Friday 9-8-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

RACE #8 - BELMONT PARK - 5:13 PM EASTERN POST
The Christiecat Stakes
6.0 FURLONGS TURF THREE YEAR OLD FILLIES STAKES $100,000.00 PURSE

#1 SMILING CAUSEWAY
#9 ADORABLE MISS
#5 HEAVENLY SCORE
#6 EPPING FOREST

Here in just the 3rd running of "The Cat", #1 SMILING CAUSEWAY is 6-1 in the morning line, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony, and has hit the board in each of her four career starts to date, winning twice, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start. Jockey Feargal Lynch has been in her irons on 3 previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning twice, and is back this afternoon here in Elmont for his 4th ride, gunning for a "Hat Trick Win!" #9 ADORABLE MISS has also hit the board in each of her respective four career starts to date, winning three times, including a "POWER RUN WIN" in her last start.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Camarero

Camarero - Race 8

NO JUGADA


Allowance • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 80 • Purse: $14,700 • Post: 6:00P
FOR NATIVE FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 25 ALLOWED 1 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE JULY 8 ALLOWED 3 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. ESPLENDOROSA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * ESPLENDOROSA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has run a Good Race wit hin the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
2
ESPLENDOROSA
1/5

4/5

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Charles Town - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 82

Rating: 4

#3 SANDMAN COMETH (ML=7/2)


SANDMAN COMETH - This thoroughbred probably isn't going to sit chilly. He should bust out of the gate and be one of the first to hit that tight turn. Watch for him down the stretch.

Vulnerable Contenders: #7 PHILIPPIAN (ML=7/5), #1 DAVID'S PRINCE (ML=4/1), #2 DRAGO'S BEST (ML=9/2),

PHILIPPIAN - When scrutinizing today's class rating, he will have to garner a much better speed rating than last time out to battle in this dirt sprint. DAVID'S PRINCE - Quite unimpressive fig last race out at Charles Town at 4 1/2 furlongs. Don't think this steed will improve too much today. DRAGO'S BEST - Doesn't look to have enough good aspects to support the reward.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #3 SANDMAN COMETH to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fair Grounds

Fair Grounds - Race 4

Exacta / $0.50 Trifecta / $0.10 Superfecta $0.50 Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) / Daily Double


Maiden Claiming $10,000 • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3-6 • CR: 64 • Purse: $14,000 • Post: 1:51P
QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, FIVE, AND SIX YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * DE BELL PATRIOT: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. HEZ TOAST: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. LASUMMERPATRIOT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at th e distance/surface.
7
DE BELL PATRIOT
7/2

9/2
2
HEZ TOAST
3/1

5/1
5
MR MEL
8/1

9/1
1
LASUMMERPATRIOT
8/1

9/1

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 5 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $11000 Class Rating: 90

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE MARCH 8, 2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 8 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 4 WATCH MY SMOKE 8/1

# 6 PERFECT EXECUTION 3/1

# 1 BALLYJAMESDUFF 30/1

I back WATCH MY SMOKE in here especially at such a decent 8/1. Players should probably feel comfortable with this selection given Pedroza's recent profits at the window. He has quite good class ratings, averaging 96, and has to be given consideration in this contest. This racer has a excellent win percent in dirt routes. PERFECT EXECUTION - Should be given consideration here on the basis of the numbers in the speed section alone. Parker has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent rate. BALLYJAMESDUFF - His 78 average has this gelding with among the most favorable speed figures for this event.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Marquis Downs

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 6 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $4000 Class Rating: 70

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES IN 2017 OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $2,000. FILLIES & MARES ENTERED FOR $2,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 9 FCMIRACULOUSCODE 5/1

# 8 STORMIN FOR BECKA 9/2

# 2 DENOUEMENT 5/2

My choice in this event is FCMIRACULOUSCODE. The almost immediate return to the track points to a strong effort today. This gelding has some longshot angles I like to take a chance on. Has to be given a shot against this field displaying competitive numbers recently and an average speed figure of 68 under similar conditions. STORMIN FOR BECKA - Ought to be given a shot based on the very good Equibase Speed Figure put up in the last race. Must be given a shot given the class of races run lately.

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Penn National - Race #1 - Post: 6:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $21,900 Class Rating: 91

Rating: 3

#7 CARA'S NAY NAY (ML=5/1)
#4 GULF COAST BREEZE (ML=9/2)
#1A I DREAM OF LOIS (ML=5/1)


CARA'S NAY NAY - In this race here, this thoroughbred has clearly shown signs that she likes the turf. Her speed ratings are the highest in the field for this dist/surf. A winning pct the likes of what Hernandez and Sinnefia have achieved together is outstanding. Finished fourth at Suffolk Downs last out. Was close at the end and at odds of 5/1 in this event, she looks like a possible contender. Hernandez knows this horse pretty well. Strong win percentage of 100 when horse and jock are put together. GULF COAST BREEZE - Last time around the track on the sod, this horse was great. Anything close in this event, and this one should win. PP data show this campaigner with three improving speed ratings. Cora should be on a horse ready to go in this race. I DREAM OF LOIS - You'll be generating money left and right by turning your racing money onto this jockey/conditioner combination. Changes tracks from last out at Suffolk Downs to here. Multiple wins at multiple race tracks tell me this thoroughbred likes to switch it up, so that's a good sign. Forgive the out of the money finish on the off track last time out. Without the slop, has a good chance right here in this race.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 SAINT MAMIE (ML=5/2), #2 LENAPE RIM (ML=3/1), #3 WILDCAT CARTRIDGE (ML=5/1),

SAINT MAMIE - I'm predicting a lackluster try out of her in today's event. LENAPE RIM - Improbable that the speed figure she recorded on Jul 28th will hold up in this event. WILDCAT CARTRIDGE - This filly didn't show me enough down the stretch drive to warrant backing against tougher competition.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 Entry to win if you can get at least 4/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,4,7] Total Cost: $6

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

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Arthur Ralph Sports

FRI Chi CUBS w/Lackey-125

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Friday, Sept. 8 is:

South Alabama +28 over Oklahoma St.

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CAPPERS ACCESS
UCF
Ohio

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RAY MONOHAN

Purdue -3

The Boilermakers lay just a field goal at home against a MAC opponent on Friday, which is a valuable play here.
Purdue gave Louisville all they could handle as huge underdogs in Week 1 at home. They not only showed their defense can really put up a fight, but also their offense is vastly improved.
The Boilermakers were able to sustain drives and really keep the momentum going for nearly 3 quarters. That'll be a huge key here as they should be able to overpower this Ohio defensive line. Look for them to get a push up front and really create holes for their backs.
Some trends to note. Boilermakers are 10-2 ATS in their last 12 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game. Boilermakers are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss.
This number is just too small here.
Back Purdue.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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PURE LOCK

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Friday 9-8-17

Houston -161

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JOHN MARTIN

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Texas Rangers +141

The Texas Rangers have a big series here against the New York Yankees. They are 2.5 games out in the wild card and the Yankees are one of the teams they are chasing. This big underdog price is a great one here given their motivation. Martin Perez is 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last three starts and feeling good about things coming into this game. Yu Darvish is 4-5 with a 5.62 ERA in 13 road starts this season. Darvish has never beaten the Rangers, going 0-1 with a 4.50 ERA in three previous starts against them. The Rangers are 6-0 in Perez's last six starts. Texas is 9-1 in its last 10 games following an off day.

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NCAAF
Long Sheet

Friday, September 8

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OHIO U (1 - 0) at PURDUE (0 - 1) - 9/8/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO U is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in home games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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OKLAHOMA ST (1 - 0) at S ALABAMA (0 - 1) - 9/8/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA ST is 83-55 ATS (+22.5 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
S ALABAMA is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MEMPHIS (1 - 0) at UCF (1 - 0) - 9/8/2017, 6:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 75-103 ATS (-38.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAF

Week 2

Trend Report

Friday, September 8

6:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Memphis is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Memphis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Central Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Central Florida's last 9 games

8:00 PM
OHIO vs. PURDUE
Ohio is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Ohio's last 11 games
Purdue is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Purdue is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. SOUTH ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Oklahoma State's last 21 games
Oklahoma State is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games
South Alabama is 5-14 ATS in its last 19 games at home
South Alabama is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games

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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 2

Friday, September 8

Ohio @ Purdue

Game 301-302
September 8, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Ohio
81.489
Purdue
82.470
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Purdue
by 1
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Purdue
by 4
57
Dunkel Pick:
Ohio
(+4); Under

Oklahoma State @ South Alabama

Game 303-304
September 8, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oklahoma State
103.273
South Alabama
79.186
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oklahoma State
by 24
58
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oklahoma State
by 28 1/2
66 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
South Alabama
(+28 1/2); Under

Memphis @ Central Florida

Game 483-484
September 8, 2017 @ 6:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Memphis
89.257
Central Florida
89.580
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Memphis
Even
61
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Central Florida
by 3
68
Dunkel Pick:
Memphis
(+3); Under

Delaware St @ Hampton

Game 507-508
September 8, 2017 @ 7:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Delaware St
31.691
Hampton
41.764
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Hampton
by 10
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Hampton
by 13 1/2
45
Dunkel Pick:
Delaware St
(+13 1/2); Under

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NCAAF

Week 2

Friday’s games
Last 2+ years, MAC teams are 17-7-1 vs spread when facing a Big 14 team (2-2 this year). Purdue (+26) led Louisville 14-10 at half LW, but turned ball over four times (-1), were outgained 524-344 in 35-28 loss to the Cardinals Saturday. Last two years, Ohio U was 5-1 vs spread as a road underdog; since ’11, Bobcats are 20-11 vs spread in non-MAC games. Ohio has 13 returning starters; their OL has 69 returning starts. Favorites are 13-1 vs spread in Purdue’s last 14 home games; they’re 10-6 vs spread in last 16 games as a home favorite.

Oklahoma State ran for 332 yards, threw for 308 in a 59-24 win over Tulsa LW, but Tulsa was 16-26 on 3rd down, ran 96 plays, so OSU’s defense needs some work. Since 2012, Cowboys are 3-8-2 vs spread as a road favorite. South Alabama was outgained 531-374 by Ole Miss LW in their 47-27 (+22) loss. Jaguars are 5-8 vs spread in last 13 games as a home underdog. USA has 11 starters back; its OL has only 39 returning starts. Sun Belt teams were 5-1 vs spread LW; since 2011, Sun Belt teams are 7-6 vs spread when facing Big X squads.

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NCAAF

Week 2

Notes from this week’s college football, outside top 13 games.

13) Central Michigan needed OT to beat I-AA Rhode Island last week, after CMU blew a 13-0 halftime lead. Since 2014, Chippewas are 7-2 as a road underdog.

12) Western Michigan is 13-3 in last 16 games as a road underdog; they were tied in 4th quarter last week at USC, before losing 49-31. Michigan State is 4-8 in last 12 games as a home favorite.

11) Rutgers is 7-10 vs spread in last 17 games as a home favorite. Eastern Michigan is 7-4 in last 11 games as a road underdog.

10) Old Dominion (-8) beat UMass 36-16 at home LY, outgunning Minutemen 522-406, running ball for 274 yards. UMass is 4-7 in last 11 games as a home underdog.

9) Northwestern is 8-1 in its last nine games with Duke, winning last three by 4-9-11 points. Underdogs covered five of last six series games. Wildcats won their last five visits to Duke.

8) Underdogs covered seven of last eight South Florida-UConn games; USF won 28-20/13-10 in last two visits to the Nutmeg State. Huskies are 5-15 vs spread in last 20 home games.

7) Short week for West Virginia, which lost 31-24 to Va Tech Sunday night. WVU is 11-19 as a home favorite under Holgersen. East Carolina lost to a I-AA team last week and they weren’t even favored at home against them. ECU is 11-19-1 in last 31 games as a road underdog.

6) Boston College is 7-3 in last ten games with Wake Forest; underdogs won last three SU. Average total in last four series games, 27.0. Deacons won two of last three visits to Boston.

5) Underdogs are 6-1-1 vs spread in last eight New Mexico State-New Mexico games; Aggies pulled a 32-31 upset (+12.5) over New Mexico LY, their first win in last five series games. Lobos are 4-7 in last 11 games as a home favorite.

4) Rice won nine of last 11 games with UTEP; favorites covered four of last six series games. Owls are 3-2 in last five visits to El Paso; they were in Australia two weeks ago, losing 62-7 to Stanford. Rice is located in Houston; their routines have obviously been disrupted by Hurricane Harvey.

3) Indiana led Ohio State in 3rd quarter last week but faded late; they’re 6-4 vs spread in last ten road games. Virginia covered nine of its last 12 non-conference games.

2) Since 2013, Navy is 12-7 vs spread as a home favorite; they won last two games with Tulane, 21-14 (-6), 31-14 (-23). Green Wave is 7-9 vs spread in last 16 games as a road underdog.

1) Western Kentucky is 10-14-1 vs spread in last 25 road games, 3-6-1 in last nine non-league games. Illinois snuck by Ball State LW 24-21; Illini is 8-13 vs spread in last 21 home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NCAAF

Friday, September 8

Friday's NCAAF Game of the Day: Oklahoma State at South Alabama

Oklahoma State Cowboys at South Alabama Jaguars (+28, 67)

With a Heisman Trophy candidate at quarterback and a strong running game, No. 11 Oklahoma State tries to flaunt its newfound balanced attack when it visits South Alabama on Friday night. The Cowboys were 66th nationally in rushing last season at 170.8 yards per game, but gained nearly double that amount (332) in their season-opening 59-24 victory over Tulsa.

Oklahoma State senior quarterback Mason Rudolph, who was 20-for-24 for 303 yards and three touchdowns against the Golden Hurricane after directing the country's No. 8 passing attack in 2016, watched his club pile up 332 yards rushing. Sophomore running back Justice Hill led the way with 132 yards and a touchdown on 15 carries as Cowboys coach Mike Gundy already sees a strong cohesiveness in his offensive unit. "I'm confident that we have good leadership and that there's enough, for lack of a better term, peer pressure to want to perform at a higher level,'' coach Mike Gundy told reporters. "These guys care about each other and we have some great team chemistry early in the season." The Jaguars, picked to finish fourth in the Sun Belt Conference, recorded a turnover-free performance and trailed by only three at halftime before succumbing to Ole Miss 47-27 in their opener.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN2.

LINE HISTORY: The Cowboys opened as 26.5-point road chalk but that wasn’t large enough for bettors and OSU money pushed that line up to 28. The total hit the betting boards at 66 and has since risen to 67.

INJURY REPORT:

Oklahoma State - No Injuries to Report.

South Alabama - LB Bull Barge (Probable, Knee), DL Tyree Turner (Probable, Ankle), OL Nelson Santiago (Doubtful, Leg), S Neiko Robinson (Out, Leg), WR Jalen Tolbert (Out For Season, Knee), CB Jalen Thompson (Out For Season, Academics).

ABOUT OKLAHOMA STATE (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): The Cowboys will attack South Alabama with three running backs that gained at least 92 yards last week, including freshmen J.D. King (six carries, 95 yards, one touchdown) and La'Darren Brown (five, 92, one). “It’s been great,” Rudolph told reporters. “I kind of wanted to see the freshman guys come out and play, and J.D. answered the bell, as well as L.D. getting the first few snaps of his career." Senior wide receiver James Washington, who eclipsed 1,000 yards the last two seasons, should have little trouble getting there in 2017 after recording 145 yards and two touchdowns on six catches last week.

ABOUT SOUTH ALABAMA (0-1 SU, 1-0 ATS, 1-0 O/U): The Jaguars need another strong performance from senior safety Jeremy Reaves, who became the fifth player in school history to record 200 career tackles after registering eight but was part of a defense that yielded more than 400 passing yards (429). Sophomore running back Tra Minter gained 83 yards on 12 carries in his South Alabama debut, spearheading a ground attack that totaled 170 yards. Junior quarterback Cole Garvin threw for one touchdown and rushed for two versus the Rebels.

TRENDS:

* Cowboys are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

* Jaguars are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.

* Over is 6-0 in Cowboys last 6 vs. S-Belt.

* Over is 13-3 in Cowboys last 16 games on fieldturf.

* Over is 10-2 in Jaguars last 12 non-conference games.

CONSENSUS: The Cowboys are picking up 79 percent of the action from users and the Over is picking up 77 percent of the totals wagers.