Stephen Nover's NFL Opening Week Blockbuster
Sep 10 '17, 8:30 PM
NFL | Giants vs Cowboys
3* Giants +4½ -110
The Cowboys couldn't solve the Giants' defense last year averaging just 13 points versus New York in two games. The Giants won both of those games. They've now covered five in a row against Dallas winning three and losing the other two by just one and three points, respectively. The Giants have many of their same starters back on defense, including a strong secondary that is able to negate Dez Bryant and take advantage of Dak Prescott's inexperience. The Cowboys also may be without Ezekiel Elliott, who is dealing with a possible league suspension. On the flip side, the Cowboys have a vulnerable secondary that Eli Manning can exploit with his improved receiving group that now includes Brandon Marshall to go with Odell Beckham Jr. and emerging Sterling Shepard. A lot went Dallas' way last year. You could make a strong argument the Giants are the better team. They were a hot 9-2 down the stretch last season before being eliminated in the playoffs by the Packers. Dallas' home field advantage is not worth this many points as the Giants very well could win this game straight-up.
Stephen Nover
Sep 10 '17, 1:00 PM
NFL- Ravens vs Bengals
2* Bengals -2½ -115
The Bengals are back to being a legitimate playoff contender, while the Ravens are likely to keep regressing due to a poor offense. Baltimore's defense isn't nearly the dominant force of years past. The Ravens don't have enough pieces to keep up with all of Cincinnati's skill position talent. A.J. Green always has been a Ravens-killer while being a consensus top-five wide receiver. Tight end Tyler Eifert is healthy, unlike last year. He's a premier tight end red zone threat. Added to this mix are good looking running back Joe Mixon and speedster rookie wide receiver John Ross. The best case scenario for the Ravens would be if Joe Flacco started instead of Ryan Mallet, who is one of the worst backup QB's in the league. Flacco is expected to start, but he'll be extremely rusty having not played during preseason recovering from knee surgery and a bad back. The Ravens' offensive line is in flux due to injuries and the unexpected retirement of center Urschel. Kenneth Dixon, probably the team's best runner, is out with injury as is tight end Dennis Pitta. There just isn't any way the Ravens can keep up with the Bengals' talent-laced skill position players. Then there is the road factor. This is the first time Cincinnati is opening at home since 2009. The Bengals have dominated this series winning seven of the last 10, including going 5-0 at home. The Ravens have lost at Cincinnati by an average of 12 1/2-points the past two seasons - and the gap seems wider this year. Baltimore is far less intimidating on the road. That's reflected in a 4-13 regular-season away mark. The Ravens have lost their past six road games. Their lone road victories last season occurred against the Browns and Jaguars.
Dave Cokin:
Texans -4
Bengals +2
Rams +3
Chargers +3.5
Bucs-'Fins will not be played in Miami due to hurricane Irma
Fezzik
Panthers -4 Triple dime
SSI Parley Lifesyle picks for the week
Titans ML/Redskins ML/Titans ML (3.5 UNITS)-Sun NFL
Rams ML/Packers ML/Panthers ML (3.5 UNITS)-Sun NFL
SSI Wins
Risked 5 units to win 5.25*Washington Redskins PK +105*vs Philadelphia Eagles
Risked 5 units to win 5*Detroit Lions +1 +100*vs Arizona Cardinals
Risked 5 units to win 3.91*Tennessee Titans -128*vs Oakland Raiders
Risked 5 units to win 4.55*New York Giants +4 -110*vs Dallas Cowboys
Greg shaker
3* San Francisco / Carolina under 48
King creole
3* Seattle / Green Bay over 50.0
Millerlocks
1:00 PM EST NFL
JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS VS. HOUSTON TEXANS
PICK: HOUSTON TEXANS -5.5 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
OAKLAND RAIDERS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS
PICK: OAKLAND RAIDERS +2 (+100)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
PITTSBURGH STEELERS VS. CLEVELAND BROWNS
PICK: PITTSBURGH STEELERS -9 (-105)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
OAKLAND RAIDERS VS. TENNESSEE TITANS
PICK: OVER 51 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
PHILADELPHIA EAGLES VS. WASHINGTON REDSKINS
PICK: PHILADELPHIA EAGLES (-120)
RISK: 11 UNITS
1:00 PM EST NFL
BALTIMORE RAVENS VS. CINCINNATI BENGALS
PICK: BALTIMORE RAVENS +3 (-110)
RISK: 11 UNITS
Stephen Nover
3* TOTAL Of Week
Chicago / Atlanta under 49.5
The Bears are going to struggle to move the ball with Mike Glennon under center and a very weak receiving group. Bears coach John Fox is conservative to begin with and he'll be more conservative here against an improved and aggressive Falcons defense. That means a lot of running with Jordan Howard, which keeps the clock moving and slows tempo.
The Falcons rarely play on grass. That's not a plus for their high-speed offense. The Bears' defensive front seven is decent. Chicago is weak in the secondary. But this is a very high total especially given Chicago's limited firepower. The departure of guru offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan to the 49ers hurts Atlanta. The Falcons new offensive coordinator is Steve Sarkisian, who is new to the NFL. That sure doesn't seem like a fair tradeoff going from Shanahan to Sarkisian.
Added
Sep 10 '17, 1:00 PM
Cardinals vs Lions
2* Cardinals -125
The Lions were a bogus playoff team last season. The Cardinals should be much better after experiencing their first losing season in four years under Bruce Arians. Getting difference-makers wide receiver John Browns, safety Tyrann Mathieu and offensive tackle Jared Veldheer back from injury are huge for Arizona. Detroit has a weak defense - opponents completed a record 72.7 percent of their throws against the Lions last year - and a lackluster ground game. That's a bad combination. Matthew Stafford doesn't have a stud wide receiver like Calvin Johnson anymore to make the Lions feared offensively. The Lions can't beat good teams. Arizona is back to being a good team now that its properly motivated and has key players back healthy. David Johnson is the best all-purpose back in football. Carson Palmer remains dangerous when he has a clean pocket. That should be the case here with the Lions minus Kerry Hyder and Ziggy Ansah having to prove he's fully healthy. All my checkmarks go to the Cardinals - offense, defense and coaching. The Lions have lost the past seven times they've faced the Cardinals, including getting blown out, 42-17, two years ago at home.
BRAD POWERS
NFL 3-star Game of Week!
Tennessee + 1
Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 09-09-2017 at 09:58 PM.
Westgate contest
cin 886
hou 863
ten 839
atl 819
ari 742
pit 706
lar 691
lac 667
nyg 581
phi 542
car 539
sf 484
gb 456
was 449
no 448
chi 429
Robert Ferringo - NFL Futures
8-Unit Play. Take New Orleans Saints 'Over' 8.5 Wins (+115)
5-Unit Play. Take Chicago Bears 'Over' 5.5 Wins (+115)