BIG E
10* Pittsburgh +4.5
BIG E
10* Pittsburgh +4.5
Sunday card has he AFC East total of the year, a 5* perfect system blowout and 3 more best bets including the Sunday night play and MLB playoffs. NFL Comp play below.
The Sunday NFL Comp play is on Cleveland at 1:00 eastern. The Browns should get the cover here and teams who have not won in game 6 or later taking this many points have covered over 75% over the last 35 years. Another fine system shows that non division road dogs from +7 to +10 are 47-14 to the spread if both teams are off non divisional losses. Houston is laying 10 despite being under .500. These two teams are very close yardage wise and while the Texans may get the win, simulation models show the Browns are a clear cut choice to cover the spread. Play on Cleveland today. On Sunday a massive card takes center stage and is led by the AFC East total of the year, a big 5* Perfect system blowout, a Double perfect later afternoon system side and the 100% Sunday night NFL Totals play. Football ranked #1 overall combined the last 3 seasons. Message to jump on. For the NFL free pick. Play on Cleveland plus the points. RV- GC Sports
Double Dragon Sports
6-UNIT TOPS
BROWNS
SAINTS
VIKINGS
BEARS
CHIEFS
BRONCOS/GIANTS UNDER
STEPHEN OH
denver under 40.5
baltimore -6.5
jets under 47.5
kansas city `4
sixth sense
cleveland over 47
jets under 47.5
atlanta under 46.5
minnesota under 47
baltimore under 40
la rams over 42.5
pitt +4.5
Vegas Venditte
Jets + 9.5
Dolphins + 12
Saints -4
Indian Cowboy
6-Unit Play. #258. Take New Orleans Saints -4.5 over Detroit Lions (Sunday @ 1pm est)
The Saints could not be more thrilled that Adrian Peterson is gone probably and they will likely show it this week. Look for the Running Backs to break out and have an excellent performance as they sa Adios to Adrian and the drama that he brought with him. The Saints are the same team that rolled into Carolina earlier this year and score 30+ points on a top 5 NFL Defense. This team is 2-2 and even the defense looks to be shaping up as they held the Dolphins scoreless in their last game. After a slow start, if the Saints win this game heading into the bye week, this team will be 3-2 and you have to think that is a huge morale boost for this squad. Detroit is 3-2 but take a close look and you will see that this team is 29th in the league in offense, 18th in defense and 27th in passing yards defense which will not bode them well coming into today. Saints are playing great football right now, the defense is shaping up at the right time and we think they come together as a squad after the departure of Peterson and have a solid week and cover.
Anyone heard of high rollers picks ??
Randall the handle
BEST BETS
Buccaneers (2-2) at Cardinals (2-3)
LINE: TAMPA BAY by 2
It doesn’t matter than the Cardinals are a home dog. All that means is that we can spot a small price with visiting the Bucs. This Arizona team is a mere shell of the contender from a couple of years ago. The loss of RB David Johnson has been immeasurable. The Cards made a desperation move this week by acquiring 32-year-old Adrian Peterson after a disgruntled stay in New Orleans. Good luck with that. Defences have been able to zone in on Arizona’s passing game and that stifled unit has only been able to produce 16.2 points per game as a result. Such a puny output ranks slightly higher than only the Bears, Browns and Dolphins. Arizona’s two wins have both come in overtime against the Colts and 49ers respectively, two clubs that are a combined 2-8 with Indy’s wins being against equally inept San Francisco and Cleveland. Losses to the Lions, Cowboys and Eagles were all by double-digits. Tampa is well rested after facing the Patriots 10 days ago and the solid defensive unit that held Tom Brady to less than 20 points should have an easy time controlling this lame opponent.
TAKING: BUCCANEERS –2
Steelers (3-2) at Chiefs (5-0)
LINE: KANSAS CITY by 4
It’s rare for everyone to be down on the Steelers, but some lackadaisical efforts combined with Ben Roethlisberger’s discouraging comments finds Pittsburgh folk in a funk. Disheartened, demoralized and depressed after being humiliated by Blake Bortles and the Jaguars, of all teams, the Steelers will take on the league’s best team. This is typically where the NFL makes you nuts. The Chiefs have been on fire since the start of the season and are supposed to roll over this troubled visitor. But we don’t see it happening. Pittsburgh finds itself in a desirable role as the underdog for the first time this year. It marks only the second time since the start of last season where Mike Tomlin’s team is being offered points during regular season. The only other occasion was when visiting New England. This sets up for a good bounce-back spot. As usual, Ben is whining after a lopsided loss, but that’s usually when he is best as Steelers are 7-1 vs. spread after losing by 20+ points in the Big Ben era. Nothing against Chiefs, but Pittsburgh provides the value.
TAKING: STEELERS +4
Giants (0-5) at Broncos (3-1)
LINE: DENVER by 11½
Hurricanes, earthquakes and the Giants. It has been an awful year for disasters. The Giants remain winless and, to add insult to injury, their infirmary has more people in it than a Chargers home game. New York’s biggest star was lost for the season after Odell Beckham broke an ankle last week. In fact, you won’t recognize many G-men receivers as both Brandon Marshall and Sterling Shepard are also sidelined. Troubled when they had the currently wounded players in their lineup, the Giants will now have to face Denver’s rock-ribbed defence without them. And it’s not like New York can turn to its ground game, a unit that is averaging 77.8 yards per game (30th ranked) while the Broncos run defenders are nearly impossible to penetrate after giving up just 210 yards on the ground all season! We don’t have to get cute here. There simply does not appear a way the Giants can score with current roster. The Broncos are strong and they are rested. They are also 14-6-1 against the spread (ATS) in past 21 following a bye week.
TAKING: BRONCOS -11½
Randall the Handle
THE REST
Browns (0-5) at Texans (2-3)
LINE: HOUSTON by 9½
The Browns are plagued by bad coaching, bad drafting, bad management and bad players. Coach Hue Jackson has one win in 21 tries as Cleveland’s head man. But wait! There’s a quarterback change. Kevin Hogan will be featured in the latest instalment of ‘How the Quarterback Carousel Turns.’ Poor Kevin. He’ll have to go into Houston in his first NFL start and face an angry Texans bunch that allowed an uncharacteristic 42 points to be scored upon them last week. Perhaps the most interesting storyline of this game will have No. 1 draft pick Myles Garrett chasing after dynamic QB Deshaun Watson (chosen 12th), but that still won’t be enough to point us to the prohibitive dog here. It’s a tall order for rookie Watson, but after scoring 91 points over the past two games, Houston should get the job done.
TAKING: TEXANS –9½
Patriots (3-2) at Jets (3-2)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 9½
The unwritten rule is to never spot big road points, especially in a divisional game. But as the saying goes, rules are meant to be broken and we’re going to break one here. Miraculously, the Jets are on a three-game winning streak, placing them in a tie for first place in the AFC East along with the Bills and these Patriots. Unfortunately, the Jets may not win another game this season. This current streak has been accomplished with smoke and mirrors. Teams on such streaks do not rank 26th in the NFL on offence and 25th on defence. Jets had no right beating the inept Browns (194 passing yards, 34 rushing yards) last week but for Cleveland miscues. Patriots have had 10 days to continue fixing defensive issues. They swept Jets last year by a combined 63-20. Expect same sort of domination here.
TAKING: PATRIOTS –9½
Dolphins (2-2) at Falcons (3-1)
LINE: ATLANTA by 11½
The Falcons’ 3-1 mark looks better than they do. One-score wins at Chicago and Detroit ended inside Atlanta’s five-yard line and could easily have had different results. The one blemish saw the Falcons lose at home to Buffalo when Atlanta’s luck finally ran out two weeks ago. Point being, the team many feared heading into this season after Atlanta came so close to a Super Bowl win has been less than advertised and it hardly warrants a double-digit give here despite facing a struggling opponent. Miami has been horrendous offensively (averaging just 10 points per game) but such a ridiculous output can’t last forever. The host has been sloppy this season and it could open up some opportunities for much-maligned QB Jay Cutler to escape current funk. The Falcons are also wallet-drainers as hosts with just five covers in past 14 on home turf. Conversely, the Fish are 5-2 ATS in their past seven as guests.
TAKING: DOLPHINS +11½
Lions (3-2) at Saints (2-2)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 4½
Lions may have been living a charmed life after three wins against some questionable opponents. We didn’t know how bad the Cardinals were when Detroit thumped them in opener. Their other wins were against 0-5 Giants and Vikings with Case Keenum under centre. Such a resume lacks a little lustre. The Leos will head to New Orleans, where they’ve won games the past two season, making this three in a row for the Michigan team. But we think it’s time the tables turn. While we’re still cautious, the Saints appear to finally be playing some defence after holding previous two opponents to a combined 13 points including the suddenly high-flying Panthers. And it’s not as though Detroit’s offence is anything to fear. Somewhat unnoticed, the Lions own the fourth-lowest yards per game average. The Saints are home for only second time after hosting Patriots a month ago.
TAKING: SAINTS –4½
Packers (4-1) at Vikings (3-2)
LINE: GREEN BAY by 3
An arduous task awaits the Packers here as they are fresh off an exhausting road win in Dallas and now must spot some road points to a good defensive divisional opponent. Of course, the biggest disparity in this contest is at quarterback where all-world Aaron Rodgers simply lays over what will in all likelihood be Keenum. However, we have enough confidence in the Minny’s stop unit to keep this one close. Keenum may also have moderate success against Green Bay’s suspect defenders, a group that has allowed an average of 26 points against in past four. Vikes play some of their best ball against this rival, winning here last year while taking two of past three in series. It should be noted that the Packers are 0-3 on back end of a two-game trip after winning the opener with Rodgers throwing for just 194 yards per game on average
TAKING: VIKINGS +3
Bears (1-4) at Ravens (3-2)
LINE: BALTIMORE by 6½
This may seem like a lot of points to give away with offensively challenged Ravens, but the Bears have issues of their own, especially away from Soldier Field. Chicago has dropped two road games this year in as many tries, being outscored 64-21 combined in the pair of defeats. Bears have been road kill for most of their hosts as they have managed just two covers in past 10 away. Now they’ll have to contend with Baltimore’s stellar defensive unit while under the guidance of rookie QB Mitch Trubisky. The young pivot was featured in Monday clash for all the world to see, but while he brought enthusiasm to the position, he was less than impressive after throwing for just 128 yards, one interception and a fluke touchdown. Ravens back home, where they’ve covered five of the past seven, after a big win in Oakland. Host gets the nod.
TAKING: RAVENS –6½
49ers (0-5) at Redskins (2-2)
LINE: WASHINGTON by 10
Are the Redskins the best team that no one is really talking about? They very well could be and, if so, they should have little trouble disposing of the 49ers despite San Fran’s spirited efforts. We catch the Niners in a vulnerable spot as this will be their third consecutive road game and it’s in the dreaded early timeslot on the east coast. Washington had won two straight before a decent effort in loss at Kansas City. It has had two weeks to prepare for this one and we don’t expect Jay Gruden’s squad to take this one lightly. A 0-5 club playing a third straight away game against a host coming off a bye? Hardly seems fair. San Francisco is the likely landing spot for Washington QB Kirk Cousins next season. He will want to showcase his talents for his potential future employers and he’ll take no prisoners while running up the score.
TAKING: REDSKINS –10
Rams (3-2) at Jaguars (3-2)
LINE: JACKSONVILLE by 2½
It’s Week 6 and the Jaguars are at home for only the second time. Their first time as host they produced an uninspiring 37-16 loss to division foe Titans. But Jacksonville still finds itself atop the AFC South despite that loss and smelling some success for the first time in ages, we expect a big effort here. The Rams are travelling across the country after physical affair with Seahawks. That game saw L.A. with too many errors and giveaways. Now they’ll face another quality defence and it could be too challenging on back-to-back weeks. While the Rams have been able to score points this season (30.4 per game), Jacksonville’s pass defence is one of the more reliable groups in the league, ranking third overall by allowing just 177.8 yards per game through the air. Rams’ run defence also an issue, relinquishing 133.6 yards each game. Jags emerging star RB Leonard Fournette is capable of exploiting that weakness.
TAKING: JAGUARS –2½
Chargers (1-4) at Raiders (2-3)
LINE: No line as status of Oakland QB Derek Carr is undetermined.
Colts (2-3) at Titans (2-3)
Root Trust
Perfect- New Orleans
Inner Circle- Pittsburgh
Pinnacle- Minnesota
Steve Merril
Sunday, Oct. 15
NFL
(3% play) ARIZONA +1.5 (vs. Tampa Bay) - 4:05 pm ET #268
-Tampa Bay is just 2-2 on the season despite playing a weak schedule with three home games
-offense is below average while averaging just 21.2 points per game vs. defenses that allow 24.1
-Buccaneers' defense gave up 34 points on a whopping 7.1 yards per play in their lone road game
-Arizona returns home off an embarrassing 34-7 loss in Philadelphia; expect bounce back effort
-offense averages 289 passing yards per game; Bucs give up 309 pypg on 7.4 yards per attempt
-Cardinals' defense is giving up just 21.5 points per game on 4.8 yards per play at home
Play CARDINALS (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) PITTSBURGH +3.5 (at Kansas City) - 4:25 pm ET #269
-Pittsburgh is off an ugly 30-9 home loss to Jacksonville, so expect a bounce-back performance here
-offense has played strong defenses that only give up 5.3 yards per play; Chiefs allow 6.0 yppl
-Steelers' defense is excellent, giving up just 17.8 points per game on 4.8 yards per play
-Kansas City is a perfect 5-0 SU/ATS, but off high-scoring game on Sunday night, letdown here
-offense has faced a group of terrible defenses that allow 6.0 yards per play; stepping up in class
-Chiefs defense is giving up 6.0 yards per play overall, and 6.5 yards per play at home
Play STEELERS (+) as a 3% play.
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(3% play) OVER 49.5 (Chargers/Raiders) - 4:25 pm ET #271
-Los Angeles’ offense is taking a big step-down in class against Oakland’s defense in this game
-Chargers' offense is averaging 5.8 yards per play versus defenses that give up only 5.5 yards per play
-defense is below average, giving up 5.7 yards per play vs. offenses that average 5.6 yppl
-Oakland is getting QB David Carr back on the field, so expect a strong offensive performance
-Carr was fantastic in earlier games; he completed 68% of his passes with a 7/2 TD/INT ratio
-Raiders defense is giving up 5.9 yards per play versus offenses that only average 5.4 yppl
Play OVER as a 3% play.
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(additional TV opinion)
(1% opinion) DENVER -11.5 (vs. N.Y. Giants) - 8:30 pm ET (NBC) #274
-New York is only scoring 16.4 points per game versus defenses that give up 22 ppg
-offense is averaging 5.4 yards per play, but they’ve played defenses that give up 5.7 yppl
-Giants' defense has been poor on the road, giving up 23.7 points per game on 5.9 yards per play
-Denver returns off a bye, so expect a fresh and healthy team; big edge vs. injury riddled Giants
-offense is averaging 24.5 points per game versus defenses that give up only 21.5 points per game
-Broncos' defense is holding opponents to just 18.5 points per game on 4.6 yards per play
Totals 4 You
NFL Selections for Early Sunday, October 15th 2017 NFL Super Totals 3-Teamer of the Year!!!!!
New England/New York under 47 1/2
Detroit/New Orleans under 50 1/2
Green Bay/Minnesota under 46 1/2
Early NFL Best Bets
Cleveland/Houston under 47
Miami/Atlanta under 45 1/2
San Francisco/Washington under 46
Correction****Originally Posted by Can'tPickAWinner
Warren Sharp
Browns over 45
There's actually a bit of line value in taking the Patriots with the Jets riding an improbable three-game win streak. Credit to the Jets for beating the Dolphins and Jaguars. They were fortunate, though, to defeat the winless Browns. The Jets are putting forth an effort. They will give their best shot here in this division rivalry. However, they are no match for the Patriots. The talent gap between these two offenses is the size of the Grand Canyon. Tom Brady remains a top-three quarterback. He's leading the NFL in passing yards and has the second-highest quarterback rating. The Patriots have outstanding wide receivers and excellent running back versatility and depth. Rob Gronkowski should be able to play this week, too. The Jets have a popgun offense made worse in that their best runner, Bilal Powell, isn't expected to play. The Patriots are on extra rest since they played last Thursday. The Patriots' defense finally showed some improvement against a dangerous Tampa Bay offense. Belichick should be able to make further fixes with the added preparation time. The Patriots' disappointing cornerbacks shouldn't have any problems handling the Jets' non-descript wide receivers. This is a kill spot for the Patriots. They're not going to let up against this hated foe either.
2* TOW
SF / WAS : OVER 46.5
Both team's offenses are heating up. After five games, the 49ers are showing signs of picking up Kyle Shanahan's intrigue schemes and designs. Brian Hoyer is coming off his best game as a 49er throwing for two touchdown passes and 353 yards while compiling a 101.1 passer rating against the Colts on the road last week. The Redskins will be without their elite cornerback, injured Josh Norman. Shanahan and Pierre Garcon, who is having a good year for the 49ers, know the Redskins well. Shanahan was Washington's offensive coordinator from 2010-2013 while Garcon played the previous five seasons for the Redskins. They will know the soft spots in the Redskins' coverage. Kirk Cousins is back on track for Washington. He's 39-for-54 for 585 yards with a five-to-zero touchdown-to-interception ratio in his last two games. The Redskins will be fresh having had their bye last week. The time off has allowed star tight end Jordan Reed to be healthy for the first time this season. The 49ers defense gives up the fifth-most yards per game and is second-to-last in opponent's third-down percentage. San Francisco's defense could get tired early, too. This marks San Francisco's third consecutive road game. It's an early start time, too, for the 49ers. The 49ers defense has had to endure overtime games the past two weeks. They've been on the field 37:17 and 36:15 during the past two games.
2* TOTAL TERMINATOR
LA CHARGERS / OKL : UNDER 49.5
The total is set high here because Derek Carr is back behind center after suffering a fracture in his back that caused him to miss last week. That type of injury normally keeps a player out 2-to-6 weeks. Carr still has pain in his back. The Chargers have a strong pass rush thanks to Joey Bosa and Melvin Ingram, who have combined for 12 sacks. That's the most in the league among two teammates. So the Raiders have to be extremely careful with their franchise quarterback. That likely means more running plays and short, quick passes where Carr isn't so much at risk. This will keep the clock moving. Oakland's offense hasn't been in gear. The Raiders have put up only 37 points in their last three games. Amari Cooper and Marshawn Lynch are having terrible seasons so far. The Chargers' success rides on Philip Rivers and he isn't having a good season either. Rivers is completing less than 60 percent of his throws, has five interceptions and ranks just 21st in passer ratings. LA is likely to run more than usual, too, because the Raiders have a trio of undersized linebackers and middle linebacker, Marquel Lee, is out. Another reason not to expect a Rivers-Carr shootout is the Enviornmental Protection Agency has said the air quality is unhealthy for this game, which is being played at the Oakland Coliseum. This is due to the lingering North Bay fires. I look at this circumstance as a plus for the Under because the teams could run the ball more during the final quarter trying to gain the upper hand by controlling the trenches.
Joe Gavazzi
5 TB
4 Rams
4 KC
3 Saints
Pointwise Phone Service
4* Pittsburgh
3* Denver
3* New Orleans
3* LA Rams
2* Atlanta
2* LA Chargers
Prediction Machine
Vikings - Lock play
New Orleans Group
NFL
Chiefs/Steelers over 46 -110
Redskins/49ers over 45.5 -110
Bucs -1 -110
sports handicapper king oct 15
NFL
Minnesota +3
Pittsburgh +4
Denver -12.5
NHL
Los Angeles Kings
Freeloader
Los Angeles Dodgers
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