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Monday 10-30-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc
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Jim Feist
Jim Feist's Comp Pick, Monday, October 30, 2017
NBA (713) DALLAS MAVERICKS VS (714) UTAH JAZZ
Take: UNDER
Reason: Your free play for Monday, October 30, 2017 is in the NBA contest between the Dallas Mavericks and the Utah Jazz. Dallas slow out of the gate with a 1-6 start to the season and 0-2 on the road. The Mavs haven't fared much better against the spread, covering just two of seven. The Utah Jazz are 3-3 on the season, but 3-0 at home both S/U and ATS. Good news for the Jazz is that eight of their next nine games come at home. The Mavs are allowing 107.4 ppg while scoring just 99.6 ppg. Utah's defense has been good as usual, allowing just 93.8 ppg thus far. At home the "D" has been even better, allwoing just 88 ppg. Can't expect much out of the struggling Mavs here, playing in the high altitude of Salt Lake city. The Jazz shut them down here on Monday. Play the UNDER
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Sharp Bettor
Sharp Bettor FREE Play for Monday, October 30, 2017
NBA (705) MINNESOTA TIMBERWOLVES VS (706) MIAMI HEAT
Take : TIMBERWOLVES
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Arthur Ralph Sports
MON: Boston Celtics -3
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JOE WIZ
Monday... Over 207 Knicks and Denver
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JEFF BENTON
Going to lay it here on Monday with the Utah Jazz as they host the Dallas Mavericks.
It has only been a small sample size this season, but it sure looks like Dallas is not the team you want to back on the road, as the Mavs have dropped both road games this season, splitting them against the spread. They play this game off a 12-point home loss to the Philadelphia 76ers.
Utah is off to a perfect 3-0 straight up and against the spread start at home this season, with their most recent win coming by double-digits as they held the Lakers to just 81 points.
Jazz are winners over the Mavs in 3 of the last 4 meetings, but Dallas has made good against the spread in the last 3 series meetings. The last 2 meetings between the teams have needed overtime to decide, but you wouldn't know that by the line the oddsmakers have posted tonight.
The big number tells me all I need to know. Lay it with Utah as they use their defense to stymie Dallas.
Jazz by double-digits as they make it 4-0 both straight up and against the spread at home.
2* UTAH
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ERIC SCHROEDER
My free play for Monday is in the NBA, where I'm playing the Toronto Raptors-Portland Trail Blazers game Over the posted number.
While the Blazers are enjoying their third consecutive home game, the Raptors are in the middle of their six-game road trip, that has already stopped in San Antonio, Oakland and Los Angeles. After losing to the Spurs and Warriors, Toronto beat the Lakers, 101-92, on Friday. With two days to unwind, I think the Raptors' offense comes to challenge Portland.
The Blazers step to the court after a 114-107 win over feisty Phoenix on Saturday, when Damian Lillard hit a 10-foot runner with 29 seconds left to push Portland out of reach. I think that shot is going to spark Lillard, who is shooting 37.9 percent (33 of 87), and 30 percent (17 of 56) over his last three games. The team averages 111 points per game, and should be ready to run with the Raptors.
Play this one high.
3* OVER Raptors/Blazers
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JACK BRAYMAN
Headed to the ice for my free play tonight, as I like the new kid Vegas Golden Knights and New York Islanders to go Over the posted total. In fact, I think they could combine to score seven or eight.
Welcome to the East coast Vegas, this isn't pretty lights on the strip at T Mobile. You're headed into Brooklyn, to play at Barclays, where the ice can be a deterrent and the atmosphere is a bit odd. At times, you think you're playing in a hollow space, with so many empty seats only used for basketball.
The new scenery for the first time in eight games, after playing a seven-game homestand, might throw Vegas off the first period, and the Islanders could very well get a couple early to open a 2-0 lead. But that won't intimidate the scrappy Knights.
Vegas owns a 15-2 edge over opponents in the second period, and this is where it will make it a hockey game. I wouldn't be surprised to see this game tied 3-3 at the end of two.
Look for the Islanders and Vegas to get big games from their middle lines, and this one to go Over.
2* OVER Golden Knights/Islanders
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Laurel Park
Laurel Park - Race 1
EXACTA, TRIFECTA &DAILY DOUBLE (RACES 1-2) / 10 cent SUPERFECTA 50 cent PICK 3 (RACES 1-2-3) / 50 cent PICK 5 (RACES 1-2-3-4-5) $1.00 SUPER HIGH 5
Maiden Special • 1 1/16 Miles • Dirt • Age 2 • CR: 82 • Purse: $40,000 • Post: 12:30
(PLUS UP TO 30% MBF) FOR MAIDENS, TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Paceless Race. There is no true early speed in this race. * KEY ANGLES * STUBOLT: Horse has run a Good Race within the last 30 days. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. ZESTFUL: Horse ranks in the top three in Tr ackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. MILLIONAIRE RUNNER: Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. SALT AIR: Horse ranks in t he top three in TrackMaster Power Rating.
5
STUBOLT
2/1
3/1
3
ZESTFUL
3/1
7/1
4
MILLIONAIRE RUNNER
7/2
7/1
2
SALT AIR
5/2
9/1
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F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Ajax Downs
Ajax Downs - Race 4
Exactor / Triactor / Pick 4 (Races 4-5-6-7)
Starter Allowance $25,000 • 300 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 82 • Purse: $16,000 • Post: 2:10P
QUARTER HORSE 300Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE STARTED FOR A CLAIMING PRICE OF $25,000 OR LESS SINCE OCTOBER 1, 2015. WEIGHT, 120 LBS.
Contenders
Race Analysis
P#
Horse
Morn
Line
Accept
Odds
Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * ARCTIC FAME: Quarter horse has the highest last race Equibase Speed Rating. Horse has a TrackMaster "+" designation or an "L" designation. ROCKIN MISS KITTY: Quarter Horse has a Fast Bre ak Style designation and no horse in a post position next to it gets out of the gate fast. Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. MEMORIES TIMES SIX: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse ranks in the t op three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. THE DOMINYUNATOR: Horse's average winning distance is within half a furlong of today's distance (within 50 yards if a Quarter Horse race).
2
ARCTIC FAME
8/5
7/2
4
ROCKIN MISS KITTY
2/1
5/1
3
MEMORIES TIMES SIX
5/2
5/1
1
THE DOMINYUNATOR
3/1
7/1
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Mountaineer Park
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 7 - Claiming - 4.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $9100 Class Rating: 84
FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 123 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE SEPTEMBER 30 ALLOWED 3 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $5,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 3 WORLD ELITE 7/2
# 9 HOTSPUR HARRIET 6/1
# 8 QUEEB 10/1
I've got to go with WORLD ELITE. Has run well when racing a dirt sprint race. Will most likely be one of the leaders of the bunch going into the halfway point of the affair. Seems to have a solid class edge based on the latest company kept. HOTSPUR HARRIET - Had one of the most competitive speed figures of this group in her last contest. QUEEB - With a strong 70 Equibase Speed Fig last time out, will surely be a factor in this contest. She has been racing admirably recently while recording strong Equibase Speed Figures.
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Handicapped by The Walker Group at Parx Racing
Always check program numbers.
Odds shown are morning line odds.
Race 3 - Maiden Claiming - 5.5f on the Dirt. Purse: $18000 Class Rating: 71
FOR MAIDENS, THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 121 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $10,000.
RECOMMENDED CHOICES
The Walker Group Picks
# 2 EXTRASEXYMAZZERATI 6/5
# 7 NONNO 3/1
# 5 MATCH THE POT 8/1
I think EXTRASEXYMAZZERATI is a very good choice. Must be in good form if the trainer is bringing him back so quickly. Looks to have a respectable class edge based on the recent company kept. Is a sharp contender based on numbers earned recently under today's conditions. NONNO - Could provide positive returns based on strong recent Equibase Speed Figures with an average of 56. Arriagada has one of the most respectable winning percentages in this group with entries running at this distance and surface. MATCH THE POT - This gelding is coming back almost immediately to race.
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Turf Paradise - Race #4 - Post: 2:23pm - Claiming - 4.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $7,000 Class Rating: 82
Rating: 4
#2 TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT (ML=5/1)
#8 NICOLAS CAJUN (ML=10/1)
#9 CARSON'S START (ML=5/2)
TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT - The fact that this gelding is entered right back into a race so quickly means he's fit and ready. He got a decent speed fig the last time he tried this trip. A big drop down in class figure points from his October 21st race at Turf Paradise. Based on that data point, I will give this horse the edge. This gelding is certainly on the improve with Equibase speed figures of 60, 63, 68 last three out. NICOLAS CAJUN - Just see his latest figure, 75. That one fits in this field. CARSON'S START - He must like the track here. Shipped in to take the top prize on October 16th and he looks tough once again. The jock and handler combination have a profitable ROI when they team up.
Vulnerable Contenders: #1 FUSAICHI SAMURAI (ML=2/1), #3 EXPONENTIALLY (ML=6/1), #6 DAX 'N' BRAX (ML=8/1),
FUSAICHI SAMURAI - The Brain cautions me to keep away from ponies in short distance contests that haven't hit the board in sprint affairs of late. There's early speed, speed, and more early zip in this event. Doesn't look good for this horse. EXPONENTIALLY - Last performed on Oct 22nd at Turf Paradise, finishing sixth. Not likely to get better off of that try in today's event. Don't think this horse will make a winning move in today's event. That last speed rating was run-of-the-mill when compared with today's class rating. DAX 'N' BRAX - Difficult to wager on any horse in a short distance race at 8/1 when he hasn't shown any positive results in sprints in the last couple of months.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#2 TAKEIT TOTHE LIMIT to win at post-time odds of 2/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
2 with [8,9]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [2,8,9] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Pass
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Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts
Bar
Zia Park - Race #3 - Post: 1:05pm - Maiden Claiming - 5.0 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $12,000 Class Rating: 51
Rating: 4
#3 FREAKY FAST (ML=8/1)
#7 LOOK AT THIS CAT (ML=3/1)
#1 IZE A CRAFTY GAL (ML=2/1)
FREAKY FAST - A repeat of that last effort on September 1st where she earned a speed rating of 22 looks lofty enough to triumph in this event. EPS (earnings per start) is something that I think can be a most important handicapping factor. This thoroughbred is ranked at the top in this field. LOOK AT THIS CAT - As the only speedy sort in the race, I expect this filly to be long gone. I think the shorter trip will help this filly stay the trip. After the contest aboard this animal on September 26th, the jockey is going to be in touch with the filly much better. Entered a Maiden Special race at Zia Park last time out and raced on a track listed as good finishing eighth. I'd expect a better race in this race. I look for a pretty big improvement in this event with the addition of Lasix for the second time. IZE A CRAFTY GAL - First-timer has morning drills over the Zia Park strip, which is always a plus. The addition of Lasix might make this horse wake up in today's race.
Vulnerable Contenders: #4 SUDDENLY A GHOST (ML=4/1), #8 HIGH AND LOFTY (ML=9/2),
SUDDENLY A GHOST - This mount hasn't been close to the winner at the wire lately. Finished sixth in her most recent performance with a somewhat easily forgotten speed rating. When I look at today's class rating, it would take an improved performance to score after that in this field. HIGH AND LOFTY - No picnic to wager on this racer today. Make her show you something in a sprint race before you play her in a race of 5 furlongs.
Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Winston - LOOK AT THIS CAT - Taking a very big class figure tumble today. Let's make some cash on the drastic descent.
STRAIGHT WAGERS:
#3 FREAKY FAST is going to be the play if we are getting 3/1 or better
EXACTA WAGERS:
Box [3,7]
TRIFECTA WAGERS:
Box [1,3,7] Total Cost: $6
SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
Skip
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Tommy Brunson
Monday comp play is the Denver Broncos plus the points.
Both the Broncos and the Chiefs come in riding 2 game losing streaks, as Denver was shutout last weekend against the Chargers, while Kansas City drew a pair of defensive penalties with no time on the clock and got stunned in Oakland by the Raiders.
I suspect that the Denver injury situation is going to prevent the outright upset, but this pointspread leaves plenty of room for the Broncos to find the proverbial back-door.
This is a rivalry game, and I can tell you that Denver cannot be happy about losing both meetings last year to Kansas City, and now 3 in a row overall to the Chiefs. Last season the Broncos were routed at Arrowhead Stadium, look for them to keep things closer this time around.
Chiefs with the win, but the Broncos plus the points get the cover.
1* DENVER
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Joey Juice
Boston Celtics have been winning despite their disjointed offense, and it is because their defense has been amazing.
It will take time for the starting five to gel now that it is the Kyrie show, but that is to be expected. The Celtics are flat out struggling right now when it comes to shooting the ball.
For San Antonio, this game represents the second leg of a back-to-back, and they're already looking forward to heading back West believe me. Spurs still hoping to get some stars back, Leonard and Parker still out, but hopeful for near future.
A look inside the numbers tells you all you need to know about betting this total. When the old men Spurs play on no rest the game goes under. The under is 4-1 in the Spurs’ last 5 games playing on no rest. When the Spurs play against the East Coast teams, the game always goes Under, its 4-1-1 under in their last 6 vs. Eastern Conference teams. Boston cant score so all their games recently have gone under, 4-0 under in their last four games overall.
This one is going under.
2* SAN ANTONIO-BOSTON UNDER
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Tony Brown
Tony's *5 nfl free pick
Denver vs. Kansas City, 10/30/2017 20:30 EDT
Total: -110/+42 Over
Sportsbook:
BetOnline
Fp:Nobody better than Andy ried off a bye and I think he will have the chiefs ready at home vs division rival Denver both teams hungry for a win I think we see lots of points making the over my nfl free pick !
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Ray Monohan
Monday 5* FREE NBA O/U Play
Golden State vs. LA Clippers, 10/30/2017 22:30 EDT
Total: -105/+221 Over
Sportsbook:
PinnacleSports
Los Angeles vs. Golden State Over 221
The Clippers and Warriors clash on Monday night in a marquee game and the Over here has a lot of value.
For starters, the Warriors were shocked at home on Sunday night, which should bring out a very fired up bunch here. After leading by double digits in the 2nd half, the Warriors went cold on both ends of the floor. They should have a lot of pace to them here tonight, as they know the Clippers like to run as well.
The Warriors are averaging 120 points per road game this season, as their pace has been unbelievable at times. The Clippers 106.2 per game isn't anything to overlook either. This team is extremely quick and will take on a defense that is allowing 114 points per game.
Some trends to note. Over is 5-2-1 in Clippers last 8 Monday games. Over is 22-8 in Warriors last 30 overall.
This one should see a lot of back and forth action here.
Back the Over.
Good Luck, Razor Ray.
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When: 8:30 PM ET, Monday, October 30, 2017
Where: Arrowhead Stadium, Kansas City, Missouri
Preview: Broncos at Chiefs
Gracenote
Oct 28, 2017
The Kansas City Chiefs reigned supreme in clashes against their AFC West brethren with 12 straight wins before last week's setback in Oakland. The Chiefs look to avenge that defeat and end an overall two-game losing skid on Monday night when they welcome the return of their franchise's all-time leading rusher in Jamaal Charles and the Denver Broncos.
Kansas City has its own dynamic back in rookie Kareem Hunt, who is the only player in NFL history to start his career with seven straight 100-yard scrimmage games. Hunt, who leads the league in yards rushing (717) and is second in yards per carry (5.78), rolled up 117 yards from scrimmage (87 yards rushing, 30 receiving) in a 31-30 loss to the Raiders on Oct. 19. Like the Chiefs, the Broncos have also lost two straight to bring themselves back to the pack in the suddenly congested division heading into Charles' return to Arrowhead Stadium. "I'll always be a Chief ... I have so much history (there)," said the 30-year-old Charles, who needs 44 yards from scrimmage to reach 10,000 for his career. "Lot of sad memories, lot of happy memories. At the end of the day, I'm just going out there to play football."
TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, ESPN. LINE: Chiefs -7. O/U: 43
ABOUT THE BRONCOS (3-3): Trevor Siemian became the talk of the town following Denver's disastrous 21-0 setback to the Los Angeles Chargers, and the conversation was anything but positive after the team's first shutout loss in a quarter-century. "I have to play better. It starts with me," the second-year starter said. "... Guys are frankly embarrassed with what we put out there last Sunday. We have to play better. I have to play better. Everybody knows that." C.J. Anderson has been held in check after rushing for at least 81 yards in three of the team's first four games, as he totaled just 61 on the ground over the last two.
ABOUT THE CHIEFS (5-2): Alex Smith is shedding the "game manager" label that has followed him around for the majority of his career in favor of perhaps another title: mid-season NFL MVP candidate. The top overall pick of the 2005 draft eclipsed 300 yards passing and three touchdowns for the third time this season to give him 15 scoring strikes and no interceptions. Trusted target Travis Kelce found the end zone last week versus the Raiders and has reeled in at least one reception in 55 consecutive contests. Kelce gashed the Broncos for season highs in catches (11) and receiving yards (160) with a touchdown in a 33-10 victory last Christmas.
EXTRA POINTS
1. Denver WR Demaryius Thomas was held to just two receptions for nine yards last week, but faces a Kansas City defense that ranks 28th in passing yards allowed.
2. Chiefs OLB Justin Houston collected three sacks in his lone encounter versus the Broncos last season while Denver OLB Von Miller has recorded a sack in five straight games overall.
3. Broncos OLB Shane Ray is expected to make his season debut after being sidelined since the beginning of training camp with a wrist injury.
PREDICTION: Chiefs 24, Broncos 17
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Trends - Denver at Kansas City
ATS TRENDS
Denver
Broncos are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 8.
Broncos are 17-8 ATS in their last 25 games following a straight up loss.
Broncos are 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 vs. AFC West.
Broncos are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 vs. AFC.
Broncos are 2-6-2 ATS in their last 10 Monday games.
Broncos are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games.
Kansas City
Chiefs are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Chiefs are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 vs. AFC West.
Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a straight up loss.
Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chiefs are 7-2 ATS in their last 9 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Chiefs are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games in Week 8.
Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
Chiefs are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games overall.
Chiefs are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
OU TRENDS
Denver
Over is 4-0 in Broncos last 4 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Under is 8-1 in Broncos last 9 games following a straight up loss.
Under is 8-1 in Broncos last 9 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 7-1 in Broncos last 8 games in October.
Over is 5-1 in Broncos last 6 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games after scoring less than 15 points in their previous game.
Under is 8-2 in Broncos last 10 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Under is 4-1 in Broncos last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
Under is 7-3 in Broncos last 10 games on grass.
Under is 9-4 in Broncos last 13 vs. a team with a winning record.
Kansas City
Over is 4-1 in Chiefs last 5 games after accumulating more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 6-2 in Chiefs last 8 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Under is 19-7 in Chiefs last 26 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game.
Under is 23-9 in Chiefs last 32 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
Over is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games overall.
Under is 5-2 in Chiefs last 7 games in Week 8.
Under is 40-18 in Chiefs last 58 home games.
Under is 35-16-1 in Chiefs last 52 games following a ATS loss.
HEAD TO HEAD
Over is 3-0-1 in the last 4 meetings.
Road team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Underdog is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 meetings.
Broncos are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings in Kansas City.
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