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Thread: Thursday 10-26-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Thursday 10-26-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    Stanford at Oregon State 10/26/17 - College Football Picks & Predictions

    by Eddie

    Latest Odds : STAN-23 Total 58.5

    Reser Stadium will play host to a Thursday night college football clash between the 20th ranked Stanford Cardinal and the Oregon State Beavers. Stanford is 4-1 in Pac 12 Conference play and controls their own destiny to win the conference title game. The Cardinal had a bye last weekend and looked rather impressive during their 49-7 rout of Oregon last time out. Heisman Trophy candidate Bryce Love rushed for 147 yards and two touchdowns on the night.

    Through their first seven games, Stanford ranks 34th in total offense and is scoring an average of 38.1 points. Oregon State has allowed 200 yards on the ground and will have plenty of trouble with Stanford’s rushing attack.


    The Oregon State Beavers are winless in conference play and have just one win on the season. Oregon State was also off last weekend and was competitive last time out during a 36-33 home loss versus Colorado. The game was the first for the Beavers since the announcement that head coach Gary Andersen decided to resign. Junior RB Ryan Nall rushed for 172 yards and three touchdowns in a losing effort for Oregon State.

    For the season, Oregon State ranks 101st in total offense and scores 21.3 points per game. Stanford counters with a defense that allows 416 yards and 22.0 points on average.


    Recent Betting Trends:
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Stanford's last 8 games when playing on the road against Oregon State.
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oregon State's last 7 games.
    Stanford is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Oregon State.
    Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Oregon State.
    Oregon State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.


    Free Betting Pick: Stanford Cardinal -23


    Stanford has won seven straight meetings and owns a 55-25-3 all-time record over Oregon State. The last time the Cardinal faced the Beavers on the road they came away with a 42-24 victory. Look for a similar outcome on Thursday night. Final Score Prediction, Stanford Cardinal win and cover ATS 44-17.

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    Dolphins at Ravens 10/26/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Eddie

    Latest Odds : BAL -3 Total 37.5

    In Thursday night NFL football action, the Miami Dolphins will travel to M&T Bank Stadium to tackle the Baltimore Ravens. The Dolphins lost starting QB Ryan Tannehill for the season with a knee injury, but have managed to win four of their first six games overall. On Sunday, Matt Moore replaced injured QB Jay Cutler and erased a 14-point deficit during a 31-28 Miami victory over the New York Jets. Jarvis Landry caught seven passes for 93 yards and a touchdown for the Dolphins.

    Through six games, Miami ranks dead last in total offense and is scoring 15.3 points on average. Baltimore comes into this game with a defense that ranks 18th in yards allowed and surrenders 21.1 points per contest.


    The Baltimore Ravens have dropped four of their first seven games and have been decimated by injuries on the offensive side of the ball. On Sunday, Baltimore managed just 208 yards of total offense during a 24-16 loss at Minnesota. Joe Flacco threw for 186 yards and one touchdown on 39 pass attempts for the Ravens. Justin Tucker connected on all three of his field goal attempts including a 57-yarder.

    Baltimore comes into this contest ranked second to last in total offense and scoring 18.6 points on average. Miami is talented on defense, ranking 10th in yards allowed and giving up 18.7 points per game.


    Recent Betting Trends:
    Miami is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing Baltimore.
    Baltimore is 7-14-1 ATS in its last 22 games at home.
    Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami.
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road.
    The total has gone UNDER in 11 of Baltimore's last 16 games at home.


    Free Betting Pick: Miami Dolphins +3


    Miami QB Jay Cutler is believed to have suffered crack ribs in Sunday’s game and could miss the next 2-3 weeks. These are the two worst offenses in football, so the under is worth a look on a short week. However, I look for Miami to ride the momentum from their comeback on Sunday with Matt Moore at the helm and win outright. Final Score Prediction, Miami Dolphins win outright as underdog but grab the points just in case 20-17.


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    Toledo at Ball State 10/26/17 - NCAA Football Picks & Predictions

    by Mike

    Latest Odds : TOL -26 Total 60.5


    Toledo is rolling at 6-1 and heads to 2-5 Ball State this week for a Mid-American West game. Toledo is tied for the west division lead and is coming off a convincing win over MAC East-leading Akron.

    Toledo Rockets' leading receiver Cody Thompson was lost for the season a couple of weeks ago, but the team has still cranked out the points. Toledo is still in the top 25 nationally in passing yards at 292 per game, and in scoring at 37.7. The Rockets are also averaging 211 yards on the ground. The team is giving up 26.6 points per game.

    Logan Woodside has passed for 2028 yards, 16 touchdowns, and two interceptions. Terry Swanson has 623 yards rushing and six touchdowns. Two more backs have around 400 yards each. Diontae Johnson has 523 yards receiving and JonVea Johnson has 346.


    The wheels have fallen off a bit for Ball State that started out 2-1 before quarterback Riley Neal was injured. Since then the Cardinals have lost four straight games and have not scored a touchdown in the last three games. The Cardinals have been outscored 142-15 over the last three games. Ball State is averaging 19.4 points and is giving up an average of 34.7 for the season.

    Jack Milas has passed for 731 yards and has thrown six interceptions without a touchdown. Caleb Huntley is the leading rusher with 467 yards and has three touchdowns.

    Toledo has beaten Ball State three years in a row. The last time Ball State won was 2013, which was the last time they had a winning season.


    Recent Betting Trends:
    Rockets are 9-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    Cardinals are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
    Under is 7-3-1 in Rockets last 11 games after allowing less than 100 yards rushing in their previous game.
    Over is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 20 points.


    Free Betting Pick: Toledo Rockets -26


    Last week Toledo proved it's the team to beat again in the MAC and think that confidence carries over on the road this week. Facing a bad Ball State team will also make it easy on Toledo as Rockets offense rolls in this one. Final Score Prediction, Toledo Rockets win and cover ATS 39-10.


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    South Alabama at Georgia State 10/26/17 - CFB Picks & Predictions

    by Jim

    Latest Odds : USA -2 Total 49


    The South Alabama Jaguars (3 - 4, 2 - 1 CONF) are on the road this weekend to play the home town Georgia State Panthers (3 - 3 , 2 - 1 CONF). Georgia State will come into this game looking to forget last week's loss to Troy. Georgia State has the home crowd behind them at Georgia State Stadium in Atlanta, GA. South Alabama has won back to back games and the Jaguars are looking for their third straight win here.

    South Alabama takes the field with an offense that has come and gone at different times in the year. Right now the Jaguar offense is representing itself well. South Alabama is averaging 24 PPG on offense this year while racking up 350 yards of total offense per outing. South Alabama is a pass first team that has shown the ability to work the ball on the ground. South Alabama is giving up 26 PPG to opposing teams this year.


    Georgia State was held to just 10 points in their loss to Troy last week and that can't happen again. Georgia State is a pass first team behind QB Conner Manning (1,516 yards, 7 TD, 5 INT). Manning will try and get going early and often with his favorite target, Penny Hart (587 yards, 6 TDs). Hart will be tasked with splitting open the secondary and keeping Georgia State in this game down the field.


    Recent Betting Trends:
    Jaguars are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 280 yards passing in their previous game.
    Panthers are 9-1 ATS in their last 10 games in October.
    Under is 4-0 in Jaguars last 4 games on turf.
    Under is 10-3 in Panthers last 13 home games.


    Free Betting Pick: South Alabama Jaguars -2


    This Jaguars team is 2-0 straight up and ATS in Sunbelt Conference play and think that streak continues this week. South Alabama followed up upset of talented Troy team by having no let down last week against easier foe of ULM. More of the same this week as USA gets big road win. Final Score Prediction, South Alabama Jaguars win and cover ATS 27-20.


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    Eastern Michigan at Northern Illinois 10/26/17 - CFB Picks & Predictions

    by Thomas

    Latest Odds : NIU -7 Total 44.5


    The Northern Illinois Huskies have won three straight games heading into Week 9 of action when they will host the Eastern Michigan Eagles on Thursday night. The Huskies are 5-2 on the season and have covered the spread in five games this year. North Illinois is 2-1 on their home field this season.

    The Huskies beat up Bowling Green 48-17 on the road last week. The Huskies were led by QB Marcus Childers who threw for 239 yards with three touchdowns and no interceptions. Tommy Mister help open up the pass as he rushed for over 100 yards with a touchdown. The Huskies have covered six of their last eight games when playing a team with a losing record.


    The Eastern Michigan Eagles open up their season by winning their first two games but have now lost their last five straight. The Eagles are 2-5 on the season and and 1-3 on the road this season. Eastern Michigan has not won a conference game yet this season in three attempts and lost to the Huskies last season.

    The Eastern Michigan Eagles lost to Western Michigan on their home field last week. The Eagles were led by QB Brogan Roback last week who threw for 308 yards with a touchdown. Roback has thrown for 7 touchdowns and four interceptions over his last three weeks. The Ealges have covered the spread in six of their last eight games played in Northern Illinois.


    Recent Betting Trends:
    Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    Huskies are 6-1-1 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    Under is 15-3 in Eagles last 18 games overall.
    Under is 34-16-1 in Huskies last 51 games in October.


    Free Betting Pick: Northern Illinois Huskies -7


    The Eagles have lost five straight games and will have another tough week here on the road. The Huskies play good football on their home field and have looked like a much better team than the Eagles this season. Look for the Huskies to continue to be the better team in the MAC. Final Score Prediction, Northern Illinois Huskies win and cover ATS 35-20


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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Belmont Park

    RACE #7 - BELMONT PARK - 4:13 PM EASTERN POST
    6.0 FURLONGS DIRT THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD $42,500.00 OPTIONAL CLAIMING $80,000.00 PURSE

    #1 LEWYS VAPAORIZER / #1A VERY VERY STELLA
    #4 ZOOT SUIT
    #6 SUMMER REVOLUTION
    #7 ALWAYS A SUSPECT

    #1 LEWYS VAPORIZER qualifies as a TrackMaster PLUS "PowerPony," has won half of his 18 career starts to date, sprinting at 6.0 furlongs on the dirt, drops in class (-4), and has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of his last four outings, winning in both his 2nd and 4th races back, which is indicative of "Bounce Pattern" folks, and the BoUnCe will be UP/POSITIVE this afternoon if this pattern continues. The stablemate, #1A VERY VERY STELLA is the overall speed leader, and comes off a "POWER RUN WIN" in his last starts. The 8-1 shot, #4 ZOOT SUIT, has exceptional early speed for this sprint, has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in three of his last four outings, including back-to-back "POWER RUN WINS" in his 2nd and 3rd races back.

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Charles Town

    Charles Town - Race 2

    Pick 3 (Races 2-3-4) / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Daily Double (2-3)


    Maiden Special • 6 1/2 Furlongs • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 63 • Purse: $23,000 • Post: 7:29P
    FOR ACCREDITED WEST VIRGINIA-BRED MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Dominant Front-runner. BINN GOODE is the Dominant Front-runner of the race. * KEY ANGLES * BINN GOODE: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days.
    3
    BINN GOODE
    2/1

    3/2

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Delta Downs

    Delta Downs - Race 7

    DD (Races 7-8) / Exacta / Trifecta (.50 min.) / Pick 3 (Races 7-8-9) Pick 4 (.50 min.) (Races 7-8-9-10) / Superfecta (.10 min.)


    Claiming $5,000 • 5 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 64 • Purse: $12,000 • Post: 8:16P
    FOR ACCREDITED LA BRED FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 120 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
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    Morn
    Line

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    Odds


    Race Type: Fast-paced Race. There are many horses that could vie for the early lead. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners. * KEY ANGLES * FONDA CARLOS: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the top th ree in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. LITTLE MISS SPARKY: Horse is dropping into a race which has an Class Rating at least five points lower than the Class Rating of its last race. Horse had a bullet workout within the last seven days. HEAVENLY QUEST: Today is a sprint, horse is a Front-runner with an inside post position. Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. FULL FLEET: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(spri nt or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating.
    11
    FONDA CARLOS
    4/1

    5/1
    12
    LITTLE MISS SPARKY
    10/1

    6/1
    4
    HEAVENLY QUEST
    7/2

    6/1
    3
    FULL FLEET
    5/2

    8/1

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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Finger Lakes

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 8 - Allowance - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $19200 Class Rating: 84

    FOR FOALED IN NEW YORK STATE AND APPROVED BY THE NEW YORK STATE-BRED REGISTRY FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON A STATE BRED RACE OTHER THAN MAIDEN, CLAIMING, OR STARTER. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 26 ALLOWED 2 LBS. A RACE SINCE AUGUST 26 ALLOWED 4 LBS. (RACES WHERE ENTERED FOR $15,000 OR LESS


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 3 INGRID 3/1

    # 2 GRASSARLA 4/1

    # 10 BELLEOFTHEPRAIRIE 6/1

    I give the nod to INGRID here. Should best this group of animals here, showing competitive numbers of late. Always good to invest in a handler with this kind of very good win percentage - 21 percent - at this distance & surface. Will almost certainly go to the lead and might never look back. GRASSARLA - Well above average win rate at this distance/surface. Will more than likely be one of the front-runners of the pack going into the midpoint of the affair. BELLEOFTHEPRAIRIE - Is worth considering and may be a bet - strong Equibase Speed Figures (72 average) at today's distance and surface as of late. When this rider and handler team up, wagerers often make money.

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Hawthorne - Race #1 - Post: 3:10pm - Claiming - 5.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $8,000 Class Rating: 66

    Rating: 4

    #1 DEVOUT TYPE (ML=5/1)
    #3 GRITTY KITTY (ML=5/2)


    DEVOUT TYPE - We have lots of early speed with this steed. She could wire this field. Ran on the wrong surface in her last contest. The speed rating of 68 on Aug 27th at Arlington two races back is good enough to win this race. GRITTY KITTY - The 66 last race fig looks strong on paper. This filly is number one in earnings per start (EPS). Check out this animal in the paddock.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 POLAR AIR (ML=7/2), #7 HARANSTOWN (ML=4/1), #2 GREELEYS DELIGHT (ML=9/2),

    POLAR AIR - This filly finished out of the money on September 15th and wasn't close to victory in the last race either. HARANSTOWN - Can't wager on this racer in today's sprint of 5 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't even finished in the money in a short distance race lately. 4/1 odds isn't enough for this one when scrutinizing the most recent showings. Don't believe this steed will make a winning move in today's race. That last speed figure was most unsatisfactory when compared with today's class figure. GREELEYS DELIGHT - When checking today's class rating, she will have to notch a much better speed figure than last time out to battle in this dirt sprint.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Have to go with #1 DEVOUT TYPE on the win end if we get at least 9/5 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,3]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    None

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    None

  12. #12
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Indiana Downs

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 9 - Maiden Special Weight - 8.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 55

    FOR REGISTERED INDIANA BREDS MAIDENS, FILLIES AND MARES THREE, FOUR, AND FIVE YEARS OLD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 118 LBS.; OLDER, 122 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 9 TIME TO TELL 5/2

    # 4 UNNECESSARY DRAMA 6/1

    # 3 SECRET BANK 12/1

    I've got to go with TIME TO TELL. With a sound rider who has won at a solid 19 percent rate over the last 30 days. This has to be one of the top choices. Pedroza has recent ROI numbers which make this horse a good wager. Is a solid choice - given the 62 speed rating from her most recent race. UNNECESSARY DRAMA - Ought to be carefully examined - I like the figures from the last contest. Is difficult not to examine based on Equibase speed figs which have been very strong - 62 avg - of late. SECRET BANK - With Prescott uptop her, this filly will most likely be able to break out early for this race. Recorded a solid speed rating in the most recent race. Can run another good one in this race.

  13. #13
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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Keeneland - Race #2 - Post: 1:39pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $20,000 Class Rating: 86

    Rating: 4

    #1 FLATTER THE QUEEN (ML=3/1)


    FLATTER THE QUEEN - Got to appreciate a good work horse. This colt's last workout was second fastest of the day for the distance. Graham and Colebrook perform well when they join forces. It's hard to beat a +21 return on investment for a rider and handler. I think that a sprinter coming off a layoff will usually run his best in the 3rd or 4th start back.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #7 OSO READY (ML=5/2), #1A PREEMPTIVE STRIKE (ML=3/1), #5 ROCK SHANDY (ML=9/2),

    OSO READY - Not the right 'spot' in this race. PREEMPTIVE STRIKE - This horse ran a quite unimpressive fig last out. He shouldn't improve and will likely suffer defeat in today's race running that figure. ROCK SHANDY - This gelding hasn't had any in the money efforts in short distance races in the last 60 days. Hard to keep stabbing at this kind of 'bridesmaid' horse.



    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Go with #1 Entry on top if we're getting at least 1/1 odds

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

    SUPER HIGH FIVE WAGERS:
    None

    ** Some or all wagers above involve entries and assume all parts of entry start the race **

  14. #14
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    When: 8:25 PM ET, Thursday, October 26, 2017
    Where: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland

    Preview: Dolphins at Ravens

    Gracenote
    Oct 24, 2017

    Journeyman Matt Moore is fresh off a brilliant comeback performance and now will serve as the starting quarterback when the Miami Dolphins visit the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday. Moore came off the bench after Jay Cutler suffered multiple cracked ribs on Sunday to rally Miami from a 14-point deficit and record a 31-28 victory over the New York Jets.

    Moore threw two touchdown passes during a 17-point fourth quarter and brings a more boisterous approach than the introverted Cutler, who could miss multiple contests. "It's an emotional game and I'm an emotional player," Moore told reporters on Tuesday, two days prior to making his 29th career regular-season start. "It's always better when you're having fun. When you're kicking the dirt, that's not the way to do your job. So I try to have a good time." Miami has won three straight games, so it is experiencing better times than the Ravens, who have allowed an average of 27.6 points while losing four of their last five contests. "I wouldn't say it's a must-win," Baltimore safety Eric Weddle told reporters, "but it's definitely a big-time game that we need to try and do everything in our power to win."
    TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network. LINE: Ravens -3. O/U: 37.5

    ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (4-2): Running back Jay Ajayi (442 yards) is saddled with a 3.5-yard average that is well below the 4.9 mark of last season's breakthrough campaign, but he will have a shot at posting his third 100-yard performance of the year against a Baltimore squad that ranks last in the NFL in rushing defense (145.3 yards per game). Moore will try to pump life into a sagging offense that ranks 31st in scoring (15.3 points) and dead last in total offense (261.8 yards) as well as try to make a downfield threat out of receiver Jarvis Landry, who is averaging just 8.1 yards on 45 receptions. Defensive end Cameron Wake has recorded six sacks after posting 2.5 against the Jets, but the defense has made only two interceptions.

    ABOUT THE RAVENS (3-4): Baltimore ranks 23rd in the NFL in scoring offense (18.8 points) and 28th in total offense (277.6 yards) while quarterback Joe Flacco has been an underwhelming performer with five touchdown tosses and eight interceptions. "I have to be more consistent," Flacco told reporters. "That is the name of this game. In order to win the majority of your games, you have to play consistent, and you still probably are going to lose a couple." Outside linebacker Terrell Suggs (team-best 4.5 sacks) is expected to play through a knee injury, while cornerback Brandon Carr has recorded a club-leading three interceptions.

    EXTRA POINTS

    1. The Ravens have won five of the last six regular-season meetings to tie the all-time series at 6-6.

    2. Miami signed QB David Fales to serve as Moore's backup and released disappointing CB Byron Maxwell.

    3. Baltimore's Mike Wallace and Breshad Perriman are in danger of missing the game due to concussions, while fellow WRs Jeremy Maclin and Michael Campanaro are doubtful with shoulder injuries.

    PREDICTION: Dolphins 16, Ravens 13



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    Trends - Miami at Baltimore


    ATS TRENDS

    Miami
    • Dolphins are 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games in Week 8.
    • Dolphins are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in October.
    • Dolphins are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Dolphins are 9-4-1 ATS in their last 14 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Dolphins are 8-18 ATS in their last 26 games following a ATS loss.
    • Dolphins are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Dolphins are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games on fieldturf.

    Baltimore
    • Ravens are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Ravens are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Ravens are 7-19-2 ATS in their last 28 games in October.
    • Ravens are 5-15-2 ATS in their last 22 games following a straight up loss.
    • Ravens are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games on fieldturf.
    • Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
    • Ravens are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    OU TRENDS

    Miami
    • Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 road games.
    • Under is 8-0-1 in Dolphins last 9 Thursday games.
    • Under is 4-0 in Dolphins last 4 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games overall.
    • Under is 6-1 in Dolphins last 7 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Under is 14-3 in Dolphins last 17 games in Week 8.
    • Under is 4-1 in Dolphins last 5 vs. AFC.
    • Under is 25-10 in Dolphins last 35 games on fieldturf.
    • Over is 5-2 in Dolphins last 7 games after scoring more than 30 points in their previous game.
    • Over is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 games following a straight up win.
    • Under is 9-4 in Dolphins last 13 games following a ATS loss.
    • Under is 17-8-1 in Dolphins last 26 games in October.

    Baltimore
    • Over is 6-1 in Ravens last 7 games in Week 8.
    • Over is 5-1 in Ravens last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games overall.
    • Under is 8-2 in Ravens last 10 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    • Over is 4-1-1 in Ravens last 6 games in October.
    • Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games following a ATS loss.
    • Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    • Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
    • Under is 5-2 in Ravens last 7 Thursday games.
    • Under is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    • Over is 7-3 in Ravens last 10 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    • Under is 11-5 in Ravens last 16 home games.
    HEAD TO HEAD

    • Road team is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
    • Underdog is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings.
    • Dolphins are 0-7 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

  16. #16
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    Long Sheet

    Week 8


    Thursday, October 26

    --------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    MIAMI (4 - 2) at BALTIMORE (3 - 4) - 10/26/2017, 8:25 PM
    Top Trends for this game.
    MIAMI is 55-78 ATS (-30.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

    Head-to-Head Series History
    BALTIMORE is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    BALTIMORE is 1-1 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
    1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

  17. #17
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Week 8


    Trend Report

    Thursday, October 26

    MIAMI @ BALTIMORE
    The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 7 games
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games on the road
    Baltimore is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Miami
    Baltimore is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Miami

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Week 8


    Thursday's game
    Dolphins (4-2) @ Ravens (3-4)— Miami is 4-2 despite trailing five of six games at the half. QB Cutler has multiple cracked ribs; Moore is expected to start, with untested Doughty (WKU) the backup if Cutler doesn’t dress. Moore is 15-13 as an NFL starter, but has started only 3 games since 2011. Dolphins won last three games, by 6-3-3 points; their four wins are by total of 14 points. Baltimore lost four of last five games overall; they won six of last seven series games; they whacked the Dolphins 38-6 here LY; Miami lost its last three visits to Baltimore, by 7-16-32 points. AFC East non-divisional road underdogs are 5-2 vs spread; AFC North non-divisional favorites are 2-5. Under is 5-1 in Dolphin games; over is 4-1 in last five Raven games.

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    Dunkel

    Week 8


    Thursday, October 26

    Miami @ Baltimore

    Game 101-102
    October 26, 2017 @ 8:25 pm

    Dunkel Rating:
    Miami
    129.150
    Baltimore
    130.370
    Dunkel Team:
    Dunkel Line:
    Dunkel Total:
    Baltimore
    by 1
    43
    Vegas Team:
    Vegas Line:
    Vegas Total:
    Baltimore
    by 3
    37
    Dunkel Pick:
    Miami
    (+3); Over

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    Thursday, October 26


    Thursday Night Football betting preview and odds: Dolphins at Ravens

    Miami Dolphins at Baltimore Ravens (-3, 37)

    Journeyman Matt Moore is fresh off a brilliant comeback performance and now will serve as the starting quarterback when the Miami Dolphins visit the Baltimore Ravens on Thursday. Moore came off the bench after Jay Cutler suffered multiple cracked ribs on Sunday to rally Miami from a 14-point deficit and record a 31-28 victory over the New York Jets.

    Moore threw two touchdown passes during a 17-point fourth quarter and brings a more boisterous approach than the introverted Cutler, who could miss multiple contests. "It's an emotional game and I'm an emotional player," Moore told reporters on Tuesday, two days prior to making his 29th career regular-season start. "It's always better when you're having fun. When you're kicking the dirt, that's not the way to do your job. So I try to have a good time." Miami has won three straight games, so it is experiencing better times than the Ravens, who have allowed an average of 27.6 points while losing four of their last five contests. "I wouldn't say it's a must-win," Baltimore safety Eric Weddle told reporters, "but it's definitely a big-time game that we need to try and do everything in our power to win."

    TV:
    8:25 p.m. ET, CBS, NFL Network.

    LINE HISTORY:
    Despite all the troubles of the Ravens offense, oddsmakers are still giving them the edge at home, setting the line at Baltimore -3. The line has yet to move off the opening number. The total hit the board at a very low 37.5 and has actually moved down further to the current number of 37.

    POWER RANKINGS:[/B] Dolphins (1.5) - Ravens (3.5) + home field (-3) = Ravens -1

    WHAT SHARPS SAY: "Its going to be hard for the Dolphins and Ravens to match the excitement of last Thursday's Chiefs-Raiders thriller. That doesn't mean its not going to be an interesting game though. The Dolphins come in as the hotter team but the Ravens may well be the hungrier one. I had projected this line to be exactly where it is, so don't find a whole lot of value with the side. If the line moves off three, I'll be taking a closer look. Getting the Ravens at less than -3 (doubtful) would provide some value, while the Dolphins would start looking more interesting if the line climbed above four." - Ben Burns

    INJURY REPORT:


    Dolphins - QB Jay Cutler (Out Thursday, ribs), DT Jordan Phillips (Questionable Thursday, ankle), C Anthony Steen (Questionable Thursday, foot), DE Andre Branch (Questionable Thursday, groin), WR DeVante Parker (Questionable Thursday, ankle), C Mike Pouncey (Probable Thursday, knee), T Ja'Wuan James (Probable Thursday, hand), TE Julius Thomas (Probable Thursday, knee), RB Jay Ajayi (Probable Thursday, knee), T Laremy Tunsil (Probable Thursday, knee).

    Ravens - S Eric Weddle (Questionable Thursday, ankle), LB Patrick Onwuasor (Questionable Thursday, knee), S Tony Jefferson (Questionable Thursday, ankle), LB Terrell Suggs (Questionable Thursday, knee), CB Jimmy Smith (Questionable Thursday, achilles), DB Anthony Levine (Questionable Thursday, back), WR Michael Campanaro (Questionable Thursday, shoulder), WR Chris Matthews (Questionable Thursday, thigh), WR Mike Wallace (Questionable Thursday, concussion), WR Breshad Perriman (Questionable Thursday, concussion), TE Maxx Williams (Questionable Thursday, ankle), LB Tim Williams (Questionable Thursday, thigh), WR Jeremy Maclin (Questionable Thursday, shoulder), RB Terrance West (Questionable Thursday, calf), TE Benjamin Watson (Probable Thursday, knee).

    ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (4-2, 3-2-1 ATS, 1-5 O/U):
    Running back Jay Ajayi (442 yards) is saddled with a 3.5-yard average that is well below the 4.9 mark of last season's breakthrough campaign, but he will have a shot at posting his third 100-yard performance of the year against a Baltimore squad that ranks last in the NFL in rushing defense (145.3 yards per game). Moore will try to pump life into a sagging offense that ranks 31st in scoring (15.3 points) and dead last in total offense (261.8 yards) as well as try to make a downfield threat out of receiver Jarvis Landry, who is averaging just 8.1 yards on 45 receptions. Defensive end Cameron Wake has recorded six sacks after posting 2.5 against the Jets, but the defense has made only two interceptions.

    ABOUT THE RAVENS (3-4, 3-4 ATS, 4-3 O/U):
    Baltimore ranks 23rd in the NFL in scoring offense (18.8 points) and 28th in total offense (277.6 yards) while quarterback Joe Flacco has been an underwhelming performer with five touchdown tosses and eight interceptions. "I have to be more consistent," Flacco told reporters. "That is the name of this game. In order to win the majority of your games, you have to play consistent, and you still probably are going to lose a couple." Outside linebacker Terrell Suggs (team-best 4.5 sacks) is expected to play through a knee injury, while cornerback Brandon Carr has recorded a club-leading three interceptions.

    TRENDS:


    * Dolphins are 0-7 ATS in their last seven meetings.
    * Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last five games overall.
    * Under is 8-0-1 in Dolphins last nine Thursday games.
    * Over is 4-1 in Ravens last five games overall.

    CONSENSUS:
    Bettors are fairly split on this matchup, with 53 percent of bettors giving the Ravens a slight edge. The total is even closer with 51 percent of wagers on the Under.

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