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Monday 8-28-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 08-27-2017 at 08:00 PM.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero
Camarero - Race 5
Pick 3 (5-7) / Exacta / Trifecta / Quinella / Superfecta / Daily Double 5-6
Claiming $8,000 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 86 • Purse: $6,500 • Post: 4:30P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 14, 2017 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 28, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 28, 2017 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $8,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * IT'S COTTON: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. EL SENSOR: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DRAKES'S FORTUNE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. TROLOBUS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EIGHTY WATER ST: Horse's win percentage at today's distan ce(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50.
6
IT'S COTTON
10/1
9/2
3
EL SENSOR
2/1
7/1
1
DRAKES'S FORTUNE
10/1
7/1
10
TROLOBUS
5/2
9/1
2
EIGHTY WATER ST
4/1
9/1
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Delaware Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 10 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10000 Class Rating: 67
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 COWBOY CHROME 7/2
# 3 SLEEPIN N CHEATIN 5/2
# 9 MY BOY LANE 4/1
COWBOY CHROME is the strongest bet in this race. In this field, this entrant is highly ranked earnings per start in dirt sprint events. With a respectable 74 Equibase Speed Figure last time out, will unquestionably be a factor in this race. Is a solid contender based on numbers put up as of late under today's conditions. SLEEPIN N CHEATIN - Has to be given a shot against this group of horses displaying very good figures lately and an average speed figure of 58 under similar conditions. Overall, this conditioner has been money-making at this distance/surface. MY BOY LANE - Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this racer look strong in this outing.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Hastings
Hastings - Race 4
Exactor / Triactor / Superfecta / Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Claiming $25,000 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 3 • CR: 77 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 6:30P
(PLUS UP TO $5,000 THRIF) FOR FILLIES THREE YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 117 LBS.; , 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 28 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JUNE 28 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $25,000, IF FOR $22,500, ALLOWED 3 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $16,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED FOR ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * MORNING BLURS: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. JAZZ LADY: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ASTARTOBE: Horse has run a Good Race withi n the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
2
MORNING BLURS
5/2
7/2
1
JAZZ LADY
2/1
9/2
3
ASTARTOBE
3/1
8/1
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Handicapped by Valuline at Louisiana Downs
Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Louisiana Downs, Race 8 (Monday August 28, 2017)
e-SUNNY SISTER
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)
LAD-8 6.5f DIRT Thirteen Horses
"A" CLM 5,000 F/M 3YUP $5,500
P# ex t s h5 ML WP TVL
1 e-SUNNY SISTER 9/5 42% 7/5 Strong Favorite icon
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Mountaineer Park - Race #9 - Post: 9:56pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $14,100 Class Rating: 53
Rating: 4
#6 POINTS IN INDY (ML=7/2)
POINTS IN INDY - With a big class drop in class figure points from his August 15th race at Mountaineer Park. Based on that element, I will give this animal the advantage. Good return on investment for this jockey and handler tandem. (EPS) earnings per start is something that I think can be an extremely key handicapping factor. This horse is ranked numero uno in this field.
Vulnerable Contenders: #7 WALTERSRAM (ML=3/1), #4 PRIME LOCATION (ML=4/1), #8 ZODIAC KOWBOY (ML=5/1),
WALTERSRAM - Trying to beat this participant this time around at the reward of 3/1. PRIME LOCATION - Somewhat easily forgotten speed fig last time out at Mountaineer Park at 5 furlongs. Don't believe this less than sharp equine will improve too much in today's race. ZODIAC KOWBOY - I'm prognosticating a lackluster effort out of him this time around.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - POINTS IN INDY - This horse is getting the medication Lasix, this time around. Watch for a good one.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 POINTS IN INDY is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Skip
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $13000 Class Rating: 79
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 28 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 CHARMING COTTON 7/2
# 5 OVER SAVER 9/2
# 2 RSTEWBALL 8/1
I think CHARMING COTTON is a very good choice. He has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figs are among the top in this field. Allen will almost certainly be able to get this gelding to break out early in this race. Had one of the best Equibase Speed Figs of this group of animals in his last race. OVER SAVER - Should be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. RSTEWBALL - Dominguez ought to be able to get this gelding to break out sharply for this race. Must be in sound condition if the trainer is bringing him back so soon.
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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga
RACE #8 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 4:45 PM EASTERN POST
The Better Talk Now Stakes
8.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEAR OLDS STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE
#2 SNAP DECISION
#3 HIEROGLYPHICS
#1 BLIND AMBITION
#7 HOLIDAY STONE
This race honors the career of Better Talk Now who is best known for winning the Breeders' Cup Turf in 2004. His racing career stretched over nine seasons, during which he won 14 times, five of them Grade I stakes, with earnings of over $4.3 million. Here in the 4th running of this stake test, #2 SNAP DECISION" has hit the board in four of his last five outings, winning three times, with to of those "Circle Trips" also qualifying as "POWER RUN WINS!" Jockey Jose Ortiz and Trainer "Shug" McGaughey send him to the post for the "Monday Feature" ... they've hit the board with 53% of more than 80 entries saddled as a team to date. #3 HIEROGLYPHICS, the pace profile leader, has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of his last five starts, hitting the board in four of those "adventures," including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" being embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Thistledown - Race #1 - Post: 1:40pm - Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,500 Class Rating: 66
Rating: 4
#7 FABLED STAR (ML=6/1)
#1 RUSSIAN RHAPSODY (ML=10/1)
FABLED STAR - When a thoroughbred finishes in-the-money as often as this mare does, you will usually want to use her in your exotic wagers. This mare should run better today now that she's back facing here own gender. Taking a trip down the class scale; has the ability to make her presence felt. RUSSIAN RHAPSODY - This horse didn't run well on a sloppy track in her last race around the track at Indiana Downs. You should toss out that performance. This mare likes to be near the lead. Today's clash is a shorter trip and should help her likelihood of winning. This mare might as well call Thistledown home. Don't overlook how she races well over this racing venue.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 YOUR MOVE (ML=3/1), #8 SPITTIN' FEATHERS (ML=7/2), #5 BLACK SHERRY (ML=4/1),
YOUR MOVE - This mare gave a lackluster effort last time. Can't really bet on this kind of oft beaten chalk. SPITTIN' FEATHERS - Hard to put your money on the win end of any mount that finishes second and third as regularly as this entrant does. Recorded a mediocre speed rating last out in a $4,000 Claiming race on June 10th. Doubtful to see an improved performance off of that figure. BLACK SHERRY - The Brain always warns me to keep away from ponies in sprint races that haven't hit the board in sprint affairs recently. Don't think this vulnerable equine will do much running in today's race. That last speed rating was common when compared with today's class rating.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Put your money on #7 FABLED STAR on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **
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TENNIS INSIDERS
Tennis | Aug 28, 2017
Rogerio Dutra Silva vs. Florian Mayer
Florian Mayer-185
Florian Mayer hasn't played on hard court for a number of months, but his hard court ability is still much stronger than his opponents. Dutra Silva is just 6-12 on hard courts at ATP World Tour/Grand Slam level in his career, opting to play the majority of his matches on slower clay courts. Mayer has great serving & variety in his game, mixing up the pace of the rally, a tough matchup for traditional clay court grinders like Dutra Silva who like the one set pace throughout the longer exchanges.
The courts in New York are playing very fast, and Mayer's best results have come on grass & very quick hard courts. Huge tournament for the German as he looks to climb the rankings for the latter end of 2017. Dutra Silva has no weapons to win points easily on this surface, a huge weakness in a best of 5 set match. Take Mayer to record a comfortable victory.
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PURE LOCK
Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Monday 8-28-17
San Diego -110
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R&R TOTALS
R&R Totals FREE MLB Over-Under Monday 8-28-17
UNDER 8 1/2 Boston/Toronto
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BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Monday, August 28 is:
Futures Wager: Pittsburgh Steelers to win the Super Bowl (currenly at 12-1 odds at Bovada).
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JEFF BENTON
Monday freebie is the Under at Yankee Stadium when Cleveland and New York meet for the second time this month.
It will be a pair of All-Stars handling the mound-work, as Corey Kluber and Luis Severino take to the bump, and I just cannot see either team mustering too much offensively this Monday night.
Kluber shutdown the New York attack back on August 3rd, as he worked ALL 9 innings with just 3 hits and 1 run allowed. He also struck out 11 batters in going the distance. Kuleber's ERA for the season stands at 2.65, and 4 of his last 5 starts (beginning with that Yankees effort) have landed Under the total.
Cleveland stands at 7-3-1 Under the total their last 11 on the road, and facing Severino this evening sure looks like another Under.
Severino has had one bad start since the All-Star break, as he has worked 7 of his 8 starts since the break with no more than 1 run allowed! His last start against the Tribe came on August 6th when he worked into the 7th inning and allowed just 1 run to score while fanning 9.
I see lots of goose eggs on that big scoreboard in the Bronx. Not too many crooked digits.
Indians-Yankees Under on Monday night.
4* CLEVELAND-N.Y. YANKEES UNDER
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CAPPERS ACCESS
Red Sox
Padres
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Tony Brown
Tony's *5 mlb free pick
San Francisco vs. San Diego, 08/28/2017 22:10 EDT
Total: -107/+7½ Under
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Fp: sd ranks at the bottom of the mlb in scoring and only sf is worse .. 8 runs to beat us will be a chore making the under my mlb free pick.
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Mike Lundin
#MLB FREE PICK FROM MIKE LUNDIN - 7 IN A ROW?
Atlanta vs. Philadelphia, 08/28/2017 19:05 EDT
Money Line: -150 Philadelphia
Sportsbook:
Betonline
Going for free pick winner #6 in a row!
The Atlanta Braves will be on the road all week, starting with a three-game set at Philadelphia. The Phillies have won each of the last seven meetings here at Citizens Bank Park, and I think they have a clear advantage on the mound in tonight's matchup.
Lucas Sims (2-3, 4.13 ERA) will take the ball for Atlanta. The 23 year old is coming off six innings of three-hit ball against Seattle, but this will mark just his sixth career start in the big leagues, and inexperienced pitchers often struggle with consistency.
The Phillies turn to a young pitcher themselves, but 24 year old Aaron Nola (9-9, 3.58 ERA) is already considered the ace of the rotation here in his second season in the Major Leagues. The right-hander has taken a beating in each of his last two outings, but this is a good opportunity to get back on track as he's 4-1 with a solid 2.08 ERA in seven career meetings with Atlanta.
The Phillies own an 11-2 overall record over their division foe this season.
My free pick is on the Philadelphia Phillies ML.
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Chris Jordan
My free play on Monday night is the Under on the Miami Marlins-Washington Nationals, one day after scoring an Over in the Nationals-New York Mets early game.
Tonight, in Washington D.C., we're going to see a pitchers' duel.
MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager, and I want you to be sure the following pitchers are the starters of record on your ticket when making your play: Jose Urena and Max Scherzer. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.
Urena is the club leader with 12 wins, and rolls into this one with a 3-0 mark and 2.95 ERA in four starts in August. The right-hander's four-seam fastball has been top-noch, sitting around 95 miles per hour while he is on the bump. His WHIP is 1.22, while he has struck out 89 in 129.2 innings.
On the other hand, Scherzer returns from the disabled list after missing his turn through the rotation with left neck inflammation. The staff-ace continues a campaign that has made him the frontrunner for the National League Cy Young Award.
Take this one under as the pitchers are the stars.
4* UNDER Marlins/Nationals (Urena/Scherzer)
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Brad Wilton
Monday night comp play is the Red Sox and Blue Jays Under the total.
Boston has been in a slump at the plate, as the Red Sox were held to only 4 runs total in their 3 games over the weekend at home against the Orioles.
The Red Sox enter this series at 5-3-1 Under the posted total their last 9 games played, and now they face Marcus Stroman and the Toronto Blue Jays.
Stroman totes in an ERA just over 3 in his last 3 starts, with 2 of those 3 starts holding Under the posted price. For the season, Stroman owns a 2.63 ERA in his home starts, so look for the BoSox to struggle at the dish again tonight.
On the flip side, the Jays should have issues scoring off of Drew Pomeranz who brings in a 1.76 ERA for his last 3 starts, and owns a season ERA of just 3.18.
The Jays have played 3 of their last 4 games Under the posted total, so why not look for another Under to open this A.L. East series on Monday night?
Red Sox-Blue Jays Under.
3* BOSTON-TORONTO UNDER
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MLB
Dunkel
Monday, August 28
Detroit @ Colorado
Game 919-920
August 28, 2017 @ 8:40 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Zmmrmnn) 13.868
Colorado
(Semztela) 15.127
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
15
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-165
12 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-165); Over
Oakland @ LA Angels
Game 917-918
August 28, 2017 @ 10:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Gossett) 14.259
LA Angels
(Heaney) 17.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-170
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-170); Under
Tampa Bay @ Kansas City
Game 915-916
August 28, 2017 @ 8:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
(Pruitt) 12.772
Kansas City
(Kennedy) 15.833
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-125
10
Dunkel Pick:
Kansas City
(-125); Under
Boston @ Toronto
Game 913-914
August 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Pmeranz) 12.572
Toronto
(Stroman) 15.962
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(-110); Over
Seattle @ Baltimore
Game 911-912
August 28, 2017 @
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gonzales) 16.398
Baltimore
(Tillman) 14.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-120
11
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(+100); Over
Cleveland @ NY Yankees
Game 909-910
August 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Kluber) 16.279
NY Yankees
(Severino) 18.833
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-105); Under
San Francisco @ San Diego
Game 907-908
August 28, 2017 @ 10:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Smrdzja) 15.293
San Diego
(Chacin) 12.192
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Diego
-115
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(-105); Under
Pittsburgh @ Chicago Cubs
Game 905-906
August 28, 2017 @ 8:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 16.673
Chicago Cubs
(Mntgmry) 14.524
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-170
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+150); N/A
Miami @ Washington
Game 903-904
August 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Urena) 14.474
Washington
(Scherzer) 16.256
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-220
8
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-220); Under
Atlanta @ Philadelphia
Game 901-902
August 28, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Sims) 13.353
Philadelphia
(Nola) 15.109
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Philadelphia
-160
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(-160); Over
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