Alabama at Mississippi State 11/11/17 - CFB Picks & Predictions

by Adam

Latest Odds : ALA -14 Total 50.5

No. 2 Alabama (9-0, 6-0) doesn't have the type of wins the FBS Playoff committee is looking for this season, but committee members would be hard-pressed to pick any other team in the nation over the Crimson Tide. NIck Saban's team has been dominant this season. Alabama averages 40.9 points per game (eighth in FBS) while allowing just 9.8 points per game (first in FBS).

Last week against No. 19 LSU, Alabama looked as vulnerable as it has all year. The Crimson Tide surrendered 306 yards compared to its 299 yards. They also didn't score more than once in a single quarter. Despite those struggles, they still came out with a 24-10 win.

Sophomore quarterback Jalen Hurts hasn't been the flashiest quarterback in the country, but he's managed the Alabama offense well, and has a 10-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio to show for it. He had a passing and rushing touchdown against the Tigers.


No. 16 Mississippi State (7-2, 3-2) has won four straight since losing to Georgia and Auburn in back-to-back weeks. The Bulldogs were down 20-13 against UMass at halftime last week but rallied to win 34-23. Junior quarterback Nick Fitzgerald had a poor passing game, with two interceptions and no touchdowns. However, he did rush for 135 yards and a pair of touchdowns.

Fitzgerald has 801 rushing yards and 12 rushing touchdowns this season. He's run for multiple touchdowns in five games this season and has been kept out of the end zone just twice.

Recent Betting Trends:
Crimson Tide are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.
Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 home games.
Over is 4-1 in Crimson Tide last 5 games following a ATS loss.
Under is 4-1 in Bulldogs last 5 vs. a team with a winning record.
Free Betting Pick: Alabama Crimson Tide -14
The most dominant team in College Football has been this Crimson Tide team and don't see that slowing down against up an down Bulldogs. Mississippi State won't be able to move the ball as the great Bama defense wins this one nearly by themselves. Final Score Prediction, Alabama Crimson Tide win and cover ATS 31-10.