Page 1 of 3 12 ... LastLast
Results 1 to 20 of 60

Thread: Wednesday 10-4-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

  1. #1
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381

    Wednesday 10-4-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


  2. #2
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    GAME: Colorado Rockies (87-75) at Arizona Diamondbacks (93-69)
    DATE/TIME: Wednesday, October 04 - 8:00 PM EST
    WHERE: Chase Field, Phoenix, Arizona
    LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A Playoff Series: Wild Card Showdown; Series Tied 0-0
    Preview: Rockies at Diamondbacks

    Gracenote
    Oct 3, 2017

    Two teams make their long-awaited return to the postseason when the Colorado Rockies visit the Arizona Diamondbacks for a battle of National League West rivals in the NL Wild Card Game on Wednesday night. The Diamondbacks are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2011 and had an 11-8 record this year against the Rockies, who make their first postseason appearance since 2009.

    Arizona went 52-29 at Chase Field this year and boast a powerful middle of the lineup as J.D. Martinez launched 29 homers in 62 games after being acquired from Detroit while Paul Goldschmidt knocked in 120 runs, but the first baseman finished the regular season by going 0-for-17. “I want these guys to understand that something special is happening here,” Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters. “I’ll tell them to embrace this. … This is the greatest time of year.” Colorado had to battle its way into the playoffs, edging Milwaukee by one game for the final spot, but led the NL in runs (824) while featuring the NL batting champ Charlie Blackmon (.331), the major league runner up in RBIs Nolan Arenado (130) and a red-hot Carlos Gonzalez, who was 9-for-15 in his last four games with five extra-base hits. Arizona’s starting pitcher Zack Greinke has given up five home runs in 42 at-bats to Gonzalez in his career but is 13-1 with a 2.87 ERA at home in 2017, while the Rockies will go with fellow hard-throwing righty Jon Gray, who finished the season with four straight wins - one of them against the Diamondbacks.

    TV: 8 p.m. ET, TBS

    PITCHING MATCHUP: Rockies RH Jon Gray (10-4, 3.67 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (17-7, 3.20)

    Gray became a key part of the rotation after the All-Star break while going 8-4 with a 3.65 ERA over 15 starts, and allowed seven runs across 30 innings in his last five outings. The 25-year-old Oklahoma native also struck out 10 to win at Arizona on June 30 and is 2-2 with a 4.75 ERA lifetime versus the Diamondbacks. Martinez is 2-for-6 with a pair of homers and David Peralta 6-for-13 with a triple against Gray, who has 112 strikeouts in 110 1/3 innings in 2017.

    Greinke reached 17 victories for the third time in four seasons, but struggled in his last home start against Miami on Sept. 22 when he permitted eight runs over four innings. The 33-year-old Orlando native, who ended the regular season by limiting Kansas City to two runs over four innings Friday, is 9-5 lifetime against Colorado after going 2-1 with a 3.41 ERA in five outings this season. Mark Reynolds and Trevor Story have homered four times apiece against Greinke.

    WALK-OFFS

    1. Arenado is batting .237 and Blackmon .182 at Chase Field this season while Martinez batted .373 in his home park with 16 homers in 30 games.

    2. Colorado C Jonathan Lucroy is 7-for-11 lifetime against Greinke and finished the regular season 13-for-27 in his last 10 games.

    3. Arizona 3B Jake Lamb belted a career-high 30 homers, but registered only three in his last 32 games and hit .183 in that stretch.

    PREDICTION: Diamondbacks 5, Rockies 2

  3. #3
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    Trends - Colorado at Arizona

    W/L Trends

    Colorado
    • Rockies are 4-1 in their last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Rockies are 7-2 in their last 9 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Rockies are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
    • Rockies are 3-7 in their last 10 vs. National League West.
    • Rockies are 2-6 in their last 8 road games.
    • Rockies are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 games following an off day.
    • Rockies are 1-5 in their last 6 Wednesday games.
    • Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff games.
    • Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 road starts.
    • Rockies are 6-0 in Grays last 6 Wednesday starts.
    • Rockies are 4-1 in Grays last 5 starts.
    • Rockies are 4-1 in Grays last 5 starts on grass.
    • Rockies are 4-1 in Grays last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Rockies are 7-2 in Grays last 9 starts vs. National League West.
    • Rockies are 5-11 in Grays last 16 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Rockies are 1-4 in Grays last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.

    Arizona
    • Diamondbacks are 5-0 in their last 5 Wednesday games.
    • Diamondbacks are 11-2 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Diamondbacks are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
    • Diamondbacks are 6-2 in their last 8 home games.
    • Diamondbacks are 17-6 in their last 23 games following a win.
    • Diamondbacks are 20-8 in their last 28 vs. National League West.
    • Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Diamondbacks are 5-2 in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Diamondbacks are 12-5 in their last 17 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Diamondbacks are 24-11 in their last 35 overall.
    • Diamondbacks are 24-11 in their last 35 games on grass.
    • Diamondbacks are 39-19 in their last 58 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Diamondbacks are 2-5 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
    • Diamondbacks are 2-7 in their last 9 playoff games.
    • Diamondbacks are 8-1 in Greinkes last 9 starts with 4 days of rest.
    • Diamondbacks are 7-1 in Greinkes last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
    • Diamondbacks are 5-1 in Greinkes last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Diamondbacks are 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts vs. National League West.
    • Diamondbacks are 20-6 in Greinkes last 26 home starts.
    • Diamondbacks are 19-7 in Greinkes last 26 starts during game 1 of a series.
    • Diamondbacks are 8-3 in Greinkes last 11 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Diamondbacks are 7-3 in Greinkes last 10 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Diamondbacks are 38-18 in Greinkes last 56 starts.
    • Diamondbacks are 38-18 in Greinkes last 56 starts on grass.

    OU Trends

    Colorado
    • Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 road games.
    • Under is 5-1-1 in Rockies last 7 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
    • Under is 5-1-1 in Rockies last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-1-1 in Rockies last 6 playoff road games.
    • Under is 12-3-1 in Rockies last 16 vs. National League West.
    • Under is 21-6 in Rockies last 27 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Under is 20-6-1 in Rockies last 27 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    • Under is 6-2 in Rockies last 8 games following an off day.
    • Under is 15-5-1 in Rockies last 21 during game 1 of a series.
    • Under is 36-13-2 in Rockies last 51 games following a loss.
    • Over is 8-3 in Rockies last 11 Wednesday games.
    • Under is 5-2-1 in Rockies last 8 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
    • Over is 5-2-1 in Rockies last 8 road games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Over is 5-2-1 in Rockies last 8 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
    • Under is 34-15-2 in Rockies last 51 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Under is 34-16-1 in Rockies last 51 on grass.
    • Under is 34-16-1 in Rockies last 51 overall.
    • Under is 36-17-2 in Rockies last 55 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-0 in Grays last 5 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-1 in Grays last 6 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
    • Under is 5-1-1 in Grays last 7 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 5-1 in Grays last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Grays last 5 Wednesday starts.
    • Under is 4-1 in Grays last 5 road starts.
    • Under is 4-1 in Grays last 5 starts vs. National League West.
    • Under is 7-2-1 in Grays last 10 road starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 6-2 in Grays last 8 starts on grass.
    • Over is 3-1-1 in Grays last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
    • Under is 6-2 in Grays last 8 starts overall.

    Arizona
    • Under is 4-1 in Diamondbacks last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
    • Under is 4-1-1 in Diamondbacks last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Over is 25-9-1 in Diamondbacks last 35 games following an off day.
    • Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
    • Over is 5-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Over is 5-2-1 in Diamondbacks last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Under is 5-2 in Diamondbacks last 7 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Over is 11-5-1 in Diamondbacks last 17 home games.
    • Under is 21-10-1 in Diamondbacks last 32 playoff games.
    • Under is 39-19-4 in Diamondbacks last 62 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-0 in Greinkes last 4 starts with 4 days of rest.
    • Under is 6-1-1 in Greinkes last 8 starts vs. National League West.
    • Under is 5-1-2 in Greinkes last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game.
    • Under is 4-1 in Greinkes last 5 Wednesday starts.
    • Under is 12-3-4 in Greinkes last 19 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
    • Under is 8-2-1 in Greinkes last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 3-1-1 in Greinkes last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
    • Under is 3-1-1 in Greinkes last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 16-6-4 in Greinkes last 26 starts on grass.
    • Under is 16-6-4 in Greinkes last 26 starts overall.

    Head to Head

    • Under is 3-0-1 in Greinkes last 4 starts vs. Rockies.
    • Under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona.
    • Under is 4-1-1 in the last 6 meetings.
    • Rockies are 2-7 in the last 9 meetings.
    • Diamondbacks are 1-4 in Greinkes last 5 home starts vs. Rockies.

    Umpire Trends - Name unavailable

    No trends available.

  4. #4
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    When: 8:00 PM ET, Wednesday, October 4, 2017
    Where: Allen E. Paulson Stadium, Statesboro, Georgia

    Quick Hits

    Overall Team Offense

    • The Georgia Southern Eagles are ranked 128 on offense, averaging 259.7 yards per game. The Eagles are averaging 181.7 yards rushing and 78.0 yards passing so far this season.
    • The Arkansas State Red Wolves are ranked 28 on offense, averaging 472.3 yards per game. The Red Wolves are averaging 120.7 yards rushing and 351.7 yards passing so far this season.


    Home and Away

    • The Georgia Southern Eagles are 0-1 at home this season, 0-0 against conference opponents and 0-3 against non-conference opponents.
    • At home the Eagles are averaging 12.0 scoring, and holding teams to 22.0 points scored on defense.
    • The Arkansas State Red Wolves are 0-2 while on the road this season, 0-0 against conference opponents and 1-2 against non-conference opponents.
    • On the road, the Red Wolves are averaging 28.5 scoring, and holding teams to 43.5 points scored on defense.

  5. #5
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    Trends - Arkansas State at Georgia Southern

    ATS Trends

    Arkansas State
    • Red Wolves are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a bye week.
    • Red Wolves are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
    • Red Wolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
    • Red Wolves are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
    • Red Wolves are 37-16-1 ATS in their last 54 conference games.
    • Red Wolves are 38-18 ATS in their last 56 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Red Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games following a straight up loss.
    • Red Wolves are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Red Wolves are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

    Georgia Southern
    • Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games following a ATS loss.
    • Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss.
    • Eagles are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games after accumulating less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 1-5 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    • Eagles are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
    • Eagles are 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.
    • Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 conference games.
    • Eagles are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games.
    • Eagles are 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Eagles are 1-7-1 ATS in their last 9 games on grass.
    • Eagles are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games in October.

    OU Trends

    Arkansas State
    • Under is 5-0 in Red Wolves last 5 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-0 in Red Wolves last 5 games following a straight up loss.
    • Under is 5-0 in Red Wolves last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 7-0 in Red Wolves last 7 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Under is 6-1-1 in Red Wolves last 8 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 6-1 in Red Wolves last 7 road games.
    • Under is 12-3-1 in Red Wolves last 16 games overall.
    • Over is 4-1 in Red Wolves last 5 games on grass.
    • Under is 4-1 in Red Wolves last 5 games after allowing more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Over is 7-2 in Red Wolves last 9 games in October.
    • Under is 7-2-1 in Red Wolves last 10 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.
    • Over is 9-3 in Red Wolves last 12 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
    • Over is 20-7-1 in Red Wolves last 28 conference games.
    • Over is 19-7-1 in Red Wolves last 27 vs. a team with a losing record.

    Georgia Southern
    • Under is 6-1 in Eagles last 7 home games.
    • Under is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 games after allowing more than 40 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 5-1 in Eagles last 6 games in October.
    • Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games on grass.
    • Over is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 games after scoring less than 20 points in their previous game.
    • Under is 7-2 in Eagles last 9 conference games.
    • Under is 13-4 in Eagles last 17 games after allowing more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 11-4 in Eagles last 15 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.

    Head to Head

    No trends available.

  6. #6
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    NCAAF
    Long Sheet


    Wednesday, October 4

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    ARKANSAS ST (1 - 2) at GA SOUTHERN (0 - 3) - 10/4/2017, 8:00 PM
    There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 against the spread versus GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
    ARKANSAS ST is 1-0 straight up against GA SOUTHERN over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

  7. #7
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    NCAAF

    Week 6


    Trend Report

    Wednesday, October 4

    8:00 PM
    ARKANSAS STATE vs. GA SOUTHERN
    Arkansas State is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
    Arkansas State is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
    Ga Southern is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
    Ga Southern is 18-5 SU in its last 23 games at home


  8. #8
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    NCAAF

    Week 6


    Wednesday’s game
    Arkansas State (+8) survived a -5 turnover ratio to upset Georgia Southern 27-26 LY; ASU ran the ball for 343 yards. Red Wolves allowed 539 rushing yards in losing their first two I-A games, at Nebraska/SMU- their only win is over a I-AA team; they’re 12-7 vs spread in last 19 games as a road favorite. Ga Southern is 0-3 with a 22-12 loss to I-AA New Hampshire; Eagles are 2-1 as a home underdog since moving to I-A football. Hard to tell much about them since they lost to Power 5 teams (Auburn/Indiana). Dogs covered first five Sun Belt conference games this year.

  9. #9
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

    RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 4:13 PM EASTERN POST
    8.0 FURLONGS DIRT FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $25,000.00 CLAIMING $47,000.00 PURSE

    #1 JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT
    #4 FLICK OF AN EYE
    #6 AREWEHAVINGFUNYET
    #5 MARNESIA BIG GIRL

    #1 JOSEPHINE'S MOMENT drops in class (-3), is the overall speed and pace profile leader, qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," and has turned in "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her last five starts, including back-to-back-to-back "POWER RUN WIN" in her 3rd through her 5th races back. Jockey Irad Ortiz and Trainer David Jacobson send her to the post ... they've hit the board with 64% of their entries saddled as a team to date. #4 FLICK OF AN EYE, a 4-1 shot, has produced a quartet of "POWER RUNS" in her last five outings, hitting the board in a pair.

  10. #10
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Belmont Park

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 3 - SA - 8.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $55000 Class Rating: 101

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $50,000 OR LESS AND WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN OR CLAIMING. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 1, 2017 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $25,000 OR LESS NOT CONSIDERED IN


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 1 SHADOW RIDER 5/1

    # 2 GOING STRONG 7/2

    # 4 CARLINO 3/5

    SHADOW RIDER looks very good to best this field. Could provide positive gains based on very strong recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 91. Has been running soundly lately and will most likely be on or close to the lead early on. Has to be given a chance in this race if only for the decent speed figure garnered in the last race. GOING STRONG - Put up a quite good Equibase Speed Fig last time out. Has very strong Equibase speed figs and has to be considered for a bet in this race. CARLINO - Had one of the most favorable Equibase speed figs of this field in his last contest. With a solid 96 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest.

  11. #11
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Delaware Park - Race #6 - Post: 3:30pm - Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 78

    Rating: 4

    #8 HONOR N GRACE (ML=8/1)
    #6 I'M MAXIMA (ML=7/2)


    HONOR N GRACE - This jock and trainer's horses have been producing a favorable return on investment. Trainer Reyes gave this mare a good stiff work. Last one was 2nd fastest of the day. Mount didn't end up on the board in last race, but did beat half the field, and made up ground down the homestretch. A slight improvement and this horse should be right there at the wire. This mare is clearly on the improve with speed figures of 50, 59, 74 last three out. I'M MAXIMA - This filly is in fine physical condition, having run a nice race on September 16th, finishing first. Earnings per start (EPS) is something that I believe can be an extremely key handicapping aspect. This entrant is ranked the highest in this field.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #7 FLIRTIN N FLASHIN (ML=5/2), #1 DUSTY STREET (ML=4/1), #4 BEST FRIENDS (ML=6/1),

    FLIRTIN N FLASHIN - This horse doesn't have a winner's demeanor. Regularly finishes second or third. This horse hasn't shown much effort in the last couple of races. DUSTY STREET - Difficult to keep following this sort of 'hanger' horse. This vulnerable equine ran a run-of-the-mill speed fig last time out. She shouldn't improve and will likely suffer defeat today running that fig. BEST FRIENDS - Tough to keep chasing this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #8 HONOR N GRACE is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [6,8]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

  12. #12
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Evangeline Downs

    Evangeline Downs - Race 2

    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4)


    Claiming $5,000 • 870 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 52 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 6:00P
    QUARTER HORSE 870Y, FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * FIT TO DASH FAST: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. BIG BOY AGOUTI: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. DUKES FIRST PRIZE: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EYESA SCHOOLBOY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. JW CARTEL: Quarter Horse has a Fast Brea k Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast.
    2
    FIT TO DASH FAST
    5/2

    5/1
    6
    BIG BOY AGOUTI
    3/1

    5/1
    3
    DUKES FIRST PRIZE
    5/1

    8/1
    1
    EYESA SCHOOLBOY
    4/1

    10/1
    4
    JW CARTEL
    10/1

    10/1

  13. #13
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 7 - Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $9000 Class Rating: 85

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE APRIL 4. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 4 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 4 ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 6 MANIPULATED 1/1

    # 4 UNCOMMON GROUNDS 5/1

    # 5 OXLEY GAP 6/1

    MANIPULATED is the most competitive wager in this race. Has to be given a shot here on the basis of the figures in the speed section alone. Davila has one of the most favorable rider ROI's on the grounds, returning to players +7 percent. With Davila aboard him, this gelding ought to be able to break out early in this contest. UNCOMMON GROUNDS - Is hard not to examine based on Speed Figures which have been competitive - 78 avg - of late. Handler has solid win rate (17 percent) at this distance and surface. OXLEY GAP - The winning percentage shown by horses entered by Conway running at this distance are the top in this group of horses in this race. Conway has him trained soundly to break promptly out of the starting gate.

  14. #14
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Presque Isle Downs - Race #7 - Post: 7:55pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 64

    Rating: 4

    #6 GOLDHUNT (ML=6/1)


    GOLDHUNT - I usually like playing sprint horses who are 3-4 races into a comeback. When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after her last outing, it generally means she's fit. Have to make this filly a contender; she comes off a good race on Sep 25th. Just missed hitting the board on September 25th at Mountaineer Park. With pretty good morning odds today, she has my interest.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 COURAGEOUS SADIE (ML=9/5), #5 REDEMPTIVE (ML=4/1), #8 LACEE (ML=5/1),

    COURAGEOUS SADIE - A sustainer like this one needs an early battle to set things up and she isn't likely to get one this time. REDEMPTIVE - 4/1 odds isn't enough for this horse when looking at the most recent outings. LACEE - A stretch-runner like this one needs a ding-dong battle to set things up and she isn't likely to get one in this one. Improbable that the speed rating she notched on Sep 24th will hold up in this event.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Turf Man - GOLDHUNT - Changing surface from the turf, at Mountaineer Park, to the dirt today, this magnificent animal has a good chance to get her first victory.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Put your money on #6 GOLDHUNT on the nose if you can get odds of 1/1 or more

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

  15. #15
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park

    Remington Park - Race 8

    Late Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)


    Allowance • 7 1/2 Furlongs • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 93 • Purse: $36,300 • Post: 10:19
    (RAIL AT 18 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR STATE BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT NECESSARY TO TAKE THIS RACE OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.)
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * BLASTED BOSS: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. SOCIALIZED: Horse has t he highest average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. INDYPENDENT DEPUTY: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. GIRL POWER: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. BARBARY HALL: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
    11
    BLASTED BOSS
    5/2

    6/1
    8
    SOCIALIZED
    12/1

    7/1
    3
    INDYPENDENT DEPUTY
    4/1

    7/1
    10
    GIRL POWER
    3/1

    7/1
    4
    BARBARY HALL
    2/1

    8/1

  16. #16
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    National League Wild Card playoff preview and odds: Rockies at Diamondbacks

    National League MVP candidates Paul Goldschmidt and Nolan Arenado will go toe-to-toe in the 2017 NL Wild Card Game.

    Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks (A: +155, H: -170, Total: 8.5)

    Two teams make their long-awaited return to the postseason when the Colorado Rockies visit the Arizona Diamondbacks for a battle of National League West rivals in the NL Wild Card Game on Wednesday night. The Diamondbacks are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2011 and had an 11-8 record this year against the Rockies, who make their first postseason appearance since 2009.

    Arizona went 52-29 at Chase Field this year and boast a powerful middle of the lineup as J.D. Martinez launched 29 homers in 62 games after being acquired from Detroit while Paul Goldschmidt knocked in 120 runs, but the first baseman finished the regular season by going 0-for-17. “I want these guys to understand that something special is happening here,” Diamondbacks manager Torey Lovullo told reporters. “I’ll tell them to embrace this. … This is the greatest time of year.” Colorado had to battle its way into the playoffs, edging Milwaukee by one game for the final spot, but led the NL in runs (824) while featuring the NL batting champ Charlie Blackmon (.331), the major league runner up in RBIs Nolan Arenado (130) and a red-hot Carlos Gonzalez, who was 9-for-15 in his last four games with five extra-base hits. Arizona’s starting pitcher Zack Greinke has given up five home runs in 42 at-bats to Gonzalez in his career but is 13-1 with a 2.87 ERA at home in 2017, while the Rockies will go with fellow hard-throwing righty Jon Gray, who finished the season with four straight wins - one of them against the Diamondbacks.

    TV:
    8 p.m. ET, TBS

    INJURY REPORT:

    Rockies - RP J. Diaz (Out For Season, Elbow)..

    Diamondbacks - RF D. Peralta (Probable, Neck), RP J. Sherfy (Questionable, Tricep), SS K. Marte (Questionable, Hamstring), SS N. Ahmed (Out For Season, Hand), SS C. Owings (Doubtful, Hand), RP S. Hathaway (Out For Season, Shoulder), RP R. Delgado (Out For Season, Elbow), RF Y. Tomas (Out For Season, Abdominal), SP S. Miller (Out For Season, Elbow).

    PITCHING MATCHUP:
    Rockies RH Jon Gray (10-4, 3.67 ERA) vs. Diamondbacks RH Zack Greinke (17-7, 3.20)

    Gray became a key part of the rotation after the All-Star break while going 8-4 with a 3.65 ERA over 15 starts, and allowed seven runs across 30 innings in his last five outings. The 25-year-old Oklahoma native also struck out 10 to win at Arizona on June 30 and is 2-2 with a 4.75 ERA lifetime versus the Diamondbacks. Martinez is 2-for-6 with a pair of homers and David Peralta 6-for-13 with a triple against Gray, who has 112 strikeouts in 110 1/3 innings in 2017.

    Greinke reached 17 victories for the third time in four seasons, but struggled in his last home start against Miami on Sept. 22 when he permitted eight runs over four innings. The 33-year-old Orlando native, who ended the regular season by limiting Kansas City to two runs over four innings Friday, is 9-5 lifetime against Colorado after going 2-1 with a 3.41 ERA in five outings this season. Mark Reynolds and Trevor Story have homered four times apiece against Greinke.

    TRENDS:


    * Rockies are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff games.
    * Rockies are 4-0 in Grays last 4 road starts.
    * Diamondbacks are 11-2 in their last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
    * Diamondbacks are 20-6 in Greinkes last 26 home starts.
    * Under is 6-1 in Rockies last 7 road games.
    * Under is 5-1-2 in the last 8 meetings in Arizona.

    CONSENSUS:
    The public is siding with the home chalk D-Backs at a rate of 67 percent and the Over is picking up 51 percent of the totals action.

  17. #17
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    MLB
    Dunkel

    Wednesday, October 4


    Colorado @ Arizona

    Game 933-934
    October 4, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Colorado
    (Gray) 17.281
    Arizona
    (Greinke) 14.194
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Colorado
    by 3
    9
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Arizona
    -170
    8 1/2
    Dunkel Pick:
    Colorado
    (+150); Over

  18. #18
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    MLB
    Long Sheet

    Wednesday, October 4


    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    COLORADO (87 - 75) at ARIZONA (93 - 69) - 8:05 PM
    JON GRAY (R) vs. ZACK GREINKE (R)
    Top Trends for this game.
    COLORADO is 247-441 (-83.1 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +125 to +175 since 1997.
    COLORADO is 447-708 (-138.1 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
    ARIZONA is 93-69 (+16.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    ARIZONA is 52-29 (+15.7 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
    ARIZONA is 45-31 (+11.5 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    ARIZONA is 65-48 (+9.2 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
    ARIZONA is 68-52 (+9.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
    ARIZONA is 56-36 (+15.7 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
    ARIZONA is 35-29 (+8.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GREINKE is 38-20 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
    GREINKE is 53-21 (+20.9 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -125 to -175 since 1997. (Team's Record)
    GREINKE is 15-3 (+11.2 Units) against the money line in home games this season. (Team's Record)
    GREINKE is 100-49 (+37.4 Units) against the money line in home games in night games since 1997. (Team's Record)
    GREINKE is 69-27 (+34.8 Units) against the money line in home games after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
    COLORADO is 87-75 (+12.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
    COLORADO is 41-40 (+10.5 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
    COLORADO is 42-34 (+11.8 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
    COLORADO is 34-29 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
    GRAY is 5-0 (+7.6 Units) against the money line in road games against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
    ARIZONA is 237-235 (-57.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 since 1997.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    ARIZONA is 11-8 (+1.6 Units) against COLORADO this season
    12 of 17 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+6.8 Units)

    JON GRAY vs. ARIZONA since 1997
    GRAY is 2-2 when starting against ARIZONA with an ERA of 4.75 and a WHIP of 1.418.
    His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.3 units)

    ZACK GREINKE vs. COLORADO since 1997
    GREINKE is 9-5 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 3.97 and a WHIP of 1.290.
    His team's record is 14-10 (-2.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 10-13. (-4.5 units)

  19. #19
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    MLB

    Wednesday, October 4


    Trend Report

    8:08 PM
    COLORADO vs. ARIZONA
    Colorado is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Colorado's last 6 games when playing Arizona
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 6 games when playing Colorado
    Arizona is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home

  20. #20
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
    Join Date
    Nov 2012
    Posts
    346,247
    Rep Power
    381
    MLB

    Wednesday, October 4


    Colorado @ Arizona
    Arizona is 11-8 against the Rockies this season; teams split 10 games played here.

    Gray is 4-0, 2.10 in his last five starts; he is 2-1, 3.50 vs Arizona this season. His last four starts stayed under the total. Colorado is 7-5 in his road starts.

    Greinke makes $30M+ a year; he is expected to win this game. He was 1-1, 3.90 in five September starts, and is 2-1, 3.41 in five starts vs Colorado this season. Under is 8-2 in his last ten starts.

    Rockies are in playoffs for 4th time ever, first time since 2009; Arizona is in playoffs for first time since 2011- they last made the NLCS in 2007.

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •