When: 8:00 PM ET, Thursday, October 5, 2017
Where: Carter-Finley Stadium, Raleigh, North Carolina
Preview: Louisville at North Carolina State
Gracenote
Oct 3, 2017
North Carolina State served notice it was a team to be reckoned with in late September when it toppled then-No. 11 Florida State in Tallahassee, and coach Dave Doeren's squad will get another chance to prove it has some staying power less than two weeks later. The 24th-ranked Wolfpack eye their first 3-0 start in ACC play since 2002 and a fifth straight victory overall Thursday when they host No. 17 Louisville.
"We're a lot more mature than we have been in the past. A lot of guys in the past would've been like 'Oh we beat the (No. 11) team so we don't have to come out as hard this week.' We just all executed exactly what we needed to do," N.C. State defensive end Bradley Chubb told reporters following last weekend's 33-25 win over Syracuse. The victory gave the Wolfpack their first 2-0 start in the conference since 2006, leaving them as only one of two schools (Clemson) without a blemish in the ACC's Atlantic Division. In case his team needs any additional motivation on a short week, Doeren must only remind the Wolfpack of last season's 54-13 rout in which Louisville raced out to a 44-0 halftime advantage. The Cardinals have outscored a pair of overmatched opponents (Kent State and FCS foe Murray State) 97-13 since their demoralizing 47-21 setback to No. 2 Clemson on Sept. 16 and have won six of the seven meetings versus N.C. State, including all three since joining the ACC.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Louisville -4
ABOUT LOUISVILLE (4-1, 1-1 ACC): Reigning Heisman Trophy winner Lamar Jackson, who is 13 yards away from becoming the seventh player in conference history to reach 10,000 total career yards, posted his program-best 16th 100-yard rushing game while also breaking Chris Redman's school mark (538) for career scoring (554) last time out. Dez Fitzpatrick finished with two touchdowns on four catches against Murray State and has scored six times on only 16 receptions, leaving him one TD catch shy of Arnold Jackson (1997) and Mario Urrutia (2005) for the most by a freshman receiver in school history. Preseason All-American cornerback Jaire Alexander, who suffered a knee injury in the season opener, practiced last week and is day-to-day, according to coach Bobby Petrino.
ABOUT NORTH CAROLINA STATE (4-1, 2-0): Junior quarterback Ryan Finley owns the longest active streak of consecutive attempts without an interception at 257, ranks 23rd in the nation in passing yards per game (280.6) and ninth in FBS in completion percentage (ACC-high 71.9). Nyheim Hines, a 5-9, 197-pound track All-American, has transitioned smoothly to running back after being used as a flex player in his first two seasons and ranks fifth in the conference in rushing (411 yards) after setting a career high in rushing yards in each of the last three weeks. Chubb leads the conference with league-best 12 tackles for loss after 3.5 last week, increasing his career total to 46 and moving him into second place in school history behind Mario Williams (55.5).
EXTRA POINTS
1. The Cardinals yielded a combined 230 yards to Kent State and Murray State, the lowest two-game total allowed by Louisville since 1960.
2. The Wolfpack have not committed a fumble or thrown an interception during their winning streak and lead the ACC with a plus-six turnover margin.
3. Petrino is 14-0 against North Carolina-based schools.
PREDICTION: Louisville 34, North Carolina State 30
Trends - No. 17 Louisville at No. 24 NC State
ATS Trends
Louisville
- Cardinals are 21-7 ATS in their last 28 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
- Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
- Cardinals are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games in October.
- Cardinals are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games overall.
- Cardinals are 0-6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-5 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
- Cardinals are 0-5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Cardinals are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing less than 20 points in their previous game.
NC State
- Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 Thursday games.
- Wolfpack are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Wolfpack are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Wolfpack are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on grass.
- Wolfpack are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
OU Trends
Louisville
- Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Over is 10-3 in Cardinals last 13 conference games.
- Over is 12-4 in Cardinals last 16 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 18-7-1 in Cardinals last 26 games in October.
- Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games after allowing less than 170 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Cardinals last 7 games on grass.
- Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 road games.
- Under is 14-6 in Cardinals last 20 games following a straight up win of more than 20 points.
- Over is 7-3 in Cardinals last 10 games after scoring more than 40 points in their previous game.
- Under is 17-8-1 in Cardinals last 26 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game.
NC State
- Under is 7-0 in Wolfpack last 7 conference games.
- Under is 16-1-1 in Wolfpack last 18 Thursday games.
- Over is 6-1-1 in Wolfpack last 8 games after accumulating more than 200 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Under is 4-1 in Wolfpack last 5 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 18-7 in Wolfpack last 25 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Under is 5-2 in Wolfpack last 7 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 13-6-1 in Wolfpack last 20 games in October.
- Over is 15-7-1 in Wolfpack last 23 games following a ATS loss.
Head to Head
No trends available.
NCAAF
Week 6
Trend Report
Thursday, October 5
8:00 PM
LOUISVILLE vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
Louisville is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
North Carolina State is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games at home
North Carolina State is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
NCAAF
Week 6
Thursday’s game
Louisville is 3-0 vs NC State in ACC play, winning by 12-7-41 points; they won 20-13 (+3.5) in their last visit to Raleigh, in 2015. Cardinals (-19.5) crushed State 54-13 LY, outgaining Wolfpack 553-250; they’re 4-1 this year, winning 47-35 in Chapel Hill in their only road game so far- they beat Purdue 35-28 in Indy. Louisville is 8-5 as a road favorite under Petrino. NC State won its last four games, with a win at Florida State in there; Wolfpack is 3-7 as a home underdog under Doeren. ACC home underdogs are 1-5 vs spread so far this season.
NFL opening line report: Cowboys open as home faves in Week 5
Patrick Everson
New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+4)
Much like Dallas, New England was dealt a stunning home loss in Week 4 and has now lost two of its three home games this season. The Patriots (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) tumbled to Carolina 33-30 as a 9-point fave, and now hit the road on a short week, playing in the Thursday night game.
Tampa Bay (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS) got a Nick Folk 34-yard field goal as time expired to edge the New York Giants 25-23, but the Bucs fell a tick short of covering as 2.5-point chalk Sunday.
“We’re expecting this number to inflate with the Patriots coming off a loss. But it’s doubtful it will grow to -5, and unlikely it will drop below -4,” Cooley said. “Our team was pretty consistent on this number and it feels right. Squares will think this is a steal spread, backing the Pats.”
As Cooley predicted, the number did bump up a tick later Sunday night, to Patriots -4.5.
NFL
Long Sheet
Week 5
Thursday, October 5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NEW ENGLAND (2 - 2) at TAMPA BAY (2 - 1) - 10/5/2017, 8:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 36-19 ATS (+15.1 Units) in all games where the total is greater than or equal to 49.5 since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 178-140 ATS (+24.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 116-82 ATS (+25.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
NFL
Week 5
Trend Report
Thursday, October 5
9:25 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. TAMPA BAY
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England's last 5 games
New England is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games
Tampa Bay is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing New England
Tampa Bay is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games at home
NFL
Week 5
Thursday's game
Patriots (2-2) @ Buccaneers (2-1)— New England defense has already allowed 33+ points in three games this year; they’re 0-2 when scoring less than 36 points. Patriot defense has given up 3.04 pts/drive on 28 opponent drives that started 75+ yards from goal line; next worst in NFL are Saints, at 2.80. Bucs don’t have a takeaway in last two games; they’re only 4-17 on 3rd down in last two games. Tampa ran ball for 117-111 yards in its two wins, only 26 yards on 9 carries in their 26-9 loss in Minnesota. Patriots are 6-2 vs Tampa Bay, winning last three meetings by combined score of 86-10. This is Patriots’ first visit to Tampa Bay since 1997. NFC South teams are 5-7 vs spread outside the division; AFC East teams are 6-4, 1-3 when favored.
Trends - New England at Tampa Bay
ATS Trends
New England
- Patriots are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Patriots are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
- Patriots are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games on grass.
- Patriots are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Patriots are 6-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Patriots are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 5.
- Patriots are 17-5-2 ATS in their last 24 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Patriots are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
- Patriots are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
- Patriots are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Patriots are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Patriots are 40-17-3 ATS in their last 60 games in October.
- Patriots are 41-18-1 ATS in their last 60 games following a straight up loss.
- Patriots are 78-38-2 ATS in their last 118 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Tampa Bay
- Buccaneers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Buccaneers are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 5.
- Buccaneers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on grass.
- Buccaneers are 22-46-1 ATS in their last 69 home games.
- Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
- Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
OU Trends
New England
- Over is 8-0 in Patriots last 8 games overall.
- Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 4-0 in Patriots last 4 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 6-0 in Patriots last 6 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Under is 8-1 in Patriots last 9 games on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Patriots last 6 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Over is 5-2 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
- Over is 15-7 in Patriots last 22 games in October.
- Over is 47-22 in Patriots last 69 vs. a team with a winning record.
Tampa Bay
- Over is 7-0 in Buccaneers last 7 Thursday games.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
- Under is 5-1-1 in Buccaneers last 7 games on grass.
- Over is 5-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games in Week 5.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Buccaneers last 6 games following a straight up win.
- Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 home games.
- Under is 4-1 in Buccaneers last 5 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 7-2 in Buccaneers last 9 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Over is 20-8 in Buccaneers last 28 games in October.
Head to Head
- Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
- Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings.
Trends - Boston at Houston
W/L Trends
Boston
- Red Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 4-0 in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Red Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 games following a loss.
- Red Sox are 19-7 in their last 26 road games.
- Red Sox are 23-9 in their last 32 games following an off day.
- Red Sox are 5-2 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 10-4 in their last 14 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 overall.
- Red Sox are 2-5 in their last 7 games on grass.
- Red Sox are 3-8 in their last 11 Thursday games.
- Red Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 Divisional Playoff games.
- Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff road games.
- Red Sox are 4-1 in Sales last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Red Sox are 7-2 in Sales last 9 road starts.
- Red Sox are 19-8 in Sales last 27 starts.
- Red Sox are 15-7 in Sales last 22 starts on grass.
- Red Sox are 0-4 in Sales last 4 Thursday starts.
Houston
- Astros are 6-0 in their last 6 during game 1 of a series.
- Astros are 11-2 in their last 13 home games.
- Astros are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Astros are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. American League East.
- Astros are 16-5 in their last 21 games following a win.
- Astros are 21-7 in their last 28 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Astros are 22-8 in their last 30 overall.
- Astros are 22-8 in their last 30 games on grass.
- Astros are 6-13 in their last 19 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 3-7 in their last 10 playoff games.
- Astros are 6-17 in their last 23 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Astros are 3-9 in their last 12 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Astros are 1-4 in their last 5 playoff home games.
- Astros are 4-0 in Verlanders last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Astros are 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts.
- Astros are 5-0 in Verlanders last 5 starts on grass.
OU Trends
Boston
- Under is 4-0 in Red Sox last 4 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 12-2-2 in Red Sox last 16 during game 1 of a series.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games following an off day.
- Under is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 games following a loss.
- Under is 4-1-1 in Red Sox last 6 playoff games.
- Over is 4-1 in Red Sox last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Under is 7-2 in Red Sox last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 on grass.
- Over is 5-2 in Red Sox last 7 overall.
- Under is 9-4-1 in Red Sox last 14 playoff road games.
- Under is 11-5 in Red Sox last 16 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Over is 5-0 in Sales last 5 starts on grass.
- Over is 5-0 in Sales last 5 starts overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Sales last 5 Thursday starts.
- Over is 4-1 in Sales last 5 road starts.
Houston
- Over is 4-0 in Astros last 4 games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 6-1 in Astros last 7 home games.
- Over is 5-1-1 in Astros last 7 home games following a road trip of 7 or more days.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 games following a win.
- Over is 5-1 in Astros last 6 Divisional Playoff home games.
- Over is 10-2 in Astros last 12 Divisional Playoff games.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 4-1 in Astros last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Over is 16-5-1 in Astros last 22 vs. American League East.
- Over is 9-3 in Astros last 12 games following an off day.
- Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 on grass.
- Under is 6-2 in Astros last 8 Thursday games.
- Over is 6-2 in Astros last 8 overall.
- Under is 10-4 in Astros last 14 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
- Under is 5-2 in Astros last 7 home games vs. a left-handed starter.
- Under is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Verlanders last 5 starts overall.
Head to Head
- Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.
Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.
GAME: New York Yankees (92-71) at Cleveland Indians (102-60)
DATE/TIME: Thursday, October 05 - 7:30 PM EST
WHERE: Progressive Field, Cleveland, Ohio
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A Playoff Series: Divisional Playoff; Series Tied 0-0
Preview: Yankees at Indians
Gracenote
Oct 4, 2017
Terry Francona made liberal use of his bullpen weapons while guiding the Cleveland Indians to the World Series last season, and Joe Girardi took that philosophy a step further while guiding the New York Yankees to the American League Division Series with a win in the wild-card game Tuesday. Girardi will try to find a way to beat Francona and the best team in the AL when the Yankees visit the top-seeded Indians in Game 1 of the AL Division Series on Thursday.
Girardi got 26 outs from his bullpen after yanking starter Luis Severino with one out and three runs in in the first inning Tuesday against the Minnesota Twins, and Chad Green, David Robertson, Tommy Kahnle and Aroldis Chapman proved to be up to the task as the Yankees pulled out an 8-4 victory. "If you're playing four games in five nights, it's really difficult to do," Girardi told reporters of leaning heavily on the relievers. "You can do it probably two of the games of the four, but you can't do it back to back. And a lot of times you can -- if you were to do it on Game 2, you probably can't even do it on Game 3, even with the off-day in between." Francona rode left-hander Andrew Miller hard in the 2016 postseason and won't be afraid to do so again, though the Indians might have an even better team in 2017 after finishing the regular season with 33 wins in their last 37 games. Cleveland surprised some by choosing Trevor Bauer to start Game 1 over ace Corey Kluber, while New York is expected to counter with Sonny Gray.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1
PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Sonny Gray (10-12, 3.55 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (17-9, 4.19)
Gray went 4-7 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 starts after being acquired from the Oakland Athletics prior to the trade deadline but struggled some in September, surrendering nine home runs in 35 1/3 innings. The Vanderbilt product, who lost at Cleveland in his New York debut on Aug. 3, was ripped for six runs on six hits - two homers - over 4 2/3 innings in his final regular-season outing on Saturday. Gray is 0-1 in two career postseason starts despite a 2.08 ERA.
Bauer aided the Indians' sprint to the finish by going 9-1 with a 2.42 ERA over his last 13 games (12 starts) and allowed two runs in 13 innings over his final two starts. Two of those 13 outings came against New York on Aug. 4 and Aug. 30, and the UCLA product breezed to wins in both by scattering two runs over 13 frames and striking out 11. Bauer, who gets the start over Cy Young candidate Kluber so that Kluber can come back on regular rest in a potential Game 5 or Game 1 of the ALCS, went 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in five games (four starts) during the 2016 postseason.
WALK-OFFS
1.Yankees RF Aaron Judge set a rookie record with 52 home runs in the regular season and homered in Tuesday's wild-card game.
2. Cleveland 2B/3B Jose Ramirez hit .407 from Sept. 1 through the end of the regular season.
3. New York's bullpen recorded 13 strikeouts Tuesday, which ties for the most all-time by a bullpen in a playoff game.
PREDICTION: Indians 4, Yankees 3
Trends - NY Yankees at Cleveland
W/L Trends
NY Yankees
- Yankees are 5-0 in their last 5 vs. American League Central.
- Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Yankees are 6-1 in their last 7 during game 1 of a series.
- Yankees are 5-1 in their last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Yankees are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Yankees are 20-6 in their last 26 games on grass.
- Yankees are 6-2 in their last 8 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Yankees are 21-8 in their last 29 overall.
- Yankees are 5-2 in their last 7 Divisional Playoff road games.
- Yankees are 11-5 in their last 16 Divisional Playoff games.
- Yankees are 35-17 in their last 52 games vs. a right-handed starter.
- Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff road games.
- Yankees are 1-5 in their last 6 playoff games.
Cleveland
- Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff home games.
- Indians are 4-0 in their last 4 Divisional Playoff games.
- Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 7-1 in their last 8 games following an off day.
- Indians are 42-9 in their last 51 overall.
- Indians are 13-3 in their last 16 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 43-10 in their last 53 games following a win.
- Indians are 21-5 in their last 26 during game 1 of a series.
- Indians are 42-11 in their last 53 games on grass.
- Indians are 42-14 in their last 56 Thursday games.
- Indians are 19-7 in their last 26 vs. American League East.
- Indians are 37-14 in their last 51 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Indians are 38-16 in their last 54 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Indians are 35-16 in their last 51 home games.
- Indians are 35-16 in their last 51 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 6-0 in Bauers last 6 starts vs. American League East.
- Indians are 4-0 in Bauers last 4 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Indians are 5-0 in Bauers last 5 Thursday starts.
- Indians are 4-0 in Bauers last 4 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Indians are 7-1 in Bauers last 8 starts with 5 days of rest.
- Indians are 4-1 in Bauers last 5 starts during game 1 of a series.
- Indians are 7-2 in Bauers last 9 starts.
- Indians are 7-2 in Bauers last 9 starts on grass.
- Indians are 6-2 in Bauers last 8 home starts.
- Indians are 20-8 in Bauers last 28 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Indians are 5-2 in Bauers last 7 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
OU Trends
NY Yankees
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30.
- Under is 4-0 in Yankees last 4 Divisional Playoff games.
- Over is 5-1 in Yankees last 6 Thursday games.
- Over is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games following an off day.
- Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 games following a win.
- Over is 9-3 in Yankees last 12 vs. American League Central.
- Over is 11-4-2 in Yankees last 17 playoff road games.
- Over is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Over is 8-3 in Yankees last 11 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 on grass.
- Under is 5-2 in Yankees last 7 overall.
- Under is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 playoff games.
- Under is 7-3 in Yankees last 10 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.
Cleveland
- Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 on grass.
- Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Indians last 5 vs. American League East.
- Under is 11-3 in Indians last 14 playoff games.
- Under is 15-5-1 in Indians last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- Under is 15-5-2 in Indians last 22 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 8-3-2 in Indians last 13 playoff home games.
- Under is 13-5 in Indians last 18 games following a win.
- Under is 20-8-2 in Indians last 30 home games.
- Under is 10-4 in Indians last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 12-5 in Indians last 17 Thursday games.
- Under is 25-12-3 in Indians last 40 vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 6-1-2 in Bauers last 9 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 5-1 in Bauers last 6 starts on grass.
- Under is 5-1 in Bauers last 6 starts overall.
- Over is 5-1 in Bauers last 6 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game.
- Under is 8-2-3 in Bauers last 13 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.
- Under is 3-1-1 in Bauers last 5 home starts vs. a team with a winning record.
- Under is 38-15-5 in Bauers last 58 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
- Under is 7-3-1 in Bauers last 11 home starts.
- Under is 7-3-3 in Bauers last 13 starts vs. American League East.
Head to Head
- Over is 2-0-2 in Bauers last 4 home starts vs. Yankees.
- Under is 2-0-2 in Bauers last 4 starts vs. Yankees.
- Over is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Cleveland.
- Yankees are 2-5 in the last 7 meetings.
Umpire Trends - Name unavailable
No trends available.
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Charles Town - Race #1 - Post: 7:00pm - Claiming - 7.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $10,000 Class Rating: 69
Rating: 4
#5 OFFICER RIDGE (ML=2/1)
OFFICER RIDGE - Peltroche and Contreras partnered together are a punter's friend.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 LIMEHOUSER (ML=9/5), #3 I NEED YOU (ML=5/1), #6 DEANDREA'S PRIDE (ML=6/1),
LIMEHOUSER - Hasn't been on the Charles Town oval in the last 3 weeks. Cause for some concern. I NEED YOU - Generally I need a sprinter to have some recent good showings in sprint contests in order to wager on him. This rallier looks to have little chance without a speed battle on the front end. DEANDREA'S PRIDE - This was a hot horse, but now this one hasn't been doing anything in the morning. Have to be leery of this one.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: The Brain - OFFICER RIDGE - My calculated information would suggest that some type of wager is indeed necessary given the lone speed that this horse should demonstrate against this field.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Have to go with #5 OFFICER RIDGE on the win end if we get at least 1/1 odds
EXACTA WAGERS:
5 with 6
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Finger Lakes
Finger Lakes - Race 3
EXACTA * TRIFECTA * SUPERFECTA * PICK 3 (50 Cent Minimum: Races 3-4-5) * DAILY DOUBLE (Races 3-4)
Claiming $5,000 • 1 Mile 40 yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $9,000 • Post: 2:08P
FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON FOUR RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE SEPTEMBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. SUCH A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Lone Front-runner. GIGGY SMOOTH is the Lone Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * GIGGY SMOOTH: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. SCHOUT BAY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SMOOTH CAT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. EMERGENCY EXIT: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
1
GIGGY SMOOTH
5/2
9/2
2
SCHOUT BAY
3/1
5/1
4
SMOOTH CAT
9/5
6/1
6
EMERGENCY EXIT
6/1
10/1
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Fresno
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - SA - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $10500 Class Rating: 91
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $4,000 OR LESS IN 2016-2017. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF TWO RACES SINCE AUGUST 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE THEN ALLOWED 4 LBS.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 2 SHEZ A GRILLER 8/1
# 7 BELLANZA 2/1
# 6 DIZZY TIZZY 3/1
SHEZ A GRILLER looks to be a very good contender and the potential return justifies the dangerous nature of the long odds. With Orozco getting the mount, watch out for this pony. BELLANZA - Demonstrates the look of a lucrative play, averaging a solid 85 Equibase Speed Fig which is one of the most favorable in this field. Looks solid against this group and will almost certainly be one of the leaders. DIZZY TIZZY - Should keep the strong string of finish positions intact this time around. Overall, has one of the best earnings per start in dirt sprint contests in this bunch.
Handicapped by The Walker Group at Gulfstream Park West
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 8 - Maiden Claiming - 7.5f on the Turf. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 64
FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 119 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 4 A. P. D'ORO 15/1
# 1 EL GUERRERO AZTECA 5/1
# 7 MCMANAMAN 10/1
A. P. D'ORO is my choice and the potential return justifies the unsafe nature of the long odds. Alvarez will almost certainly be able to get this colt to break out early for this event. Look for a decent pace improvement from this equine who enters with second time Lasix today. Displays the look of a money-making play, averaging a solid 59 speed figure which is one of the best in this field. EL GUERRERO AZTECA - Should compete very well in the pace battle which bodes well with this group of horses in this race. MCMANAMAN - Is tough not to look at given the company run in as of late.
F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Remington Park
Remington Park - Race 9
Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta (.10 Cent Minimum)
Allowance • 1 Mile • Turf • Ages 3 and up • CR: 85 • Purse: $34,000 • Post: 10:45
(RAIL AT 18 FEET). FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON A RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, STARTER, TRIAL OR OKLAHOMA BRED ALLOWANCE OR WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. (IF MANAGEMENT DEEMS IT NECESSARY TO TAKE THIS RACE OFF THE TURF, IT WILL BE RUN AT A DISTANCE OF 1 MILE ON THE MAIN TRACK.)
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * MIMI'S MONEY: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. NATALIE'S MISCHIEF: Today is a horse's first or second race on turf, and turf starters from this sire have a win percentage of at least 15 (minimum of 50 starts). Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. MAKE AM ENDS: Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. ENCHANTING EMBRACE: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or tur f) is at least 50. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation.
9
MIMI'S MONEY
15/1
9/2
3
NATALIE'S MISCHIEF
8/1
6/1
10
MAKE AMENDS
2/1
7/1
6
ENCHANTING EMBRACE
4/1
10/1
Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Santa Anita - Race #3 - Post: 2:01pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 84
Rating: 3
#7 GATO DOLCE (ML=5/1)
#12 ROLLS ROYCE DEAL (ML=12/1)
#9 OREJAS (ML=4/1)
#8 SUPREME GIANT (ML=12/1)
GATO DOLCE - I predict an ideal trip. Stalk the front runners, and swing by on the turn. ROLLS ROYCE DEAL - Jockey hops up aloft after getting to know the fine animal by riding last out. That's always a helpful angle. OREJAS - Ran in the last race against a tougher field at Del Mar. The move to a lower class rank should suit him well. This horse is a hot commodity. Claimed in his last two races. SUPREME GIANT - Gelding's finish positions keep getting better with each race. Maybe today's the day. Finished second, but easily runner-up over the third horse. Those types usually run well next time out.
Vulnerable Contenders: #6 EMPIRE RULER (ML=3/1), #1 SOONER BOOMER (ML=6/1), #5 SOUTHERN THUNDER (ML=8/1),
EMPIRE RULER - No picnic to play this racer this time out. Make him show you something in a sprint contest before you bet on him in a race of 6 1/2 furlongs. Don't believe this horse will make an impact in today's event. That last speed figure was disappointing when compared with today's class rating. SOONER BOOMER - A runner should have more early zip at 1 mile to get me going about his chances at 6 1/2 furlongs. A strong thoroughbred that's been running well, but he's been off the track in the mornings recently. The rating last time out doesn't fit very well in this event when I look at the Equibase class figure of today's event. Mark this thoroughbred as a possibly overvalued equine. SOUTHERN THUNDER - Last raced on Aug 19th at Del Mar, finishing sixth. Unlikely to perk up off of that performance in today's race. Hasn't finished in the money in any sprint contests recently. Improbable to see him doing it in today's event either.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#7 GATO DOLCE is going to be the play if we are getting 9/2 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [7,9,12]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
When: 7:00 PM ET, Thursday, October 5, 2017
Where: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Preview: Predators at Bruins
Gracenote
Oct 4, 2017
The Nashville Predators advanced past the second round for the first time in franchise history in the spring, moving past the Western Conference final before falling just two wins shy of the Stanley Cup title. The Music City representatives look to take the first step on what they hope is another long journey on Thursday when they open the 2017-18 season against the Boston Bruins at TD Garden.
Nashville boasts a potent top line that features 31-goal scoring wings Filip Forsberg and Viktor Arvidsson around center Ryan Johansen, who erupted for 13 points in 14 playoff games before being shut down due to acute compartment syndrome. The Predators' offense takes a hit after this trio, with the team banking on offseason acquisition Nick Bonino (Pittsburgh) paying dividends and Colton Sissons, Kevin Fiala and Pontus Aberg taking the next step in their development to deal with the departures of former captain Mike Fisher (retirement) and fellow forward James Neal (Vegas). While Music City embraced the Predators during their lengthy postseason run, Boston's first playoff appearance in three years was promptly snuffed out by Ottawa in the first round to ignite a summer filled with questions. David Pastrnak (34 goals, 70 points) answered a significant one just before training camp by signing a six-year, $40 million deal.
TV: 7 p.m. ET, FSN Tennessee (Nashville), NESN (Boston)
ABOUT THE PREDATORS (2016-17: 41-29-12, 4th in Central Division): Nashville's strength rests with arguably the best quartet of defensemen in Roman Josi, P.K. Subban, Mattias Ekholm and Ryan Ellis, although Ellis is expected to be sidelined into January with a knee injury. Veteran Alexei Emelin was acquired to provide depth on the back end in front of Pekka Rinne, who overcame a mediocre regular season to excel in the first three rounds of the playoffs. Juuse Saros, 22, could be in for a greater workload if Rinne - who will turn 35 in November - falters this season.
ABOUT THE BRUINS (2016-17: 44-31-7, 3rd in Atlantic Division): Boston openly inserted a healthy dose of youth in its lineup last season and its success in 2017-18 could hinge on how quickly those kids adjust under the direction of coach Bruce Cassidy. "We have some spots available, and that's what you need in today's NHL, to have young guys come in and produce and can carry a bit of the load," said Brad Marchand, who recorded franchise bests in goals (37), assists (46) and points (85) last season. "We definitely have some guys that are going to be able to do that. ... It's going to help us not only this year but the next five or six years." Promising 19-year-old Charlie McAvoy and fellow defenseman Brandon Carlo will be looked upon to log significant minutes to take the load off 40-year-old captain Zdeno Chara.
OVERTIME
1. Former Vezina Trophy winner Tuukka Rask recorded career bests in wins (37) and shutouts (eight) last season for Boston.
2. Johansen, who signed an eight-year, $64 million deal in the summer, has eclipsed 60 points and 20 power-play points in each of his last four seasons.
3. Bruins C Patrice Bergeron, a four-time Selke Trophy winner, will play in his 900th career game on Thursday.
PREDICTION: Predators 3, Bruins 2
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