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Thread: Service Plays Saturday 10/21/17

  1. #21
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    Mike Davis 6-Unit Play. Take #346 Duke -8 over Pittsburgh (Saturday, October 21st at 12:20 p.m.)

    Revenge. Pitt throttled Duke last year to the tune of 56-14. I remember. Pittsburgh remembers. And most importantly, Duke remembers. This is a game that has been circled on their calendar since the schedule came out and I look for them to put their best foot forward in this game. Duke has some talent on both sides of the ball and they have had some really good moments so far this season. They lost to FSU by 7 points last week and they lost to UVA by 7 the week before. They beat a decent Northwestern team by 24 points in the opener and this Pitt team isn't as good as Northwestern. Pittsburgh is in a transition year and they are playing a pissed off Duke team. On top of that, they are really banged up as a football team. Simply put: this is a very tough spot for the Panthers and I look for Duke to exact some revenge and maybe do it in a big way. Keep your eye on the offensive play calling of Duke as I look for them to use some misdirection and keep this Pittsburgh defense guessing. Pitt's defense isn't as disciplined as the coaches would like them to be and they don't have the talent to make up for it. Duke gets their revenge in a big way.



  2. #22
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    Ferringo 5-Unit Play. Take #356 Penn State (-9.5) over Michigan (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 21)

    This number is high for a reason. I know that the public loves Michigan in this spot. But I definitely do not. I have felt that this team was overrated from Day 1 and I think that they are going to get exposed a bit in this situation. Michigan is just 1-4 ATS in their last five games. And when you look at their schedule this team really hasn't played anyone and they haven't beaten anyone of note. They are also without their starting quarterback and this young Wolverines team is going into the toughest environment that they've seen yet. Penn State wants revenge for a 39-point beat down that they took last September. And I think that they are going to get it. The Nittany Lions have been crushing teams. That includes beating that same Indiana team that just took Michigan to overtime by 31 points. Penn State is 5-1 ATS this year and they are on a stunning 14-2 ATS run overall. That tells me that no matter how good you think this team is - they are actually better! The Lions are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 in Happy Valley and they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 conference games. This is supposed to be a rebuilding year and a learning year for the young Wolverines. I think they are going to get taught a lesson in this one.



    5-Unit Play. Take #374 Missouri (-13.5) over Idaho (Noon)

    Give me a break. Look, I know that Barry Odom is a loser coach. And Missouri has a pathetic defense. But these guys aren't THAT bad. They've played five straight legit as hell teams - South Carolina, Purdue, Auburn, at Kentucky and at Georgia - over the last five weeks. Missouri still has an explosive offense and SEC-caliber athletes. All of that is more than I can say for Idaho. This team isn't even going to be an FBS program as of next year. They are in the death rattle. They've beaten just one FBS team this year and they are coming off a heartbreaking loss to Appalachian State. Idaho had a 20-7 lead going into the fourth quarter in that one and was outscored 16-0 in the final stanza. I don't expect them to be up for this game at all - a random nonconference tilt in the middle of league play. Missouri should be focused for it because they need something - anything - good to happen. They need to snap this five-game losing streak and they should do it in blowout fashion here.





    5-Unit Play. Take #402 Notre Dame (-3.5) over USC (7:30 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 21)

    I've been betting against USC all season. I am not going to stop now. Frankly, I just don't see what the big deal is about this Trojans team and I don't think that they are all that good. I give them credit for earning a tough win over Utah last week. But that one simply came down to a two-point conversion and could've easily gone the other way. Also, the Trojans were two-touchdown favorites! USC is on a 0-5 ATS slide and going back to last year they are just 1-7 ATS in their last eight games. They barely beat Texas, barely beat Utah, and lost to Washington State. I think that Notre Dame is better than all those teams. The Irish have been wrecking people, winning their last four games by an average of 27 points per game. Three of those were on the road. Notre Dame's only loss this year came against Georgia. You know, Top 5 Georgia. And watching that game I felt that the Irish were actually the better team and Georgia was very fortunate to escape South Bend with a victory. USC isn't as good as Georgia. And they're not as good as Notre Dame. The Irish have had two weeks to prepare for this game. While USC now has to shift gears from thinking about a Pac-12 title to a nonconference game. Notre Dame also has a solid revenge motivation after getting blasted in their season finale last year by the Trojans. The home team has won four straight in this series and the favorite is 5-0 ATS. I think Notre Dame is flat-out better than USC and I think they will prove it in this spot with a 7-10 point victory.

  3. #23
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    Eastman 8-Unit Play. Take #343 Purdue (-9) over Rutgers (Noon, Saturday, Oct. 21)

    This is my College Football Game of the Year.

    I think that this game is a mismatch. This Purdue team is one of the most improved teams in the country. New coach Jeff Brohm has done a great job with this team. They are 5-1 ATS and have blowout wins over teams like Missouri and Minnesota and tough losses against Louisville and Wisconsin. This team is running a fast-paced offense and I don't think that Rutgers is going to be able to keep up in this one. Rutgers is one of the worst programs in college football. They are just 1-4 against FBS teams this year and they are coming off their first win over an FBS team, which they got last week at Illinois. Rutgers has been outgained by an average of around 180 yards per game over their last three games and they were outgained in that win over Illinois. The Scarlet Knights are just No. 119 in total offense and No. 121 in passing offense. I do not think that they will be able to keep up with this Boilermakers offense. Purdue's numbers are not great. But they have faced a very tough schedule this year. One of the toughest in college football. Rutgers is just 5-12 ATS in their last 17 games against Big Ten teams. They have not been very competitive against teams in their league the last two years. Purdue is 14-4 ATS in their last 18 road games and they are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games after a loss. I think that Purdue will get up early and I don't see the Scarlet Knights being able to score enough to keep up. The Boilermakers should take this one 34-17.

    5-Unit Play. Take #324 Florida Atlantic (-3.5) over North Texas (5 p.m., Saturday, Oct. 21)

    I am going with the Owls in this one. Lane Kiffin has his team playing better. They have won three of their last four games and those three wins came by an average of over 30 points per game. The Owls are on a 4-1 ATS run and they have revenge against the Mean Green for an ugly loss last year. North Texas has won three straight games. But they are coming off a hard-fought rivalry game against Texas-San Antonio where they won as home underdogs. I think it is going to be hard for UNT to lay as well this week. North Texas is just 7-15 ATS on the road. Florida Atlantic is coming off a bye week. I think that Kiffin will have used his extra time for preparation wisely and the Owls will be ready to play their best game yet. North Texas is just No. 102 in scoring defense and is giving up nearly 33 points per game. I think that Florida Atlantic will be able to control the ball with their running game and will score another home win in this one.

  4. #24
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    Spartan | CFB Side - Saturday, Oct 21 2017 7:30PM
    402 Notre Dame -4.0(-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 401 Southern Cal triple-dime bet

    Analysis: I love the Irish in this game fellas. Well obviously. I've played on Notre Dame twice thus far and they have not let me down. Frankly this is a better football team than I projected them to be and on the flip side the Trojans have not met my expectations. So why am I sticking my neck out here on Kelly and his Irish? Fair and valid question. We all saw the anarchy last weekend and I am pretty certain this Notre Dame team was paying close attention as well. The door is actually now open should they be willing and able to kick it in to make the playoff. That did not seem possible not long ago but things can change quickly as we are seeing. They did drop that tough game to Georgia but as we can clearly see now is that loss is not so bad as the Bulldogs are clearly the real deal. The rest of their schedule is a death march and if they can navigate it unbeaten the rest of the way I don't see any way they can be left outside looking in with a resume like that. One other item of significant note is they have the revenge factor coming into play here. The Trojans spanked the Irish last season 45-27 in Los Angeles. I remember that well because we were betting USC in that game. Not this time. They are coming into this thing off a bye week so have had plenty of time to game plan for this revenge game. Night game and the house will be electric. While I respect the Trojans from an athletic standpoint as much as anyone with the exception of Bama I also see a team coming off a tough battle with Utah and a team that has not been hitting on all cylinders all season long. I think USC gets too much respect sometimes due to the name and I think that is the case here. And for the all the blow and bluster the Trojans carry the stubborn fact is this, they have actually now only covered the number in three of their last twelve games on the road. And now they are playing Notre Dame on their turf in prime time. I trust the Irish here. I am going with Notre Dame as my 2017 game of the year

  5. #25
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    Indian Cowboy

    2*CHEL/WATFORD (SAT@7:30AM)
    Chelsea -1.5

    4*MANC/BRUNLEY(SAT@10AM)
    Man City -2.5

  6. #26
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Preferred Picks

    Top CFB Play - Oregon + 6.5

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    Chris “The Bear” Fallica (Season Record 26-21-1) on podcast plays College gameday record 12-6-2

    Air Force at Nevada – Nevada (+6.5)
    Indiana at Michigan St. – Indiana (+6.5)
    LSU at Ole Miss – Ole Miss (+6.5)
    Michigan at Penn St. – Michigan (+9.5)

    Oklahoma St. at Texas – Texas (+7)
    Southern California at Notre Dame – Southern California (+3.5)
    Wake Forest at Georgia Tech – Wake Forest (+6.5)

    West Virginia at Baylor – Baylor (+9.5)

  8. #28
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    Maddux
    20 Tole - 14
    10 C Fla - 6'
    10 UNLV - 3
    10 Lsvlle + 7
    10 Fres + 10
    10 Mo Ov 62'
    10 Ok St - 7
    10 USC Ov 61'
    10 So Ms + 3

  9. #29
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Todd Fuhrman 16-2 overall CFB 9-2/NFL 7-0

    Arizona -3
    Tulane +11.5 said chance to win outright...said the same about UCONN last week
    Wake Forest +5

    no NFL this week

  10. #30
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    Norm Hitzges' Picks of the Pole

    Double Plays
    Miami Fla. -17 Syracuse
    Wisconsin -24 1/2 Maryland

    Single Plays
    SMU -7 1/2 Cincinnati
    North Texas +3 1/2 Florida Atlantic
    Texas Tech -7 Iowa State
    Troy -7 1/2 Georgia State
    Ohio -19 Kent State
    Toledo -16 1/2 Akron
    Wake Forest +6 Georgia Tech
    Michigan +9 1/2 Penn State
    App. State -23 1/2 Coastal Carolina
    Oregon +6 1/2 UCLA
    Mississippi +7 LSU
    Colorado +10 Washington State
    Fresno +7 1/2 San Diego State

  11. #31
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    Tom Stryker


    14-6 ATS NCAA HIGH NOON SERIOUS SMASH
    Louisville

    16-2 ATS NCAA ULTIMATE WAGER OF THE MONTH
    Wisconsin

    17-0 ATS NCAA HOME COOKIN' GAME OF THE YEAR
    Western Michigan

    27-9 ATS & 17-4 ATS NCAA ELITE DATABASE PLAY
    Miami (Fl)

  12. #32
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Playbook data play

    Ole miss

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    GC: CFB Play

    Saturday massive card led by the 34-2 American Athletic conference Play of the year, 2 big 5* Sides, two 17-1 system plays and the Mountain West Game of the Month, 7 Plays in all + our first 5* NBA Play

    The College football comp play for Saturday is on Louisiana Monroe plus the 4-5 points at 5:00 eastern. The Warhawks have a huge offensive edge and catch South Alabama off a massive upset as a 19 point dog at Troy last out. They have won both games vs losing teams this season and South Alabama is 3-13 ats off a conference game and has failed to cover 5 of 6 as a home favorite from -3.5 to -7, and 0-4 ats off a dog win. Their upset win also sets them up in a solid system that cashes over 75% long term and plays against home teams as a favorite of 25 or less off a +10 or more road dog win. Look for LA. Monroe to get the cover here. On Saturday the 34-2 American Athletic Game of the Year is up along with a pair of 17-1 Power system plays, a late Night Blowout and the Mountain West Game of the Month. In hoops we have our Opening week dominator system up. Message to Jump on and cash out all day and night, for the College football free pick. Play on LA. Monroe plus the 4-5 points. RV -Golden Contender Sports

  14. #34
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    Totals 4 You NCAA Selections for Early Saturday, Oct 21st

    2017 College Football Super Totals 3-Teamer of the Year!!!!!
    Iowa/Northwestern under 47 1/2
    Louisville/Florida State over 58 1/2
    Iowa State/Texas Tech over 68

    2-1 or Better or we'll email you Tonight's NCAA Report Free of Charge!!!

    Early NCAA Best Bets
    Tulsa/Connecticut under 75 1/2
    Maryland/Wisconsin over 50
    Oklahoma State/Texas over 65

  15. #35
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    JR ODONNELL

    3* GOW Auburn -15.5

    3* USC +3.5

  16. #36
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    Sleepyj

    3* "TOY"

    Notre dame / USC under 65

  17. #37
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    Andrew Relsih

    Mississippi State -12
    Arizona -3
    Mississippi +7
    Missouri -14
    Fresno State +7.5

  18. #38
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    Goodfella

    3* GOY Notre Dame -3


    3* Wake Forest +6

  19. #39
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    King creole

    3* Louisville +7

  20. #40
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    Stephen Nover

    3* MAC TOY

    Miami (Ohio ) / buffalo under

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