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Thread: Sunday 9-24-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #21
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    Trends - Tampa Bay at Minnesota

    ATS Trends

    Tampa Bay
    • Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
    • Buccaneers are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
    • Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
    • Buccaneers are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
    • Buccaneers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 vs. NFC.
    • Buccaneers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Buccaneers are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games in September.
    • Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.
    • Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in Week 3.

    Minnesota
    • Vikings are 9-0 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Vikings are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Vikings are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games in September.
    • Vikings are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • Vikings are 21-6 ATS in their last 27 games on fieldturf.
    • Vikings are 23-7 ATS in their last 30 home games.
    • Vikings are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss.
    • Vikings are 21-8 ATS in their last 29 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Vikings are 7-3-2 ATS in their last 12 games in Week 3.
    • Vikings are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
    • Vikings are 39-18 ATS in their last 57 games overall.
    • Vikings are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 vs. NFC.
    • Vikings are 1-4 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.

    OU Trends

    Tampa Bay
    • Under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-0-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games following a straight up win.
    • Under is 6-1-1 in Buccaneers last 8 games overall.
    • Under is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 vs. NFC.
    • Under is 4-1-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games following a ATS win.
    • Over is 9-3-1 in Buccaneers last 13 games after allowing less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Over is 5-2 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 17-7 in Buccaneers last 24 games following a straight up win of more than 14 points.

    Minnesota
    • Over is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 games following a straight up loss.
    • Under is 4-0 in Vikings last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Under is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 5-1 in Vikings last 6 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 4-1 in Vikings last 5 games in Week 3.
    • Under is 7-2 in Vikings last 9 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 16-5 in Vikings last 21 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 9-3 in Vikings last 12 games in September.
    • Under is 15-5-1 in Vikings last 21 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Over is 5-2 in Vikings last 7 vs. NFC.
    • Under is 19-9-1 in Vikings last 29 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.

    Head to Head

    • Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
    • Underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
    • Road team is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

  2. #22
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    Mike Francesca (5-1 YTD)


    Colts +1
    Pack -9
    Giants +6

  3. #23
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    When: 12:00 PM ET, Sunday, September 24, 2017
    Where: Pratt & Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field, East Hartford, Connecticut


    Preview: East Carolina at Connecticut

    Gracenote
    Sep 21, 2017

    East Carolina will have Thomas Sirk back under center when it visits Connecticut in the American Athletic Conference opener for both teams Sunday. Sirk sat out with a concussion as the struggling Pirates watched No. 13 Virginia Tech score the final 57 points in a 64-17 loss.



    The Huskies were also hammered last week, falling at Virginia 38-18 as the Cavaliers' Kurt Benkert threw for a program-record 455 yards. "There were some good things that happened (against Virginia) but there were a lot of bad things,” Connecticut coach Randy Edsall told reporters. East Carolina defeated the Huskies 41-3 last season as the home team won for the third straight time in the series. Sunday's game was originally scheduled for Nov. 4, but moved as part of a shake-up to get UConn's postponed game with South Florida back on the schedule.
    TV: Noon, ET, ESPNU. LINE: UConn -4.5

    ABOUT EAST CAROLINA (0-3): East Carolina raced out to a shocking 17-7 lead against Virginia Tech last week before collapsing and the Pirates have been outscored 154-51 so far, also losing to James Madison and West Virginia. Sirk, a dual-threat in the backfield, passed concussion protocol before last week's game but the team elected to hold the Duke graduate transfer out another week. “Coming off what could have been a concussion (at West Virginia) and me going through the protocol and making sure I passed everything, just made a decision that I didn’t want to jump in there too soon and maybe be out three or four games or maybe the rest of the season, so I think it was a smart move,” Sirk told reporters.
    ABOUT UCONN (1-1): Bryant Shirreffs was 18-for-26 passing for 227 yards and led the Huskies with 90 yards rushing on 14 carries against the Cavaliers. The Huskies have gotten very little out of senior running back Arkeel Newsome, who was one of the nation's leading all-purpose backs last season. Newsome has rushed 14 times for 17 yards on the season and has five catches for 85 yards without a touchdown.

    EXTRA POINTS
    1. UConn has lost seven straight games against FBS schools with its last victory coming against Cincinnati at home in October 8, 2016.
    2. Huskies RB Nate Hopkins rushed for 130 yards and scored three touchdowns in the team's season opener against Holy Cross but gained only 34 yards on 10 carries without a score against Virginia.
    3. East Carolina S Tim Irvin left last week's game with an ankle injury but will play Sunday.

    PREDICTION: UConn 20, East Carolina 17

  4. #24
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    Trends - East Carolina at Connecticut

    ATS Trends

    East Carolina
    • Pirates are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games on grass.
    • Pirates are 9-27 ATS in their last 36 games overall.
    • Pirates are 7-22 ATS in their last 29 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
    • Pirates are 5-18 ATS in their last 23 games following a ATS loss.
    • Pirates are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
    • Pirates are 3-14 ATS in their last 17 games following a straight up loss.
    • Pirates are 4-20 ATS in their last 24 conference games.
    • Pirates are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Pirates are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Pirates are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a double-digit loss at home.
    • Pirates are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
    • Pirates are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Pirates are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Pirates are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
    • Pirates are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 road games.

    Connecticut
    • Huskies are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Huskies are 8-21-1 ATS in their last 30 games on grass.
    • Huskies are 14-37-1 ATS in their last 52 games overall.
    • Huskies are 9-26-2 ATS in their last 37 games following a ATS loss.
    • Huskies are 5-15-1 ATS in their last 21 home games.
    • Huskies are 7-22-1 ATS in their last 30 games following a straight up loss.
    • Huskies are 6-19-2 ATS in their last 27 games in September.
    • Huskies are 11-38-2 ATS in their last 51 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Huskies are 6-22 ATS in their last 28 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
    • Huskies are 4-19-3 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Huskies are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    • Huskies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 conference games.

    OU Trends

    East Carolina
    • Under is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 road games.
    • Over is 8-2 in Pirates last 10 games in September.
    • Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games following a straight up loss.
    • Over is 4-1 in Pirates last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 11-3 in Pirates last 14 conference games.
    • Under is 7-3 in Pirates last 10 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

    Connecticut
    • Under is 6-1 in Huskies last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Under is 5-1 in Huskies last 6 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 19-7 in Huskies last 26 home games.
    • Under is 19-7 in Huskies last 26 games following a straight up loss.
    • Under is 5-2 in Huskies last 7 games overall.
    • Under is 15-6 in Huskies last 21 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 10-4 in Huskies last 14 games on grass.
    • Under is 19-8 in Huskies last 27 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 9-4 in Huskies last 13 conference games.

    Head to Head

    No trends available.

  5. #25
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    NFL opening line report: Cowboys open as 3.5-point road favorites at Cardinals
    Patrick Everson

    Monday Night Football is now in the books and we’re on our way to Week 3 of the NFL season. We check in on the opening lines for four noteworthy games, with insights from Scott Cooley, odds consultant for offshore sportsbook Bookmaker.eu.

    Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-12)

    New England got a lot of its offensive mojo back in Week 2, but also lost stud tight end Rob Gronkowski to a groin injury, though it’s not considered serious. The Patriots (1-1 SU and ATS) raced out to a 30-13 halftime lead and coasted past New Orleans 36-20 victory Sunday as a 5.5-point road favorite.

    Houston (1-1 SU and ATS) also bounced back from a poor season opener, though it has managed just 20 total points over two games. The Texans traveled to Cincinnati for the Thursday nighter and nabbed a 13-9 upset as a 5-point underdog.

    “We were forced to inflate this number some, as the public knows well the disparity in these offenses,” Cooley said. “But it will be interesting to see how the Pats handle a top-flight defense, because they didn’t exactly impress against a great Chiefs defense (with Eric Berry) in their opener. Of course on the flip side, Bill Belichick eats rookie quarterbacks for breakfast.”

    Early action certainly points to that, as Bookmaker.eu’s opening line of Pats -12 was up to 13 by late Sunday night.

    Oakland Raiders at Washington Redskins (+3.5)

    Oakland is out of the gate 2-0 SU and ATS as it preps for its second long road trip in the first three weeks, this time for the Sunday night game. The Raiders, who opened with a win at Nashville, drubbed the New York Jets 45-20 Sunday as a healthy 14-point home chalk.

    Washington bounced back from a season-opening home loss to Philadelphia by escaping Los Angeles with a 27-20 victory over the Rams as a 3-point road ‘dog.

    “I think the Redskins were better represented this week than what they put forth in their opener. That said, this is a very good-looking Raiders squad,” Cooley said. “There’s a reason smart bettors were pouring money on this team to win the Super Bowl during the offseason. Action should lean toward Oakland.”

    Dallas Cowboys at Arizona Cardinals (+3.5)

    Dallas got an early-season reality check on its Sunday visit to the Mile High City. In a game delayed an hour during the first half due to lightning, the Cowboys (1-1 SU and ATS) had little thunder on offense or defense, losing to Denver 42-17 laying 2.5 points.

    Arizona rebounded from a season-opening setback at Detroit, but just barely. The Cardinals (1-1 SU, 0-2 ATS) were again on the road and needed overtime to dispatch undermanned Indianapolis 16-13 giving 7 points.

    “Dallas’ defense was certainly exposed at Denver, but it’s not as if Arizona has done anything to impress us early in this season,” Cooley said of the Week 3 Monday night contest. “We know the public is going to be all over the Cowboys to bounce back, so expect the line to trend that way.”

    Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (no line)

    Defending NFC champion Atlanta (2-0 SU, 1-1 ATS) christened its new stadium in style in the Week 2 Sunday nighter. The Falcons jumped all over Green Bay early en route to a 34-23 victory as a 3-point home fave.

    Detroit still has some Week 2 work to do, traveling to face the New York Giants tonight, Bookmaker.eu is holding off on posting the line for this Week 3 clash. The Lions opened the year with a 35-23 home win over Arizona as a 2.5-point pup.

    “The creation of this line will somewhat be predicated on each team’s performance in Week 2,” Cooley said ahead of Atlanta’s Sunday night victory. “If there aren’t any major injuries on Sunday and Monday night, and nothing looks out of sorts, we’ll look to open the Lions as very small underdogs. And they’ll be live in the eyes of some bettors.”

  6. #26
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    NFL Week 3 lines that make you go hmmm...
    Peter Korner

    Longtime Las Vegas oddsmaker Peter Korner sizes up this week’s NFL schedule and picks out some of the lines making him go “hmmm...” in Week 3, including a rare situation in which the Browns are actually laying chalk on the road in their Sunday matchup against the hapless Colts and it may not be enough.

    Cleveland Browns at Indianapolis Colts (+1, 40.5)

    Cleveland visits Indianapolis this week in a pairing of 0-2 teams both looking for positive signs.

    If there's one thing to notice about each team thus far, Cleveland has been playing with a bit more fire, but certainly has played superior teams as compared to Indianapolis. Why this line stands at a mere -1 is questionable. Expect this line to move into the -2, -2.5 range before this one gets underway.

    In a game that will be starving for points (Under 40.5 anyone?), the Browns should dominate this game at the line, as the Colts are certainly not striking fear into anyone’s defensive scheme. Cleveland is supposed to be improving from last season and this is a game they should win. With such a low spread, that’s all you’re asking them to do.

    The Colts have looked awful so far against the lowly Rams and gave their second game away with some late horrendous play. It’s not the kind of play that inspires a team to improve the following week. The Colts aren’t looking at this game as a “must-win” game. They know they’re in for a long season, but improvements may be their only catalyst. I see this game as a “must-win” for Cleveland who has some expectations riding along in this one.

    If you like the Browns, get this early in the week. If you somehow see a glimmer of hope with the Colts, wait until Sunday for your best number.

    Miami Dolphins at New York Jets (-6, 41)

    Miami visits the New York on a Sunday home opener for the Jets which may prove to be cringeworthy to watch.

    The Dolphins did not have the luxury of having one game in their pockets when they faced the Chargers last week and yet, pulled out the win in Los Angeles shaking off some rust in the meantime. The Jets fell apart defensively against the Raiders in giving up a whopping 45 points and dropping to 0-2 for the season to start.

    Usually there’s a good reason for a visiting team to be favored by six points on the road. Either the away team is exceptionally good or the home team is exceptionally not-so-good. I think the latter may be applied here.

    Though the standing six is a high price tag to lay at first look, you might just be wondering who will exactly take the Jets even at this level? It's hard to see where New York money is going to come in hard and heavy at post. The most likely scenario will be a slow, steady stream of Dolphin cash which should drive this up to the -6 or -6.5 level before this gets underway. Jump on Miami early as you can and wait if you’re a true believer in New York.

    Oakland Raiders at Washington (-3, 54)

    On Sunday night, Oakland will be playing at Washington.

    If you like the Raiders, we’re blessed to have this spread toeing the key three at his point. This, we know, will translate into a number that won’t move for a while. This line was created with perception over true value. Oddsmakers know the threshold of the betting public and the classic marquee matchup on a Sunday night with the home team as the underdog is a strong draw to casual bettors every time.

    Why make the line higher when you can get the same handle right at -3?

    The Raiders are playing like they did last year before the Carr injury. Now that’s he’s returned, so has the Oakland swagger. Though this is billed as a high scoring game, most of this should be on the Raiders scoreboard. The key three becomes less a factor the higher the total, when touchdowns reign more than field goals. Oakland has scored 71 points already in two games.
    Eventually, this number will probably stay on the -3 with a money line to lay for a while. But you can bet that bookmakers will be very heavy on Oakland when this kicks off. This line deserves to be in the -4 range so there’s value in the favorite here.

  7. #27
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    Wiseguys are advising that these Week 3 NFL lines are going to move

    Game to bet on now

    Kansas City at Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5)

    Smart bettors have already taken advantage in this one. The line opened at Chargers +3.5 in many places, and has been bet down to +2.5 – which means that wagerers might be able to win both ways if the Chiefs wind up winning by a field goal. And that’s very possible. All that aside, Kansas City needs this one to keep pace with Denver and Oakland in the ultra-strong AFC West.

    In fact, it’s imperative that the Chiefs avoid any leaks over the next three weeks because of a sadistic five-game (Pittsburgh, Oakland, Denver, Dallas, Giants) gauntlet that stares them in the face stating in mid-October. Now’s the time to take advantage of the Chargers, who are reeling after losing in their home opener to Miami before a lot of empty seats in their first game since moving from San Diego.

    Game to wait on

    Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-13)

    Heavy line on this game, the product of the Texans’ poor offensive performance in Cincinnati last Thursday and the Patriots’ 36-point output at New Orleans on Sunday. And also lots of uncertainty, especially considering the Patriots’ mounting injury problems on both sides of the ball. Just when NE seemed to have figured out what to do in Julian Edelman’s absence, other wideouts have gone down, further reducing Tom Brady’s options.

    Now comes word that LB/DE Dont’a Hightower (hurt knee in the opener vs. KC) has been seen by Dr. James Andrews – and it’s rarely good when your name and Andrews are mentioned in the same sentence. Might be a good idea to cool on this one until the injury reports are announced and we get some kind of idea what the Pats will have on the field.

    Total to watch

    Oakland Raiders at Washington (53.5)

    It looks like the Raiders are going to have one of their best teams in recent memory just as they get set to jump ship to Las Vegas. The competition (Titans, Jets) hasn’t put up much of a fight, but it’s the NFL and the Raiders have 71 points on the board through two games. Derek Carr is off to a terrific start (5 TD passes and the third-ranked QB) through two games, and Washington has not shown a lot so far this season. Washington is average offensively, but should put some points on the board in what has the look and feel of a high-scoring game unless there are significant weather issues.

  8. #28
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    NFL
    Long Sheet

    Week 3


    Sunday, September 24

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    BALTIMORE (2 - 0) vs. JACKSONVILLE (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 9:30 AM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    JACKSONVILLE is 1-0 against the spread versus BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
    JACKSONVILLE is 1-1 straight up against BALTIMORE over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CLEVELAND (0 - 2) at INDIANAPOLIS (0 - 2) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CLEVELAND is 5-16 ATS (-12.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    PITTSBURGH (2 - 0) at CHICAGO (0 - 2) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CHICAGO is 38-22 ATS (+13.8 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive losses since 1992.
    PITTSBURGH is 101-71 ATS (+22.9 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    CHICAGO is 46-72 ATS (-33.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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    MIAMI (1 - 0) at NY JETS (0 - 2) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 46-68 ATS (-28.8 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
    MIAMI is 70-96 ATS (-35.6 Units) versus division opponents since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NY JETS is 2-1 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    NY JETS is 2-2 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    DENVER (2 - 0) at BUFFALO (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    BUFFALO is 42-24 ATS (+15.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 38.5 and 42 points since 1992.
    DENVER is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in September games over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    HOUSTON (1 - 1) at NEW ENGLAND (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    NEW ENGLAND is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as a favorite of 10 or more points over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 10-1 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    NEW ENGLAND is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) against AFC South division opponents since 1992.
    NEW ENGLAND is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    NEW ENGLAND is 3-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NEW ORLEANS (0 - 2) at CAROLINA (2 - 0) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    CAROLINA is 79-55 ATS (+18.5 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    NEW ORLEANS is 4-0 against the spread versus CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    CAROLINA is 3-1 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    TAMPA BAY (1 - 0) at MINNESOTA (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ATLANTA (2 - 0) at DETROIT (2 - 0) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    ATLANTA is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    DETROIT is 130-169 ATS (-55.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    NY GIANTS (0 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 1:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 against the spread versus NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    PHILADELPHIA is 3-1 straight up against NY GIANTS over the last 3 seasons
    3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    SEATTLE (1 - 1) at TENNESSEE (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 4:05 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    TENNESSEE is 47-27 ATS (+17.3 Units) in non-conference games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    KANSAS CITY (2 - 0) at LA CHARGERS (0 - 2) - 9/24/2017, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    KANSAS CITY is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in road games versus division opponents over the last 3 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    LA CHARGERS is 2-2 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
    KANSAS CITY is 4-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    CINCINNATI (0 - 2) at GREEN BAY (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 4:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    GREEN BAY is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home games since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 117-88 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    GREEN BAY is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 3 seasons.
    GREEN BAY is 182-127 ATS (+42.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    OAKLAND (2 - 0) at WASHINGTON (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 8:30 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    WASHINGTON is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 2 seasons.
    OAKLAND is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
    WASHINGTON is 83-113 ATS (-41.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 83-113 ATS (-41.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 83-113 ATS (-41.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
    WASHINGTON is 13-31 ATS (-21.1 Units) in home games in September games since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

  9. #29
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    NFL

    Week 3


    Trend Report

    Sunday, September 24

    10:30 AM
    BALTIMORE vs. JACKSONVILLE
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 5 games when playing Jacksonville
    Baltimore is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Jacksonville
    Jacksonville is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games when playing Baltimore
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 7 games when playing at home against Baltimore

    2:00 PM
    DENVER vs. BUFFALO
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
    Buffalo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home

    2:00 PM
    PITTSBURGH vs. CHICAGO
    The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Pittsburgh's last 10 games on the road
    Pittsburgh is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Chicago
    Chicago is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
    Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

    2:00 PM
    CLEVELAND vs. INDIANAPOLIS
    Cleveland is 2-9-1 ATS in its last 12 games
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
    Indianapolis is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
    Indianapolis is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

    2:00 PM
    NY GIANTS vs. PHILADELPHIA
    NY Giants are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when playing on the road against Philadelphia
    NY Giants are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games
    Philadelphia is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against NY Giants
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing at home against NY Giants

    2:00 PM
    TAMPA BAY vs. MINNESOTA
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games
    Tampa Bay is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
    Minnesota is 15-6 SU in its last 21 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota's last 6 games

    2:00 PM
    ATLANTA vs. DETROIT
    Atlanta is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing on the road against Detroit
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Detroit
    Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
    Detroit is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Atlanta

    2:00 PM
    HOUSTON vs. NEW ENGLAND
    The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Houston's last 10 games
    Houston is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against New England
    The total has gone OVER in 7 of New England's last 9 games when playing Houston
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games

    2:00 PM
    MIAMI vs. NY JETS
    Miami is 9-3-1 ATS in its last 13 games
    Miami is 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing on the road against NY Jets
    NY Jets are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games at home
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games

    2:00 PM
    NEW ORLEANS vs. CAROLINA
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of New Orleans's last 5 games
    New Orleans is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
    Carolina is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games
    Carolina is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against New Orleans

    5:05 PM
    SEATTLE vs. TENNESSEE
    Seattle is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
    Seattle is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
    Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Seattle
    Tennessee is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Seattle

    5:25 PM
    KANSAS CITY vs. LOS ANGELES
    Kansas City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 5 games on the road
    Los Angeles is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Kansas City
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games when playing Kansas City

    5:25 PM
    CINCINNATI vs. GREEN BAY
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cincinnati's last 7 games on the road
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Green Bay's last 16 games at home
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Green Bay's last 6 games at home

    9:30 PM
    OAKLAND vs. WASHINGTON
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games on the road
    Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Washington
    The total has gone OVER in 17 of Washington's last 23 games
    Washington is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Oakland

  10. #30
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    NFL

    Week 3


    Sunday's games
    Ravens (2-0) vs Jaguars (1-1) (@ London)— Baltimore forced 10 turnovers (+7) in winning first two games vs divisional foes; three of their five TD drives have been 40 or less yards. Ravens’ offense has started 10 drives 75+ yards from goal line, has only one TD, one FG, so their defense has been setting everything up. Jaguars won SU as underdogs in their last two London games; they split first two games this year, with turnovers dominating both games. Jax is 9-7 vs spread in last 16 games as an underdog. Teams split last six meetings; their games the last two years were decided by total of 3 points. Last two years, Ravens are 2-8-1 vs spread as a non-divisional favorite; they host rival Steelers next week.

    Browns (0-2) @ Colts (0-2)—Cleveland is a road favorite for just 2nd time in last 4+ years; over last decade, Browns are 5-2 vs spread as a road fave. Last 4+ years, AFC North teams are 10-20 vs spread as road faves. Browns faced Big Ben/Flacco in first two games; they drop way down in class here, facing Colts’ QB Brissett, who is 0-2 as an NFL starter, scoring 0-13 points in those games. Indy lost its first two games, scoring 9-13 points; they scored two TD’s on 25 drives, with 13 3/outs. Rookie QB Kizer got yanked from his first NFL road start; Browns are 5-24 on 3rd down so far this season. Indy is 7-1 vs Browns, with last two wins by total of five points. Cleveland’s only series win was here in 2011. 4 of last 6 series totals were 30 or less.

    Steelers (2-0) @ Bears (0-2)— In first two games, Steelers faced rookie QB Kizer, backup QB Keenum; hard to tell much about their defense yet. Steelers are only 8-26 on 3rd down; three of their four TD drives were 75+ yards. Last 2+ years, Pitt is 10-7 vs spread as a road favorite; last 8+ years, they’re 20-13 vs spread vs NFC teams. Last 4+ years, AFC North teams are 10-20 vs spread as road favorites. Chicago turned ball over four times in 29-7 loss in Tampa LW; Bucs’ TD drives were 13-35 yards, plus Tampa defense scored a TD. Pitt has 23 penalties for 221 yards in first two games; they need to clean that up. Steelers lost last two games with Chicago 17-14/40-23; their last win in Chicago was in ’95. How long before rookie QB Trubisky plays for Bears?

    Dolphins (1-0) @ Jets (0-2)— Miami is 4-2 vs spread in last six games as a road favorite; they’re 4-11 vs spread in last 15 AFC East road tilts. Jets won last five series games, taking last two played here by 18-21 points. Gang Green won/covered five of last seven home openers. Fish survived their opener in LA last week when Chargers missed last-minute 44-yard FG to win it; Miami kicked FG’s on all three red zone drives, but Cutler was 24-34/225 passing and they didn’t turn ball over. Jets allowed nine TD’s in first two games, with six drives of 77+ yards; opponents are 16-29 on 3rd down. Since 2013, New York is 10-5 vs spread as a home dog; last four years, they’re 8-4 vs spread in AFC East home games.

    Broncos (2-0) @ Bills (1-1)— First road game for Denver squad that ran ball for 318 yards, converted 17-30 on 3rd down in pair of home wins. Since 2011, Broncos are 20-10-1 vs spread as a road favorite; they’re 9-4–2 in last 15 games where spread was 3 or less points. Buffalo allowed only one TD in its first two games; they were held to 176 yards in 9-3 loss in Charlotte LW- they lost field position by 5-10 yards in first two games. Denver won six of last eight series games; last meeting was in 2014. Broncos won three of last four visits here; last one was in ’11. Denver won/covered six of last seven road openers. Last 2+ years, AFC West non-divisional road favorites are 13-3-1 vs spread.

    Texans (1-1) @ Patriots (1-1)— These teams practiced together for few days this summer; they do lot of same stuff, Patriots just do it a lot better. Houston passed for only 98 yards in rookie QB Watson’s first NFL start, but he didn’t turn ball over and had a 49-yard TD run, their only TD of game. Texans are 8-11-1 as road underdogs under O’Brien- they’re 4-11 in last 15 non-divisional road games. New England allowed 700 passing yards in winning first two games, but against veteran QB’s; doubtful Watson can exploit that weakness. Patriots won last six series games, hammering Texans 27-0 in game LY that Brady sat out; they then waxed Houston 34-16 in playoffs. Texans are 0-5 in Foxboro, with 13 points the closest of the five games.

    Saints (0-2) @ Panthers (2-0)— New Orleans is 0-2 for 4th year in row; loss here makes them 0-3 for 3rd year in row, which is bad for job security. Saints allowed 1,025 total yards, 777 thru air in first two games without forcing a turnover; last 3+ years, they’re 11-5-1 as road underdogs, 5-1 in last six NFC South road games. Panthers won first two games and haven’t allowed a TD yet, but they’ve also faced QB’s Hoyer/Taylor. Brees’ offense is big step up in competition here. Carolina is 7-3 in its last 10 games with the Saints; last three were all decided by 3 points. New Orleans is 1-4 in last five visits to Charlotte, losing here last two years by 5-3 points. Panthers are 15-9-2 vs spread in last 26 games as a home favorite.

    Buccaneers (1-0) @ Vikings (1-1)— Bradford’s balky knee (are you surprised?) puts backup QB Keenum (9-16-1 as NFL starter) into spotlight. Minnesota is 14-4 vs spread as a home favorite under Zimmer, 11-1 vs non-division opponents. Under is 10-6 in their last 16 home games. Tampa Bay’s defense was dominant in opening win LW; their two TD drives were only 13-35 yards. Bucs converted 8-15 on 3rd down, forced four turnovers (+3). Bucs won six of last seven series games, winning last three visits here, by 11-4-19 points- teams haven’t met since 2014. Tampa Bay is 8-3 vs spread in last 11 road openers (8-2 in last 10 as a dog in AO’s). Last 3+ years, NFC North home favorites are 29-14-2 vs spread outside their division.

    Falcons (2-0) @ Lions (2-0)— Short week for Detroit team that ran ball 59 times in first couple games, as they try to take some stress off QB Stafford. Since 2011, Lions are 2-8-1 as a home underdog; they’re 15-31 on 3rd down this season and scored TD on either defense/special teams in both games. Falcons are 4-4 as road favorites under Quinn; they threw ball for 9.6/7.2 ypp in first two games. Atlanta is +13 in turnovers in its last 18 regular season games. Under is 14-9 in their last 23 road games. Over is 24-17 in Detroit’s last 41 home games. Atlanta won three of last four games with Detroit; their last meeting was a 22-21 Lion win in England three years ago. Falcons won three of last four visits to the Motor City.

    Giants (0-2) @ Eagles (1-1)— Giants scored one TD on 19 drives in losing its first two games by 16-14 points- they’ve run ball 30 times for 97 yards this season. Big Blue is 3-6-1 in last 10 NFC East road games, 5-9-2 in last 16 games as a road underdog, 1-3-1 under McAdoo. Philly is 13-4 in last 17 series games, 5-1 in last six; Giants lost last three visits here by combined score of 78-26. Iggles are 6-3 in last nine home openers. Philly was favored in only 2 of 8 home games LY; they’re since 2012, they’re 12-15-1 as a home favorite (1-1 under Pederson). Eagles are 5-9-1 in last 15 NFC East home games- they ran ball 17 times LW, dropped back to pass 52 times- they need more balance. Under is 10-6 in Eagles’ last 16 home games.

    Seahawks (1-1) @ Titans (1-1)— Seattle scored 10 or fewer points in five of their last nine road games; since 2011, they’re 11-5-5 as a road underdog. Seahawks scored only one TD in two games this year, then they missed the PAT after that one, but they also held Packers to 17 points, so the defense is still very potent. Tennessee ran ball for 179 yards LW in easy win in Jacksonville; Since 2013, Titans are 5-9-1 as a home favorite, they’re 1-5 in last six games as a non-divisional home fave; over is 9-6-2 in their last 17 home games. Seahawks won six of last seven series games; this is their first visits to Nashville since ’05. Under is 10-7 in Seattle’s last 17 road games. Last 4+ years, NFC West non-divisional road underdogs are 14-28-4 against the spread.

    Chiefs (2-0) @ Chargers (0-2)— Chargers lost first two games when they missed FG’s in last minute of both games; Bolts are 0-6-1 vs spread in last seven games overall- they’re 2-6 vs spread in last eight games as a home underdog. Chargers ran ball for only 108 yards on 36 carries in first two games; over last decade, LA is 1-6 as a home dog in divisional games. Kansas City threw for 584 yards in winning first two games; they scored 25-21 points just in second half the last two weeks. Chiefs are 11-2 as a road favorite under Reid- they’re 10-2 vs spread in AFC West road games the last four years. Chiefs won last six series games, winning last three visits to San Diego, by 3-30-10 points. Over is 9-6-1 in Chiefs’ last 16 road games.

    Bengals (0-2) @ Packers (1-1)— Cincy is first NFL team since 1939 Eagles to start season wth two home games and not score TD in either one- they had extra time to prep after Thursday nite loss to Houston and its rookie QB- now they visit Rodgers/Packers, who are coming off bad loss in Atlanta. Green Bay is 5-6 vs spread the last two years when they’re coming off a loss- they have injury issues on offensive line. Packers are 5-2-1 in last eight games as a home favorite. Under is 12-5 in their last 17 home games. Bengals won last three games vs Packers by 7-7-4 points; they’re 3-4 in Wisconsin, but 2 of 3 wins came in Milwaukee, not Lambeau Field- they’re 1-4 in Green Bay. Cincy is 6-2-1 in last nine road openers.

    Raiders (2-0) @ Redskins (1-1)— Oakland is 4-1 as a road favorite under Del Rio; they won first two games this year by 10-25 points, scoring nine TD’s on 19 drives. Raiders are just 7-13 vs spread in last 20 games vs NFC teams. Washington allowed 538 passing yards in splitting first two games; they blew 13-0 lead in LA last week, but scored in last 2:00 to even their record. Redskins are 5-2 in last seven games as a home underdog— over is 7-2 in their last nine home games. Road team won last six series games; Raiders won last three visits here by 1-12-3 points- Redskins’ last home series win was in 1986. Oakland hasn’t turned ball over yet in ‘17; they averaged 7.4/8.2 yards/pass attempt in their two games this season.

    2017 week-by-week results
    HF HU Totals O/U AFC-NFC
    1) 5-5 3-2 4-11 1-0N
    2) 6-6 2-2 6-9-1 3-2A

  11. #31
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    NFL
    Dunkel

    Week 3


    Sunday, September 24

    Baltimore @ Jacksonville

    Game 461-462
    September 24, 2017 @ 9:30 am

    Dunkel Rating:
    Baltimore
    130.166
    Jacksonville
    134.392
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Jacksonville
    by 4
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Baltimore
    by 4
    39 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Jacksonville
    (+4); Over

    Cleveland @ Indianapolis


    Game 463-464
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cleveland
    129.088
    Indianapolis
    125.575
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Cleveland
    by 3 1/2
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Cleveland
    by 1
    40 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Cleveland
    (-1); Under

    Pittsburgh @ Chicago


    Game 465-466
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Pittsburgh
    137.086
    Chicago
    125.676
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 11 1/2
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Pittsburgh
    by 7
    44
    Dunkel Pick:
    Pittsburgh
    (-7); Under

    Miami @ NY Jets


    Game 467-468
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    128.937
    NY Jets
    121.657
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Miami
    by 7 1/2
    44
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Miami
    by 6
    41 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (-6); Over

    Denver @ Buffalo


    Game 469-470
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Denver
    138.199
    Buffalo
    130.683
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Denver
    by 7 1/2
    49
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Denver
    by 3
    40
    Dunkel Pick:
    Denver
    (-3); Over

    Houston @ New England


    Game 471-472
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Houston
    127.961
    New England
    146.449
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    New England
    by 18 1/2
    38
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    New England
    by 13
    44
    Dunkel Pick:
    New England
    (-13); Under

    New Orleans @ Carolina


    Game 473-474
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    New Orleans
    129.184
    Carolina
    136.705
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Carolina
    by 8 1/2
    38
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Carolina
    by 6
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    Carolina
    (-6); Under

    Tampa Bay @ Minnesota


    Game 475-476
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Tampa Bay
    135.452
    Minnesota
    132.857
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tampa Bay
    by 2 1/2
    39
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tampa Bay
    No Line
    N/A
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tampa Bay
    N/A

    Atlanta @ Detroit


    Game 477-478
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Atlanta
    138.479
    Detroit
    141.544
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Detroit
    by 3
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Atlanta
    by 3
    50 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Detroit
    (+3); Under

    NY Giants @ Philadelphia


    Game 479-480
    September 24, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    NY Giants
    127.180
    Philadelphia
    139.695
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 12 1/2
    46
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Philadelphia
    by 5 1/2
    42 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Philadelphia
    (-5 1/2); Over

    Seattle @ Tennessee


    Game 471-482
    September 24, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Seattle
    130.574
    Tennessee
    136.187
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Tennessee
    by 5 1/2
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Tennessee
    by 2 1/2
    42 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Tennessee
    (-2 1/2); Over

    Kansas City @ LA Chargers


    Game 483-484
    September 24, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Kansas City
    143.188
    LA Chargers
    130.243
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Kansas City
    by 13
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Kansas City
    by 3
    47
    Dunkel Pick:
    Kansas City
    (-3); Over

    Cincinnati @ Green Bay


    Game 485-486
    September 24, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Cincinnati
    126.479
    Green Bay
    139.706
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Green Bay
    by 13
    48
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Green Bay
    by 8 1/2
    44 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Green Bay
    (-8 1/2); Over

    Oakland @ Washington


    Game 487-488
    September 24, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Oakland
    133.381
    Washington
    133.337
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Washington
    Even
    51
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Oakland
    by 3 1/2
    54 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Washington
    (+3 1/2); Under





  12. #32
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    NFL's biggest betting mismatches: Week 3
    Monty Andrews

    New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers (-5.5, 48)

    Saints third-down D problems vs. Panthers' drive extension skills

    The Panthers have been the toughest team to score against through two games - but that hot defensive start will be put to the test this weekend as they host a Saints team that is winless so far, but can still put points on the board. Yet, while the main focus will be on whether Drew Brees can generate enough offense to offset the Saints' struggling defense, the Panthers will look to exploit what could be a major advantage: third-down production.

    Not much has gone right for the New Orleans defense so far, as it has allowed a whopping 65 points in losses to the Minnesota Vikings and New England Patriots. You could probably identify several problem areas here, but one of the most significant is the Saints' inability to force teams into fourth-down situations, allowing foes to convert on third down 57.7 percent of the time - the worst rate in football. New England ranked 27th in the category last season, so this trend isn't a new one.

    What is new, however, is Carolina's ability to extend drives. Cam Newton and the Panthers' offense was an efficient 7-of-13 in third-down situations in a season-opening win over the San Francisco 49ers, and despite doing little with the football in a 9-3 triumph over Buffalo in Week 2, Carolina was still a solid 7-of-16 on third down. While this might not last - the Panthers converted just 37.2 percent on third downs last season - it should at least continue through this week against a leaky Saints D.

    Pittsburgh Steelers at Chicago Bears (+7.5, 45.5)

    Steelers' rushing troubles vs. Bears' stout run D

    The Steelers are off to a 2-0 start and are heavily favored to remain unbeaten after this weekend as they visit a Bears team that has been outscored 52-24 in consecutive losses to open the season. Yet, while Pittsburgh has considerable advantages in several key areas, there is a chance the Bears could make things a little more even - though this mismatch Chicago enjoys might be more of a two-week aberration than a potential season-long trend.

    After struggling to run the football in a narrow Week 1 triumph over the Cleveland Browns, it was thought that Steelers star running back Le'Veon Bell was simply working his way back into game shape. But Pittsburgh didn't fare much better in Week 2 versus the Minnesota Vikings, as Bell needed 27 carries to record 87 yards on the ground. The Steelers average an NFL-worst 2.8 yards per carry, and with the Pittsburgh offense far less prolific on the road than at home, there's reason for concern this week.

    Chicago has had it rough, with quarterback Mike Glennon looking abysmal and the receiving corps absolutely decimated by injury. But the Bears' defense has actually been better than the point differential might suggest - particularly on the ground. Chicago is allowing a scant 3.2 YPC, tied for the ninth-lowest rate in the league. The Bears can't hope to keep Bell completely contained, but minimizing his impact could give the home side a chance at victory.

    New York Giants at Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5, 43.5)

    Giants' secondary struggles vs. Eagles' pass-heavy approach

    Fans who like to see footballs flying through the air should be in for a real treat Sunday as the Giants and Eagles renew hostilities in an NFC East showdown. The Giants are off to an 0-2 start and have scored a paltry 13 points in the process, while the Eagles have split a pair of games to open the campaign and haven't been shy about airing it out. That should work in their favor this weekend, with New York's secondary struggling to make an impact.

    Much was made about the Giants' attempts to fix their defense in the offseason, but the results through two games have been rough. New York comes into Week 3 action as one of nine teams without an interception, and its four sacks rank in the lower half league-wide. In a two-week stretch that has seen passing yards way down across the NFL, the Giants have allowed opposing QBs to post a 100.0 combined passer rating - good for 26th overall.

    QB Carson Wentz and the Philadelphia pass attack has already seen dramatic improvement over last season - boasting a QB rating 10 points higher than their 2016 figure so far - and haven't been shy about challenging opposing secondaries. Philadelphia has thrown the ball on 69.4 percent of its total offensive plays, the fourth-highest rate in the league and a 10-percent bump over last season. With the Giants sitting first at 72.2 percent, the ball will be flying - and that benefits the Eagles.

    Cincinnati Bengals at Green Bay Packers (-9, 44.5)

    Bengals' bad TOP numbers vs. Packers' elite clock control

    The Bengals are off to such a terrible offensive start, they've already replaced their offensive coordinator. Whether that will be enough to stem the tide is the only question in Cincinnati fans' minds as the 0-2 Bengals travel to Lambeau Field for a date with the 1-1 Packers. For Cincinnati to improve on the nine points it has scored through two games, it will need to do a batter job controlling the clock - something Green Bay has done tremendously well so far.

    A lot of factors go into time of possession, so there are plenty of reasons why the Bengals rank 27th in the category at 26:52 per game. Cincinnati has converted just eight of its 27 third-down opportunities into first downs, so far, while its 13 first downs per game rank ahead of only San Francisco. The Bengals have also generated just 4.3 yards per play, good for 29th overall. Simply put, QB Andy Dalton hasn't been able to do much of anything - and that means less time with the football.

    The Packers, on the other hand, have done an exquisite job of controlling the clock. After holding the ball for more than 39 minutes of a season-opening 17-9 win over Seattle, QB Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay offense had the ball for 31:23 but ultimately dropped a 34-23 decision to the quick-striking Falcons. With Jordy Nelson questionable (and expected to be limited if he does play), Rodgers will have to rely even more on short passes and a vaunted run game - and that's bad news for the Bengals.

  13. #33
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    NCAAF

    Week 4


    Trend Report

    Sunday, September 24

    12:00 PM
    EAST CAROLINA vs. CONNECTICUT
    East Carolina is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
    East Carolina is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
    Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Connecticut's last 7 games

  14. #34
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    NCAAF
    Long Sheet

    Sunday, September 24

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    E CAROLINA (0 - 3) at CONNECTICUT (1 - 1) - 9/24/2017, 12:00 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
    E CAROLINA is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 7 points since 1992.
    CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
    CONNECTICUT is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in September games over the last 2 seasons.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    CONNECTICUT is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    CONNECTICUT is 1-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
    2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

  15. #35
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    TONY KARPINSKI

    NFL | Sep 24, 2017
    Ravens vs. Jaguars

    Jaguars+3½

    The Ravens are drawing a lot of buzz after starting 2-0, but let's hold off on the coronation after beating two teams with major issues. Baltimore is a different team on the road and this is their first trip across the pond. This is Jacksonville's 5th trip so they are used to the travel patterns and I like this team. The Ravens O-line is decimated, and their offensive skill players haven't really impressed, just taking what their defense gives them. If the Jaguars can protect the ball -- a big if with Blake Bortles under center, I know -- their run game should dictate this matchup, especially with Ravens DT Brandon Williams out, and put them in a position to win. Take Jax PLUS THE PTS in this early Sunday morning kickoff.

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    Atlantic Sports


    Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Milwaukee Brewers + 120

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    The Vegas Steam Line


    Your free winner for Sunday: Take GREEN BAY -7½ over Cincinnati

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    Nevada Sharpshooter


    Your free winner for Sunday: Take NEW ORLEANS +5½ over Carolina

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    Razor Sharp


    YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: Take DENVER/BUFFALO UNDER the total of 39½

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    High Stakes Syndicate


    Free Selection for Early Sunday: Miami Dolphins - 5 1/2

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