Wednesday 9-6-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Hastings Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 53

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 117 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $4,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 6 SEAGOLD 3/1

# 3 CHAMPAGNE WALTZ 5/1

# 8 PRETTY SOON 5/2

SEAGOLD looks to be a respectable contender. Should compete very well in the early pace battle which bodes well with this group of animals. Could beat this group of animals given the 51 Equibase Speed Fig put up in her last outing. The average Equibase class rating of 48 makes this horse tough to beat. CHAMPAGNE WALTZ - Don't let this filly slip past you. Could score at high odds. Must be carefully examined as she drops to compete against this easier lot. PRETTY SOON - She has been running admirably and the Equibase Speed Figures are among the most respectable in this group of animals. This filly is a solid contender based on her earnings per start in dirt sprint events.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 7

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9)


Maiden Special • 5 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 61 • Purse: $31,000 • Post: 4:53P
(PLUS UP TO 40% INDIANA STATE BRED SUPPLEMENT) FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BEHOLD is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BEHOLD: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. T oday is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff.
7
BEHOLD
5/1

6/5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:00pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $9,000 Class Rating: 55

Rating: 3

#6 FORT STEVENS (ML=3/2)


FORT STEVENS - I like to see fast morning drills. This gelding's last one was very good. Second fastest of the day. This gelding is in nice physical condition, having run a strong race on August 23rd, finishing second. This equine picks up a lot of money per start. Tops in this affair.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 HONEST BOND (ML=5/2), #5 PRO TRIBUTE (ML=5/1), #2 ZACTLY (ML=6/1),

HONEST BOND - Multiple chances for this pony at Louisiana Downs and still hasn't received his first victory here. PRO TRIBUTE - 5/1 is not pegged at the proper price for any horse in a sprint of 6 furlongs that hasn't finished in the money in a short distance race lately. Awfully hard to wager on this questionable contender when he hasn't been showing any indications of eagerness recently. ZACTLY - Tough to back any racer in a short distance affair if he hasn't hit the board in a sprint in the last couple months.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - FORT STEVENS - I've checked and double checked my database. This horse is the only solid stalker in this group. Should make a big move at the top of the stretch on his way to the winner's circle.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#6 FORT STEVENS is the play if we get odds of 1/1 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [2,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6300 Class Rating: 60

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 6, 2016. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 3 MELOVEDA 3/5

# 4 BUBBICIOUS 2/1

# 1 SUNDAY DINNER 6/1

MELOVEDA has a solid shot to take this race. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this animal look competitive in this contest. Will almost certainly go to the lead and might never look back. Has to be carefully examined in here if only for the solid Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last contest. BUBBICIOUS - This horse is ranked high in this group in earnings per start at the distance/surface. Always seems to be right there at the wire. SUNDAY DINNER - The speedy return to the races points to a sound effort this time around. Jurado has one of the best jockey ROI's on the grounds, returning to wagerers +2 percent.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 7:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 54

Rating: 4

#1 CLUB LEVEL (ML=8/1)
#6 FANTASTIC LADY (ML=2/1)


CLUB LEVEL - Another way to identify class is earnings per race entered. This entrant has the top in the field. I think she'll be close at the end. FANTASTIC LADY - Pino was aboard this filly last time out and was impressed enough to take the horse right back. This filly is back in a race very quick. This is a great angle - Sprint horses that come back in less than 10 days after a race. A good sign of a sharp and ready racehorse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #8 TOGA DANCE (ML=5/2), #5 LACEE (ML=3/1), #3 SUMMATRIX (ML=6/1),

TOGA DANCE - A bit of a lackluster try when this mare finished sixth. LACEE - I find it hard to bet on any racer in a short distance contest at 3/1 when she hasn't shown any competitive efforts in sprints in the last sixty days. This filly hasn't been showing me anything positive in the last couple of outings. SUMMATRIX - Just don't think she is offering enough value at the expected odds.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Play #1 CLUB LEVEL to win if you can get odds of 5/2 or more

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,6]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Thistledown

Thistledown - Race 2

$1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $.10 Superfecta / $1 Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $9,500 • Post: 2:10P
FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000 (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Trailer. WINTERVELD is the Dominant Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * WINTERVELD: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Spe ed Figure at the distance/surface. AROMA BLUE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
5
WINTERVELD
6/1

5/2
6
AROMA BLUE
4/1

6/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

CAPPERS ACCESS
Mets
Rangers

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA Cheat Sheet - First Round

The first round of the WNBA playoffs begin on Wednesday with a single-elimination format. The winners of these games will travel to either No. 3 New York or No. 4 Connecticut for second round matchups on Sunday.

Those games will be single-elimination as well with the winners advancing to the semifinals against either No. 1 Minnesota or No. 2 Los Angeles for a five-game series.

No. 7 Dallas at No. 6 Washington (ESPN2, 8:00 p.m. ET)

-- The Wings went 2-1 both straight up and against the spread versus the Mystics this season.

-- The road team went 3-0 in the three regular season encounters and the visitor has win eight straight meetings in this head-to-head series.

-- The ‘under’ went 2-1 in the three meetings this season and the low side cashed in both matchups from D.C.

-- Dallas went 6-11 SU as a visitor this season but managed to produce a winning record (9-8) at the betting counter.

-- The Wings saw the ‘over’ go 12-5 in their away games.

-- Washington went 11-6 SU and 9-8 ATS at home while the ‘over’ went 9-8.

-- The Mystics closed the season with a 2-5 (1-6 ATS) record and one of the losses came versus Dallas.

-- The Wings finished 3-2 SU and 4-1 ATS in the final two weeks of the season and the two losses came by a combined seven points.

-- Dallas went 9-9 versus the Eastern Conference this season while Washington was just 6-12 against the West.

-- Washington hasn’t had much success in the playoffs, going 4-16 overall since the 2002 postseason. They are a combined 1-4 in their most recent trips (2014, 2015) and bettors should note that the ‘over’ has gone 10-2 in the last 12 playoff battles.

-- This will be the first playoff game for the Wings since they moved the franchise to Dallas.

No. 8 Seattle at No. 5 Phoenix (ESPN2, 10:00 p.m. ET)

-- Phoenix won and covered two of its three meetings against Seattle this season.

-- The Mercury won both of those games on the road, but the Storm earned a 98-89 win at Phoenix on Aug. 12 as a five-point road underdog.

-- Including those results, Phoenix is 7-3 in the last 10 encounters versus Seattle and the ‘over’ has gone 6-4 during this stretch.

-- Among the eight playoff teams, Seattle owns the worst road mark at 5-12 SU and 7-9-1 ATS.

-- The Storm did close the season with a 3-2 mark both SU and ATS as visitors and the offense helped that cause by averaging 95 points per game.

-- Phoenix went 9-8 SU and 8-10 ATS at Talking Stick Resort Arena this season.

-- After mired in a 2-7 slump, the Mercury ended the regular season with three straight wins and covers. The defense only allowed 69 PPG during this stretch, which helped the ‘under’ go 3-0.

-- Seattle stopped Chicago 85-50 last Sunday in their road finale, which snapped a three-game losing skid.

-- Phoenix went 2-0 in last year’s playoffs, winning both single-elimination games before getting swept by Minnesota in the semifinals.

-- Seattle dropped a 94-85 decision at Atlanta in the first round of last year’s playoffs.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 6

Seattle @ Phoenix

Game 679-680
September 6, 2017 @ 10:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
107.319
Phoenix
114.958
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Phoenix
by 7 1/2
172
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Phoenix
by 4
164
Dunkel Pick:
Phoenix
(-4); Over

Dallas @ Washington

Game 677-678
September 6, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Dallas
104.146
Washington
115.521
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 11 1/2
176
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 5
172 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-5); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA
Long Sheet

Wednesday, September 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DALLAS (16 - 18) at WASHINGTON (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DALLAS is 21-32 ATS (-14.2 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
DALLAS is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in road games versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 14-7 ATS (+6.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
WASHINGTON is 309-369 ATS (-96.9 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 59-84 ATS (-33.4 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) against Western conference opponents this season.
WASHINGTON is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WASHINGTON is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-4 against the spread versus DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-4 straight up against DALLAS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SEATTLE (15 - 19) at PHOENIX (18 - 16) - 9/6/2017, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SEATTLE is 9-25 ATS (-18.5 Units) in road games on Wednesday since 1997.
SEATTLE is 38-62 ATS (-30.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog since 1997.
SEATTLE is 9-17 ATS (-9.7 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game this season.
SEATTLE is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
PHOENIX is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PHOENIX is 6-4 against the spread versus SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 7-3 straight up against SEATTLE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WNBA

Wednesday, September 6

Trend Report

8:00 PM
DALLAS vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Dallas's last 23 games when playing Washington
Dallas is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas
Washington is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Dallas

10:00 PM
SEATTLE vs. PHOENIX
Seattle is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
Seattle is 4-11 ATS in its last 15 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Phoenix's last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
Phoenix is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Seattle

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty won with the Indians on Tuesday and likes the Rays on Wednesday.

The deficit is 1070 sirignanos.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony's *5 mlb free pick

Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati, 09/06/2017 12:35 EDT

Money Line: -150 Cincinnati

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

Fp: they don't call it home field advantage for nothing sometimes it's the deciding factor in the game .. both team struggling from the plate and the mound it seems just the home ball park is the deciding factor with the brew crew winning just 2xs in 7 tries here .. games not played on paper but some stats can't be ignored making cicny my mlb free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

Brian's 9* MLB Electric Dog

Milwaukee vs. Cincinnati, 09/06/2017 12:35 EDT

Money Line: +144 Milwaukee

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Super investment potential here as the Brewers have lost the first two games of this series at a time when wins are most important. Brewers are still 6-5 in their last 10 and just 2.5 behind the final wild card spot with a big series against the Cubs on deck. Love the plus money invest a 9 unit investment on the Brewers here.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Stephen Nover Free Wednesday Play

Arizona vs. LA Dodgers, 09/06/2017 22:10 EDT

Money Line: +157 Arizona

Sportsbook:
Betonline

The Dodgers are on pace to win 108 games. But every team hits a rough patch during the long baseball season. That's happening with the Dodgers right now. They've lost 10 of their past 11 games, including the last five.

Consequently, Arizona is sizzling winning 12 in a row.

The pitching matchup is fairly even here so I find great value at this price taking the underdog Diamondbacks.

Arizona starter Taijuan Walker is 2-0 with a 0.54 ERA during his last three starts. He has 17 strikeouts in 16 2/3 innings during this span. Walker will be extra pumped being from Southern California. Walker has a 2.71 ERA on the road this year.

Dodgers starter Kent Maeda is off his worst start. Maeda surrendered seven runs on eight hits in three innings. That came against the Diamondbacks six days ago at Arizona in an 8-1 loss. This will be the fifth time already the Diamondbacks face Maeda this season. He is 0-2 versus Arizona with a 9.53 ERA.

The Diamondbacks should get superstar Paul Goldschmidt back in their lineup today while Dodgers star Corey Seager remains doubtful with an elbow injury.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jimmy Boyd
Sep 06 '17, 12:35 PM
MLB | Brewers vs Reds
Play on: Reds -140 at GTBets

Free Pick on Reds -

I got no problem laying some juice on the Reds money line at home Wednesday night against the Brewers. Cincinnati has taken the first two games of the series by scoring 14 runs on 19 hits and will get a shot at the Brewers' Matt Garza, who is 1-5 with a 5.89 ERA and 1.479 WHIP in 9 road starts and owns an ugly 7.82 ERA and 2.133 WHIP in his last 3 outings.

Cincinnati will counter here with Luis Castillo, who despite a 2-7 record in 14 starts has impressed with a 3.32 ERA and 1.131 WHIP. This will be Castillo's last start of the season, as the Reds are going to save his arm for 2018. While this will be it, Castillo has only been getting better and owns a 3.00 ERA and strong 0.933 WHIP in his last 3 starts, which he's struck out 22 batters in 15 innings of work.

Brewers are just 1-7 in their last 8 road games against a team with a losing home record and just 1-5 in Garza's last 6 starts following a team loss and 0-4 in his last 4 on the road against a team with a losing record. Take Cincinnati!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Wednesday, September 6


Texas @ Atlanta

Game 981-982
September 6, 2017 @ 1:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Gnzalez) 13.209
Atlanta
(Gohara) 14.788
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
N/A

Texas @ Atlanta

Game 979-980
September 6, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Hamels) 17.322
Atlanta
(Teheran) 15.039
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Texas
by 2 1/2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
-110
9
Dunkel Pick:
Texas
(-110); Over

Houston @ Seattle

Game 977-978
September 6, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(McCllers) 16.004
Seattle
(Moore) 14.895
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-140
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-140); Under

Cleveland @ Chicago White Sox

Game 975-976
September 6, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Carrasco) 19.641
Chicago White Sox
(Lopez) 15.096
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-280
9
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-280); Under

Kansas City @ Detroit

Game 973-974
September 6, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Hammel) 12.582
Detroit
(Boyd) 15.096
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-150
10
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+130); Under

Toronto @ Boston

Game 971-972
September 6, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Toronto
(Biagini) 15.458
Boston
(Fister) 13.817
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-165
10
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
(+145); Under

NY Yankees @ Baltimore

Game 969-970
September 6, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Gray) 14.627
Baltimore
(Gausman) 17.456
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 3
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-110
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-110); Under

LA Angels @ Oakland

Game 967-968
September 6, 2017 @ 3:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Angels
(Skaggs) 16.175
Oakland
(Manaea) 14.143
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(-125); Under

Minnesota @ Tampa Bay

Game 965-966
September 6, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Slegers) 14.331
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 16.794
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-160
9
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-160); Over

St. Louis @ San Diego

Game 963-964
September 6, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 15.943
San Diego
(Lamet) 14.401
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(-115); Over

Arizona @ LA Dodgers

Game 961-962
September 6, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Walker) 17.613
LA Dodgers
(Maeda) 12.848
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 5
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(+155); Under

San Francisco @ Colorado

Game 959-960
September 6, 2017 @ 8:40 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
(Cueto) 14.758
Colorado
(Freeland) 11.992
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Colorado
-150
12
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+130); Under

Philadelphia @ NY Mets

Game 957-958
September 6, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
(Pivetta) 12.598
NY Mets
(Milone) 14.182
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Mets
-110
9
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(-110); Over

Washington @ Miami

Game 955-956
September 6, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Gnzalez) 15.449
Miami
(Peters) 13.017
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-120
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-120); Over

Chicago Cubs @ Pittsburgh

Game 953-954
September 6, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Quntana) 14.943
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 16.148
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-135
8
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+115); Under

Milwaukee @ Cincinnati

Game 951-952
September 6, 2017 @ 12:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Garza) 16.594
Cincinnati
(Castillo) 13.329
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-155
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(+135); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, September 6

National League
Phillies @ Mets
Pivetta is 1-2, 6.75 in his last four starts; over is 6-3-1 in his last ten. He is 1-0, 5.40 in two starts vs New York this year. Phillies are 4-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-12-2

Gsellman is 0-3, 9.00 in his last six starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine starts. Mets are 3-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-10-1

Milone is 0-3, 9.43 in five starts for the Mets (over 4-0-1). Mets lost all three of his starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-3

Phillies won four of last six games; under is 4-3 in their last seven road games. Mets are 6-17 in their last 23 games; over is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games.

Brewers @ Reds
Garza is 0-2, 10.66 in his last three starts; over is 3-1-1 in his last five starts. He is 1-0, 7.71 in two starts against the Reds this season. Milwaukee is 2-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-9-3

Castillo is 0-2, 2.67 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Reds are 2-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-8-1. This is likely his last start of the year; he is a prospect and his innings are 20% over last year, so he’ll probably be shut down after this.

Milwaukee lost three of last four games; under is 12-2-2 in their last 16 road games. Reds won four of last six games; under is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

Giants @ Rockies
Cueto is 0-0, 6.60 in his last three starts; his last four starts went over. He is 1-1, 6.00 against the Rockies this season. Giants are 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-4

Freeland is 0-2, 5.40 in his last four starts; under is 8-4 in his last 12. He is 2-1, 2.37 against the Giants this year. Colorado is 7-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-10-1

Giants lost 10 of last 12 games; under is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Colorado lost six of last nine games but won last two; under is 8-2 in their last ten games.

Cubs @ Pirates
Quintana is 3-1, 5.32 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. Cubs are 1-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-2

Cole is 1-1, 4.97 in his last four starts; over is 4-1 in his last five starts. He is 1-1, 2.07 vs Chicago this year. Pirates are 6-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-14-6

Cubs won six of last nine games (under 6-3). Pittsburgh won their last four games; under is 5-2 in their last seven home games.

Cardinals @ Padres
Flaherty allowed five runs in four IP (71 PT) in his MLB debut, at SF. Cardinals’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-1

Lamet is 2-2, 2.36 in his last six starts; under is 6-2 in his last eight. Padres are 4-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-7-2

Cardinals won five of last six games; over is 7-4 in their last 11 games. San Diego won five of last eight games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games.

Nationals @ Marlins
Gonzalez is 5-1, 2.01 in his last six starts; over is 5-3 in his last eight. He is 2-0, 0.43 in three starts against Miami this season. Washington is 9-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-6-5

Lefty Peters blanked Philly for seven innings (91 PT) in his MLB debut. Marlins’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Nationals won three of last four games; under is 7-1-2 in their last ten road games. Miami lost eight of last nine games; under is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

Diamondbacks @ Dodgers
Walker is 2-0, 0.53 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. He is 1-0, 4.22 in two starts vs LA this season. Arizona is 7-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-4

Maeda is 1-2, 7.20 in his last three starts; under is 7-2-2 in his last 11. He is 0-1, 9.00 in three starts vs Arizona this year. Dodgers won his last nine home starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 14-6-2

Arizona won its last 12 games; under is 5-2 in their last seven road games. Dodgers lost ten of last 12 games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games.

——————————–

American League
Royals @ Tigers
Hammel is 2-2, 4.95 in his last six starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. He is 0-0, 4.41 in three starts vs Detroit this year. Royals are 4-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-12-6

Boyd is 0-3, 9.00 in his last five starts; over is 6-3-2 in his last 11. He is 1-0, 6.52 in two starts vs KC this season. Detroit is 2-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-5

Royals lost nine of last 12 games; over is 6-2-1 in their last nine games. Detroit lost six of last eight games; under is 8-4 in his last 12 games.

New York @ Baltimore
Gray is 2-4, 3.89 in six starts for NY (under 5-1). New York is 0-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-4

Gausman is 1-0, 0.00 (13.2 IP) in his last two starts; under is 7-1 in his last eight starts. He is 1-1, 8.84 in four starts vs NY this season. Orioles are 9-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-14-1

New York won four of last six games; over is 7-2 in their last nine road games. Baltimore won 10 of last 13 games; three of their last five games stayed under.

Indians @ White Sox
Carrasco is 3-1, 2.14 in his last five starts; over is 7-2 in his last nine. He is 2-0, 1.33 in three starts vs Chicago this season. Indians are 10-5in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 18-7-2

Lopez is 1-2, 6.06 in three starts this year (under 2-1). Chicago split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-2

Indians won their last 13 games; over is 6-4 in his last ten road games. White Sox lost six of last eight games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 home games.

Angels @ A’s
Skaggs is 0-3, 6.83 in his last six starts (under 6-4-1). He is 0-2, 7.71 vs Oakland this year. Angels are 3-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 2-7-2

Manaea is 1-3, 7.00 in his last four starts; over is 8-2 in his last ten. He is 0-1, 10.32 in three starts against the Angels this year. Oakland is 6-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-11-4

Angels are 7-3 in their last ten games; over is 11-2 in their last 13 games. Oakland lost its last eight games; over is 8-2 in their last ten home games.

Astros @ Mariners
McCullers is making his first start since July 30; he is 0-2, 9.38 in his last five starts. He is 2-0, 5.74 in three starts vs Seattle this year. Astros are 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-3

Moore is 1-3, 5.65 in six starts this year; under is 4-1 in his last five. Seattle lost his last four home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-3-2

Astros won their last six games; under is 3-1 in their last four games. Seattle won five of its last seven home games; over is 5-4 in their last nine games.

Blue Jays @ Red Sox
Biagini is 0-3, 6.33 in his last four starts (under 9-4). Toronto split his six road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-7-1

Fister is 2-1, 1.57 in his last three starts; under is 4-1-1 in his last six starts. He is 0-1, 8.68 in two starts against the Blue Jays this season. Boston is 2-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 4-6

Blue Jays lost seven of last ten games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Boston lost four of last six games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. These teams play 19 innings last night.

Twins @ Rays
Slegers allowed two runs in 6.1 IP (82 PT) in his first start, against Cleveland. Twins’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Snell is 3-0, 2.36 in is last four starts; under is 9-3 in his last 12 starts. Rays are 3-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-2

Twins lost four of last five games; under is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Tampa Bay is 8-4 in its last 12 games; under is 5-3-1 in his last nine games.

__________________________

Interleague

Rangers @ Braves
Gonzalez makes his Texas debut here; he was 2-0, 1.85 in his last five starts (under 5-0) for the White Sox.

Hamels is 6.61 in his last three starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. Texas is 2-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-1-2

Teheran is 2-0, 1.93 in his last two starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Atlanta is 4-9 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-10-5

21-year old Gohara started the season in A ball, is now making his MLB debut; he was 2-2, 3.31 in seven AAA starts this season.

Rangers won five of last seven games; over is 7-1-1 in their last nine games. Atlanta lost seven of last ten games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
Phil-NY: Pivetta 7-14; Gsellman 7-10 Milone 1-4
Mil-Cin: Garza 9-12; Castillo 6-8
SF-Colo: Cueto 10-10; Freeland 15-10
Chi-Pitt: Quintana 5-4 (10-8); Cole 16-12
StL-SD: Flaherty 1-0; Lamet 9-8
Wash-Mia: Gonzalez 16-11; Peters 0-1
Az-LA: Walker 13-10; Maeda 15-7

American League
KC-Det: Hammel 9-18; Boyd 8-12
NY-Balt: Gray 2-4 (8-8); Gausman 15-14
Clev-Chi: Carrasco 19-8; Lopez 1-2
LA-A’s: Skaggs 5-6; Manaea 11-14
Hst-Sea: McCullers 12-7; Moore 2-4
Tor-Bos: Biagini 4-9; Fister 5-5
Minn-TB: Slegers 1-0; Snell 8-10

Interleague
Tex-Atl: Gonzalez 0-0 (9-13) Hamels ; Teheran 12-15 Gohara 0-0

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Phil-NY: Pivetta 9-21; Gsellman 9-17 Milone 2-5
Mil-Cin: Garza 6-21; Castillo 2-14
SF-Colo: Cueto 6-20; Freeland 7-25
Chi-Pitt: Quintana 8-27; Cole 10-28
StL-SD: Flaherty 0-1; Lamet 5-17
Wash-Mia: Gonzalez 9-27; Peters 0-1
Az-LA: Walker 6-23; Maeda 8-22

American League
KC-Det: Hammel 5-27; Boyd 7-20
NY-Balt: Gray 3-22; Gausman 8-29
Clev-Chi: Carrasco 5-27; Lopez 1-3
LA-A’s: Skaggs 7-11; Manaea 9-25
Hst-Sea: McCullers 4-19; Moore 1-6
Tor-Bos: Biagini 5-13; Fister 5-10
Minn-TB: Slegers 0-1; Snell 4-18

Interleague
Tex-Atl: Gonzalez 0-0 (9-13) Hamels ; Teheran 12-15 Gohara 0-0

_________________________

Umpires
National League
Phil-NY: Under is 6-3 in last nine DeJesus games.
Mil-Cin: Over is 4-1-2 in last seven Winters games.
SF-Colo: Underdogs are 7-6 in last 13 Porter games.
Chi-Pitt: Favorites are 13-1 in last 14 Nauert games.
StL-SD: Under is 3-0-1 in last four Additon games.
Wash-Mia: Underdogs are 11-7 in last 18 Lentz games.
Az-LA: Under is 12-5-2 in last 19 Fairchild games.

American League
KC-Det: Three of last four Diaz games stayed under.
NY-Balt: Over is 7-4 in Barber games this season.
Clev-Chi: Over is 16-4-2 in last 22 Gonzalez games.
LA-A’s: Underdogs won last four Everitt games.
Hst-Sea: Over is 11-4 in last 15 Wegner games.
Tor-Bos: Home teams won all five Livensparger games this year.
Minn-TB: Under is 6-3 in last nine Johnson games.

Interleague
Tex-Atl: Under is 6-1 in last seven Torres games. Last three Blakney games stayed under.

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 79-55 AL, favorites +$403
AL @ NL– 71-66 NL, favorites +$50
Total: 145-126 AL, favorites +$453

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 67-66-3
AL @ NL: Over 72-59-7
Total: Over 139-125-10

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/5/17
Ariz 28-26-18……37-21–11……..65-47
Atl 26-34-9……23-36-7………..49-70
Cubs 31-31-7…….34-22-13………..65-53
Reds 22-38-8……..28-36–7……….50-74
Colo 34-27-6…….37-28-5………..71-55
LA 31-24-13…….41-21-8……….72-45
Miami 28-32-8…….35-25-10………63-57
Milw 33-26-9…….35-27-9……….67-53
Mets 31-34-4……..26-37-6……….57-71
Philly 17-41-15……26-31-8…………43-72
Pitt 30-32-6…….28-30-12………59-62
St. Louis 30-30-9……35-24-9…………65-54
SD 20-39-8……..34-29–9……….54-68
SF 14-47-9……..28-30-12……….42-77
Wash 41-23-7……32-27-8………….73-50

Orioles 27-33-5……..30-36-7………57-69
Boston 30-32-10………30-35-2…….60-67
White Sox 21-37-10………26-39–4…….47-75
Cleveland 42-23-8……..31-24-8………73-47
Detroit 26-34-9…….28-33-9……..54-67
Astros 33-25-10……..43-24-5……..76-49
KC 26-33-9……..27-28-12…….53-61
Angels 26-35-8………29-27-13……..55-62
Twins 37-21-10………32-32-8…….68-52
NYY 30-36-6……….36-27-4…..…66-63
A’s 25-36-7……..29-31-11……..54-67
Seattle 26-35-9……..36-24-10………62-59
TB 35-26-10……..38-21-8……..73-47
Texas 33-25-11……..35-24-8……..68-49
Toronto 29-36-5……..27-31-10……..56-67

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/5/17)
Ariz 22-70……..25-67………..47
Atl 16-68……….18-68……….34
Cubs 19-69……..25-69………..44
Reds 25-68……..26-71…………51
Colo 17-67……..25-70..……..42
LA 20-68……..24-69..……..44
Miami 29-68……..26-70………55
Milw 22-68……27-72…..…..49
Mets 31-69……..23-69……….54
Philly 16-73……..20-66……….36
Pitt 20-68……..22-71……….42
StL 15-70……..21-67………..36
SD 23-67……….23-71……….46
SF 16-71……….20-70……….36
Wash 25-71……..26-67……….51

Orioles 15-66……..24-74……….39
Boston 20-72……..14-67……….34
White Sox 21-68……18-69………..39
Clev 21-74……..21-65……….42
Detroit 16-68…….26-70………42
Astros 20-69……..28-70………48
KC 18-69……..13-69……….31
Angels 25-71……..20-70……….45
Twins 15-66……..18-71……….33
NYY 16-71……..18-67……….34
A’s 16-68……..27-71………43
Seattle 21-70…….24-72……….45
TB 21-70……..23-69……….44
Texas 27-70……..29-67………56
Toronto 23-71……..19-71………42

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Wednesday, September 6

Trend Report

12:35 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. CINCINNATI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Milwaukee's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Milwaukee's last 6 games when playing Cincinnati
Cincinnati is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Milwaukee
The total has gone OVER in 11 of Cincinnati's last 16 games at home

1:10 PM
MINNESOTA vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Minnesota's last 17 games when playing Tampa Bay
Minnesota is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Tampa Bay's last 17 games when playing Minnesota
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Tampa Bay's last 11 games when playing at home against Minnesota

1:35 PM
TEXAS vs. ATLANTA
Texas4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 1-3-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing at home against Texas
Atlanta is 1-4-1 SU in its last 6 games ,at home

3:35 PM
LA ANGELS vs. OAKLAND
LA Angels are 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games ,when playing on the road against Oakland
LA Angels4-0-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Oakland
Oakland is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,
Oakland is 0-4-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing LA Angels

7:05 PM
CHI CUBS vs. PITTSBURGH
Chi Cubs are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Chi Cubs's last 10 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone OVER in 13 of Pittsburgh's last 18 games when playing at home against Chi Cubs
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:05 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games
NY Yankees are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Baltimore is 18-7 SU in their last 25 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
Baltimore is 10-3 SU in its last 13 games

7:10 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. DETROIT
Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Detroit
Kansas City is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Detroit's last 19 games when playing Kansas City
Detroit is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Kansas City

7:10 PM
TORONTO vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto's last 9 games when playing Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Toronto's last 16 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boston's last 7 games at home
Boston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

7:10 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. NY METS
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Philadelphia's last 12 games when playing on the road against NY Mets
Philadelphia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets are 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
NY Mets are 13-6 SU in its last 19 games when playing Philadelphia

7:10 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MIAMI
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 16 of Miami's last 22 games when playing at home against Washington
Miami is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington

8:10 PM
CLEVELAND vs. CHI WHITE SOX
Cleveland is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Chi White Sox
Cleveland is 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Chi White Sox
Chi White Sox are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games
Chi White Sox are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing Cleveland

8:40 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. COLORADO
The total has gone UNDER in 11 of San Francisco's last 16 games
San Francisco is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco
Colorado is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. LA DODGERS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 7 games on the road
Arizona is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games

10:10 PM
HOUSTON vs. SEATTLE
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Seattle's last 7 games when playing Houston
Seattle is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

10:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN DIEGO
The total has gone OVER in 8 of St. Louis's last 10 games when playing on the road against San Diego
St. Louis is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Diego
The total has gone OVER in 8 of San Diego's last 10 games when playing at home against St. Louis
San Diego is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against St. Louis