Sunday 10-1-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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The Real Animal

Rams / Cowboys Over 49

If you don't think coaching matters in the NFL check out Jared Goff these days. Under Jeff Fisher, Goff was scared for his life having no confidence in his offensive line. Now he's playing with with reckless abandon thanks to the Rams robbing Buffalo of their receiving unit with Sammy Watkins and Robert Woods. Plus adding a few veterans to the offensive line like Andre Whitworth has paid off huge dividends (107 points in three games). Goff under Coach McVay has seen his QB rating rise from 63.6 to 118.2 That is the largest increase for a second-year QB since 1970! But the defense remains a work in progress. The Rams surrendered 229 rushing yards to Washington and 421 total yards to San Francisco. Dallas comes off the Monday night win at Arizona with travel and a short week of preparation. The Cowboys are 7-0 'OVER' since 10/27/2013 when coming off a road win in which they never trailed. Who would have believed entering this year after three weeks the Rams would be leading the NFL in scoring. Dallas still banged up in the secondary. Remember, Arizona was short on weapons due to injuries so they could not exploit the Dallas defense like LA can. But the Rams are still sloppy on defense and after facing the pass rushes of Arizona, Denver, and the Giants, Dak should prosper versus the Rams. Elliott overdue for a monster game. Look for Goff games to go to 7-3 'OVER' in his young career.

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OC Dooley

Bills / Falcons Under 48

Courtesy of a primetime shootout involving Green Bay's Aaron Rodgers the Atlanta Falcons amazingly have played 11 consecutive "overs" in front of their HOME fans. However this total has DROPPED offshore from the opening figure of 49 points which has led to a previously "unscheduled" wager. It should be pointed out that Atlanta has a a brand NEW home facility which for karma purposes may cut in on their "over" streak. In the past TWENTY FIVE YEARS when off consecutive games outrushing the opposition by 75+ yards each time the Falcons are 13-3 UNDER the total (also 13-4 to the UNDER in the same time span after "allowing: 75 or less yards on the groundin consecutive contests). In the pior two years even with a defensive-oriented head coach Rex Ryan the Bills struggled in that area. Buffalo all of a sudden has become proficient on defense with a new headmaster Sean McDermott and their lone ROAD game this season produced a 9-to-3 final score. Falcons coach Dan Quinn was former DEFENSIVE LINE coach in college (first job in 1994) and McDermott was one of his players (as a member of the secondary)

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Bob Balfe

Bengals -3

We have all witnesses the Bengals struggles and the head scratching reaction to Marvin Lewis still standing on that sideline after all of these years, but this is a game he simply can’t lose or they will have to let him go. The Browns do not have an experienced defense and I believe the Bengals will get their running game going which will set up the pass. The Browns on offense just don’t have many natural wide receivers on their roster to be able to move the ball up and down the field. I have been impressed with Cleveland, but record wise it is still the same old Browns.