Bobby Dalton

Milwaukee Brewers -115 over Pittsburgh Pirates

Chase Anderson has been Mr. Reliable for the Brewers as in 21 of 22 starts this season he has allowed four or fewer runs, allowing three or fewer earned runs in 18 of 22 outings. Since returning from the DL for the stretch run Anderson is 4-1 with a 2.84 ERA in six starts including beating the Pirates last Wednesday.

Trevor Williams has held a spot in the Pittsburgh rotation with average numbers this season, though he was skipped last week to keep his inning count down. Williams also has been struggling with one win in his last six starts and a 4.54 ERA with a 4.81 BB/9 rate in that span. There isn’t a big advantage for Williams at home and left-handed batters are hitting .294 against him with the Brewers batting seven lefties last night against right-handed Jameson Taillon and a similar deployment will be possible tonight.

Milwaukee’s playoff odds are getting steeper but it is of no fault of the team’s recent results with an 8-2 run to notch win #80 last night. Milwaukee’s lineup is heating up with a .771 team OPS the past 11 games for 5.5 runs per game and the bullpen has been outstanding in recent weeks.

After showing some life mid-season the Pirates have called the season with a 5-15 run the past 20 games. Pittsburgh offense has failed top three runs in 11 of the last 12 games as the Pirates could finish with league worst offensive numbers as a season OPS of just .703 id down to .595 over the past 12 games, averaging 1.8 runs per game.