Tuesday 9-19-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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Trends - Washington at Atlanta

W/L Trends

Washington

Nationals are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 5-1 in their last 6 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 road games. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 games following an off day. Nationals are 4-1 in their last 5 Tuesday games. Nationals are 11-3 in their last 14 vs. National League East. Nationals are 6-2 in their last 8 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Nationals are 9-3 in their last 12 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Nationals are 8-3 in their last 11 vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 10-4 in their last 14 during game 1 of a series. Nationals are 46-22 in their last 68 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Nationals are 11-3 in Scherzers last 14 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 20-6 in Scherzers last 26 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Nationals are 20-6 in Scherzers last 26 starts vs. National League East. Nationals are 20-6 in Scherzers last 26 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Nationals are 22-7 in Scherzers last 29 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Nationals are 20-7 in Scherzers last 27 road starts. Nationals are 8-3 in Scherzers last 11 starts during game 1 of a series. Nationals are 5-2 in Scherzers last 7 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Nationals are 25-10 in Scherzers last 35 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Nationals are 20-8 in Scherzers last 28 starts with 5 days of rest. Nationals are 5-2 in Scherzers last 7 Tuesday starts. Nationals are 27-11 in Scherzers last 38 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Nationals are 37-16 in Scherzers last 53 starts. Nationals are 37-16 in Scherzers last 53 starts on grass.

Atlanta

Braves are 4-0 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Braves are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Braves are 12-25 in their last 37 games vs. a right-handed starter. Braves are 5-11 in their last 16 during game 1 of a series. Braves are 5-12 in their last 17 home games vs. a right-handed starter.

OU Trends

Washington

Under is 7-0 in Nationals last 7 games following an off day. Under is 4-0-2 in Nationals last 6 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 9-1-3 in Nationals last 13 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 9-1-3 in Nationals last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 4-1 in Nationals last 5 Tuesday games. Under is 11-3-4 in Nationals last 18 overall. Under is 11-3-4 in Nationals last 18 on grass. Under is 18-5-3 in Nationals last 26 during game 1 of a series. Under is 17-5-4 in Nationals last 26 road games. Under is 3-1-1 in Nationals last 5 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 6-2-2 in Nationals last 10 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. Under is 18-6-3 in Nationals last 27 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 6-2-3 in Nationals last 11 vs. National League East. Under is 23-8-4 in Nationals last 35 games following a win. Under is 20-8-1 in Nationals last 29 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 6-1-1 in Scherzers last 8 starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 5-1 in Scherzers last 6 starts vs. National League East. Over is 9-2-1 in Scherzers last 12 starts on grass. Over is 9-2-1 in Scherzers last 12 starts overall. Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. Over is 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 road starts. Over is 4-1-1 in Scherzers last 6 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Under is 7-2-1 in Scherzers last 10 Tuesday starts. Over is 3-1-1 in Scherzers last 5 starts with 5 days of rest. Over is 8-3 in Scherzers last 11 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 7-3-1 in Scherzers last 11 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Over is 7-3 in Scherzers last 10 starts during game 1 of a series. Over is 7-3 in Scherzers last 10 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

Atlanta

Under is 5-0 in Braves last 5 Tuesday games. Over is 6-1 in Braves last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600. Over is 38-15-1 in Braves last 54 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 10-4-1 in Braves last 15 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 24-10-3 in Braves last 37 home games vs. a right-handed starter. Under is 9-4-1 in Braves last 14 games following a loss.

Head to Head

Nationals are 4-1 in Scherzers last 5 road starts vs. Braves. Nationals are 7-2 in Scherzers last 9 starts vs. Braves. Over is 6-2-1 in Scherzers last 9 starts vs. Braves. Over is 22-8 in the last 30 meetings. Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings in Atlanta. Nationals are 37-16 in the last 53 meetings. Nationals are 11-5 in the last 16 meetings in Atlanta.

Umpire Trends - Name unavailable

No trends available.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fort Erie

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 7 - Maiden Claiming - 7.0f on the Turf. Purse: $11640 Class Rating: 57

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250, IF FOR $6,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS. IF DEEMED INADVISABLE BY MANAGEMENT TO RUN ON THE TURF, THIS RACE WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF SIX AND ONE HALF FURLONGS ON THE MAIN TRACK.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 11 CHERIE DAMOUR 6/1

# 9 FOR U MIKE 7/2

# 8 DAWNING SKY 20/1

CHERIE DAMOUR figures to be the bet in here. FOR U MIKE - Ceccato is trying to score with this one by bringing her back so soon. Garnered a very good Equibase Speed Figure last time out. DAWNING SKY - Appears to be the type to be helped now going off Lasix here. She should have a strong performance versus this easier group.

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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 2 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $12100 Class Rating: 65

FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE AUGUST 19 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE JULY 19 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $7,500.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 YONKA 4/1

# 5 STEVIE THE CAT 9/5

# 6 OUR HONEY BELLE 8/5

YONKA has a quite good shot to take this race. Is a solid choice - given the 70 speed rating from her most recent race. A solid 71 avg Equibase class figure may give this filly a distinct class edge versus this group. She has recorded strong numbers under today's conditions and ought to fare well versus this group of horses in this race. STEVIE THE CAT - Shows signs of the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 50 speed fig which is one of the most respectable in this field. Will most likely compete admirably in the pace battle which bodes well with this field. OUR HONEY BELLE - Love when any animal makes a quick turnaround. Posted a formidable speed rating last time out.

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Fairmount Park

Fairmount Park - Race 6

$1.00 Daily Double (Races 6-7) / Exacta .50 Cent Trifecta (Minimum $1.00 Wager) / .50 Cent Pick 3 (Races 6-7-8) No SHOW Wagering


Optional Claiming $30,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 100 • Purse: $15,000 • Post: 3:16P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD NON-WINNERS OF A RACE OF $9,200 OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER OR IBF SINCE AUGUST 19, 2017 OR OPTIONAL CLAIMING PRICE OF $30,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE JULY 19 ALLOWED 3 LBS. A RACE IN 2017 ALLOWED 6 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000 (CLAIMING RACES FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES)(MAIDEN, CLAIMING, WAIVER CLAIMING, STARTER, OR ILLINOIS SUPPLEMENT TO OVERNIGHT RACES NOT CONSIDERED IN ELIGIBILITY).
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Lone Trailer. PURGING THE STONE is the Lone Trailer of the race. * KEY ANGLES * D' RAPPER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse had a bullet workout within the last se ven days. INFINITE MISCHIEF: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Today is a sprint and the horse's last start was within the last ten days. PURGING THE STONE: Horse ranks in the top th ree in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface.
2
D' RAPPER
9/5

9/2
4
INFINITE MISCHIEF
5/2

9/2
3
PURGING THE STONE
2/1

9/2

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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Indiana Downs

Indiana Downs - Race 8

Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / 50 Cent Trifecta / Superfecta 10 Cent Superfecta / 10 Cent Grand High 5 (Pentafecta)


Maiden Claiming $5,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3-5 • CR: 51 • Purse: $10,000 • Post: 5:21P
FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. MANTANA is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * MANTANA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Ho rse has a 4F workout since its last race, and the workout time is faster than its own half-mile time in its last race. MAD ANT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
10
MANTANA
8/1

5/2
8
MAD ANT
3/1

6/1

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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Louisiana Downs - Race #5 - Post: 5:03pm - Maiden Special - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 70

Rating: 4

#8 OUR LUCKY BREAK (ML=6/1)
#2 GO SPREAD THE WORD (ML=7/2)


OUR LUCKY BREAK - She finished 2nd July 28th, but was well ahead of the show horse. We have lots of early speed with this mount. She could wire this field. This filly earned a strong speed fig of 70 in her last race. That speed figure should be strong enough to prove victorious this time around. Got to love a filly who outruns her odds in her initial bow. Filly did just that back on July 28th. GO SPREAD THE WORD - Jock hops back aboard after getting to know the race horse by riding last time out. That's always a good to see. Have to give this filly a good shot. Ran a strong effort in the last race within the last 30 days. In the last race on August 26th was a good tune-up for today. Got respectable betting action in that one, but finished third. Expect better right here. Lasix can take some getting used to, especially for a filly. They usually hit stride the 2nd time using it, like we have with this horse.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 MISS SPOT ON (ML=4/1), #7 R QUEENDOM (ML=9/2), #11 JACINTA (ML=5/1),

MISS SPOT ON - You think this horse is going to be first just because she's always close. Just doesn't finish first often. Hard to bet this one after not being near the front at 1 mile and now being situated in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. R QUEENDOM - Would have to advance off that eighth place finish last time out of the box to make an impact here. Improbable that this entrant will be at her best this time out off the very long layoff. Maybe next time. JACINTA - This entrant hasn't had nary a single morning drill after running so well on Aug 25th.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#8 OUR LUCKY BREAK is going to be the play if we are getting 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [2,8]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
8 with 2 with [5,7,11] Total Cost: $3

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Thistledown - Race #2 - Post: 2:10pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,800 Class Rating: 82

Rating: 4

#4 PARK AVE (ML=7/2)
#7 CLEVER CHAT (ML=6/1)


PARK AVE - The most dangerous animal in racing is the lone speed horse. If they let him get away early they probably won't catch him. CLEVER CHAT - This entrant ran out of the top three at Thistledown last time around the track on a sloppy track. He should improve right here under better track conditions. This horse brings in a lot of money per race. Utmost in this contest.

Vulnerable Contenders: #2 SILVER BUCKEYE (ML=5/2), #3 DICKS DESIRE (ML=3/1), #6 GEPPETTO (ML=6/1),

SILVER BUCKEYE - Tough to like the downward flow (80/75/71) of speed ratings. DICKS DESIRE - This horse doesn't have a winning spirit. Time-and-again finishes in the place or show hole. Finished sixth last time out of the box. Would have to improve to hit the board today. The rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the class rating of today's contest. Mark this mount as a likely underlay. GEPPETTO - Thistledown isn't nice digs to this runner. Will probably be left with much too much to do down the stretch.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#4 PARK AVE to win at post-time odds of 3/2 or better

EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [4,7]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip

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PURE LOCK

Pure Lock's FREE MLB play Tuesday 9-19-17

Chicago White Sox +200

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Arthur Ralph Sports

Tuesday Cleveland w/Clevinger +100

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MIKE LUNDIN
MLB | Sep 19, 2017
Brewers vs. Pirates
Brewers-119

The Milwaukee Brewers have won eight of their last 10 games following a 3-0 victory against the Pittsburgh Pirates Monday night. They're fighting ferociously on their mission to track down the Rockies for the 2nd Wild Card in the National League, and I think they'll earn another W here with Chase Anderson on the hill.
Anderson (10-3, 2.88 ERA) is 5-2 with a 3.20 ERA in 10 career starts against Pittsburgh, including perfect 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA on the season. The Brew Crew have won each of his last two starts with the right-hander allowing just one earned run through 10 1/3 innings of work.
The Pirates counter with Trevor Williams (6-8, 4.26 ERA) who was tagged with four runs and four hits in 4 1/3 innings against the Cardinals his last time out. He surrendered three runs and six hits in six innings against the Brewers back in June in the lone career meeting heading into this contest.
Brewers are 4-0 in Anderson's last four starts against the Pirates and 5-1 in the last six meetings overall.
My free pick is on the Milwaukee Brewers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Tuesday, Sept. 19 is:

Arizona Diamondbacks (Godley) over SD Padres (Wood).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tommy Brunson

Tuesday's comp play release is the Under in the Dodgers-Phillies game.

Their series opened last night with an Under as Los Angeles has now gone 4-1 Under the total in their last 5 games, a streak that started with Yu Darvish getting back on track in holding the Giants to just one run his last time to the mound.

Darvish is facing the Phillies for the first time in his career, so you would think he owns a slight advantage over the hitter who have not seen him before. Plus, Darvish owns a 2.59 ERA this season on the highway.

With last night's Under, Philly has now played Under in each of their last 4 games, and is 5-1-2 Under the posted price in their last 8 games played.

Aaron Nola was rock-solid his last trip to the hill - 7 innings of 1 run ball with 11 strikeouts versus Miami - a game that ended in a push totals-wise. 7 of Nola's 11 home starts this season have ended in the Under column.

Low-scoring game in the City of Brotherly Love tonight.

Dodgers-Phillies Under the total.

4* L.A. DODGERS-PHILADELPHIA UNDER

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

Brian's 9* MLB Electric Dog

LA Dodgers vs. Philadelphia, 09/19/2017 19:05 EDT

Money Line: +147 Philadelphia

Sportsbook:
Betonline

Dodgers don't have much to play for at that has really shown down the stretch as they have been losing a'lot and tonight is a great chance for the Phillies to grab us a plus money win. Phillies won last night and cashed a huge +300 number wish I had played it but tonight Aaron Nola goes for the Phillies he is 11-10 with a 3.60 ERA he has been very good in the second half of the year. He faces off with Yu Darvish who had a great start last time out against the hapless Giants but overall he has been mediocre with the Dodgers. We will invest a 9 unit investment in the Phillies tonight. (Be sure to check out my NFL investors season pass just 449.99 for the next few days don't miss out also grab the bonus code today and get 10-15% off that price)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Stephen Nover

Stephen Nover Free Tuesday Play

Minnesota vs. NY Yankees, 09/19/2017 19:05 EDT

Money Line: +145 Minnesota

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

The Twins are the best money-making road underdog in baseball. That's where we find them today taking a hefty mid-range plus price.

The pitching matchup is Jose Berrios versus lefty CC Sabathia. Berrios has the lower ERA and is just beginning what promises to be a very good career. Depending on how you feel about Ervin Santana, Berrios is either the No. 1 or No. 2 pitcher on Minnesota. Berrios has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 16 of his 23 starts this season. In more than one-third of his starts, Berrios has held opponents to one earned run or fewer.

While Berriors is just entering his prime years, Sabathia is in the twillight of his career. Sabathia, who has chronic sore knees, was pushed back two days so he wouldn't have to pitch off the artificial turf in Toronto. So he is pitching on seven days rest here. Sabathia has a lifetime ERA of 4.17 when pitching with six or more days rest. He's done that seven times this year with an ERA of 4.72 in those outings.

The Twins are six games above .500 on the road and also have a winning mark versus lefties.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 mlb free pick

Washington vs. Atlanta, 09/19/2017 19:35 EDT

Total: -117/+8 Over

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Fp: nats one of the top scoring teams in the mlb this season and i expect them to get to braves pitching early and often making the over my mlb free pick.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Tuesday, September 19


LA Dodgers @ Philadelphia

Game 901-902
September 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Dodgers
(Darvish) 13.146
Philadelphia
(Nola) 15.517
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Philadelphia
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-160
8
Dunkel Pick:
Philadelphia
(+140); Under

Milwaukee @ Pittsburgh

Game 903-904
September 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Milwaukee
(Andrson) 16.235
Pittsburgh
(Williams) 14.188
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Milwaukee
by 2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Milwaukee
-125
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Milwaukee
(-125); Under

NY Mets @ Miami

Game 905-906
September 19, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Mets
(Lugo) 12.127
Miami
(Despaigne) 14.179
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Miami
N/A

St. Louis @ Cincinnati

Game 907-908
September 19, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
St. Louis
(Flaherty) 17.016
Cincinnati
(Stephens) 13.544
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
St. Louis
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cincinnati
-120
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
St. Louis
(+100); Over

Washington @ Atlanta

Game 909-910
September 19, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
(Scherzer) 14.642
Atlanta
(Gohara) 13.088
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 1 1/2
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-230
8
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
(-230); Over

Arizona @ San Diego

Game 911-912
September 19, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
(Godley) 12.307
San Diego
(Wood) 15.136
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Diego
by 3
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Arizona
-185
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
San Diego
(+165); Over

Colorado @ San Francisco

Game 913-914
September 19, 2017 @ 10:15 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
(Marquez) 15.000
San Francisco
(Cueto) 13.626
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Colorado
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Francisco
-110
8
Dunkel Pick:
Colorado
(-110); Under

Minnesota @ NY Yankees

Game 915-916
September 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
(Berrios) 14.179
NY Yankees
(Sabathia) 17.666
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Yankees
-150
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(-150); Under

Boston @ Baltimore

Game 917-918
September 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Pmeranz) 17.091
Baltimore
(Gausman) 15.347
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 2
12
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
-110
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
(-110); Over

Kansas City @ Toronto

Game 919-920
September 19, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Kansas City
(Gaviglio) 14.057
Toronto
(Stroman) 17.556
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Toronto
by 3 1/2
11
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Toronto
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Toronto
N/A

Oakland @ Detroit

Game 921-922
September 19, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Oakland
(Gossett) 16.913
Detroit
(Bell) 14.886
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Oakland
by 2
10
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Oakland
-120
10 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Oakland
(-120); Under

Chicago White Sox @ Houston

Game 923-924
September 19, 2017 @ 8:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago White Sox
(Giolito) 15.008
Houston
(McHugh) 16.216
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-230
9
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-230); Under

Cleveland @ LA Angels

Game 925-926
September 19, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
(Clevnger) 17.892
LA Angels
(Skaggs) 14.088
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 4
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Angels
-115
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-105); Under

Texas @ Seattle

Game 927-928
September 19, 2017 @ 10:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Texas
(Perez) 14.098
Seattle
(Leake) 15.171
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Seattle
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Seattle
-160
9 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Seattle
(-160); Under

Chicago Cubs @ Tampa Bay

Game 929-930
September 19, 2017 @ 7:10 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Mntgmry) 16.587
Tampa Bay
(Archer) 15.442
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
-115
8
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(-105); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, September 19

National League
Dodgers @ Phillies
Darvish is 1-3, 6.05 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his last six starts. Dodgers are 3-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3-1

Nola is 2-3, 6.37 in his last six starts (over 4-2). Phillies are 8-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-6-7

Dodgers won four of their last six games (under 5-0-1). Phillies won five of last seven games, last four of which stayed under.

Brewers @ Pirates
Anderson is 3-0, 3.74 in his last four starts (over 3-0-1). Milwaukee is 6-5 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 13-7-2

Williams is 1-4, 4.81 in his last six starts; under is 8-1 in his last nine starts. Pirates are 6-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-10-3

Brewers won eight of last ten games; four of their last five games went over. Pittsburgh lost its last ten games, scoring nine runs (under 9-1).

Mets @ Marlins
Lugo is 1-3, 7.22 in his last seven starts; over is 10-3-1 in his last 14 starts. Mets are 5-4 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-5-3

Despaigne is 0-3, 6.40 in five starts this season (under 3-2). Miami is 1-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3-2

Mets lost six of their last eight games; over is 6-2 in their last eight road games. Miami is 4-17 in its last 21 games, last nine of which all went over.

Cardinals @ Reds
Flaherty is 0-1, 6.08 in three starts this year (under 2-1). St Louis won both his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-3

Stephens beat the Cubs 5-3 in his only start July 1, allowing three runs in five IP (91 PT). Reds’ first 5-inning record with him: 1-0

Cardinals lost four of last five games; under is 9-2 in their last 11 games. St Louis is 9-6 in its last 15 road series openers. Reds won four of last five games; under is 7-2-1 in their last ten home games. Cincinnati is 6-1 in its last seven home series openers.

Nationals @ Braves
Scherzer is 1-1, 6.35 in his last three starts; over is 9-3 in his last 12 starts. Washington is 9-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-7-4

Goraga is 1-1, 7.20 in two starts (over 2-0). Braves lost his only home start— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-1-1

Nationals lost four of last six games; under is 5-1-2 in their last eight. Washington is 16-7 in road series openers. Atlanta lost three of last four games; over is 6-3 in their last nine home games. Braves are 7-10 in last 17 home series openers.

Diamondbacks @ Padres
Godley is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts; under is 8-4-2 in his last 14 starts. Arizona is 7-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-8-4

Wood is 0-2, 12.51 in his last four starts; over is 6-2 in his last eight starts. San Diego is 4-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-5-1

Arizona is 5-5 in its last ten games; under is 5-2-1 in their last eight. San Diego lost five of its last six games (under 4-2).

Rockies @ Giants
Marquez 0-2, 7.90 in his last three starts; under is 8-2-1 in his last 11 starts. Colorado is 7-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-6-4

Cueto is 1-1, 6.00 in his last five starts; over is 5-1 in his last six starts. Giants are 4-6 in his home starts, losing last five— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-9-4

Colorado is 9-4 in its last 13 games; under is 4-2 in its last six games. Rockies are 5-11 in their last 16 road series openers. Giants lost six of their last eight games; under is 4-1 in their last five games. SF is 4-14 in last 18 home series openers.

——————————–

American League
Red Sox @ Orioles
Pomeranz is 4-1, 3.14 in his last five starts; over is 11-7-1 in his last 19 starts. Boston is 6-5 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-11-1

Gausman is 2.28 in his last four starts; under is 8-2 in his last ten. Orioles are 9-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-15-1

Red Sox are 9-3 in last 12 games; under is 7-3 in their last ten road games. Baltimore lost 10 of last 12 games; over is 4-1 in their last five.

Minnesota @ New York
Berrios is 1-2, 3.90 in his last five starts; under is 7-4 in his last 11. Twins lost his last nine road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-7-3

Sabathia is 2-0, 3.14 in his last five starts; under is 14-4 in his last 18 starts. New York is 7-3 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-10-1

Twins lost three of last four games; under is 5-1 in their last six. New York won five of its last six games; over is 3-2 in their last five.

Royals @ Blue Jays
Gaviglio is 1-0, 2.70 in two starts for the Royals (under 2-0). This is his first road start for the Royals. KC’s first 5-inning record with him: 2-0

Stroman is 0-2, 4.68 in his last five starts; under is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Toronto is 8-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-13-1

Royals lost four of last five games; under is 5-1 in their last six. KC is 11-13 in road series openers. Toronto won six of last nine games (under 7-2). Blue Jays are 10-14 in home series openers.

A’s @ Tigers
Gossett is 1-3, 4.15 in his last four starts; under is 6-3-1 in his last ten. Oakland is 3-7 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-9-1

Bell is 0-2, 9.75 in three starts this year (over 3-0). Detroit is 0-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-2-1

A’s are 9-3 in their last 12 games; under is 3-2 in their last five. Detroit is 2-8 in its last ten games; over is 8-1 in their last nine home games.

White Sox @ Astros
Giolito is 2-2, 3.13 in five starts this year (under 4-1). Chicago won his only road start— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-2

McHugh is 3-0, 2.29 in his last four starts (under 7-2). Houston is 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-3-1

White Sox won six of last nine games; over is 6-3-1 in their last 10 games. Chicago is 8-16 in road series openers. Houston won its last four games; under is 9-3 in their last 12 home games. Astros are 6-1 in last seven home series openers.

Indians @ Angels
Clevinger is 5-0, 1.80 in his last six starts; under is 11-3 in his last 14 starts. Indians are 6-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 11-5-3

Skaggs is 1-1, 6.30 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Angels are 4-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-8-2

Cleveland is 24-1 in its last 25 games; under is 8-2 in their last ten. Indians are 8-2 in last ten road series openers. Angels are 3-7 in last ten games (under 8-2). Halos are 4-8 in last 12 home series openers.

Rangers @ Mariners
Perez is 7-1, 3.88 in his last eight starts; over is 3-1 in his last four. Texas is 5-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-13-3

Leake is 3-0, 2.89 in three starts for Seattle (under 3-0). Mariners are 2-0 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-0

Rangers lost seven of last nine games; over is 10-5-1 in their last 16 games. Texas is 10-13 in road series openers. Seattle lost its last three games; under is 10-3 in their last 13. Mariners are 3-8 in last 11 home series openers.

__________________________

Interleague

Cubs @ Rays
Montgomery is 0-2, 9.00 in his last two starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven. Chicago is 3-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 6-5-1

Archer is 0-3, 15.26 in his last three starts; under is 5-3 in his last eight starts. Rays are 9-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-9-5

Joe Maddon returns to St Pete with his world champ Cubs, who won their last six games. Over is 4-2 in their last six games. Chicago is 9-4 in last 13 road series openers. Tampa Bay is 3-7 in its last 10 games; under is 6-1 in their last seven. Rays are 9-14 in home series openers.

______________________________

Record with this pitcher starting:
National League
LA-Phil: Darvish 4-3; Nola 12-13
Mil-Pitt: Anderson 12-10; Williams 10-13
NY-Mia: Lugo 8-7; Despaigne 1-4
StL-Cin: Flaherty 2-1; Stephens 1-0
Wsh-Atl: Scherzer 19-9; Goraga 1-1
Az-SD: Godley 14-9; Wood 4-5
Col-SF: Marquez 16-10; Cueto 11-11

American League
Min-NY: Berrios 13-10; Sabathia 16-8
Bos-Balt: Pomeranz 20-9; Gausman 16-15
KC-Tor: Gaviglio 1-1; Stroman 17-13
A’s-Det: Gossett 5-10; Bell 0-3
Chi-Hst: Giolito 3-2; McHugh 4-5
Clev-LA: Clevinger 13-7; Skaggs 6-7
Tex-Sea: Perez 14-15; Leake 3-0

Interleague
Chi-TB: Montgomery 5-7; Archer 15-16

Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
National League
LA-Phil: Darvish 4-7; Nola 6-25
Mil-Pitt: Anderson 7-22; Williams 7-23
NY-Mia: Lugo 4-15; Despaigne 1-5
StL-Cin: Flaherty 1-3; Stephens 0-1
Wsh-Atl: Scherzer 7-28; Goraga 2-2
Az-SD: Godley 4-23; Wood 4-9
Col-SF: Marquez 7-26; Cueto 6-22

American League
Min-NY: Berrios 6-23; Sabathia 6-24
Bos-Balt: Pomeranz 8-29; Gausman 9-31
KC-Tor: Gaviglio 0-2; Stroman 6-30
A’s-Det: Gossett 2-15; Bell 3-3
Chi-Hst: Giolito 0-5; McHugh 2-9
Clev-LA: Clevinger 3-20; Skaggs 7-13
Tex-Sea: Perez 12-29; Leake 2-3

Interleague
Chi-TB: Montgomery 3-12; Archer 10-31

_________________________

Umpires
National League

American League

Interleague

Interleague play
NL @ AL– 83-56 AL, favorites -$36
AL @ NL– 73-69 NL, favorites +$116
Total: 152-129 AL, favorites +$80

Totals in interleague games
NL @ AL: Over 70-67-4
AL @ NL: Over 74-62-7
Total: Over 144-129-11

Teams’ records in first five innings:
Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/15/17
Ariz 28-26-20……42-22–12……..70-48
Atl 27-35-10……26-39-8………..53-74
Cubs 32-31-8…….37-25-14………..69-56
Reds 23-43-9……..30-36–7……….53-79
Colo 38-30-7…….38-29-5………..76-59
LA 34-24-13…….41-25-9……….75-49
Miami 31-35-10…….35-26-10………66-61
Milw 35-27-10…….37-28-10……….71-55
Mets 31-38-4……..30-37-7………….61-75
Philly 19-43-16……29-34-8………..48-77
Pitt 31-37-7…….28-31-13………..60-68
St. Louis 31-32-9……..39-25-10………..70-57
SD 21-44-8……..36-29–9…………57-73
SF 16-49-9……..28-32-13……….44-80
Wash 42-23-7……34-31-10………….76-54

Orioles 28-38-5……..30-39-7………58-77
Boston 30-33-10………34-37-3…….64-70
White Sox 24-38-11………29-42–4…….53-80
Cleveland 44-23-8……..37-24-10……….81-47
Detroit 27-38-10…….28-34-11……..55-72
Astros 37-28-11……..44-24-5………81-52
KC 26-33-12……..30-31-13…….56-64
Angels 26-39-8………30-29-14……..56-68
Twins 38-23-12………37-32-8……..74-54
NYY 34-38-7……….38-27-4…..…72-65
A’s 28-37-9……..32-32-12……..60-69
Seattle 29-37-9……..39-25-10………68-62
TB 36-29-11……..39-22-9……..75-51
Texas 34-26-12……..38-28-8……..72-54
Toronto 29-39-5……..30-33-11……..59-72

%age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/15/17)
Ariz 22-72……..27-74………..49
Atl 17-71……….19-76………36
Cubs 20-71……..26-76………..46
Reds 30-76……..26-73……….56
Colo 20-75……..25-72..……..45
LA 22-72……..26-74..…….48
Miami 31-76……..26-71………..57
Milw 24-72……28-76…..……52
Mets 33-73……..25-74……….58
Philly 17-78……..23-70……….40
Pitt 22-75……..22-73……….44
StL 16-73……..23-73………..39
SD 23-73……….24-73……….47
SF 17-75……….22-74……….39
Wash 26-72……..30-75……….56

Orioles 17-74……..24-75……….41
Boston 21-73……..18-74……….39
White Sox 23-73……20-75……….43
Clev 22-76……..26-73………48
Detroit 18-74…….26-73………44
Astros 21-77……..29-71………50
KC 18-72……..16-76………..34
Angels 27-75……..21-74……….48
Twins 17-71……..19-75……….36
NYY 19-78……..20-69………39
A’s 19-72……..27-76………46
Seattle 21-75…….25-76……….46
TB 22-74……..25-74………47
Texas 28-73……..30-74………58
Toronto 24-74……..21-77………45

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Tuesday, September 19

Trend Report

7:05 PM
BOSTON vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Boston's last 23 games when playing Baltimore
Boston is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games at home
Baltimore is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:05 PM
MILWAUKEE vs. PITTSBURGH
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Milwaukee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Pittsburgh
Pittsburgh is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Milwaukee
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

7:05 PM
LA DODGERS vs. PHILADELPHIA
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of LA Dodgers's last 13 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of LA Dodgers's last 5 games on the road
Philadelphia is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Philadelphia's last 5 games

7:05 PM
MINNESOTA vs. NY YANKEES
Minnesota is 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against NY Yankees
Minnesota is 4-12 SU in their last 16 games when playing NY Yankees
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of NY Yankees's last 6 games at home

7:07 PM
KANSAS CITY vs. TORONTO
Kansas City is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Kansas City is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Toronto is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Kansas City
Toronto is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kansas City

7:10 PM
CHI CUBS vs. TAMPA BAY
Chi Cubs are 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing Tampa Bay
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Chi Cubs's last 6 games
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Tampa Bay's last 6 games at home

7:10 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. CINCINNATI
St. Louis is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
St. Louis is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing at home against St. Louis

7:10 PM
NY METS vs. MIAMI
NY Mets are 2-6 SU in its last 8 games
NY Mets are 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Miami
Miami is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami's last 5 games at home

7:10 PM
OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
Oakland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Oakland's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing Oakland
Detroit is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Oakland

7:35 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ATLANTA
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games when playing on the road against Atlanta
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Washington's last 7 games
Atlanta is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games when playing at home against Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing at home against Washington

8:10 PM
CHI WHITE SOX vs. HOUSTON
Chi White Sox are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games
Chi White Sox are 7-18 SU in their last 25 games on the road
Houston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Houston is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against Chi White Sox

10:08 PM
CLEVELAND vs. LA ANGELS
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games
Cleveland is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Angels's last 7 games
LA Angels are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland

10:10 PM
TEXAS vs. SEATTLE
Texas is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Seattle
Texas is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Seattle's last 6 games at home
Seattle is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Texas

10:10 PM
ARIZONA vs. SAN DIEGO
Arizona is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games
Arizona is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games when playing San Diego
San Diego is 7-14 SU in its last 21 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Diego's last 7 games when playing Arizona

10:15 PM
COLORADO vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing San Francisco
Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
San Francisco is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
San Francisco is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Colorado

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joey Juice

A pair of A.L. East rivals get set to duke it out in game 2 of a very important series. Red Sox on the road against the Orioles after recording a 10-8 win in 11 innings in the opening game of the series Monday night.

A Boston win in this game could turn out to be the final blow for the Orioles, and their ever-fading chances of a wild-card berth.

A look inside the numbers shows that the Red Sox are "road warriors" when they play bad teams, 5-1 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing record.

They also seem to play nearly flawless baseball on Tuesday nights, as the Red Sox are 24-5 in their last 29 Tuesday games.

Baltimore, on the other hand, can't get it together against winning teams, 1-7 in their last 8 vs. a team with a winning record. They also can't play on the grass, 1-7 in their last 8 games on grass To make matters worse, these Orioles are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.

Bottom line, its "goodnight" Orioles, so bet Boston!

4* BOSTON

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Eric Schroeder

My free winner last night was a baseball total, as I nailed the New York Mets and Miami Marlins to sail past the easy number. I told you it would get to double digits, and it hit 14. Tonight my money is on the Chicago Cubs and Tampa Bay Rays going Over the posted number.

IMPORTANT: As you know every single Run Line play and Total wager will automatically list the scheduled starting pitchers at the time of the wager, and I want you to be sure the following pitchers are the registered starters on your ticket when making your wager: Mike Montgomery and Chris Archer. If one or both of these pitchers is not going, this is a no-play.

I don't know about Montgomery, who returns to the rotation to open this series tonight. The left-hander is 4-5 with a 4.62 ERA in 12 starts, and was relegated to the bullpen as backup over the weekend against the Cardinals. I'm just not a fan of his mechanics, and how he handles himself under pressure. If he gets rattled, he gets rocked.

Meanwhile, with one of my favorite pitchers in the league, Archer is in after taking the loss on Wednesday against the New York Yankees, as he allowed three runs in four innings. He did beat he Cubs at Wrigley Field back on July 4, when he allowed three runs in six innings. But the problem is Archer is 2-5 with a 4.26 ERA in 12 post-All-Star break starts.

These two starters will get tagged enough to see this total over before the bullpen comes into play.

Play it high.

2* OVER Cubs-Rays (Montgomery and Archer)