Service Plays Monday 9/25/17

[Big Dogg]

The Sports Capper

10000* Play Arizona +2.5 over Dallas (NFL)

Arizona has covered the spread in 19 of the last 31 games vs. NFC East Division Opponents and they have covered the spread in 26 of the last 40 games when playing as a home underdog of three points or less.

[Big Dogg]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB

1000* Play New York Yankees -195 over Kansas City
500* Play Boston -200 over Toronto

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mario Rojas
Best pick:
(# 907) Cubs vs Cardinals (Game Total: under 8.5)


Secondaries picks:
(# 489) Cowboys vs Cardinals (Arizona +3)
(# 901) Braves vs Mets (NY Mets +115) (DH Game #1)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Dr. Bob
Dallas Cowboys @
Arizona Cardinals
Sun, Sep 24 5:30 PM
Rotation: 489, Odds: Arizona Cardinals +3, Total: 46.5
Game Analysis view matchup stats
Strong Opinion – Under (46.5) – ARIZONA vs Dallas

Lean – ARIZONA (+3)

It took overtime for the Cardinals to beat the Colts last week but the game should not have been that close by on metrics as Arizona outgained Indianapolis by more than 2 yards per play and were unlucky not to score a touchdown on any of their Redzone trips.

Dallas was beaten badly on both sides of the ball in Denver last week but as I mentioned in the Broncos write-up, I think some of the Cowboys poor play can be attributed to early season fatigue caused by the unfamiliar altitude.

This line is certainly different than it would have Last season, Arizona led the NFL with 40.7 expected points added when targeting running backs. Johnson averaged 0.33 EPA/target while the other Cardinals running backs only averaged 0.06 EPA/target. Last week without Johnson, Arizona averaged -0.25 EPA/target to its running backs and Palmer will need to be better throwing to his wide receivers than he’s been so far this season.

Even with Arizona’s struggles we feel the line on this game should be +2.5 points with Johnson out and the Cardinals apply to an 87-34-2 ATS Monday night situation, so I will lean with Arizona.

However, our model sees more value on the under and this game also applies to a 38-13 week 3 Under situation. I’ll consider the Under a Strong Opinion at 46 points or higher.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Steve Merril

No official NFL play for Monday, but I do have a light TV opinion below.

(1% opinion) DALLAS -2.5/-3 (at Arizona) - 8:30 pm ET (ESPN) #489

NOTE: This line is currently -2.5 in some locations and -3 in others. The extra half-point is worth an additional 25-cents in this game.

-Dallas looking to bounce back after poor performance in Denver; a 42-17 letdown loss after SNF revenge win vs. Giants
-offense is averaging 4.9 yards per play, but they’ve played defenses that only give up 4.8 yppl
-Cowboys' defense has been good, giving up only 5.1 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.5 yppl

-Arizona playing their home opener after splitting their first two games on the road vs. weaker opponents
-offense has underperformed; 19.5 points per game versus two bad defenses that allow 25.5 ppg
-Cardinals' defense is terrible, giving up 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that only average 4.7 yppl

[cpawforpresident]

Gameday

Dallas -3.5

[cpawforpresident]

Maddux

Lean only Arizona +3

[batjag]

Executive 200% Cardinals +3 (NFL 4-2 week +410%)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Derek Hayes

MLB
$100 Diamondbacks -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Wallace Report

Mon Sep 25th, 2017 7:10pm EDT

10 Top Run Line Play · [R/L] Boston Redsox Home -1.5

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'angelo

MLB MONDAY MASSACRE

Oakland As

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Marco D'angelo
Marco Late Money Play- Dall/Ariz under 47.0

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trace Adams

Raise The Bar

1500♦

NFC Dead Mortal Lock

Arizona Cardinals

[Can'tPickAWinner]

JR Tipps

10,000,000*- DALLAS-3

[Calidreaming]

C Jordan 1000 pick is Boston run line

[Can'tPickAWinner]

WinSportsInvesting
7pm mlb prop score in 1st inning - tor/bos risk on yes (-130)
7pm mlb 1st 5 innings - tor/bos on bos -½ (-150)
7pm mlb game - atl/nym gm #2 risk on over 9 (+105)

[New York Knight]

[Gmoney121]

THANK YOU VERY MUCH NY KNIGHT, THIS IS WHAT I WAS EXACTLY SPEAKING OF IN OUR "BACK AND FORTH" PM-ing.


I greatly appreciate all that you've done to get this posted. ITS BEEN A HUGE HELP FOR ME !!

[New York Knight]

Tally

ALL Plays ... Free / Paid


Nothing really to report except the total


Cowboys - 22 (1 ML)
Cards - 23 ................ 1 GOY
Over - 4
Under - 11

[Big Dogg]

Fantasy Sports Gametime

MLB

1000* Play New York Yankees -195 over Kansas City
500* Play Boston -200 over Toronto