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Thread: Sunday 11-5-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc

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    Sunday 11-5-17 Free Plays / Trends / Betting Info / Etc


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    Ravens at Titans 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Jim

    Latest Odds : TEN-5.5 Total 43

    The Ravens have been all over the place this season and find themselves sitting with a 4-4 record and a game ahead of the Bengals. However, the Ravens are a team that can easily pull everything together if the Ravens are able to really start to play some strong ball on the year and continue to play like they did against the Dolphins.

    Joe Flacco is still a good quarterback on the year. Flacco has been able to throw for 1290 yards on the year so far and has managed to get 6 touchdowns on the year.


    With the Titans they are sitting decent right now with a 4-3 record and are sitting in a tie for first place with the Jaguars of all teams However, the Titans did win the head to head battle among these teams and the Titans have not really slowed down much with the offense.

    The Titans have seen Marcus Mariotta really step up into his role as a leading quarterback Mariotta has been able to throw for 1301 yards and 4 touchdowns.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Ravens are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games after accumulating less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    Titans are 12-36-4 ATS in their last 52 vs. AFC.
    Over is 4-1 in Ravens last 5 games on grass.
    Under is 4-1 in Titans last 5 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    Free Betting Pick: Baltimore Ravens +5.5
    This Ravens team is coming off huge blowout last week as Baltimore won in 41-0 shutout against Dolphins on Thursday Night Football. The extra few days rest will have Baltimore ready for this one and think it's a Field Goal game one way or other. Final Score Prediction, Tennessee Titans win but fall short ATS 23-20.


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    Buccaneers at Saints 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Mike

    Latest Odds : NO -7 Total 50

    Are the Buccaneers relying to much on Winston and his bum arm? The answer is a resounding yes. The Buccaneers know that Winston has an injured arm, but also know that he has had some troubles because of the arm. However, instead of letting him rest and heal like he should, the Bucs insist on running him out to the field.

    On the season Winston has thrown for 1853 yards and 10 touchdowns. Doug Martin is the leading rusher for the Buccaneers this season as he has carried the ball 65 times for 247 yards and 2 scores.


    The Saints are back and it is easy to see that a lot of teams are going to start to fear the Saints offense that has come back to be one of the best in the league. The Saints have ripped off five wins in a row and that is just the start of what could be a great winning season for the Saints.

    The Saints have seen Drew Brees come out again with 1951 yards and 11 touchdowns. When it comes to getting the ball on the ground Mark Ingram has been the leading rusher with 107 carries for 464 yards and 4 scores.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Buccaneers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 vs. NFC South.
    Saints are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
    Under is 11-4 in Buccaneers last 15 games in November.
    Over is 7-3 in Saints last 10 games overall.
    Free Betting Pick: Over 50
    This Saints team is big surprise to us so far this season and think the high flying offense of New Orleans keeps it going this week. Tampa Bay offense keeps up with the Saints offense as QB Jameis Winston has best game of season. Take the over in high scoring shoot-out. Final Score Prediction, New Orleans Saints win but fall short ATS 30-27.


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    Rams at Giants 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Thomas

    Latest Odds : LAR -3.5 Total 43

    The LA Rams are 5-2 on the season and coming off of their bye week. The Rams will visit New York and take on the Giants on Sunday afternoon. LA beat the Cardinals 33-0 on their last game and have won two straight games. The Rams are 4-1 over their last five games, 3-0 on the road this season, and have covered the spread in four games this season.

    The LA Rams are 9th in the NFL in yards per game averaging 369 yards per game. Second year QB Jared Goff has thrown for 1719 yards with 9 touchdowns and four interceptions. RB Todd Gurley opens up the field with his running attack. Gurley has five touchdowns on the season and 627 yards.


    The New York Giants are also coming off of a bye week. The Giants are just 1-6 on the season and 1-4 over their last five games. New York has battled the injury bug all season and have not been able to find the win column. The Giants have covered the spread in just three games this season.

    The NY Giants are 0-3 on their home field this season and lost their last game to Seattle 24-7 at home. The Giants average just 296 yards per game which ranks 27th in the NFL. QB Eli Manning has thrown for 10 touchdowns and five interceptions.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Rams are 7-17-1 ATS in their last 25 games on fieldturf.
    Giants are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
    Under is 7-2 in Rams last 9 games after accumulating more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    Over is 4-1 in Giants last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
    Free Betting Pick: LA Rams -3.5
    The Rams have been a very good team all season and are on all the experts radar. The Giants will have no answer for what LA will bring to them on Sunday. The favorite has covered the spread in four of the last five games in this series. Final Score Prediction, LA Rams win and cover ATS 31-17.


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    Raiders at Dolphins 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Thomas

    Latest Odds : OAK -2.5 Total 43.5

    Sunday night football will feature the Oakland Raiders as they head to Miami to take on the Dolphins. The Raiders are 3-5 on the season and lost in Buffalo last week. Oakland is just 1-4 over their last ten games and are 4th in the AFC West. The Raiders are 1-3 on the road this season and have covered the spread in three games this season.

    The Oakland Raiders do have Derek Carr back in the QB spot but it did not help last week. Carr has 12 touchdowns on the season and 6 interceptions. The Raiders average 317 yards of offense per game which ranks 20th in the NFL.


    The Miami Dolphins have had extra time to prepare for this game after they lost 40-0 in Baltimore last Thursday night. Miami is 4-3 on the season and 3-2 over their last five games. The Dolphins are 2-1 on their home field this season and have covered the spread in three games.

    The Miami Dolphins are last in the league in yards per game and have been making the best with their 3rd string QB. Miami has been held up by their defense until they were exposed last week. The Dolphins last played the Ravens in 2013 and won 38-14.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Raiders are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up loss of more than 14 points.
    Dolphins are 6-13 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.
    Over is 7-0 in Raiders last 7 games in Week 9.
    Under is 13-5-1 in Dolphins last 19 games after allowing less than 150 yards passing in their previous game.
    Free Betting Pick: Oakland Raiders -3
    The road team has covered five of the last seven games in this series. The Dolphins looked just awful last week and Oakland is due to find the win column again. Look for Carr and company to grab a win on the road in the national spotlight. Final Score Prediction, Oakland Raiders win and cover ATS 23-17.


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    Redskins at Seahawks 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Jim

    Latest Odds : SEA -7 Total 45

    Back-to-losses for Washington (3-4) has meant that the Redskins are below .500 as the season draws to its halfway point. Philadelphia is running away with the NFC East, and Washington and Dallas would both half to have huge turnarounds to get back into contention.

    Last week, the Redskins fell 33-19 to the Cowboys at home. Washington managed just 285 yards in the game and turned the ball over three times en route to the loss. Kirk Cousins threw an interception and also fumbled twice, with Dallas recovering one of the fumbles.

    The rushing game was nonexistent for the Redskins last week. No running back totaled more than 19 yards on the ground, and as a team, Washington averaged just 3.3 yards per carry. No running back has gone for more than 78 rushing yards in a game for the Redskins on the year.


    Seattle (5-2) isn't the clear Super Bowl contender of years past, but the Seahawks have won four straight to sit atop the NFC West standings in a tie with St. Louis. Last week, they won a shootout against Houston, 41-38. Russell Wilson threw for 452 yards and four touchdowns on the day. He also added 30 rushing yards for one of the most productive offensive games of his career.

    Wide receiver Paul Richardson had his best game of the season, with six receptions for 105 yards and a pair of touchdowns. Tyler Lockett also went over 100 yards receiving, with six catches for 121 yards.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Redskins are 7-18-1 ATS in their last 26 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    Seahawks are 24-7-2 ATS in their last 33 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
    Over is 14-3 in Redskins last 17 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    Over is 4-0 in Seahawks last 4 games in Week 9.
    Free Betting Pick: Seattle Seahawks -7
    The Seahawks getting offensive line help with the trade from Texans Duane Brown will give Seattle just what they need. Also facing a banged up and struggling Washington it's Seattle taking advantage of Redskins. Final Score Prediction, Seattle Seahawks win and cover ATS 26-17.


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    Cardinals at 49ers 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Mike

    Latest Odds : ARI -2.5 TOTAL 39

    Arizona (3-4) has gone in a loss-win pattern over the course of the season to wind up at one game under .500. The Cardinals are coming off a crushing 33-0 loss against St. Louis last week. In that game, Arizona managed just 10 first downs and 196 yards of offense.

    What's worse was the injury to starting quarterback Carson Palmer, who will be out for most if not all of the rest of the season. Drew Stanton closed out the game against the Rams with 5 of 14 passing for just 66 yards and an interception.

    Adrian Peterson was brilliant in his first week with the Cardinals, with 134 rushing yards and a pair of touchdown. Unfortunately, he followed that up with just 21 yards against St. Louis on 11 carries. If the Arizona offense becomes one dimensional, defenses will be able to key in on Peterson.


    San Francisco (0-8) took some close losses earlier in the season, but the 49ers have been defeated in back-to-back weeks by more than 20 points. Last week, they fell to Philadelphia by a count of 33-10. They rank 30th in the NFL in defense, allowing 26.6 points per game.

    Running back Carlos Hyde had a 124-yard game in the second week of the season against Seattle. Since, he has yet to crack 85 yards in a game. Hyde had a nice second half last year and is looking to repeat that as San Francisco searches to get its season back on track.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Cardinals are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
    49ers are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 vs. NFC West.
    Under is 4-1 in Cardinals last 5 vs. NFC.
    Under is 13-3 in 49ers last 16 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
    Free Betting Pick: San Francisco 49ers +2.5
    The 49ers finally made the big trade to get their future QB with trade for Patriots Jimmy Garrapalo. Jimmy will not play this week but the positive momentum will spur San Francisco to pull off upset of struggling Arizona. Final Score Prediction, San Francisco 49ers win outright as underdog 20-17.


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    Colts at Texans 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Adam

    Latest Odds : HOU -13 TOTAL 48.5

    The Texans let one slip away last week against the Seahawks, and they hope to have a better time of it while hosting the Colts this coming week. The Texans have rotated wins and losses this season, and if that trend continues they are due to win. Houston lost to the Seahawks by four points and are still just one game out in the AFC South at 3-4. The Colts are 2-6 and continue to struggle without Andrew Luck, who will not be available for this game.

    With rookie quarterback Deshaun Watson running the show, th Texans are the highest scoring team in the league at 30.4 points per game. The down side is their defense is near the bottom, giving up 26.9 points. The Texans have the third best running game in the league at 138 yards per game, and they are averaging 229 yards passing.


    Watson has passed for 1699 yards, 19 touchdwons and nine interceptions. Watson has also rushed for 269 yards and two more touchdwons. Lamar Miller has run for 426 yards and two more scores. DeAndre Hopkins has 606 yards receiving and seven touchdowns. Will Fuller has 279 yards and seven touchddowns receiving.

    The Texans have four rushing touchdowns and have given up three.

    The Colts may be struggling without Luck, but their defense is a major problem, last in the league giving up 30.8 points per game. The Colts are near the bottom in passing at 196 yards and are averaging 99 yards rushing. Jacoby Brissett has passed for 1642 yards, five touchdowns and four interceptions. The Colts are giving up 290 yards passing each week.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Colts are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in Week 9.
    Texans are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
    Over is 45-22 in Colts last 67 road games.
    Over is 4-1 in Texans last 5 home games.
    Free Betting Pick: Houston Texans -13
    This Houston team has turned from defensive minded team of past three years to high scoring offense led by their new superstar QB. Texans young rookie DeShawn Watson throws for 4 plus TD's and carries Houston to blowout. Final Score Prediction, Houston Texans win and cover ATS 36-17.


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    Bengals at Jaguars 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Jim

    Latest Odds : JAC -4 TOTAL 39.5

    The Jacksonville Jaguars are for real t his year, and they pasted the Colts last week 29-0. The 4-3 Jaguars host the 3-4 Bengals this week. Jacksonville has rotated wins and losses this year, and is due for a loss if that trend continues.

    The hype for Jacksonville has been rookie running back Leonard Fournette, who has done very well. Even so, it is the Jaguar defense that is making things happen. The Jaguars lead the league in total defense, holding opponents to 15.7 points per game. Their offense is eighth, averaging 26.1. The Jaguars also lead the league in rushing at 169 yards per game. Their passing game is near the bottom though, at 192 yards per game.

    Fournette leads the team with 596 yards and sixtouchdowns. CHris Iveory has 209 yards rushing. Fournette also has 136 yards receiving and one more touchdown. Blake Bortles has passed for 1398 yards, nine touchdowns and five interceptions. Marquise Lee has 363 yards receiving and Allen Hurns has 234 with two touchdowns.


    The Bengals seem to have turned the corner, and have won three of the last four games after an 0-3 start. The Bengals pulled out a one-point win over the Colts last weekend. The team has had four of its seven games decided by four or fewer points.

    Andy Dalton has passed for 1603 yards, 11 touchdowns and eight interceptions. AJ Green has 572 yards receivng an four touchdowns. JoeMixon has 253 yards rushing. The Bengals are near the bottom at rushing, at 78 yards per game. Cincinnati averaging 17 points and is giving up 19.3 each week.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Bengals are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
    Jaguars are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
    Under is 11-4 in Bengals last 15 games overall.
    Over is 5-1 in Jaguars last 6 games on grass.
    Free Betting Pick: Cincinnati Bengals +4
    The Bengals have solid defense and think this screams low scoring defensive battle. Getting more than a Field Goal is plenty of points to ensure that the Bengals do plenty to cover for us bettors. Jags turnovers comes back to bite them as Cincinnati gets much needed road win. Final Score Prediction, Cincinnati Bengals win as underdog but grab the points just in case 17-13.


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    Falcons at Panthers 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Adam

    Latest Odds : CAR -1.5 TOTAL 44

    The Atlanta Falcons (4 - 3, 3 - 1 Away) are on the road this week in order to take on the home town Carolina Panthers (5 - 3, 1 - 2 Home). Despite their strong record, Carolina has consistently struggled with their play at home this year. Atlanta and Carolina both come into this game fresh off of a win and each team desperately needs to start stringing them together to pace New Orleans in the NFC South. Carolina is hosting at Bank of America Stadium in Charlotte, NC.

    The Carolina Panthers take the field with an offense that has, by fits and turns, been incredibly hard to calibrate. QB Cam Newton (1,841 yards, 10 TD, 11 INT) has looked like an elite QB at times while folding in on himself at other opportunities. Carolina is averaging just 19 PPG on offense this season and they keep winning games due to their slow pace, and grind-it-out mentality.


    The Atlanta Falcons come into this game completely struggling to live up to expectations after last year's Super Bowl berth. Atlanta is only scoring 22 PPG despite having elite talent all over the field. Atlanta looked a little better last week against New York but the Falcons still need to find a way to get star wideout Julio Jones (37 catches, 540 yards, 1 TD) the ball. Atlanta may be without star running back Devonta Freeman in this game.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Falcons are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 vs. NFC.
    Panthers are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games in November.
    Over is 19-6-1 in Falcons last 26 games overall.
    Over is 3-1-1 in Panthers last 5 games following a straight up win.
    Free Betting Pick: Carolina Panthers -1.5
    Must win for both of these teams but the Falcons can't do enough to pull road upset over desperate Panthers team. Panthers QB Cam Newton uses his legs to get a few big first downs and it's enough to lead Carolina to win. Final Score Prediction, Carolina Panthers win and cover ATS 23-19.


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    Broncos at Eagles 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Eddie

    Latest Odds : PHI -7.5 TOTAL 43.5

    Lincoln Financial Field will play host to a Sunday afternoon NFL matchup between the Denver Broncos and Philadelphia Eagles. The Broncos have dropped three straight games and are a game below .500 overall. On Monday night, Denver turned the ball over five times during a 29-19 road loss against Kansas City. Trevor Siemian threw for 198 yards and three interceptions in a losing effort for the Broncos.

    Through seven games, Denver ranks 15th in total offense and is scoring 18.1 points on average. Philadelphia ranks in the middle of the pack on defense, allowing 327.1 yards and 19.5 points per game.


    The Philadelphia Eagles have won seven of their first eight games and have flown out to the best record in the league. The Eagles have yet to lose at home and are playing the final game of a three-game home stand. On Sunday, Philadelphia scored the first 20 points of the game and cruised to a 33-10 victory over San Francisco. The Eagles limited the 49ers to 238 yards and returned an interception for a touchdown on the afternoon.

    For the season, Philadelphia ranks 6th in total offense and is scoring 29 points per contest. Denver counters with a defense that leads the league in yards allowed and surrenders 21 points on average.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Denver is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road.
    Philadelphia is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home.
    Philadelphia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
    The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Denver's last 6 games on the road.
    The total has gone OVER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games.
    Free Betting Pick: Denver Broncos +7
    Denver WR Emmanuel Sanders (ankle) was inactive on Monday night and hopes to return for this matchup. The Broncos are a mess offensively at the moment and could turn to Paxton Lynch at quarterback. Denver cannot afford to lose four straight and will give their best effort. Final Score Prediction, Philadelphia Eagles win but fall short ATS 23-21.


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    Chiefs at Cowboys 11/5/17 - NFL Picks & Predictions

    by Eddie

    Latest Odds : DAL -1 TOTAL 51.5

    A key week nine NFL showdown will take place on Sunday afternoon, when the Kansas City Chiefs invade AT&T Stadium to face the Dallas Cowboys. The Chiefs have won six of their first eight games and lead the AFC West Division by 2.5 games. On Monday night, Kansas City forced five turnovers during a 29-19 home victory versus Denver. Travis Kelce hauled in seven passes for 133 yards and a score on the night.

    Through eight games, Kansas City ranks 3rd in total offense and is averaging 29.5 points per contest. Dallas comes into this game ranked 13th in yards allowed and giving up 23 points on average.


    The Dallas Cowboys have not been the dominant force that they were a season ago and are a game above .500 through their first seven games. The Cowboys have won two straight games and have scored 73 points in the process. On Sunday, Ezekiel Elliott rushed for 150 yards and two touchdowns during a 33-19 road triumph over Washington. Dallas forced three turnovers, including a late interception return for a touchdown.

    For the season, Dallas ranks second in the league in rushing at 150 yards per game and is scoring 28.3 points on average. Kansas City counters with a defense that ranks 28th against the run and allows 22.5 points per game.
    Recent Betting Trends:
    Kansas City is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games.
    Kansas City is 9-1 ATS in its last 10 games on the road.
    Dallas is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home.
    The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kansas City's last 7 games on the road.
    The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas's last 5 games at home.
    Free Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs +1
    Dallas RB Ezekiel Elliott had his six-game suspension upheld and he will not be able to return until week 15. The Cowboys have looked really good over the last two weeks and this would have been a good spot to back them if Elliott was able to play. Take the Chiefs to pull this one out on the road. Final Score Prediction, Kansas City Chiefs win and cover ATS 27-24.


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    Handicapped by Rick Needham at Aqueduct

    RACE #3 - AQUEDUCT - 1:18 PM EASTERN POST
    The Nashua Stakes
    8.0 FURLONGS DIRT GRADE II TWO YEAR OLDS STAKES $200,000.00 PURSE

    #6 SUPER SERMON
    #5 AVEENU MALCAINU
    #2 AVERY ISLAND
    #4 UNDER THE GRAYDAR

    Today's Nashua Stakes, is named for the 1955 Horse of the Year, owned and bred by the Belair Stud and trained by the late "Sunny" Jim Fitzsimmons. Nashua raced for three years in the mid-1950s before retiring with earnings of $1,288,565. Although he was outrun in the 1955 Kentucky Derby by Swaps, Nashua turned the tables on that rival in a $100,000 match race. A syndicate headed by Leslie Combs, II bought Nashua for a then-unprecedented $1.2 million. He stood at stud for 25 years, siring 85 stakes winners. His offspring earned more than $16 million. Here in the 41st running of this graded stake test, #6 SUPER SERMON has hit the board in "POWER RUN FASHION" in both of his two career starts to date, including a "POWER RUN WIN" to break his maiden in his last start. Jockey John Velazquez and Trainer Todd Pletcher send him to the post ... they've his the board with 54% of more than 340 entries saddled as a team to date. #5 AVEENU MALCAINU, the morning line favorite, drops in class (-9), and posted "POWER RUN WINS" in the first two races of his young, 3 race career to date.

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

    Bar

    Aqueduct - Race #1 - Post: 12:20pm - Maiden Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $30,000 Class Rating: 80

    Rating: 4

    #10 HOLLAND ROAD (ML=6/1)
    #3 SILBERADO (ML=3/1)


    HOLLAND ROAD - Taking a drop in class rating points from his Sep 30th race at Belmont Park. Based on that data, I will give this thoroughbred the advantage. SILBERADO - Alvarado and Mott teamed up together are a punter's friend. I think the shorter trip will help this colt stay the distance. For my money, a bullet workout is the best indicator of fitness there is. Look at that last one - 48.9. Very impressive. Just check out his recent speed fig, 89. That one looks good in this bunch.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #6 ARCHIVAL (ML=5/2), #1 SHOOT THE GAP (ML=7/2),

    ARCHIVAL - Hasn't raced or had any works since October 13th. Not much value on this favorite. SHOOT THE GAP - Today's event is 6 1/2 furlongs. Hasn't finished in the money in a sprint event in the last sixty days. Not the best of indicators.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - SILBERADO - Steady improvement in his speed ratings, 89 last race and 70 two races back. This horse is going to be tough against these ponies.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    Put your money on #10 HOLLAND ROAD on the nose if you can get odds of 7/5 or more

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Box [3,10]

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Skip

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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for Churchill Downs
    Churchill Downs - Race 1

    Daily Double / Exacta / Trifecta / Superfecta / Pick 3 (Races 1-2-3) Pick 4 (Races 1-2-3-4)


    Claiming $16,000 • 6 Furlongs • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 75 • Purse: $20,000 • Post: 1:00P
    FOR FILLIES AND MARES THREE YEARS OLD AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NEVER WON TWO RACES. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 124 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE SINCE OCTOBER 5 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $16,000, IF FOR $14,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Basic Race. This race has a mixed pace scenario. Check on scratches of any of the Front-runners (to look for a lone Front-runner). * KEY ANGLES * DIXIE KICKS: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Speed Figure at the distanc e/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. INDIAN TRICK: Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20. STETSON GOLD: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Today is a sprint and the horse is carrying at least 120 lbs. GREELY'S COMET: Horse ranks in the top three in TrackMaster Power Rating. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure a t the distance/surface.
    6
    DIXIE KICKS
    7/2

    4/1
    4
    INDIAN TRICK
    3/1

    6/1
    2
    STETSON GOLD
    4/1

    8/1
    7
    GREELY'S COMET
    4/1

    9/1

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    Handicapped by The Turf Club Analysts

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    Del Mar - Race #3 - Post: 1:29pm - Claiming - 6.5 furlongs on the Dirt. Purse: $29,000 Class Rating: 101

    Rating: 3

    #2 KARMA KING (ML=7/2)
    #1 NATIVE TREASURE (ML=4/1)
    #6 AMERICAN LEAGUE (ML=5/1)


    KARMA KING - The jock and conditioner combination have a beneficial ROI when they team up. Gelding has shown some pace. This shorter distance should be better for him. NATIVE TREASURE - Roman comes to race again after getting to know the gelding in the last race. I like to wager on this handicapping theory, a thoroughbred coming back off a solid race within the last month or so. AMERICAN LEAGUE - Just missed hitting the board on October 9th at Santa Anita. With pretty good odds in this race, he has my interest.

    Vulnerable Contenders: #4 INDAVIDUALIST (ML=5/2), #3 MATRICULATE (ML=3/1), #5 IRON ROB (ML=6/1),

    INDAVIDUALIST - Doesn't seem to have enough good aspects to warrant the value. MATRICULATE - Not likely for this participant to make a winning move with no recent success in a short distance race. IRON ROB - This gelding showed very liitle last time. When scrutinizing today's class rating, he will have to record a much better speed figure than in the last race to compete in this dirt sprint.

    Top HatGUEST COMMENTARY: Hal - NATIVE TREASURE - Claimed after his last two starts, this horse figures to do well in the affair with these horses.





    STRAIGHT WAGERS:
    #2 KARMA KING to win at post-time odds of 7/2 or better

    EXACTA WAGERS:
    Skip

    TRIFECTA WAGERS:
    Box [1,2,6] Total Cost: $6

    SUPERFECTA WAGERS:
    Pass

  17. #17
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Golden Gate Fields

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 4 - Claiming - 8.0f on the Turf. Purse: $20000 Class Rating: 102

    FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD. THREE YEAR OLDS, 122 LBS.; OLDER, 125 LBS. NON-WINNERS OF A RACE AT A MILE OR OVER SINCE JULY 1 ALLOWED 2 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000, IF FOR $18,000, ALLOWED 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 1 FLY LEXIS FLY 9/5

    # 5 DROUILLARD 7/2

    # 4 SIR VRONSKI 2/1

    FLY LEXIS FLY has a quite good shot to take this race. A solid 106 avg class figure may give this horse a distinct class edge against this group. Could provide positive returns based on formidable recent Equibase speed figs with an average of 98. He has a formidable distance/surface win record - 2 out of 10. DROUILLARD - Has to be given consideration - I like the figures from the last race. Difficult to pass on this gelding with Hernandez in the irons. SIR VRONSKI - Formidable average speed figures in turf route races make this equine a solid contender. Going in a turf route race gives this gelding a very strong shot.

  18. #18
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    Handicapped by The Walker Group at Laurel

    Always check program numbers.
    Odds shown are morning line odds.

    Race 5 - Maiden Claiming - 6.0f on the Dirt. Purse: $33000 Class Rating: 79

    FOR MAIDENS, FILLIES TWO YEARS OLD. WEIGHT, 122 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $40,000, FOR EACH $4,000 TO $32,000 2 LBS.


    RECOMMENDED CHOICES
    The Walker Group Picks

    # 9 MISS SAFFRON 4/1

    # 8 ENCHANTED GHOST 9/2

    # 3 SIMONELA 8/1

    MISS SAFFRON looks like the bet in here. Potts has this filly racing well and is a competitive selection based on the very good Equibase Speed Figures garnered in sprint races as of late. Make a note that this one runs with second time Lasix today. Looks formidable to be on the lead at the first call. ENCHANTED GHOST - Has run soundly when running a dirt sprint race. Posted a strong speed rating in the last race. Can run another good one in this race. SIMONELA - Looks very good to be on or close to the lead at the first call. With a solid 69 average speed rating at the distance, seems well suited for today's contest.

  19. #19
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    F.A.S.T. Sheets Free Race for ZIA
    ZIA - Race 7

    $1 Exacta / .50 Trifecta / .10 Superfecta / 1st Leg .50 Pick 4


    Optional Claiming $20,000 • 550 Yards • Dirt • Ages 3 and up • CR: 99 • Purse: $30,000 • Post: 2:54P
    QUARTER HORSE 550Y, FOR THREE YEAR OLDS AND UPWARD WHICH HAVE NOT WON TWO RACES SINCE JULY 5, 2017 OR CLAIMING PRICE $20,000. THREE YEAR OLDS, 124 LBS.; OLDER, 126 LBS. CLAIMING PRICE $20,000.
    Contenders

    Race Analysis
    P#
    Horse
    Morn
    Line

    Accept
    Odds


    Race Type: Not Applicable (Quarter Horse). * KEY ANGLES * EBW CATALYST: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest TrackMaster Power Rating. ABBYS ZOOMER: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/surface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Horse has the highest average Equibase Speed Figure at the distance/surface. SOUTHERN TEMPTATION: Horse's win percentage at today's distance(sprint or route)/su rface (dirt or turf) is at least 50. Quarter Horse has a Fast Break Style designation. SCOOT WITH DA LOOT: Horse ranks in the top three in average Equibase Class Rating at the distance/surface. Jockey/Trainer combination return on investment is at least +20.
    9
    EBW CATALYST
    5/2

    9/2
    10
    ABBYS ZOOMER
    8/1

    7/1
    6
    SOUTHERN TEMPTATION
    7/2

    7/1
    2
    SCOOT WITH DA LOOT
    15/1

    8/1

  20. #20
    Service Play Moderator Can'tPickAWinner's Avatar
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    When: 1:00 PM ET, Sunday, November 5, 2017
    Where: NRG Stadium, Houston, Texas

    Preview: Colts at Texans

    Gracenote
    Nov 2, 2017

    Houston was dealt a dose of devastating news when rookie DeShaun Watson suffered a torn ACL at practice on Thursday. The Texans expect to be without their breakout quarterback under center - and possibly for much of next season as well - when they host the struggling Indianapolis Colts on Sunday.

    Watson threw for a career-high 402 yards and four touchdowns in last week's wild 41-38 loss at Seattle but reports out of Houston indicated he tore the ligament in a non-contact drill. With Watson sidelined, the Texans will have to go back to Tom Savage, who lost his starting job midway through the team's season-opener. The Colts, who have also dealt with quarterback issues, made it official on Thursday that Andrew Luck would miss the rest of the season due to lingering shoulder problems. Ravaged by a slew of injuries, especially to its offensive line, Indianapolis has dropped three straight - including last week's 24-23 setback at Cincinnati.
    TV: 1 p.m. ET, CBS. LINE: No line. O/U: None.

    ABOUT THE COLTS (2-6): Playing for Luck, Jacoby Brissett has been nothing less than a warrior getting battered week after week. Despite being sacked a league-high 29 times, Brissett has completed 60.4 percent of his passes and nearly led the team to an upset win at Cincinnati last week before his fourth-quarter pass was picked off and returned 16 yards for a touchdown by Carlos Dunlap with 6:58 to play. The Colts reportedly were in trade talks this week involving several players, among them receivers T.Y. Hilton and Donte Moncrief, cornerback Vontae Davis and running back Frank Gore, but made no deals.
    ABOUT THE TEXANS (3-4): Buoyed by Watson's strong play, the Texans lead the NFL in scoring averaging 30.4 points a game and have surpassed that total for five straight games. DeAndre Hopkins has re-emerged as one of the league's best receivers with six touchdowns over the past four games, including a career-high 224 yards last week. Will Fuller has been equally effective with seven touchdown receptions in just four games after getting his season started late due to injury, but all bets are off without Watson making the throws.

    EXTRA POINTS
    1. Houston has won three straight in the series, including both matchups last season. Also, the last six meetings have been decided by seven points or less.
    2. With his 3-for-3 field goal kicking performance last week, Colts K Adam Vinatieri tied Gary Anderson for the second-most points scored in NFL history with 2,434.
    3. TE Jack Doyle recorded 12 catches in Week 8, the most in a game for any Colts player since Reggie Wayne had 13 receptions against the Packers in 2012.

    PREDICTION: Texans 25, Colts 20



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