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Thread: Service Plays Sunday 10/29/17

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Fezzik

    3* Car/TB Over 44
    3* Kansas City -7
    3* Indy/Cincy Over 41

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Marco D'Angelo

    5% Lions

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    King Creole

    3* Buffalo / Oakland over 45.5

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    SSIWINS

    Risked 5 units to win 4.17*Tampa Bay Buccaneers -1 -120*vs Carolina Panthers
    Risked 5 units to win 4.76*Oakland Raiders +2.5 -105*vs Buffalo Bills
    Risked 5 units to win 3.85*Dallas Cowboys -130*vs Washington Redskins
    Risked 5 units to win 3.45*Pittsburgh Steelers -145*vs Detroit Lions

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    SSIWINS Parley Lifestyle Picks

    Bucs ML/Cowboys ML/Steelers ML (4.5 UNITS)-NFL

    Raiders +2.5/Chargers +7/Texans +5 (2.5 UNITS)-NFL

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Indian Cowboy

    7-Unit Play. #251. Take Minnesota -9.5 over Cleveland (Sunday @ 9:30am est)
    Minnesota does very well against teams they are supposed to beat and that should be no different here. This is a Vikings team that will go for the jugular against a Cleveland team that did great against Tennessee and fell inside the number, but whenever Cleveland faces big lines they have failed to cover. Whenever they have faced smaller lines, they have hung in there in a big way. Minnesota does very well against weaker teams in general as they game plan and simply execute their strengths and that is attributable to a strong coaching staff. The Vikings are a quiet 5-2 and and feature the 4th best defense in the league and 12th best offense to boot. The Browns are 1-11 ATS against teams with a winning record and Minnesota is a solid 9-3 ATS when facing a team with a losing record. Note, Minnesota will also be excited about the upcoming bye week so they will want to rout Cleveland and have a nice week off following a big win - they will show up for this game.

    4-Unit Play. #257. Take Over 45.5 Carolina vs. Tampa Bay (Sunday @ 1pm est)

    3-Unit Play. #254. Take New Orleans Saints -8.5 over Chicago Bears (Sunday @ 1pm est)

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    VSI Soccer

    Take Leicester City +110 over Everton (12:00p.m., Sunday, October 29)

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    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Docs Consensus

    7* Cleve +9.5
    6* Chi/NO under 47.5
    7* Atl -6
    5* Hou +6
    7* Pitt -2.5

  10. #10
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    Norm Hitzges

    NFL

    DOUBLE PLAYS:


    • Dallas -1 1/2 Washington
    • New England -7 1/2 LA Chargers






    SINGLE PLAYS:


    • Minnesota -9 1/2 Cleveland
    • Carolina +2 Tampa Bay
    • Cincinnati -10 1/2 Indianapolis
    • Pittsburgh -2 1/2 Detroit
    • Dallas---Washington OVER 49 1/2

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    By RANDALL THE HANDLE
    BEST BETS
    Browns (0-7) vs. Vikings (5-2) at London, England
    LINE: MINNESOTA by 9½
    This will be the third game played in London this month. The first two resulted in one-sided shutouts with New Orleans topping Miami by 20-0 followed by the Rams’ 33-0 rout of the Cardinals. Sorry England but you ain’t seen nothing yet. The Browns are coming for a visit. If you aren’t familiar with them, they have one victory in their past 26 games. If you think things can’t go from bad to worse, think again. One of the stalwart players of this era went down for the first time in 10 seasons with Joe Thomas’ ability and leadership being irreplaceable. Thomas usually blocks for runners and protects the quarterback’s blindside. His replacement, Spencer Drango, has neither the skill nor experience to play adequately at the position. Mistake prone QB DeShone Kizer (3 TD’s, 11 INT’s) will be this week’s starter for Cleveland as its quarterback carousel continues to spin, mainly out of control, for a team that lacks playmakers and coaching. Vikes defence is a strong unit while a steady offence won’t require much to earn a win and cover on this trip.

    TAKING: VIKINGS –9½

    Chargers (3-4) at Patriots (5-2)
    LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 7½
    Corkscrewed into the minds of most bettors is to not go against the Patriots. Oddsmakers know that. So to compensate, they have Joe Public pay a premium. This game is a prime example. The Patriots should not be favoured by more than a touchdown here. But as the saying goes, we’re not going to look a gift horse in the mouth. New England has been favoured by seven or more on four occasions this season and have failed to cover in each, losing two of four straight up. The Chargers have the superior defence in this matchup. Their strong edge rushers have the ability to pressure Tom Brady while the same can’t be said of New England’s pass penetration. The Bolts are feeling better about themselves after winning consecutive games following some close and difficult losses. There is a lot of room here as QB Philip Rivers is a gamer that will fight to the end. As an underdog of 6½ or more, Rivers has covered 13 of 17. Chargers are 2-0-1 ATS on road this season. Value is with the visitor.
    TAKING: CHARGERS +7½

    Cowboys (3-3) at Redskins (3-3)
    LINE: DALLAS by 2
    Good spot for the Redskins as they are taking back a few points to a Dallas team whose stock is up after a 40-10 clobbering of the 49ers last week while Washington’s worth might be down after a porous 2nd half vs. Philadelphia this past Monday for all to see. However, we’re not trusting the Cowboys defence just yet. Stymieing the Niners’ offence does not impress, especially when facing a rookie quarterback in his first ever start and it occurred on 10 days’ rest for Dallas. Prior to last week’s win, the ’Boys had relinquished 129 points in four games (32 points per game) in previous four contests. The Redskins have enough offensive fire power to keep their visitors honest. QB Kirk Cousins has thrown for 12 touchdowns to just three interceptions and has two or more touchdown passes in four consecutive games. Dallas has covered only 12 of past 37 when favoured after a win while Washington is 5-1 ATS in previous six games following an ATS loss,
    TAKING: REDKSINS +2

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    Randall the Handle

    THE REST

    Bears (3-4) at Saints (4-2)
    LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 9
    The Bears have won back-to-back games despite rookie QB Mitchell Trubisky throwing for 113 and 107 yards respectively. That’s equivalent to the soccer team that won the championship a couple years ago without having a shot on goal in the final. Trubisky completed just four passes in Chicago’s win over Carolina last week. The Bears had just two first downs in the second half, both in the fourth quarter while trying to kill clock. You get the picture. It is nearly impossible to sustain success with those type of numbers. It will be even more challenging against one of the league’s hottest teams as the Saints have won four straight. However, the Bears are playing good defence and that goes a long way when taking an abundance of points. Also not sure if New Orleans may have caught some teams in difficult situations during win streak.
    TAKING: BEARS +9

    Falcons (3-3) at Jets (3-4)
    LINE: ATLANTA by 4
    Let’s not fool ourselves. This is not last year’s Atlanta team. The team obviously misses offensive coordinator Kyle Shanahan as the Falcons have hit a scoring drought when compiling just 41 points combined over their past three games. Now they will be asked to give away road points when playing the second leg of consecutive road games. We’re not anxious to be doing that. The Jets have been a pleasant surprise this season after many deemed them to be the league’s worst team. Todd Bowles’ club had won three straight before succumbing to the Patriots in a close one and then dropping an overtime contest to the Dolphins last week. But this is a good matchup to rebound. Jets will pound their running backs and utilize emerging tight-end against Atlanta’s softish secondary. Falcons could also be flat after hype of Super Bowl rematch last week. Jets cashing tickets as a home dog with seven covers in previous 10 when taking points here.
    TAKING: JETS +4

    Panthers (4-3) at Bucs (2-4)
    LINE: TAMPA BAY by 2
    Would the real Cam Newton please stand up? Hard to handicap the Panthers these days as Cam’s inconsistencies near impossible to predict. Even so, we’re going to give a slight lean to the erratic thrower’s side as Tampa Bay has its own issues. Most notably is an injury to QB Jameis Winston who did not practice in early part of week. We’re also encouraged by the return of Carolina LB Luke Kuechly after he missed last week’s game with a concussion. Led by Kuechly, Panthers’ defence quietly ranks third in league in yards allowed while being fourth best in both rushing and passing yards permitted. Conversely, Tampa’s stop unit ranks a disappointing 30th overall on defence and that should help Newton & Co. get back on track. Bucs have just one cover in previous five games while Panthers have been stellar on road with 5-1 ATS mark as guests.
    TAKING: PANTHERS +2

    49ers (0-7) at Eagles (6-1)
    LINE: PHILADELPHIA by 13
    The talk of the 49ers losing a five-set of games by close margins is out the window after getting their doors blown off in 40-10 dismantling at home to Dallas. Now this undermanned squad will travel clear across the U.S. to play an early game against the NFC’s top squad and it will be San Fran’s fourth road game in five weeks. The Niners chose to give rookie QB C.J. Beathard a look and while he wasn’t a complete dud in last week’s loss, he didn’t impress much either. The Niners have some hurts and it may be time for them to be thinking of next year’s draft as they battle the Browns for league ineptitude. The Eagles just keep on winning and we hardly expect them to take the foot off the gas pedal as Cowboys and Redskins are not far enough out of rear view mirror. Garbage time points always a concern but we’ll overlook it in this mismatch.
    TAKING: EAGLES –13

    Raiders (3-4) at Bills (4-2)
    LINE: BUFFALO by 2½
    The Bills have only failed to cover in one game this season (top money maker in NFL). Are oddsmakers miscalculating this unheralded team? We’re beginning to think so. Buffalo has not lost at home in three tries this season. They’ll be playing an early game against an Oakland team flying in from the west coast. It’s also a Raiders team that was one play away from losing five straight before squeezing out a bizarre and controversial win in Kansas City on final play of game. The Raiders only road win this year was opening week at Tennessee. Of greater concern is the subpar linebacker play of this visitor and it would not surprise to see LeSean McCoy do some damage both running and catching passes out of the backfield against this forgiving unit. The Bills defence is playing at a high level and +10 in takeaways demonstrates their feistiness. Raiders just 1-4 against the spread (ATS) in past five as road underdog.
    TAKING: BILLS -2½
    Colts (2-5) at Bengals (2-4)
    LINE: CINCINNATI by 11
    No defence has been as useless as this Indianapolis group. Still, we can’t bring ourselves to give away double-digits with goofy Bengals. Cincinnati has not been asked to spot more than five points this season and the only time at that price, they lost straight up to Houston. Cincy’s coaching staff is coming under fire after strange play calling in loss to Steelers as top, runner Joe Mixon had only seven carries all game while Andy Dalton was getting crunched throughout afternoon with poor protection. The Colts have been horrid but even poor teams have a tendency to bounce back after embarrassing outings (Indy shut out at home to Jacksonville last week). History shows that double-digit underdogs after a double-digit loss are 106-83-4 vs. spread while underdogs that were just shutout at home have covered 18 of past 26 when it occurs. Bengals have managed just eight covers in past 20 after facing Pittsburgh and few if any were in this price range.
    TAKING: COLTS +11

    Texans (3-3) at Seahawks (4-2)
    LINE: SEATTLE by 5½
    Houston might be the sentimental choice here with the league starving for good, young quarterbacks and Deshaun Watson’s arrival appearing to fulfill the need. However, this will be the youngster’s toughest task to date as he’ll head to Seattle to face a Seahawks’ teams that is currently playing lights out on defence. The Seahawks are allowing a league-low 15.7 points per game and that’s after playing four of first six on the road. While Seattle’s offence is much maligned, Russell Wilson’s 243 yards per game passing ranks 11th overall while other offensive categories find the Seabirds around the middle of the pack or better. Tight end play has been week with Jimmy Graham looking more like Jimmy Fallon but Wilson is savvy enough to make it up in other ways. Houston has lost to contenders New England and Kansas City. This opponent ranks with that duo.
    TAKING: SEAHAWKS –5½

    Steelers (5-2) at Lions (3-3)
    LINE: PITTSBURGH by 3
    The Lions had won three of four before losing three of four so which team returns from its bye remains to be seen. Still, we prefer the rested home side taking points despite recently improved play of Steelers. Detroit needed the time off as QB Matthew Stafford was dealing with a rib issue and his production had dropped off from the start of the season in a couple of losses before this break. The Lions are being undervalued here because of that mini-slump combined with Pittsburgh’s uptick. The Leos have also performed well after their rest, currently on a 5-0 ATS run upon returning from bye. This is also when the Steelers typically fail. They are on the road where they lost at Chicago and struggled with the Browns in a narrow win. With overrated Mike Tomlin as head man, his team has covered just 11 of previous 35 as road chalk.
    TAKING: LIONS +3

    Broncos (3-3) at Chiefs (5-2)
    LINE: KANSAS CITY by 7
    This week’s overreaction game. The Broncos cannot be a full touchdown underdog to this rival. The past three seasons has never experienced a spread above 3½ points in this series. We’re well aware of Denver’s failure to score points recently but that has presented us with this ‘buy low’ opportunity. We’re well aware of the Broncos’ impotency on offence, having scored just 42 points over their past four games. However, Denver still ranks 15th in both passing and total yards. The end zone has been foreign but facing Kansas City’s 29th ranked defence (yards allowed) should ease that burden. In addition, haven’t the Chiefs dropped back to back games? Last week’s defeat to Oakland also featured a divisional foe that entered the game suffering from recent offensive production before Derek Carr threw for 417 yards and three majors. Denver’s defence remains a top unit, certainly more than worthy of taking back this offering.
    TAKING: BRONCOS +7

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    Quote Originally Posted by Can'tPickAWinner View Post
    Docs Consensus

    7* Cleve +9.5
    6* Chi/NO under 47.5
    7* Atl -6
    5* Hou +6
    7* Pitt -2.5

    As much as I know Harris has Seahawks -5,5 as his 8*
    Indian Cowboy has Vikings -9,5 as his 7*

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    Forgot to mention... Raphael Esparza has 8 units on the Steelers @ Lions total over 45,5 points

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    Double Dragon Sports

    7-UNIT SUPER
    RAIDERS/BILLS OVER 46

    6-UNIT TOPS
    VIKINGS/BROWNS UNDER 38
    PANTHERS +1.5
    SEAHAWKS -6.5
    COWBOYS -2
    STEELERS/LIONS OVER 46.5
    CHIEFS -7

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    Colin Cowherd

    FALCONS -4
    PANTHERS +2
    TEXANS +5.5
    CHARGERS +7.5
    COWBOYS -2.5

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    Tom Stryker


    15-0 ATS NFL IN LONDON PERFECT INVESTMENT
    Vikings


    11-2 ATS NFL DIVISION GAME OF THE WEEK
    Panthers


    31-7 ATS & 21-4 ATS NFL SUPERPLAY of the MONTH
    Colts

  18. #18
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Doc Sports

    nfl

    4 patriots
    3 saints
    3 over pitt/det

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    Greg Shaker

    3* NFC TOTAL OF THE MONTH

    Tampa Bay / Carolina over 44

  20. #20
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    MTI SPORTS

    4.5* car +1.5
    4.5* seat -6.5
    4* det +3
    4* chic +9.5
    4* sf +12.5

    5* cinn over 42
    4.5* ne over 48.5
    4.5* seat over 46
    4* minn und 38
    4* car over 46
    4* no over 47.5

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