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Thread: Service Plays Saturday 9/30/17

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    Service Plays Saturday 9/30/17


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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Fezzik GOY

    FEZZIK | CFB SIDE SAT/SUN, 10/01/17 - 12:00 AM
    208 Hawaii 7.0 (-110) Pinnacle vs 207 Colorado St.
    triple-dime bet
    Analysis:

    I LOVE Hawaii here.

    PHONY Haw loss catching 6 @ Wyoming where they massively outstatted Wyoming, and somehow lost by 7 in OT.

    CoSt looks to be massively overrated with their opponents like Or St and Co looking worse than expected. I am 100% convinced Bama played ultra Vanilla last week making CoSt looking better than they are last week.

    CoSt has a bye week, however that is negated IMO by the fact CSU had to travel to Bama (EAST) last week in a tough physical game, NOW they go back to Colo for 60 degree practice, then travel WEST to Haw for 80 degrees and Humidity in a sick 9pm PST late start that massively favors a Haw team that was just playing the last game of the night LAST week.

    We made the game close to pk'm and with the intangibles, I think Haw wins the game!

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    Brad Powers:

    NCAA 3 star Duke +6

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    Scott Spreitzer Shocker of the Month

    I'm taking the points with Northern Illinois, our Shocker Game of the Month. Scheduling lies completely in favor of the Huskies in this one. NIU had last week off after beating Nebraska in Lincoln. And if he has to go again, they've had one more week to get QB Daniel Santacaterina more reps with the first team -- not that he's had any issues so far, completing 38 of 56, 68% of his passes with 3 TDs and just 1 INT. The NIU signal caller also has help in the offensive backfield from RB Jordan Huff, who topped 100 yards rushing against Nebraska and is averaging 6.84 yards per carry in his 238 attempts at NIU. The defense has been fantastic against the run thus far and will face a one-dimensional SDSU offense that's all about the run. The NIU defense ranks 19th against the run allowing just 98 yards rushing per game and they're 26th in total yards allowed. Now the second half of the scheduling advantage. The Aztecs are off three straight physically and emotionally tough football games, beating Arizona State, Stanford, and Air Force, winning the last two games on the final score of the game. SDSU got by Stanford, scoring the game winning TD with less than 10 seconds to go, and they beat AFA with a 53-yard TD run with just over 5 minutes to go. We had SDSU last week, but we'll go against them here. NIU wouldn't mind exacting a little revenge for last year's 42-28 loss. This Huskies' version is much better than the one that started 1-6 SU last season, including the loss to the Aztecs. NIU is a true road warrior, currently on a 24-7-2 ATS run on the road. They're 7-1-1 ATS in their last nine road games against teams with a winning home record. I'm grabbing the points with Northern Illinois, our Shocker of the Month. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    SSI WINS Picks

    Risked 5 units to win 4.55*Wake Forest +7.5 -110*vs Florida State
    Risked 5 units to win 4*Virginia Tech +7.5 -125*vs Clemson
    Risked 5 units to win 4.55*Texas Tech +9.5 -110*vs Oklahoma State

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    SSI Wins Parlay Lifestyle Picks

    Va Tech +7.5/Texas Tech +9.5 (5 UNITS) NCAAF-Sat

    Wake Forest +7.5/Georgia ML/Iowa +3.5/Indiana +17.5 (1.5 UNITS) NCAAF-Sat

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    Maddux - Lines when released
    All 10;s
    Cal +15'
    Clem -6'
    TT +11
    Navy -4
    Ga -7
    Fla St -7
    SJSt Ov 61'
    A&M Un 54

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    CPAW - Could really use Dr Bob if possible (College and Pro - his new math model wins) Debating purchasing if you can't get it on regular basis - Obviously I already have Maddux

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    Quote Originally Posted by Bear's Fan View Post
    CPAW - Could really use Dr Bob if possible (College and Pro - his new math model wins) Debating purchasing if you can't get it on regular basis - Obviously I already have Maddux
    I'll do my best to find it. Thanks for your contributions.

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    H&H Sports (CFB)

    Triple Dime Oklahoma State -9.5

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    Dave Essler 3* GOY

    Denver ML (-145) Analysis:

    Yes, I know there isn't a widely available amount of books with a ML yet - but it is what it is. You can buy down to -1, but that's almost as expensive at the moment. I want my stuff out as soon as possible is all - for you to contemplate. One would assume that the Raiders would rebound from the Redskins debacle, just as one would also assume the Broncos would rebound from a trip to Buffalo. In my opinion, it's much easier for the home team to do that, especially in a Division game. Oakland might have been more emotionally hurt because they had higher expectations than Denver, who knows - what I DO know is that "rebounding" is usually on the coaching staff, and I trust Denver's more than I trust Del Rio. So, getting Denver to just win at home is a bargain. As perhaps a lesser team last season, their home losses were to KC in overtime, Atlanta by a touchdown, and New England in a game where they held the Patriots to 16 points. This season, Denver is allowing only 60 yards rushing per game, tops in the NFL. Oakland is allowing 117 yards rushing per game - not cool. I am big on third down conversion percentage on both sides of the ball, and Denver is fou£rth best in the League defensively. Oakland is fourth worst. Denver has the BEST offensive third down conversion percentage - Oakland is in the middle somewhere. But, they may not have Crabtree again (it won't matter) and if that's the case, Roberts and Patterson are not the answer(s). Easy win for Denver here IMO.

    Pick Made: Sep 26 2017 6:57AM PST

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    MICAH ROBERTS

    Clemson /Virginia Tech
    Under 51.5 (-110 )

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    Emory Hunt

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    GEORGIA -7 (-110)

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    Stephen OH

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    DAVE COKIN
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    ZACK CIMINI
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    LARRY HARTSTEIN
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    JOSH NAGEL
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    Greg shaker

    3* TOTAL OF THE WEEK

    Ucf / Memphis under 70

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    Stephen Nover

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