Friday 10-20-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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NHL
Dunkel

Friday, October 20

San Jose @ New Jersey

Game 1-2
October 20, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
San Jose
12.427
New Jersey
9.847
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
San Jose
by 2 1/2
6
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
San Jose
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
San Jose
N/A

Vancouver @ Buffalo

Game 3-4
October 20, 2017 @ 7:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Vancouver
11.235
Buffalo
10.043
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Vancouver
by 1
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Buffalo
-140
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Vancouver
(+120); Under

Washington @ Detroit

Game 5-6
October 20, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Washington
10.461
Detroit
11.315
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Detroit
by 1
7
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Washington
-135
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Detroit
(+115); Over

Pittsburgh @ Florida

Game 7-8
October 20, 2017 @ 7:35 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Pittsburgh
11.908
Florida
10.557
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Pittsburgh
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Pittsburgh
-125
6
Dunkel Pick:
Pittsburgh
(-125); Under

Minnesota @ Winnipeg

Game 9-10
October 20, 2017 @ 8:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Minnesota
11.630
Winnipeg
10.184
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Minnesota
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Winnipeg
-125
5 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
Minnesota
(+105); Under

Montreal @ Anaheim

Game 11-12
October 20, 2017 @ 10:05 pm

Dunkel Rating:
Montreal
8.788
Anaheim
10.390
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
Anaheim
by 1 1/2
5
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Anaheim
No Line
N/A
Dunkel Pick:
Anaheim
N/A

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL
Long Sheet

Friday, October 20

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SAN JOSE (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) at NEW JERSEY (6-1-0-0, 12 pts.) - 10/20/2017, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN JOSE is 3-1 (+0.4 Units) against the spread versus NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
SAN JOSE is 3-1-0 straight up against NEW JERSEY over the last 3 seasons
3 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+3.0 Units)

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VANCOUVER (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) at BUFFALO (1-4-0-2, 4 pts.) - 10/20/2017, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VANCOUVER is 369-344 ATS (-112.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1996.
VANCOUVER is 53-42 ATS (+101.6 Units) in road games on Friday nights since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
VANCOUVER is 3-1 (+1.7 Units) against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
VANCOUVER is 3-1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.7 Units)

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WASHINGTON (3-3-0-1, 7 pts.) at DETROIT (4-3-0-0, 8 pts.) - 10/20/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 18-26 ATS (-13.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 8-16 ATS (-15.9 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a losing record in the first half of the season over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-2 (+0.9 Units) against the spread versus DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 4-2-0 straight up against DETROIT over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Under=+2.0 Units)

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PITTSBURGH (4-2-0-1, 9 pts.) at FLORIDA (2-3-0-0, 4 pts.) - 10/20/2017, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PITTSBURGH is 41-17 ATS (+17.1 Units) after allowing 4 goals or more over the last 3 seasons.
FLORIDA is 100-153 ATS (+257.6 Units) when playing with 2 days rest since 1996.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 6-1 (+5.2 Units) against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 6-1-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=-0.4 Units, Under=-0.1 Units)

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MINNESOTA (1-1-0-2, 4 pts.) at WINNIPEG (3-3-0-0, 6 pts.) - 10/20/2017, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WINNIPEG is 19-10 ATS (+7.7 Units) vs. division opponents over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
WINNIPEG is 5-5 (+1.6 Units) against the spread versus MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
WINNIPEG is 5-5-0 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
7 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+4.0 Units)

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MONTREAL (1-5-0-1, 3 pts.) at ANAHEIM (2-3-0-1, 5 pts.) - 10/20/2017, 10:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 2-2 (+0.6 Units) against the spread versus ANAHEIM over the last 3 seasons
ANAHEIM is 2-2-0 straight up against MONTREAL over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons . (Over=+0.9 Units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

NHL scoring has jumped up half a goal and Over bettors are cashing in
Ashton Grewal

Auston Matthews and the Toronto Maple Leafs are a big reason scoring is way up this season in the NHL. The Over is hitting at a 59 percent clip after the first two weeks of the season.

NHL scoring is up over half a goal per game this season compared to last and almost a full goal more than two seasons ago. That's been a boon for hockey bettors siding with the Over. NHL games are averaging 6.11 goals per contest entering Thursday night’s slate on the ice. Last year, games average 5.45 markers and 5.33 in the 2015-16 campaign.

The Over is cashing at a 59.34 percent win rate after the first 94 games of the regular season and that’s despite a dramatic increase in games with 6-goal totals.

There were no games with totals higher than 5.5 for all of the 2015-16 season and only seven games with six-goal or higher over/under lines in the 2014-15 campaign. Oddsmakers have already given 15 games a total of six goals and one a 6.5-goal number this season.

Here’s a quick look at the top Over teams in the NHL this season:

Toronto Maple Leafs

Over/Under record: 6-1

The Leafs are first in the league in goals scored and are surrendering over three goals per game to opponents. The average total goals scored in a Toronto game is an even eight after the club’s first seven contests.

The Leafs own the league’s second-best power play with a 30 percent success rate and second-year center Auston Matthews leads the Buds in scoring with six goals and four assists.

Florida Panthers

Over/Under record: 5-0

The Panthers are averaging 3.4 goals per game and are giving up about four every time they step on the ice. Florida is the fifth-worst penalty killing team in the NHL and starting goalie Roberto Luongo is carrying just a .901 save percentage.

Minnesota Wild

Over/Under record: 4-0

The Wild have only played four games so far this season but in that short sample size, we’ve seen the red light lit 30 times – 15 for the Wild and 15 for their opponents. Minnesota is in the Top 10 in goals for/against.

No. 1 netminder Devan Dubnyk owns a bloated 3.70 goals against average and an embarrassing 8.94 save percentage in three starts this season.

Winnipeg Jets

Over/Under record: 5-1

The Jets thought Steve Mason was going to be their starting goalie but backup Connor Hellebuyck is clearly outplaying his teammate. Winnipeg has surrendered 18 goals in the three games Mason’s started and only five in the three starts Hellebuyck’s been given.

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Arthur Ralph Sports

FRI Dallas -5 NBA

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Jim Feist

Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Friday, October 20, 2017

NHL (7) PITTSBURGH PENGUINS VS (8) FLORIDA PANTHERS

Take: (7) PITTSBURGH PENGUINS

Reason: Florida enters tonight's contest at 2-3 and 0-3 on the road this season. They have allowed 20 goals in their five games (4.0 gaa). Pittsburgh enters play tonight at 4-2-1 in their seven games, scoring 25 goals and allowing 29. The Penguins are 7th in the league in scoring (3.6 gpg) and 30th in goals against (4.1). The Penguins have an amazing record against the NHL East Conference, posting a 75-35 mark their last 110. The Penguins are also 50-21 their last 71 games against a team with a losing record. The Panthers are just 4-10 against winning teams the last 14 games, 3-10 against the East Conference the last 13 games. In addition, the Panthers are just 7-21 the last 28 meetings with the Penguins. Take Pittsburgh.

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TOMMY BRUNSON

Not a real huge fan of laying a big number n the road, but in the case of 4-2 Western Kentucky taking on 2-4 Old Dominion, I will make an exception.

This is not the same Hilltoppers team that used to run roughshod over foes back in the Jeff Brohm era, but they did cover their first game of the season last week in a 45-14 rout of a weak Charlotte team. They should be able to repeat that performance against the 2-4 Monarchs who could only muster a field goal in their 35-3 setback to Marshall last weekend.

Series numbers show Western with the straight up win in each of the past 3 meetings, all 3 wins coming by double-digits, and the Hilltoppers are 2-0-1 against the spread in those 3 victories.

Let's go ahead and lay it with Western Kentucky to keep their roll going.

2* WESTERN KENTUCKY

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JACK BRAYMAN

My free play is on the Philadephia 76ers over the Boston Celtics, who are still in search of their first victory of the season and obviously struggling without Gordon Hayward.

The Celtics lost Hayward to a gruesome leg injury less than six minutes into the season, during a 102-99 loss in Cleveland. Then they dropped a 108-100 decision at home to Milwaukee.

Meanwhile, the Sixers wil play in their home-opener tonight after a tough 120-115 loss in Washington. It was a game performance, and certainly showed me this team might contend with a young, healthy, talented squad.

With Ben Simmons and Markelle Fultz, the top picks in each of the last two drafts, plus Joel Embid, the Sixers will have the home crowd on fire tonight for the home opener.

Take Philly.

1* SIXERS

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BIG AL

Our complimentary selection for Friday, Oct. 20 is:

Pittsburgh Penguins and Florida Panthers 'under' 6 goals.

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RAY MONOHAN

New Mexico +7.5

The Lobos look to rebound from an embarrassing loss last time out.
This is the perfect chance to really get the fan base back on their side after a shutout loss to Fresno State.
New Mexico has gone 11-4 SU at home in their last 15 games and overall are 2-1 on the season there, averaging 40.7 points per contest.
They've also rebounded very nicely as of late from a loss. The Lobos are a perfect 4-0 ATS when failing to win in their previous game. This team typically can make solid adjustments during the week after a loss, which really enables them to recover the following week.
Some trends to note. Lobos are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.Lobos are 5-2 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
This is a nice bounce back spot for the Lobos.
Back New Mexico.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

RED DOG SPORTS
Soccer | Oct 20, 2017
Sochaux vs. Tours
Sochaux +210

The free soccer pick takes place Friday in France's League 2. Take the visitors as Tours is last of the 20 teams in the table and are -15 goal difference.
Sochaux 2
Tours 1

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DUSTIN HAWKINS

Free Play on Wolves -4 -110

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Scott Rickenbach's CFB Free Pick Friday:

OVER the total in Old Dominion Monarchs vs Western Kentucky Hilltoppers @ 6 ET -

The last 3 meetings between these teams have averaged a total of 95 points per game! The weather will be perfect in Norfolk, VA this evening. A pleasant fall evening with light winds and comfortable temperatures. Western Kentucky's plan last week was to get the ball downfield more and it certainly worked with QB Mike White throwing for 5 touchdowns and 398 passing yards. Overall, the Hilltoppers set a season high with 627 yards of offense. That doesn't bode well for an Old Dominion defense that has allowed 530.5 yards per game in their last two home games. The Monarchs are allowing an average of 46 points per game their last 4 games. The Old Dominion offense has certainly struggled at times this season but they have been much better at home where they're averaging 27.3 points per game. The over is 8-2 when the Monarchs enter a game off of two or more consecutive SU losses. The over is 12-3 when Western Kentucky enters a game off of two or more consecutive SU wins. Free Pick on OVER the total in Old Dominion EARLY Friday evening.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Tony Brown

Tony's *5 nhl free pick

Vancouver vs. Buffalo, 10/20/2017 19:00 EDT

Total: -125/+5½ Under

Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports

Fp: Canucks have scored 2 or less in 12 straight dating back to last year and the sabers have been no power house this season on the offensive side .. so 6 goals to beat us will be a chore making the under my nhl free pick .

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Scott Rickenbach

Free Pick Friday NBA

Boston vs. Philadelphia, 10/20/2017 19:00 EDT

Money Line: -115 Philadelphia

Sportsbook:
Bookmaker

2-0 SWEEP with star rated football picks Thursday, Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach is ready to do it AGAIN Friday! Be sure to check out ALL of his star rated picks in ALL sports for another HUGE Friday to get you locked and loaded for a MASSIVE weekend! Though he lost his NBA Total yesterday he is a PERFECT 2-0 with his premium NBA sides this season. Rickenbach's NBA Free Pick Friday: Philadelphia 76'ers (-) vs Boston Celtics @ 7:05 ET - While it may be tempting to back Boston here since they are 0-2 on the season and the Sixers have averaged just 19 wins per season the last 4 years, the fact is that Philadelphia is in a great spot here. Philly is much improved this season and they are hungry for their home opener and, even in recent bad seasons, they are known for giving huge efforts in their home games. The 76'ers did lose their season opener at Washington but they did hang on for the cover. Now they catch the Celtics playing their 3rd game in 4 nights and still trying to get over the devastation of the Gordon Hayward injury. Boston is on a 12-20 ATS run in divisional games. The Sixers are a surprising 5-1 SU and 4-1-1 ATS the 6 times they have been a favorite the past two seasons. In this case, being a small fave versus the wounded Celtics is absolutely justified. Also, the 76'ers are on a 46-30 ATS run in games against teams with a losing record and a 10-5 ATS run after scoring 115 points or more in their prior game. A lot of young talent on this Sixers team and, as long as they stay healthy, this team is going to make big strides this season. Free Pick on PHILADELPHIA in Friday EARLY evening action.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Brian Bitler

Brian's 9* NBA No-Nonsense Winner

Cleveland vs. Milwaukee, 10/20/2017 19:00 EDT

Point Spread: +2½/-110 Milwaukee

Sportsbook:
TopBet

Bucks are a very talented young team that will look to show the NBA they are for real this season and what better way then beating the Cleveland Cavs who might not be into this game as much as the Bucks are. How much will Lebron play tonight? Bucks beat Boston in Boston and if they can beat the Cavs then they will have sent a clear message to NBA fans that they are for real this season. Giannis has looked even better this season then last season and some think he will contend for the MVP honors look for him to have a huge night tonight as the Bucks easily cover this generous line. Invest 9 units in the Bucks tonight.

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Dunkel

Friday, October 20

NY Yankees @ Houston

Game 913-914
October 20, 2017 @ 8:00 pm

Dunkel Rating:
NY Yankees
(Severino) 19.133
Houston
(Verlnder) 16.681
Dunkel Team:
Dunkel Line:
Dunkel Total:
NY Yankees
by 2 1/2
8
Vegas Team:
Vegas Line:
Vegas Total:
Houston
-140
7 1/2
Dunkel Pick:
NY Yankees
(+120); Over

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 20

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NY YANKEES (98 - 75) at HOUSTON (106 - 65) - 8:05 PM
LUIS SEVERINO (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 19-32 (-13.3 Units) against the money line on the road when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
NY YANKEES are 11-17 (-10.7 Units) against the money line when playing on Friday this season.
NY YANKEES are 17-29 (-14.3 Units) against the money line in road games after a win this season.
NY YANKEES are 8-18 (-13.2 Units) against the money line in road games after 3 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons.
HOUSTON is 106-65 (+12.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
HOUSTON is 83-40 (+25.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
HOUSTON is 18-6 (+11.9 Units) against the money line after getting shut out over the last 3 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 53-35 (+16.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NY YANKEES are 65-54 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 61-55 (-21.0 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 36-39 (-15.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 7-5 (+1.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.6 Units)

LUIS SEVERINO vs. HOUSTON since 1997
SEVERINO is 0-1 when starting against HOUSTON with an ERA of 7.72 and a WHIP of 1.973.
His team's record is 1-2 (-1.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-1. (+1.0 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
VERLANDER is 9-7 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 3.64 and a WHIP of 1.298.
His team's record is 11-12 (-2.6 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-12. (-4.4 units)

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 20

Trend Report

NY YANKEES @ HOUSTON
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Houston
NY Yankees is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
Houston is 15-2 SU in its last 17 games at home
Houston is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against NY Yankees

[Can'tPickAWinner]

MLB

Friday, October 20

New York @ Houston
Astros are 7-5 against New York this season, winning four of five at home. Houston scored total of nine runs in first five games in this series, all won by the home team.

Severino is 1-0, 5.56 in three playoff starts this season; he is 4-0, 3.27 in his last eight starts overall. Over is 5-3 in his last eight starts. New York is 9-7 in his road starts this season. He is 0-1, 7.71 in three starts vs Houston this season.

Verlander is 7-0, 1.29 in seven starts for Houston; he also won a game in relief. Under is 8-2 in his last ten starts. Astros are 4-0 in his home starts. Verlander is 1-0, 1.00 vs New York this season; he is 10-5, 3.19 in 19 career playoff games (18 starts).

[Can'tPickAWinner]

Friday's ALCS Playoff Betting Preview And Odds: Yankees at Astros

The Astros left home a few days ago feeling very good about their chances to win the American League pennant, but returned home with a very different feeling.

New York Yankees at Houston Astros (NYY +124, HOU -134, O/U 7.5)

Yankees lead series 3-2

The Houston Astros left home a few days ago feeling very good about their chances to win the American League pennant and advance to the second World Series in franchise history, but returned home with a very different feeling. The Astros will try to stay alive one more day and force a decisive Game 7 of the AL Championship Series when they host the New York Yankees in Game 6 on Friday.

Houston won the first two games at home but totaled only nine runs in the series after leading the majors in scoring with 896 runs during the regular season, and it is looking for more from George Springer (2-for-18 in the series) and Josh Reddick (0-for-17) at home in Game 6. "It will be great," Astros manager A.J. Hinch told reporters of getting back to Houston. "There weren't a lot rooting for us here. I think getting home will be good for us. We'll have an off day (Thursday), and then get to play in front of our home crowd. Every home team has won this series, if that trend continues, we'll be in pretty good shape." The Yankees finally found their offense at home while winning all three games, and are starting to get production from Aaron Judge (4-for-9, two homers, six RBIs in the last three games) and Gary Sanchez, who drove in five runs in the last two contests. "I give our guys a lot of credit for how resilient they are, and how they continue to fight and never give up and understand, take it one game at a time and don't panic," New York manager Joe Girardi told reporters. "And just continue to fight."

TV: 8:08 p.m. ET, Fox Sports 1

INJURY REPORT:

Yankees - SP L. Severino (Probable, Shoulder), SP L. Cessa (Out For Season, Ribs), SP M. Pineda (Out For Season, Elbow).

Astros - CF J. Marisnick (Out For Season, Thumb), SP D. Paulino (Out For Season, Suspension), RP J. Gustave (Out For Season, Elbow).

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees RH Luis Severino (1-0, 5.56 ERA) vs. Astros RH Justin Verlander (3-0, 2.04)

Severino is hoping to go deeper into Game 6 after being lifted from Game 2 following the fourth inning, when he struggled to get loose and was hit in the wrist by a comebacker. The 23-year-old Dominican was checked out by doctors and quickly cleared. Severino surrendered a solo home run to Carlos Correa in that outing and was strong in his lone AL Division Series appearance, yielding three runs and four hits in seven innings against Cleveland.

Verlander went up against Severino in Game 2 and earned the win while hurling a 124-pitch complete game. The former AL MVP yielded one run and five hits while striking out 13 and walking one to earn his third win in as many 2017 postseason appearances. Verlander is 8-0 with a 1.39 ERA in eight appearances since arriving in a trade from the Detroit Tigers on Aug. 31.

TRENDS:

* Yankees are 1-7 in their last 8 playoff road games.
* Yankees are 15-3 in Severino's last 18 starts.
* Astros are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
* Astros are 7-0 in Verlander's 7 starts since joining Houston.
* Over is 12-3 in Severino's last 15 starts overall.
* Under is 8-0 in Astros' last 8 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Over is 17-6-3 in Jim Reynolds' last 26 games behind home plate.

CONSENSUS: The public is siding with the home chalk Astros at a rate of 74 percent and the Over is picking up 57 percent of the totals action.