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Thread: Thursday 9-21-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Thursday 9-21-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    When: 8:25 PM ET, Thursday, September 21, 2017
    Where: Levi's Stadium, Santa Clara, California


    Preview: Rams at 49ers

    Gracenote
    Sep 19, 2017

    A pair of rookie head coaches will square off for the first time when the San Francisco 49ers host the Los Angeles Rams on Thursday night in a matchup of longtime NFC West rivals. San Francisco has yet to find the end zone through its first two games, but has won three in a row in the series, including a season sweep against the Rams in 2016.

    Although the 49ers acquitted themselves well in a three-point loss at Seattle last week, they have been limited to four field goals under coach Kyle Shanahan, marking the first time in franchise history they haven't scored a touchdown in the opening two games. "I don't think there are any moral victories in the NFL, especially with the way I played," San Francisco quarterback Brian Hoyer said in the wake of the 12-9 defeat to the Seahawks. The Rams were denied a possible 2-0 start under coach Sean McVay after surrendering a late touchdown in a 27-20 setback to the Washington Redskins on Sunday. Los Angeles had the second-worst passing game in the league last season -- behind only San Francisco -- and averaged an NFL-low 14.0 points, but it has amassed 86 points during its 1-1 start.

    TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network. LINE: Rams -2. O/U: 40

    ABOUT THE RAMS (1-1): The semblance of a passing game has provided a boost for third-year back Todd Gurley, who along with Kansas City rookie Kareem Hunt are the only players to amass more than 100 yards rushing and 100 yards receiving. Quarterback Jared Goff, the No. 1 overall pick a year ago, was not as sharp as his performance in the season opener but did rally Los Angeles from a pair of double-digit deficits to forge a fourth-quarter tie on Sunday. Sammy Watkins and rookie Cooper Kupp each have seven catches through the first two games to tie for the team lead. Stud defensive tackle Aaron Donald had a quiet debut after returning from a contract dispute but vowed to be better against San Francisco.

    ABOUT THE 49ers (0-2): Running back Carlos Hyde is coming off a huge game in Seattle, rushing for 124 yards on only 15 carries while ripping off runs of 61 and 27 yards. Given the state of San Francisco's passing game, expect Shanahan to lean heavily on Hyde, who rambled for 88 yards and a pair of touchdowns to carry the 49ers to a 28-0 rout of the Rams in the 2016 season opener. Journeyman Hoyer, playing with his fourth different team in four seasons, needs to rebound from a wretched performance in Seattle when he managed only 99 yards and an interception on 15-of-27 passing. Wideout Pierre Garcon has a team-leading nine receptions, but the 49ers are dealing with myriad injuries in their defensive backfield.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. Hyde has scored six touchdowns in his last six games against NFC West foes.

    2. Gurley has rushed for 247 yards and a pair of TDs in three meetings versus San Francisco.

    3. 49ers S Eric Reid (knee) will miss several weeks while S Jaquiski Tartt (neck) is questionable for Thursday's game.

    PREDICTION: 49ers 20, Rams 17

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    Trends - L.A. Rams at San Francisco

    ATS Trends

    L.A. Rams
    • Rams are 16-36-1 ATS in their last 53 games in September.
    • Rams are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC West.
    • Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 Thursday games.
    • Rams are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Rams are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    • Rams are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 3.
    • Rams are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
    • Rams are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Rams are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
    • Rams are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 games following a ATS loss.
    • Rams are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
    • Rams are 0-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Rams are 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9 vs. NFC.

    San Francisco
    • 49ers are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 vs. NFC West.
    • 49ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 vs. NFC.
    • 49ers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games on grass.
    • 49ers are 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
    • 49ers are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.
    • 49ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
    • 49ers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
    • 49ers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Thursday games.
    • 49ers are 1-7 ATS in their last 8 home games.
    • 49ers are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • 49ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 3.
    • 49ers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • 49ers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.

    OU Trends

    L.A. Rams
    • Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games overall.
    • Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Over is 4-0 in Rams last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 5-0 in Rams last 5 games on grass.
    • Under is 9-1 in Rams last 10 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Over is 5-1 in Rams last 6 vs. NFC.
    • Under is 5-1 in Rams last 6 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games following a straight up loss.
    • Under is 8-2 in Rams last 10 vs. NFC West.
    • Over is 4-1 in Rams last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 35-15-1 in Rams last 51 road games.
    • Over is 14-6-1 in Rams last 21 games in Week 3.

    San Francisco
    • Under is 8-2 in 49ers last 10 Thursday games.
    • Over is 4-1 in 49ers last 5 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 21-8 in 49ers last 29 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 21-8 in 49ers last 29 home games.
    • Under is 5-2 in 49ers last 7 games following a ATS win.

    Head to Head

    • Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in San Francisco.
    • Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
    • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
    • Rams are 5-11 ATS in their last 16 meetings in San Francisco.
    • Rams are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 meetings.

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    When: 7:30 PM ET, Thursday, September 21, 2017
    Where: Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, Florida


    Preview: Temple at South Florida

    Gracenote
    Sep 19, 2017

    Quinton Flowers could be battling his way back into the Heisman Trophy conversation after a big performance and the star quarterback looks to help 17th-ranked South Florida build momentum when it opens American Athletic Conference play against visiting Temple on Thursday night. Flowers accounted for 386 of the team’s 680 yards and five touchdowns in the 47-23 win over Illinois last week and next hopes to avenge the Bulls’ last loss.

    The Owls knocked off USF 46-30 last October in Philadelphia and the Bulls have won eight in a row since to match a school record, led by an offense that has produced at least 30 points in a national-best 20 consecutive games while averaging 40 in the first three of 2017. Temple is not the same team as last year, but its defense has shown it can make plays with 14 sacks in the first three games - nine last week in a 29-21 win over Massachusetts. The Owls have won two in a row since getting pounded 49-16 by Notre Dame in their opener and boast four receivers with at least eight catches and 100 yards in the first three contests. The Owls have leaned on their passing attack, which has produced 262.3 yards per game with no interceptions, and South Florida’s improving defense has picked off eight passes in the first three games.

    TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: USF -19

    TEMPLE (2-1): Sophomore quarterback Logan Marchi has thrown for 767 yards in the first three games with five touchdown passes, but the ground attack has not been as productive. Junior running back Ryquell Armstead tops the Owls with 177 yards rushing, but the team is averaging 2.9 per carry in the early going while senior Keith Kirkwood (12 catches, 185 yards), sophomore Isaiah Wright (nine, 180) and senior Adonis Jennings (eight, 146) have all been factors through the air. Freshman end Quincy Roche, who was named co-AAC defensive player of the week Monday, owns four sacks while junior defensive back Delvon Russell has 28 tackles.

    SOUTH FLORIDA (3-0): The Bulls struggled often defensively last year, but they are showing the ability to take the ball away in the early going and have not allowed a point in the third quarter in the first three games. “It’s a different feeling (from last season) because the defense is playing lights out,” USF’s leading rusher senior Darius Tice (256 yards) told reporters. “This is a new feeling.” Junior defensive back Ronnie Hoggins and sophomore linebacker Nico Sawtelle lead a balanced unit with 18 tackles each while both own an interception for the Bulls, who are 14th in the nation in rushing defense (89.3 yards) after permitting just 67 last Friday against Illinois.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. Flowers needs one rushing touchdown to pass Marlon Mack (32) for the school’s all-time record and is second alone in TD passes (54).

    2. Temple junior WR and Tampa native Ventell Bryant, needs four receptions and 48 yards receiving to move into the top 10 at the school in both categories.

    3. USF RB D’Ernest Johnson boasts 64 career receptions, one behind Mack for second in school history among players at his position.

    PREDICTION: USF 38, Temple 14




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    Trends - Temple at No. 17 South Florida

    ATS Trends

    Temple
    • Owls are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
    • Owls are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Owls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
    • Owls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games on grass.
    • Owls are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
    • Owls are 25-8 ATS in their last 33 conference games.
    • Owls are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 road games.
    • Owls are 38-14-1 ATS in their last 53 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Owls are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Owls are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Owls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.

    South Florida
    • Bulls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Bulls are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Bulls are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 conference games.
    • Bulls are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 home games.
    • Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games in September.
    • Bulls are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
    • Bulls are 13-5-1 ATS in their last 19 games on grass.
    • Bulls are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Bulls are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Bulls are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Bulls are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
    • Bulls are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.

    OU Trends

    Temple
    • Under is 5-0 in Owls last 5 games on grass.
    • Under is 5-0 in Owls last 5 conference games.
    • Under is 6-1 in Owls last 7 games following a straight up win.
    • Under is 9-2 in Owls last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 13-3 in Owls last 16 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 7-2 in Owls last 9 games overall.
    • Under is 7-2 in Owls last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 6-2 in Owls last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 17-8 in Owls last 25 games in September.
    • Under is 37-18 in Owls last 55 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.

    South Florida
    • Over is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 11-1 in Bulls last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 7-1 in Bulls last 8 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Over is 10-2 in Bulls last 12 home games.
    • Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 games on grass.
    • Over is 5-1 in Bulls last 6 conference games.
    • Over is 4-1 in Bulls last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 7-2 in Bulls last 9 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Over is 6-2 in Bulls last 8 games following a straight up win.
    • Over is 12-5 in Bulls last 17 games overall.

    Head to Head

    No trends available.

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    NFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 3


    Thursday, September 21

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    LA RAMS (1 - 1) at SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 2) - 9/21/2017, 8:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    LA RAMS is 176-225 ATS (-71.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 176-225 ATS (-71.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 17-35 ATS (-21.5 Units) in a road game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 126-177 ATS (-68.7 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 137-177 ATS (-57.7 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
    LA RAMS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    LA RAMS is 34-53 ATS (-24.3 Units) in September games since 1992.
    SAN FRANCISCO is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 against the spread versus LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
    SAN FRANCISCO is 3-1 straight up against LA RAMS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NFL

    Week 3


    Trend Report

    Thursday, September 21

    9:25 PM
    LOS ANGELES vs. SAN FRANCISCO
    Los Angeles is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing San Francisco
    Los Angeles is 4-13-1 SU in its last 18 games ,when playing San Francisco
    San Francisco is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing Los Angeles
    The total has gone UNDER in 18 of San Francisco's last 24 games at home

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    NFL

    Week 3


    Thursday's game
    Rams (1-1) @ 49ers (0-2)— SF didn’t score a TD (0 TD, 4 FGA on 23 drives) in first two games. Niners are 9-16 vs spread in last 25 home games; under is 23-10 in their last 33. LA split its first two home games, scoring 66 points, but defense allowed 229 rushing yards in loss to Washington LW. First road game for Rams, who are 2-6 in last eight games vs 49ers- they’re 1-7-1 in last nine visits to Bay Area. LA is 7-2-1 vs spread in last 10 road openers (2-0 when favored). Last four years, Rams are 10-15-1 vs spread on road- since 2011, they’re 1-4 as a road favorite. Under is 16-7-1 in LA’s road games the last three years. Rams’ OC LaFleur, 49ers’ DC Saleh were roommates as grad assistants at Central Michigan; LaFleur worked for coach Shanahan before lot of familiarity.

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    NCAAF

    Week 4


    Trend Report

    Thursday, September 21

    7:30 PM
    TEMPLE vs. SOUTH FLORIDA
    Temple is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
    Temple is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games
    South Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
    South Florida is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

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    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Thursday, September 21

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TEMPLE (2 - 1) at S FLORIDA (3 - 0) - 9/21/2017, 7:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    S FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    S FLORIDA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    S FLORIDA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points since 1992.
    TEMPLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 21-10 ATS (+10.0 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    TEMPLE is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    S FLORIDA is 1-1 against the spread versus TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
    S FLORIDA is 1-1 straight up against TEMPLE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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    NCAAF

    Week 4


    Thursday’s game
    South Florida ran ball for 376 yards in 47-23 home rout of Illinois last week; Bulls are 3-0, with I-A wins by 20-24 points. USF gave up 319 rushing yards in a 46-30 loss at Temple LY. Home favorites are 3-0 vs spread in series games. Owls lost 44-23 in their visit here in 2015. Temple is 2-1 after nipping Mass 29-21 LW; they lost only road game 49-16 at Notre Dame, giving up 422 rushing yards. Temple was 12-4 vs spread as a road underdog under Rhule, but he and most of his players have moved on. USF is 8-1-1 vs spread in last ten games as a home favorite.

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    NCAAF
    Dunkel

    Week 4


    Thursday, September 21

    Temple @ South Florida

    Game 303-304
    September 21, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Temple
    82.613
    South Florida
    94.084
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    South Florida
    by 11 1/2
    67
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    South Florida
    by 20 1/2
    61 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Temple
    (+20 1/2); Over


    South Carolina St @ NC Central

    Game 501-502
    September 21, 2017 @ 7:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    South Carolina St
    52.571
    NC Central
    54.771
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NC Central
    by 2
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NC Central
    by 6 1/2
    35
    Dunkel Pick:
    South Carolina St
    (+6 1/2); Over

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Arlington - Race #9 - Post: 5:23pm - Claiming - 8.5 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 84

    Rating: 4

    #6 CONSEQUENTIAL (ML=5/1)
    #1 SUMMER SPICE (ML=7/2)
    #9 FIND SILVER (ML=8/1)


    CONSEQUENTIAL - Believe in this pony. Coming off the pace, I think he'll be in a fabulous spot to crush them in the stretch. Last raced at Arlington carrying 7 pounds more. The lower weight assigned in this field should serve him well. SUMMER SPICE - Have to give this gelding a good shot. Ran a sharp effort last time out within the last 30 days. This thoroughbred is for real on the turf. TrackMaster turf number in last race at Arlington was tops in this bunch. In this race here, this horse has clearly shown signs that he likes the grass. His speed ratings are the highest in the field for this distance-surface. The 86 latest race speed figure looks good in the TrackMaster PPs. FIND SILVER - Ranked number 1 in earnings per start. Another indication that this equine is classy.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #2 NEW YORK BOY (ML=5/1), #13 HIDE THE EVIDENCE (ML=5/1), #4 GREYT OAK (ML=8/1),

    NEW YORK BOY - In the last event this less than sharp equine finished fourth. Doesn't look good for his chances in today's event. The rating last race out doesn't fit very well in this race when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this racer as a likely underlay. HIDE THE EVIDENCE - Not probable that the rating he recorded on September 1st will be good enough in this event. GREYT OAK - 8/1 is not enough of a price to take on most any thoroughbred that has run poorly in back to back outings. This steed ran a quite unimpressive speed figure last time out. He shouldn't show signs of improvement and will probably get beat in today's race running that fig.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Have to go with #6 CONSEQUENTIAL on the win end if we get at least 5/2 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    6 with [1,9]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,6,9] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    [1,6,9] with [1,6,9] with [1,6,7,9,13] with [1,6,7,9,13] Total Cost: $36

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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

    RACE #1 - BELMONT PARK - 1:30 PM EASTERN POST
    The William Entenmann Memorial Hurdle Stakes
    18.0 FURLONGS NATIONAL FENCE COURSE FOUR YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STEEPLECHASE $75,000.00 PURSE

    #6 MOSCATO
    #5 MUTASAAWY
    #1 NO WUNDER
    #3 LACHARES

    This race is named in honor of William Entenmann III, a longtime steeplechase owner, who was the grandson of the founder of Entenmann's bakery. A racing enthusiast, he became heavily involved in the sport following the family's sale of the nationally known bakery in 1978. He continued to work in the company's management until his retirement in 1998. His Timber Bay Farm had success both in steeplechasing and flat racing. His son, Billy, is a trainer based at Fair Hill Training Center in Maryland. Timber Bay won the New York Turf Writers at Saratoga three times, with Yaw in 1991 and 1992 and with Bisbalense in 1997. Romantic won the 2000 Colonial Cup in the Timber Bay silks. All his major steeplechase winners were trained by Jonathan Sheppard. On the flat, Artie Schiller won the 2005 Breeders' Cup Mile in the name of Timber Bay and Entenmann's daughter Denise Walsh of Southern Pines, N.C. Timber Bay also bred 2002 Belmont Stakes winner Sarava. In this year's renewal of this stakes test over the National Fences, #6 MOSCATO, a British-bred entry, has hiut the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three straight, winning twice in this recent streak of racing consistency. Jockey Sean McDermott has been in his irons on 5 previous occasions, hitting the board in each, winning three times, and is back this afternoon here in Elmont for his 6th ride, gunning for a "Grand Slam Win!" #5 MUTASAANY qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has produced a quartet of "Power Run Board Hits in his last five outings, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" over the fences in his last two starts.

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Belterra Park

    Belterra Park - Race 7

    Exacta / 50 cent Trifecta / 10 cent Superfecta / Daily Double


    SO $12,500 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 95 • Purse: $12,200 • Post: 4:44P
    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $5,000 OR LESS IN 2016 - 2017 OR CLAIMING PRICE $12,500. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500 (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE $10,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN ALLOWANCES) (OHIO REGISTERED FOALS PREFERRED).
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * FAST KARMA: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. ARATHORN: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BELLARMINE: Today is a sprint and this is the horse's third or fourth start after a layoff. SALTY RIM: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least + 20. FLEET GOLD DIGGER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
    6
    FAST KARMA
    5/2

    5/1
    9
    ARATHORN
    7/2

    6/1
    2
    BELLARMINE
    4/1

    7/1
    1
    SALTY RIM
    8/1

    7/1
    3
    FLEET GOLD DIGGER
    10/1

    9/1

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs

    Churchill Downs - Race 4

    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 4-5-6) Pick 5 (Races 4-8)


    Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 85 • Purse: $51,000 • Post: 6:27P
    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 118 LBS. (PREFERENCE TO HORSES THAT HAVE NOT STARTED FOR LESS THAN $50,000).
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    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. FOXTROT SALLY is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * FOXTROT SALLY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. AS I PLEASE: Horse has a TrackMaster "B" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. BOOTSY'S HADENOUGH: A first time starter with a trainer that has a win percentage with first time starters of at least 25 (minimum 10 starts). Jock ey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
    15
    FOXTROT SALLY
    5/1

    5/2
    3
    AS I PLEASE
    4/1

    5/1
    9
    BOOTSY'S HADENOUGH
    9/2

    7/1

  17. #17
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

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    Gulfstream Park - Race #8 - Post: 5:00pm - Claiming - 8.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $18,000 Class Rating: 89

    Rating: 4

    #6 COOKIES ARE GOOD (ML=8/1)
    #4 DREAMY MARTINI (ML=5/1)
    #7 LUNCH BREAK (ML=20/1)


    COOKIES ARE GOOD - Entered a $10,000 Claiming race at Gulfstream Park last time out and raced on a sloppy track finishing fifth. Should do better in today's race. DREAMY MARTINI - Has found a great spot in today's event. LUNCH BREAK - Shows a classic conditioning maneuver. Routing today after two sprint races. For my money, a bullet workout is the best indicator of readiness there is. Look at that last one - 49.4. Very impressive. You should disregard that last affair at Gulfstream Park on a sloppy track where he finished outside the top 3. Should do well right here with the benefit of a fast track.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #3 MANOLETE (ML=7/2), #1 NIGHT RYTHM (ML=4/1), #5 HAIL TO VICTORY (ML=6/1),

    MANOLETE - In the last affair this less than sharp equine finished fourth. Doesn't bode well for his chances this time. NIGHT RYTHM - Speed kills. Plenty of early speed in this event compromises this animal's efforts. If you keep betting these sort of 'bridesmaid' types, you're going to be disappointed most of the time. HAIL TO VICTORY - Pace is so critical, and this speedball is going to have a ding-dong battle on his hands. Didn't land in the money on Jun 23rd at Gulfstream Park. Followed it up with another lackluster effort. The speed figure in the last race doesn't fit very well in this affair when I look at the class figure of today's race. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued equine.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #6 COOKIES ARE GOOD is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [4,6,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [4,6,7] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    [4,6,7] with [4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7] Total Cost: $36

    SUPER HI 5 WAGERS:
    [4,6,7] with [4,6,7] with [2,4,6,7] with [1,2,4,6,7,8] with [1,2,4,6,7,8] Total Cost: $72

  18. #18
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 1 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19000 Class Rating: 71

    FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 2 FABRICATION 8/5

    # 5 THE SLEEPY PRINCE 8/1

    # 6 LUCKY PEGASUS 9/5

    FABRICATION looks to be the bet in here. Reliable average speed figures in dirt sprint races make this equine a key contender. Overall the Equibase Speed Figures of this pony look respectable in this affair. Mulhall has shown excellent profits (+35 return on investment ) at this distance/surface. THE SLEEPY PRINCE - Overall the Speed Figures of this equine look respectable in this race. Looks very strong against this group of horses in this race and ought to be one of the leaders. LUCKY PEGASUS - Has very good early pace and will almost certainly fare solidly against this group. Must be considered given the class of races run recently.

  19. #19
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Presque Isle Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 4 - Claiming - 6.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $17000 Class Rating: 93

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE AUGUST 21 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $12,500, IF FOR $10,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 7 SAVE THE DRAMA 3/1

    # 6 BIRDS GONE WILD 6/1

    # 2 MIDNIGHT PUNK 4/1

    I think SAVE THE DRAMA is a strong choice. Have to think this horse will do well following the quick reversal of fortune. He has quite good class ratings, averaging 97, and has to be carefully examined in here. Has to be considered versus this group of animals displaying solid figures as of late and an average speed fig of 90 under similar conditions. BIRDS GONE WILD - Should be given a chance for this event if only for the solid Equibase Speed Figure garnered in the last contest. MIDNIGHT PUNK - Have to take a chance on this gelding with the solid earnings per start in dirt sprint races.

  20. #20
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    NCAAF

    Thursday, September 21


    Thursday's NCAAF Game of the Day: Temple at South Florida

    Temple Owls at South Florida Bulls (-19.5, 63)

    Quinton Flowers could be battling his way back into the Heisman Trophy conversation after a big performance and the star quarterback looks to help 17th-ranked South Florida build momentum when it opens American Athletic Conference play against visiting Temple on Thursday night. Flowers accounted for 386 of the team’s 680 yards and five touchdowns in the 47-23 win over Illinois last week and next hopes to avenge the Bulls’ last loss.

    The Owls knocked off USF 46-30 last October in Philadelphia and the Bulls have won eight in a row since to match a school record, led by an offense that has produced at least 30 points in a national-best 20 consecutive games while averaging 40 in the first three of 2017. Temple is not the same team as last year, but its defense has shown it can make plays with 14 sacks in the first three games - nine last week in a 29-21 win over Massachusetts. The Owls have won two in a row since getting pounded 49-16 by Notre Dame in their opener and boast four receivers with at least eight catches and 100 yards in the first three contests. The Owls have leaned on their passing attack, which has produced 262.3 yards per game with no interceptions, and South Florida’s improving defense has picked off eight passes in the first three games.

    TV:
    7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

    LINE HISTORY:
    The South Florida Bulls opened as 18-point home favorites and that number wasn't enough for bettors, forcing the line up to -19.5 by Wednesday. The total hit the betting boards at 58.5 and has jumped all of the way up to 63.

    INJURY REPORT:

    Temple - No injuries to report.

    South Florida - WR D. Salomon (Probable, Undisclosed), WR D. Antoine (Questionable, Lower Body), LB A. Polk Jr. (Questionable, Knee), OL G. Bethel (Questionable, Leg), WR R. Bronson (Out For Season, Shoulder).

    TEMPLE (2-1 SU, 0-3 ATS, 1-2 O/U):
    Sophomore quarterback Logan Marchi has thrown for 767 yards in the first three games with five touchdown passes, but the ground attack has not been as productive. Junior running back Ryquell Armstead tops the Owls with 177 yards rushing, but the team is averaging 2.9 per carry in the early going while senior Keith Kirkwood (12 catches, 185 yards), sophomore Isaiah Wright (nine, 180) and senior Adonis Jennings (eight, 146) have all been factors through the air. Freshman end Quincy Roche, who was named co-AAC defensive player of the week Monday, owns four sacks while junior defensive back Delvon Russell has 28 tackles.

    SOUTH FLORIDA (3-0 SU, 1-2 ATS, 1-2 O/U):
    The Bulls struggled often defensively last year, but they are showing the ability to take the ball away in the early going and have not allowed a point in the third quarter in the first three games. “It’s a different feeling (from last season) because the defense is playing lights out,” USF’s leading rusher senior Darius Tice (256 yards) told reporters. “This is a new feeling.” Junior defensive back Ronnie Hoggins and sophomore linebacker Nico Sawtelle lead a balanced unit with 18 tackles each while both own an interception for the Bulls, who are 14th in the nation in rushing defense (89.3 yards) after permitting just 67 last Friday against Illinois.

    TRENDS:


    * Owls are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games following a straight up win.
    * Bulls are 4-0 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
    * Under is 9-2 in Owls last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
    * Over is 11-1 in Bulls last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.

    CONSENSUS:
    The home chalk Bulls are getting 61 percent of the action from users and the Over is picking up 57 percent of the totals wagers.

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