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Tuesday 9-12-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fort Erie
Fort Erie - Race 7
WPS, Exactor, Triactor, 20 Cent Superfecta, Late Daily Double
Optional Claiming $12,500 • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 88 • Purse: $18,600 • Post: 4:18P
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR RESTRICTED ALLOWANCE OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 116 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OTHER THAN CLAIMING SINCE AUGUST 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $12,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PURE PURITY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PURE PURITY: Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. OUR GABRIEL LE: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. NO SOUP FOR YOU: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
PURE PURITY
5/2
3/1
7
OUR GABRIELLE
4/1
4/1
3
NO SOUP FOR YOU
10/1
8/1
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 1 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19500 Class Rating: 79
FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO STATE BRED RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 12 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS NOT
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 5 LOVE YOU BABE 3/1
# 4 FABULOUS DREAM 2/1
# 6 DEBUTANT GIRL 5/2
I've got to go with LOVE YOU BABE. The Equibase speed fig of 76 from her most recent contest looks competitive in here. Must be given consideration given the class of races run recently. This filly obviously likes the distance, going 4 / 22 in her races lately. FABULOUS DREAM - Boasts sound Equibase Speed Figures on average overall when compared with the rest of this group of horses. Had one of the most competitive Speed Figures of this group of horses in this race in her last race. DEBUTANT GIRL - Last time out, this filly was up against a rougher bunch. Has to be given consideration against this group of animals displaying competitive figs recently and an average speed figure of 74 under similar conditions.
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park
Fairmount Park - Race 6
$1.00 Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta ($1.00 Minimum Wager) / .10 Cent Superfecta
Optional Claiming $10,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 3:20P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR IBF OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $10,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 12 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $8,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES).
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. WILDWOOD DEJAVU is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * INFINITE MISCHIEF: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" d esignation or an "L" designation. WILDWOOD DEJAVU: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. B TWO SPECIAL: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designat ion or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
1
INFINITE MISCHIEF
2/1
5/2
5
WILDWOOD DEJAVU
5/2
9/2
2
B TWO SPECIAL
15/1
5/1
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:03pm - Optional Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $24,000 Class Rating: 88
Rating: 4
#7 TRUE FLAT (ML=8/1)
#5 ZARB'S GIFT (ML=4/1)
#3 TEE BROWN (ML=7/2)
TRUE FLAT - Horse's last race was at Louisiana Downs in a race with an Equibase class figure of 95. Dropping a significant amount in Equibase class figure this time around puts him in a solid position in this race. In my opinion, you need 'class' to be successful on the turf. This one has the highest average class figure in the field. ZARB'S GIFT - This gelding is in nice form. Ended up third on August 23rd. Racing at a similar level as last race on August 23rd at Louisiana Downs. I think Foster has found a good spot for him, and I like his chances right here. Horse has improved at least 2 speed figure points in last two races. I look for that to continue to trend in a positive direction in this race. TEE BROWN - This racer ran out of the money at Evangeline Downs last race out on an off track. He should improve right here on a fast track. Green and Harris teamed up together are a handicapper's friend.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 QUIET CONCERT (ML=2/1), #1 FOUR LEAF CHIEF (ML=9/2), #2 FIRE LAKE (ML=6/1),
QUIET CONCERT - This favorite hasn't visited the track in awhile. No drills since last race. This thoroughbred likes to hit the board, but doesn't usually get the job done. Forget the top spot. FOUR LEAF CHIEF - Doubtful that the speed fig he recorded on July 3rd will hold up in this clash.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #7 TRUE FLAT on the win end if we get at least 7/2 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [3,5,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 4 - Maiden Claiming - 5.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $6100 Class Rating: 49
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 7 CACTUS LEAGUE 3/1
# 2 ICAMEFROMBARRY 4/1
# 6 RULICA 8/5
CACTUS LEAGUE looks competitive to best this field. With a competitive 52 speed rating last time out, will clearly be a factor in this contest. Have to consider solely on class, with some of the strongest class figs of this group. He has garnered strong numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well against this group of horses in this race. ICAMEFROMBARRY - Has to be used in the exotic offerings. RULICA - The drastic drop in company can only help out this one this time out. Clouston and Paucar have won 25 percent of their races giving this horse a formidable chance.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 7:55pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $27,000 Class Rating: 74
Rating: 4
#1 SUPER CAUSEWAY (ML=2/1)
SUPER CAUSEWAY - This pony coming off a solid try in the last month is a strong challenger in my opinion. This horse should be in tip-top shape, this far into his form cycle.
Vulnerable Contenders: #5 BLUE SKY'S ABOVE (ML=9/5), #4 WILD RIDER (ML=3/1), #7 WHISPER BARROW (ML=5/1),
BLUE SKY'S ABOVE - Hasn't raced or had any morning drills since August 20th. Not much value on this probable favorite. WILD RIDER - Don't believe this vulnerable equine is worth 3/1 in this race. WHISPER BARROW - Run-of-the-mill speed figure in the last race at Presque Isle Downs at 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this steed will improve too much in today's race.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #1 SUPER CAUSEWAY to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
None
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None
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Arthur Ralph Sports
TUES Colorado w/Gray + 120
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JOE WIZ
Over 41 Jets and Raiders
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BIG AL
Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Sept. 12 is:
Cincy Reds and St. Louis Cardinals 'under' 8.5 runs.
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ERIC SCHROEDER
My free winner is on the San Francisco Giants over the struggling Los Angeles Dodgers. I don't care about the pitchers, so even though I'm going to make mention of both Clayton Kershaw and Johnny Cueto, I don't want you listing them.
Look, I know we're talking about the last-place Giants, and a Dodgers team that not too long ago was considered the best in baseball, this is also one of the best rivalries in baseball. And anything can happen.
I'm not sure if the Dodgers are going to shake this funk, or if we're headed toward an all-time collapse. But the fact remains this team came into this series after finishing an 0-7 homestand, and mired in a 10-game losing streak - its longest in 25 years - and it had lost 15 of 16.
One of those losses was Kershaw's last start - his second since coming off the disabled list - and he struggled against the Colorado Rockies. His team's plight is contagious, and he could struggle today.
Cueto is not a bad pitcher, and could be sparked by the challenge of opposing Los Angeles' ace.
The Dodgers opened a 10-game trip just nine games in front of the Arizona Diamondbacks in the National League West and four ahead of the Washington Nationals for the overall best record in the N.L.
The Giants would love nothing more than to add to Los Angeles' woes. I'll take the home dog.
5* SAN FRANCISCO
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CHRIS JORDAN
My free winner is on the Over in the Cleveland Indians-Detroit Tigers game.
I would love to tell you to play the Indians on the Run Line in this game, but that number is sky high, given the Tribe is laying more than $4 to Detroit. So, we're playing the total for the second night in a row. Last night it was my premium play, tonight it is my comp winner.
The streaking Indians are going to force the Tigers into a high-scoring game, one I see tallying more than 10 runs once again.
MAKE NOTE: All Run Line/Total plays automatically list pitchers with the starters who are scheduled to go at the time of the wager. But with this game I am not concerned with who goes for either team tonight and want you playing this game on the Run Line regardless. That being said, IT IS YOUR RESPONSIBILITY to be sure you have action even if one of the pitchers scheduled to start is scratched, by re-wagering the game if that takes place.
As Cleveland is looking for its 20th straight victory - including its last two meetings with the Tigers by a combined final of 22-1 - the balanced attack has been most impressive. During the Indians' 19-game spree, they've averaged 6.9 runs per game.
As I said, the line on this game is so big, that even the Run Line is untouchable. But it indicates the Indians could score plenty of runs, especially against a Tigers team that has gone over in seven of its last eight, and is riding a three-game skid after losing to the Blue Jays in Toronto on Sunday, 8-2, and then last night's series-opener, 11-0.
These two have gone over in 30 of the last 37 meetings in Cleveland, and in 40 of the last 57 battles. Play this one high.
1* OVER Indians-Tigers
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JACK BRAYMAN
My free winner for Tuesday is on the Angels, as they welcome the Houston Astros to Anaheim. And with Justin Verlander toeing the slab for the 'Stros, the Halos are the home pup. But don't worry about the pitchers in this one, play it straight and take the plus-price.
Don't look now, but the Angels are in second place in the American League West, 13 back of these Astros. And while that may not be easy to overcome, make note the Halos are just one game back in the American League wild card race.
This is an important series for the Halos, who are 38-31 at home and should be rested after returning from Seattle following Sunday's 5-3 win and taking last night off.
Play the home pup here.
1* ANGELS
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SCOTT RICKENBACH
MLB | Sep 12, 2017
Tigers vs. Indians
Tigers+378
Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach Tuesday MLB Free Pick Detroit Tigers Money Line (+) @ Cleveland Indians @ 7:10 ET - Yes the Indians are on an amazing 19-game winning streak but they are 4 to 1 favorites here against a division rival who has a pitcher going on the mound that has given them some trouble. In fact, Tigers southpaw Matt Boyd has a solid 2.41 ERA in his 3 starts versus the Indians this season. Boyd has allowed the same amount of earned runs (5) COMBINED in his 3 starts versus the Tribe as Corey Kluber has (5 earned runs) in ONE start versus the Tigers earlier this season. Now, don't get me wrong, the Indians are as red hot as a team can get and Kluber is certainly in great current form but, the point is, if there was such a thing as a "slippery slope streak-buster game" this is it. One thing is for certain, under normal circumstances, this match-up would never be priced at 4 to 1 odds. This is insane big dog value being offered and, keep in mind, only one team in the modern era of baseball (say the past 80 years or so) has ever won 20 straight games. Oakland in 2002 won 20 straight and that is where their streak ended. I am forecasting Cleveland's streak to end at 19. Look for the huge upset in this one and consider making a small play on the Tigers on the money line. Free Pick on DETROIT TIGERS on the money line early Tuesday evening. Best of luck, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach
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DUSTIN HAWKINS
Free Play on Diamondbacks -124
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Pure Lock
MLB CLEVELAND INDIANS ‑1.5 ‑185
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WNBA
Dunkel
Tuesday, September 12
Phoenix @ Los Angeles
Game 687-688
September 12, 2017 @ 10:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Phoenix
111.134
Los Angeles
124.105
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 13
162
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
by 9
157 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-9); Over
Washington @ Minnesota
Game 685-686
September 12, 2017 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Washington
111.106
Minnesota
123.086
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 12
163
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
by 9 1/2
159
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(-9 1/2); Over
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WNBA
Tuesday, September 12
Trend Report
8:00 PM
WASHINGTON vs. MINNESOTA
Washington is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington
Minnesota is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Washington
10:00 PM
PHOENIX vs. LOS ANGELES
Phoenix is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Phoenix is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Los Angeles is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Phoeni
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MLB
Dunkel
Tuesday, September 12
San Diego @ Minnesota
Game 979-980
September 12, 2017 @ 8:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
San Diego
(Wood) 16.082
Minnesota
(Gbson) 14.504
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 1 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-175
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+155); Over
Houston @ LA Angels
Game 977-978
September 12, 2017 @ 10:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Houston
(Verlnder) 13.361
LA Angels
(Richards) 15.013
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Angels
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-130
8
Dunkel Pick:
LA Angels
(+110); Under
Chicago White Sox @ Kansas City
Game 975-976
September 12, 2017 @ 1:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Covey) 16.331
Kansas City
(Gaviglio) 13.846
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago White Sox
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
-175
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago White Sox
(+155); Under
Seattle @ Texas
Game 973-974
September 12, 2017 @ 8:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Seattle
(Gnzales) 16.256
Texas
(Gnzalez) 12.945
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 3 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Texas
-115
11 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-105); Over
Detroit @ Cleveland
Game 971-972
September 12, 2017 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
(Boyd) 12.330
Cleveland
(Kluber) 19.760
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 7 1/2
13
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-500
8
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-500); Over
Oakland @ Boston
Game 969-970
September 12, 2017 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Manaea) 17.423
Boston
(Rdriguez) 15.755
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-175
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(+155); Under
NY Yankees @ Tampa Bay
Game 967-968
September 12, 2017 @ 7:10 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Gray) 14.650
Tampa Bay
(Snell) 15.688
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-140
8
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(+120); Under
Baltimore @ Toronto
Game 965-966
September 12, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Baltimore
(Bundy) 15.278
Toronto
(Biagini) 13.965
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-125
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Baltimore
(-125); Under
LA Dodgers @ San Francisco
Game 963-964
September 12, 2017 @ 10:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Kershaw) 11.303
San Francisco
(Cueto) 13.175
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Francisco
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-260
6 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+220); Under
Colorado @ Arizona
Game 961-962
September 12, 2017 @ 9:40 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Gray) 14.753
Arizona
(Walker) 15.730
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Arizona
by 1
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-125
9
Dunkel Pick:
Arizona
(-125); Over
Cincinnati @ St. Louis
Game 959-960
September 12, 2017 @ 8:15 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Cincinnati
(Stphnson) 16.789
St. Louis
(Lynn) 14.270
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cincinnati
by 2 1/2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
St. Louis
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cincinnati
(+155); Over
NY Mets @ Chicago Cubs
Game 957-958
September 12, 2017 @ 8:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Gsellman) 14.057
Chicago Cubs
(Quntana) 13.286
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Mets
by 1
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Chicago Cubs
-270
No Total
Dunkel Pick:
NY Mets
(+230); N/A
Pittsburgh @ Milwaukee
Game 955-956
September 12, 2017 @ 7:40 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
(Cole) 13.744
Milwaukee
(Suter) 17.203
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-115); Under
Miami @ Philadelphia
Game 953-954
September 12, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Miami
(Peters) 15.652
Philadelphia
(Pivetta) 12.473
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 3
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
-120
9
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
(-120); Over
Atlanta @ Washington
Game 951-952
September 12, 2017 @ 7:05 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Atlanta
(Teheran) 14.178
Washington
(Gnzalez) 15.241
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-175
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-175); Over
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MLB
Tuesday, September 12
National League
Braves @ Nationals
Teheran is 3-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. He is 2-1, 4.50 vs Washington this year. Braves 8-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-5
Gonzalez is 6-1, 1.79 in his last seven starts, last three of which went over. He is 1-1, 4.82 in three starts vs Atlanta this season. Washington is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-6-5
Braves lost three of last four road games; over is 5-1 in their last six games overall. Atlanta lost its last six road series openers. Washington won six of last seven games; under is 4-1 in their last five home games. Nationals are 15-9 in home series openers.
Marlins @ Phillies
Peters is 0-1, 2.25 in two starts this year (over 1-1). This is his first road start. Marlins’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-1
Pivetta is 1-3, 7.66 in his last five starts; over is 6-3-2 in his last 11. He is 1-1, 7.11 in three starts vs Miami this year. Phils are 3-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-13-2
Marlins lost 12 of last 14 games; over is 4-1 in their last five. Miami is 10-13 in road series openers. Philly lost five of last seven games; under is 3-1 in their last four. Phillies are 7-14 in home series openers.
Pirates @ Brewers
Cole is 1-1, 2.14 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. He is 1-0, 2.33 in four starts vs Milwaukee this year. Pirates are 9-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-13-7
Suter is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts (under 5-3-2). Milwaukee is 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-3-1
Pirates lost five of their last six games; under is 6-1 in their last seven. Milwaukee won three of last four games; they’re 4-2 in last six home games. Under is 6-2-2 in their last ten games.
Mets @ Cubs
Gsellman is 1-1, 5.84 in his last five starts (under 3-1-1). Mets are 3-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-10-1
Quintana is 3-1, 4.18 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Cubs are 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-3
Mets won five of last seven games; over is 9-4-2 in their last 15 games. New York is 7-11 in last 18 road series openers. Cubs lost six of last eight games; under is 7-3 in their last ten home games. Chicago is 4-1 in last five home series openers.
Reds @ Cardinals
Stephenson is 4-0, 2.78 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1). Reds are 2-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-1-1
Lynn is 0-1, 1.29 in his last three starts; under is 11-2 in his last 13. He is 2-0, 1.59 in three starts vs Cincinnati this year. St Louis is 6-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-13-2
Reds lost five of last six road games (under 4-1-1). Cincinnati is 10-15 in road series openers. St Louis won seven of last eight games; under is 6-2 in their last eight home games. Cardinals are 9-5 in last 14 home series openers.
Rockies @ Diamondbacks
Gray is 3-2, 2.73 in his last five starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 1-1, 4.09 vs Arizona this season. Colorado is 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-6-1
Walker is 3-0, 0.78 in his last four starts (under 3-1). He is 2-1, 3.04 in four starts vs Colorado this season. Arizona is 6-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-5
Rockies won seven of their last eight games; over is 6-0-1 in their last seven games. Arizona is 14-3 in its last 17 games, but lost three of last four; over is 5-1-2 in their last 8 home games.
Dodgers @ Giants
Kershaw is 6-1, 1.32 in his last eight starts; under is 6-4 in his road starts. He is 2-1, 2.25 vs SF this season. Dodgers are 9-1 in those road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-3-3
Cueto is 1-0, 3.77 in his last three starts; his last five starts went over. Giants are 4-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-4
Dodgers lost 10 games in row, 15 of their last 16 games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Giants are 4-12 in last 16 games; over is 4-0-1 in their last five.
Dodgers-Giants started their game last night at 1:57am, so that result hasn’t been included yet in this article.
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American League
Orioles @ Blue Jays
Bundy is 4-1, 3.15 in his last six starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. He is 2-0, 0.69 vs Toronto this season. Orioles are 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-9-2
Biagini is 0-4, 7.20 in his last five starts (under 4-1). He is 0-1, 2.19 in two starts vs Baltimore this season. Toronto is 1-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-8-1
Orioles lost their last five games; under is 7-3 in their last ten games. Toronto won its last three home games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten games.
Tigers @ Indians
Boyd is 0-4, 8.38 in his last six starts; over is 7-3-2 in his last 12 starts. He is 1-1, 2.41 in three starts vs Cleveland this season. Detroit is 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-10-5
Kluber is 3-0, 1.96 in his last three starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight. He is 2-1, 5.24 in four starts vs Detroit this season. Cleveland is 9-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-2
Tigers lost nine of last 11 games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten road games. Cleveland won its last 19 games; under is 13-5 in their last 18 home games.
New York vs Tampa Bay (@ Citi Field in NYC- Rays are home team)
Gray is 2-2, 2.92 in his last four starts (under 5-2). New York’s first 5-inning record with him: 3-4
Snell is 3-0, 3.82 in his last five starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. He is 0-0, 4.50 in two starts vs New York this season. Tampa Bay is 3-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 8-8-3
This series is in the Mets’ stadium because of the hurricane. New York won seven of last nine games; eight of their last ten road games went over. Tampa Bay lost four of last five games; over is 4-3 in their last seven games.
A’s @ Red Sox
Manaea is 2-1, 2.55 in his last three starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. Oakland is 5-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-11-5
Rodriguez is 0-2, 6.04 in his last five starts; his last seven starts stayed under. Boston is 7-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-11
A’s won their last five games; over is 8-1 in their last nine games. Oakland is 1-7 in last eight road series openers. Boston won four of last five games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Red Sox are 12-5 in last 17 home series openers.
Mariners @ Rangers
Gonzales is 0-1, 7.40 in five starts this year (over 4-1). Seattle is 1-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-2
Gonzalez is 0-0, 4.76 in his last three starts; under is 5-1 in his last six. Rangers’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0
Mariners lost their last six road games; their last seven games overall stayed under. Texas lost three of last five games; over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games.
White Sox @ Royals
Covey is making his first start since May 23; he is 0-4, 8.12 in eight starts this season (over 3-3-2). Chicago is 1-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-1
Gaviglio is 0-4, 5.79 in his last five starts; under is 5-1-1 in his last seven. Royals’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0
Chicago won its last three games; over is 5-1-1 in their last seven games. Royals are 5-4 in their last nine games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 games.
Astros @ Angels
Verlander is 3-0, 1.67 in his last four starts (under 4-0). Astros’ first 5-inning record with him: 0-0-1
Richards is 0-0, 1.13 in two starts this season (total of 8 IP). He threw 57 pitches in his last start, is probably still on a pitch count here. Angels won both his starts, both on road— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1
Astros lost its last four games, which all went over the total. Houston is 16-7 in road series openers. Angels lost three of last four games, all of which stayed under. Halos are 8-14 in home series openers.
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Interleague
Padres @ Twins
Wood is 0-1, 9.53 in his last three starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Padres are 0-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-1
Gibson is 3-0, 1.69 in his last four starts (under 3-1). Minnesota is 4-9 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-13-1
Padres won three of last four games; under is 5-3 in their last eight road games. San Diego is 8-14 in road series openers. Minnesota is 3-5 in its last eight games; over is 5-2 in their last seven home games. Twins are 12-11 in home series openers.
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Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
Atl-Wsh: Teheran 13-15; Gonzalez 17-11
Mia-Phil: Peters 0-2; Pivetta 7-15
Pitt-Mil: Cole 16-13; Suter 5-5
NY-Chi: Gsellman 8-10; Quintana 6-4 (10-8)
Cin-StL: Stephenson 5-2; Lynn 13-16
Colo-Az: Gray 10-6; Walker 14-10
LA-SF: Kershaw 20-3; Cueto
American League
Balt-Tor: Bundy 17-9; Biagini 4-10
Det-Clev: Boyd 8-13; Kluber 17-8
NY-TB: Gray 3-4 (8-8); Snell 8-11
A’s-Bos: Manaea 12-14; Rodriguez 11-9
Sea-Tex: Gonzales 2-3; Gonzalez 1-0 (9-13)
Chi-KC: Covey 3-5; Gaviglio 0-1 (6-5)
Hst-LAA: Verlander 1-0 (13-15); Richards 2-0
Interleague
SD-Minn: Wood 4-4; Gibson 14-11
Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
Atl-Wsh: Teheran 8-28; Gonzalez 9-28
Mia-Phil: Peters 1-1; Pivetta 10-22 (4 of last 4)
Pitt-Mil: Cole 10-29; Suter 1-10
NY-Chi: Gsellman 9-18; Quintana 8-28
Cin-StL: Stephenson 5-1-1; Lynn 8-29
Colo-Az: Gray 4-16; Walker 7-24
LA-SF: Kershaw 5-23; Cueto
American League
Balt-Tor: Bundy 4-26; Biagini 6-14
Det-Clev: Boyd 5-21; Kluber 5-25
NY-TB: Gray 3-22; Snell 5-19
A’s-Bos: Manaea 9-26; Rodriguez 4-20
Sea-Tex: Gonzales 1-5; Gonzalez 7-23
Chi-KC: Covey 5-8; Gaviglio 4-12
Hst-LAA: Verlander 7-29; Richards 0-2
Interleague
SD-Minn: Wood 3-8; Gibson 8-25
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Umpires
National League
Pitt-Mil: Under is 6-2 in last eight Dreckman games.
Colo-Az: Five of last six Ripperger games stayed under.
LA-SF: Six of last nine Reyburn games stayed under.
American League
Balt-Tor: Five of last six Gorman games went over.
Det-Clev: Four of last five Barry games went over.
NY-TB: Under is 12-3 in last fifteen TBarrett games.
Sea-Tex: Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Nelson games.
Chi-KC: Underdogs won six of last seven Meals games.
Interleague play
NL @ AL– 81-56 AL, favorites -$236
AL @ NL– 72-67 NL, favorites +$35
Total: 148-128 AL, favorites -$201
Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 69-66-4
AL @ NL: Over 74-59-7
Total: Over 143-125-11
Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/11/17
Ariz 28-26-19……40-22–11……..68-48
Atl 26-34-9……25-39-8………..51-73
Cubs 32-31-8…….34-24-14………..66-55
Reds 22-41-9……..29-36–7……….51-77
Colo 38-28-6…….37-29-5………..75-57
LA 31-24-13…….41-25-9……….72-49
Miami 30-33-9…….35-26-10………65-59
Milw 35-27-10…….35-28-9……….69-55
Mets 31-34-4……..30-37-7……….61-71
Philly 19-43-16……26-31-8………..45-74
Pitt 31-34-7…….28-31-13………..60-65
St. Louis 30-32-9……37-24-10………..67-56
SD 21-41-8……..36-29–9…………57-70
SF 16-49-9……..28-30-12……….44-79
Wash 42-23-7……33-29-9………….75-52
Orioles 27-37-5……..30-37-7………57-74
Boston 30-32-10………33-36-2…….63-68
White Sox 22-37-10………29-42–4…….51-78
Cleveland 44-23-8……..35-24-8……….79-47
Detroit 27-36-10…….28-33-10……..55-69
Astros 35-27-11……..43-24-5……..78-51
KC 26-33-10……..29-30-13…….55-63
Angels 26-39-8………29-27-13……..55-66
Twins 38-23-12………32-32-8…….69-54
NYY 33-38-6……….36-27-4…..…69-65
A’s 25-36-7……..32-32-12……..57-68
Seattle 26-36-9……..39-25-10………65-61
TB 36-29-10……..38-21-9……..74-50
Texas 34-26-11……..38-25-8……..72-51
Toronto 29-37-5……..29-32-11……..58-69
%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/11/17)
Ariz 22-71……..25-71………..47
Atl 16-68……….19-75……….35
Cubs 20-71……..25-72………..45
Reds 28-73……..26-72……….54
Colo 20-72……..25-71..……..45
LA 20-69……..26-74..…….46
Miami 31-72……..26-71………..57
Milw 24-72……27-73…..……51
Mets 31-69……..25-74……….56
Philly 17-78……..20-66……….37
Pitt 21-72……..22-73……….43
StL 15-72……..22-70………..37
SD 23-70……….24-73……….47
SF 17-75……….21-71……….38
Wash 26-72……..28-71……….54
Orioles 16-70……..24-75……….40
Boston 20-72……..17-71……….37
White Sox 22-69……20-75……….42
Clev 22-76……..23-69………45
Detroit 17-72…….26-71………43
Astros 21-74……..28-70………49
KC 18-70……..15-74………..33
Angels 27-75……..20-70……….47
Twins 17-71……..18-71……….35
NYY 18-76……..18-67……….36
A’s 16-68……..27-76………43
Seattle 21-71…….25-76……….46
TB 21-73……..24-72……….45
Texas 28-72……..30-71………58
Toronto 24-72……..21-75………45
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