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Thread: Newsletters

  1. #121
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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  3. #123
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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  4. #124
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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  5. #125
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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  7. #127
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    Cool Fading the public works!

    Zcode NFL Public Fades - Week 8

    We went 2-1 ATS in Week 7 which improves our YTD to 15-6. Let’s see if we can keep it going with a few potential plays for Week 8. The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Wednesday (10/25) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.
    OAKLAND @ BUFFALO
    The Raiders had a huge win last week over Kansas City and the public took notice.

    Oakland snapped a 4 game losing streak to win last week and now must go on the road after 3 straight home games. The Bills are undefeated at home and looking to continue a strong start to their season. This is a game they need to win and I expect a big effort. Let’s take Buffalo -2.5 (Bookmaker)
    ATLANTA @ NEW YORK JETS
    The public has a hard time remembering 2017 is not 2016.

    Atlanta is a mess offensively and looking nothing like they did last season on their Super Bowl run. The Jets suffered a brutal loss last week and there will be a sense of urgency to play a complete game this week. Let’s take New York +4.5 (5Dimes)
    DALLAS @ WASHINGTON
    Dallas looked great against San Francisco last week and the public liked what they saw.

    Dallas is riding high but this is a must win for Washington. We should expect max effort from the Redskins while playing at home versus a divisional rival. Let’s take Washington +2 (BetOnline)
    Like I mentioned, we have a few days until these games take place with lots of wagering in between so keeping an eye on the lines and percentages throughout the week is important. Fading the public is very successful when the public side is 80%+ so keep that in mind as the week progresses and the betting volume grows.

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  8. #128
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    Some betting ideas from VSIN Point Spread Weekly

    Matt Youmans is 43-23 (65%) 19-14 O/U (58%) 24-9 against the spread (73%)
    Power Rating is 42-24 (64%) 20-13 O/U (61%) 22-11 against the spread (67%)
    Bettor Ratings is 41-25 (62%) 19-14 O/U (58%) 22-11 against the spread (67%)
    The consensus pick of those three.. 46-20 (70%) 21-12 O/U (64%) 25-8 against the spread (76%)

    Matt Youmans: MIA +3, u37.5, MIN -9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, o46, PIT -3, o44.5
    Power Rating: BAL -3, o37.5, CLE +9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, u46, DET +3, o44.5
    Bettor Ratings: BAL -3, o37.5, CLE +9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, u46, DET +3, o44.5
    Consensus: BAL -3, o37.5, CLE +9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, u46, DET +3, o44.5

    When Matt and Power Rating make the same selection.. 25-6 (81%) 9-3 O/U (75%) 16-3 against the spread (84%)
    • CLE/MIN u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, PIT/DET o44.5


    When Matt and Bettor Ratings make the same selection.. 25-7 (78%) 9-4 O/U (69%) 16-3 against the spread (84%)
    • CLE/MIN u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, PIT/DET o44.5


    When Power Rating and Bettor Ratings make the same selection.. 32-15 (68%) 15-10 O/U (60%) 17-5 against the spread (77%)
    • BAL -3, o37.5, CLE +9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, u46, DET +3, o44.5


    When ALL 3 make the same selection.. 18-4 (82%) 6-2 O/U (75%) 12-2 against the spread (86%)
    • CLE/MIN u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, PIT/DET o44.5
    Last edited by Buzz Kill; 10-26-2017 at 08:17 AM.
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  9. #129
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    CFB Advisor Picks

    4 Star TCU -6.5
    3 Star Washington St-2.5
    2 Star Northwestern +3.5
    2 SDSU -8.5
    2 Washington -16.5
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  10. #130
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    From the service thread:

    King Creole

    3* Buffalo / Oakland over 45.5

  11. #131
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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  12. #132
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    Buzzkill,
    Do you have access to the In The Press box newsletters? Do I need to buy them and share them?

    Thank you

    J

  13. #133
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    Cool

    Quote Originally Posted by Musca Sports View Post
    Buzzkill,
    Do you have access to the In The Press box newsletters? Do I need to buy them and share them?

    Thank you

    J
    You are welcome! To get you started - This is a Direct Link to the NFL Inside the Pressbox that will automatically update when he updates it. He only has the Thursday night NFL game up so far. The College will follow. Good luck Musca Sports!

    Phil Steele's Inside the Pressbox - NFL
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 82, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.

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  15. #135
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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  16. #136
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    Smile I really like Criz's VSIN trends

    Criz's VSIN Trends consensus system gave us two winners on Thursday night with Baltimore and the Over:

    Matt Youmans: MIA +3, u37.5, MIN -9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, o46, PIT -3, o44.5
    Power Rating: BAL -3, o37.5, CLE +9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, u46, DET +3, o44.5
    Bettor Ratings: BAL -3, o37.5, CLE +9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, u46, DET +3, o44.5
    Consensus: BAL -3, o37.5, CLE +9.5, u38, CAR +2, o44.5, SEA -5, u46, DET +3, o44.5
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 82, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.

  17. #137
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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  18. #138
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    Several folks are in second place in the Playbook Wise Guys Contest but there is just one leader, and that is Bob Dietz:

    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 82, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.

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  20. #140
    Senior Member Buzz Kill's Avatar
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    In the Playbook Wise Guys Contest there is but one Number 1 now: Bob Dietz:


    Bob's top play is Louisville (-2 1/2 to -3 now) over Wake Forest which goes off at 12:20 PM Eastern

    Bob's next to best play is USC (now -3 1/2) over Arizona State which goes off at 10:45 PM Eastern


    More on Bob Dietz from a June 2016 post:
    Sports handicapper. Founded Integrity Sports in 1979. Monitored by The McCusker Report during the 80's and 90's. Former champion and current participant in Playbook's invitation-only Wise Guys Contest.
    Last season: won Heritage Sports' Race to the Super Bowl Contest, versus thousands of entrants. Finished third in Northbet's Pick the Pros Contest. Finished second in Linemasters' Bowl Contest.
    Old publications include "Scientists, Gamblers, and Magicians" in The Humanist and "The Gambling Personality: An Interactional Approach" at the National Conference on Gambling and Risk Taking.
    Free Heber! Heber Carl Jentzsch, 82, President of the Church of Scientology International, is believed to be held in a Scientology prison (RPF). He has not been seen since 2005.

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