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Thread: Sunday 9-24-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #61
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    CAPPERS CLUB

    Falcons vs. Lions Over 50.5

    This play just missed out on our premium card. The Falcons and the Lions face off on Sunday and with two explosive offenses, this game is going to be a shootout.

    Both of these teams average over 28 points per game on this young season, and with two explosive quarterbacks this might be a race to the first team to 40 points.
    Both of these defenses have looked decent so far this year, but the Lions especially haven't played a quarterback like Matt Ryan.

    I think he will have no issues picking apart their defense. There will be very little defense played in this game.

    Some trends to note. Over is 13-2-1 in Falcons last 16 vs. NFC. Over is 4-1 in Lions last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    Back the Over.

  2. #62
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    RAY MONOHAN

    Cleveland Browns -1.5

    It's extremely rare for the Browns to be a road favorite. However, in this spot, they are worth a move.

    Cleveland has looked much better through the first two games than they have in previous seasons. The defense is actually playing with some passion and drive as they've been able to keep Cleveland close in both games. Allowing just 22.5 points through the first two, this defense will see a Colts offense without Andrew Luck, a huge plus.
    The Colts offense is averaging just 11.0 points and they haven't had any sort of consistency or success when it comes to throwing or running the ball. That is a huge red flag entering here, especially given how swarming this Cleveland defense has been.

    Some trends to note. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. Colts are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. AFC.

    While it's quite a different feeling to lay points with this Browns team, the Colts are simply bad without Luck in the backfield.
    Back Cleveland.

    Good Luck, Razor Ray.

  3. #63
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    Wunderdog

    JETS +7

    The Miami Dolphins escaped LA with a 19-17 win over the snake bit Chargers, who continue to lose close game after close game. This one was a missed field goal as time expired. The Jets will be home after a pair of road disasters, which have them at 0-2 to open the season. Miami is getting way to much respect here, with a backup QB, and on the road while the Jets are in the disrespect column for most bettors, but this is a contrarian league. The Dolphins resume against New York isn't exactly pretty as they own a 17-36-3 ATS mark in the last 56 meetings, and just 4-8 ATS here as a road favorite, which includes 0-3 ATS when the line is -6 or higher. This is a division game and way too many points, especially this early in the season. Miami has never played well in the role of a favorite at just 46-68 ATS in their last 114. I'm going to grab the points in this one play on the NY Jets.

  4. #64
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    JACK JONES

    BROWNS -1.5

    The Cleveland Browns are clearly improved this season despite their 0-2 start. They were competitive against two of the best teams in the NFL in the Steelers and Ravens. They were only outgained by four total yards in those two games combined, so statistically they hung right with them.

    The problem with the Browns thus far has been turnovers and special teams mistakes. They committed five turnovers against the Ravens, yet still had numbers chances to cover the spread as 8-point dogs in a 14-point loss. They only lost by 3 to the Steelers, and the difference in that game was a punt block that was returned for a TD by the Steelers.

    Now the Browns will be motivated for a rare victory here against arguably the worst team in the NFL in the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts are 0-2 and haven't even been competitive despite playing weaker competition. They were outgained by 148 yards in their 9-46 loss to the Rams. Then they were outgained by a depleted Cardinals team by 123 yards last week in a game they did not deserve to go to overtime against. That games was a bigger blowout than the final score. The Rams and Cardinals aren't as good as the Steelers and Ravens, which is a key points here.

    The Browns have the better defense, and it's not really even close. They are giving up just 313 yards per game and 5.3 per play thus far, while the Colts are allowing 381 yards per game and 6.1 per play. The Browns are averaging 311 yards per game and 5.3 per play on offense, so they have moved the ball fine. The Colts are only averaging 245 yards per game and 4.4 per play. So the Browns are basically dead even in yards per game and yards per play on the season, while the Colts are getting outgained by 136 yards per game and 1.7 yards per play.

    Indianapolis is 2-11 ATS in its last 13 home games after scoring 14 points or less in two straight games. Plays on road teams (CLEVELAND) - off a loss against a division rival, first month of the season, after closing out last season with 6 or more losses in last 8 games are 51-24 (68%) ATS since 1983. The Browns are 19-6-1 ATS in their last 26 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

  5. #65
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    DARRYL TUCHOLSKI

    BROWNS -130

    The Colts let the Cardinals linger last week, eventually costing themselves the game in overtime 16-13. Cleveland will be able to establish the run, meaning Crowell should carry this game, the Browns defense should have no issues limiting the Colts.

  6. #66
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    MIKE LUNDIN

    BROWNS -125

    The Cleveland Browns won just one game all of last season and they're heading into Week 3 of the current season still eyeing their first win. The Indianapolis Colts are in the same spot after back-to-back losses to the Rams and the Cardinals, but I think the Browns will be the team to come out of this contest with the W.

    The Colts failed to hold onto a 13-3 fourth quarter lead in a tough 16-13 overtime home loss to the Cardinals last weekend. They'll once again be without QB Andrew Luck and his replacement Jacoby Brissett completed just 20-of-37 passes for 216 yards with no touchdowns and one interception against Arizona. They couldn't get their running game going either as the team amassed just a total of 76 yards on 29 carries Here they'll face a Cleveland D that has held two tough opponents in Pittsburgh and Baltimore to an average of 313.5 yards per game on the season.

    The Browns actually outgained the Ravens 386-337 in last week's 24-10 defeat but gave away the ball way to easy and five turnovers ruined any chance of winning the game. Starting QB DeShone Kizer threw three picks before leaving the game with migraine, but I expect the rookie to be healthy for this game do much better.

    Cleveland has not been favored on the road since giving five points at Jacksonville back in 2014. The books have made the Browns a favorite here for a reason, and I'm backing the Browns to win outright.

  7. #67
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    Tony Finn

    Raiders -3

    Oakland travels three time zones for a primetime event in Washington on FedEx Field. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET and the Sunday Night Football contest will be broadcast on NBC Sports.

    Raiders quarterback Derek Carr and his Oakland teammates were Super Bowl contenders a season ago and with offseason upgrades and a 2-0 start to the 2017 campaign expectations are as optimistic if not higher than they were last year. And injury to Carr killed the Raiders chances of advancing beyond the Wild Cards game in Houston but with a healthy field general behind center the team is the best of the AFC West.

    There have been a handful of talented young quarterbacks in this league that began their careers losing their first 10 starts or more but went on to successful NFL tenures. Carr is one of those. The Oakland signal caller is making his 50th NFL start on Sunday night in the nation's capital and does so with talented receivers, a ground and pound veteran running back and the AFC defensive player of the year.

    Oakland is 2-0 with a eastern time zone win already in their pocket when they defeated the Tennessee Titans in Nashville in Week #1. They followed that victory with a Week #2 drubbing over the least of the AFC, the New York Jets, at the Coliseum.

    Washington wasn't good in their season opening loss to divisional foe Philadelphia and escaped Los Angeles last Sunday with a fortunate victory over the Rams.

    The addition of Marshawn Lynch to the Raiders offense makes them head and shoulders more balanced and better than they were in 2016. That is saying a lot considering Oakland ranked in the Top-10 in points per game and fourth in the AFC behind only New England, Indianapolis and the then San Diego Chargers in 2016.

    Carr and Lynch combine with former No. 4 overall pick wide out Amari Cooper, as well, veteran WR Michael Crabtree and All-Everything defensive end Khalil Mack with the aim of having a deep postseason run in 2018.

    The offseason drama in Washington was centered around quarterback Kirk Cousins. Would the organization trade him, tag him or negotiate a new deal for the signal caller that threw for nearly 5,000 yards a season ago? This past summer's roster transactions took a toll on the 'Skins offense. The team lost their two top receivers, via free agency, and are using former quarterback Terrelle Pryor alongside Jamison Crowder as the primary targets for Cousins.

    While there are a handful of new offensive players learning HC Jay Gruden's playbook it is the team's injuries that are most alarming heading into the Week #3 Sunday Night event.

    Talented tight end Jordan Reed and starting running back Rob Kelley are both questionable to assist Cousins and the offense against the potent Raiders. And defensively the Redskins could be missing All-Pro cornerback Josh Norman on Sunday night after injuring his shoulder in the victory over the Rams.

  8. #68
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    Teddy Covers

    Jaguars +4

    Joe Flacco missed all of preseason; one of many injured veterans for the Ravens in August. Baltimore lost nearly a dozen guys to IR in training camp, losing key bodies on both sides of the football. Flacco has looked rusty, with only 338 passing yards through two games. And he hasn’t been tested – the ravens have not yet trailed this season. The Ravens, as a team, have only one explosive play on offense through two games. They’ve rushed for under four yards per carry. And now the key to their offensive line, six time pro bowler Marshall Yanda, has been placed on injured reserve after breaking his ankle last week.

    Yanda’s injury cannot be overstated. With him gone, this team is now without three of their five OL starters from last year, as well as their top two backups from a season ago. This would be a problem for any offense. It matters even more with a QB and skill position talent that don’t have much familiarity with one another after the barrage of August injuries.

    And for all the success the Ravens have had with their 2-0 SU and ATS start, let’s not forget two things. First, Baltimore has generated 10 turnovers. No other team has more than five. Every team looks good and covers spreads when they are +7 in turnovers over a two game span.

    Secondly, John Harbaugh is not a ‘let’s lay points with him’ kind of coach, especially on the highway. The Ravens have been feisty underdogs for years under Harbaugh. However, they’ve got a grand total of one pointspread cover in their last eight tries as favorites away from home dating back to 2014; failing repeatedly in this role. I’ve got Harbaugh as 3-10 ATS in his last 13 tries laying more than a field goal on any field, and all three of those covers have come against the same team – Cleveland.

    The defense Baltimore is facing this week is no joke. Say what you want about Blake Bortles (yes, I know Bortles sucks, but I think the Jags can cover in spite of him), Jacksonville’s stop unit is the best one the Ravens have seen this year. Offseason acquisition Calais Campbell has been a pass rushing force, who’s veteran leadership has been “off the charts” according to head coach Doug Marrone. Free agent signee AJ Bouye gives them a stud cornerback duo with last year’s #1 pick Jalen Ramsey, on the other side. This defense finished #4 in the NFL in yards per play allowed last year. They dominated the game at Houston in Week 1. And they kept the Titans out of the end zone until the second half last week before finally wearing down late.

    The Jags play in London every year. They won their London game in 2015. They won their London game last year, developing a following in the UK and at least some semblance of a home field edge at Wembley. This is the first ever game that the Ravens have played outside the continental US. Put it all together and the Jags catching more than a field goal are a clear choice for this bettor.

  9. #69
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    Strike Point Sports

    New England -

    New England isn't as good as people think. Tom Brady looks old and slow. This team isn't going to run through teams like they have in the past"… Ummm, yeah, lets slow that down. The Patriots, following their surprising loss to the Kansas City Chiefs, dropped 30 points in the first half on the New Orleans Saints. Yes, this Texans defense is significantly better than the Saints. But their offense won't stand a chance of keeping pace with the Patriots. New England is just too good on the offensive side of the football, and this is with their top WR Cooks not really doing anything as of yet. Once Cooks gets going this team is going to be even more dangerous than we all know they can be. New England is 26-10-2 ATS in their last 38 home games while Houston is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 road games. Lay the big number on New England in this one as they are 6-1 ATS in their last seven versus the AFC.

  10. #70
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    Executive Sports

    Cincinnati +

    Play Against Home favorites (GREEN BAY) team with a poor scoring defense last season allowed 24 or more points/game, after a playing a game where 50 total points or more were scored. (33-5, 87% since 1983.)

    The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
    The last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2).
    The last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (13-2).
    The last 10 seasons the situation's record is: (21-4).

  11. #71
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    CFL Betting Notes - Week 14
    David Schwab

    The Saskatchewan Roughriders got back to their winning ways last Friday with 27-19 victory against Hamilton as three-point road favorites to kickoff action in Week 13 of the CFL season.

    In the first of two games on Saturday, Toronto successfully defended its home turf as a four-point underdog in a 34-26 win over Edmonton. It was the Eskimos fifth straight-up loss in a row.

    Calgary extended its current SU winning streak to eight games with Saturday’s 27-13 victory against British Columbia as a nine-point home favorite. The weekend’s betting action came to a close on Sunday with Ottawa hammering Montreal 29-11 in a game that closed as a PICK.

    Sunday, Sept. 24

    Calgary Stampeders (10-1-1 SU, 7-4-1 ATS) vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-5 SU, 7-4 ATS)

    Point-spread: Calgary OFF
    Total: OFF

    Game Overview

    The Stampeders are once again the class of the CFL behind their current SU eight-game winning streak. They have been pretty good to bettors along for the ride at 6-1-1 ATS and the total has stayed UNDER in four of their last five games behind a stifling defense that has not allowed more than 24 points in each of its last eight games. Bo Levi Mitchell is fourth in the league in passing yards (3,491) and Jerome Messam remains at the top of the list when it comes to rushing yards with 770.

    If there is one team that might be able to challenge Calgary right now, it could be the Roughriders. They have won five of their last seven games both SU and ATS after falling to Calgary 27-10 on the road as 10-point underdogs on July 22. Brandon Bridge filled in for an injured Kevin Glenn last week and he looked pretty sharp completing 21 of his 31 passing attempts for 231 yards and three touchdown throws. Glenn could be back this week, but Bridge proved that he can run this offense.

    Betting Trends

    -- Calgary has won the last seven meetings SU while going 6-1 ATS. The total stayed UNDER 55 points in the first meeting this season and it has stayed UNDER in the last three games in this heated West Division clash.

  12. #72
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Albuquerque

    Albuquerque - Race 3

    Exacta / 50 Cent Trifecta / 10 Cent Superfecta


    Claiming $6,250 • 7 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $13,100 • Post: 2:20P
    FOR REGISTERED NEW MEXICO BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD FOR HORSES THAT HAVE STARTED AT THE DOWNS AT ALBUQUERQUE IN 2017, AND HAVE NOT FINISHED BETTER THAN THIRD, HORSES LAST START MUST BE AT THE DOWNS OF ALBUQUERQUE IN 2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $6,250.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
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    Race Type: Lone Front-runner. PROUD ELIAS is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * PROUD ELIAS: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Ho rse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. SONG OF LAURA: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Horse has th e highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface.
    8
    PROUD ELIAS
    9/2

    9/5
    5
    SONG OF LAURA
    3/1

    7/2

  13. #73
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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

    RACE #2 - 2:01 PM
    The Ashley T. Cole Stakes
    9.0 FURLONGS INNER TURF THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD STAKES $125,000.00 PURSE

    #5 GET JETS
    #7 CALL PROVISION
    #2 CLOONTIA
    #1 BECKER'S GALAXY

    F.Y.I. folks ... The late Ashley T. Cole served as chairman of the New York State Racing Commission. He played a pivotal role in the formation of The New York Racing Association. Here in the 32nd renewal of The Cole, #5 GET JETS qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," is the overall speed and pace profile leader in this field racing at today's distance of 9.0 furlongs on the grass, and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in five straight, including a trio of "POWER RUN WINS" embedded in this recent streak of racing consistency. #7 CALL PROVISION, a 4-1 shot, has won three of his respective last five starts, including a pair of "POWER RUN WINS" found in his last start, as well as in his 4th race back.

  14. #74
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Churchill Downs - Race #2 - Post: 1:14pm - Maiden Special - 8.0 furlongs on the Turf. Purse: $51,000 Class Rating: 84

    Rating: 4

    #1 WAR TOM (ML=5/1)
    #7 BURNSIDE (ML=3/1)


    WAR TOM - This trainer does a good job stretching out any thoroughbred. Horses going a route for the first time almost always show an improvement. I like a runner that makes a good late run in a sprint race and comes back in a route. BURNSIDE - If you review the PP's for this thoroughbred, you'll see he has recorded the top Equibase speed figure at the distance and surface. A repeat performance today and this horse has a superb chance to win. Jockey jumped on this colt's back for the first try on Sep 8th. Should be acquainted with the horse even better in today's contest. Ran a fast time for the last quarter on September 8th at Arlington. Anything close in this event should get the job done. Have to make this colt a strong challenger; he comes off a good race on September 8th.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #5 NEPTHENE (ML=5/2), #4 KILLEEN (ML=5/1), #14 NETAS (ML=8/1),

    NEPTHENE - August 14th is the last time we've seen this colt around. Have to be a little bit leery. Finished third in his most recent race with a substandard speed figure. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this bunch. KILLEEN - This colt most likely won't be close at the finish line. NETAS - Last raced on September 7th at Kentucky Downs, finishing eighth. Unlikely to perk up off of that outing in today's race. When looking at today's Equibase class figure, he will have to garner a much better rating than in the last race to vie in this turf route.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - BURNSIDE - Although finishing second with short odds, this colt figures to be tough against these horses.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #1 WAR TOM on top if we're getting at least 2/1 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    None

  15. #75
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Los Alamitos (Quarter Horse)

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 5 - Claiming - 300y on the Dirt. Purse: $9570 Class Rating: 89

    QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 4 ODESEUS 5/2

    # 1 BYE THE FIRE 5/1

    # 2 BF CAPTAIN CAVEMAN 6/1

    ODESEUS looks quite good to best this field. Is tough not to examine based on speed figs which have been formidable - 84 avg - of late. Had one of the top speed figures of this field in his last contest. The average Equibase class figure alone makes this entrant a solid contender. BYE THE FIRE - Has longshot possibilities and could prove victorious at big odds. Must be carefully examined given the class of races run as of late. BF CAPTAIN CAVEMAN - This gelding obviously likes the distance, going 3 for 12 in his races lately. Ran a solid last race.

  16. #76
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred)

    Los Alamitos (Thoroughbred) - Race 4

    $1 Exacta / $1 Trifecta / $1 Superfecta (.10 Min.) / $2 Rolling Double $1 Pick Three (Races 4-5-6) / $2 Pick Six Starts (Races 4-9)


    Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 91 • Purse: $45,000 • Post: 3:28P
    FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
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    Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * MIDNIGHT SOOT: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). Jockey/Trainer co mbination return on investment is at least +20. STREET ZOMBIE: Horse is a first time starter and its sire's win percentage with first timers is at least 18 (minimum of 50 starts). Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. CA NDY CREW: Horse is a first time starter and its sire's win percentage with first timers is at least 18 (minimum of 50 starts). Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. MIDCOURT: A first time starter with a trainer that has a return on investment with first time starters of at least +50 (minimum 10 starts). Jockey/Trainer combination win percentage is at least 30.
    2
    MIDNIGHT SOOT
    5/2

    5/1
    3
    STREET ZOMBIE
    10/1

    6/1
    6
    CANDY CREW
    9/5

    6/1
    4
    MIDCOURT
    2/1

    7/1

  17. #77
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Oak Tree at Pleasanton - Race #8 - Post: 5:15pm - Maiden Special - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $26,000 Class Rating: 82

    Rating: 4

    #5 BOLD CHARMANT (ML=8/1)
    #1 LA WAUN (ML=10/1)
    #7 MON CAMO (ML=6/1)
    #2 POWER TIMES TWO (ML=5/1)


    BOLD CHARMANT - Maiden is moving to the dirt, and may not have liked the turf last out. Has a good chance to win for the 1st time. LA WAUN - Herrera comes to get aboard after getting to know the gelding in the last contest. I'll bet that this gelding even surprised his connections when he made his bow on August 27th and finished third. MON CAMO - Rider hops right back on after getting to know the race horse by riding last time around the track. That's always a good indicator. The recent bullet 48.6 work should put this gelding on track for today's race. Lets try to beat the favorites with this gelding. Just missed last out, but ran a pretty good race. POWER TIMES TWO - Rider hops back on after getting to know the thoroughbred by riding in the last race. That's always a great angle. Lots of trouble last race. This time around Hernandez should keep him clean so he runs a good race.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ISHI (ML=2/1), #3 PLAYING THROUGH (ML=7/2), #4 TORTOSA (ML=9/2),

    ISHI - In the last event this entrant finished sixth. Doesn't look good for his chances this time around. PLAYING THROUGH - This gelding registered a rating in his last race which likely isn't good enough in today's event. TORTOSA - Don't believe this vulnerable equine will do much running in today's race. That last speed figure was mediocre when compared with today's class rating.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Bet on #5 BOLD CHARMANT to win if we can get at least 4/1 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,5,7]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    None

  18. #78
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Remington Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 10 - Stakes - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $150000 Class Rating: 110

    DAVID M. VANCE SPRINT S. - FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. NO NOMINATION FEE. $1,125 TO PASS THE ENTRY BOX. STARTERS TO PAY $1,125 ADDITIONAL WITH $150,000 GUARANTEED. STARTERS TO BE NAMED THROUGH THE ENTRY BOX BY USUAL TIME OF ENTRY. THREE YEAR OLDS, 119 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF $50,000 ONCE IN 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS.; $25,000 ONCE IN 2017, 4 LBS.; $18,000 IN 2017, 6 LBS. (MAIDEN


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 3 WILBO 7/2

    # 7 WINGS LOCKED UP 3/1

    # 8 IVAN FALLUNOVALOT 6/5

    I think WILBO is a solid choice. Must be given a shot based on the competitive speed rating earned in the last race. Is hard not to examine given the company run in as of late. Is a solid contender based on figs recorded lately under today's conditions. WINGS LOCKED UP - Will probably go to the lead and might never look back. Has very strong Equibase Speed Figures and has to be considered for a wager in this race. IVAN FALLUNOVALOT - Has been moving admirably and has among the most favorable speed in the race for today's distance. Players ought to take a good look at this one as this gelding has one of the best win percentages at this distance in this field.

  19. #79
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    MLB
    Dunkel

    Sunday, September 24



    Washington @ NY Mets

    Game 951-952
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Washington
    (Scherzer) 11.370
    NY Mets
    (deGrom) 14.162
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Mets
    by 3
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Washington
    -165
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Mets
    (+145); Over

    Philadelphia @ Atlanta


    Game 953-954
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Philadelphia
    (Pivetta) 15.730
    Atlanta
    (Gohara) 12.145
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 3 1/2
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    -135
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (+115); Over

    St. Louis @ Pittsburgh


    Game 955-956
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    St. Louis
    (Gant) 16.569
    Pittsburgh
    (Taillon) 14.752
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    St. Louis
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    St. Louis
    -115
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    St. Louis
    (-115); Under

    Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee


    Game 957-958
    September 24, 2017 @ 2:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Chicago Cubs
    (Quntana) 14.668
    Milwaukee
    (Andrson) 16.441
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Milwaukee
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Chicago Cubs
    -130
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Milwaukee
    (+110); Under

    San Francisco @ LA Dodgers


    Game 959-960
    September 24, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    San Francisco
    (Stratton) 15.284
    LA Dodgers
    (Kershaw) 13.923
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Francisco
    by 1 1/2
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    LA Dodgers
    -300
    7
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Francisco
    (+250); Over

    Miami @ Arizona


    Game 961-962
    September 24, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    (Straily) 13.464
    Arizona
    (Corbin) 15.769
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Arizona
    by 2 1/2
    12
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arizona
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Arizona
    N/A

    Colorado @ San Diego


    Game 963-964
    September 24, 2017 @ 4:40 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    (Marquez) 13.034
    San Diego
    (Perdomo) 13.908
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    San Diego
    by 1
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Colorado
    -125
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    San Diego
    (+105); Under

    NY Yankees @ Toronto


    Game 965-966
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Yankees
    (Garcia) 17.337
    Toronto
    (Stroman) 15.726
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    NY Yankees
    by 1 1/2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    NY Yankees
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    NY Yankees
    N/A

    Minnesota @ Detroit


    Game 967-968
    September 24, 2017 @ 12:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Minnesota
    (Berrios) 17.191
    Detroit
    (Farmer) 13.552
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Minnesota
    by 3 1/2
    13
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Minnesota
    -165
    10
    Dunkel Pick:
    Minnesota
    (-165); Over

    Tampa Bay @ Baltimore


    Game 969-970
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:35 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    (Archer) 14.603
    Baltimore
    (Bundy) 16.534
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Baltimore
    by 2
    10
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    -115
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Baltimore
    (-105); Over

    LA Angels @ Houston


    Game 971-972
    September 24, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    LA Angels
    (Skaggs) 14.031
    Houston
    (McCllers) 16.120
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Houston
    by 2
    6
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Houston
    -160
    9
    Dunkel Pick:
    Houston
    (-160); Under

    Kansas City @ Chicago White Sox


    Game 973-974
    September 24, 2017 @ 2:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas City
    (Kennedy) 17.342
    Chicago White Sox
    (Giolito) 15.299
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 2
    8
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    -115
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (-115); Under

    Texas @ Oakland


    Game 975-976
    September 24, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Texas
    (Perez) 15.066
    Oakland
    (Cotton) 16.566
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Oakland
    by 1 1/2
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oakland
    -115
    9 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Oakland
    (-115); Under

    Cleveland @ Seattle


    Game 977-978
    September 24, 2017 @ 4:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    (Kluber) 17.382
    Seattle
    (Leake) 14.319
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 3
    7
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    -220
    7 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-220); Under

    Boston @ Cincinnati


    Game 979-980
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:10 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Boston
    (Fister) 14.756
    Cincinnati
    (Stephens) 15.628
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cincinnati
    by 1
    11
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Boston
    -130
    10
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cincinnati
    (+110); Over


  20. #80
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    MLB

    Sunday, September 24


    National League
    Cardinals @ Pirates
    Gant started seven games for the Braves LY; he’s allowed four runs in 9.1 IP in five relief stints this year. He was 6-5, 3.83 in 18 AAA starts this season.

    Taillon is 0-2, 7.45 in his last two starts; under is 3-1 in his last four. He is 0-1, 5.63 in three starts vs St Louis this season. Pirates are 5-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 10-8-5

    Cardinals won four of their last five games; over is 5-3 in their last eight games. Pittsburgh lost eight of last ten games; under is 13-4 in their last 17 games.

    Nationals @ Mets
    Scherzer is 3-1, 4.35 in his last five starts; over is 9-4 in his last 13 starts. He is 2-1, 3.68 against the Mets this season— their first 5-inning record with him: 18-8-4

    deGrom is 1-2, 6.35 in his last four starts; over is 6-1-1 in his last eight. He is 3-0, 1.99 in his last three starts vs Washington. Mets are 0-4 in his last four home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-11-2

    Washington won four of last six games; under is 8-3-2 in their last 13 games. Mets are 3-9 in their last 12 games (over 8-4).

    Phillies @ Braves
    Pivetta is 1-1, 6.55 in his last four starts; over is 5-3-2 in his last ten. He is 2-0, 3.27 vs Atlanta this season. Phillies are 4-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-15-2

    Gohara is 1-2, 6.61 in three starts this year (over 2-1). Atlanta is 0-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 0-2-1

    Phillies lost their last three games; under is 6-1-2 in their last nine. Atlanta won its last three games; under is 7-2 in their last nine games.

    Cubs @ Brewers
    Quintana is 2-0, 3.00 in his last four starts; under is 4-2 in his last six. Cubs are 2-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-4-3

    Anderson is 4-0, 2.93 in his last five starts (over 3-1-1). He is 2-1, 5.79 vs Chicago this season. Milwaukee is 7-4 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 14-7-2

    Cubs won nine of last 11 games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven. Milwaukee lost three of last four games; over is 4-2-1 in their last seven home games.

    Marlins @ Diamondbacks
    Straily is 1-1, 7.31 in his last three starts; over is 6-1 in his last seven. Miami is 6-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-11-4

    Corbin is 1-2, 7.31 in his last three starts; over is 9-4 in his last 13 starts. Arizona is 10-5 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-14-4

    Marlins won five of last seven games; their last ten road games went over. Arizona lost four of last six games; under is 5-4 in their last nine games.

    Rockies @ Padres
    Marquez is 0-2, 6.86 in his last four starts; under is 9-2-1 in his last 12. He is 1-1, 6.94 in two starts against the Padres this season. Colorado is 7-8 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-7-4

    Perdomo is 2-2, 3.38 in his last five starts (under 4-1). He is 0-1, 8.64 in two starts vs Colorado this season. San Diego is 7-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 12-11-4

    Colorado lost five of its last six games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. San Diego won five of its last seven games (under 8-3).

    Giants @ Dodgers
    Stratton is 1-1, 3.86 in his last four starts (over 3-1). Giants are 1-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-4-1

    Kershaw is 1-2, 5.74 in his last three starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven starts. He is 2-1, 2.84 against the Giants this year. LA is 10-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 19-3-4

    Giants won four of their last five games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Dodgers are 7-16 in their last 23 games; over is 5-4 in their last nine home games.

    ——————————–

    American League
    Rays @ Orioles
    Archer is 0-4, 9.88 in his last four starts; under is 6-3 in his last nine. He is 0-2, 7.11 against the Orioles this year. Rays are 7-9 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 17-10-5

    Bundy is 0-1, 7.54 in his last three starts; over is 4-2 in his last six. He is 1-1, 5.19 in three starts vs Tampa Bay this season. Orioles are 10-6 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-10-2

    Rays won three of last four games; three of their last four games went over. Baltimore lost 14 of last 17 games; over is 7-2 in their last nine home games.

    New York @ Toronto
    Garcia is 0-2, 5.14 in seven starts for New York (under 6-1). NY is 2-2 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-4-2

    Stroman is 2-2, 3.72 in his last seven starts; under is 3-0-1 in his last four. Toronto 9-8 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 16-13-2

    New York won eight of last ten games; under is 5-1-1 in their last seven road games. Toronto lost four of last six games; under is 9-2-1 in their last 12 games.

    Twins @ Tigers
    Berrios is 0-2, 4.71 in his last four starts; under is 5-2 in his last seven. Twins lost his last ten road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-8-3

    Farmer is 1-3, 9.82 in his last four starts; over is 4-2-1 in his last seven. Detroit lost his last four home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-6

    Twins won their last three games; over is 3-0-1 in their last four. Detroit is 2-13 in its last 15 games; over is 11-1-1 in their last 13 home games.

    Angels @ Astros
    Skaggs is 1-1, 1.46 in his last two starts; over is 4-1 in his last five. He is 1-0, 3.75 in two starts vs Houston this year. Angels are 2-5 in his road starts — their first 5-inning record with him: 3-9-2

    McCullers is 0-2, 9.38 in his last five starts, with two DL stints mixed in there. Over is 5-1 in his last six starts. He is1 -0, 0.66 in two starts against the Angels this year. Astros are 6-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-8-3

    Angels lost their last six games; their last six road games stayed under. Houston won eight of its last nine games; under is 14-3 in their last 17 home games.

    Royals @ While Sox
    Kennedy is 0-3, 8.82 in his last four starts; over is 4-2 in his last six starts. He is 0-1, 8.59 in three starts vs Chicago this season. Royals are 8-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 7-17-4

    Giolito is 0-2, 3.93 in his last three starts (under 5-1). White Sox are 2-2 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-3

    Royals are 4-6 in their last ten games; under is 7-4 in their last 11 games. White Sox lost four of last six games; over is 6-1-1 in their last eight home games.

    Rangers @ A’s
    Perez is 7-1, 3.61 in his last nine starts; over is 10-7 in his last 17 starts. He is 1-1, 4.00 vs Oakland this year. Texas is 6-6 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 13-13-4

    Cotton is 3-0, 6.07 in his last five starts, last four of which went over. He is 1-1, 5.56 vs Texas this season. A’s are 5-7 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 9-13-1

    Rangers won four of their last six games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Oakland is 13-3 in its last 16 games; over is 8-3 in their last 11 home games.

    Indians @ Mariners
    Kluber is 5-0, 1.15 in his last five starts; under is 7-3 in his last ten. Cleveland is 9-3 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 15-10-2

    Leake is 3-0, 2.49 in four starts for Seattle (under 4-0). Mariners are 2-1 in his home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 3-0-1

    Indians are 28-2 in their last 30 games; over is 4-2 in their last six road games. Seattle lost seven of its last eight games; under is 13-5 in their last 18.

    __________________________

    Interleague

    Red Sox @ Reds
    Fister is 0-1, 16.50 in his last two starts; under is 4-1 in his last five. Boston is 4-1 in his road starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 5-8

    Stephens is 1-0, 8.31 in two starts this season (over 1-1). Reds split his two home starts— their first 5-inning record with him: 1-1

    Boston won eight of last nine games; under is 10-4 in their last 14 road games. Cincinnati lost its last five games, three of which went over.

    ______________________________

    Record with this pitcher starting:
    National League
    StL-Pitt: Gant 0-0; Talllon 11-12
    Wsh-NY: Scherzer 20-9; deGrom 17-13
    Phil-Atl: Pivetta 9-15; Gohara 1-2
    Chi-Mil: Quintana 8-4; Anderson 13-10
    Mia-Az: Straily 15-16; Corbin 16-15
    Colo-SD: Marquez 16-11; Perdomo 12-15
    SF-LA: Stratton 5-3; Kershaw 21-4

    American League
    TB-Balt: Archer 15-17; Bundy 17-11
    NY-Tor: Garcia 4-3; Stroman 18-13
    Minn-Det: Berrios 13-11; Farmer 4-5
    LA-Hst: Skaggs 6-8; McCullers 13-7
    KC-Chi: Kennedy 13-15; Giolito 3-3
    Tex-A’s: Perez 15-15; Cotton 10-13
    Clev-Sea: Kluber 19-8; Leake 3-1

    Interleague
    Bos-Cin: Fister 7-6; Stephens 1-1

    Pitchers allowing a run in first inning:
    National League
    StL-Pitt: Gant 0-0; Talllon 6-23
    Wsh-NY: Scherzer 6-29; deGrom 9-30
    Phil-Atl: Pivetta 11-24; Gohara 2-3
    Chi-Mil: Quintana 4-12; Anderson 7-23
    Mia-Az: Straily 7-31; Corbin 13-31
    Colo-SD: Marquez 7-27; Perdomo 9-27
    SF-LA: Stratton 1-7; Kershaw 5-25

    American League
    TB-Balt: Archer 10-32; Bundy 4-28
    NY-Tor: Garcia 5-7; Stroman 6-31
    Minn-Det: Berrios 6-24; Farmer 4-9
    LA-Hst: Skaggs 7-14; McCullers 4-20
    KC-Chi: Kennedy 8-28; Giolito 0-6
    Tex-A’s: Perez 12-30; Cotton 10-23
    Clev-Sea: Kluber 5-27; Leake 2-4

    Interleague
    Bos-Cin: Fister 8-15 (6 of last 6); Stephens 0-2

    _________________________

    Umpires
    National League
    StL-Pitt: Under is 6-3 in last nine Hamari games.
    Wsh-NY: Under is 8-2 in last ten Segal games.
    Phil-Atl: Three of last four Scheurwater games went over.
    Chi-Mil: Four of last five Demuth games stayed under.
    Mia-Az: Over is 5-2 in last seven Kellogg games.
    Colo-SD: Last four Meals games stayed under.
    SF-LA: Three of last four Baker games went over.

    American League
    TB-Balt: Six of last eight Cederstrom games went over.
    NY-Tor: Underdogs are 3-3 (+$149) in last six Carlson games.
    Minn-Det: Three of last four Davis games went over.
    LA-Hst: Five of last six Little games stayed under.
    KC-Chi: Over is 6-2 in last eight Whitson games.
    Tex-A’s: Underdogs are 4-3 in last seven Hallion games.
    Clev-Sea: Under is 4-1-2 in last seven Wolf games.

    Interleague
    Bos-Cin: Five of last six Wegner games went over.

    Interleague play
    NL @ AL– 84-57 AL, favorites -$280
    AL @ NL– 73-71 NL, favorites +$316
    Total: 155-130 AL, favorites +$36

    Totals in interleague games
    NL @ AL: Over 71-68-4
    AL @ NL: Over 74-63-8
    Total: Over 145-131-12

    Teams’ records in first five innings:
    Team (road-home-total)- thru 9/19/17
    Ariz 28-26-20……43-25–12……..71-51
    Atl 27-35-10……26-42-8………..53-77
    Cubs 33-31-8…….39-25-14………..72-56
    Reds 23-43-9……..30-37-9…………53-80
    Colo 38-31-7………40-29-5………..78-60
    LA 38-24-13…….41-25-9…………79-49
    Miami 32-36-10…….36-26-11………68-62
    Milw 37-27-10…….38-29-10……….74-56
    Mets 33-39-5……..30-37-7………….63-76
    Philly 19-43-16……30-36-9………..49-79
    Pitt 31-37-9…….28-33-13………..60-70
    St. Louis 32-34-9……..39-25-10………..71-59
    SD 21-46-8……..38-29–9…………59-75
    SF 16-49-9……..30-33-13……….46-81
    Wash 43-23-7……34-33-10………….77-56

    Orioles 29-39-5……..31-39-8………..60-78
    Boston 31-35-11………34-37-3……….65-72
    White Sox 25-40-11………29-42–4…….54-82
    Cleveland 45-23-8……..39-24-10……..84-47
    Detroit 27-38-10…….30-36-11……..57-74
    Astros 37-28-11……..47-24-5………84-52
    KC 26-35-13……..30-31-13…….56-66
    Angels 26-39-8………31-31-14……..57-70
    Twins 38-24-13………38-33-8……..76-57
    NYY 34-38-7……….40-28-5…..…74-66
    A’s 29-39-10……..32-32-12……..61-71
    Seattle 29-39-9……..39-25-11………68-64
    TB 36-29-11……..40-24-9……..76-53
    Texas 35-27-12……..38-28-9……..73-55
    Toronto 30-40-5……..30-33-12……..60-73

    %age of times teams score in first inning (road/home/total- 9/19/17)
    Ariz 24-76……..27-74………..51
    Atl 17-71……….19-79………36
    Cubs 20-72……..26-78………..46
    Reds 30-76……..27-76……….57
    Colo 20-76……..25-74..……..45
    LA 23-76……..26-74..…….49
    Miami 32-78……..27-73……….59
    Milw 24-74……29-78…..…..53
    Mets 34-75……..26-75……….60
    Philly 17-78……..24-74……….41
    Pitt 22-77……..22-75……….44
    StL 16-76……..23-73………..39
    SD 23-75……….26-75……….49
    SF 17-75……….22-77……….39
    Wash 26-73……..30-77……….56

    Orioles 17-76……..25-77……….42
    Boston 21-77……..18-74……….39
    White Sox 24-76……20-75……….44
    Clev 22-77……..26-75………48
    Detroit 18-74…….27-77………45
    Astros 21-77……..29-74………50
    KC 18-75……..16-76………..34
    Angels 27-75……..22-77……….49
    Twins 17-73……..20-77……….37
    NYY 19-78……..21-73……….40
    A’s 20-76……..27-76………47
    Seattle 21-77…….25-77……….46
    TB 22-74……..26-77………48
    Texas 29-76……..30-74………59
    Toronto 26-76……..21-78………47

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