Sunday 10-15-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

[Can'tPickAWinner]

F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA

ZIA - Race 9

$1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Half Late $2 Daily Double 2nd Leg Pick 3/ 3rd Leg Pick 4


Allowance • 300 Yards • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 85 • Purse: $24,000 • Post: 3:46P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR TWO YEAR OLDS WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
Contenders

Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line

Accept
Odds


Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * NIEVES DE ENERO: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. RANDYS MIRACLE: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. CD MIGHTY HANDSOME: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. FLASH PHENOMENON: Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. DANTES CORONA : Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast.
12
NIEVES DE ENERO
12/1

4/1
7
RANDYS MIRACLE
9/2

7/1
10
CD MIGHTY HANDSOME
10/1

8/1
1
FLASH PHENOMENON
5/2

9/1
8
DANTES CORONA
6/1

10/1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Zcode NFL Public Fade Plays - Week 6

A 1-2 weekend brings our YTD to 11-4. Let’s see if we can keep it going with a few potential plays for Week 6. The main strategy I want to implement is fading the public. Books are always looking to exploit public perception so hopefully we can find a few winners by fading the public in a few heavily public-bet games. Obviously, this is written on Wednesday (10/11) so always keep an eye on the changing lines and percentages.
PHILADELPHIA @ CAROLINA
The Eagles have won three straight games and the betting public has taken notice.

While the Eagles are hot, Carolina has won two games in a row on the road, including at New England. Cam Newton has bounced back from a slow start and, now back at home, this is a game the Panthers have to win. Let’s take Carolina -3 (5Dimes)
DETROIT @ NEW ORLEANS
Neither team has looked particularly good but the public has jumped on the Lions.

Detroit is struggling with injuries as Haloti Ngata is out for the season and Matthew Stafford is going to play through a hamstring and ankle issue. With New Orleans coming off a bye week, the Saints should be fresh and ready to throw the ball against 4th worst passing defense in the league. Let’s take New Orleans -5.5 (5Dimes)
PITTSBURGH @ KANSAS CITY
Kansas City is the only undefeated team left and the public is still riding that train.

The Chiefs looked great winning at Houston while Ben Roethlisberger threw 5 interceptions during arguably the worst game of his career. This is a great spot to buy low and catch a hungry Steelers team looking to bounce back. Let’s take Pittsburgh +5 (BetOnline)
Like I mentioned, we have a few days until these games take place with lots of wagering in between so keeping an eye on the lines and percentages throughout the week is important. Fading the public is very successful when the public side is 80%+ so keep that in mind as the week progresses and the betting volume grows.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

GAME: Chicago Cubs (95-73) at Los Angeles Dodgers (108-58)
DATE/TIME: Sunday, October 15 - 7:30 PM EST
WHERE: Dodger Stadium, Los Angeles, California
LINE: N/A TOTAL: N/A

Playoff Series:

League Championship; LA Dodgers leads 1-0

Preview: Cubs at Dodgers

Gracenote
Oct 15, 2017

After going all-in to close out the National League Division Series and facing Clayton Kershaw in Game 1 of the NL Championship Series, the Chicago Cubs figured they might be in this position. The Los Angeles Dodgers can keep the defending World Series champions on the ropes with another victory at home on Sunday.


Albert Almora Jr. gave the Cubs a 2-0 lead in the opener with a two-run blast off Kershaw in the fourth inning, but he wound up being the team’s last baserunner. Kershaw retired the final six batters he faced and the Dodgers’ bullpen set down 12 straight to close out a 5-2 victory. Chicago's bats need to bounce back against veteran Rich Hill, who was drafted by the Cubs and went 18-17 with a 4.37 ERA over his first four major-league seasons with the club from 2005-08. The Dodgers have belted five home runs while winning their first four playoff games and will try to keep it going against Jon Lester, who is slated to start on three days’ rest after an extended relief outing in Game 4 of the NLDS against Washington.
TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TBS


PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs LH Jon Lester (13-8, 4.33 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (12-8, 3.32)
Lester was outstanding in one start and one relief appearance in the NLDS, allowing two runs and three hits over 9 2/3 innings. The 33-year-old is the active leader in postseason innings pitched with 143 1/3 and owns a 9-7 record and 2.57 ERA in 24 playoff appearances (20 starts). Lester is 2-3 with a 3.89 ERA in seven career regular-season starts against the Dodgers and went 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts in last year’s NLCS matchup.
Hill started Game 2 of the NLDS against Arizona, allowing two runs and three hits over four innings of a no-decision. The 37-year-old is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in five career postseason starts. Hill has made only one relief appearance against his former team in the regular season, but he limited the Cubs to two hits over six scoreless innings of a win in Game 3 of last year’s NLCS.


WALK-OFFS
1. The Cubs registered four hits in Game 1, marking the third time in six games this postseason they have recorded fewer than five.
2. Dodgers RHP Kenley Jansen struck out all four batters he faced in the series opener for his 11th postseason save, tying him with Jason Isringhausen and Robb Nen for the fourth-most in MLB history.
3. Los Angeles SS Charlie Culberson, a late addition to the NLCS roster to replace injured star Corey Seager (back), notched a double and a sacrifice fly in Game 1.


PREDICTION: Dodgers 4, Cubs 3

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Chi. Cubs at LA Dodgers

W/L TRENDS

Chi. Cubs

Cubs are 6-1 in their last 7 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 4-1 in their last 5 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cubs are 22-7 in their last 29 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 17-6 in their last 23 games on grass. Cubs are 31-11 in their last 42 games following a loss. Cubs are 18-7 in their last 25 overall. Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Cubs are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff road games. Cubs are 12-5 in their last 17 vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 11-5 in their last 16 road games. Cubs are 7-16 in their last 23 vs. National League West. Cubs are 4-10 in their last 14 League Championship games. Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 League Championship road games. Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter. Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Cubs are 4-1 in Lesters last 5 starts following a team loss in their previous game. Cubs are 6-2 in Lesters last 8 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Cubs are 20-7 in Lesters last 27 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 8-3 in Lesters last 11 starts vs. National League West. Cubs are 7-3 in Lesters last 10 road starts. Cubs are 11-5 in Lesters last 16 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cubs are 35-16 in Lesters last 51 starts on grass. Cubs are 35-17 in Lesters last 52 starts. Cubs are 3-8 in Lesters last 11 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Cubs are 0-6 in Lesters last 6 Sunday starts.

LA Dodgers

Dodgers are 4-0 in their last 4 playoff games. Dodgers are 6-0 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 42-10 in their last 52 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 12-3 in their last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Dodgers are 57-15 in their last 72 games following a win. Dodgers are 40-12 in their last 52 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 23-7 in their last 30 vs. National League Central. Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 home games. Dodgers are 39-14 in their last 53 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 38-14 in their last 52 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 5-2 in their last 7 playoff home games. Dodgers are 73-33 in their last 106 overall. Dodgers are 73-33 in their last 106 games on grass. Dodgers are 35-16 in their last 51 games vs. a left-handed starter. Dodgers are 35-17 in their last 52 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Dodgers are 6-14 in their last 20 League Championship games. Dodgers are 2-5 in their last 7 Sunday games. Dodgers are 3-9 in their last 12 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 7-0 in Hills last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 4-0 in Hills last 4 starts after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 8-0 in Hills last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Dodgers are 4-0 in Hills last 4 starts. Dodgers are 4-0 in Hills last 4 starts on grass. Dodgers are 9-3 in Hills last 12 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game. Dodgers are 2-5 in Hills last 7 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Dodgers are 2-5 in Hills last 7 starts with 7 or more days of rest.

OU TRENDS

Chi. Cubs

Under is 3-0-1 in Cubs last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Under is 5-0-1 in Cubs last 6 Sunday games. Under is 5-1 in Cubs last 6 games following a loss. Over is 4-1-1 in Cubs last 6 playoff road games. Over is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 3-1-2 in Cubs last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 3-1-1 in Cubs last 5 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Under is 11-4-1 in Cubs last 16 vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 12-5-2 in Cubs last 19 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 13-6-1 in Cubs last 20 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 39-19-6 in Cubs last 64 vs. National League West. Over is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 Sunday starts. Over is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. Over is 7-0 in Lesters last 7 starts on grass. Over is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Lesters last 4 road starts. Over is 10-1 in Lesters last 11 starts overall. Over is 5-1 in Lesters last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Lesters last 5 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. Under is 10-4 in Lesters last 14 starts vs. National League West. Over is 5-2 in Lesters last 7 road starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 12-5 in Lesters last 17 starts following a team loss in their previous game.

LA Dodgers

Over is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-0-1 in Dodgers last 5 playoff home games. Over is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 home games. Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 home games vs. a left-handed starter. Over is 3-0-1 in Dodgers last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record. Under is 5-0-1 in Dodgers last 6 vs. National League Central. Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 League Championship home games. Over is 3-1-1 in Dodgers last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. Under is 9-4-1 in Dodgers last 14 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Hills last 4 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. Under is 5-1 in Hills last 6 starts with 7 or more days of rest. Over is 5-1 in Hills last 6 starts vs. a team with a winning record. Over is 4-1 in Hills last 5 home starts. Over is 6-2 in Hills last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Hills last 7 starts on grass. Over is 5-2 in Hills last 7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Over is 5-2 in Hills last 7 starts overall.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 20-6-1 in the last 27 meetings. Under is 21-10-4 in the last 35 meetings in Los Angeles. Cubs are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings in Los Angeles. Cubs are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

UMPIRE TRENDS - NAME UNAVAILABLE

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Bruins at Golden Knights

Gracenote
Oct 15, 2017

The Vegas Golden Knights attempt to bounce back from the first loss in franchise history when they continue their seven-game homestand Sunday against the Boston Bruins. Vegas won the first three games of its inaugural season and was one period away from a fourth straight victory before imploding in the third period on Friday and dropping a 6-3 decision to Detroit.

James Neal scored his sixth goal in four contests to help give the Golden Knights a 3-2 lead after two periods, but the team surrendered four tallies over the final 20 minutes to fall to 1-1-0 on its homestand. Boston has split the first two contests of its three-game road trip, falling to Colorado 6-3 on Wednesday before rolling past Arizona 6-2 three nights later. Captain Zdeno Chara recorded a goal and two assists while Brad Marchand, Jake DeBrusk and David Pastrnak all added one of each as the Bruins extended their winning streak against the Coyotes to 11 games. Marchand leads the team with five points after netting a tally and setting up another in each of the first two contests of Boston's trek.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, Sportsnet One, NESN (Boston), AT&T SportsNet-Rocky Mountain (Vegas)

ABOUT THE BRUINS (2-2-0): Anders Bjork also scored in Saturday's victory, converting a power-play opportunity late in the third period for his first career goal. The 21-year-old left wing, who was a fifth-round pick in the 2014 draft, made his NHL debut in the season opener and notched an assist. Tim Schaller has tallied in back-to-back contests after being kept off the scoresheet in each of the first two games of the season.

ABOUT THE GOLDEN KNIGHTS (3-1-0): Less than 24 hours after scoring his first goal of the season, Erik Haula was placed on injured reserve Saturday with a lower-body injury. The 26-year-old Finnish left wing, who was selected from Minnesota's roster in the expansion draft, is one of only two Golden Knights (defenseman Nate Schmidt) with at least one goal and one assist thus far this season. To replace Haula on the roster, Vegas recalled 30-year-old Russian center Vadim Shipachyov - who signed with the team after recording 422 points in 416 games in the Kontinental Hockey League - from Chicago of the American Hockey League.

OVERTIME

1. The Golden Knights are just 1-for-17 on the power play, with Neal scoring the goal.

2. Boston C Danton Heinen registered two assists on Saturday after notching one in his season debut three days earlier.

3. Neal is the first player in the expansion era to record a goal in each of a team's first four games.

PREDICTION: Golden Knights 4, Bruins 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Boston at Vegas

W/L TRENDS

Boston

Bruins are 6-1 in their last 7 after scoring 5 goals or more in their previous game. Bruins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Pacific. Bruins are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games. Bruins are 10-3 in their last 13 vs. Western Conference. Bruins are 5-2 in their last 7 road games. Bruins are 2-6 in their last 8 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Bruins are 4-12 in their last 16 games playing on 0 days rest. Bruins are 1-6 in their last 7 vs. a team with a winning record. Bruins are 0-4 in their last 4 games following a win.

Vegas

No trends available.

OU TRENDS

Boston

Over is 2-0-2 in Bruins last 4 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Over is 4-0 in Bruins last 4 vs. Pacific. Under is 4-1-1 in Bruins last 6 games following a win. Under is 3-1-1 in Bruins last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 3-1-2 in Bruins last 6 overall. Over is 15-5-3 in Bruins last 23 road games. Under is 3-1-1 in Bruins last 5 Sunday games. Under is 9-3-2 in Bruins last 14 vs. a team with a winning record.

Vegas

No trends available.

HEAD TO HEAD

No trends available.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Sabres at Ducks

Gracenote
Oct 15, 2017

The Anaheim Ducks continue to battle through a barrage of injuries to start their season and likely will be without their captain when the winless Buffalo Sabres pay them a visit on Sunday. Ryan Getzlaf (lower body), who missed the first two games of the season before recording two points in the next two, sat out Thursday’s 3-1 loss at Colorado and reportedly did not skate at practice on Saturday.

Anaheim, which registered only 18 shots in the setback against rejuvenated Colorado and has yet to score a power-play goal in 17 opportunities this season, also has been without center Ryan Kesler (hip) and defensemen Sami Vatanen (shoulder) and Hampus Lindholm (shoulder). “It’s always a hit when you’re missing your best player and your captain,” Ducks blue-liner Cam Fowler told reporters about Getzlaf. “Obviously, we’re a better team when he’s in the lineup. But we have to find ways to make contributions when we’re missing key guys like that.” The Sabres dropped their fifth straight game to open the season (0-4-1) on Saturday, giving up three power-play tallies in a 4-2 setback against Los Angeles. Buffalo has scored just 11 goals on the season and Zemgus Girgensons became only the fourth player to record one on Saturday, netting a tally that gave the Sabres a 1-0 lead in the first period.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, MSG (Buffalo), Prime Ticket (Anaheim)

ABOUT THE SABRES (0-4-1): Evander Kane and Jason Pominville have scored four goals apiece while Jack Eichel notched his second on Saturday, but Buffalo is searching for more offense. “We haven’t had many bounce goals, battling goals,” center Ryan O’Reilly, who has posted one assist and a minus-4 rating in five games, told the Buffalo News. “So, it’s an issue. Forwards need to get to the net more and (our defensemen) need to get the puck there quicker.” Kyle Okposo, who has yet to record a point in four games, missed Saturday’s contest due to illness and is considered day-to-day.

ABOUT THE DUCKS (2-2-1): John Gibson, who suffered an upper-body injury on Thursday, was back at practice Saturday and veteran backup Ryan Miller (upper body) reportedly is close to returning after starting the season on the shelf. Veteran Andrew Cogliano has picked up some of the slack with all the key players out, registering two goals and four assists to lead the team with six points while posting a plus-5 rating. “I just need to contribute at both ends of the rink,” Cogliano told the Orange County Register. “Usually when I do that, success follows me. Hopefully, I can continue with that.”

OVERTIME

1. Buffalo C Sam Reinhart, who has averaged 20 goals over the last two seasons, has yet to record a point and owns a minus-8 rating in five games.

2. The Ducks, who have allowed five power-play goals in five contests this season, are 6-1-1 in their last eight meetings with the Sabres.

3. Fowler, who has recorded a short-handed tally and an assist in the early going, is expected to play his 500th NHL game Sunday.

PREDICTION: Ducks 3, Sabres 2

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - Buffalo at Anaheim

W/L TRENDS

Buffalo

Sabres are 18-40 in their last 58 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Sabres are 27-60 in their last 87 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Sabres are 63-141 in their last 204 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Sabres are 46-113 in their last 159 road games. Sabres are 10-27 in their last 37 Sunday games. Sabres are 23-67 in their last 90 games playing on 0 days rest. Sabres are 7-21 in their last 28 overall. Sabres are 1-4 in their last 5 vs. Pacific. Sabres are 2-8 in their last 10 vs. Western Conference. Sabres are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. a team with a losing record.

Anaheim

Ducks are 9-3 in their last 12 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Ducks are 19-7 in their last 26 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Ducks are 46-18 in their last 64 Sunday games. Ducks are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Eastern Conference. Ducks are 19-8 in their last 27 home games. Ducks are 49-22 in their last 71 vs. a team with a winning % below .400. Ducks are 2-5 in their last 7 overall. Ducks are 1-4 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Ducks are 1-5 in their last 6 games playing on 1 days rest.

OU TRENDS

Buffalo

Under is 3-0-1 in Sabres last 4 in the third game of a 3-in-4 days situation. Over is 5-1 in Sabres last 6 Sunday games. Over is 4-1-1 in Sabres last 6 overall. Over is 4-1-1 in Sabres last 6 vs. a team with a losing record. Under is 3-1-1 in Sabres last 5 vs. Pacific. Under is 3-1-1 in Sabres last 5 vs. Western Conference. Over is 3-1-1 in Sabres last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Over is 15-6-2 in Sabres last 23 games playing on 0 days rest.

Anaheim

Under is 4-0 in Ducks last 4 games playing on 1 days rest. Under is 4-0 in Ducks last 4 overall. Under is 3-0-1 in Ducks last 4 when their opponent scores 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 4-0-1 in Ducks last 5 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Over is 7-0 in Ducks last 7 Sunday games. Under is 4-1 in Ducks last 5 home games. Over is 3-1-1 in Ducks last 5 vs. Atlantic. Under is 5-2-3 in Ducks last 10 vs. a team with a winning % below .400.

HEAD TO HEAD

Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Anaheim. Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings. Sabres are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings in Anaheim. Sabres are 2-6 in the last 8 meetings.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Preview: Islanders at Kings

Gracenote
Oct 15, 2017

The Los Angeles Kings have yet to lose in regulation this season, and they look to keep the streak going when they continue their four-game homestand Sunday against the New York Islanders. Los Angeles posted a 4-2 victory over Buffalo on Saturday, scoring three third-period goals - including defenseman Drew Doughty's power-play tally with two minutes remaining to snap a tie - to improve to 3-0-1 on the season and 1-0-1 on the homestand.

The Kings finally have gotten their power play going as they went 3-for-3 with the man advantage against the Sabres after failing to convert their first 16 opportunities of the season. New York posted a 3-1 victory at San Jose on Saturday to even its mark at 1-1-0 on its four-game road trip but remained one of two teams (Anaheim) without a power-play goal this season after an 0-for-3 performance. Thomas Greiss made 40 saves against his former club while Brock Nelson recorded his team-leading third goal in the second period to break a 1-1 deadlock. Nelson shares the team scoring lead of four points with Casey Cizikas and Joshua Ho-Sang, each of whom notched an assist versus the Sharks.

TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, MSG Plus (New York), FSN West (Los Angeles)

ABOUT THE ISLANDERS (2-2-1): Jordan Eberle sat out Friday's practice after taking a hard hit a day earlier, but he was in the lineup against San Jose and registered an assist. The 27-year-old forward, who was acquired from Edmonton in June, has yet to score a goal with his new team. Cal Clutterbuck returned from a two-game absence due to a hip injury and scored into an empty net for his first point of the campaign.

ABOUT THE KINGS (3-0-1): Los Angeles has been led offensively by its former and current captains, as Dustin Brown and Anze Kopitar have recorded six points apiece. Brown, a former 33-goal scorer who has failed to notch 20 in each of his last five seasons, tops the club with four. Defenseman Alec Martinez made his season debut Saturday and recorded an assist after missing the team's first three contests with a lower-body injury.

OVERTIME

1. Kings D Oscar Fantenberg notched an assist against Buffalo for his first point in four career contests.

2. Islanders C John Tavares has been kept off the scoresheet in four of his five games this season, including each of the last three.

3. Los Angeles LW Kyle Clifford (upper body) was placed on injured reserve while D Paul LaDue was assigned to Ontario of the American Hockey League.

PREDICTION: Kings 4, Islanders 1

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Trends - NY Islanders at Los Angeles

W/L TRENDS

NY Islanders

Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 games playing on 0 days rest. Islanders are 4-1 in their last 5 Sunday games. Islanders are 8-3 in their last 11 road games. Islanders are 8-3 in their last 11 overall. Islanders are 5-2 in their last 7 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game. Islanders are 5-2 in their last 7 games following a win. Islanders are 2-5 in their last 7 vs. Western Conference. Islanders are 1-5 in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

Los Angeles

Kings are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference. Kings are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Metropolitan. Kings are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. a team with a losing record. Kings are 3-8 in their last 11 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Kings are 4-12 in their last 16 games following a win. Kings are 1-6 in their last 7 games playing on 0 days rest. Kings are 1-11 in their last 12 Sunday games.

OU TRENDS

NY Islanders

Over is 5-0 in Islanders last 5 Sunday games. Under is 6-0 in Islanders last 6 vs. Western Conference. Under is 5-1 in Islanders last 6 road games. Over is 5-1 in Islanders last 6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600. Under is 4-1 in Islanders last 5 overall. Under is 4-1 in Islanders last 5 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Los Angeles

Over is 3-0-1 in Kings last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game. Under is 6-1-1 in Kings last 8 vs. Metropolitan. Under is 9-2-5 in Kings last 16 games playing on 0 days rest. Over is 4-1-3 in Kings last 8 overall. Under is 13-4-5 in Kings last 22 vs. Eastern Conference. Over is 3-1-2 in Kings last 6 home games. Under is 59-27-15 in Kings last 101 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. Under is 27-13-13 in Kings last 53 after allowing 2 goals or less in their previous game.

HEAD TO HEAD

Home team is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings. Islanders are 5-11 in the last 16 meetings. Islanders are 1-6 in the last 7 meetings in Los Angeles.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Sunday, October 15

Chicago Cubs @ LA Dodgers

Game 907-908
October 15, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Chicago Cubs
(Lester) 15.118
LA Dodgers
(Hill) 17.001
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Chicago Cubs
by 2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
LA Dodgers
-150
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Chicago Cubs
(+130); Under

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CHICAGO CUBS (95 - 73) at LA DODGERS (108 - 58) - 7:35 PM
JON LESTER (L) vs. RICH HILL (L)
Top Trends for this game.
CHICAGO CUBS are 95-73 (-11.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 34-35 (-9.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LESTER is 0-6 (-9.1 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday this season. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 76-32 (+26.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
LA DODGERS are 39-13 (+19.4 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
CHICAGO CUBS are 187-111 (+38.8 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 3 seasons.
LESTER is 32-10 (+18.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
LA DODGERS are 144-104 (-14.0 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LA DODGERS is 5-2 (+3.2 Units) against CHICAGO CUBS this season
5 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+4.0 Units)

JON LESTER vs. LA DODGERS since 1997
LESTER is 3-3 when starting against LA DODGERS with an ERA of 3.29 and a WHIP of 1.043.
His team's record is 5-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3. (+2.9 units)

RICH HILL vs. CHICAGO CUBS since 1997
HILL is 1-0 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.667.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 0-1. (-1.3 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, October 15

Cubs @ Dodgers
Dodgers are 5-2 vs Chicago this season; they shut Cubs out in 3 of the 5 wins. Home team won six of seven series games (under 6-1). Cubs scored 6 runs in four games in LA this season.

Lester threw 55 pitches in relief in Wednesday’s game; he is 2-0, 1.06 in his last three starts. His last eight starts went over the total. Cubs are 8-7 in his road starts this season. Lester is 0-1, 6.75 in two starts against the Dodgers this season; he is 9-7, 2.57 in 24 career playoff games (20 starts).

Hill is 3-0, 1.64 in his last four starts; over is 5-2 in his last seven starts. Dodgers are 9-6 in his home starts. Hill hasn’t pitched against the Cubs this season; he is 1-2, 4.50 in five career starts in the playoffs, the first of which was for the Cubs in 2007.

AL Wild Card
NYY 8-4 Minn -$255, O7.5

NL Wild Card
Ariz 11-8 Colo -$148, O8.5

Hous 8-2 Bos, -$120, O7
Hous 8-2 Bos, -$185, O8.5
Bos 10-3 Hst, +$117, O9.5
Hst 5-4 Bos, -$118, O8
Astros win series, 3-1

Clev 4-0 NYY -$130, U8.5
Clev 9-8 NYY (13), -$210, O7
NYY 1-0 Clev, -$109, U8.5
NYY 7-3 Clev, -$150, O7.5
NYY 5-2 Clev, +$165, N7
New York wins series, 3-2

Cubs 3-0 Wash +$135, U7.5
Wash 6-3 Cubs, -$117, O8.5
Cubs 2-1 Wash, +$105, U7.5
Wash 5-0 Cubs, -$109, U7
Cubs 9-8 Wash, -$115, O7.5
Cubs win series, 3-2

LA 9-4 Ariz -$270, O7.5
LA 8-5 Ariz, -$142, O8
LA 2-1 Ariz, -$115, U8
Dodgers win series, 3-0

League championship series
Hst 2-1 NYY, -$165, U8
Hst 2-1 NYY, -$118, U7.5

LA 5-2 Cubs, -$190, U7

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Sunday, October 15

Trend Report

7:38 PM
CHI CUBS vs. LA DODGERS
Chi Cubs are 18-7 SU in their last 25 games
Chi Cubs are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games on the road
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games
LA Dodgers are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games at home

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Sunday's NLCS Playoff Betting Preview And Odds: Cubs at Dodgers

The Cubs registered four hits in Game 1, marking the third time in six games this postseason they have recorded fewer than five.

Chicago Cubs at Los Angeles Dodgers (LAD -150, 7.5)

Dodgers lead series 1-0

After going all-in to close out the National League Division Series and facing Clayton Kershaw in Game 1 of the NL Championship Series, the Chicago Cubs figured they might be in this position. The Los Angeles Dodgers can keep the defending World Series champions on the ropes with another victory at home on Sunday.

Albert Almora Jr. gave the Cubs a 2-0 lead in the opener with a two-run blast off Kershaw in the fourth inning, but he wound up being the team’s last baserunner. Kershaw retired the final six batters he faced and the Dodgers’ bullpen set down 12 straight to close out a 5-2 victory. Chicago's bats need to bounce back against veteran Rich Hill, who was drafted by the Cubs and went 18-17 with a 4.37 ERA over his first four major-league seasons with the club from 2005-08. The Dodgers have belted five home runs while winning their first four playoff games and will try to keep it going against Jon Lester, who is slated to start on three days’ rest after an extended relief outing in Game 4 of the NLDS against Washington.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TBS

INJURY REPORT:

Cubs - RP Koji Uehara (Out Indefinitely, Knee).

Dodgers - SS Corey Seager (Out Indefinitely, Back), 1B Adrian Gonzalez (Out For Season, Back), RP Adam Liberatore (Out For Season, Forearm), LF Franklin Gutierrez (Out For Season, Spine), SP Scott Kazmir (Out Indefinitely, Hip), RP Yimi Garcia (Out For Season, Elbow).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cubs LH Jon Lester (13-8, 4.33 ERA) vs. Dodgers LH Rich Hill (12-8, 3.32)

Lester was outstanding in one start and one relief appearance in the NLDS, allowing two runs and three hits over 9 2/3 innings. The 33-year-old is the active leader in postseason innings pitched with 143 1/3 and owns a 9-7 record and 2.57 ERA in 24 playoff appearances (20 starts). Lester is 2-3 with a 3.89 ERA in seven career regular-season starts against the Dodgers and went 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA in two starts in last year’s NLCS matchup.

Hill started Game 2 of the NLDS against Arizona, allowing two runs and three hits over four innings of a no-decision. The 37-year-old is 1-2 with a 4.50 ERA in five career postseason starts. Hill has made only one relief appearance against his former team in the regular season, but he limited the Cubs to two hits over six scoreless innings of a win in Game 3 of last year’s NLCS.

TRENDS:

* Cubs are 1-8 in their last 9 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

* Dodgers are 8-0 in Hills last 8 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.

* Over is 10-1 in Lesters last 11 starts overall.

* Over is 6-0-1 in Dodgers last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning record.

* Cubs are 0-4 in the last 4 meetings.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Dodgers at a rate of 54 percent and the Over is picking up 69 percent of the totals action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Dunkel

Sunday, October 15

Boston @ Vegas

Game 51-52
October 15, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Boston
11.149
Vegas
9.728
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Boston
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Boston
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Boston
N/A

Buffalo @ Anaheim

Game 53-54
October 15, 2017 @ 9:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Buffalo
8.981
Anaheim
10.595
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
N/A

NY Islanders @ Los Angeles

Game 55-56
October 15, 2017 @ 10:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Islanders
10.828
Los Angeles
12.233
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Los Angeles
by 1 1/2
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Los Angeles
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Los Angeles
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 15

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOSTON (2-2-0-0, 4 pts.) at VEGAS (3-1-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/15/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (0-4-0-1, 1 pts.) at ANAHEIM (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/15/2017, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BUFFALO is 2-2 (+1.2 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-2-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.2 Units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY ISLANDERS (2-2-0-1, 5 pts.) at LOS ANGELES (3-0-0-1, 7 pts.) - 10/15/2017, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NY ISLANDERS is 2-2 (+0.3 Units) against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 2-2-0 straight up against NY ISLANDERS over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+2.0 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, October 15

Trend Report

8:00 PM
BOSTON vs. LAS VEGAS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Boston's last 6 games on the road
Boston is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games on the road
No trends available

10:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. ANAHEIM
Buffalo is 2-6 SU in its last 8 games when playing Anaheim
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 5 games when playing Anaheim
Anaheim is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Buffalo
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Anaheim's last 5 games at home

11:30 PM
NY ISLANDERS vs. LOS ANGELES
NY Islanders are 1-6 SU in their last 7 games when playing on the road against Los Angeles
NY Islanders are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games
Los Angeles is 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing NY Islanders
Los Angeles is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL

Sunday, October 15

Bruins split their first four games (over 3-1); they won in Arizona last nite, a team Las Vegas has already beaten twice. Boston split its two road games. Golden Knights won 3 of their first 4 games (over 2-2), losing last game 6-3 to Detroit- they’ve split their two home games.

Anaheim won six of its last eight games with Buffalo; under is 4-1 in last five series games. Sabres lost three of last four games in the Pond. Buffalo allowed 22 goals in its 0-5 start; over is 3-1 in their last four games. Sabres are 0-3 on the road, scoring 2 goals in all three games. Ducks lost three of their last four games (under 4-0); they’re 2-2 at home this season.

Home team won last four Islander-King games; New York lost 2-1/4-2 in its last two visits to Staples Center. Last three series games went over. Islanders are 2-3 this season (under 4-1), 1-2 on road- they scored 5 goals in the three road games. Los Angeles won 3 of its 4 game (over 2-1-1)- they won two of their three home games.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Essential Week 6 betting tidbits and odds for NFL Sunday

Despite havng to face a 5-0 SU/ATS Chiefs team, Big Ben can be confident heading into Arrowhead Stadium thanks to a 118.7 passer rating in seven career games against KC.

Tom Brady and Bill Belichick are big away faves against at New York this weekend but, in this week's essential betting tidbits, we explain why might New England Patriots supporters might want to bet the farm on their team to cover the spread against the pesky Jets on Sunday.

Chicago Bears at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5, 39.5)

Bears quarterback Mitch Trubisky is trying to become only the second rookie quarterback to win on the road against the Baltimore Ravens according to ESPN Stats & Information. Teams starting a rookie under center and playing at Baltimore are 1-14 straight up and – just in case you needed to know oddsmakers are good at their job – 7-7-1 against the spread since the franchise moved from Cleveland.

Sportsbooks have the Ravens around -280 on the moneyline if you just want to bet on them to win outright.

LINE HISTORY: A few shops opened with the Ravens as touchdown favorites although now it’s pretty much 6.5 across the board. The total opened as high as 41.5 and was bet down to 39.5.

TRENDS:

*The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five games against teams with winning records.
*The Under is 6-2 in the Ravens’ last eight home games.

Green Bay Packers at Minnesota Vikings (+3, 46.5)

Did the revolving door at the running back position finally find a potential star? The same jukebox offense that’s churned through Eddie Lacey, James Starks and most recently Ty Montgomery spat out Aaron Jones as the start in the backfield last weekend.

Jones proved elusive and picked up 125 carries and a TD run on just 19 carries against the Dallas Cowboys. Is Jones a flash in the pan or the real deal? Montgomery is still nursing a couple broken ribs, so bettors should get a clearer picture of Jones’ effect on Green Bay’s offense against the Vikings.

LINE HISTORY: The Packers opened as 3-point road chalk but there were some locations throwing the hook half point. There are 3s and 3.5s on the board now with plus juice varying on both numbers.

TRENDS:

*The Packers are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games.
*The Vikings are 24-8 ATS in their last 32 home games.
*The Over is 15-3 in the Packers last 18 games overall.

Miami Dolphins at Atlanta Falcons (-11.5, 46)

Miami quarterback Jay Cutler isn’t passing the eye test or stat test in his performance four games into the Dolphins season. He’s in charge of an offense that last in total offense and scoring offense.

Football Outsiders’ DYAR (defense adjusted yards above replacement) places Cutler as the league’s second worst quarterback behind only the recently benched DeShone Kizer. Cutler ranks 31st in FO’s DVOA stat (defense adjusted value over average) with a -33.1 rating.

LINE HISTORY: The Falcons opened as 10-point favorites but the books now have them giving 12 points to the visiting Dolphins. The total has been bet down from 47 to 46.

TRENDS:

*The Under is 5-0 in the Dolphins’ last five games overall.
*The Over is 12-1 in the Falcons’ last 13 home games.

Detroit Lions at New Orleans Saints (-5, 50)

Are the Saints as good as their 2-2 record indicates or are they just benefited from unprecedented luck when it comes to turnovers? New Orleans has four takeaways through its first four games but the really crazy thing is the club has yet to turn the ball over. If they don’t cough the ball up against the Lions, the Saints will become the first team in NFL history to play five games without turning the ball over once.

LINE HISTORY: This spread been all over the place - with it as low as 3.5 in Vegas and as high as 6 offshore. Most shops are dealing Saints -5 with a 50-point over/under line.

TRENDS:

*The Saints are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games coming off their bye week.
*The Over is 6-1 in the Saints last seven games overall.

Cleveland Browns at Houston Texans (-9.5, 47)

Cleveland Browns 2.0 has been around since 1999. In that time the team has started 27 different dudes under center. On Sunday, Kevin Hogan becomes No. 28. The Browns are 2-3 ATS and 0-5 SU in the last five games they’ve started a different quarterback than the game prior.

Remember, the Browns could have drafted Texans rookie QB Deshaun Watson in last year’s trade. Hindsight is 20/20, I guess.

LINE HISTORY: The line opened as low as 9.5 and has gone as high as 10.5 but seems to be settling on Texans -10. The total has been bet up from 44.5 to 47.

TRENDS:

*Cleveland is 6-24-1 ATS in its last 31 games overall.
*The Over is 5-2 in Houston’s last seven games.

San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins (-11, 46.5)

The playoffs were never a realistic expectation or goal for the 49ers this season and at 0-5 it appears the club is switching out some of the proven veterans and handing those snaps to younger players. Running back Carlos Hyde appears to be in danger of losing his claim to the No. 1 spot on the running back depth chart to undrafted rookie Matt Breida out of Georgia Southern, and linebacker NaVorro Bowman being spelled often by Brock Coyle.

Do the younger players give the Niners a better chance at winning games now – or is this just a way of evaluating their talent level?

LINE HISTORY: Washington hoped as 9.5-point home chalk but the line has been bet up to 11. The total is holding steady at 46.5.

TRENDS:

*The Under is 4-0 in Washington’s last four home games.
*San Francisco is 5-2 ATS in its last seven games overall.

New England Patriots at New York Jets (+9.5, 47.5)

The Patriots have owned the AFC East in winning the division crown eight straight years and in 13 of the last 14 seasons. That said, some of the teams in the division have a knack for covering the spread against the big bully in their division.

The Jets are 6-1-1 ATS in their last eight matchups against Tom Brady and Bill Belichick’s boys.

LINE HISTORY: The line has stayed steady at 9.5 but there are a few shops dealing Pats -10. The total is holding at 47.5.

TRENDS:

*The Over is 8-1 in the Pats last nine games overall.
*New England is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 road games.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Arizona Cardinals (+1.5, 45)

The Cardinals are taking a third grab from the name-running-backs past-their-prime bin. Emmitt Smith and Edgerrin James were both brought in to Arizona last decade on the downslope of their careers. Adrian Peterson is the latest after ‘Zona acquired the former All-Pro RB in a trade with the New Orleans Saints.

Kent Somers of the Azcentral Sports says this time is different because there are no ulterior motives in the move like there were when the team signed Smith and James, and there was a need to increase fan interest.

Either way, Bruce Arians offense likes a running back that can be a positive in the passing attack – both as a receiving target and as an extra blocker. Those are two skills Peterson hasn’t done well during his 11-year career.

LINE HISTORY: The Cards opened as 2-point home dogs but most books now list them as 1.5-point pups. The total opened at 44 and has been bet up to 45.

TRENDS:

*The Bucs are 1-5 ATS in their last six games overall.
*The Cards are 6-18 ATS in their last 24 games overall.
*The Under is 13-3 in the Cards’ last 16 home games.

Los Angeles Rams at Jacksonville Jaguars (-2.5, 42.5)

The Rams have a young quarterback in Jared Goff who appears to have taken a giant leap in his development in his sophomore season. The Jaguars, though, have a secondary that’s making minced meat out of NFL quarterbacks.

Opposing quarterbacks share a 56.9 passing rating when playing Jacksonville this season. The only three teams (’03 Pats, ’02 Bucs, ’96 Packers) who have allowed a passer rating in that neighborhood all went on to win the Super Bowl according to NFL Research.

LINE HISTORY: The line has held tight at Jags -2.5 all week with a little extra juice on the Jags to keep the spread from going up to the key number (3). The total opened at 43.5 and has been bet down to 42.5.

TRENDS:

*The Rams are 2-13-1 ATS in their last 17 games overall.
*The Jags are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games overall.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Kansas City Chiefs (-4, 47)

There aren’t many NFL players who would be happy to see the Kansas City Chiefs as their next opponent on the schedule, but that’s the case for Steelers quarterback Ben Roethlisberger. Fresh off a five-interception game last week, Big Ben can be confident heading into Arrowhead Stadium thanks to a 118.7 passer rating in seven career games against the Chiefs.

LINE HISTORY: The spread opened as small as 3.5 and was bet as high as 5 but seems to be settling at 4.5. Many books are at 46 for the total, however, there are a few dealing 47.

TRENDS:

*The Chiefs are the league’s lone undefeated ATS team this season at 5-0.
*The Steelers are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games following an outright loss.

New York Giants at Denver Broncos (-11.5, 39)

It might be a good idea to place a bet on Ben McAdoo if you can find odds on first NFL coach to be fired. The Giants 0-5 suspended defensive back Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie for what appears to be insubordination and the players aren’t lining up to vouch for their head coach.

The G-Men are missing three of their top receivers and are playing against one of the best defenses in the league. NBC executives must be busy negotiating an early start to the flex schedule for Sunday Night Football to keep teams like the Giants out of primetime.

LINE HISTORY: The Broncos opened as 10-point home faves and were bet up to as high as 13-point chalk. The line has come back down to 12 at most shops. The total opened at 40.5 and has come down to 39 or 39.5.

TRENDS:

*The Broncos are 14-6-1 ATS in their last 21 games following a bye week.
*The Under is 5-1 in the Giants’ last six games vs. teams with winning records.