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Thread: NCAAF Betting Info

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    Exclamation NCAAF Betting Info

    Heaviest bet win totals OVERs (Bovada)

    WVU Over 7
    FL Over 8
    Mizzou Over 6


    Heaviest bet UNDERs

    Mich Under 9
    Bama Under 10.5
    Army Under 7.5

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    Heisman % of money (Bovada)


    Saquon Barkley 13%

    Sam Darnold 12%

    JT Barrett 9%

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    Trend of the Week: USC vs Western Michigan


    No. 4 USC will kick off the season Saturday at home against the Broncos of Western Michigan. This is the first time the Trojans are facing a team from the MAC. The team to beat in the Pac-12 opened as 26-point favorites but the smart bet is on the total. Should you bet the OVER or UNDER?


    We know weather can impact scoring. Games with high temperature and little wind lead to more points. This is amplified in non-conference games because teams are less familiar with one another. The total opened at 58.5 and the play is on the OVER.


    This Pro System has gone 226-144 (61.1%) ATS, +66.2 units since 2005.



    Our Pick


    At the time of publication, the weather forecast for Los Angeles on Saturday calls for highs in the upper 90s with little wind. The majority of bets are on the OVER and the total could climb higher. Act now and bet the OVER before the line moves in this non-conference game.

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    Almost 60% of spread bets are on Bama -7 vs. FSU





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    No. 4 USC -26.5 vs. Western Michigan on Saturday

    Trojans will win but can they cover?





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    Clemson opened -38.5, spread up to -40

    Tigers have struggles to cover under Dabo in non-conference games





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    +60% of spread bets on No. 11 Michigan -3.5 vs. No. 17 Florida Saturday





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    Oklahoma St opened -17 vs. Tulsa

    Cowboys looking to keep Big 12 streak alive vs. Golden Hurricane





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    No. 9 Wisconsin opened -28.5, down to -27 (Pinnacle) vs. Utah State

    <50% of spread dollars on Wisky





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    Chris Petersen's teams have a knack for covering as big road favorites

    Huskies -27.5 at Rutgers





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    Sooners were one of best teams ATS under Stoops vs unranked teams, can trend continue?

    -44 Saturday





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    No. 6 Penn State opened -33 vs. Akron

    PSU excellent at covering the spread last year vs. unranked opponents




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    Mark Dantonio is the least profitable coach ATS in the Week 1

    <50% of spread dollars on Sparty Saturday

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    Most profitable Week 1 coaches ATS in college football






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    Quote Originally Posted by New York Knight View Post
    Clemson opened -38.5, spread up to -40

    Tigers have struggles to cover under Dabo in non-conference games




    I like this trend.
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    Top 25 Teams at Neutral Sites: Who Prevails?



    There are a handful of games this week at neutral sites, some of which are being played in NFL stadiums. The two biggest and most bet on games of the week — FSU vs. Alabama and Michigan vs. Florida — will be played at AT&T Stadium and the new Mercedes-Benz Stadium, respectively. Since home field advantage is such an important factor, especially in college, who has the upper hand at a neutral site?

    Two ranked teams don’t face off in neutral locations very often — just 55 times since 2005 — but the higher ranked teams have reigned supreme, going 32-20-3 ATS and 38-17 straight up. This has been especially true in recent years, with the higher ranked team going 24-12 ATS since 2010.

    Last season, three of four higher ranked teams covered with the only exception being the 13-point underdog Houston team upsetting Oklahoma 33-23.

    This week, Alabama (#1) is of course higher than Florida State (#3) and Michigan (#11) is six spots higher than Florida (#17).

    Lines have been open for these big ticket games for over two months now so there has been plenty of time for books to take action. At the moment, we’ve tracked almost twice as many bets on the Alabama game than the Michigan game, which is the second highest-bet of the week. Bettors are currently backing Alabama and Michigan, but both lines are down half a point since they opened.

    Alabama had reached -6.5 earlier in the week, but they’re back up to -7 at both Bookmaker and Pinnacle. They’re getting 57% of spread bets at the time of publication.

    Michigan had reached -4.5 a couple of weeks ago, but the line has been bet down to a field goal since then despite 66% of tickets being on the Wolverines.

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    Big 12 Report - Week 1



    Tulsa at Oklahoma State (Thurs. - FOX Sports 1, 7:30 p.m. ET)
    Originally set for Saturday, this contest will now kick off on Thursday night in Stillwater. These Sooner State universities have met frequently on the gridiron, with Oklahoma State holding a 39-28-5 all-time series lead. This will be the third-ever meeting to open a new season, however. The offense has been prolific in Tulsa for most of Philip Montgomery's tenure, but the Golden Hurricane must replace some big guns. QB Dane Evans expired his eligibility and top WRs Keevan Lucas and Josh Atkinson are gone. QBs Chad President and Luke Skipper look to fill the void under center. For the first time in a while, the running backs spot appears to be the strength of Tulsa. For OK State, they need no reinforcements on offense, as QB Mason Rudolph is back with his cadre of high-flying receivers, led by James Washington. The difference in this game from the outset will be OK State's defensive line pressure againt an untested QB.

    Maryland at Texas (FOX Sports 1, 12:00 p.m.)

    If not for Rutgers, Maryland would be battling Indiana to avoid the cellar in the East Division in the Big Ten Conference. For Texas, it's a brand new day with Tom Herman taking the reins after Charlie Strong was relieved of his duties. Big things are expected of the Longhorns in 2017, but when isn't that the case in football-crazy Texas? In recent season the Terrapins of UMD have struggled, wrapping up their 2016 campaign 1-5 ATS over their final six games while going a dismal 0-6 ATS over the past six on the road. They're also 1-4 ATS in their past five outings outside of the conference. For Texas, they've been a tough out in Austin, at least against the number lately, going 7-3 ATS over their past 10 outings. However, they've covered just one of their past five showings against the Big Ten. In terms of non-conference games and the total, the 'under' is 4-1-1 in the past six for the Terps, while the 'over' is 4-1 across the past six the the burnt orange.

    Texas-El Paso at Oklahoma (FOX, 3:30 p.m. ET)

    This game isn't terribly attractive if you want to see a good game, as Oklahoma opened as a 48-point favorite. It has been bet down into the 44-45 point range, but it is still expected to be a blood bath. Still, plenty of eyes will be on Norman as Lincoln Riley coaches his first game for Boomer Sooner. Oklahoma failed to cover last season against Louisiana-Monroe as a 46-point favorite in a cupcake matchup in mid-September, and they're 4-1 SU/2-3 ATS over their past five season openers, too, including a straight-up loss to Houston last season. The Miners showed some improvement down the stretch, winning three of their final six games. But they have a long way to go before they're remotely close to Oklahoma in terms of talent. Still, they might give the Sooners a better game than the likes of Kansas.

    Eastern Washington at Texas Tech (No national TV, 4:00 p.m. ET)

    If you like offense, this could be the game for you. Eastern Washington might be an FCS team, but they're the national champs of that level from 2010, and they have been a giant killer -- or at least a giant scarer -- in recent seasons. They won at Washington State, 45-42, to open their season in 2016, and put up 42 against a good Oregon squad in a loss back in 2015. They also gave Washington a run for its money, 59-52, back in 2014, while knocking off No. 25 Oregon State to open the 2013 campaign in Corvallis. So don't expect the Eagles to be intimidated, or outscored by much. A win over Texas Tech could turn up the temperature on the hot seat of head coach Kliff Kingsbury to intense heat. Offense is never a problem in Lubbock, and QB Nic Shimonek is the next great, taking over for the departed Patrick Mahomes. But defense needs to improve quickly after allowing 43.5 points per game, or it's going to be another disappointing season.

    West Virginia vs. Virginia Tech from Landover, MD (Sun. - ABC, 7:30 p.m.)

    Unless you're alumni, or from the Appalachia region, this game doesn't have as much meaning. But, ahh, you'll watch because it's football, and, well, it's football. The Mountaineers of the Big 12 head to suburban D.C. looking to shine their star a bit. They haven't fared well against the number in big games in recent times, going 6-15 ATS in their past 21 against ACC foes, 1-4 ATS in their past five non-conference battles and 0-4 ATS in their past four on a neutral field. On the flip side, Virginia Tech is tabbed to contend for the Coastal Division in the ACC, and another 10-win season could easily be within reach. The 'over' has hit in four of the past five for West Virginia on a neutral field, whilegoing 5-1-1 in Virginia Tech's past seven in such situations. Therefore an offensive feast might be on tap. Virginia Tech has hit the over in 13 of their past 16 outside of the ACC, too.


    Other Games
    Liberty at Baylor (Kickoff time still TBD)
    Southeast Missouri State at Kansas (No national TV, 7:00 p.m.)
    Central Arkansas at Kansas State (No national TV, 7:10 p.m.)
    Northern Iowa at Iowa State (No national TV, 8:00 p.m.)
    Jackson State at Texas Christian (FOX, 8:00 p.m.)

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    Pac-12 Report - Week 1



    Colorado State at Colorado from Denver, Colo. (Fri., Sept. 1 - Pac-12 Network, 8:00 p.m. ET)

    The Rams will already have a game under its belt when they invade Sports Authority Field in Denver for their rivalry game with the Buffaloes. Colorado had a great season in 2016, rising back to prominence after many awful and trying seasons since joining the Pac-12. The Rams enter the season 14-4-1 ATS over their past 19 non-conference games, but they're 0-4-1 in their past five neutral-site battles. The Buffaloes are 1-3-1 ATS in their past five on a neutral-site field. Total bettors might be especially interested in this rivalry game, as the 'under' has hit in eight of the past nine games. The underdog is also 3-1-1 ATS in the past five meetings in this series.



    Washington at Rutgers (Fri., Sept. 1 - FOX Sports 1, 8:00 p.m. ET)

    The Huskies made the four-team playoff last season, but they were bounced by a much more superior Alabama team. Washington looks to climb the mountain again, hoping to take that next step forward. They can start climbing that mountain with a convincing win against Rutgers in a cross-country trip to open the season. The Huskies waffled the Scarlet Knights by a 48-13 count to open the 2016 season, covering a 25-point number. Washington's roster is littered with stars again, and they return 13 starters. QB Jake Browning and RB Myles Gaskin are back, as is LB Azeem Victor along with the league's best front seven. That's bad news for a Rutgers team that is barely competitive against bottom-tier FBS teams.



    California at North Carolina (ACC Network, 12:20 p.m. ET)

    The Tar Heels open as 12 1/2-point favorite against the visiting Bears. California hasn't had a lot of luck, failing to cover over their past four road games. However, Cal has had some luck in their past non-conference tilts, covering five of the past seven. The Golden Bears have to replace QB Davis Webb, and that will be their biggest question mark. Will either Ross Bowers or Chase Forrest be ready, especially after a cross-country flight, playing on the road in hostile territory in their first-ever start? New O.C. Beau Baldwin, formerly head coach of high-flying FCS program Eastern Washington, will make this offense fun, but it might take time. UNC also must replace QB Mitch Trubisky, a big hole, as well as stud TBs Elijah Hood, T.J. Logan, WRs Bug Howard and Ryan Switzer, as well as three offensive linemen. The defense will be fine with six starters back, but there are a ton of question marks on offense.



    Western Michigan at Southern California (Sat., Sept. 2 - Pac-12 Network, 5:15 p.m. ET)

    The Trojans look for a quick start, and they have one of the most dangerous weapons in the country in QB Sam Darnold. It's a tough opener against a Western Michigan team which posted 13 regular-season victories before playing Wisconsin tough in the Cotton Bowl, covering in a 24-16 loss. With success of a mid-level program, losses are harder to overcome. Head coach P.J. Fleck left for Minnesota and WR Corey Davis is now playing his football for the Tennessee Titans. However, they still have a strong pass rush to give Darnold a much bigger test than some other top QBs who will be opening with cupcakes. USC opened as a 24-point favorite, and bettors are now expecting them to win by nearly four touchdowns. While USC is expected to be a playoff contender, Western Michigan is coming off a New Year's Day bowl and will not be a pushover.



    Texas A&M at UCLA (Sun., Sept. 3 - FOX, 7:30 p.m. ET)

    In one of the final games of the opening weekend, Texas A&M invades the Rose Bowl to battle UCLA. While a lot of the national media focuses on cross-town rival USC's QB, the Bruins have a good one of their own in Josh Rosen. He is making his way back from a shoulder injury which derailed his season early on. He is healthy, and if the team's offensive line play is better he has a chance to lead this team to big things. The Aggies have promise at QB, but it's uncertain if we'll see Jake Hubenek, Kellen Mond or Nick Starkel - or all three - in the opener. Both teams have struggled in non-conference games lately, with A&M 2-6 ATS in their past eight and UCLA 0-5 ATS in their past five outside of the conferences.



    Other Games
    North Dakota at Utah (Thu., Aug. 31 - Pac-12 Network, 7:30 p.m. ET)
    Portland State at Oregon State (Sat., Sept. 2 - Pac-12 Network, 2:00 p.m. ET)
    Southern Utah at Oregon (Sat., Sept. 2 - Pac-12 Network, 8:15 p.m. ET)
    Montana State at Washington State (Sat., Sept. 2, FOX Sports 1, 10:30 p.m. ET)
    Northern Arizona at Arizona (Sat., Sept. 2, Pac-12 Network, 11:00 p.m. ET)


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    Thursday, August 31


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------


    OHIO ST (11 - 2) at INDIANA (6 - 7) - 8/31/2017, 8:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OHIO ST is 177-133 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 177-133 ATS (+30.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 147-114 ATS (+21.6 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 54-34 ATS (+16.6 Units) as a road favorite since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road games since 1992.
    OHIO ST is 71-46 ATS (+20.4 Units) in road lined games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    INDIANA is 2-0 against the spread versus OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
    OHIO ST is 2-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BUFFALO (2 - 10) at MINNESOTA (9 - 4) - 8/31/2017, 7:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA MONROE (4 - 8) at MEMPHIS (8 - 5) - 8/31/2017, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW MEXICO ST (3 - 9) at ARIZONA ST (5 - 7) - 8/31/2017, 10:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    FLA INTERNATIONAL (4 - 8) at UCF (6 - 7) - 8/31/2017, 6:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
    UCF is 1-1 straight up against FLA INTERNATIONAL over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TULSA (10 - 3) at OKLAHOMA ST (10 - 3) - 8/31/2017, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    OKLAHOMA ST is 82-55 ATS (+21.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
    TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
    TULSA is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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