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Tuesday 8-29-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10440 Class Rating: 52
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,500, IF FOR $4,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 THE OTHER BOLEYN 4/5
# 4 I WANT S'MORES 3/1
# 2 BRIDIE 4/1
THE OTHER BOLEYN looks formidable to best this field. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figures of this group in her last race. Looks to have a respectable class edge based on the most recent company kept. Earning some good money in dirt route races. BRIDIE - Reason to like this filly as she has in the saddle one of the best jocks using winning percentages over the last month. This horse has to be in good condition coming back to race so soon.
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Handicapped by Valuline at Finger Lakes
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Finger Lakes, Race 4 (Tuesday August 29, 2017)
CHIEF ASSIGNMENT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
FL-4 5.5f DIRT Five Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 3YUP $9,000
P# dd ex t s ML WP TVL
5 CHIEF ASSIGNMENT 7/5 45% 6/5 Strong Favorite icon
2 UNCOMMON GROUNDS 2/1 25% 3/1
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park
Fairmount Park - Race 6
$1.00 Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta ($1.00 Minimum Wager) / .10 Cent Superfecta
Claiming $3,200 • 1 Mile 70 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 81 • Purse: $5,000 • Post: 3:20P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE MAY 29, 2017. , 116 LBS.; , 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JUNE 29 ALLOWED 3 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE APRIL 29 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $3,200.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. DEZIP is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * DEZIP: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MAN OF QUALITY: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. U S FREQUENTFLYER: Horse ha s run a Good Race within the last 30 days. TITIUS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FORAFEWDOLLARSMORE: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
2
DEZIP
8/1
5/1
6
MAN OF QUALITY
3/1
6/1
7
U S FREQUENTFLYER
5/2
7/1
5
TITIUS
10/1
8/1
4
FORAFEWDOLLARSMORE
7/2
9/1
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs
Indiana Downs - Race 5
Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7) 50 Cent Pick 4 (Races 5-6-7-8)
Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 49 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 3:57P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS SIRED BY REGISTERED INDIANA STALLIONS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Stalker. DIAMOND LILLIAN is the Lone Stalker of the race, but has been deemed a non-contender due to a low Platinum Figure or other overall low ratings. * KEY ANGLES * WELL KNOWN FACT: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating . Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. MOUNTAIN BROOKE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
4
WELL KNOWN FACT
5/2
8/5
9
MOUNTAIN BROOKE
30/1
7/1
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Louisiana Downs - Race #6 - Post: 5:30pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $5,500 Class Rating: 69
Rating: 4
#3 ZAR'S STAR (ML=2/1)
ZAR'S STAR - My expertise says this is the sole stalker in the race. Munna drops him down to this class level. You don't need too much more knowledge to believe this one will be one to beat at this level. Earnings per race is something that I believe can be a key handicapping factor. This mount is ranked at the very top in this group.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 CANADIAN MAXIMUS (ML=5/2), #8 LOVE YOU TOO BABY (ML=9/2), #2 YES IM TRICKY (ML=6/1),
CANADIAN MAXIMUS - This equine doesn't have a winning state of mind. Regularly finishes in the place or show spot. Thoroughbred ran a great speed figure last time out, but that was in the mud. LOVE YOU TOO BABY - You think this horse is going to finish first just because he's always close. Just doesn't finish on top frequently. YES IM TRICKY - The speed rating last time around the track doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's contest. Mark this horse as a likely underpriced equine.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #3 ZAR'S STAR on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
3 with [2,6]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 72
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE AUGUST 29, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 ARBITER 9/5
# 4 BLACKEYE WYNN 10/1
# 2 BEAR TRACKS 2/1
ARBITER should be supported as the bet in here. The speed fig of 72 from his latest contest looks very good in here. Has been racing in the most competitive company of the group of horses in this race lately. Could best this group here, showing very strong numbers of late. BLACKEYE WYNN - Garnered a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. Is a very strong contender based on figures garnered lately under today's conditions. BEAR TRACKS - Has very good front speed and will most likely fare admirably versus this field.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Presque Isle Downs - Race #6 - Post: 7:30pm - Claiming - 8.3 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,000 Class Rating: 80
Rating: 4
#2 HIGH MULTIPLE (ML=6/1)
#5 WILLY SMILE (ML=7/2)
HIGH MULTIPLE - He'll most likely come from deep to circle the field and should be in great shape to win this race. Morales comes to get aboard after getting to know the gelding in the last event. This gelding is in good condition. Finished second on August 8th. The 81 latest race speed rating looks strong in the TrackMaster PPs. Although I sometimes have doubts about a pony who was beaten as the public choice in his last race, this gelding got a solid speed figure and fits well here. WILLY SMILE - This jockey/handler duo has been producing a very beneficial ROI, right at +102.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 CULLASAJA DRIVE (ML=2/1), #6 CONQUEST GIROBALL (ML=3/1), #3 DOUBLE ONTHE ROCKS (ML=4/1),
CULLASAJA DRIVE - When checking today's class rating, he will have to register a better speed fig than last out to compete in this dirt route. CONQUEST GIROBALL - In the last race this racer finished sixth. Doesn't show much potential for his chances this time. DOUBLE ONTHE ROCKS - On a downward moving cycle. Speed figs keep decreasing.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #2 HIGH MULTIPLE to win if we can get at least 8/5 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,5]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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TENNIS INSIDERS
Tennis | Aug 29, 2017
Leonardo Mayer vs. Richard Gasquet
Leonardo Mayer+299
Richard Gasquet has been carrying injuries since Roland Garros, and he's just 2-3 since Wimbledon, struggling to find his fitness & form. Leonardo Mayer is brimming with confidence, having won an ATP 500 title on the clay in Hamburg back in July, and was fortunate to enter the main draw here as a lucky loser. He certainly has the weapons to hurt Gasquet, and while he can struggle mentally he's no doubt going to get chances to win this match, leaving huge value in the moneyline. Gasquet has struggled with stanima & fatigue his entire career, and if this one goes the distance Mayer will hold the fitness advantage. Take to underdog to record the "upset" on Tuesday morning
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CAPPERS CLUB
Twins -1.5
This play just missed out on our premium card. The Minnesota Twins and the Chicago White Sox face off on Tuesday night, and with the Twins rolling coming into this game, they should win this game big.
On the mound for the Twins is Ervin Santana who was really good in his last start against the White Sox. He went seven innings and gave up three hits and one earned run.
He is facing a White Sox offense that has issues scoring runs and I think that will be the case in this game again.
The Twins bats are hot and that will continue in this game. I think they will get to James Shield early and often and cruise to a victory.
Back the Twins.
5* Cappers Club FREE Play on Twins -1.5
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SCOTT SPREITZER
Diamondbacks+113
I'm backing the Arizona Diamonbacks on Tuesday with Zack Godley over Rich Hill. Arizona has absolutely clobbered left-handed starters at home this season, posting an 11-3 record, while averaging 6.56 rpg. Rich Hill is 0-2 in his last three starts against the D-backs, including a very ugly performance at Chase Field a season ago. While there was some debate over whether or not Hill should have taken the mound in the 10th inning last time out, there is no debate that in all likelihood, at least 50 of his 99 pitches were highly stressful as he flirted with both a perfect game and a no-hitter. Arizona is back on track, winning four straight games and we expect the offense to give Godley enough support to win this game. Godley has nice numbers against the Dodgers and he has allowed just 51 base runners in 50 1/3 IP at home this season, along with a .174 BAA. We also note he has 40 strikeouts in his last 35 1/3 IP. Godley's numbers at night are phenomenal this season and we expect more of the same in this one. Besides the 4-0 overall run and the 11-3 mark at home against southpaws, the D-backs are also on a 4-0 run against lefties and they're 5-1 in Godley's last six against teams with a winning record. I'm backing the Diamondbacks on Tuesday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.
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BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, August 29 is:
Cincy Reds (Romano) over NY Mets (Flaxen).
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CAPPERS ACCESS
Royals
Dodgers
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Jesse Schule
The Iceman's Free Pick
LA Dodgers vs. Arizona, 08/29/2017 21:40 EDT
Point Spread: +1½/-148 Arizona
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Free Pick August 29, 2017.
The Dodgers are coming off back to back home losses, and they only managed to score a pair of runs in those games. They play Game 1 of a new series at Arizona on Tuesday, and we could see a pitcher's duel in the desert.
Rich Hill will toe the slab for the Dodgers, and he's coming off a near no-hitter. He took a perfect game into the ninth inning, then lost the no-hitter in the 10th when the Pirates hit a walk-off home run. Hill has pitched well against Arizona this season, but is 0-1 with a 2.70 ERA in two starts.
The D'Backs hand the ball to Zack Godley, who is coming off three straight losses. He hasn't pitched that bad, allowing eight earned runs over 16 innings in those games. He also struck out 23 batters, but his team managed to give him a total of just seven runs in his last three starts. Godley's last win came against the Dodgers, allowing three runs on eight hits over 6 2/3 innings in a 6-3 home win.
Arizona is 5-1 in Godley's last six home starts versus teams with a winning record.
Take ARI +1.5.
GL,
Jesse Schule
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Brian Bitler
Brian's 9* MLB Total Lock
San Francisco vs. San Diego, 08/29/2017 22:10 EDT
Total: +100/+8 Under
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Both teams here have struggled to score runs Giants averaging 2.25 in their last 8 games and the Padres only 2.50 in their last 6. Both pitchers have been pitching well in their last few starts. Moore is 1-0 with a 2.21 ERA in his last 3 starts and Perdomo has shown flashes of becoming a very good pitcher as he has electric stuff. Love the value here on the Under take it for a 9 unit investment.
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Jeff Benton
Tuesday freebie is the Phillies over the Braves.
4* PHILADELPHIA
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Chris Jordan
My free play is on the Baltimore Orioles, who delivered a 1,000♦ win for me last night, when they returned home after sweeping the American League East-leading Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park and extended their win streak to five games. Now sitting one game above .500, the Orioles are 1 1/2 games back from the second wild-card spot and they're 39-26 at home.
The momentum is real, and in hosting a west coast team that lost two straight in the Bronx against the New York Yankees, and a third in a row in this series-opener, I think the Orioles will continue to take advantage of a tired Mariners team that is likely now beleaguered.
Seattle, which will be playing its 11th road game in 12 days after previous trips to Tampa Bay, Atlanta and the Bronx, lost a close one last night to the O's, 7-6.
I'll leave it up to you if you want to list Erasmo Ramirez and Dylan Bundy, or just one of them. I can tell you I'm confident with Baltimore's Bundy, as he aims to make it an undefeated August in his final start of the month, as he returns from the bereavement list and is 3-0 in four starts - all Orioles wins. Bundy has a 2.67 ERA and has struck out 33 in 27 innings this month.
Look for Baltimore to roll past Seattle in this one, while laying a cheap price doing so.
5* ORIOLES (Bundy over Ramirez)
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Brad Wilton
Tuesday's comp play is the Rays over the Royals.
Simply put, no case can be made right now for backing the Kansas City Royals who are on the verge of history of the wrong kind. KC comes into this one having been shutout in 4 straight games, and can break the Major League record of 48 straight scoreless innings if they go out and hang some more goose eggs on their home scoreboard tonight.
The Rays are back in the Wild Card mix thanks to 6 wins over their last 8 games, and they will go with Alex Cobb to try and extend their winning ways. He has allowed 2 runs or fewer in 6 of his last 9 outings.
Jake Junis counters for the punchless Royals. Junis has been a bright spot of late, as he is 3-0 with a 3.18 ERA in his last 5 starts. The obvious problem is when you don't score runs, you cannot win games!
The drought continues.
Tampa Bay over Kansas City.
3* TAMPA BAY
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Mike Lundin
Aug 29 '17, 8:40 PM
MLB | Tigers vs Rockies
Play on: Rockies -141 at 5Dimes
#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN - 8 IN A ROW?
Going for free pick winner #8 in a row!
The Colorado Rockies dropped the opener of this three-game series with the Detroit Tigers 4-3 on Monday. The Tigers are still just 2-9 in their last 11 road games while the Rockies have one of the best home records in baseball, and this looks like a fair price on the home team to bounce back with a win.
Colorado hands the ball to German Marquez (10-5, 4.18 ERA). The Rockies are 8-0 in the right-handers' last eight home starts and he's 6-0 with a 3.12 ERA in those games.
Michael Fulmer (10-11, 3.69 ERA) will take the ball for the Tigers. The 24 year old right-hander has taken the loss in each of his last three turns on the road, giving up 20 runs (16 earned) on 21 hits in just 13 2/3 frames in the process. He's 1-5 with a 5.06 ERA in seven starts overall since the All Star break.
The Tigers are 3-9 in the last 12 meetings at Colorado, and think the Rockies will give Fulmer a really hard time here in his first career start at Coors Field while Marquez knows what it's all about already.
My free pick is on the Colorado Rockies.
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Jack Jones
Aug 29 '17, 7:40 PM
MLB | Cardinals vs Brewers
Play on: Cardinals -114 at 5Dimes
Jack's Free Pick Tuesday: St. Louis Cardinals -114
The St. Louis Cardinals must get going if they want a shot at making the playoffs. It hasn't been a great August for them, but there's still time to turn it around. And they clearly have the edge on the mound tonight over the Milwaukee Brewers.
Matt Garza has failed to complete six innings in seven consecutive starts. He is 6-7 with a 4.67 ERA and 1.396 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 1-1 with a 6.75 ERA and 1.910 WHIP in his last three. He is 7-5 with a 4.01 ERA and 1.427 WHIP in 16 career starts against St. Louis.
Luke Weaver is pitching significant games for the Cardinals down the stretch. He has handled himself well, going 2-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.982 WHIP in three starts with 23 K's in 18 1/3 innings. Weaver is also 1-1 with a 2.95 ERA and 0.927 WHIP in three career starts against Milwaukee, striking out 26 batters in 18 1/3 innings.
The Cardinals are 40-17 in their last 57 meetings in Milwaukee. The Brewers are 2-5 in Garza's last seven starts. Milwaukee is 36-79 in its last 115 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Bet the Cardinals Tuesday.
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