Thursday 10-5-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Thursday, October 5

Montreal @ Buffalo

Game 51-52
October 5, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
8.718
Buffalo
12.324
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Buffalo
by 3 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Montreal
-130
5
Dunkel Pick:
Buffalo
(+110); Under

Nashville @ Boston

Game 53-54
October 5, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Nashville
11.467
Boston
10.059
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Nashville
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
-130
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Nashville
(+110); Under

Colorado @ NY Rangers

Game 55-56
October 5, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Colorado
9.828
NY Rangers
10.840
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Rangers
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
NY Rangers
-200
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Rangers
(-200); Over

Washington @ Ottawa

Game 57-58
October 5, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
12.792
Ottawa
9.452
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 3 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Washington
N/A

Minnesota @ Detroit

Game 59-60
October 5, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
9.130
Detroit
12.632
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 3 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Minnesota
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+120); Under

Pittsburgh @ Chicago

Game 61-62
October 5, 2017 @ 8:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
12.460
Chicago
10.046
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 2 1/2
4
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
N/A

Philadelphia @ Los Angeles

Game 63-64
October 5, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Philadelphia
9.445
Los Angeles
12.771
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 3 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
-165
5
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
(-165); Over

Arizona @ Anaheim

Game 65-66
October 5, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Arizona
10.572
Anaheim
11.997
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 5

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MONTREAL (49-29-0-10, 108 pts.) at BUFFALO (33-37-0-12, 78 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 277-247 ATS (+19.3 Units) vs. division opponents since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 5-4-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.0 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NASHVILLE (55-36-0-13, 123 pts.) at BOSTON (46-32-0-10, 102 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NASHVILLE is 34-40 ATS (-20.5 Units) first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 11-17 ATS (-14.6 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NASHVILLE is 3-1 (+2.0 Units) against the spread versus BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
NASHVILLE is 3-1-0 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+4.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

COLORADO (22-56-0-4, 48 pts.) at NY RANGERS (54-32-0-8, 116 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
COLORADO is 22-60 ATS (+103.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NY RANGERS are 21-7 ATS (+11.0 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO is 116-92 ATS (+215.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY RANGERS is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
NY RANGERS is 3-1-0 straight up against COLORADO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (62-24-0-9, 133 pts.) at OTTAWA (55-36-0-10, 120 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 5-1 (+3.7 Units) against the spread versus OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-1-0 straight up against OTTAWA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.3 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (50-27-0-10, 110 pts.) at DETROIT (33-36-0-13, 79 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-25 ATS (-14.5 Units) in home games first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-2 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-2-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+0.7 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

PITTSBURGH (66-28-0-13, 145 pts.) at CHICAGO (50-26-0-10, 110 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CHICAGO is 4-0 (+4.2 Units) against the spread versus PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
CHICAGO is 4-0-0 straight up against PITTSBURGH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

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PHILADELPHIA (39-33-0-10, 88 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (39-35-0-8, 86 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 10:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 241-255 ATS (-91.4 Units) after a win by 2 goals or more since 1996.
LOS ANGELES is 39-43 ATS (-5.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 16-18 ATS (-10.3 Units) in a home game where where the total is 5 or less over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LOS ANGELES is 3-1 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 3-1-0 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+1.1 Units)

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ARIZONA (30-42-0-10, 70 pts.) at ANAHEIM (56-29-0-14, 126 pts.) - 10/5/2017, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 4-5 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 5-4-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+1.7 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, October 5

Trend Report

8:00 PM
COLORADO vs. NY RANGERS
Colorado is 2-11 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Colorado's last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Rangers last 6 games when playing Colorado
NY Rangers are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games when playing Colorado

8:00 PM
MONTREAL vs. BUFFALO
Montreal is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Montreal's last 9 games when playing on the road against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Buffalo's last 9 games when playing at home against Montreal
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
NASHVILLE vs. BOSTON
Nashville is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nashville's last 5 games when playing on the road against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Boston's last 12 games at home
Boston is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games

8:30 PM
MINNESOTA vs. DETROIT
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Minnesota's last 6 games on the road
Minnesota is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games on the road
Detroit is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Detroit's last 12 games when playing at home against Minnesota

8:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. OTTAWA
Washington is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 23 games when playing Ottawa
Ottawa is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Ottawa's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington

9:30 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. CHICAGO
Pittsburgh is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Chicago
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Pittsburgh's last 11 games when playing on the road against Chicago
Chicago is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Chicago's last 11 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh

11:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. ANAHEIM
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Arizona's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Arizona's last 9 games
Anaheim is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games
Anaheim is 18-6 SU in its last 24 games at home

11:00 PM
PHILADELPHIA vs. LOS ANGELES
Philadelphia is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
Los Angeles is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Philadelphia
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Los Angeles's last 15 games when playing Philadelphia

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Thursday, October 5

Montreal won four of its last six games with Buffalo; visitors are 6-4 in last ten series games. Canadiens won three of last five visits here. Over is 4-2-3 in last nine series games. Montreal lost in six games to the Rangers in LY’s playoffs, scoring total of 4 goals in losing last three games. Sabres didn’t make the playoffs; they lost five of their last six games.

Home side won 8 of last 10 Nashville-Boston games; Predators lost four of last five visits to Boston. Last four series games stayed under the total. Nashville lost Stanley Cup final LY; they got shut out in last two games. Bruins lost in six games to Ottawa LY; four of last five games in series went overtime.

Colorado lost four of last five games with the Rangers; road team won five of last six series tilts. Avalanche are 3-2 in last five visits to Manhattan- they missed the playoffs LY; losing 8 of their last ten games. Rangers lost to Ottawa in six games in LY’s playoffs.

Washington won 7 of its last 9 games with Ottawa; under is 7-3 in last ten series games. Caps are 3-2 in last five visits to Ottawa. Washington lost in 7 games to the Penguins in the playoffs LY- they won four of last five road games. Senators also lost to Pittsburgh in seven games, losing Game 7 of the Eastern Conference final in OT.

Minnesota lost four of last six games with Detroit; home side won last four series games. Over is 4-2-3 in last nine series games. Wild lost last three visits to Motor City, all by one goal- they lost to St Louis in five games in playoffs LY. Red Wings didn’t make playoffs LY, which is rare; they lost five of their last seven games.

Pittsburgh won the last two Stanley Cups, but they’ve lost six games in a row to Chicago, losing last five visits to Windy City, scoring one goal in each of last four. Penguins raised Stanley Cup banner at home last night, before they lost in OT to St Louis. Blackhawks lost their last four regular season games, then got swept out of playoffs by Nashville in four straight.

Philadelphia lost three of its last four games with Los Angeles; road team lost 8 of last 10 series games. Flyers won three of last four visits to Staples Center. Under is 3-1-1 in last five series games. Philly won 5-3 in San Jose last night. Kings didn’t make playoffs LY; they were 4-5 in their last nine games.

Arizona lost five of last six games with Anaheim; they were outscored 13-5 in losing last three visits to the Pond. Over is 5-2-1 in last eight series games. Coyotes didn’t make playoffs LY; they lost four of their last five road games. Ducks lost in six games in the playoffs to Nashville last spring.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL
Dunkel

Week 5

Thursday, October 5

New England @ Tampa Bay

Game 303-304
October 5, 2017 @ 8:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
141.225
Tampa Bay
128.419
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 13
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 5
55 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-5); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NFL

Thursday, October 5

Thursday Night Football Betting Preview and Odds: Patriots at Buccaneers

New England Patriots at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (+5.5, 54)

Tom Brady is finally up against a defense that he might not be able to overcome -- his own. Despite a sensational start to the season by two-time league MVP Brady, the New England Patriots have allowed three of their first four opponents to score at least 30 points as they prepare to visit the Tampa Bay Buccaneers on Thursday night.

The reigning Super Bowl champions have already lost twice at home following Sunday's 33-30 setback to the Carolina Panthers -- a division rival of Tampa Bay. "We haven't been really in control too often," said Brady, who rallied his team from a 14-point, fourth-quarter deficit in Sunday's last-second loss. "We are all really focused on trying to do a much better job than what we've done." The Buccaneers, who had their Week 1 matchup postponed due to Hurricane Irma, have sandwiched a pair of home wins around a 17-point loss at Minnesota. Quarterback Jameis Winston is coming off his best game of the season and gets back top running back Doug Martin, who returns after a suspension for violating the league's policy on performance-enhancing drugs.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS.

POWER RANKINGS: Patriots (-7) - Bucs (-0.5) + home field (-3) = Patriots -3.5

LINE HISTORY: The Patriots opened as five-point road favorites and overnight Wednesday that number went up to 5.5. The total hit the betting boards at 53.5 and that number jumped two full points up to 55.5 before dropping back to 54 heading into game day.

INJURY REPORT:

Patriots - TE Rob Gronkowski (Probable, Thigh), OL M. Cannon (Questionable, Ankle), CB S. Gilmore (Questionable, Ankle), LB D. Hightower (Questionable, Knee), WR M. Slater (Questionable, Hamstring), RB R. Burkhead (Out, Ribs), DB E. Rowe (Out, Groin), DB B. King (Questionable, Hamstring), LB E. Roberts (Questionable, Ankle), DT V. Valentine (Out, Knee), WR M. Mitchell (Out, Knee), LB S. McClellin (I-R, Undisclosed), OL A. Jelks (Out, Knee), WR J. Edelman (I-R, Knee), CB C. Jones (I-R, Knee), DL K. Davis (I-R, Neck), OL T. Garcia (Out, Illness), DE D. Rivers (I-R, Knee).

Buccaneers - LB K. Alexander (Out, Hamstring), S T. Ward (Doubtful, Hip), S K. Tandy (Doubtful, Hip), LB L. David (Out, Knee), QB R. Griffin (Out, Shoulder), DL D. Lambert (I-R, Wrist), DT S. Tu'ikolovatu (I-R, Knee), DE J. Trattou (I-R, Undisclosed).

ABOUT THE PATRIOTS (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS, 4-0 O/U): Brady turned in a pedestrian effort in the season opener but he has thrown for 10 touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past three games while completing at least 71 percent of his passes in each. Tight end Rob Gronkowski has 18 receptions and two touchdowns while averaging 95 yards receiving over the past three, but wide receiver Brandin Cooks has been inconsistent in his first season with the team. The ground game also has been spotty, although running back James White has a team-high 22 receptions. The defense has been a sieve, allowing a staggering 456.8 yards per game -- by far the league worst -- and ranking 31st with 32.0 points per game.

ABOUT THE BUCCANEERS (2-1 SU, 1-2 ATS, 2-1 O/U): It's unclear how much of a role Martin, a two-time 1,000-yard rusher, will play in his season debut, although Jacquizz Rodgers rushed for 83 yards on 16 carries. Winston, the top overall pick in 2015, bounced back from a three-interception performance at Minnesota by throwing for 332 yards and three touchdowns to rally Tampa Bay to a 25-23 win over the New York Giants on Sunday. He connected with each of his tight ends -- Cameron Brate and O.J. Howard -- for TD passes last week but Mike Evans is his favorite target with 19 catches for 227 yards and two scores. Injured linebackers Lavonte David and Kwon Alexander are both expected to sit out their second straight game.

TRENDS:

* Patriots are 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games in Week 5.
* Buccaneers are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 Thursday games.
* Over is 8-0 in Patriots last 8 games overall.
* Over is 7-0 in Buccaneers last 7 Thursday games.
* Favorite is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the road chalk Patriots at a rate of 58 percent and the Over is picking up 61 percent of the totals action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Thursday's MLB Division Series Betting Preview and Odds

The division series round opens with a tremendous pitching matchup when Boston's Chris Sale goes toe-to-toe with Astros'

Boston Red Sox at Houston Astros (-130, 7)

Series tied 0-0

The Houston Astros battled all the way into the final weekend in the race for the best record in the American League and fell just short, leaving them to host the third-seeded AL East champion Boston Red Sox in Game 1 of the AL Division Series on Thursday. The second-seeded Astros made the biggest move of the waiver deadline period by bringing in Justin Verlander from the Detroit Tigers and will send him to the mound in Game 1.

Verlander brings a 7-5 record and a 3.39 ERA in 16 career postseason starts to a Houston squad that led the AL in team batting average at .282 and features probable MVP and batting champion Jose Altuve. "I think that's the main goal, just be able to keep your feel, be able to come into the start, and be consistent," Verlander told reporters of his approach to the game. "As a starting pitcher, that's what it's about. I'm going to do whatever I can to help maintain my mechanics and the feel on the mound." The Red Sox will counter with Cy Young candidate Chris Sale, who struggled in September but had the luxury of taking the final day of the regular season off after Boston beat the Astros on Saturday to clinch the AL East. The Astros took three of four in that series and four of seven from the Red Sox during the regular season and went 48-33 at Minute Maid Park.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, MLB Network

PITCHING MATCHUP: Red Sox LH Chris Sale (17-8, 2.90 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (15-8, 3.36)

Sale went 3-4 with a 4.30 ERA over his final eight starts and struggled to keep the ball in the park at times, including his final start against Toronto on Sept. 26 in which he served up four home runs. The Florida native will be making his first career postseason start and is 5-1 with a 1.31 ERA in six career starts against Houston. "I'm 28 years old, so I've been waiting for this about 23 years," Sale told reporters. "This has been a long time coming. A lot of hard work went into this. It's a long season. We had a lot of guys put everything they had on the field the entire season. To have this opportunity right here, it's the best."

Verlander earned his spot at the top of the Astros postseason rotation by going 5-0 with a 1.06 ERA in five starts since joining the team. The former MVP allowed four runs (three earned) in 12 innings over two starts against Boston earlier this season, though he did not factor in either decision. "You can't get prepared for it," Verlander told reporters of starting in the postseason. "You have to experience it by being out there and feeling the adrenaline, and experiencing it for yourself."

TRENDS:

* Red Sox are 1-5 in their last 6 Divisional Playoff road games.
* Astros are 11-2 in their last 13 home games.
* Astros are 5-0 in Verlander's 5 starts since joining the team.
* Over is 5-0 in Sale's last 5 starts overall.
* Over is 10-2 in Astros' last 12 Divisional Playoff games.
* Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the home favorite Astros with 60 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing a surprising 58 percent of the totals wagers.

New York Yankees at Cleveland Indians (-135, 8.5)

Series tied 0-0

Terry Francona made liberal use of his bullpen weapons while guiding the Cleveland Indians to the World Series last season, and Joe Girardi took that philosophy a step further while guiding the New York Yankees to the American League Division Series with a win in the wild-card game Tuesday. Girardi will try to find a way to beat Francona and the best team in the AL when the Yankees visit the top-seeded Indians in Game 1 of the AL Division Series on Thursday.

Girardi got 26 outs from his bullpen after yanking starter Luis Severino with one out and three runs in in the first inning Tuesday against the Minnesota Twins, and Chad Green, David Robertson, Tommy Kahnle and Aroldis Chapman proved to be up to the task as the Yankees pulled out an 8-4 victory. "If you're playing four games in five nights, it's really difficult to do," Girardi told reporters of leaning heavily on the relievers. "You can do it probably two of the games of the four, but you can't do it back to back. And a lot of times you can -- if you were to do it on Game 2, you probably can't even do it on Game 3, even with the off-day in between." Francona rode left-hander Andrew Miller hard in the 2016 postseason and won't be afraid to do so again, though the Indians might have an even better team in 2017 after finishing the regular season with 33 wins in their last 37 games. Cleveland surprised some by choosing Trevor Bauer to start Game 1 over ace Corey Kluber, while New York is expected to counter with Sonny Gray.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Sonny Gray (10-12, 3.55 ERA) vs. Indians RH Trevor Bauer (17-9, 4.19)

Gray went 4-7 with a 3.72 ERA in 11 starts after being acquired from the Oakland Athletics prior to the trade deadline but struggled some in September, surrendering nine home runs in 35 1/3 innings. The Vanderbilt product, who lost at Cleveland in his New York debut on Aug. 3, was ripped for six runs on six hits - two homers - over 4 2/3 innings in his final regular-season outing on Saturday. Gray is 0-1 in two career postseason starts despite a 2.08 ERA.

Bauer aided the Indians' sprint to the finish by going 9-1 with a 2.42 ERA over his last 13 games (12 starts) and allowed two runs in 13 innings over his final two starts. Two of those 13 outings came against New York on Aug. 4 and Aug. 30, and the UCLA product breezed to wins in both by scattering two runs over 13 frames and striking out 11. Bauer, who gets the start over Cy Young candidate Kluber so that Kluber can come back on regular rest in a potential Game 5 or Game 1 of the ALCS, went 0-2 with a 5.27 ERA in five games (four starts) during the 2016 postseason.

TRENDS:

* Yankees are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Yankees are 2-6 in their last 8 playoff road games.
* Indians are 42-9 in their last 51 overall.
* Indians are 6-0 in Bauer's last 6 starts vs. American League East.
* Under is 5-1 in Bauer's last 6 starts overall.
* Over is 9-3-2 in the last 14 meetings in Cleveland.

CONSENSUS: The public is leaning toward the home favorite Indians with 77 percent of the picks and Over is grabbing a 62 percent of the totals wagers.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Thursday, October 5

Boston @ Houston

Game 935-936
October 5, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
(Sale) 16.883
Houston
(Verlnder) 17.936
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-125
7
Dunkel Pick:
Houston
(-125); Over

NY Yankees @ Cleveland

Game 937-938
October 5, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Gray) 16.486
Cleveland
(Bauer) 17.694
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Cleveland
by 1
9
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Cleveland
-135
8 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(-135); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 5

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BOSTON (93 - 69) at HOUSTON (101 - 61) - 4:05 PM
CHRIS SALE (L) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
BOSTON is 0-10 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
BOSTON is 7-11 (-8.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday this season.
SALE is 3-9 (-11.5 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SALE is 22-32 (-16.8 Units) against the money line in road games after a loss since 1997. (Team's Record)
HOUSTON is 101-61 (+11.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BOSTON is 44-25 (+13.0 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
HOUSTON is 12-22 (-17.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 21-24 (-13.6 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 48-43 (-16.6 Units) against the money line in home games after a win over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 32-39 (-19.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 15-23 (-14.9 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 4-3 (+0.4 Units) against BOSTON this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.7 Units)

CHRIS SALE vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SALE is 5-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 1.31 and a WHIP of 0.708.
His team's record is 5-1 (+3.2 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-4. (-2.3 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. BOSTON since 1997
VERLANDER is 5-6 when starting against BOSTON with an ERA of 2.77 and a WHIP of 1.105.
His team's record is 8-10 (-3.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-10. (-5.6 units)

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NY YANKEES (92 - 71) at CLEVELAND (102 - 60) - 7:35 PM
SONNY GRAY (R) vs. TREVOR BAUER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 19-30 (-11.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 11-22 (-13.0 Units) against the money line on the road when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
NY YANKEES are 14-20 (-13.5 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 48-43 (-7.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
GRAY is 19-30 (-17.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 6-17 (-11.6 Units) against the money line in road games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 4-11 (-10.0 Units) against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
GRAY is 20-27 (-18.5 Units) against the money line after a win since 1997. (Team's Record)
CLEVELAND is 206-132 (+22.1 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 95-47 (+28.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 13-3 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 27-7 (+19.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Thursday over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 98-66 (+18.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-10 (+11.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
NY YANKEES are 47-31 (+13.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CLEVELAND is 29-24 (-14.8 Units) against the money line in home games in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 5-2 (+3.2 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
3 of 6 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.4 Units)

SONNY GRAY vs. CLEVELAND since 1997
GRAY is 3-3 when starting against CLEVELAND with an ERA of 3.38 and a WHIP of 1.146.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-2. (+2.8 units)

TREVOR BAUER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
BAUER is 3-4 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 4.60 and a WHIP of 1.511.
His team's record is 4-4 (+0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 3-3. (-0.2 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, October 5

Trend Report

4:08 PM
BOSTON vs. HOUSTON
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Boston is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
Houston is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Boston
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Houston's last 7 games at home

7:38 PM
NY YANKEES vs. CLEVELAND
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of NY Yankees's last 6 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Thursday, October 5

Boston @ Houston
Astros are 4-3 vs Boston this season; road team won five of the seven games. Astros were just in Beantown last weekend, taking 3 of 4 mostly meaningless games.

Sale is 2-1, 3.38 in his last four starts; his last five starts went over. This is his first playoff game. He is 5-1, 1.31 in six career starts vs Houston, but none were this year.

Verlander is 5-0, 1.06 in five starts since coming to Houston (under 4-1). He is 4-2, 1.76 in his last 8 playoff starts.

Red Sox are in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years; they got swept 3-0 by Cleveland in this round last year. Houston is in playoffs for second time in three years; they’ve never won the World Series, losing 4-0 to the White Sox in 2005.

New York @ Cleveland
New York is 2-5 vs Cleveland this season; road teams won five of the seven games. Losing team scored 1 or 2 runs in six of the seven games.

Gray is 1-3, 5.56 in his last four starts; under is 6-3-2 in his starts for New York. He is 1-2, 5.94 vs Cleveland this season. New York is 2-4 in his road starts.

Bauer is 3-1, 2.90 in his last five starts; under is 5-1 in his last six starts. He is 2-0, 1.38 vs New York this season. Cleveland is 6-2 in his last eight home starts.

New York is in the playoffs for second time in the last five years; they last made the ALCS in 2012- they beat Twins 7-4 in Wild Card game Tuesday, with bullpen getting 26 of the 27 outs.

Indians lost Game 7 of the World Series last year; they haven’t won a World Series since 1948. They’re in playoffs for 3rd time in last five years.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Brayman

Now about this complimentary winner

My free play is going to be short and sweet, as I won't go too long on this. I like the New England Patriots to win and cover against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

I don't see how the Patriots fall to 2-3 on the year, and think off a short week, we're going to see New England respond against an upstart Tampa Bay team that will fall short in its quest to knock off the defending champs.

I know the Patriots have the worst defense in the league, but at some point the mad scientist in Bill Belichick has to come out, and I think this is the spot.

Last time the Pats were on Thursday night, they lost the season-opener to the still-undefeated Kansas City Chiefs. Knowing the pride of this team, it will be looking to avenge that loss, and last week's, hoping to stay on track and above .500. Lay the road chalk.

1* PATRIOTS

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Larry Ness

Washington vs. Ottawa
Pick: Ottawa +115

The story is beginning to become VERY old. The Caps went 55-19-8 in capturing the NHL's toughest division (Metropolitan) and the team's 118 points gave them the Presidents' Trophy. However, just like in the previous season, Washington was eliminated in the second round of the playoffs by the Penguins, who went on to win their second straight Stanley Cup. That's 111 wins the last two seasons and NOTHING to show for it! The Ottawa Senators were 44-28-10 (2nd in Atlantic Division) and advanced to the conference finals before finally bowing to the Pittsburgh Penguins in double overtime Game 7.

Washington captain Alex Ovechkin dipped to 33 goals after three consecutive 50-goal campaigns but he still tied for the league high with 17 power-play tallies. Washington lost a pair of 24-goal scorers in Marcus Johansson and Justin Williams but there is plenty of offensive talent. Center Nicklas Backstrom had 23 goals and was second in the league with 63 assists, while T.J. Oshie (33 goals) and Evgeny Kuznetsov (59 points) are dangerous attackers. The departures of Kevin Shattenkirk, Karl Alzner and Nate Schmidt on the blue line makes for real concern, leaving Dmitry Orlov, Matt Niskanen and John Carlson as the top defensemen. Fortunately the Capitals still have goalie Braden Holtby, who is coming off three straight 40-win seasons.

The Ottawa Senators will be without their best player tonight at Canadian Tire Centre against the Capitals. Defenseman Erik Karlsson, who had off-season ankle surgery, has been practicing in a "no contact" jersey for almost two weeks, but Senators coach Guy Boucher said his captain's status remains a "day-to-day thing."Karlsson revealed that half his ankle bone was removed during the June surgery, so all eyes will be on the player who led the team with 71 points in the regular season before collecting 18 points in 19 postseason contests. Kyle Turris, Mike Hoffman and Mark Stone each scored at least 22 goals but Ottawa will be expecting more from Bobby Ryan and Jean-Gabriel Pageau, who combined for 25 goals in the regular season before lighting it up in the playoffs. Marc Methot's departure left a hole on the blue line that was plugged with the signing of veteran Johnny Oduya. Goaltender Craig Anderson had a trying season off the ice while his wife battled cancer, but he registered five shutouts in only 40 starts and has one of the league's top backups in Mike Condon.

Nobody believes the Senators, as they are currently assembled, can go any higher than they did last spring but this is just opening night. The Senators lost their last three preseason games by a combined score of 22-6, which I believe has lowered expectations here and even without Karlsson, they'll get teh better of the Caps.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brandon Lee

Oct 05 '17, 4:05 PM

MLB | Red Sox vs Astros

Play on: Red Sox +122 at 5Dimes

10* FREE MLB PICK (Red Sox +122)
I'll gladly back Chris Sale and the Red Sox in Game 1 of this ALDS. Unlike some of the other pitching performances we have seen so far in the playoffs, I look for Sale to dominate in his first ever postseason start. Pitching away from home won't be a problem, as Sale went 10-5 with a 2.71 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in 19 road starts. He's also 5-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 0.708 WHIP in 6 career starts against the Astros. Boston is 4-1 in Sale's last 5 starts during Game 1 of a series and 7-2 in his last 9 road starts. Give me the Red Sox +122!

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Jack Jones

Oct 05 '17, 4:05 PM

MLB | BOS vs HOU
Play on: UNDER 7 +100

Jack's Free Pick Thursday: Red Sox/Astros UNDER 7

In this battle of ace vs. ace in Game 1 of the Boston/Houston series, we'll side with the UNDER. Chris Sale has been dominant all season, while Justin Verlander has been untouchable since being traded to Houston for just this reason.

Sale is 17-8 with a 2.90 ERA and 0.970 WHIP in 32 starts this season, striking out a whopping 308 batters in the process. He's 10-5 with a 2.71 ERA and 0.952 WHIP in 19 road starts as well. Sale has owned the Astros, going 5-1 with a 1.31 ERA and 0.708 WHIP in six career starts against them.

Verlander is 15-8 with a 3.36 ERA and 1.175 WHIP in 33 starts, including 8-2 with a 2.45 ERA and 1.066 WHIP in 15 home starts. He is 5-0 with a minuscule 1.06 ERA since being traded from Detroit. Verlander is also 5-6 with a 2.77 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 18 career starts against Boston.

Verlander is 17-3 UNDER vs. an AL team with an slugging percentage .410 or worse in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. Sale is 11-1 UNDER when working on 7 or more days' rest in his career. Verlander is 26-8 UNDER in the second half of the season over the last two seasons. Bet the UNDER in this game Thursday.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Mike Williams

Oct 05 '17, 4:05 PM

MLB | BOS vs HOU
Play on: UNDER 7 +100

1* on Red Sox vs Astros under 7 +100

[Can'tPickAWinner]

John Martin

Oct 05 '17, 7:35 PM

MLB | NYY vs CLE
Play on: UNDER 8½ -115

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Yankees/Indians UNDER 8.5

This is a very big total for two teams that feature arguably the best bullpens in baseball. And it's not like Sonny Gray and Trevor Bauer are slouches. Gray has posted a 3.55 ERA in 27 starts and a 3.11 ERA in 12 road starts. Bauer is 17-9 with a 4.19 ERA on the season and 10-4 with a 3.93 ERA in 17 home starts. He has been dominant in the second half of the season. Bauer is 2-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts against the Yankees this season. Gray is 3-3 with a 3.38 ERA in eight previous starts against the Indians. Give me the UNDER.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Cappers Access

NC St +3.5
Buccaneers +5
Indians -135

[Can'tPickAWinner]

The Sports Consensus

CFB Arkansas St. -9

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Joe Wiz

CFB Ark. St. over 54