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09-18-2018, 03:22 PM
#581
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09-18-2018, 03:23 PM
#582
Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 09-18-2018 at 03:25 PM.
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09-18-2018, 03:26 PM
#583
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09-18-2018, 05:24 PM
#584
MEGALOCKS week #4
Army at Oklahoma – College Football Predictions
Army at Oklahoma – College Football Predictions
The Game
This should be interesting.
The rock solid Army West Point Black Knights visit Oklahoma to take on the Big-12 favorite Oklahoma Sooners. Army is off to a nice 2-1 start with their only loss coming to the emerging JUGGERNAUT Duke Blue Devils. Oklahoma is sitting at a great spot (3-0) and getting JACKED UP for conference play. Can Army keep this game from being a complete slaughter?
The Details
Oklahoma -31.5 Army (63)
MEGALOCKS LINE – Oklahoma -27
“Vegas” Implied Projected Score: Oklahoma 47.25 Army 15.75
The Match-Up:
Army offense vs Oklahoma defense
This ain’t your momma’s Army offense.
Amaze the SMOKESHOW FLIGHT ATTENDANT on your next flight with this gem. Army threw for 361 (!!) yards during the entire 2017 season. Yup, that happened. This season QB Kevin Hopkins has already thrown for 420 yards. Some of that has been by necessity (Duke game) but Army has enough of an air attack now to keep you on your toes. Don’t be surprised if guys are running wide open by 20 yards at least a couple times on Saturday. To be fair this is not the Liberty or Hawaii defense BUT Army should be able to pound out enough clock with their devastating rushing attack to minimize the opportunities that the Sooners get on offense. Army has held the ball for over 39 (!) minutes per game which is #1 in the FBS. The Sooners defense has been pretty good vs the run but disappointing vs the pass. That should mean good things for this match-up but how much time do you think the Sooners have put into preparing for the option when they just finished a yuuuuge game with Iowa St and have the Big-12 docket on deck? Yup.
Oklahoma offense vs Army defense
The Sooners are going to make Army’s pass defense look silly on multiple occasions. QB Tyler Murray has looked really good and the running game will be fine, although less explosive without the dual-threat ability of Rodney Anderson who is OFY. The WR combo of Marquise Brown and Ceedee Lamb should go nuts in this game but we would be shocked if we saw them after the Sooners get up by 21 points. They have already taken a major injury hit on offense. The Army defense is tougher than a $3 steak but will do well to hold the Sooners to less than 38 points. Remember, if Army doesn’t crap the bed with turnovers they are going to hold the ball for long stretches.
Trends, Intangibles and More!
Our WEATHER INSIDERS dominated with a massive call on the Utah under last week. Remember, this is just icing on the cake, but the forecast is looking pretty ominous in terms of rain for 24-48 hours spanning the time of this game. We would take Army +31.5 in beautiful weather, but they become a bit more tasty of a play if the elements come into play.
Summary
We have the fair line on this puppy a lot lower. Oklahoma crushed FAU (midgets that can’t play defense), UCLA (horrible) and beat a decent Iowa St team by 10 points. Army has won 18 games over the past two seasons (+ 2 this season) and are a legit living breathing team that will make a bowl game and probably win it (along with beating Navy). It could be a senseless slaughter but we will take the service academy discount.
Conclusion
Official play: Army +31.5 -102
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09-18-2018, 07:16 PM
#585
Mendoza Line Newsletter tracking (through 9/17/2018)
Updated for Monday Night Football and a correction to Gold Sheet.
Overall, a very bad week for the newsletter picks.
***Many picks canceled this week due to Florence. Too many to note here.***
Not every newsletter gets posted every week, and I'll try to note when the record doesn't include every week of the season.
Another note is that the grading is based on the line indicated in the newsletter at the time of publication, not the closing line. Many of these newsletters will claim a win against the best available line as it moves throughout the week, but these records reflect the outcome against the line they were willing to make a play on in their newsletter.
CKO
11* (0-3)
10* (5-6)
Totals (1-2)
Gridiron Gold Sheet (0-4 in the NFL this week)
NCAA Best Bets (8-8)
NFL Best Bets (3-5)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NCAA
5* (1-2)
4* (0-3)
3* (2-1)
Upset pick (1-2)
Betcha Didn't Know (1-10)
Awesome Angle (2-1)
Incredible Stat (0-3)
Marc Lawrence Playbook NFL
5* (1-1)
4* (1-1)
3* (1-1)
Pointwise NCAA
1* (1-3-1)
2* (1-3)
3* (0-3)
4* (4-2)
5* (2-4)
Pointwise NFL (0-5 this week)
3* (1-1)
4* (0-4)
5* (0-4)
PowerSweep NCAA
4* (2-1)
3* (2-3)
2* (4-2)
Underdog Play of the Week (0-3)
Tech Play of the Week (1-0-1)
Revenge Play of the Week (0-3)
Situational Play of the Week (2-1)
Series Play of the Week (0-1)
PowerSweep NFL
4* (0-2)
3* (2-0)
2* (1-1)
NFL System play (2-1)
4* Pro Angle (0-1)
Powers Picks NCAA (4-1 this week, best week for Powers NCCA I can remember)
3* (3-2)
2* (3-7)
1* (0-0)
Powers Picks NFL
4* (0-0)
3* (0-1)
2* (4-0)
1* (0-0)
Sports Reporter
NCAA Super Best Bets (0-0)
NCAA Best Bets (3-6)
NFL Super Best Bets (0-0)
NFL Best Bets (2-2)
Red Sheet
89* (3-3)
88* (3-8-1)
Winning Points
NCAA 4* (2-1)
NCAA 3* (1-2)
NFL 4* (2-0)
NFL 3* (1-1)
Killer Sports, not including teasers
MTI 5* (0-1)
MTI 4.5* (1-0)
MTI 4* (1-1)
MTI 3* (0-0)
SBB 4.5* (0-1)
SBB 4* (2-1)
Victor Kings's Totals Tipsheet
3* (1-1)
2* (2-2)
PowerPlays
NCAA 4.5* (5-1)
NCAA 4* (4-8)
NFL 4* (2-0)
Gold Sheet
NCAA Key Releases (5-6)
NFL Key Releases (4-2)
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09-19-2018, 06:40 AM
#586
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09-19-2018, 06:41 AM
#587
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09-19-2018, 06:07 PM
#588
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09-19-2018, 06:07 PM
#589
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09-19-2018, 06:08 PM
#590
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09-19-2018, 06:10 PM
#591
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09-19-2018, 06:41 PM
#592
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09-20-2018, 06:14 AM
#593
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09-20-2018, 06:14 AM
#594
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09-20-2018, 02:11 PM
#595
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09-21-2018, 06:16 AM
#596
Zcode NFL Week 3
The NFL season has been unpredictable thus far. After the first two weeks,the Philadelphia Eagles, New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers, whocombined to go 39-9 last season, are a combined 2-3-1 to start 2018. Take alook at some of the match ups for this week!
New Orleans Saintsversus Atlanta Falcons
In this NFC South battle, both teams enter coming off victories and a 1-1start. The teams split last season, both winning as home favorites. Atlantacomes in as a three point favorite. The Saints hold a +8 to +3 advantage on thePower Ranking Indicator and “average down” versus “dead” on the Team StrengthOscillator. The Falcons are tied for the sixth most unstable team in theleague according to the Team Volatility Oscillator. Although the teams have anequal record, the Falcons have had much tougher competition in Philadelphia andCarolina. Take the Falcons minus the three points.
Indianapolis Coltsversus Philadelphia Eagles
The big story in this game is the return of Carson Wentz from major kneesurgery. While the Eagles are hurting with the loss of Alshon Jeffery, MikeWallace and perhaps Jay Ajayi, the return of Wentz instantly boosts team moraleand the Philadelphia crowd will be the 12th man. The Eagles hold a +25 to+7 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator. Indianapolis is “average” on theTeam Strength Oscillator and the Eagles are “ice cold down” following the lossto the Buccaneers. A six-point home favorite, the Eagles have been very good athome and tough defensively. The Eagles should win and cover.
New York Giantsversus Houston Texans
The Giants come in starting off 0-2 and looking porous on the offensiveline. Houston is also 0-2 but come in as a six-point home favorite. The Giantshave a narrow +10 to +9 edge on the Power Ranking Indicator. Both teams are“average down” on the Team Strength Oscillator. New York is -12 pointdifferential, while the Texans are -10. Very closely matched, the edgehas to go to the Texans, who will be motivated for their home opener. The Texanswill win this game and drop the Giants to 0-3.
Denver Broncos versusBaltimore Ravens
The Broncos needed a strong fourth quarter to overtake the Raiders andimprove to 2-0. Baltimore fell on the road after opening at home with a win. Afive-point favorite, the Ravens hold a +31 to +21 advantage on the PowerRanking Indicator and both teams are “burning hot” on the Team StrengthOscillator. One of the most unstable teams in the league according to theTeam Volatility Oscillator, betting according to Broncos’ favorite/underdogstatus is likely not wise. Denver is not nearly as strong on the road, but willgo out on the limb a bit and pick them as the upset choice this week. Denverwill not only cover, bit win outright.
Los Angeles Chargersversus Los Angeles Rams
The last time these two teams met in 2014, neither were playing in LosAngeles. The Chargers at 1-1 were in San Diego, while the Rams at 2-0 were inSt. Louis. The Rams are +27 on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average”status, while the Chargers are +19 and “average up”. The Rams havedominated defensively over the first two games, giving up only 6.5 points pergame. They come in as a 6.5 point favorite. The Chargers have been solidoffensively, but likely can’t keep up with the firepower or Jared Goff and ToddGurley, among others. The Rams will win this high scoring game and cover.
Green Bay Packersversus Washington Redskins
Coming off a tie to the Vikings, the 1-0-1 Packers take on a Redskins teamwho fell to the Colts at home. Green Bay won the last meeting in 2016 asa road underdog. Coming in as a three-point road favorite, the Packershave a +22 to +20 advantage on the Power Ranking Indicator and “average” versus“ice cold up” on the Team Strength Oscillator. Both teams are among the mostunstable in the league after the first two weeks, so proceed with caution whenconsidering favorite/underdog status. As long as Green Bay can protect AaronRodgers and his injured knee, the Packers win the game. Green Bay will takethis by at least a touchdown.
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09-21-2018, 06:16 AM
#597
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09-21-2018, 02:20 PM
#598
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09-21-2018, 02:20 PM
#599
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09-21-2018, 02:21 PM
#600
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