When: 7:00 PM ET, Friday, September 29, 2017
Where: Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, North Carolina
Preview: Miami at Duke
Gracenote
Sep 26, 2017
Miami gets its ACC slate under way under the lights at Duke on Friday night. The Hurricanes moved up one spot in the USA Today Coaches Poll to No. 13 after shaking off three weeks of rust to defeat Toledo 52-30 Saturday, while Duke remained perfect after a 27-17 road win over rival North Carolina.
The Blue Devils certainly remember the last time the Hurricanes blew into town in 2015 as Miami pulled out the 30-27 victory with a controversial last-gasp 91-yard kickoff return that featured eight laterals and four missed calls that resulted in suspensions for the ACC officiating crew. The Hurricanes hope to avoid needing any last-second heroics this time around but that may depend on which Miami team shows up -- the sluggish one that was down 16-10 to Toledo at halftime or the explosive one that scored 42 points in the second half. "That was enough drama for three weeks of football," Hurricanes coach Mark Richt told reporters afterward. "We've been through a lot and it has been an emotional roller coaster for a lot of us." The Blue Devils had drama of their own against North Carolina and needed their own late comeback to give head coach David Cutcliffe career win No. 100, his 56th victory with Duke, but getting No. 101 this week could be that much tougher, however, if Hurricanes star running back Mark Walton is ready to go after hurting his left ankle against Toledo and top wide receiver Ahmmon Richards can make his debut after sitting out all season with a hamstring injury.
TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Miami -7
ABOUT MIAMI (2-0): Walton rolled up a career-best 204 yards rushing and one touchdown on just 11 carries Saturday despite missing time with a bad ankle, while Malik Rosier, who threw for 272 yards and two scores in his first career start for Miami in the 2015 win over Duke, was on fire in the second half against Toledo and he finished with a career-high 333 yards passing and three touchdowns, adding one more on the ground. The Miami run defense remains tough to penetrate but there are still some major concerns in a rebuilt secondary that has been torched in both games despite the presence of highly regarded transfer Dee Delaney. "He's still learning the ins and outs of what we do," Richt said. "He has not played perfect, but everybody at all positions has struggled. ... We think he's doing a good job. We believe in him and we're going to continue to play him."
ABOUT DUKE (4-0, 1-0 ACC): The Blue Devils have yet to play a ranked opponent this season so this will be a huge test for a Duke defense that ranks second in the nation in rushing yards allowed per game (65.3) and is tied for 11th nationally in total yards surrendered (261.5). Offensively, the Blue Devils have been moving the chains mainly on the ground, averaging 227.0 yards per game featuring senior Shaun Wilson (363 yards, 5 TDs) -- who needs just six yards to become the seventh player in Duke history to hit the 2,000-yard mark -- and freshman Brittain Brown (336 yards, 2 TDs). Quarterback Daniel Jones provides an additional running threat but he is making strides as a passer (904 yards, 5 TDs) with junior T.J. Rahming (24 catches, 248 yards) as his favorite target.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Duke and Miami are the only two ACC teams averaging at least 240 passing yards per game and 225 rushing yards per game.
2. This will be the 15th meeting between the Hurricanes and Blue Devils since the series began in 1976, with Miami holding a 12-2 series advantage.
3. The Blue Devils are aiming for their first 5-0 mark since 1994, when the team started 7-0.
PREDICTION: Miami 42, Duke 20
Trends - No. 13 Miami at Duke
ATS Trends
Miami
- Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games.
- Hurricanes are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a ATS win.
- Hurricanes are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Hurricanes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Hurricanes are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
Duke
- Blue Devils are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games.
- Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Blue Devils are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games on grass.
- Blue Devils are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS win.
- Blue Devils are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Blue Devils are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Blue Devils are 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Blue Devils are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Blue Devils are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 games overall.
OU Trends
Miami
- Under is 9-2 in Hurricanes last 11 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Hurricanes last 5 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 5-2 in Hurricanes last 7 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 5-2 in Hurricanes last 7 games in September.
- Under is 34-16-1 in Hurricanes last 51 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
Duke
- Under is 9-2 in Blue Devils last 11 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Blue Devils last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 7-2 in Blue Devils last 9 home games.
- Under is 10-3 in Blue Devils last 13 games in September.
- Under is 5-2 in Blue Devils last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 7-3 in Blue Devils last 10 games following a ATS win.
Head to Head
- Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings.
- Over is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Duke.
- Home team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
When: 10:30 PM ET, Friday, September 29, 2017
Where: Martin Stadium, Pullman, Washington
Preview: USC at Washington State
Gracenote
Sep 26, 2017
USC and Washington State will meet for the first time since 2014 when the No. 16 Cougars host the No. 5 Trojans in a Pac-12 showdown on Friday night. Washington State has won its first four games for the first time since opening the 2001 season with seven straight wins, and USC has won 13 consecutive games, its longest streak since winning 34 in a row from 2003-05.
The Cougars will be playing their fifth straight home game to open the season for the first time in program history, and they've scored at least 31 points in their first four wins. USC hasn't had an easy time in any of its first four victories, but the Trojans are a lot better off than last season, when they opened 1-3, including 0-2 in the Pac-12 after losses to Stanford and Utah. That was the stretch when Sam Darnold took over as starting quarterback and he's gone 13-1 in that role, though he hasn't been as sharp as many expected this season. His completion percentage (67.2) is nearly identical to last season, but he has been intercepted seven times in four games, compared to eight times in 10 games as a starter last season.
TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: USC -3.5.
ABOUT USC (4-0, 2-0 Pac-12): Darnold is running out of healthy receivers at an alarming rate, and the latest to go down is Deontay Burnett, who is fifth in Division I-A in receptions (33) and seventh in receiving yards (462). Burnett has a shoulder injury and didn't practice Monday, leaving his status in doubt against the Cougars. USC is already without its second-best receiver, Steven Mitchell Jr., who missed Saturday's win against California with a groin injury, and he appears further away from returning than Burnett.
ABOUT WASHINGTON STATE (4-0, 1-0): Luke Falk is in his fourth year as the starting quarterback for the Cougars and he's off to a strong start, completing 76.9 percent of his passes for 1,378 yards and 14 touchdowns with one interception. His completion percentage is tied for first in the country, his touchdown total is second and his passing yards are fifth. Falk made the first strong impression of his career against the Trojans three years ago when he replaced Connor Halliday, the nation's passing yardage leader at the time who suffered a season-ending broken leg in the first quarter, and completed 38-of-57 passes for 346 and two touchdowns in the 44-17 loss.
EXTRA POINTS
1. This is the first matchup between USC and Washington State in which both were unbeaten after at least four games.
2. The Trojans are 19-3-2 in games played in Pullman, Wash.
3. Washington State has scored three defensive touchdowns this season, tied for second in the FBS.
PREDICTION: Washington State 34, USC 31
Trends - No. 5 Southern California at No. 16 Washington State
ATS Trends
Southern California
- Trojans are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
- Trojans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up win.
- Trojans are 7-16 ATS in their last 23 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Trojans are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 road games.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Trojans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Trojans are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in September.
Washington State
- Cougars are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.
- Cougars are 17-7 ATS in their last 24 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 conference games.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Friday games.
- Cougars are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
OU Trends
Southern California
- Under is 4-0-1 in Trojans last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-1 in Trojans last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 9-3 in Trojans last 12 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 22-8-1 in Trojans last 31 conference games.
- Under is 8-3 in Trojans last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 9-4 in Trojans last 13 games overall.
- Under is 35-17-2 in Trojans last 54 games following a ATS loss.
Washington State
- Over is 5-1-1 in Cougars last 7 conference games.
- Over is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Over is 8-2 in Cougars last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1-1 in Cougars last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Cougars last 5 Friday games.
- Over is 9-3 in Cougars last 12 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 6-2-1 in Cougars last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 3-1-1 in Cougars last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 13-5 in Cougars last 18 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Under is 13-5 in Cougars last 18 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 14-6-1 in Cougars last 21 home games.
Head to Head
- Road team is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 meetings.
- Over is 7-1 in the last 8 meetings in Washington State.
- Trojans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Washington State.
- Trojans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
- Favorite is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
When: 8:00 PM ET, Friday, September 29, 2017
Where: Memorial Stadium, Champaign, Illinois
Preview: Nebraska at Illinois
Gracenote
Sep 26, 2017
Stability and consistency have long been words associated with Nebraska's football program but are two qualities that appear to be in short supply with the recent firing of its athletic director and continued questions about the job security of third-year coach Mike Riley. The Cornhuskers will do their best to calm the latter and try to win consecutive games for the first time since mid-November of last season Friday when they visit Illinois for a Big Ten contest.
University Chancellor Ronnie Green justified the firing of former athletic director Shawn Eichorst five days after a shocking home loss to Northern Illinois on Sept. 16 by saying in a statement that Eichorst's "efforts have not translated into on-field performance." Riley, who was hired by Eichorst in December of 2014 to help restore the program's reputation as one of the nation's best, saw his team fight through some more adversity on the field in late weekend's 27-17 win over Rutgers - overcoming numerous injuries and a third interception return for a touchdown in two weeks. The Fighting Illini began their season by beating Ball State and Western Kentucky to get second-year coach Lovie Smith within one victory of matching last season's win total. However, Illinois is coming off a bye week following a sloppy effort (15 penalties for 138 yards, three turnovers) at No. 17 South Florida, leading to a 47-23 setback in its first road test of the season.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1. LINE: Nebraska -6.5
ABOUT NEBRASKA (2-2, 1-0 Big Ten): The Cornhuskers played last weekend without leading rusher Tre Bryant (knee) for a second straight game as well as leading receiver Stanley Morgan Jr. (neck), but Devine Ozigbo enjoyed his second career 100-yard rushing effort while freshman JD Spielman added a career-high five catches and a score. Even with the continued injury absences of cornerback Chris Jones and safety Joshua Kalu, the defense continued its stellar play and has allowed two of its three lowest yardage totals to its opponents (213 against Northern Illinois, 194 to Rutgers) in the Riley era over the last two weeks. Brenden Jaimes, who is filling in at right tackle for David Knevel and Matt Farniok, became only the fifth true freshman since 1972 to start a game on the offensive line for Nebraska against Rutgers.
ABOUT ILLINOIS (2-1, 0-0): Smith told reporters his team is "as healthy as we’ve been in a while" and "we should have everyone ready to go," which includes the season debuts of senior defensive end James Crawford coming off a suspension and sophomore running back Reggie Corbin, who rushed for 523 yards last season. Smith is also sticking with Chayce Crouch as his starting quarterback after he was pulled in the second half at South Florida in favor of Jeff George Jr., who finished with 211 yards passing and a TD with two interceptions in the second half. Running back Mike Epstein is tied for fourth in the nation in touchdowns among true freshmen (four) and ranks sixth in the nation among them in rushing yards per game (73.7).
EXTRA POINTS
1. Former Nebraska All-American center Dave Rimington (1979-82) was named as the school's interim athletic director on Tuesday.
2. The Illini started 10 true freshmen at South Florida, setting a school record. Prior to this season, Illinois had never had 10 players log at least one start in their true freshman campaign.
3. The Cornhuskers have yielded a total of 340 yards, 16 first downs and seven offensive points in the second half of their past three games combined.
PREDICTION: Nebraska 27, Illinois 24
Trends - Nebraska at Illinois
ATS Trends
Nebraska
- Cornhuskers are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cornhuskers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Cornhuskers are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 15-6 ATS in their last 21 road games.
- Cornhuskers are 17-36-1 ATS in their last 54 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cornhuskers are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Cornhuskers are 1-3-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cornhuskers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Friday games.
- Cornhuskers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
Illinois
- Fighting Illini are 12-27 ATS in their last 39 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games following a straight up loss.
- Fighting Illini are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 home games.
- Fighting Illini are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 Friday games.
- Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 conference games.
- Fighting Illini are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games in September.
- Fighting Illini are 6-25 ATS in their last 31 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
- Fighting Illini are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Fighting Illini are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
OU Trends
Nebraska
- Over is 4-0 in Cornhuskers last 4 road games.
- Under is 5-1 in Cornhuskers last 6 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 10-2 in Cornhuskers last 12 conference games.
- Over is 4-1 in Cornhuskers last 5 Friday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Cornhuskers last 5 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Cornhuskers last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 7-2 in Cornhuskers last 9 games following a straight up win.
- Over is 8-3 in Cornhuskers last 11 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 12-5 in Cornhuskers last 17 games on fieldturf.
Illinois
- Under is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games following a bye week.
- Under is 4-0 in Fighting Illini last 4 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1 in Fighting Illini last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Over is 4-1 in Fighting Illini last 5 conference games.
- Under is 7-2 in Fighting Illini last 9 games in September.
- Under is 6-2 in Fighting Illini last 8 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 6-2 in Fighting Illini last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 12-4 in Fighting Illini last 16 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 14-5 in Fighting Illini last 19 home games.
Head to Head
- Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings.
When: 8:00 PM ET, Friday, September 29, 2017
Where: Merlin Olsen Field at Maverik Stadium, Logan, Utah
Quick Hits
Overall Team Offense
- The Utah State Aggies are ranked 55 on offense, averaging 439.0 yards per game. The Aggies are averaging 175.0 yards rushing and 264.0 yards passing so far this season.
- The Brigham Young Cougars are ranked 129 on offense, averaging 221.8 yards per game. The Cougars are averaging 77.5 yards rushing and 144.2 yards passing so far this season.
Home and Away
- The Utah State Aggies are 1-0 at home this season, 1-0 against conference opponents and 1-2 against non-conference opponents.
- At home the Aggies are averaging 51.0 scoring, and holding teams to 13.0 points scored on defense.
- The Brigham Young Cougars are 0-0 while on the road this season, 0-0 against conference opponents and 1-3 against non-conference opponents.
- On the road, the Cougars are averaging 0.0 scoring, and holding teams to 0.0 points scored on defense.
Trends - Brigham Young at Utah State
ATS Trends
Brigham Young
- Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
- Cougars are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 vs. MWC.
- Cougars are 10-4-1 ATS in their last 15 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Cougars are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Friday games.
- Cougars are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
- Cougars are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in September.
- Cougars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
Utah State
- Aggies are 15-5-1 ATS in their last 21 Friday games.
- Aggies are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
- Aggies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Aggies are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Aggies are 5-16 ATS in their last 21 games overall.
- Aggies are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games on fieldturf.
- Aggies are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 home games.
- Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Aggies are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Aggies are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS win.
- Aggies are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Aggies are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
OU Trends
Brigham Young
- Under is 5-0 in Cougars last 5 road games.
- Under is 4-0 in Cougars last 4 games on fieldturf.
- Under is 9-1 in Cougars last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
- Under is 10-2 in Cougars last 12 games overall.
- Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Under is 5-1 in Cougars last 6 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 22-5 in Cougars last 27 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 13-3 in Cougars last 16 non-conference games.
- Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 19-6-1 in Cougars last 26 Friday games.
- Under is 9-3 in Cougars last 12 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 games in September.
- Under is 7-3 in Cougars last 10 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Under is 19-9 in Cougars last 28 games after accumulating less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
Utah State
- Over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.
- Over is 4-0 in Aggies last 4 games in September.
- Over is 7-1 in Aggies last 8 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Over is 5-1 in Aggies last 6 Friday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Aggies last 5 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
- Over is 16-5 in Aggies last 21 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 20-8 in Aggies last 28 games on fieldturf.
- Over is 7-3 in Aggies last 10 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 9-4 in Aggies last 13 home games.
Head to Head
- Road team is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
- Under is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings.
- Underdog is 7-2 ATS in their last 9 meetings.
NCAAF opening line report: College football opening lines on the move early
Patrick Everson
“Not only did the house need the Trojans against Cal this past Saturday, but 69 percent of the early bettors are on Washington State this week, quickly moving the Cougars from +6 to +4.5."
Conference play is in full swing for Week 5 of the college football season. We check in on the opening lines and early action for a few noteworthy matchups, with insights from Dave Mason, brand manager for offshore sportsbook BetOnline.ag.
No. 5 Southern California Trojans at No. 18 Washington State Cougars (+6)
Two unbeatens in the Pac-12 kick off the weekend a day early, with a 10:30 p.m. ET Friday night clash. Southern Cal is 4-0 SU, but hasn’t been particularly impressive in getting there, save for its solid win over Stanford in Week 2. In Week 4, the Trojans (1-3 ATS) traveled to California, where they trailed early and were still tied at 13 in the fourth quarter before pulling away for a 30-20 victory as a 16.5-point favorite.
Washington State (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS) has put up 45 points or more in three of four games. The Cougars rumbled over Nevada 45-7 as a hefty 28.5-point chalk this past Saturday.
“With a 1-3 record against the spread, the public seems to be fading USC,” Mason said. “Not only did the house need the Trojans against Cal this past Saturday, but 69 percent of the early bettors are on Washington State this week, quickly moving the Cougars from +6 to +4.5. Within the first few hours after the openers hit the board, there were more bets on Washington State than any other team.”
College football's biggest betting mismatches: Week 5
Monty Andrews
Georgia RB Nick Chubb's six rushing scores are tied for the most in the SEC.
Miami Hurricanes at Duke Blue Devils (+5.5, 57)
Miami 3rd-down rate vs. Duke's 3rd-down defense
The Hurricanes have done plenty well on offense through their first two games, but would love to improve on a so-so showing on third downs - and that quest will be a challenging one this weekend, with the Blue Devils limiting drive extensions better than any team in Division I.
As great as things went in last week's 52-30 romp over Toledo, they could have gone even better had Miami not settled for a 3-for-9 performance on 3rd downs. It was a significant step down from the 4-of-8 showing the Hurricanes posted in their season-opening win over Bethune-Cookman.
That said, the four teams that have faced the Blue Devils this season will tell you just how tough it has been to make headway on third down.
Duke has allowed teams to avoid fourth down just seven times in 50 third-down attempts - a 14-percent success rate that ranks No. 1 in the nation. The Blue Devils were at their stingy best in their conference opener last week, holding North Carolina to a 3-for-16 success rate on third down in a 27-17 win over the Tar Heels.
Suffice to say that Miami has its work cut out for it.
NCAA football bettors looking at these teams very differently in Week 5: Live From Las Vegas
After some upset results in Week 4, college football bettors aren't so sure about these power programs and Las Vegas books are taking that shift into account when posting the NCAA football odds. We look at the biggest and best bets on the board with Jeff Stoneback, director of trading for MGM Resorts.
Georgia Bulldogs at Tennessee Volunteers (+7, 47)
Georgia's red-zone rampage vs. Tennessee's wretched RZ rate
Two teams headed in opposite directions meet this weekend at Neyland Stadium as the Georgia Bulldogs look to remain perfect against the Tennessee Volunteers.
Georgia posted one of the most impressive victories in all of Division I last weekend, dominating on both ends of the football in a 31-3 drubbing of then-No. 17 Mississippi State. Tennessee suffered a stunning 17-13 loss to UMass - and could be in for a long afternoon if it can't figure out a way to keep Georgia out of the red zone.
Only 17 Division I teams have converted every one of their red-zone visits into points so far this season - and the Bulldogs are one of them, having gone a perfect 13-for-13 through their first four games. Ten of those trips have resulted in touchdowns, including seven on the ground.
Of course, having RB Nick Chubb in the fold has helped, as Chubb's six rushing scores are tied for the most in the SEC. Georgia has the seventh-most red-zone visits of any team still perfect so far.
Look for that success to continue this weekend against a Volunteers team that has struggled to keep teams off the scoreboard once they get inside the Tennessee 20-yard line. The Volunteers rank outside the top 100 nationally in red-zone defense (90.9 percent), allowing 10 scores on 11 opponents visits - including seven touchdowns.
If the Bulldogs can get into the Tennessee red zone with regularity, look for Chubb and the rest of the Georgia offense to feast.
Clemson Tigers at Virginia Tech Hokies (+5.5, 51.5)
Clemson's turnover troubles vs. Virginia Tech's dynamic defense
You would be hard-pressed to find a defensive category in which the Clemson Tigers don't rank among the Division I leaders as they enter this week's highly touted matchup with Virginia Tech.
Clemson is allowing fewer than 10 points per game through its first four contests, has surrendered just four touchdowns, and limiting foes to 134.5 passing yards per game. But there's one area where the Tigers have struggled - and it's one where the Hokies own a sizeable edge.
Clemson owns a minus-2 turnover differential and ranks 110th in the nation in takeaways at 0.8 per game.
The Hokies have had no such issues with turnovers, combining a sensational offense (40.0 points per game, 27th in Division I) with an active defense that has forced three fumbles and four interceptions over the first four weeks of the season.
Only Duke, Syracuse and Pittsburgh have forced more turnovers among ACC teams, and combined with great ball security on the offensive end, Virginia Tech boasts a plus-5 turnover margin to date. If the Hokies can win the turnover battle Saturday, they could stun the visitors.
NCAAF
Long Sheet
Friday, September 29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MIAMI (2 - 0) at DUKE (4 - 0) - 9/29/2017, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 2-0 straight up against DUKE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEBRASKA (2 - 2) at ILLINOIS (2 - 1) - 9/29/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 123-161 ATS (-54.1 Units) in all games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 123-161 ATS (-54.1 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) in home games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 61-89 ATS (-36.9 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 81-123 ATS (-54.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
ILLINOIS is 20-36 ATS (-19.6 Units) in home games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 2-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
ILLINOIS is 1-1 straight up against NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BYU (1 - 3) at UTAH ST (2 - 2) - 9/29/2017, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH ST is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BYU is 2-0 against the spread versus UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 2-0 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
USC (4 - 0) at WASHINGTON ST (4 - 0) - 9/29/2017, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NCAAF
Week 5
Trend Report
Friday, September 29
7:00 PM
MIAMI vs. DUKE
Miami is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games when playing Duke
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games when playing on the road against Duke
Duke is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Duke is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
8:00 PM
BYU vs. UTAH STATE
BYU is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games
BYU is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing Utah State
Utah State is 2-14 SU in its last 16 games when playing BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Utah State's last 10 games when playing BYU
8:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. ILLINOIS
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Nebraska's last 15 games
Nebraska is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 14 of Illinois's last 19 games at home
Illinois is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
10:30 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. WASHINGTON STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 5 games on the road
Southern Cal is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington State's last 6 games when playing Southern Cal
Washington State is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games when playing Southern Cal
NCAAF
Week 4
Friday’s games
Duke is 4-0 with wins over Northwestern/UNC; Blue Devils are allowing 65.7 rushing yards/game; last 4+ years, they’re 5-1 as a home underdog. First road game for Miami team that had two weeks off (hurricane) before whacking Toledo 52-30 LW; Rockets threw for 344 yards against the ‘canes, Miami is 10-3 in last 13 games as a road favorite, 4-1 under coach Richt. Duke is 1-11 in its last 12 games with Miami, losing last three by 12-3-19 points. Underdogs are 6-5 vs spread in last 11 series games, 3-3 in games played here.
Natives are restless in Lincoln after Nebraska’s 2-2 start, which includes home loss to Northern Illinois. Cornhuskers lost only road game 42-35 at Oregon (trailed 42-14 at half); they’re 5-7 in last 12 games as a road favorite, 2-3 under Riley. Nebraska is 3-1 vs Illinois in Big 14 play; home side won all four games, covered three of them. Illini are 2-6 in last eight games as a home underdog, 1-4 under Smith; they’re 2-1 this season, winning couple of home games before getting drilled 47-23 at USF last week. Illinois is 3-8 in last 11 games as single digit dog.
BYU lost its last three games by combined score of 86-19; now they step down in class to take on Utah State club they’ve beaten 13 of last 15 meetings, covering three of last four- they’re 1-3 vs spread in last four series games as a single digit favorite. Cougars won 51-28/31-14 in last two visits to Logan. Utah State split its first four games, three of which were on road; they allowed 234-291 rushing yards in its losses, at Wisconsin/Wake Forest. Aggies are 1-4 as a home underdog under Wells. Mountain West non-conference underdogs are 13-10 vs spread, 2-2 at home.
Washington State doesn’t get on national TV a lot; this is a big deal for them, just another day on the beach for USC, which scored 37 pts/game in its 4-0 start, winning first road game 30-20 at Cal LW. Teams didn’t play last two years; Trojans won last five visits to Pullman (4-1 vs spread) but did lost at home to Wazzu in 2013. Coogs are 4-0 this year but have’t been on road yet; they were down 31-10 with 9:00 to play vs Boise State, somehow won that game. Wazzu is 5-7 as a home underdog under Leach. USC is 4-2 in last six games as a road favorite.
NCAAF
Dunkel
Week 5
Friday, September 29
Miami-FL @ Duke
Game 105-106
September 29, 2017 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Miami-FL
104.327
Duke
95.146
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Miami-FL
by 9
62
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Miami-FL
by 6
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Miami-FL
(-6); Over
Nebraska @ Illinois
Game 107-108
September 29, 2017 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Nebraska
90.535
Illinois
77.464
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nebraska
by 13
42
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Nebraska
by 6
46
Dunkel Pick:
Nebraska
(-6); Under
Brigham Young @ Utah State
Game 109-110
September 29, 2017 @ 8:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Brigham Young
86.223
Utah State
81.683
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Brigham Young
by 4 1/2
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Brigham Young
by 1 1/2
46
Dunkel Pick:
Brigham Young
(-1 1/2); Under
USC @ Washington St
Game 111-112
September 29, 2017 @ 10:30 pm
Dunkel Rating:
USC
108.283
Washington St
100.226
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
USC
by 8
56
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
USC
by 3 1/2
65 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
USC
(-3 1/2); Under
Dartmouth @ Penn
Game 303-304
September 29, 2017 @ 7:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Dartmouth
56.129
Penn
67.135
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Penn
by 11
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Penn
by 7
51
Dunkel Pick:
Penn
(-7); Under
Alcorn State @ Texas Southern
Game 305-306
September 29, 2017 @ 9:00 pm
Dunkel Rating:
Alcorn State
55.412
Texas Southern
33.717
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Alcorn State
by 21 1/2
49
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Alcorn State
by 19 1/2
53
Dunkel Pick:
Alcorn State
(-19 1/2); Under
CFL Betting Notes - Week 15
David Schwab
Week 14 Betting Recap
Last weekend’s betting action in the CFL started with Winnipeg’s 29-9 victory against Ottawa as an 8 ½-point home favorite. In the backend of Friday night’s doubleheader of games, Hamilton stunned British Columbia 24-23 as a heavy 12 ½-point underdog on the road.
In a big East Division clash on Saturday, Toronto upended Montreal 33-19 as a seven-point home favorite to move into first place in the standings. Week 14 came to a close with Calgary grinding out a 15-9 victory on the road against Saskatchewan as a 5 ½-point favorite to extend its straight-up winning streak to nine games.
Friday, Sept. 29
Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-6 SU, 7-5 ATS) vs. Ottawa RedBlacks (5-8-1 SU, 9-5 ATS)
Game Overview
The Roughriders remain in the thick of the playoff hunt despite Sunday’s loss, but they are going to have to find a way to get their offense back in gear down the stretch run of the regular season. Kevin Glenn was back in the lineup at quarterback against Calgary after missing some time due to injury, but he ended the game completing just 12 of his 19 passes for 127 yards. He left the game in the second half with an injured hand. Saskatchewan’s ground game did not help the cause with 28 yards on 12 carries.
Ottawa fell out of first place in the East with its second loss in three games both SU and against the spread. The total has stayed UNDER or ended as a PUSH in its last seven games. Last Friday’s loss was the first time that the RedBlacks failed to post at least 20 points in a game this season. Ryan Lindley got the start at quarterback for an injured Trevor Harris and he completed just 44.4 percent of his 36 passing attempts for 151 yards.
Betting Trends
-- Saskatchewan has won four of the last six meetings SU with the series tied at 3-3 ATS. The total has gone OVER in the last three games in this inter-division tilt.
Montreal Alouettes (3-10 SU, 4-9 ATS) vs. Calgary Stampeders (11-1-1 SU, 8-4-1 ATS)
Game Overview
Montreal will have a tall task on its hands this Friday night to try and stop its current six-game skid both SU and ATS. The Alouettes have posted just one SU victory in their last nine games while going a costly 2-7 ATS. In last week’s loss to Toronto, their defense held Ricky Ray to 182 yards passing, but it gave up 141 yards to James Wilder running the ball. Montreal quarterback Darian Durant was picked off three times in that game.
Calgary proved it can win ugly if it has to after averaging 32.9 points in the first eight wins of its current streak. Bo Levi Mitchell went an efficient 24-for-32 against Saskatchewan on Sunday for 222 passing yards and Jerome Messam extended his league-leading rushing total to 897 yards with 127 yards on 23 carries for an average of 5.5 yards a run. The Stampeders also lead the league in points allowed; giving up an average of 17.8 points a game.
Betting Trends
-- Montreal actually won the first meeting this season on July 14 in a 30-23 victory as a four-point home underdog. The Alouettes are 4-2 SU in the last six meetings with a perfect 6-0 record ATS. The total has stayed UNDER in seven of the last nine games in this inter-division matchup.
CFL
Long Sheet
Week 15
Friday, September 29
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SASKATCHEWAN (6 - 6) at OTTAWA (5 - 8 - 1) - 9/29/2017, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
OTTAWA is 2-2 against the spread versus SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
OTTAWA is 2-2 straight up against SASKATCHEWAN over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
MONTREAL (3 - 10) at CALGARY (11 - 1 - 1) - 9/29/2017, 9:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-0 against the spread versus CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 3-2 straight up against CALGARY over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
CFL
Week 15
Trend Report
Friday, September 29
7:00 PM
SASKATCHEWAN vs. OTTAWA
Saskatchewan is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Saskatchewan is 5-15 SU in its last 20 games on the road
Ottawa is 2-4-1 SU in its last 7 games ,at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ottawa's last 6 games at home
9:30 PM
MONTREAL vs. CALGARY
Montreal is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Montreal's last 5 games when playing on the road against Calgary
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Calgary's last 7 games when playing Montreal
Calgary is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
CFL
Week 15
Saskatchewan (6-6) @ Ottawa (5-8-1)— Both teams lost last week; both were held to 9 points. Saskatchewan won four of last six games, is 2-4 on road, 2-3 as a road underdog. Under is 4-2 in their road games. Ottawa also won four of last six games; they’re 2-4-1 at home, 2-4 as a home favorite. Under is 9-1-2 in their last 12 games. Roughriders beat Ottawa twice LY, by total of 3 points; they’re 4-2 overall vs RedBlacks, with 2 of 4 wins in OT. Over is 5-1 in series games. These teams play again in Regina in two weeks.
Montreal (3-10) @ Calgary (11-1-1)— Montreal lost its last six games (0-6 vs spread); under is 8-5 in their games this year. Als are 2-4 as road underdogs this year. Calgary won its last nine games (8-1 vs spread); five of their last six games stayed under. Stampeders are 5-1 as a home favorite this year. Alouettes won four of last six games vs Calgary, covering all six games; they upset Stampeders 30-23 (+5.5) back in Week 4. Home team won last eight series games; six of last seven series games stayed under total. Montreal lost last four visits here (2-2 vs spread).
Matt Fargo
Sep 29 '17, 7:00 PM
NCAA-F | Miami-FL vs Duke
Play on: Miami-FL -6 -110 at betonline
Duke is off to a 4-0 start, matching its 2014 season when it started 4-0 and that streak ended with a loss against the Hurricanes and we can expect a similar result here. The Blue Devils have shown good balance on offense and the defense has overachieved thus far as they are ranked No. 16 in total defense and No. 17 in scoring defense. Offensively, they have been buoyed by a strong rushing attack that has three players with over 200 yards on the ground but the opposition has played a factor in that. The Miami defensive front will be the best the Blue Devils have faced as the Hurricanes came into the season with the No. 2 ranked defensive line and No. 2 ranked linebacker unit in the ACC. Duke is one of four teams in the nation that is off to a perfect 4-0 ATS start and while some people ride those streaks, it is best to go contrarian. We like what we saw with Miami last week. After having not played in 21 days because of the effects of the hurricane, it got off to a slow start against Toledo and trailed 16-10 at halftime. The Hurricanes found their groove however as they outscored the Rockets 42-14 in the second half. That is something they can carry over into this week and while laying chalk on the road is a rare thing for us, we make the exception here with a team that talent-wise is much better. Good news on the injury front for Miami is that 2016 leading rusher Mark Walton, who was injured last game and 2016 leading receiver Ahmmon Richards, who has missed both games, have both been upgraded to probable. Going back, the Hurricanes are 17-5 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points. Play (105) Miami Hurricanes
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