheim. This is a good park to pitch in and San Diego is in town with the worst offense in baseball. Starter Travis Wood is off two strong games in a row, allowing 3 runs in 12 innings. San Diego is on a 4-2-1 run under the total and Miami is 7-3 under during game 1 of a series. Adam Conley shut down the Mets his last start allowing 3 hits, 1 run with 11 strikeouts in 7 innings. Play San Diego/Miami Under the total.
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Roz Wins
Roz's Friday, August 25, 2017, Free Pick
(959) COLORADO ROCKIES (C BETTIS - R) VS (960) ATLANTA BRAVES (J TEHERAN).
Take Colorado.
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Mike Wynn
Free Play: MLB Miami w/Conley -145 Over San Diego
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Totals4U
Friday's Free Selection: Milwaukee Brewers/Los Angeles Dodgers under 8
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#1 Sports
Friday's Free Selection: Milwaukee Brewers + 170
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Platinum Plays
Free Pick: MLB the Chicago Cubs w/Quintana over Philadelphia
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Golden Dragon Sports
Free Pick
Minnesota Colon +155
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Sharp Bettor
Sharp Bettor's Free Pick for Friday, August 25, 2017
(955) PITTSBURGH PIRATES (I NOVA - R) VS (956) CINCINNATI REDS (R STEPHENSON).
Take: UNDER THE TOTAL.
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Huddle Up Sports
Free Play: Cincinnati Stephenson-115
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Hawkeye Sports
Friday's Free Pick: Boston Red Sox - 150
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High Stakes Syndicate
Free Selection for Friday: St Louis Cardinals - 155
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John Anthony Sports
Friday's Free Selection: St Louis Cardinals - 155
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Atlantic Sports
Friday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Washington Nationals + 170
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ART ARONSON
1* Free Play OVER Rangers/A’s.
Recent form displayed by these starting pitchers suggests that we’ll likely have a bit of a “slug-fest” on our hands in this one.
AJ Griffin: He’s 6-4 with a 5.10 ERA. Griffin gave up three runs off six hits over five innings in a loss to the White Sox on Sunday. Note that Griffin has been particularly average in all “night” games this year with a ballooned 6.50 ERA.
Kendall Graveman: He’s 3-4 with a 4.54 ERA. Graveman has admittedly looked a bit better of late, but we’ll point out that he’s still only 2-4 with a 4.70 ERA in all “night” games this season.
The bottom line: Graveman has been better at home than on the road this year, but overall he’s been a disappoinment. Both starters have struggled in “night” games and all of these factors collide making the OVER an interesting investment opportunity in this particular matchup.
AAA Sports
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MARC LAWRENCE
Play - Detroit Tigers w/Verlander (Game 973).
Edges - Tigers: Verlander 2.39 ERA with 0.88 WHIP last seven overall starts; and 8-1 last nine overall team starts in this series, including 5-0 the last five; and 6-1 last seven overall team starts during August… White Sox: Gonzalez 3-9 last twelve overall team starts during August; and 4-10 team start at night this season… With Verlander in commanding KW form with 33 Ks and 4 BBs his last four starts, we recommend a 1* play on Detroit. Thank you and good luck as always.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Ellis Park - Race #5 - Post: 2:42pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $11,500 Class Rating: 86
Rating:3
#8 UTMOST INTENSITY (ML=8/1)
#1 KEY TO THE BANK (ML=5/1)
#9 SANDHILL SAMMY (ML=10/1)
UTMOST INTENSITY - This horse is in good condition, having run a strong race on August 13th, finishing second. Based on this horse's recent efforts, he should be aided by today's shorter trip. Widely used handicapping angle - 3rd or 4th start after a vacation generally leads to a big effort. A live one today. KEY TO THE BANK - This rider/conditioner duo has been producing a very lucrative ROI, right at +133. SANDHILL SAMMY - Greenwell brings him right back. I recommend you stay with this live gelding. That 85 fig this gelding garnered in his last race tells me he's a big time player in today's event.
Vulnerable Contenders: #2 PROVIDENCE (ML=6/5), #1A NORTHERN RANGER (ML=5/1), #4 RIPPIN RIDE (ML=6/1),
PROVIDENCE - Last ran on Jul 29th at Ellis Park, finishing fifth. Not likely to perk up off of that try in today's race. NORTHERN RANGER - Not likely that the speed figure he recorded on July 9th will be enough in this event. RIPPIN RIDE - Hasn't hit the board in any short distance contests recently. Improbable to see him doing it this time either.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Go with #8 UTMOST INTENSITY on top if we're getting at least 9/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Emerald Downs - Race #7 - Post: 9:27pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $6,400 Class Rating: 62
Rating: 3
#1 SEATTLE SEA GAL (ML=2/1)
#3 APRILS NOT FOOLIN (ML=3/1)
#2 ROSIE'S WAY (ML=4/1)
SEATTLE SEA GAL - Trainer Stenslie moves this thoroughbred to a lower class rank to face a lower level today. Look for a nice performance in here. My expertise says this is the lone stalker in the race. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a good outing on Aug 11th. Ranks number one in earnings per start (EPS). A solid performance right here can augment the lifetime total. APRILS NOT FOOLIN - Faced tougher in the last race at Emerald Downs. Based on class figures, this is a weaker field, so I will put this horse on my list of strong contenders. This filly is in fine condition. Finished third on Aug 11th. ROSIE'S WAY - This entrant could be tough this time, especially since Ordunarojas rode last out and now should be acquainted with this one. Apostolou brings her back again. I advise you stick with this strong filly. Look at this pattern of improvement. 24/33/58 are the last 3 Equibase speed figs.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 QUEETS (ML=9/2),
QUEETS - This filly finished outside the top 3 on July 29th and wasn't even close last time around the track either. Registered a most unsatisfactory speed figure in the last race in a $5,000 Maiden Claiming race on Aug 12th. Not probable to see an improved performance off of that figure.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 SEATTLE SEA GAL to win if you can get at least 2/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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Handicapped by Valuline at Evangeline Downs
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Evangeline Downs, Race 6 (Friday August 25, 2017)
ROSE'S ASSET
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
EVD-6 6f DIRT Seven Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 F/M 3YUP $8,500
P# dd ex p3 p4 t s ML WP TVL
3 ROSE'S ASSET 9/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon
4 PRAY LASSIE 5/1 22% 7/2
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Evangeline Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 64
FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 FONDA CARLOS 8/5
# 6 MY GAL SARAH 5/1
# 3 CHERRY LAUREL 4/1
I like FONDA CARLOS here. Her 57 average has this filly with among the best Equibase Speed Figures for this event. Recorded a reliable Equibase Speed Figure in the latest race. Can run another good one in this contest. Has a strong shot in this race if you like back class. MY GAL SARAH - With Contreras in the saddle guiding her, this filly will probably be able to break out early in this competition. Ought to be considered - I like the figs from the last race. CHERRY LAUREL - Must be given consideration given the class of races run recently. Has performed solidly lately in sprint races, posting a nifty 51 avg speed figure.
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