Sunday 10-15-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[New York Knight]

Sunday, October 15

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CLEVELAND (0 - 5) at HOUSTON (2 - 3) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CLEVELAND is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as an underdog of 3.5 to 9.5 points over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-16 ATS (-13.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) after 2 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NEW ENGLAND (3 - 2) at NY JETS (3 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 18-6 ATS (+11.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 109-79 ATS (+22.1 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NEW ENGLAND is 9-2 ATS (+6.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
NEW ENGLAND is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY JETS is 2-1 against the spread versus NEW ENGLAND over the last 3 seasons
NEW ENGLAND is 3-1 straight up against NY JETS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MIAMI (2 - 2) at ATLANTA (3 - 1) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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DETROIT (3 - 2) at NEW ORLEANS (2 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 65-90 ATS (-34.0 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.
DETROIT is 131-171 ATS (-57.1 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 2-0 against the spread versus NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 2-0 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GREEN BAY (4 - 1) at MINNESOTA (3 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 2-2 against the spread versus GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
MINNESOTA is 2-2 straight up against GREEN BAY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (1 - 4) at BALTIMORE (3 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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SAN FRANCISCO (0 - 5) at WASHINGTON (2 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 1:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 31-52 ATS (-26.2 Units) as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 59-92 ATS (-42.2 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 84-113 ATS (-40.3 Units) in home games in games played on a grass field since 1992.
WASHINGTON is 22-45 ATS (-27.5 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LA RAMS (3 - 2) at JACKSONVILLE (3 - 2) - 10/15/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LA RAMS is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games where the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 177-227 ATS (-72.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 177-227 ATS (-72.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
LA RAMS is 80-116 ATS (-47.6 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points since 1992.
LA RAMS is 8-18 ATS (-11.8 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 3-13 ATS (-11.3 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.
LA RAMS is 65-95 ATS (-39.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TAMPA BAY (2 - 2) at ARIZONA (2 - 3) - 10/15/2017, 4:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-14 ATS (-11.4 Units) in all games where the total is between 42.5 and 49 points over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in dome games over the last 2 seasons.
ARIZONA is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ARIZONA is 1-0 against the spread versus TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
ARIZONA is 1-0 straight up against TAMPA BAY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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PITTSBURGH (3 - 2) at KANSAS CITY (5 - 0) - 10/15/2017, 4:25 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 58-36 ATS (+18.4 Units) in October games since 1992.
PITTSBURGH is 65-43 ATS (+17.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 against the spread versus KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-1 straight up against KANSAS CITY over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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LA CHARGERS (1 - 4) at OAKLAND (2 - 3) - 10/15/2017, 4:25 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
OAKLAND is 2-2 against the spread versus LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
OAKLAND is 4-0 straight up against LA CHARGERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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NY GIANTS (0 - 5) at DENVER (3 - 1) - 10/15/2017, 8:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DENVER is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing with 2 weeks or more of rest since 1992.
DENVER is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games against NFC East division opponents since 1992.
DENVER is 22-10 ATS (+11.0 Units) after a bye week since 1992.
DENVER is 25-43 ATS (-22.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

[New York Knight]

Sunday, October 15

1:00 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. WASHINGTON
San Francisco is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Washington
San Francisco is 6-13-1 ATS in its last 20 games
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Washington's last 12 games at home
Washington is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against San Francisco

1:00 PM
GREEN BAY vs. MINNESOTA
Green Bay is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Green Bay's last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Green Bay
Minnesota is 3-11-1 SU in its last 15 games ,when playing Green Bay

1:00 PM
NEW ENGLAND vs. NY JETS
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
New England is 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of the NY Jets last 7 games
NY Jets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games

1:00 PM
MIAMI vs. ATLANTA
Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games when playing Atlanta
Atlanta is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 12 of Atlanta's last 13 games at home

1:00 PM
DETROIT vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing New Orleans
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Detroit's last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New Orleans's last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 11 of New Orleans's last 14 games at home

1:00 PM
CLEVELAND vs. HOUSTON
Cleveland is 2-12-1 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Houston's last 6 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston's last 7 games

1:00 PM
CHICAGO vs. BALTIMORE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Chicago's last 5 games when playing Baltimore
Chicago is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Baltimore's last 8 games at home
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Chicago

4:05 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. JACKSONVILLE
Los Angeles is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Los Angeles's last 7 games
Jacksonville is 4-12 SU in its last 16 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Jacksonville's last 9 games

4:05 PM
TAMPA BAY vs. ARIZONA
Tampa Bay is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Arizona
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tampa Bay's last 5 games when playing Arizona
Arizona17-7-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games

4:25 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. KANSAS CITY
Pittsburgh is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Kansas City
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Kansas City's last 14 games at home
Kansas City is 6-12-1 ATS in its last 19 games when playing Pittsburgh

4:25 PM
LOS ANGELES vs. OAKLAND
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Los Angeles's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Los Angeles's last 10 games when playing on the road against Oakland
Oakland is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Los Angeles
Oakland is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games

8:30 PM
NY GIANTS vs. DENVER
NY Giants are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 4 of the NY Giants last 6 games when playing Denver
Denver is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Giants
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

[New York Knight]

Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Sunday's games
Dolphins (2-2) @ Falcons (3-1)— Miami’s OL coach was fired Monday for off-field issues, which can’t help an offense that scored 3 offensive TD’s on 42 drives in their 2-2 start. Last 3 games, Miami averaged 4.1/4.0/2.8 ypa, which is hideous. Dolphins are 7-11 in last 18 games as a road underdog. Atlanta is 7-1 in its last eight post-bye games, covering five of last six; they’ve run ball for 147 ypg in last three games. Falcons are 4-11 as home favorites under Quinn. Fish are 8-4 in series, but lost 38-16/19-7 in their only two visits here in last 20 years- their last win in Atlanta was in 1980. AFC East road teams are 7-2 vs spread outside their division; NFC South teams are 6-8 vs spread, 2-3 as home favorites. All four Miami games this year have stayed under total.

Packers (4-1) @ Vikings (3-2)— Keenum played QB in 2nd half of Monday nite’s win in Chicago; Vikings haven’t allowed a first half TD in last three games (outscored foes 31-8)- they held last two opponents under 300 yards, last three opponents to 17 or less points. Minnesota is 12-3 in its last 15 games as a home underdog, 5-2 under Zimmer. Pack scored 35-35 points in last two games; Rodgers won game LW 35-31 in Dallas with last-minute drive- Green Bay is 9-7 vs spread in last 16 games as a road favorite, 5-2 in last 7 games on artificial turf. Last four GB games went over total. Green Bay is 11-3-1 in last 15 series games; they won 3 of last 4 visits to Twin Cities, but lost 17-14 in first visit to the Vikings’ new dome LY.

Lions (3-2) @ Saints (2-2)— Detroit won last three series games, by 1-8-15 points; they beat Saints here the last two years, 35-27/28-13. Lions are 2-0 on road, beating Giants/Vikings, but they lost last two home games; Detroit is just 11-39 on 3rd down last three weeks- they’ve run 65 times for 218 yards (72.7 ypg) in last three games. New Orleans is 6-1-1 vs spread in its last eight post-bye games. Saints are playing only 2nd home game- they allowed total of 13 points winning last two games after an 0-2 start. NO is 5-13-1 in its last 19 games as a home favorite. NFC North teams are 8-6 vs spread outside their division, 2-1 as road dogs. NFC South teams are 6-8 vs spread, 2-3 as home favorites.

Patriots (3-2) @ Jets (3-2)— Teams are in 3-way tie with Buffalo atop AFC East. Patriots are 10-2 in last 12 series games, with both losses in OT- teams split last four meetings played here. Pats won last meeting 41-3 LY. Extra prep time for NE after Thursday night win; they’re 2-0 on foreign soil, winning 36-20 in Superdome, 19-14 in Tampa LW, first game this year Patriots held an opponent under 7.6 ypa. Jets won three in row after an 0-2 start, they’re 12-5 vs spread in last 17 games as a home underdog. Gang Green held opponents to 13 points on their last six red zone drives, but that was vs sub-par NFL QB’s (Bortles-Kizer-Hogan). NE is 8-1 in last nine games as a road favorite- they have 25 plays of 20+ yards, #2 in NFL behind Rams’ 29.

49ers (0-5) @ Redskins (2-2)— Kyle Shanahan worked for Redskins with his dad from 2010-13; his 49ers lost in OT the last two weeks. Since 1997, favorites that lost the previous two weeks in OT are 4-2-1 vs spread in that 3rd game. Niners may be 0-5, but their last four losses were by 3-2-3-3 points- they’re 2-1 as road dogs. This is also their 3rd week in row on road, a historic soft spot for road teams. 49ers won last four series games, taking last two played here. Redskins’ last series win was in ’05. Redskins are 2-7 in last nine post-bye games; favorites covered 9 of their last 10 post-bye games. Washington is favored for first time this year; since 2013, they’re 5-10 vs spread as a home favorite.

Bears (2-3) @ Ravens (3-2)— Trubisky was 13-26/159 passing in his NFL debut Monday night, throwing key INT in last 3:00 that cost Bears the game, but he was OK. This is his first road start- he started only 13 college games at North Carolina. Chicago is 12-36 on 3rd their last three games; they’re 0-2 on road, losing 29-7 (+7) in Tampa, 35-14 (+7) in Green Bay- they’re 12-17-1 vs spread in last 30 games as a road underdog. Ravens scored 20+ in their three wins, with a +8 TO ratio- they scored 7-9 in losses, with -5 TO ratio. Baltimore is 5-3 vs spread in its last eight games as a home favorite. Bears are 3-2 in last five series games; home side won four of last five meetings. Ravens lost 23-20 in OT in last visit here, in 2013.

Browns (0-5) @ Texans (2-3)— Cleveland switched to Stanford alum Hogan at QB in 2nd half vs Jets LW- he led them on two TD drives in a 17-14 loss. Browns lost 24-10 (+7.5) at Baltimore, 31-28 (-1) at Indy in their two road games; they’re 6-11 vs spread in last 17 games as a road dog. Houston scored 33-57-34 points in last three games behind rookie QB Watson, but lost 2 of the 3; they allowed 29+ points in their three losses, 9-14 in their wins. Under O’Brien, Houston is 12-5-1 as a home favorite. Texans won five of last six series games, last of which was in 2014; Browns lost last three visits here, by 3-8-18 points. JJ Watt/Mercilus both need surgery for their injuries, big blow to the Houston defense. Since ’09, Texans are 5-3 as a double digit favorite.

Buccaneers (2-2) @ Cardinals (2-3)— Arizona is 2-3 with wins by 3 points each over Colts/49ers; their losses are by 12-11-27 points- they scored two TD’s on 23 drives in their last two games, scored 14.5 ppg in last four games. Dirk Koetter returns to Phoenix (was ASU’s coach from 2001-06); his Bucs got crushed 40-7 in Week 2 here LY, Bucs’ 3rd loss in last four visits to desert- teams split last eight series games. Cardinals are 4-3 as home underdogs under Arians, 16-10 since ’07. Tampa Bay (-2.5) lost 34-17 at Minnesota, in its only road game, first time in four years they were road favorite. Bucs are 5-4 SU on road under Koetter. NFC West teams are 3-9 vs spread outside their division. NFC South teams are 6-8 vs spread, 4-5 when favored.

Rams (3-2) @ Jaguars (3-2)— Two teams having surprising success under new leadership. Jags ran ball for 155+ yards in 4 of their 5 games; their wins are by 22-37-21 points. Jags are +11 in turnovers in those three games, -1 in their two losses, giving up 37-23 points- their defense scored 3 TD’s in their last two games, same as their offense. LA scored 41-35 points in winning its two road games, throwing ball for 10.4/6.8 ypa. Rams lost 13-10 to division rival Seattle LW; they’re -5 in turnovers in two losses, +4 in three wins. Home team won all four series games; Rams lost 23-20 in OT in only visit here, in 2009. NFC West teams are 3-9 vs spread outside their division, 1-6 on road. AFC South teams are 6-5 vs spread outside their division.

Steelers (3-2) @ Chiefs (5-0)—KC is best team in NFL right now, scoring 17 TD’s, trying 12 FG’s on 52 drives; none of their wins have been by less than 7 points. Under Andy Reid, Chiefs are 15-17 vs spread as home favorites, 2-0 this year. Pittsburgh is a road underdog for first time in three years; Steelers lost 2 of last 3 games, throwing five INTs in 30-9 home loss to Jaguars LW. Steelers won five of last six series games; they beat KC 18-16 here in LY’s playoffs, after crushing Chiefs 43-14 in Heinz Field during season. All five Steeler games stayed under the total; over is 3-0-2 in Chief games. Roethlisberger had one of his worst games LW, throwing five INTs with no TD’s- two of his INTs were run back for TD’s. He figures to bounce back here.

Chargers (1-4) @ Raiders (2-3)— Oakland lost its last three games, scoring 10-10-17 points; their QB has a broken back, his backup lost his last six NFL starts and the defense has zero turnovers in their last two games. Raiders are 5-6 vs spread as home favorites under Del Rio. Chargers got their first win LW; four of their five games were decided by 5 or less points. Bolts are 2-0 as road underdogs this year; since ’08, they’re 30-17-2 as road dogs- four of their five games this year went over total. Oakland won last four series games, last three all by 3 points; Chargers lost 23-20ot/34-31 in last two visits here. NFL-wide, home favorites are 5-8-1 vs spread in division games. Raiders’ team total stayed under in four of their five games.

Giants (0-5) @ Broncos (3-1)— New York is in freefall, starting 0-5 and now Beckham is done for the year. Maybe getting away from home will help. Giants’ last three losses are by 3-2-5 points- they ran for 152 yards LW, a positive step after averaging 59.3 ypg in first four games. Big Blue is 3-3-1 as road underdogs under McAdoo. Denver is 3-0 at home, winning by 3-25-6 points; since 2014, they’re 9-11-1 as a home favorite. Over is 3-1 in their four games. Four of five Giant games went over total. Denver won/covered six of last seven post-bye games. Giants lost four of five visits to Denver, losing last three by 14-11-20 points- their lone win in Mile High City was in ’89. This is first time since Manning retired that Denver is a double digit favorite.

[New York Knight]

Sunday, October 15

Cleveland @ Houston

Game 251-252
October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Cleveland
127.473
Houston
135.559
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Houston
by 8
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
by 10
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Cleveland
(+10); Over

New England @ NY Jets

Game 253-254
October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
New England
141.091
NY Jets
125.309
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New England
by 16
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New England
by 9 1/2
47 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
New England
(-9 1/2); Over

Miami @ Atlanta

Game 255-256
October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Miami
124.045
Atlanta
140.892
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Atlanta
by 16
54
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Atlanta
by 11
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Atlanta
(-11); Over

Detroit @ New Orleans

Game 257-258
October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Detroit
134.393
New Orleans
141.296
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
New Orleans
by 7
53
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
New Orleans
by 4 1/2
50
Dunkel Pick:
New Orleans
(-4 1/2); Over

Green Bay @ Minnesota

Game 259-260
October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Green Bay
141.279
Minnesota
129.978
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Green Bay
by 11 1/2
35
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Green Bay
by 3
46 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Green Bay
(-3); Under

Chicago @ Baltimore

Game 261-262
October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago
126.771
Baltimore
131.268
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Baltimore
by 4 1/2
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Baltimore
by 7
39 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago
(+7); Over

San Francisco @ Washington

Game 263-264
October 15, 2017 @ 1:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Francisco
126.525
Washington
132.174
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Washington
by 5 1/2
43
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
by 10
47
Dunkel Pick:
San Francisco
(+10); Under

LA Rams @ Jacksonville

Game 265-266
October 15, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Rams
126.743
Jacksonville
141.651
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Jacksonville
by 15
51
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Jacksonville
by 2 1/2
42 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Jacksonville
(-2 1/2); Over

Tampa Bay @ Arizona

Game 267-268
October 15, 2017 @ 4:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Tampa Bay
131.553
Arizona
126.769
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Tampa Bay
by 5
41
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Tampa Bay
by 1
45
Dunkel Pick:
Tampa Bay
(-1); Under

Pittsburgh @ Kansas City

Game 269-270
October 15, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
137.669
Kansas City
139.956
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Kansas City
by 2 1/2
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Kansas City
by 5
46
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(+5); Under

LA Chargers @ Oakland

Game 271-272
October 15, 2017 @ 4:25 pm

Dunkel Rating:
LA Chargers
129.935
Oakland
126.937
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
LA Chargers
by 3
38
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Chargers
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
LA Chargers
N/A

NY Giants @ Denver

Game 273-274
October 15, 2017 @ 8:30 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Giants
128.000
Denver
135.984
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Denver
by 8
37
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Denver
by 12 1/2
40
Dunkel Pick:
NY Giants
(+12 1/2); Under

[New York Knight]

Mike Wynn

Free Play: NFL LA Chargers/Oakland Game Over 50½ Points

[New York Knight]

Totals4U

Early Sunday's Free Selection: Akron/Western Michigan over 54 1/2

[New York Knight]

Platinum Plays

Free Pick: LA Rams/Jacksonville Game UNDER 42½ Points

[New York Knight]

Hawkeye Sports

Early Sunday's Free Pick: Akron Zips + 13 1/2

[New York Knight]

High Stakes Syndicate

Free Selection for Early Sunday: Houston Texans - 9

[New York Knight]

Razor Sharp

YOUR RAZOR SHARP FREE PICK FOR EARLY SUNDAY: Take DETROIT/NEW ORLEANS OVER the total of 50

[New York Knight]

Nevada Sharpshooter

Your free winner for Sunday: Take PITTSBURGH/KANSAS CITY OVER the total of 46½

[New York Knight]

The Vegas Steam Line

Your free winner for Sunday: Take ATLANTA -13 over Miami

[New York Knight]

Atlantic Sports

Early Sunday's Free Selection from Atlantic Sports: Akron + 13 1/2

[New York Knight]

BOBBY WING

1 Unit Free Pick: Rams +2½ -113

[Can'tPickAWinner]

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Well folks ... this race has an interesting "history!" Before 1902, it was run in two divisions, one for fillies and one for colts. After 1915, it was restricted to fillies. The inaugural race took place at Morris Park Racecourse in The Bronx, New York where it remained until 1905 when it was moved to the new Belmont Park. Through special arrangements, in 1910 it was hosted by Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Maryland. Aqueduct Racetrack hosted the race in 1960 and again from 1962 to 1968. Here in the 102nd running of this graded stakes test ... #3 HAPPY LIKE A FOOL qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," has excellent early speed abilities to compliment for this sprint, and has produced "POWER RUN PERFORMANCES" in each of her three career starts to date, hitting the board in a pair, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break her maiden in her "fist asking." #5 HONEY GRAEME has hit the board in both of her two career starts to date, also breaking her maiden in her "first asking," however kindly note that neither of these "board hits" met my criteria to be tabbed as a "POWER RUN."

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Century Downs - Race #3 - Post: 1:48pm - Maiden Special - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $15,500 Class Rating: 50

Rating: 4

#6 FOREST SONG (ML=2/1)


FOREST SONG - When a sprinter is back in a race less than 10 days after her last outing, it generally means she's fit. I like the fact that this filly's last speed fig, 45, is tops in this field.

Vulnerable Contenders: #1 DREAMING EZ (ML=8/5), #5 KINTSUGI KAT (ML=5/2), #4 WILD WILKO (ML=8/1),

DREAMING EZ - Doesn't seem to be in a cozy situation this time around. KINTSUGI KAT - I'd like to see more conducive recent efforts with M/L odds of 5/2. Doubtful for this participant to do much running with no recent success in a sprint race. WILD WILKO - This filly likely won't be right there at the finish.

Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - FOREST SONG - One of the class angles that my good buddy Solo and I play, is to look at the lifetime earnings per start. This pony is in the top spot in my book.





STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Putting our cash on #6 FOREST SONG to win. Have to have odds of at least 1/1 or better though

EXACTA WAGERS:
6 with [1,5]

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
None

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
None

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

Bar

Gulfstream Park West - Race #2 - Post: 1:48pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $17,000 Class Rating: 59

Rating: 4

#4 CHANTILLY LILLY (ML=2/1)


CHANTILLY LILLY - Filly looks like the lone speed here. She may turn the race into a procession. Was in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race at Gulfstream Park last time out. That event had a class rating of 67 and she is moving down in this race. A certain serious competitor. The 42 recent race fig looks good in black and white.

Vulnerable Contenders: #6 TRAPPE ME LATER (ML=3/1), #1 RETHINKME (ML=7/2), #3 EVERYDAY ICE (ML=4/1),

TRAPPE ME LATER - Don't think that this filly has value at 3/1 in today's event. RETHINKME - Tough to bet on any horse in a sprint event at 7/2 when she hasn't shown any on the board results in sprints in the last 60 days. Garnered a quite unimpressive speed fig last race out in a $25,000 Maiden Claiming race on Sep 28th. Unlikely to see an improved performance off of that fig. EVERYDAY ICE - The eighth place finish position in the last event was not the greatest. Will probably be way back with too much to do down the homestretch.



STRAIGHT WAGERS:
Bet on #4 CHANTILLY LILLY to win if you can get at least 1/1 odds

EXACTA WAGERS:
None

TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Keeneland

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 1 - Claiming - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $24000 Class Rating: 89

FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON THREE RACES OR THREE YEAR OLDS. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE OCTOBER 15 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $30,000.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 1 PRIVATE TIME 4/1

# 5 WHATEVERYBODYWANTS 2/1

# 2 BOXER BOY 8/1

I think PRIVATE TIME is a competitive choice. Has to be carefully examined against this field displaying decent figs recently and an average Equibase Speed Figure of 88 under similar conditions. Looks very strong versus this field and ought to be one of the early speedsters. Could beat this field given the 88 Equibase Speed Figure put up in his last outing. WHATEVERYBODYWANTS - Have to bet on this gelding with the solid earnings per start in dirt route contests. Is hard not to examine given the company run in lately. BOXER BOY - Recently Anderson has provided wagerers with a very good winning percentage with horses racing in dirt route races.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.

Race 9 - Maiden Claiming - 8.5f on the Turf. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 80

FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, FOR EACH $4,000 TO $32,000 2 LBS.


RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks

# 8 BROWN PAPER 20/1

# 10 HOT FRIESIA 10/1

# 11 HOLIDAY PRAYER 8/1

BROWN PAPER looks very good to best this group of horses in this race especially at 20/1. Look for a quite good pace improvement from this racer who enters with second time Lasix today. Toledo has been hot the last month, winning at a nifty 17 percent rate. Has a strong shot for this event if you like back class. HOLIDAY PRAYER - She looks solid in this spot and I expect will be on the front end or close at the midpoint. This filly ought to be considered just off the earnings per start in turf route contests alone.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Woodbine

Woodbine - Race 5

Rolling Double / Exacta / 0.20 Trifecta / 0.20 Superfecta 0.20 Pick 3 (Races 5-6-7)


Maiden Special • 6 Furlongs • All-Weather • Age 2 • CR: 77 • Purse: $45,000 • Post: 3:16P
FOR ONTARIO SIRED MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * MISGUIDED PASSION: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. LADY WITH CLASS: Hors e has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. EESTI STAR: Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. WORL DS YOUR OYSTER: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs.
4
MISGUIDED PASSION
4/1

9/2
7
LADY WITH CLASS
6/1

5/1
2
EESTI STAR
7/2

6/1
3
WORLDS YOUR OYSTER
12/1

10/1