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Thread: Service Plays Saturday 9/16/17

  1. #41
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Point train

    7* South Carolina


    Maximum sports
    Underdog GAME OF THE WEEK
    5* Memphis +3

  2. #42
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    GC: NCAAF Play

    Saturday card has the 6* ACC 100% Power play and 4 more best bets including 100% dog and blowout system plays as well as big 5* total. Football ranks #1 overall over the last 3 years. NCAAF Comp play below.


    The College football free play is on Pittsburgh at 12 noon eastern. The Panthers are taking nearly 2 touchdown here and we note they have covered 9 of 10 with non conference revenge which they have from last seasons close loss to Oklahoma St. They are 6-0 ats with revenge vs a team off a win and cover. The Cowboys have won and covered the first 2 games but may be looking ahead to a big one next week with TCU. Pittsburgh has covered 8 of 9 as a home dog of 12 or more. For our system we are playing against game 3 road favorites at -10 or more that won and covered the first 2 games as they have failed to cover 17 of 21 times long term. Look for the panthers to get the cover. On Saturday another massive card takes center stage led by the 100% Top 6* play in the ACC. The SEC Game of the month, a 5* total and a big dominator early side play. Football ranks #1 overall the last 3 years. Message to jump on. For the free play. Play the Pittsburgh Panthers plus the 13 points. GC

  3. #43
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    Hey fellas...trying to get the Open Order plays today 1 or 2 for the day from "The Lovely Michele" which is Brian Mac ( RIP) girl that worked with him for 15 yrs and Auggie his right hand man for a long time...no sh*" though they are 5-0 ytd on the Open Orders this year with them being dogs to where B Mac was always laying the wood in previous years??? If anyone gets them ALREADY please post, I just don't wanna buy obviously if someone already gets?? TIA!!! JC

  4. #44
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    CPAW - So glad to find you again. The "other guys" are doing their best to keep you hidden but that site is on life support since you left. Thanks for helping all of us degenerates out!

  5. #45
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    Stephen Nover's CFB Total of the Month
    Sep 16 '17, 3:30 PM
    Virginia Tech vs East Carolina

    OVER 59 (-115)
    East Carolina ranks 128th out of of 129 FBS teams in defense giving up an average of 616.5 yards in its two games. The Pirates just fired their defensive coordinator, Kenwick Thompson, after losing 56-20 to West Virginia last week. East Carolina surrendered 49 points in the first half so West Virginia called off the dogs in the second half. Virginia Tech smashed East Carolina, 54-17, at home last year. The 16th-ranked Hokies play at a fast tempo and freshman quarterback Josh Jackson is proving to be an excellent fit for their offense. Here's the thing about East Carolina. The Pirates also have a quick tempo offense. I expect the Pirates to contribute to going Over this total regardless if quarterback Thomas Sirk, who made his first start for the Pirates last week, plays or not due to a concussion he suffered last week. The Pirates figure to be throwing a lot here, which puts the pick-six for Virginia Tech very much in play. These teams shouldn't have a problem at least matching the combined 71 points scored in last year's game.


    Stephen Nover's CFB Sides Play of the Week

    Sep 16 '17, 6:00 PM
    Tulane vs Oklahoma

    Tulane +36 (-110)

    Oklahoma certainly can be forgiven if it takes Tulane lightly. The Sooner, after all, are coming off a monster road win against Ohio State. Baker Mayfield is in serious Heisman Trophy contention after that game. But Tulane can cause some problems for the Sooners, enough to hang in and get this spread cover. The Green Wave should be improved after their young players took their lumps with a 4-8 record last year. The Green Wave have a decent pass rush and secondary. They also can chew up clock with their triple option running attack. This isn't an offense the Sooners are used to facing being in the wide-open, pass-crazy Big 12.


    Sep 16 '17, 12:00 PM
    Air Force vs Michigan

    OVER 48.5 (-110)
    The marketplace reacted way too violently betting this game down too low. This sets up a value play on the Over. Yes, Air Force is a running team and Michigan didn't play that well versus Cincinnati last week. But the Wolverines have a balanced offense and are capable of putting up plenty of points here especially if they cut back - as they will - on turnovers. The Falcons have just one starter back on defense from last season. Air Force piled up 457 yards on the ground in a 62-0 blanking of VMI two weeks ago. The Falcons were idle last week so they should be fresh. Michigan, like Air Force, only returns one defensive starter from last season.


    Sep 16 '17, 12:00 PM
    UL-Lafayette vs Texas A&M
    OVER 59.5 (-110)

    Texas A&M isn't taking its foot off the gas after blowing a 44-17 lead against UCLA and only beating Nicholls State, 24-14, last week. Make no mistake about it either, the Aggies have the firepower and are facing a horrendous defense that they have the capabiity of putting up 50 points themselves here. Louisiana-Lafayette is averaging 46.5 points in its two games, while surrendering an average of 57 points a game. The Ragin' Cajuns have a balanced attack, a bombs away quarterback in Jordan Davis and a dangerous kick return game.



    Sep 16 '17, 4:00 PM
    Purdue vs Missouri
    Under 77 (-115)

    Purdue is coming on offensively under Jeff Brohm and Missouri's defense remains a work-in-progress trying to get back to its form of two years when it finished 15th in the nation in total defense. But this total is too high. The Boilermakers aren't going against Lamar Jackson here. The Tigers should be fired-up defensively after getting rid if defensive coordinator DeMontie Cross. Missouri has a very good punter and a questionalbe field-goal kicker. So that's another plus for the under.


    Sep 16 '17, 7:00 PM
    Louisiana Tech vs Western Kentucky

    OVER 61 (-115)


    A little more than 10 months ago, these two teams were playing in the Conference USA title game. The total was lined at 78 1/2 and it flew Over with Western Kentucky winning, 58-44. That's a combined 102 points. Now, just into Week 3 of this season, oddsmakers are projecting these teams to barely reach more 60 points. It's a wrong calculation. Yes, Western Kentucky's offensive numbers are way down from last year. But much of that is skewed from last week's 30-7 road loss to Illinois. The Hilltoppers aren't playing a Big Ten opponent this week. They are much more in their element taking on fellow Conference USA rival, Louisiana Tech. Western Kentucky's Mike White is one of the top QB's in the conference. Look for a strong bounce back from the Hilltoppers offense facing a Bulldogs defense that ranks 120th in scoring defense allowing 40 1/2 points per game. Louisiana Tech has been strong offensively the past three years under Skip Holtz and that's the case again this season. The Bulldogs just reload on offense. They are a top-50 team in scoring averaging 35 1/2 points and should keep improving. These tems have met three times the last two years. The average point total from those three games is 96 points.


    Sep 16 '17, 7:00 PM
    Idaho vs Western Michigan

    OVER 53.5 (-110)

    I have to question Idaho's defense after the Vandals surrendered 44 points and 550 yards to UNLV at home last week. Idaho has forced just one turnover this season. Western Michigan is stepping way down in class after opening with road games against USC and Michigan State. P.J. Fleck didn't leave the cupboard bare for Tim Lester as the Broncos have great running back depth and all-MAC tight end Donnie Ernsberger. Idaho should be able to trade points with its star quarterback, Matt Linehan.





  6. #46
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    3-Unit Play. #139. Take Northern Illinois +14 over Nebraska (Saturday @ 12pm est)

    Northern Illinois will get up to face Nebraska. There is a reason this team is just a 2 touchdown underdog to a Nebraska team that had a good showing against Oregon on the road. Nebraska is likely still hung over from that loss and it is hard to get over a loss like that while you have a Northern Illinois team that is going to be very excited to roll into this game. Note, that Northern Illinois is is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games and Nebraska is 0-4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS cover. Northern Illinois had a very strong showing against a decent Boston College team from the ACC and held them to 23 points and comes off winning 38-10 as a favorite of 14 points to EIU. Look for Northern Illinois to be able to have success against a questionable Nebraska defense and with the Huskers defense being relatively questionable and Northern Illinois having experience back on offense we think they likely keep this game close.


    3-Unit Play. #208. Take Over 71.5 California vs. Ole Miss (Saturday @ 10:30pm est)
    You have two high powered offenses that are going to look to put up a ton of points in this late night game and it is a very solid public fade as well. You have a California team that has a fantastic offense hooking up with the #1 Offense in the Nation right now and that is Ole Miss - yes, Ole Miss. Ole Miss and the SEC will want to make a clear showing here and you have two ballclubs looking for the kill on the other ballclub as neither one could run up the score enough on the other one as this will have big implications down the road. And, with both defenses being horrible, this will be come a shootout from the opening whistle. Ole Miss has given up 50 points to South Alabama and UT Martin and now they have to face California. And, Ole Miss has Alabama on deck. California has given up 50 points to the likes of Weber and a good UNC team but rates 121st in the nation in defense and 120th in pass defense. Lots of poitns will be scored here Saturday Night.

  7. #47
    Junior Member ArtVandelay's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bear's Fan View Post
    CPAW - glad I found you - was under another "name" at your previous site
    Ditto for me - Great to be here! Old site in the dumper...

  8. #48
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    CPAW I too am glad I found you. You are the best

  9. #49
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Can'tPickAWinner View Post
    Spartan

    3* kansas state
    Smaller plays:
    memphis
    purdue
    notre dame
    stanford over

  10. #50
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Pointwise Phone Service

    4* Purdue
    4* Troy
    3* Air Force
    3* Bama
    3* Cal
    3* Duke
    3* TCU
    3* Marshall
    2* Central Mich
    2* Iowa
    2* Tulsa
    2* Clemson

  11. #51
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Can'tPickAWinner View Post
    Marc lawrence
    memphis
    louisville
    miss st
    Marc Lawrence 34-0 ATS Awesome Angle College Football Underdog Game Of The Month! - Saturday
    Play - Louisville (Game 148).
    Edges - Cardinals: head coach Bobby Petrino 8-2 SU and 9-1 ATS home with revenge in his team owns a .700 or greater record, including 7-1 SU and 8-0 ATS when not off a double-digit spread loss; and Petrino 4-1 ATS in games when both teams are undefeated, including 4-0 ATS when facing a foe that was not favored by more than 24 points in its last game… Tigers: 0-6 ATS as conference road favorites of less than 7 points; and head coach Dabo Swinney 0-3 ATS in his career as a favorite in road openers… The clincher is the fact that 2-0 SUATS conference road favorites off a win of less than 4 points are 0-13 ATS since 1980 in Game Three if they scored 35 or fewer points the previous game. With Clemson QB Kelly Bryant making the first road start of his career with the Tigers

    Play - Memphis (Game 138).
    Edges - Tigers: 6-0 ATS non-conference home dogs off consecutive wins… Bruins: 0-6 ATS off consecutive wins under Jim Mora if the last win was by less than 42 points; and 0-6 ATS as favorites before Stanford… We cement the play with this from our Perfect System Club as it tells us to PLAY ON any undefeated college football home dog off a win of less than 36 points hat was a bowl team last season if they are facing an undefeated opponent that allows more than 14 PPG on the season provided our home dog is not off a shutout win. That’s because these teams are 15-0 ATS since 2000. With this 12 Noon ET start being a 9:00 AM body clock game for UCLA.

    Marc Lawrence Jaw Dropping 18-2 CFB Saturday Night Special Top Of The Ticket Play! - Saturday
    Play - Mississippi State (Game 188).
    Edges - Bulldogs: 3-0 ATS in first SEC home games; 3-0 ATS last three games in this series; and head coach Mullen 10-3 ATS with conference revenge; and 7-1 ATS as SEC home dogs of more than 7 points… Tigers: 0-4-1 ATS in first true away game of the season; and 0-3 ATS as SEC road favorites of more than 7 points… The clincher is the fact that LSU head coach Ed Orgeron is 2-18 SU in his career as a head coach against SEC opponents with a winning record.

  12. #52
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    LineDrive Sports

    4* Memphis
    4* Texas Tech
    3'* Ore/Wyo OVER 60
    3'* Marshall
    3* Virginia Tech

  13. #53
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Brad M

    CFB

    Air Force +23
    Pittsburgh O64
    Wake Forest -11.5
    Virginia Tech -23
    Clemson -3
    Fresno State O56
    Washington State -21
    Stanford O48
    Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 09-16-2017 at 07:32 AM.

  14. #54
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Larry Hartstein

    CFB

    Coastal Carolina -1.5
    Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 09-16-2017 at 07:32 AM.

  15. #55
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Mike Tierney

    CFB

    Memphis +3
    Wisconsin -16.5
    Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 09-16-2017 at 07:32 AM.

  16. #56
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Stephen Oh

    CFB

    Virginia -10.5
    Oklahoma State O64.5
    Tennessee +4.5
    Last edited by Can'tPickAWinner; 09-16-2017 at 07:32 AM.

  17. #57
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    Josh Nagel

    CFB

    Ohio State -30
    Baylor +14.5
    Mississippi -3.5

  18. #58
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Micah Roberts

    CFB

    Air Force O50
    Louisville +3
    USC O67.5

  19. #59
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    Kenny White

    CFB

    UCLA -3
    Baylor +14
    Tennessee U49.5
    Louisville +3
    Oregon O59.5

  20. #60
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    Ben Burns
    3* Pittsburgh +14.5 (-115)
    3* San Diego St +9.5 (-115)

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