Friday 9-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

[New York Knight]

Pac-12 Report - Week 1



Colorado State at Colorado from Denver, Colo. (Fri., Sept. 1 - Pac-12 Network, 8:00 p.m. ET)

The Rams will already have a game under its belt when they invade Sports Authority Field in Denver for their rivalry game with the Buffaloes. Colorado had a great season in 2016, rising back to prominence after many awful and trying seasons since joining the Pac-12. The Rams enter the season 14-4-1 ATS over their past 19 non-conference games, but they're 0-4-1 in their past five neutral-site battles. The Buffaloes are 1-3-1 ATS in their past five on a neutral-site field. Total bettors might be especially interested in this rivalry game, as the 'under' has hit in eight of the past nine games. The underdog is also 3-1-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series.

[New York Knight]

Friday, September 1


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CHARLOTTE (4 - 8) at E MICHIGAN (7 - 6) - 9/1/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E MICHIGAN is 22-40 ATS (-22.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
E MICHIGAN is 1-0 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (12 - 2) at RUTGERS (2 - 10) - 9/1/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RUTGERS is 8-23 ATS (-17.3 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 1-0 against the spread versus RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 1-0 straight up against RUTGERS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NAVY (9 - 5) at FLA ATLANTIC (3 - 9) - 9/1/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 160-119 ATS (+29.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 160-119 ATS (+29.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 77-39 ATS (+34.1 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 77-39 ATS (+34.1 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) against Conference USA opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 71-40 ATS (+27.0 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
NAVY is 77-42 ATS (+30.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA ATLANTIC is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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UTAH ST (3 - 9) at WISCONSIN (11 - 3) - 9/1/2017, 9:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOSTON COLLEGE (7 - 6) at N ILLINOIS (5 - 7) - 9/1/2017, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
N ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus BOSTON COLLEGE over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON COLLEGE is 1-0 straight up against N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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COLORADO ST (7 - 6) vs. COLORADO (10 - 4) - 9/1/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
COLORADO is 1-0 against the spread versus COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
COLORADO is 2-0 straight up against COLORADO ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[New York Knight]

Friday, September 1


6:00 PM
FORDHAM vs. ARMY
Fordham is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games
Fordham is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Army is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Army is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home

6:30 PM
CHARLOTTE vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Charlotte's last 7 games
Charlotte is 6-13-3 ATS in its last 22 games
Eastern Michigan is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Eastern Michigan's last 11 games

7:00 PM
CEN. CONNECTICUT ST vs. SYRACUSE
No trends available
Syracuse is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Syracuse's last 7 games

8:00 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. COLORADO
Colorado State is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado State's last 9 games when playing Colorado
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Colorado's last 10 games
Colorado is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

8:00 PM
NAVY vs. FLORIDA ATLANTIC
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Navy's last 10 games
Navy is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games on the road
Florida Atlantic is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. RUTGERS
Washington is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games
Rutgers is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
Rutgers is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home

9:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. WISCONSIN
Utah State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Utah State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Wisconsin's last 5 games
Wisconsin is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games

9:30 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Boston College is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Boston College is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Northern Illinois's last 5 games at home
Northern Illinois is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

[New York Knight]

Friday



Eastern Michigan was 7-6 LY, after being 7-41 the previous four years; Eagles have a senior QB with 23 starts but its whole OL has only 26 starts returning. Since 2007, EMU is 3-10 vs spread as a home favorite- they’ve got 16 starters back overall. Charlotte is 5-6-1 as a road underdog, 2-5 in last seven non-league games. 49ers have a junior QB with seven starts, an OL with 47 returning starts. Charlotte has 12 starters back overall. Last two years, MAC teams are 10-3-1 vs spread when facing teams from C-USA.


Washington is +35 in turnovers in its last 41 games; their OL has 97 returning starts- since 2014, they’re 6-3 as a road favorite. Huskies have a junior QB with 26 starts. Washington does not have a Pac-12 game for three weeks. Rutgers is 4-6 vs spread in its last ten games as a home underdog; their OL has 42 returning starts. Scarlet Knights have two QB’s with some experience to choose from. Since 2013, Big 14 teams are 15-10-1 vs spread when playing Pac-12 teams.


Lane Kiffin makes his Florida Atlantic home debut against 15-point road favorite Navy, which is 5-1 vs spread in last six games as a road favorite. Middies have only 4 starters back on offense, 8 on defense; their junior QB has two career starts. FAU has 17 starters back; their OL has 83 returning starts, Owls covered once in their last seven games as a home underdog. Kendall Briles is FAU’s offensive coordinator; Owls are going to throw the ball a lot.


Wisconsin has a soph QB (9 starts) but has an experienced OL with 4 starters back (90 career starts). Since 2014, Badgers are 8-10-1 vs spread as a home favorite- they’ve got 15 starters back overall. Utah State has only 10 starters back but their senior QB has 25 career starts. Aggies are 5-9 vs spread as road underdogs under Wells. USU has only ten starters back, five on both sides of the ball. Let four years, Big 14 teams are 12-9 vs spread when playing a team from the Mountain West.

[New York Knight]

Friday's Tip Sheet



There are six lined games set for Friday of Week 1 in college football. Washington begins its quest to get back to the College Football Playoff by heading across the country into New Jersey. Wisconsin is at home looking to avoid an upset bid from Utah State that nearly resulted in a shocking loss at Camp Randall five years ago.


We’ll tackle those two games before touching on the others in Bonus Nuggets.


**Washington at Rutgers**


-- As of Tuesday, most betting shops had Washington installed as a 27.5-point road favorite with a total of 52 for ‘over/under’ wagers. The Huskies opened as 31-point ‘chalk’ at most books in late June, but the number was heavily adjusted Monday morning.


-- When these schools met last season in the opener at Husky Stadium, Washington raced out to a 48-3 third-quarter lead en route to a 48-13 spread-covering victory as a 25-point home ‘chalk.’ The 61 combined points slipped ‘over’ the 56-point total thanks to RU’s 10-yard TD run from Janarion Grant with 5:53 remaining. The Scarlet Knights committed three turnovers and allowed the Huskies to score a pair of touchdowns on special teams. UW’s Jake Browning completed 18-of-27 throws for 287 yards and three TDs with one interception. Dante Pettis had a 68-yard punt return for a score. Grant had nine catches for 56 yards in the losing effort. He combined for 160 all-purpose yards on 18 total touches.

-- Washington went 12-2 straight up and 7-7 against the spread last season. The Huskies made the College Football Playoff for the first time in school history, losing 24-7 to Alabama in the semifinals as 14-point underdogs at the Ga. Dome in Atlanta. They beat four ranked teams, including a 41-10 win as 7.5-point ‘chalk’ over Colorado at the Pac-12 Championship Game. Chris Petersen’s only other defeat came at home to Southern Cal by a 26-13 count. UW had notable scalps vs. Stanford (44-6), at Utah (31-24) and at Washington State (45-17).


-- Washington returns seven starters on offense and six on defense. With the exception of leading receiver John Ross, Petersen’s squad brings back all of its skill players on offense. Browning, a junior who has already started 26 games and garnered fourth-team All-American honors in 2016, completed 62.1 percent of his passes last year for 3,430 yards with a 43/9 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Pettis also returns after hauling in 53 receptions for 822 yards and 15 TDs. Junior RB Myles Gaskin earned first-team All Pac-12 honors by rushing for 1,373 yards and 10 TDs while averaging 5.8 yards per carry. Gaskin also had 19 catches for 137 yards and one TD. Senior RB Lavon Coleman provided excellent depth, rushing for 852 yards and seven TDs with a 7.5 YPC average.

-- Washington’s defense gave up merely 17.7 points per game in 2016. This unit is led by two senior linebackers in Keishawn Bierria and Azeem Victor and a pair of junior defensive tackles, Greg Gaines and Vita Vea. There’s also a true sophomore safety in Taylor Rapp, who was a second-team Freshman All-American after recording 53 tackles and four interceptions. Bierria had 70 tackles, two sacks, three tackles for loss, and two passes broken up, while Victor produced 67 tackles and three TFL’s. Vea had 39 tackles, five sacks, 1.5 TFL’s, two PBU and two QB hurries, and Gaines tallied 35 tackles, 3.5 sacks and 4.5 TFL’s.


-- UW announced Monday a one-game suspension for Victor and a two-game suspension for reserve CB Austin Joyner, who had 10 tackles and one interception in 12 games as a freshman last year. Also, starting sophomore LB D.J. Beavers is out indefinitely with a foot injury. Beavers started four games in ’16, contributing 40 tackles, 0.5 TFL’s, one interception and one PBU.


-- Washington owns a 6-3 spread record in nine games as a road favorite during Petersen’s first three years at the school. The Huskies are just 2-3 versus the number in five games as double-digit road ‘chalk’ under Petersen. This is their biggest road favorite spot since Petersen took over.


-- Rutgers limped to a 2-10 SU record and a 4-8 ATS mark in its first season under head coach Chris Ash, who came to RU after two seasons of serving as co-DC at Ohio State under Urban Meyer. The Scarlet Knights got their only wins of ’16 at home over Howard (52-14) and New Mexico (37-28). They finished the year on a nine-game losing streak, dropping six of those nine (and seven total) by double-digit margins, including losses of 58-0 at Ohio State, 78-0 vs. Michigan, 49-0 at Michigan State and 39-0 vs. Penn State. RU was -2,010 net yards for the season with a minus-five turnover margin.


-- Rutgers brings back six starters on offense and eight on defense. The new starting QB is Kyle Bolin, a grad transfer from Louisville who was stuck on the bench behind last year’s Heisman Trophy winner, Lamar Jackson. In three years at U of L that included six starts under center, Bolin completed 58 percent of his passes for 2,104 yards with a 13/10 TD-INT ratio.


-- Grant is RU’s best player who went down with a season-ending injury in the fourth game last year. He is a three-time All-Big Ten selection as a return specialist. Before getting injured in ’16, he had already produced 20 catches for 210 yards. Also, Grant had rushed for 138 yards and three TDs on just 16 attempts for an 8.6 YPC average. He also had two TDs on special teams.

-- When Bolin isn’t targeting Grant, his next-favorite target will be sophomore Jawuan Harris, who had a team-high 39 receptions for 481 yards and three TDs in ’16. RU also returns its leading rusher in senior Robert Martin, who had 625 yards for two TDs with a 5.2 YPC average.


-- After RU’s offense averaged an abysmal 15.7 PPG last season, Ash hired former Minnesota and No. Illinois head coach Jerry Kill as his new offensive coordinator. This is the eighth different OC at RU in eight years.


-- RU’s defense surrendered 37.5 PPG in ’16. This unit brings back its top two tacklers, junior LB Trevor Morris (102, 1 sack) and junior LB Deonte Roberts (95, 1 INT).

-- Fox Sports 1 will provide the telecast at 8:00 p.m. Eastern.


**Utah State at Wisconsin**


-- As of Tuesday, most books had Wisconsin favored by 27.5 points with a total of 52. The Aggies were 35/1 on the money line at 5Dimes.eu (risk $100 to win $3,500).

-- Wisconsin finished ’16 with an 11-3 SU record and a stellar 10-3-1 ATS mark. The Badgers’ losses came against teams that were ranked second, fourth and eighth in the nation at the time. They covered the spread in losses at Michigan (14-7 as 10.5-point underdogs) and vs. Ohio State (30-23 in overtime as 10.5-point ‘dogs), and the other defeat came to Penn State (38-31) at the Big Ten Championship Game. Wisconsin had three victories over top-10 teams at the time they played, winning 30-6 at eighth-ranked Michigan State in Week 4. The Badgers also knocked off fifth-ranked LSU (16-14) in the season opener at Lambeau Field and beat seventh-ranked Nebraska 23-17 in overtime.


-- Wisconsin won a 24-16 decision over previously-undefeated and 12th-ranked Western Michigan at the Cotton Bowl, hooking up its backers as a 7.5-point favorite.


-- Paul Chryst’s team is 21-6 SU and 17-9-1 ATS since he took over for Gary Andersen in 2015. He was Wisconsin’s offensive coordinator from 2005-11 when the school set offensive records galore. Chryst was the head coach at Pitt from 2012-14, taking the Panthers to three bowl games while going 19-19.


-- Wisconsin owns a 5-4-1 spread record with one outright loss in nine games as a double-digit home favorite during Chryst’s tenure.


-- Wisconsin already lost All-American candidate Jack Cichy to a season-ending ACL tear a few weeks ago. In seven games before getting injured last season, Cichy had 60 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 5.5 TFL’s, two PBU and three QB hurries. Now sophomore LB Zack Baun (foot) is out for the season. Baun had 15 tackles and 3.5 TFL’s last year. Reserve RB Taiwan Deal is out indefinitely with an ankle injury. Deal rushed 32 times for 164 yards last year, averaging 5.1 YPC.

-- Wisconsin returns eight starters on offense and six on defense. The defense gave up merely 15.6 PPG and had 34 sacks. This unit was led by rising junior LB T.J. Edwards, who produced 89 tackles, three sacks, 5.5 TFL’s, three interceptions, three QB hurries, two PBU and one forced fumble despite missing the first two games of the year. Senior safety D’Cota Dixon is another standout player, registering 60 tackles, four interceptions, four QB hurries, four PBU, one sack, 1.5 TFL’s, one forced fumble and one fumble recovery in ’16.


-- As a redshirt freshman last year, Alex Hornibrook started nine games at QB. The southpaw completed 58.6 percent of his passes for 1,262 yards with a 9/7 TD-INT ratio. The Badgers are hoping he can make a big jump in improvement in ’17. Hornibrook will have his two favorite targets back, senior WR Jazz Peavy and senior TE Troy Fumagalli, a second-team All Big-Ten pick last season. Peavy had 43 receptions for 635 yards and five TDs, while Fumagalli hauled in 47 catches for 580 yards and two TDs.


-- Utah State missed out on the postseason last season for the first time since 2010. The Aggies finished a second straight campaign with a losing record after winning 19 games in the first two years of Matt Wells’s tenure. They went 4-8 ATS in ’16, going 1-3 ATS in four outings as road underdogs. Utah State is 5-9 versus the number in 14 games as a road ‘dog on Wells’s watch.


-- Utah State brings back 10 of 22 starters, five on each side of the ball. The Aggies went winless in six road assignments last season, limping to an atrocious 1-5 spread record.


-- Utah State led 14-3 at intermission in its last trip to Camp Randall in 2012. However, when the Aggies missed a short field goal on the game’s final play, Wisconsin won a 16-14 decision despite never threatening to cover as a 14-point home favorite. During that banner campaign, Utah State finished 11-2 with its lone defeats coming at Wisconsin and at BYU by a 6-3 score.


-- Utah State senior QB Kent Myers has started 25 career games. He has a 31/14 TD-INT ratio in those three seasons, but he only had 10 TD passes and eight interceptions during 12 starts in 2016. Myers completed a career-low 58.0 percent of his passes for 2,389 yards. Myers rushed for 449 yards and six TDs last season. Myers has his favorite target back in the mix. Ron’quavion Tarver had 46 catches for 602 yards and three TDs. Tonny Lindsey also returns after rushing for a team-best 763 yards and six TDs with a 5.2 YPC average.


-- Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.


**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**


-- The Lane Kiffin Era in Boca Raton will get started Friday night when Florida Atlantic plays host to Navy at 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPNU. As of Tuesday, most spots had the Midshipmen listed as a 10.5-point road ‘chalk’ with a total of 68.5 points. The Owls were +300 on the money line (risk $100 to win $300). Ken Niumatalolo’s squad went 9-5 both SU and ATS last year, ending the season on a three-game losing streak, including a 48-45 loss to La. Tech at the Armed Forces Bowl. The Middies took the cash, however, as seven-point underdogs against the Bulldogs. Navy brings back four starters on offense and eight on defense. FAU went 3-9 SU and 3-8-1 ATS in ’16. The Owls return nine starters on offense and eight on defense. WR Kalib Woods “is not on our football team,” according to recent remarks from Kiffin. Woods was arrested for his part in a fight during the summer and charged with two felony battery counts, though his lawyers have made a motion to have the charges dismissed. Woods led FAU with 68 catches for 934 yards and one TD in ’16.


-- Colorado and Colorado State will square off in Denver at 8:00 p.m. Eastern on the Pac-12 Network. According to recent reports, this rivalry will move back to being play on campus rather than in the Mile High City after this encounter. One reason for this is CSU’s new stadium that opened last Saturday with the Rams thumping Oregon State by a 58-27 count as 3.5-point home ‘chalk.’ The 85 combined points soared ‘over’ the 60-point total. Nick Stevens threw for 334 yards and three TDs compared to just one interception. Michael Gallup had 11 receptions for 134 yards, while Tre Thomas had a 44-yard pick-six as one of five turnovers forced by the CSU defense. CSU has lost back-to-back games to Colorado and three of the last four, including a 44-6 beatdown in ’16. Mike MacIntyre’s squad is coming off a breakout campaign, as it won the Pac-12 South and finished with a 10-4 record. The Buffaloes return nine starters on offense and three on defense. As of Tuesday, most spots had the Buffaloes favored by 5.5 points with a total of 66. The Rams were +180 on the money line (risk $100 to win $180).


-- Eastern Michigan is a 14-point home favorite vs. Charlotte for Friday’s 6:30 p.m. Eastern kick of a non-televised affair. The total is 57 points, while the 49ers are +450 to win outright.


-- As of Tuesday, Boston College was favored by three (with some extra -115 or -120 juice) or 3.5 for its opener at Northern Illinois. The total was in the 51-52 range. These schools met at Alumni Stadium in Chestnut Hill in ’15, with BC capturing a 17-14 victory. However, the Huskies covered the number as five-point road underdogs. BC went 7-6 both SU and ATS last season and returns eight starters on offense and seven on defense. Keep an eye on the Eagles’ senior DE Harold Landry, a fourth-team All-American last year when he had 51 tackles, 16 sacks, 5.5 TFL’s, seven forced fumbles, seven QB hurries, four PBU and one interception. The Eagles are 3-4 ATS as road favorites during Steve Addazio’s tenure. NIU won at least 11 games in five consecutive seasons from 2010-14, but it has gone 8-6 and 5-7 over the last two campaigns. The Huskies, who are 0-2 ATS as home ‘dogs on Rod Carey’s watch, bring back five starters on offense and seven on defense. They lost four one-possession games in ’16. This game will kick at 9:30 p.m. Eastern on the CBS Sports College Network.


-- Baylor starting safeties Davion Hall and Henry Black have been injured since the start of training camp. Now sophomore CB Grayland Arnold is out for 6-8 weeks after undergoing surgery Sunday on his broken arm. In addition, senior DB Travon Blanchard has transferred to Texas A&M-Commerce and will play right away. In fact, he practiced with the FCS Lions this past Friday and will play this week vs. North Alabama. Blanchard was a second-team All Big-12 selection last year when he recorded 73 tackles, 7.5 TFL’s, 1.5 sacks, five PBU, one interception and one QB hurry. And finally, RB Terrence Williams is out indefinitely for undisclosed reasons. Williams rushed for 1,048 yards and 11 TDs in ’16, averaging 5.7 YPC. Fortunately for the Bears, they open with cupcake home games vs. Liberty and UTSA.

[New York Knight]

Alex Smart

Game Details
Sep 01 '17, 8:00 PM in 23h
NCAA-F | Navy vs Florida Atlantic

Play on: Navy -12½ -110 at BMaker


A lot has been made about Navy only returning 9 starters , but that is of no matter to me, as the recruiting class that Niumatalolo has on board,is more than capable of taking out lower tier opponents with ease via a triple option offense that is extremely hard to stop, when not having experienced it regularly ie ( Florida Atlantic). I expect Zach Abey The 6'2", 212-pound junior who after being thrown into his first game because of injury to the Middies starter struggled in his proverbial first kick at the cat. But going forward after that ugly effort he performed much better in the Armed Forces Bowl, rushing for 114 yards and passing for another 159 and looks primed to be even smoother this season, behind a deep crew of powerful backs. On defense, Navy has 6 returning starters and look primed for a stellar season.

I know a lot has been made about Lane Kiffin the new coach of Florida Atlantic, but he will have some monumental problems trying to reformulate a FAU front four that was disastrous last season, allowing close to 3,000 rushing yards and 37 scores. Early on in this season, Im betting Lanes D is not ready for what's coming their way.

I'm projecting that Navy puts 28 or more points on the board-FLA ATLANTIC is 0-10 ATS L/10 when they allow 28 or more points.

A home team Florida Atlantic - in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 2 or more straight losses against opponent in the first month of the season, bowl team from prior season who lost their last 3 games are 6-30 ATS dating back 25 seasons.FLA ATLANTIC is also 0-6 ATS L/6 in home lined games.


Play on Navy to cover

[New York Knight]

Michael Alexander

Game Details
Sep 01 '17, 8:00 PM in 23h
NCAA-F | Washington vs Rutgers

Play on: Washington -27 -110 at 5Dimes



Game Analysis




Rating: 1 Unit NCAAF Free Pick



There is always the chance that huge chalks when opening on the road in weekday games, may come up a bit flat, early, only to chase the spot for the remainder of the game. However, if ever a team was focused for a seemingly "nothing" game, the Huskies are that team. They've had to live with their poor showing in last year's semifinal loss to Alabama, in which a 7-0 lead turned into a 24-7 loss. They are +244 points ATS in their last 26 games, have 14 returning starters, including their very good QB Browning (43 touchdowns with only 9 interceptions last year). The Knights have a 40-16 points per game deficit in their last 18 lined games. Give the points.

[New York Knight]

Doc's Sports

Game Details
Sep 01 '17, 8:00 PM in 23h
NCAA-F | Washington vs Rutgers

Play on: Rutgers +27½ -110 at 5Dimes



Game Analysis



Free Play from Doc’s Sports. #144 Take Rutgers Scarlet Knights over Washington Huskies (Friday 8 pm) Just do not believe that Rutgers will get run off the field on opening week in a true home game for them. Washington is loaded once again but this was only a 35 point victory for them last year in Seattle. Many people do not even expect the Huskies to win the PAC-12 this season and I see them winning this game by just 21-24 points. The Scarlet Knights are in year two under Chris Ash and they and I expect them to improve upon their two wins from 2016. Washington is just 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games played on field turf.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Arlington - Race #2 - Post: 3:49pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $16,000 Class Rating: 87

Rating: 4

#3 TOLL GUARD (ML=5/2)


TOLL GUARD - A repeat of that latest race on July 22nd where he earned a speed figure of 67 looks good enough to win in this event.

Vulnerable Contenders: #5 INSURGENT (ML=6/5), #1 SMART LIKE A FOX (ML=7/2), #2 CROWN MOMENT (ML=6/1),

INSURGENT - In any affair of 6 furlongs, I like to bet on a contender that has been sharp in sprint contests of late. SMART LIKE A FOX - Hasn't hit the board in any sprint contests recently. Not likely to see him doing it today either. When looking at today's class rating, he will have to earn a much better speed fig than last time out to battle in this dirt sprint. CROWN MOMENT - This gelding hasn't had any recent success in short distance contests. I find it hard to wager on him in this event. The speed rating in the last race doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's affair. Mark this mount as a possibly overvalued equine.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #3 TOLL GUARD to win if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Pass

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Elko County Fair

Elko County Fair - Race 4

$2 Exacta / $2 Quinella / $2 Trifecta($1 Box)


Allowance • 220 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 78 • Purse: $3,000 • Post: 2:15P
QUARTER HORSE 220Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND OLDER WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. (OPEN TO MIXED BREEDS).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * A BIT OF MYSTERY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. GL BURNING TEQUILA: Quarter horse has the highe st last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. DK SPECIALK: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
A BIT OF MYSTERY
6/1

3/1
1
GL BURNING TEQUILA
4/1

4/1
6
DK SPECIALK
10/1

7/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $15000 Class Rating: 66

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $32,000, IF FOR $30,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


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# 7 ALSO HOT 9/5

# 3 FERNET ME NOT 10/1

# 4 SHINE ON ME 12/1

I've got to go with ALSO HOT. This group is much less demanding than the last one she faced. Must be considered a solid choice on earnings per start at the distance/surface alone. Has been travelling admirably and has among the best speed in the race for today's distance. FERNET ME NOT - Has longshot potential and could score at a big price. Should be carefully examined based on the respectable speed rating posted in the last race. SHINE ON ME - Badilla has a formidable 15 percent win rate with entries running at this distance and surface.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park - Race #9 - Post: 6:49pm - Maiden Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,000 Class Rating: 88

Rating: 4

#10 HOUSE ACCOUNT (ML=6/1)
#6 DI MAESTRO (ML=4/1)


HOUSE ACCOUNT - Turning for home is when this one will make a solid move. A great chance to win this race. Have to give this thoroughbred a serious look. In recent races, has posted the best speed figures on the turf at this distance. DI MAESTRO - When I handicap a turf race, I think sometimes class ratings are more important than speed figs. This beautiful animal has the highest average class in the entire bunch. Coming off a fifth place finish at Gulfstream Park, some may pass this horse. I'm not. He just missed hitting the show spot, and has pretty good odds today.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 DIAMOND SQUARE (ML=3/1), #8 FOREVER ADMIRAL (ML=9/2), #7 NEVER BURN A COPY (ML=8/1),

DIAMOND SQUARE - This less than sharp equine hasn't won at this racing venue. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to register a much better speed rating than in the last race to vie in this turf route. FOREVER ADMIRAL - Trying to beat this thoroughbred in today's event at the value of 9/2. NEVER BURN A COPY - Hard to put any dough on this gelding on the top end. Likes to end up on the board though.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - HOUSE ACCOUNT - If I can get anything close to the morning line odds on this one I'm making a wager. Wasn't too far from the winner last time around the track.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #10 HOUSE ACCOUNT to win. Have to have odds of at least 5/2 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [6,10]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Penn National

Penn National - Race 8

W-P-S / Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta


Claiming $4,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $11,400 • Post: 9:10P
(PLUS UP TO 40% PABF) FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 1. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. LIGHTNIN FAST GIRL is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * LIGHTNIN FAST GIRL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Hors e has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. RAISEDTOBEAWARRIOR: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
6
LIGHTNIN FAST GIRL
2/1

5/2
7
RAISEDTOBEAWARRIOR
9/2

7/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Valuline at Ruidoso Downs

Today's Most Likely Winner Is at:
Ruidoso Downs, Race 5 (Friday September 1, 2017)

K P WILDCAT
(For ten of today's most likely winners, see Exotic Key Plays.)

RUI-5 6f DIRT Five Horses
"A" ALW 20,000 F/M 3YUP $13,100
P# ex p3 t s ML WP TVL

4 K P WILDCAT 8/5 50% 1/1 Strong Favorite icon
1 MIGHTY NICE 4/1 18% 9/2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by Rick Needham at Saratoga

RACE #10 - SARATOGA RACE COURSE - 5:48 PM EASTERN POST
The Lucky Coin
5½ FURLONGS TURF FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#5 DOWSE'S BEACH
#6 BIG ROCK
#8 LOSSE ON THE TOWN
#4 SPRING TO THE SKY

Here in the 4th running of "The Coin," #5 DOWSE'S BEACH has hit the board in four of his last five starts, including back-to-back "Circle Trips" in his 2nd and 3rd races back. #6 BIG ROCK, a 9-2 shot, has also hit the board in four of his respective last five outings, with two of those "board hit efforts," including a win in his last start, also qualifying as "POWER RUNS." Jockey Joel Rosario has been in his irons on 3 previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning once, and is back today here at "The Spa" for his 4th ride, gunning for back-to-back "Circle Trips!"

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Timonium

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 4.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 77

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, FOR EACH $4,000 TO $32,000 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 2 GRACIES BANDIT 3/1

# 3 RUBYS FIRE 8/1

# 4 BIRDIE'S HAT 10/1

GRACIES BANDIT figures to be the wager in here. Cannot be underestimated - Robb is a solid trainer with the babies, winning 28 of his races. There is a strong chance that this entry's late pace will improve on Lasix. Keep in the exotics as this trainer has been very strong lately with babies, whose combined ROI has been +48. RUBYS FIRE - Is a definite contender - trainer has sported formidable numbers for two year olds with some good dividends for players. This selection will feel the med change - with second time Lasix today. Overall, has one of the top earnings per start in dirt sprint races in this lot. BIRDIE'S HAT - Must be given consideration given the sire numbers TrackMaster shows on this juvenile.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Friday, Sept. 1 is:

Miami (Peters) -161 over Philadelphia (Pivetta).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JOE WIZ

Over 42 Rutgers and Washington

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Colorado
Utah St
Pirates